
Surf Forecasts:
Baggies surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 15s period, S swell with 2,263 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baggies this week:
The surf forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Baggies in the next 16 days are 2.2m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days.
Howdy, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Baggies. It’s a point break that breaks fairly consistently and faces the SE for swell. Water temp is 72°, right around normal for this time of year, so nothing weird.
Right now it’s flat and messy. Wednesday morning has a weak 1ft south-east swell, 9-second period, light cross breeze, combined energy only 70. Not worth the walk. Wednesday afternoon is cleaner but still tiny. Wednesday and Thursday morning are a total blank. Thursday afternoon bumps to 5ft south swell at 14 seconds, combined energy 1006, but it’s onshore and marginal. Still not a goer.
Friday morning jumps to 7ft south swell, long 15-second period, combined energy 2107 – strong. But the wind is light cross-onshore, so a bit bumpy. Afternoon stays big but choppier. Not clean.
Now Saturday morning 11th July – that’s your first standout. 5ft south swell at 13 seconds, combined energy 874, and the wind is glassy. Dead calm. That’s a huge plus. Expect very good surf conditions – clean, lined-up south swell on a point break. Crowds are possible, so get down early. Saturday afternoon drops a bit and turns onshore, so stick to the morning.
Sunday is smaller, 4ft and 3ft through the day, but Sunday afternoon goes glassy again with a 12-second period. It’ll be clean and fun, combined energy around 345 – nothing powerful but still a nice little session.
Monday morning has 3ft south swell at 14 seconds, cross-off wind, clean but moderate energy at 553. Rideable. Monday afternoon sees 5ft east swell at a short 8 seconds, cross wind, poor quality. Skip it.
Tuesday and Wednesday of the second week are poor – onshore junk, short period, small. Not worth your time.
Thursday 16th July morning is a no-go; afternoon brings 6ft south swell at only 7 seconds – short-period windswell, onshore, messy. Bad.
Friday 17th July has 5ft to 8ft south swell, moderate to strong energy, but cross-on wind and rain. The afternoon is bigger but still bumpy.
Saturday 18th July morning is your second highlight. 7ft south swell at 13 seconds, combined energy 1841, cross-off wind from the NNE. Clean and powerful – excellent for experienced surfers. This one has push and shape, but it’s big, so only for the crew who can handle it. Crowds are possible. The afternoon gets windy, so make the most of the early.
Sunday 19th and Monday 20th are smaller and cleaner but nothing special. Tuesday 21st is a write-off with thunderstorms and onshore slop.
Wednesday 22nd July morning is glassy with 4ft from the east-northeast at 8 seconds – short period, small, combined energy 356. Clean but weak. The afternoon brings a weird 2ft south swell at 19 seconds – very long period groundswell. On a point break that could glass up into some nice lines, but the cross wind will mess it up.
Thursday 23rd July is small and marginal.
So bottom line: the best two windows are Saturday 11th July morning – glassy, 5ft south swell, clean as a whistle – and Saturday 18th July morning – 7ft south swell, cross-off wind, powerful and clean for experienced surfers. The week in between is mostly average to poor, but those two mornings are money.
Catch you on the sand,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 16°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 14 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
31 | 30 | 42 | 165 | 975 | 878 | 2069 | 2012 | 1225 | 848 | 594 | 430 | 344 | 271 | 157 | 390 | 290 | 253 | 169 | 162 | 344 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:57AM1.26m | 9:45PM1.41m | 10:19AM1.19m | 11:09PM1.39m | 11:56AM1.21m | 00:35AM1.43m | 1:18PM1.31m | 1:46AM1.52m | 2:20PM1.45m | 2:42AM1.62m | 3:12PM1.59m | 3:31AM1.71m | 3:58PM1.71m | 4:14AM1.75m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:07PM0.47m | 4:14AM0.56m | 4:25PM0.53m | 5:43AM0.54m | 5:57PM0.52m | 7:04AM0.46m | 7:18PM0.43m | 8:07AM0.33m | 8:23PM0.32m | 8:59AM0.21m | 9:16PM0.21m | 9:44AM0.11m | 10:03PM0.14m | ||||||||
6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 6 | — | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 18 |
Feels °C | 22 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | SE 9 | ENE 6 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | S 13 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 |
22 | 30 | 36 | 165 | 975 | 878 | 2069 | 2012 | 1225 | 848 | 594 | 430 | 139 | 74 | 85 | 163 | 280 | 253 | 169 | 162 | 344 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | NE 6 | SSW 15 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 6 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 14 | S 11 | S 11 | SE 8 | E 9 | S 5 |
31 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 24 | 39 | 31 | 19 | 19 | 26 | 25 | 47 | 344 | 271 | 157 | 390 | 2 | 123 | 132 | 123 | 20 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 6 | — | SE 11 | SE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 |
17 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 36 | — | 5 | 3 | 78 | 51 | 33 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 4 | SSW 4 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 | — | — | — | — | E 8 | NNE 5 | SSW 4 | S 6 | — |
— | 5 | 15 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 134 | — | — | — | — | 290 | 20 | 31 | 64 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 183 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 375 | 30 | 183 | 109 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baggies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baggies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baggies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baggies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baggies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baggies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baggies is 11 km (7 miles) from Umlazi. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Umlazi. Umlazi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










