Surf Forecasts:
Baggies surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 18 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, SE swell with 1,755 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 19 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baggies this week:
The surf forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Baggies in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (SAST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Fri 18th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baggies over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.
We’ve got Baggies as the only spot showing for the whole 16 days, and it’s not looking great for most of it. The first half of the week is a write-off – strong onshore winds and junky surf. Don’t bother until Saturday the 19th.
The real winner is Saturday morning, September 19th. Baggies is a point break, good for intermediates, and fairly consistent. Water temp is 70°, about normal for the time of year. Saturday morning you’ve got a 8ft swell from the ESE, combined energy is strong at 1006, and the wind is glassy – dead calm. That’s clean, lined-up surf, excellent for experienced surfers. Crowds are possible, so plan ahead.
Sunday the 20th still looks clean with a 6ft ESE swell and a light cross-offshore wind, but the energy drops to 458, so it’s smaller and weaker. Still a good backup. Monday afternoon the 21st is tiny and glassy at 3ft from the ESE – better for a log if you’re keen.
From Tuesday the 22nd onward, it’s mostly poor. Small waves, onshore winds, and choppy conditions. There’s a blink on Friday afternoon the 25th with a 4ft long period SSW swell at 16 seconds, but it’s cross-onshore and messy, so not really worth chasing.
If you want the best wave in this whole window, Saturday the 19th is your day. The rest is mostly a flat spell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 82mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 25°C on Wed morning, min 16°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, light winds from the SW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | E 6 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 666 | 609 | 394 | 378 | 522 | 824 | 967 | 1521 | 1153 | 937 | 734 | 573 | 436 | 509 | 364 | 251 | 154 | 173 | 101 | 151 | 321 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:12PM1.53m | 6:22AM1.39m | 6:35PM1.37m | 6:47AM1.24m | 7:01PM1.20m | 7:19AM1.08m | 7:46PM1.04m | 11:54AM0.96m | 00:37AM1.04m | 1:26PM1.14m | 1:30AM1.21m | 1:55PM1.32m | 2:01AM1.37m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:01PM0.28m | 00:20AM0.37m | 12:26PM0.43m | 00:47AM0.52m | 12:53PM0.60m | 1:21AM0.68m | 1:30PM0.77m | 3:05AM0.83m | 6:11PM0.86m | 7:05AM0.72m | 7:29PM0.70m | 7:41AM0.55m | 7:59PM0.53m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | | |  | |  | | |  | | | |  | |  | |
 | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — |
 | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | 4 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 23 | 23 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | S 7 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | ENE 9 | E 8 |
| kJ | 666 | 609 | 394 | 172 | 340 | 463 | 407 | 1521 | 1153 | 937 | 734 | 573 | 436 | 39 | 364 | 251 | 154 | 173 | 101 | 28 | 253 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSW 16 | — | E 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | S 10 | ENE 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | ENE 9 | S 8 | ENE 9 | SSE 7 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 8 | 26 | — | 340 | 25 | 37 | 30 | — | 22 | 22 | 21 | 7 | 16 | 61 | 84 | 33 | 59 | 11 | 59 | 4 | 80 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | S 9 | SSW 11 | S 10 | E 9 | SSW 9 | S 17 | S 6 | S 16 | SSE 6 |
| kJ | 4 | — | — | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 47 | 10 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 4 | S 7 | SSW 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | N 7 | E 9 | NE 6 | SW 2 | S 3 | — | ENE 3 | E 6 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | — | 31 | 250 | 378 | 522 | 824 | 967 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 509 | 188 | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | 151 | 321 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 27 | 185 | 403 | 427 | 300 | 809 | 239 | 809 | 7 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 685 | 290 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in South Africa | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baggies Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baggies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baggies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baggies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baggies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baggies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baggies is 11 km (7 miles) from Umlazi. If you plan a holiday in Durban/KwaZulu-Natal South Coast, look for hotels and other accommodation in Umlazi. Umlazi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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