Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Baggies. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got a couple of windows that could be worth paddling out for.

The outlook starts quiet, with a lot of cross-onshore wind and poor conditions. The water temperature is sitting at 70°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Sunday the 23rd is a write-off. We’ve got a 8ft S swell, but the wind is a cross-on 16 mph, and the energy is moderate (1289). It’s choppy and poor surf. Monday and Tuesday the 24th and 25th are marginal at best, with small swell around 3ft to 2ft and cross or cross-on breezes. The energy drops right off (199 to 322). Not worth getting wet for.

Wednesday the 26th afternoon shows a glimmer. A 5ft S swell with a very long 18-second period rolls in, and the wind goes onshore light from the SE. The energy jumps up (1556). This is a classic groundswell – long, powerful lines, but it might break a bit straight at a beach break. At Baggies, a point break, it should be a treat. The wind is light, so it’ll be clean. This is a standout for the week. It’s a marginal call from the data, but I’m feeling it.

Thursday and Friday the 27th and 28th see the wind howling from the NE, 22-25 mph. The swell is 5ft to 8ft, but it’s a short-period 8-second wind swell, and the energy is moderate to strong (967 to 1266). The cross-chop will be nasty. Not a paddle surfer’s day – maybe a kite surfer’s session.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th is similar. Saturday the 29th has a 10ft ENE swell with a 19 mph NE cross-wind, and it’s lumpy. Sunday the 30th afternoon the wind swings light S and the swell is 10ft ENE, but the energy is very strong (1653). The wind is light, so it could be clean, but 10ft is big and only for experts. The period is only 9 seconds, so it’s a bit mushy and bumpy. I’d be cautious.

The first week of September is a mixed bag of small swell and cross-on winds. Then we get a real standout on the 5th of September, a Saturday morning. A 16ft SSW swell with a very long 15-second period arrives. The wind is from the S at 12 mph, cross-on, so it’ll be a bit choppy, but the energy is off the charts (12469). This is a massive groundswell. At Baggies, a point, it will handle the long period well. 16ft is only for experts, no question. The wind is moderate, not ideal, but the sheer size and power will make for some epic, heavy waves. The forecast confidence is lower this far out, but it’s a promising big swell.

Sunday the 6th of September has a 8ft to 10ft S swell with a 15-second period, but the wind is cross-on from the E and then SSW. The energy is strong (2754 to 4161). It’s another big groundswell, but the wind will mess it up a bit. Still, for the experienced crew, it’s a solid option.

The real standout is Wednesday the 26th afternoon for the best combination of clean, long-period swell and light wind. The big one on the 5th of September is the one for the big-wave chargers.

Remember, there are gaps in the first week with no real surf, so don’t get your hopes up early.

Rusty out.

Read more