Church Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up at Church.

Right off the bat, the next week is a bit of a struggle. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing special, with small, weak swell and cross-onshore winds keeping things messy. The combined energy is low, sitting in the 200-600 range, which tells you it’s pretty anemic. Water temp is sitting around 68°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th offer up some 3ft swell from the SSW, but with a 16-second period, it’s a long-period groundswell. At Church, which is a beach and point, that kind of long period can make it break a little too straight on the beach, but the point might handle it better. Problem is, the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and not worth getting excited over. The weekend of the 11th and 12th drops even smaller, with 3ft swell and still those same cross-onshore winds. By the 13th and 14th, we’re down to 2ft and weaker energy, with the wind swinging more offshore at times, but the swell is just too small.

There is a brief window on Wednesday the 15th afternoon where the wind goes glassy, with a 1ft SSW groundswell. The combined energy is only 185, so it’s tiny, but those super clean, glassy conditions are rare. If you’ve got a longboard and low expectations, it might be a fun, peaceful session.

Now, looking ahead to the second week, things get a bit more interesting, but remember, this is further out and less certain. On Saturday the 19th, we start seeing a proper pulse. The morning brings 4ft from the south with a 19-second period and combined energy jumping to 1658. By the afternoon, it’s 6ft from the south with 2412 energy. That’s a lot of grunt. The wind is cross-onshore, so it won’t be perfect, but the size and power are building. Sunday the 20th looks even bigger, with 7ft from the south early and holding through the afternoon. That's getting into expert territory at that size. The wind is offshore, which is a major positive, so it could be clean, but those long period swells can be tricky on the beach. The point might handle it better.

Honestly, if you’re picking one standout, it’s Sunday July 20th. That 7ft S swell (SSW late) with light offshore wind gives you the best combination of size and clean conditions. It’s a big one, so it’s for experienced surfers only, but it has potential. Also, given that Church can get crowded, with the word “always” mentioned, expect company out there.

Before that, Wednesday the 15th is your only real chance for a glassy, small-wave session in the first week, but it's tiny.

So, hang in there through a slow first week, and keep an eye on that Sunday the 20th. It’s a long way off, but it’s got the most promise.

Rusty.

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