Surf Forecasts:
Church surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 457 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Church this week:
The surf forecast for Church over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Church in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Church over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on offer at Church for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta level with you – this ain’t a firing stretch. The first several days are flat and messy. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly on it or cross-on, and the quality is poor. You’ll be waiting a while for anything worthwhile.
Saturday morning, 11 July, we’ve got a weak 3ft SSW swell rolling in with a 15-second period, but it’s cross-on with a light breeze and the combined energy is weak (490). Conditions are poor. That afternoon the wind goes glassy for a moment on a 3ft SSW swell, energy still low (394) – it’s clean but too small to really surf.
Sunday and Monday stay poor: onshore wind, waves around 2ft to 3ft, marginal at best. Tuesday drops to 1ft. Flat spell, no doubt.
Then we get a pulse around Saturday 18 July. Swell lifts to 3ft from the SW, energy jumps to 791 – moderate now. The period is a nice long 18 seconds, so there’s proper groundswell in the water. But the wind is on it, WSW at 10 km/h. Still listed as marginal. Sunday 19 July brings a bigger 4ft S swell, period 13 seconds, energy 840. Wind stays onshore.
Here’s the standout. If you’ve got patience, your best window is Saturday 18 July afternoon. We get a 3ft SSE swell, long 17-second period, and energy cranks to 875 – moderate on the high side. Wind is WSW at 10 km/h, onshore. For Church, a beach and point setup, that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely. Better shape and punch, but not for beginners. Crowds are always a factor here, so expect company.
After that, the energy drops. Monday 20 July has 3ft SSW, 16-second period, energy 444 – moderate but onshore. Tuesday 21 July offers 3ft SSW, 16 seconds, energy 557. Still cross-on. The rest of the run into 26 July is small again, under 3ft, wind stays unfriendly.
Water temp is 68°F with a 2° anomaly – a touch warmer than usual for this time of year.
So the long and short of it: a quiet start, then a modest bump around 18-19 July with that long-period groundswell. Not a classic, but Saturday 18 July afternoon is your best shot. After that, it fades. Keep an eye on it – forecasts can shift.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 18°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed morning, min 22°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 8 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 417 | 358 | 236 | 316 | 316 | 277 | 312 | 187 | 213 | 133 | 111 | 194 | 107 | 96 | 161 | 122 | 122 | 125 | 181 | 83 | 136 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:12AM1.02m | 7:01PM1.95m | 9:01AM1.10m | 7:53PM2.06m | 9:44AM1.17m | 8:43PM2.11m | 10:25AM1.23m | 9:32PM2.10m | 11:06AM1.29m | 10:19PM2.02m | 11:47AM1.34m | 11:06PM1.86m | 12:29PM1.38m | 11:54PM1.64m | |||||||
Low Tide | 12:32PM0.69m | 2:38AM-0.33m | 1:33PM0.66m | 3:23AM-0.44m | 2:28PM0.60m | 4:07AM-0.47m | 3:20PM0.54m | 4:49AM-0.44m | 4:12PM0.50m | 5:29AM-0.35m | 5:04PM0.49m | 6:07AM-0.21m | 5:59PM0.50m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 |
Feels °C | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 12 | SSW 13 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 7 | W 7 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 417 | 358 | 236 | 316 | 316 | 277 | 312 | 187 | 213 | 133 | 77 | 133 | 44 | 47 | 67 | 113 | 72 | 51 | 50 | 34 | 136 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | WSW 6 | S 17 | S 15 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SW 21 | SSW 13 | SW 19 | S 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | W 6 |
| kJ | 7 | 6 | 153 | 68 | 113 | 62 | 18 | 120 | 133 | 76 | 111 | 194 | 67 | 75 | 161 | 122 | 122 | 107 | 181 | 74 | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | S 19 | W 5 | W 6 | SW 21 | S 16 | SW 18 | SW 19 | S 12 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | W 4 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 66 | 30 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 46 | 12 | 59 | 25 | 58 | 65 | 3 | 107 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 28 | 125 | 74 | 83 | 49 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | W 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 63 | 84 | 0 | 84 | 85 | 12 | 85 | 85 | 0 | 85 | 85 | 0 | 75 | 85 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 27 | 84 | 84 | 63 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Orange County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Church Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Church provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Church can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Church surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Church) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Church may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Church is 7 km (4 miles) from San Clemente. If you plan a vacation in Orange County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Clemente. San Clemente has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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