Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get the wettie on and talk conditions. It’s a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple weeks. The first half of the week is super small and weak, then a big groundswell shows up for the end of the first week stretching into the start of the second, but the wind doesn’t always play nice.

Baggies is the spot to watch. Water temp is right about normal for this time of year. Monday the 6th starts off with a tiny 3ft S swell reading 10 seconds, but with a little cross breeze and ripples. The wave energy is pretty weak (334). Monday afternoon cleans up a touch with a cross-off breeze, but it’s still only around 3ft and weak. Tuesday the 7th is more of the same – a short period 4ft NE swell (7 seconds) with a light cross wind. Energy’s still very weak (313). Not a lot to work with.

Wednesday the 8th is probably kite territory – tiny surf (2ft to 3ft), short period, and barely any energy (83-149). Leave the paddleboard at home.

Thursday the 9th we get a long period S/SSW swell. Morning is a complete washout with a 1ft, 15-second swell and cross-on wind. But Thursday afternoon it bumps up to a clean 4ft at 13 seconds (591 energy), even with a little cross-on texture. Friday the 10th sees that S groundswell build to 6-7ft at 15 seconds – proper size, with energy shooting up to a solid 1734-1749. But the wind goes onshore or stays variable, so it’ll be fat and lumpy. For experienced surfers only at that size (over 5ft).

Saturday the 11th is a mess – leftover 5ft S swell with NE winds and chop. Poor.

Here’s the standout. Monday morning, July 13th, is the one. Baggies gets a solid 6ft S swell hitting at a very long 15-second period, and the forecast is glassy – just 3 mph SE wind, almost flat calm. This is excellent surfing for experienced folks. The combined energy is strong (1441). The direction is S, a bit off the preferred SE, but with that long period and glassy surface, you’ll get clean, lined-up walls off that point.

Monday afternoon the swell jumps to 8ft at 14 seconds (huge energy at 3462) but goes onshore – big and messy, for experts.

Through the rest of that week, we keep decent size but the wind stays mostly cross or cross-off from the NE, so expect bumpy conditions. Tuesday the 14th morning sees a 7ft S swell but with a 10-second period and a light cross breeze. Wednesday the 15th pushes to a solid 10ft S swell, but again with cross-off winds – clean, but big and chunky.

By Friday the 17th, a new SSW swell arrives, 8ft at 11 seconds (1724 energy) with a clean cross-off breeze. That’s a solid option if you want punchy waves without the full-on groundswell size.

After that, it’s rough. From Saturday 18th July all the way through Tuesday 21st July, it’s mostly small (3-5ft), short period windswell with onshore or strong cross winds. The last chance is Tuesday the 21st with a 8ft ENE windswell and a light onshore breeze – big and messy, only if you’re desperate.

The real standout: Monday morning, July 13th, at Baggies. Glassy, 6ft S groundswell (15 second period), strong energy (1441). That’s a rare treat. Crowds are possible there, but with the quality of the swell and the glass, it’s well worth the crowd. Just remember the long period groundswell can make Baggies a bit too straight at a beach – the point is your friend here.

- Rusty

Read more