Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks at Baggies are going to test your patience. This is a point break that’s exposed to the elements, and for the most part, the wind and the swell just aren’t lining up to give us anything worth paddling out for. There’s no surf on offer right now, and honestly, the first real window doesn’t show up until that Saturday morning on the 22nd. Before that, we’re looking at a whole lot of lumpy, cross-onshore chop and weak, disorganized waves. It’s a rough start.

The first chance you get to wet a line is on Saturday the 22nd, in the morning. It’s not going to be a classic, but the wind swings around to a light offshore from the NNW, cleaning things up. We’ve got a small 3ft swell coming from the ENE, with a short period of 7 seconds. The energy is weak, reading 172 in the combined swell energy. It’ll be surfable, but you’ll be hunting for the fun ones. It’s very ordinary, but at least the surface will be glassy. Don’t expect much, and you won’t be disappointed.

That afternoon, the wind swings back onshore and picks up to 35 km/h, turning the place into a lumpy mess again. We get a couple of days of that cross-shore junk before things get interesting – and by interesting, I mean big and angry. On Sunday the 23rd, the swell jumps to a solid 13ft from the SSW with a 13-second period. The combined energy is a massive 7327, which is strong to very strong. But the wind is cross-onshore at 25 km/h, so it’s going to be a washing machine out there. This is serious, powerful surf, and it’s way over the heads of anyone but the most experienced crew. Even then, it’s going to be a battle. The afternoon backs off a bit to 8ft but it’s still cross-onshore and messy.

After that big pulse, we go back to the same old story: smaller swells, cross-shore winds, and average conditions. Monday the 24th offers a 5ft south swell with a 12-second period, but the NE cross-wind keeps it from being clean. It’s marginal at best. The rest of that week just blends into a series of poor surf forecasts. Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th are both write-offs with fresh cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. Thursday the 27th is slightly better with a 4ft SSE swell, but it’s still cross-shore and not worth a special trip.

Now, here’s the one bright spot in the whole fortnight. On Friday the 28th, we finally get a bit of a window. The wind drops right out – a light breeze around 10 km/h – and the surf cleans up. We’re looking at a 4ft swell from the south with a nice 13-second period. The combined energy is a moderate 577. It’s not huge, but with clean, glassy conditions, this is your best chance for a proper surf. The swell direction from the south is a bit off for this spot, but the lack of wind will make it feel better than it looks on paper. Get on it early if you can.

That afternoon stays similar with a 3ft south swell and the same light winds. It’s a solid but not spectacular day. Saturday the 29th brings a bit more size, 7ft from the ENE, but it’s a short period (8 seconds) and the winds go cross-shore again, so don’t get too excited. The rest of that weekend and into the start of September is more of the same: onshore winds, short-period swells, and poor to marginal conditions. There’s a pulse of 6ft on Tuesday the 1st but it’s junky.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re a beginner, you’re better off sitting this one out. The big swell on the 23rd is for experts only. The standout day for everyone else is Friday the 28th – it’s clean, it’s not huge, and it’s your best bet. It’s been a rough run, but a couple of those days have potential. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it. This is Rusty, signing off.

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