Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up at Baggies for the next couple of weeks.

Baggies is a point break that’s pretty consistent, exposed to swell, and it likes swell from the SE. The water is sitting at 71°, which is just about average for this time of year, so no need to go digging for a thicker suit.

The surf kicks off slow. Monday the 13th isn’t offering much to get excited about – small, weak, and cross-shore winds. Tuesday the 14th is where things start to look up. The morning is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, and the swell bumps up to 7ft from the ESE (9 seconds). The energy is ramping up (795) and the waves should be decent. It’s a standout for the first week, but at that size, it’s a bit much for beginners. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

The real standout of the whole forecast lands on Saturday the 18th. The morning is glassy, with a solid 5ft swell from the S, but check the period – 15 seconds, long period groundswell, and the energy is massive (1303). That’s a powerful, clean, long-period swell wrapping into the point. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The only thing is that long period might make it break a bit straight on a beach, but Baggies is a point, so it should handle that beautifully. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-chop.

Sunday the 19th still has some clean morning waves, 5ft from the S at 12 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze (871 energy). It’s very good, but not the standout of Saturday.

After that, the surf drops off. There’s a gap of a few days with only marginal or poor conditions. The wind gets messy, the swell fades. Wednesday the 22nd shows a morning glass-off with a 3ft, 16-second SSW swell – that’s a very long period, but it’s small. Clean lines, but you’ll be waiting for the sets. The energy is still moderate (770).

From the 23rd onward, it’s pretty much a write-off for the rest of the 16 days. The wind is either onshore or too strong, and the swell gets tiny. The energy drops into the low hundreds by the 26th, and the wind is just a mess. Not worth paddling out for.

Bottom line: The best bet is the morning of Saturday the 18th, with Tuesday the 14th morning as a solid backup. Sunday the 19th morning is also worth a look. After that, give it a rest.

Rusty.

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