Baggies Surf Break

Lat Long: 30.07° S 30.88° E

Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Baggies sea temperature is
22.7° C
1.0° 

Baggies surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Baggies surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, S swell with 1,664 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baggies this week:

The surf forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Baggies in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (SAST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Tue 21st Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 12s
Best Surf11PM (Wed 22nd Jul)7ft (2.1m) 7s
Most Powerful 8PM (Fri 24th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got some swell on the horizon, but this forecast is a real mixed bag with a lot of noise to sift through before we see any real action. The standout window is at the end of the run, but we’ve got to be patient.

Right now, the only spot on the radar is Baggies (point). The water is sitting at 72.9°, which is about one degree warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a touch of tropical warmth in the water.

That first window on Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd is small but clean. Tuesday afternoon sees a 4.6ft SE swell with a long 12-second period, and the combined energy is moderate at 644. The wind is light and cross, so it’ll be a bit bumpy, but surfable. Wednesday morning is the real highlight here: the wind goes light cross-offshore, keeping the surface glassy on that 3.9ft SE groundswell. The energy is solid at 652. This is a clean, fun little session for the intermediate crew.

After that, it gets ugly. Wednesday afternoon through the end of July is a write-off. The wind is all over the place, mostly onshore or strong cross-shore, and the swell drops right off or gets messy with a lumpy wind-chop. There’s a stretch of about a week where the surf is poor or marginal, so don’t hold your breath.

Now, the real gold is in the first week of August. We’ve got a promising run starting Saturday the 1st. That morning, Baggies cleans up with a light cross-offshore breeze on a 3.3ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The energy is solid at 788. This is a point break, so that long period will wrap in nicely. The afternoon picks up on a 3.6ft S swell with an 18-second period, and the energy jumps to 1017.

The real standout, though, has to be from Monday the 3rd through Wednesday the 5th. The swell builds to a solid 8.2ft from the E on Monday with a 10-second period, dropping to 7.2ft on Tuesday. The wind is light on Monday morning, and by Monday afternoon it’s almost glassy – that’s the best on offer. The energy is strong, over 1300. This is a big, powerful swell for Baggies. For a point break, this is going to pump. It’s big enough (over 8ft) that it’s for experts only, but the light winds will make it clean. Wednesday morning keeps the goods with a 6.9ft E swell and a clean cross-offshore breeze. This is the best window of the whole forecast.

Remember, Baggies is a point break that can get crowded sometimes, so get there early for the best of it.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 24°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Wed night, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tue
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SE
12
1.3
SE
12
1.2
SE
12
1.1
SE
12
1.8
NE
7
0.8
SE
12
0.8
SE
12
2
S
7
2.5
S
9
2.5
S
10
1.7
S
9
1.3
SSE
8
1.3
SSE
8
1.3
SSE
9
1.1
SE
9
0.9
SE
9
2
NE
7
1.6
NE
7
1.1
ENE
7
1.7
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
537
486
403
319
296
167
164
355
1236
1179
425
239
249
247
190
135
335
244
105
251
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
10
N
15
NNE
20
NE
10
NNW
20
SSW
10
S
30
SSW
35
SSW
30
S
5
WNW
15
NE
20
NE
20
N
30
NE
30
NE
20
NNE
20
NE
20
NE
15
N
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
8:37PM1.35m
8:50AM1.16m
9:36PM1.23m
10:15AM1.07m
11:15PM1.16m
12:21PM1.07m
00:56AM1.19m
1:43PM1.16m
1:58AM1.29m
2:31PM1.28m
2:41AM1.40m
3:07PM1.40m
3:15AM1.51m
Low Tide
2:07PM0.47m
2:52AM0.62m
2:57PM0.61m
4:04AM0.70m
4:19PM0.71m
5:55AM0.71m
6:18PM0.72m
7:26AM0.63m
7:40PM0.63m
8:18AM0.52m
8:29PM0.52m
8:55AM0.40m
9:05PM0.42m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:47
6:47
6:46
6:46
6:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
 mm
1
Temp °C
22
20
21
24
20
21
21
19
19
19
18
18
19
17
18
20
18
20
22
19
Feels °C
21
20
19
21
19
19
19
18
12
12
14
15
16
15
13
14
14
17
18
17
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Baggies Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Baggies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baggies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baggies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baggies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baggies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Baggies is 11 km (7 miles) from Umlazi. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Umlazi. Umlazi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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