Surf Forecasts:
Baggies surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, S swell with 3,460 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baggies this week:
The surf forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Baggies in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. This outlook is a bit of a mixed bag for Baggies. We’ve got some swell on the horizon, but the wind is gonna be the main character for a lot of this stretch. Hang tight, there’s a window.
First up, the pattern shows a lot of days with messy cross-shore or cross-onshore winds, which is gonna put a chop on most of the waves. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.
We start with Thursday the 10th. There’s some 7ft swell from the ENE, but a stiff 12 mph cross-shore NE wind is making it messy. The combined energy is moderate (933), but it’s a no-go. The rest of this week and into the weekend is pretty flat with poor conditions.
Now, mark your calendar. The standout in this whole outlook is Tuesday the 15th. Tuesday afternoon at Baggies should be a treat. The wind drops off to near nothing, going glassy. That’s a major positive. You’re looking at a clean 6ft swell from the east, with a moderate combined energy of 506. The period is 9 seconds, so a bit of a short period swell, but with that glassy surface, it’s going to be fun. The water will be clean and inviting. This is the best on offer, no question. It’s a point break, so it should handle that swell nicely. Crowds are possible, so get out there early.
The rest of the second week is dominated by stronger winds and bigger, messier swells. Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th see some serious size, with 10ft and 12ft ENE swells, but the wind is a strong cross-shore, making it a real handful. The combined energy on the 25th hits 2689, which is strong, but this is for experts only. The short period (8 seconds) and lumpy wind mean it’s only going to be interesting for the most experienced.
So, to sum it up: if you can get out Tuesday the 15th afternoon, do it. It’s the only real window of quality. The rest of the 16 days is a lot of waiting and watching the chop.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Thu night, calm by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 19°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NE on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 9 | S 18 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 791 | 527 | 455 | 359 | 194 | 180 | 160 | 127 | 119 | 138 | 162 | 213 | 285 | 613 | 2139 | 1704 | 541 | 484 | 440 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 3:10AM1.70m | 3:30PM1.87m | 3:42AM1.78m | 4:01PM1.94m | 4:12AM1.81m | 4:30PM1.95m | 4:41AM1.80m | 4:57PM1.90m | 5:07AM1.75m | 5:23PM1.81m | 5:33AM1.65m | 5:48PM1.68m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:06PM0.16m | 9:15AM0.05m | 9:39PM0.06m | 9:46AM-0.03m | 10:09PM0.01m | 10:15AM-0.06m | 10:37PM0.01m | 10:43AM-0.04m | 11:04PM0.05m | 11:10AM0.03m | 11:30PM0.13m | 11:36AM0.14m | 11:55PM0.24m | ||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | 5:45 | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 |
Feels °C | 16 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 10 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 14 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 515 | 370 | 27 | 359 | 194 | 180 | 160 | 127 | 119 | 116 | 83 | 32 | 55 | 161 | 70 | 1203 | 541 | 484 | 440 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 14 | SSE 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 6 | SSE 5 | E 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 9 | SSW 13 | S 3 | S 11 | S 11 |
| kJ | 62 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 21 | 22 | 99 | 138 | 106 | 61 | 203 | 73 | 6 | 33 | 2 | 22 | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | S 20 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SSW 14 | S 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 18 | SSW 16 | SSE 7 | S 9 | — | — | SSW 12 | — | S 16 |
| kJ | 3 | 15 | 6 | 30 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 14 | 25 | 162 | 103 | 11 | 7 | — | — | 28 | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | — | SSW 6 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | ENE 5 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSW 4 | — | — |
| kJ | 791 | 527 | 455 | — | 126 | 78 | — | — | — | — | 51 | 213 | 285 | 613 | 2139 | 1704 | 8 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 277 | 214 | 29 | 208 | 236 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 880 | 880 | 667 | 685 | 277 | 56 | 236 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baggies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baggies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baggies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baggies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baggies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baggies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baggies is 11 km (7 miles) from Umlazi. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Umlazi. Umlazi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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