Surf Forecasts:
Church surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 487 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Church this week:
The surf forecast for Church over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Church in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Church over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's be real with you. This forecast is a tough one. The only spot that's even on the radar for the next 16 days is Church, and I gotta say, looking at the whole run, there's not a whole lot to get excited about. The water temp is sitting at a balmy 76°, which is a whole 9° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a big anomaly, so you'll be comfortable in boardies or a spring suit for sure.
The first week and a half is pretty much a write-off. From Sunday the 2nd all the way through to Saturday the 8th, the swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 3ft, and the energy readings are weak (between 121 and 447). The wave comment is consistently "poor surf conditions," and honestly, a 2ft south-west swell with a 14-second period and a light onshore breeze just isn't worth paddling out for. You'll be bobbing around more than surfing.
The pattern shifts a little around Sunday the 9th, but it's still marginal. The swell picks up slightly to 3ft from the SSW, with a 15-second period and moderate energy (358). The wind is light and onshore, and the call is "marginal surf forecast." It's not good, but it's the first sign of life.
Now, the real standout, if you can call it that, is looking like Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. The swell is starting to build. On Friday afternoon, we're looking at a 4ft SW swell with a 17-second period – that's a proper long-period groundswell. The energy jumps to 756 (moderate), which is the highest we've seen. The wind is light and onshore, keeping it clean-ish. This is still a "marginal" call, but it's the best of a bad bunch.
Saturday the 15th holds similar conditions, with 4ft SW swell and a 16-second period, energy around 642. The wind is light, but it's a cross-onshore, which might put a little bump on the face. The energy is moderate, but it's still just a "marginal" prospect.
Honestly, Church is a beach and point set-up that's very consistent, but for this whole period, it's just not delivering. The swell is either too small, too weak, or the conditions are just off. The crowds are "always" there at Church, and with the lack of quality, you'll be fighting for nothing. For the advanced crew, the 4ft stuff on the 14th and 15th might be the only window, but it's a long shot. For the rest of us, it's a flat spell. The second week is a bit of a blur of small, weak, and marginal conditions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon afternoon, min 22°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 21°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 91 | 88 | 83 | 80 | 91 | 91 | 85 | 107 | 104 | 162 | 127 | 160 | 113 | 114 | 126 | 329 | 243 | 348 | 344 | 295 | 481 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:14PM1.39m | 11:46PM1.37m | 12:48PM1.44m | 00:36AM1.16m | 1:29PM1.48m | 1:54AM0.95m | 2:22PM1.52m | 4:05AM0.83m | 3:33PM1.57m | 6:25AM0.88m | 4:49PM1.67m | 7:33AM1.00m | 5:58PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:05PM0.53m | 6:19AM0.23m | 7:05PM0.52m | 6:45AM0.38m | 8:25PM0.49m | 7:15AM0.55m | 10:07PM0.40m | 7:58AM0.70m | 11:44PM0.22m | 9:36AM0.82m | 00:51AM0.02m | 11:25AM0.83m | 1:42AM-0.16m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 22 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | S 12 | SW 13 | W 6 | SW 13 | W 5 | W 6 | SW 15 | W 5 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 20 | 75 | 83 | 18 | 83 | 14 | 15 | 107 | 11 | 162 | 127 | 160 | 113 | 114 | 84 | 329 | 111 | 348 | 344 | 295 | 481 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | W 6 | W 7 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 15 | W 5 | SW 12 | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 19 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 75 | 18 | 15 | 80 | 91 | 54 | 85 | 36 | 104 | 8 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 79 | 126 | 114 | 243 | 75 | 69 | 69 | 72 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | S 10 | SW 12 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 20 | S 12 | W 13 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 91 | 88 | 47 | 23 | 23 | 91 | 58 | 8 | 39 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | 14 | — | — | 13 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 85 | 85 | 0 | 85 | 85 | 16 | 85 | 85 | 0 | 85 | 85 | 0 | 85 | 85 | 19 | 85 | 85 | 84 | 84 | 85 | 63 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Orange County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Church surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Church Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Church provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Church can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Church surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Church) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Church may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Church is 7 km (4 miles) from San Clemente. If you plan a vacation in Orange County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Clemente. San Clemente has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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