Surf Forecasts:
Baggies surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,966 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baggies this week:
The surf forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Baggies in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.
We’re looking at a single spot, Baggies, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The week kicks off with some small, messy swell that’s not really worth getting excited about. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year—nothing crazy, just a nice little bonus.
First real chance of something decent isn’t until Thursday, the 30th of July. That morning, we’ve got a solid 10ft swell rolling in from the SSE, with a period of 10 seconds. The wind is light and cross-offshore, which is a big win for clean conditions. The combined wave energy is pumping at 3870 (moderate to strong), and the conditions are shaping up for experienced surfers. This is the standout of the whole outlook. Baggies is a point break that’s fairly consistent, but it can get crowded sometimes, so get in early.
The run-up to that is pretty quiet. From Thursday the 23rd through to Wednesday the 29th, there’s a long stretch of poor to marginal surf. The wind is mostly cross-on or cross-shore, and the swell is either small, short-period, or just messy. There’s a big spike on the 24th with 10ft swell, but it’s accompanied by strong cross-onshore winds and a period of just 10 seconds, making it a total mess. Not worth the paddle.
After the Thursday morning standout, the quality drops off again. The swell holds around 8ft to 10ft through the end of July and into early August, but the wind shifts back to cross or cross-on, and the conditions get lumpy. There’s a brief window on the morning of the 3rd of August with clean conditions and clean cross-off wind, but the swell is only 6ft from the east, so it’s more of a fun session than a standout.
From the 4th of August onward, the swell fades and the wind stays messy. It’s small, weak, and not really doing much. The last few days of the outlook are quiet, with small swell and poor to marginal conditions.
So, bottom line: if you’re an experienced surfer, Thursday the 30th of July morning is your best bet. Get on it before the crowds do. The rest of the window is mostly a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Fri morning, calm by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 167 | 164 | 161 | 1745 | 2047 | 564 | 495 | 563 | 431 | 260 | 172 | 100 | 157 | 77 | 97 | 127 | 155 | 248 | 2357 | 2653 | 2479 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:15AM1.07m | 11:15PM1.16m | 12:21PM1.07m | 00:56AM1.19m | 1:43PM1.16m | 1:58AM1.29m | 2:31PM1.28m | 2:41AM1.40m | 3:07PM1.40m | 3:15AM1.51m | 3:39PM1.52m | 3:45AM1.60m | 4:08PM1.62m | 4:14AM1.66m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:19PM0.71m | 5:55AM0.71m | 6:18PM0.72m | 7:26AM0.63m | 7:40PM0.63m | 8:18AM0.52m | 8:29PM0.52m | 8:55AM0.40m | 9:05PM0.42m | 9:26AM0.28m | 9:38PM0.32m | 9:55AM0.19m | 10:08PM0.25m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 |
Feels °C | 17 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | S 10 | SSW 16 | E 9 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 77 | 164 | 106 | 61 | 59 | 564 | 495 | 563 | 431 | 260 | 172 | 100 | 88 | 42 | 97 | 127 | 125 | 244 | 333 | 79 | 1870 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | S 8 | NE 6 | ENE 8 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | SSW 5 | SSW 16 | E 9 | E 9 | S 19 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 167 | 57 | 10 | 6 | 125 | 269 | 169 | 174 | 118 | 187 | 137 | 68 | 22 | 35 | 33 | 10 | 155 | 160 | 103 | 175 | 337 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | ENE 7 | E 9 | S 22 | — | SE 11 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | — | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | ESE 10 | S 11 | SSW 18 | S 11 | S 18 | — | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 71 | 41 | 6 | 9 | — | 31 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 49 | 28 | 18 | 21 | 104 | 61 | 248 | — | 99 | 76 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | — | SSW 6 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SW 3 | SSW 6 | S 6 | — | S 10 | S 11 | S 11 |
| kJ | 29 | — | 161 | 1745 | 2047 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 48 | 224 | 157 | 77 | 3 | 41 | 11 | — | 2357 | 2653 | 2479 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 100 | 18 | 383 | 655 | 667 | 0 | 24 | 27 | 0 | 27 | 672 | 31 | 27 | 20 | 0 | 21 | 57 | 0 | 137 | 685 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baggies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baggies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baggies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baggies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baggies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baggies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baggies is 11 km (7 miles) from Umlazi. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Umlazi. Umlazi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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