Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me have a look at what’s coming up for us. The first surf of note is on Thursday morning the 16th of July. That morning is shaping up real nice. We’ve got some cloud cover, but the wind is light from the ENE at 3 mph and glassy – that's as clean as it gets. The swell is coming in at 5 ft from the east with a period of 10 seconds, which is a solid, quality groundswell. The combined energy is sitting at 532, so we’re in moderate wave energy territory. Water temperature is 71°, which is pretty much dead on average for this time of year. This is a standout session for Baggies, a point break that is fairly consistent and exposed to the swell – and with the SE optimum direction, that east swell is going to wrap in nicely. Just a heads up, crowds sometimes show here, but Thursday morning should be worth it.

Friday morning the 17th still sees clean, glassy conditions with the wind swinging to the SE at 3 mph. Swell drops a touch to 4 ft, still from the east and 10 seconds. Energy is moderate at 333. A good session, but not quite the standout. Friday afternoon gets a little bumpy with a S wind.

Saturday morning the 18th, another glassy start with ENE wind at 3 mph. The swell is down to 3 ft, east, 10 seconds. Energy is 346. Good, but smaller. By afternoon it’s getting messy.

Sunday the 19th, we get a bigger jump in energy – 851 and 959 in the morning and afternoon – but the wind is cross-shore from the NE and ENE, and the swell direction shifts to SSE. Not the best alignment for Baggies.

Now, Monday morning the 20th of July is the other real standout. Some clouds, wind from the east at only 3 mph and glassy. Swell is back up to 6 ft from the SSE, 12-second period. Combined energy hits 866 – moderate to strong. This is proper, clean, and punchy. That southeast swell direction is a good match for the break. If you can get out Monday morning, that’s the pick of the week.

From Tuesday the 21st onward, the wind starts to pick up, and the swell drops off a bit. Tuesday morning has clean conditions with a cross-offshore NNE wind, but the swell is only 4 ft. By Wednesday the 22nd, it gets choppy and messy with onshore winds. Thursday the 23rd is tiny – 2 ft – but glassy in the morning.

Jumping ahead, Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th have a bit of size and long period energy – with periods of 16 and 17 seconds and combined energy near 1000. But the wind is cross-shore from the NE, and the swell direction is from the south. That long period south swell will hold up okay at a point break, but the wind isn’t perfect. Still, for the second week, these are promising – just less certain.

After that, the surf drops away again, and from the 28th on, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore and strong, making conditions poor for a stretch of several days. There’s a brief window on the 29th with a clean cross-offshore wind and a small 2 ft south swell with a very long 16-second period – that’d be glassy but tiny.

Overall, the best on offer is Thursday morning the 16th and Monday morning the 20th. Get out then if you can.

Rusty

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