Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

So, we're looking at a bit of a mixed bag over the next 16 days at Baggies, a point break that's exposed to the swell. The water's running at about 73°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not even need a full spring suit for the first session.

The first real action worth paddling out for is on Sunday, July 19th. We've got a solid 5.6ft swell rolling in from the SSE, with a 12-second period, packing moderate wave energy (950). The wind is a light cross-onshore in the morning, which will keep things a bit bumpy, but it's not a deal-breaker. The afternoon cleans up slightly with an ENE breeze, but it goes more cross-shore. It's not pristine, but it's the most rideable we've got to start the period.

The swell sticks around through Monday, July 20th, hitting 6.2ft from the SE, but the wind turns on us. A strong SSW cross-onshore in the morning is going to chop it up real bad. The afternoon looks better with a clean offshore wind from the SE, though the conditions are still described as marginal. The energy is moderate (around 1145-1230).

Then we hit a flat spell. From Tuesday, July 21st, right through to the end of the month, the swell drops off and the wind is mostly cross or cross-shore. We get a few knee-high days with long-period leftovers, but the surf quality is poor. The best of a bad lot is probably Tuesday morning, July 21st, with a 4.6ft SSE swell and a clean cross-offshore wind from the NE, but the energy is weak (589). It's a hard sell.

The standout window, and I mean the real standout, is Sunday, August 2nd. The swell jumps to a solid 9.8ft from the SSW in the morning, building to 11.5ft from the S in the afternoon. This is big, powerful surf with strong wave energy (1381-1684). The wind is offshore out of the NE in the afternoon, keeping it clean. This is expert territory for sure, and the point break setup will handle that long-period groundswell well. It's the best on offer, but it's a long way out, so keep an eye on the charts.

The swell then drops a bit on Monday, August 3rd, but it's still sizeable at 7.9-9.8ft. The wind, however, is a problem. A strong SSW wind picks up, and by the afternoon, a 25 mph SW wind is going to make a mess of it. This is a classic case of the conditions being too rough for a good paddle session; at that point, it's looking more interesting for the kite surfers than us.

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