Baggies Surf Break

Lat Long: 30.07° S 30.88° E

Issued: 1 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Baggies sea temperature is
21.9° C

Normal for this time of year

Baggies surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Baggies surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 4 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SSE swell with 3,102 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baggies this week:

The surf forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Baggies in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sat 4th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Best Surf 5AM (Sat 4th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 13s
Most Powerful 5AM (Sat 4th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what old Baggies has got cooking for us.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but once the swell kicks in, this point break is where the action is. The water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The standout window kicks off on the morning of Saturday the 4th of July. We’re looking at a solid 8ft swell out of the SSE, with a nice 12-second period pushing plenty of energy through (2310). The wind is glassy – NE at just 3 mph – so expect clean, lined-up waves peeling down the point. This is excellent surf, but at that size, it’s a session for the experienced crew only. The swell direction is a perfect match for what Baggies likes to see.

Saturday afternoon drops off a touch to 7ft, but the wind swings a little cross-on, making it a bit more tricky. Still, the energy is strong (1369) and there’s plenty of push.

Sunday the 5th sees the swell ease to 5ft in the morning with a cross-off breeze. The sets will have a bit less grunt (728), but it’ll still be a fun, manageable size for the intermediate surfer. By the afternoon, the wind picks up and the quality drops right off.

After Sunday, we hit a lull. Monday and Tuesday serve up small, weak waves or short-period windswell – not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 8th is tiny and messy, with strong onshore winds smashing what little is there.

We get a pulse back on Thursday the 9th of July. Swell bumps to 7ft out of the S, with a 14-second period and strong energy (1475). The wind is cross-on though, so it won’t be the cleanest, but there’ll be some grunty sets rolling through for those willing to wrestle a bit of chop.

Friday the 10th holds similar size (6ft) but still with that cross-on wind. The period stretches to 16 seconds, giving the waves a lot of travel and power (1405), but the wind is the spoiler here.

Saturday the 11th is interesting. We’ve got 7ft of S swell with a 16-second period (2186), and onshore wind from the SE. It’ll be bumpy and a bit wild, but the energy is undeniable. Then from Sunday the 12th onwards, Baggies pretty much shuts down for a solid week. Small, messy, or blown-out – just forget about it.

Then, on Friday the 17th of July, things get weird. The afternoon throws up a 6ft pulse from SSE, but it’s short-period (7 seconds) junk. The energy is there (1045), but it’s not the kind of wave you want to be out at a point for.

Finally, on Saturday the 19th of July, there’s a glimmer. The morning shows a big 12ft SSE swell with a 9-second period and glassy offshore wind from the ENE. That’s a lot of water moving (1761), and the wind will keep it looking smooth. But that size and short period is going to make Baggies a heavy, difficult wave – definitely expert territory only, and a bit raw.

So, the clear highlight is Saturday morning, 4th of July at Baggies. That glassy window with the long-period groundswell is absolutely your best bet. The other standout, though less certain being further out, is the morning of Saturday 19th of July – it’s a beast, but only for the brave.

Remember, crowds are always a possibility at Baggies, so get in early.

Stay safe, stay stoked.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 15°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
3
1
2
1
2
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
2
4
1
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSE
12
2.2
SSE
12
1.9
SSE
11
1.6
SSE
12
1.4
SE
12
1.1
SE
11
0.9
SE
10
0.8
SE
10
1.7
NE
7
1.3
NE
7
1.4
NE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1.6
SSW
6
1.9
S
7
1.8
S
8
1.3
S
10
1.9
S
14
1.6
S
14
1.2
S
13
1
S
16
1.6
S
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2163
1288
884
674
480
273
157
122
279
149
163
108
167
355
357
338
1472
918
473
509
1322
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
5
E
10
WNW
10
NE
20
NE
10
NNW
5
ENE
10
NNE
10
NNW
10
NE
10
NNE
10
WSW
35
SSW
30
SSW
15
SW
0
SE
20
NE
10
N
15
SSW
20
SSW
10
S
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
6:30PM1.59m
6:34AM1.52m
7:06PM1.57m
7:12AM1.44m
7:48PM1.52m
7:58AM1.35m
8:38PM1.46m
8:57AM1.26m
9:45PM1.41m
10:19AM1.19m
11:09PM1.39m
11:56AM1.21m
00:35AM1.43m
Low Tide
12:12PM0.20m
00:33AM0.36m
12:45PM0.25m
1:13AM0.40m
1:23PM0.31m
2:00AM0.46m
2:09PM0.39m
2:58AM0.52m
3:07PM0.47m
4:14AM0.56m
4:25PM0.53m
5:43AM0.54m
5:57PM0.52m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:08
5:08
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
 mm
2
1
5
Temp °C
18
19
17
20
21
18
21
22
19
22
23
21
21
21
19
18
19
18
20
21
19
Feels °C
17
17
17
17
16
16
17
18
17
18
19
19
17
15
16
19
17
17
18
19
19
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SSE
12
2.2
SSE
12
1.9
SSE
11
1.6
SSE
12
1.4
SE
12
1.1
SE
11
0.9
SE
10
0.8
SE
10
1.2
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
6
0.4
SE
9
1.5
S
7
1.3
S
10
1.9
S
14
1.6
S
14
1.2
S
13
1.1
S
12
1.6
S
16
Energy kJ
2163
1288
884
674
480
273
157
122
148
79
75
108
16
21
226
313
1472
918
473
330
1322
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.5
E
11
0.4
ESE
11
0.7
NE
5
0.8
ENE
6
0.7
ENE
7
0.6
SE
10
0.6
SE
10
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.3
SE
9
0.3
E
10
0.3
SSW
15
0.9
S
14
0.5
E
9
0.5
E
8
0.5
S
17
1
S
16
0.6
ENE
5
Energy kJ
94
66
63
59
40
29
47
38
61
60
34
31
13
17
42
338
41
34
135
509
22
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
E
11
0.1
SW
20
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
17
0.4
S
10
0.4
ESE
11
0.3
E
11
0.3
E
10
0.3
E
10
0.3
E
10
0.3
E
10
0.2
SSW
15
0.3
E
10
0.2
ENE
7
0.3
ENE
9
0.3
ENE
8
0.2
ESE
9
0.1
SE
15
0.4
ENE
8
0.5
E
8
0.1
SE
12
Energy kJ
92
15
7
6
30
39
20
19
19
18
17
21
17
5
15
13
8
8
20
29
6
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
NE
3
1.2
NE
5
1.1
NE
6
1.7
NE
7
1.3
NE
7
1.4
NE
7
1.6
SSW
6
1.9
S
7
1.8
S
8
0.7
ENE
8
0.6
NNE
4
Energy kJ
5
83
104
279
149
163
167
355
357
59
12
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
2
3
1
2
1
1
4
3
4
4
4
3
4
Distance (km)
0
0
27
0
0
27
0
27
0
0
27
0
0
0
712
0
18
27
0
18
18
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
2
3
1
2
2
1
3
4
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
6
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
4
5
9
8
9
6
5
5
8
5
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Baggies Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Baggies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baggies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baggies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baggies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baggies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Baggies is 11 km (7 miles) from Umlazi. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Umlazi. Umlazi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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