Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Baggies has got cooking over this forecast period. Straight up, it’s a tough run for this point break. We’re looking at a lot of days where the wind is junk, coming cross-onshore more often than not, and that’s just ruining what could be a decent wave. The water’s sitting at 70°, which is about average for now, so no surprises there.

The first few days are pretty much a write-off. Monday the 31st of August has a weak 4ft swell out of the east, but that south wind makes it a choppy mess. Not worth paddling out for. Tuesday the 1st of September and Wednesday the 2nd are similar stories: cross-shore or cross-onshore winds, small swell, and the wave energy is on the low side (170 to 436), so you’re just fighting the wind for nothing.

We do get a bit of a tease on Thursday the 3rd of September. The morning has a clean look with cross-offshore winds from the north-northeast, but the swell is short-period at 4ft (293 energy). The afternoon gets interesting—8ft of east-northeast swell, and the wind goes cross-off, cleaning it right up. That’s your first real standout of the run. It’s solid at 8ft, so it’s edging into expert-only territory, especially if the tide is wrong. The energy is strong at 797, so there’s some push in the water. This is the best bet in the first week, but you’ll want to be on your game.

Then things go sideways again. Friday the 4th of September gets hammered by a big 13ft south-southeast swell (massive 3666 energy), but it’s onshore with rain. That’s a washing machine, not a surf session. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are marginal, with 8ft swell but cross-on winds and lumpy conditions. The energy stays high (over 1000), but the quality is poor.

That Sunday afternoon, a very long-period groundswell rolls in at 21 seconds, but it’s just 3ft from the south with an onshore breeze. Long-period stuff at Baggies might line up, but the wind kills it. Not one to get excited about.

The second week is a bit of a blur of mediocrity. Monday the 7th is blown out, Tuesday the 8th is choppy with 8ft of windswell but cross-shore winds. Wednesday the 9th morning has another clean-looking window with cross-off winds and a solid 8ft east-northeast swell (1290 energy). That’s your other standout—clean, punchy, but again, that’s a bigger swell for experienced surfers only. After that, it’s more cross-shore junk and dropping energy through to the 15th of September.

Overall, Baggies is not having a good time. The standout sessions are Thursday the 3rd afternoon and Wednesday the 9th morning, where the wind cleans up and the swell has some size. For the rest, you’re looking at choppy, onshore slop. If you’re desperate, those two windows are your only real chance, but don’t expect perfection. This setup looks more interesting for the kite crew on those big, choppy days.

Rusty.

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