Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's chew the fat on what's coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks. Only one spot in the game for this whole stretch: Baggies. It's a point break, fairly consistent, and open to the swell. Water temp is about 72°, right where it should be for this time of year.

For this Saturday and Sunday, don't bother waxing up just yet. We've got a 5ft S swell, but the wind is junk – cross-onshore or onshore – and the report says poor. The first Saturday morning, the combined wave energy is moderate at 836, but the quality is terrible. Sunday's a bit smaller, around 4ft to 4ft, but still cross-onshore and marginal. It's a slow, frustrating start.

Now, Tuesday the 14th is where the stoke starts to build. Morning and afternoon, it's glassy, clean, with a 4ft to 5ft swell coming from the SE/ESE. That's the right direction for Baggies. The wind goes glassy, the combined energy is moderate (462 to 485), and the forecast says "expect good surf conditions." It won't be the biggest day, but the clean conditions will make it the most fun of the first week. Wednesday stays okay, but the wind goes cross-shore, so it's not as clean.

Mark your calendar for Thursday the 16th. That afternoon, the wind goes glassy again, we've got a 5ft E swell (10-second period), and the combined energy is up to 535. The forecast is calling for "very good surf conditions." That's the standout of the first half of the outlook. Clean, fun, solid waves.

Then things get a bit hairy. Friday the 17th through Sunday the 19th, we see a big pulse of SSW swell, peaking at 10ft on Saturday the 18th with a massive combined energy of 5090. That's a ton of power. But, the wind is strong and cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. The report flatly says "poor surf conditions." For the experts, the Saturday afternoon might offer some big, unruly lines, but for everyone else, that's a hard pass.

We get a bit of a breather on the 20th and then bam, Tuesday the 21st of July morning is another real standout. It's clean, with a cross-offshore wind, an 8ft NE swell and a combined energy of 1327. The forecast says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That 8ft is big, and it's only for the experienced crew, but with clean winds, that's a special morning at Baggies. The period on that swell is short, 8 seconds, so it'll be a bit sectiony but punchy.

The rest of the second week is mostly smaller, with cross-shore winds, and the combined energy drops off. The 24th and 25th have some longer period S/SSW swells (15-16 seconds) coming through, but they're small, around 2ft to 3ft, so the energy is weak to moderate. The winds are messy, so it's not much to get excited about. By the 26th, it's all blown out with strong winds and lumpy conditions.

So, to wrap it up, the two true standouts are the glassy Thursday the 16th for the cleanest fun waves, and the big, clean Tuesday the 21st morning for the experienced surfers. Everything else is a roll of the dice with the wind. The first week is a solid bet, the second week has some promise but is less certain.

Rusty out.

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