North Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checkin' in with the local outlook.

Alright, so we've got a bit of a mixed bag on the horizon. The first few days are a bit of a write-off for anything decent, but there's a pulse of serious energy coming through later, though it might be a bit too much of a good thing. The action is all focused on North Beach, a beach/pier setup that's fairly consistent. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

The week starts quiet. Tuesday the 4th is a no-go, with a bumpy, cross-on 5ft swell and a breeze that's just messing it up. Wednesday morning the 5th is the first real glimmer of hope. The swell drops to 3ft from the ESE, but the wind goes glassy, dead calm. That's a major positive for clean, fun waves. It's a small day, but it'll be the best thing on offer for a while.

Then we hit a bit of a dry spell. From Wednesday afternoon through to the end of the first week, the wind is mainly cross or cross-on, and the swell is small and weak. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are pretty much a waste of time.

Saturday the 8th morning sees a new pulse of 4ft swell from the S, with a light onshore breeze. It's a bit of a question mark, but better than the previous days. The surf quality is still marginal.

Sunday the 9th is a write-off with a messy, short-period 6ft swell and a strong cross-on breeze. The afternoon clears up a bit with a cross-off wind, but it's still a junky, short-period affair.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Starting Monday the 10th, we get a massive ramp-up. The combined wave energy goes from a moderate 620 to a massive 3066 by Monday afternoon, with a 13ft swell from the SSW. The wind is cross-off, keeping it clean, but this is a lot of water. By Tuesday the 11th of August, we're looking at a 16ft monster from the S with a 12-second period, and the energy is a staggering 14,448. The wind is still cross-off, so the face will be clean, but 16ft is only for experts. The periods are long, which is a groundswell, so it'll have more energy and shape, but at a beach break like North Beach, it might be a bit too straight and heavy. It's a serious, serious swell.

This big, clean, cross-off swell holds through Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, with the swell staying around 15ft to 16ft and the energy climbing to over 18,000. The wind is still favorable, but the size is just immense.

By Friday the 14th, the swell drops to a still-hefty 12ft, but the wind becomes a light cross-shore, which is okay. The energy is still massive at 4,050. A powerful, long-period SSE groundswell that will be for experts only.

The weekend of the 15th and 16th sees the swell drop back into the 7ft to 5ft range, but the wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, making it pretty choppy and messy. The following week looks like more of the same – onshore winds and choppy conditions.

So, the standout here is hands down Wednesday morning, August 5th. That 3ft ESE swell with glassy conditions will be the closest thing to perfection we'll see in the near term. For the brave, the big swell window from Monday the 10th through Thursday the 13th is a monster, but it's only for the seasoned crew on big-wave gear. The setup at North Beach during that massive swell is going to be more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew. It's a long run of big, clean waves, but it's just too much for paddle surfing.

Rusty.

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