Surf Forecasts:
Baggies surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, S swell with 1,597 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baggies this week:
The surf forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Baggies in the next 16 days are 2.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got the outlook for Baggies. Let’s get into it.
Right now, the surf is pretty quiet. It’s going to be a bit of a wait for anything that really gets the heart pumping. We’ve got a long stretch of small, messy, and generally unexciting conditions through the first week and a half. Friday the 10th kicks off with a bumpy 7ft S swell, but the wind is a cross-on from the south at 12 mph, making it choppy. The water’s at a normal 72° for this time of year, nothing special there. The next few days into the middle of July are all about waist-to-chest high dribble with cross-shore breezes and marginal conditions. It’s the kind of stuff that makes you wonder why you bothered waxing up.
There’s a little blip on Sunday the 18th with a longer-period S swell (15 seconds) at 5ft, but it’s still cross-on and lumpy with a fresh breeze. Not a standout. The first real sign of life shows up on the morning of Sunday the 19th. We get a 6ft S swell (13-second period) with a cross-off wind from the NNE at 12 mph. That’s clean, and the combined energy is 1246 (strong). It’s a good session, but not the best.
The true standout, the one you circle on the calendar, is the morning of Wednesday the 23rd of July. That’s 10 days out, so keep your fingers crossed, but the setup looks fierce. We’re looking at a solid 8ft SSW groundswell, with a period of 13 seconds and a combined energy of 2134 (very strong). The wind is super light and cross-off from the NNE at just 3 mph, nearly glassy. This is expert territory for sure—8ft means only experienced crew should charge. The direction (SSW) lines up beautifully with Baggies' optimum SE direction, hitting the point as a proper groundswell. Expect long, powerful lines peeling down the point, though with a long period like that, it might run a bit straight at a beach break, but at a point like Baggies, it should set up perfectly. Crowds are possible here; it’s a known spot.
After that peak, the swell drops off quickly. Thursday the 24th is small, and by the 25th, we’re back to strong south winds and lumpy, poor conditions. That’s the window—one big morning to chase, then it’s back to the waiting game.
Stay stoked, and don’t sleep on that 23rd.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 22°C on Wed afternoon, min 16°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 7 | S 11 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1860 | 1304 | 822 | 862 | 942 | 480 | 387 | 123 | 157 | 311 | 259 | 234 | 340 | 430 | 480 | 563 | 520 | 384 | 384 | 332 | 279 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross | cross | cross-off | on | cross-on | off | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:35AM1.43m | 1:18PM1.31m | 1:46AM1.52m | 2:20PM1.45m | 2:42AM1.62m | 3:12PM1.59m | 3:31AM1.71m | 3:58PM1.71m | 4:14AM1.75m | 4:41PM1.79m | 4:55AM1.76m | 5:22PM1.82m | 5:33AM1.72m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:57PM0.52m | 7:04AM0.46m | 7:18PM0.43m | 8:07AM0.33m | 8:23PM0.32m | 8:59AM0.21m | 9:16PM0.21m | 9:44AM0.11m | 10:03PM0.14m | 10:25AM0.04m | 10:47PM0.11m | 11:04AM0.01m | 11:28PM0.13m | 11:41AM0.03m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 |
 | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | 5:14 |
mm | — | 5 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 20 |
Feels °C | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 1860 | 1304 | 822 | 862 | 942 | 480 | 387 | 123 | 94 | 228 | 259 | 234 | 340 | 430 | 480 | 563 | 520 | 384 | 384 | 332 | 279 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | S 11 | S 10 | SE 8 | E 8 | SSW 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 11 | S 5 | S 8 | SSW 14 | S 13 |
| kJ | 19 | 19 | 14 | 24 | 16 | 73 | 31 | 43 | 77 | 151 | 136 | 181 | 140 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 75 | 87 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | — | — | — | E 10 | — | E 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 13 | SSE 8 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SW 16 | SSE 9 | SE 11 | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 7 | — |
| kJ | 7 | — | — | — | 7 | — | 7 | 123 | 157 | 32 | 26 | 53 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 14 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 6 | — | — | — | — | E 7 | NNE 4 | N 4 | ENE 10 | — | — | — | SW 4 | SSW 5 | — | NNE 3 | NE 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 91 | — | — | — | — | 311 | 13 | 7 | 218 | — | — | — | 10 | 23 | — | 2 | 11 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 300 | 7 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 29 | 18 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | 18 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 185 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baggies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baggies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baggies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baggies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baggies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baggies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baggies is 11 km (7 miles) from Umlazi. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Umlazi. Umlazi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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