Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, lookin’ at what’s on the cards for Baggies in the next 16 days. Gotta be straight up with you, it’s a bit of a mixed bag and we’re gonna have to be patient. This spot is a fairly consistent point break that’s exposed to the swell, so it can pull in energy, but the winds are gonna make us work for it.

The water’s sittin’ at 69°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you might want that extra layer.

We start off this Saturday the 12th with some small, weak surf. The swell is only 3 ft from the east with a period of 9 seconds, so it’s short-period windswell. The combined energy is pretty low, nothing to get excited about. On top of that, the wind is a messy cross-shore, making for poor surf conditions and a chop. The afternoon looks even worse with a cross-onshore breeze. Sunday the 13th brings a weird mix: tiny 2 ft swell from the south but with a very long 18-second period – that’s groundswell energy. However, it’s still choppy and the size is just too small to do anything with.

Monday the 14th is a no-go. We get a sudden jump to 10–13 ft of messy east-northeast windswell, but the wind is howling at 25–34 mph. That’s a strong to near-gale cross-shore, creating total chaos. The energy readings are massive but it’s unsurfable. This is the kind of day you leave for the kites.

Things ease up into the middle of next week, from Tuesday the 15th through Thursday the 17th. We’re looking at 5 ft to 7 ft of east swell, with a period around 10 seconds. The energy is moderate. But the wind is still a problem. It’s a persistent light to gentle cross-onshore, keeping the surface lumpy and choppy. The scores are low, and it’s described as “marginal” at best. We’ve got a bit of a gap here with nothing really clean on offer.

Then we hit another wall from Friday the 18th through the following week. The swell gets messy again with strong southerly winds bringing lumpy, poor conditions. There’s a brief moment on Friday the 18th morning with a light onshore breeze, but the swell is small and the conditions still aren’t great.

After a very long stretch of poor or marginal surf, we finally get a glimmer of hope on Wednesday the 23rd of September. The morning is the real standout of the entire outlook. We have a clean 6 ft swell from the east with an 11-second period. The energy is solid. But the key is the wind: a light 9 mph north-northeast breeze that is *cross-offshore*. That’s the magic word – the forecast says “clean.” This is the only window in the 16 days with the right wind to groom the point. It’s just one session, mind you, as the afternoon turns nasty again. If you can get out that morning, that’s the one to go for.

The final few days of September and the 27th drop back into the same pattern of small, weak swell and crummy onshore or cross-shore winds. Nothing to write home about.

So there you have it. A long dry spell broken by one single, promising morning on the 23rd. Keep your eyes on that one.

Rusty.

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