Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our stretch of coast. The next 16 days are a mixed bag, with a slow start, a few clean windows, and a big, powerful finish that’s got my attention.

Right now, we’re in a flat spell. The first proper surf I can see is at Baggies on Thursday morning, July 9th, but honestly, it’s a write-off. A 6ft SSW swell, but with a cross-onshore wind and a combined energy of just 728, it’s all chop and no shape. Thursday afternoon is the same story, just messy. Friday the 10th shows a bit more size – 7ft from the S – but the wind is a problem and the reports say it’s marginal. The energy ramps up big time (1844), but it’s not coming together clean. Saturday and Sunday are small and messy, not worth paddling out for.

Now, hold on to your board. Monday morning, July 13th is a true standout. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the ESE, but the real magic is the wind: glassy. Dead flat, no wind. The energy is moderate (531), but it’s a clear, clean dawn patrol. For a point break like Baggies, that’s going to be silky. The water temp is 72°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon drops off, but that morning slot is prime.

The next few days are a bit of a rollercoaster. Wednesday, July 15th morning is another good call. A 6ft ESE swell with a cross-offshore wind from the NNE – that’s clean. Energy is solid at 837. It’s not the biggest, but the wind is right and the point will be reeling. After that, we get a few days of poor conditions and strong winds, with a bit of a gap until the 17th.

Friday, July 17th afternoon sees a drop in size to 3ft, but the wind goes glassy again. It’s a sneaky good session for a longboard or a funboard. Then Saturday, July 18th morning is dead calm with 3ft from the E – another glassy, small-wave option. Easy paddling, but you’ll be scratching for the bigger sets.

The real heavy hitter shows up in the second week. Sunday, July 19th brings an 8ft SE swell, but the wind is onshore and it’s choppy. The energy is massive (1526), but the conditions are poor. The afternoon cleans up a bit with 8ft and a light onshore, but it’s still marginal. This is a big swell, but it’s not a clean one.

Then, Friday, July 24th is the one to watch. We’ve got a 10ft swell from the ENE. That’s big. The energy is through the roof (2444). The wind is cross-shore, so it won’t be glassy, but for a point break, that size with a long period is going to produce some serious, heavy walls. This is expert territory. The morning and afternoon both have 10ft, so there’s a full day of it. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" at Baggies, and with a 10ft swell, it’ll be busy, but the quality will be there for the experienced crew.

Bottom line: the first week is a waiting game. Monday the 13th is your best bet for a clean, fun session. The 15th is also good. The real highlight is the 24th, but that’s a powerful, expert-only swell. Get your big board ready for the 13th and your gun for the 24th.

Rusty.

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