Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Baggies has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I’ve got to be straight with you – the start of this run is a real slow burn. The first couple of days are pretty grim. Friday the 4th is a write-off with a strong, lumpy cross-onshore wind blowing at 22 mph and messy 10-foot waves. Saturday the 5th isn't much better, marginal at best with gentle cross-shore breezes and mid-period swell. The water temp is sitting at 71°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

We’ve got a gap of a few days of poor to marginal conditions until we get to the first real standout. That comes on Monday morning, September 7th. Now this is where it gets interesting. We’ve got a solid 8-foot groundswell rolling in from the south, with a very long period of 17 seconds. The combined wave energy is strong, reading 3940. What makes this special is the wind: a light NNE breeze blowing cross-offshore, meaning the conditions should be *clean*. The downside? That long-period south swell can be a bit too straight for a beach break, but if the winds play nice, it could serve up some wedgy ones. This one’s for the intermediates and above – 8 feet is pushing it for learners.

The rest of that week and the following week are a mixed bag with a lot of onshore wind and chop. There’s a few glimmers, like Thursday morning the 10th with 7 feet and light wind, but it’s onshore and the reports are marginal.

The other real standout to keep an eye on is Friday afternoon, September 18th. This is over a week out, so take it with a grain of salt, but the numbers are mouth-watering. We’re looking at an 12-foot south swell with a period of 14 seconds, and the forecast has a light onshore wind from the southeast combined with unknown conditions. The wave energy is very high at 4173. If that wind stays light, it could be a beast of a session. But at 12 feet, we’re talking big, powerful waves – expert territory only. If the wind swings or gets stronger, it could turn into a washing machine.

Honestly, if that mid-period chop doesn’t clear up, and those big south swells get trashed by the wind on the 19th, the setup at Baggies might be more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle folk. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so if you see a clean window, get in early.

Keep your eyes on that Monday the 7th and the Friday the 18th for the biggest and best potential. The rest is a lot of waiting and watching.

Rusty.

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