Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty here, looking at what we’ve got coming down the line. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.

The first real surf worth paddling out for isn’t until Saturday the 19th. Before that, we’ve got a rough stretch from Tuesday the 15th right through Friday the 18th where the conditions are just plain messy – strong winds, rain, and lumpy surf with moderate to strong wave energy (721 to 1938). That Friday afternoon sees a big 8ft swell from the SE but with a fresh onshore breeze, so save your energy.

Our standout window comes early on Saturday morning the 19th. Baggies looks absolutely pristine. We’re looking at a clean 8ft swell from the ESE (9-second period) with glassy conditions, and the wave energy is strong at 1267. The water temperature is 70°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there. This is an excellent window for experienced surfers; the size is up there, so it’s not one for the beginners. The wind is barely a whisper from the WSW – that glassy water is going to make for some memorable waves. This point break handles the SE swell direction well, and while the crowds can show up sometimes, those clean conditions on a solid swell will be worth sharing a few waves for.

After that, Sunday the 20th drops off quickly with moderate cross-shore winds and a smaller, weaker swell that’s only marginal. Monday the 21st sees the swell drop right down to under 3ft, with some longer-period energy (13 seconds) but it’s too small and onshore to get excited about. Tuesday and Wednesday are poor, with messy cross-shore winds and weak energy (under 300). Then there’s a brief blip on Wednesday afternoon the 23rd – a little 6ft swell from the S with glassy winds, but it’s a short period (7 seconds) and the energy is only moderate (446). It’s worth a look if you’re desperate.

The long-range stuff around the 25th to 27th looks frustrating. There’s some serious long-period groundswell potential – we’re talking 16-second periods on the 25th and 14-second on the 26th – but the wind is just cruel. The 25th has a fresh cross-onshore breeze messing up a solid 5ft SSW swell (1183 energy), and the 26th is cross-shore and choppy. That long-period energy is better suited to a point like Baggies, but without clean wind, it’s a write-off. The rest of the month fades into poor, weak, and windy.

Honestly, the Saturday the 19th morning is the one true standout. Get out there early for the cleanest, most powerful waves of the outlook.

Rusty.

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