Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with the rundown on Baggies for the next couple of weeks using the old imperial system. Let’s break it down.

We kick off on Thursday, July 23rd, and it’s pretty so-so. Water temp is about 73°F, a touch warmer than average for the season. Swell is small, about 3 ft from the SSW, with a combined swell energy of (561). Wind is cross-on from the south at 9 mph, making it a little choppy. You can paddle out, but it’s not special.

Friday the 24th is a bust for surfing. Swell jumps to 10 ft in the morning, dropping to 8 ft in the afternoon from the south, but the wind is howling from the SSW at 28-30 mph, strong cross-onshore and messy. The combined energy is huge (1678 and 1124). That’s kite-surfing territory. Too blown out.

Saturday the 25th settles a bit. Swell drops to 6 ft from the SSE, with light cross-on breezes from the S and ESE at just 6 mph and combined energy around 681-695. It’s marginal but the light wind means only small ripples. Could snag a few, but keep expectations low.

Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th are small and weak. Swell under 5 ft, wind goes cross and cross-off, but the period is short (6-9 seconds) and energy is low (109-394). Monday afternoon cleans up with a light NNE breeze, but with only 2 ft on offer, it’s really tiny. Maybe a longboard session.

Now, from Tuesday the 28th through Thursday the 30th, we see another building swell, hitting 7 ft and up to 8 ft on the 29th from the SSE and SE. But the wind is cross-on and often strong (12-28 mph), with combined energies reaching 1560 on Wednesday morning. It’s poor – lumpy, choppy, messy. That big size (over 8 ft) is for experts only, and the onshore wind ruins the quality.

The best window I can see is Sunday, August 2nd, and into Monday the 3rd. On the 2nd, we get a nice 4 ft swell from the SE with a 10-second period, and the wind goes cross-off from the north at 9 mph. Clean conditions (287 combined energy). That’s the standout. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and the point break at Baggies will handle that SE direction well. Crowds can be there sometimes, so expect a few others.

After that, it drops off. The 3rd and 4th have small, clean mornings (3 ft to 3 ft), but energy is low (194-364). By the 5th and 6th, wind picks up and the swell direction shifts, making it cross-shore and lumpy. The 7th of August brings another pulse of 7 ft from the SSE with moderate energy (1283) and a cross breeze, but it’s marginal – too much size and cross-shore chop to be really good.

So, aim for the morning of Sunday, August 2nd. That’s your cleanest, most fun option in this 16-day stretch. The rest is wind-affected or flat. Typical late July stuff.

– Rusty

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