Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

The next few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a real standout waiting for the more experienced crew if you’re patient. It’s a quiet start, then things build, get messy, and finally clean up for a couple of solid sessions that are only for the brave.

The first bit of hope comes on the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August. We’re looking at Baggies, a point break that’s fairly consistent. The swell is a clean 3ft from the ESE, and the wind is glassy. Not a breath of wind. That’s going to be a beautiful, clean morning. The water temp is about average for the time of year – nothing weird going on there. The combined swell energy is moderate at 227. It’s not huge, but for a midweek glass-off, you’d be a fool to miss it.

The rest of that week is pretty average. The wind gets messy, the swell drops off, and we get some poor conditions. The morning of Saturday the 8th of August sees a bit of a bump in energy (417) with a 4ft swell from the S, but the wind is cross, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. Not great.

Then things get big. From Monday the 10th of August through to the morning of Thursday the 13th of August, the swell really cranks up, but it’s a bit of a disaster. The wind is howling from the SW, gusting 28 mph, and the significant swell gets up to 16ft. The combined energy is massive (13,000+), but the wind is cross-shore and messy. The waves are going to be a total mess. For the experienced crew, there might be a window on the afternoon of Tuesday the 11th of August where the energy is still massive (14,448) and the swell is 16ft from the S at 13 seconds, but it’s still a lumpy, cross-shore howl. Honestly, this looks more like a kite-surfing wind-fest than a surf session.

Now, here’s the real standout. You need to circle the morning of Friday the 14th of August. The swell has dropped a touch to a still-serious 12ft from the SSE, with a long 13-second period. But the magic is the wind – it’s glassy. Dead flat. The combined energy is still very strong at 4050. This is for experts only. Anything over 8ft is expert territory, and 12ft at a point like Baggies is no joke. But if you’ve got the stones, the conditions are excellent. The long period means the waves will have plenty of punch and shape, and the glassy wind will make it pristine. The only downside? Baggies is a point break, and with that long period, it’ll be a proper, powerful groundswell. It’s not a day for the crowd; it’s a day for the locals who know what they’re doing.

After that, the swell backs off quickly. The weekend of the 15th and 16th of August sees the swell drop to 8ft and then 5ft, but the wind is cross or cross-on, so it gets choppy again. The long-range forecast for the second week is pretty average – a bit of cross-shore wind and not much to get excited about.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is the glassy morning of Wednesday the 5th of August for a fun, clean session. The big standout for the adrenaline junkies is the morning of Friday the 14th of August – big, clean, powerful, and hairy. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty.

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