Baggies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Howdy, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Baggies. It’s a point break that breaks fairly consistently and faces the SE for swell. Water temp is 72°, right around normal for this time of year, so nothing weird.

Right now it’s flat and messy. Wednesday morning has a weak 1ft south-east swell, 9-second period, light cross breeze, combined energy only 70. Not worth the walk. Wednesday afternoon is cleaner but still tiny. Wednesday and Thursday morning are a total blank. Thursday afternoon bumps to 5ft south swell at 14 seconds, combined energy 1006, but it’s onshore and marginal. Still not a goer.

Friday morning jumps to 7ft south swell, long 15-second period, combined energy 2107 – strong. But the wind is light cross-onshore, so a bit bumpy. Afternoon stays big but choppier. Not clean.

Now Saturday morning 11th July – that’s your first standout. 5ft south swell at 13 seconds, combined energy 874, and the wind is glassy. Dead calm. That’s a huge plus. Expect very good surf conditions – clean, lined-up south swell on a point break. Crowds are possible, so get down early. Saturday afternoon drops a bit and turns onshore, so stick to the morning.

Sunday is smaller, 4ft and 3ft through the day, but Sunday afternoon goes glassy again with a 12-second period. It’ll be clean and fun, combined energy around 345 – nothing powerful but still a nice little session.

Monday morning has 3ft south swell at 14 seconds, cross-off wind, clean but moderate energy at 553. Rideable. Monday afternoon sees 5ft east swell at a short 8 seconds, cross wind, poor quality. Skip it.

Tuesday and Wednesday of the second week are poor – onshore junk, short period, small. Not worth your time.

Thursday 16th July morning is a no-go; afternoon brings 6ft south swell at only 7 seconds – short-period windswell, onshore, messy. Bad.

Friday 17th July has 5ft to 8ft south swell, moderate to strong energy, but cross-on wind and rain. The afternoon is bigger but still bumpy.

Saturday 18th July morning is your second highlight. 7ft south swell at 13 seconds, combined energy 1841, cross-off wind from the NNE. Clean and powerful – excellent for experienced surfers. This one has push and shape, but it’s big, so only for the crew who can handle it. Crowds are possible. The afternoon gets windy, so make the most of the early.

Sunday 19th and Monday 20th are smaller and cleaner but nothing special. Tuesday 21st is a write-off with thunderstorms and onshore slop.

Wednesday 22nd July morning is glassy with 4ft from the east-northeast at 8 seconds – short period, small, combined energy 356. Clean but weak. The afternoon brings a weird 2ft south swell at 19 seconds – very long period groundswell. On a point break that could glass up into some nice lines, but the cross wind will mess it up.

Thursday 23rd July is small and marginal.

So bottom line: the best two windows are Saturday 11th July morning – glassy, 5ft south swell, clean as a whistle – and Saturday 18th July morning – 7ft south swell, cross-off wind, powerful and clean for experienced surfers. The week in between is mostly average to poor, but those two mornings are money.

Catch you on the sand,
Rusty

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