Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We've got a mixed bag of a forecast coming up for Baggies. The next couple of days are a slow start, but the second half of the window has some serious potential. Overall, the swell energy is building from moderate to strong, with a couple of standout sessions if you pick the right time.

Friday, July 17th kicks off quiet. There's a weak 4ft easterly swell with a short 10-second period, but it's a cross-onshore southerly breeze, making it look pretty average. The combined energy is only 256, so it's weak. Not worth paddling out for.

Saturday, July 18th is a little better. The morning has a small 3ft easterly swell, but the wind turns light and cross-offshore from the north-northeast. That will clean things up nicely. The energy is climbing to 329. Still small, but the surface will be glassy. By the afternoon, the wind goes glassy from the south-southeast, with a tiny 2ft southerly swell rolling in – the 13-second period gives it a bit of a pulse, and the energy is up to 382. It's a fun, small-wave longboard day.

Sunday, July 19th is the first real standout. The morning session is a beauty. The swell picks up to 4ft from the south-southeast, with a nice 11-second period. The wind is glassy from the east-northeast, making for perfect, clean conditions. The combined energy jumps to 798 – that's a solid, moderate wave. The water is a comfortable 71°, which is about average for this time of year. This is a top pick. The afternoon gets a bit choppy as the wind swings cross-onshore, and the swell pushes to 5ft, but the magic is in the morning.

Monday, July 20th is another cracker. Monday morning is glassy again with a light northeasterly breeze, and the swell holds at 5ft from the southeast, with a 12-second period. The energy is 906, so it's got some punch. The waves will be clean and well-formed. The afternoon turns cross-shore as the wind picks up, so get it while it's good.

Tuesday, July 21st through to Thursday, July 24th is a lull. The swell drops, the wind is messy, and the energy dips below 500. The best of a bad bunch is Wednesday morning, with a 3ft swell and light cross-offshore winds keeping the surface clean, but it's small. Overall, it's a few days to sit out.

Friday, July 25th things start to get interesting again, but it's tricky. A long-period, 18-second swell from the south-southwest shows up at 4ft, with a massive combined energy of 1167. That's a lot of power for a small size. The issue is the wind is a persistent cross-shore from the northeast. It's not clean, but there's a lot of energy in the water. Could be a sneaky session for the patient.

Saturday, July 26th and Monday, July 28th are write-offs. Strong winds, onshore, messy. Not worth your time.

Now, Tuesday, July 28th – this is the big one. The morning is an absolute standout. The swell is 4ft from the south, but the period is a very long 19 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 1806, which is a very strong, powerful groundswell. With a light cross-offshore breeze from the north-northeast, the conditions will be clean. This is a full-on point break session. The water is about average for the time of year. This is for experienced surfers – the power is real, and the sets will be long and clean. It's the best on offer in the entire forecast.

Wednesday, July 29th through Friday, August 1st is a new run of swell. The swell hangs around 7ft to 10ft from the east-northeast, but it's short-period windswell, mainly 7-9 seconds. The energy is strong (over 1000), but the wind is a constant cross-shore from the northeast. It's going to be a bit of a messy, choppy affair. The waves will be big, but the quality will be average. The Saturday, August 1st morning has a 10ft swell with 2016 energy, but it's still short-period and cross-shore. For beginners, anything over 5ft is a challenge, and over 8ft is expert-only. This is a big, powerful, and not very clean surf.

If you're a kite surfer, the week of July 29th to August 1st with the strong cross-shore winds and big swell will be a much better bet than a paddle session.

Overall, the two standouts are Sunday, July 19th morning for a clean, fun, medium-sized day, and Tuesday, July 28th morning for the big, powerful, clean groundswell. The long-range stuff on August 1st is promising but the wind is a problem.

Rusty.

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