
Surf Forecasts:
Church surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 20s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 21s period, SW swell with 898 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Church this week:
The surf forecast for Church over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Church in the next 16 days are 1.0m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 20s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Church over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what the next couple of weeks look like for Church.
This is a tricky forecast, no doubt about it. While there’s a steady flow of solid, long-period groundswell from the Southwest in the mix, the wind just keeps getting in the way. For a spot exposed to a SW swell, having a light onshore or cross-onshore breeze most of the time means those long 18-second lines are gonna be bumpy. Not a total write-off, but you’ll have to pick your moments.
Right out of the gate, the water temp is sitting at a very unusual 71°, a good 4° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a nice little bonus.
Looking ahead, the best shot at something decent isn’t for a while. The standout window starts on Thursday, July 31st, heading into Friday, August 1st. The swell is building and the energy is there for a proper session. On Thursday morning we’ve got a 4ft S swell at 15 seconds, blowing light offshore from the SW, with wave energy cranking at 1243 (strong). That’s the call. Friday morning cleans up even more with a 6ft S swell, glassy conditions with a whisper of a WSW breeze, and combined energy of 1329 (very strong). That’s the best period of the whole run. Just keep in mind, this is long-period swell, so at a beach and point setup it can run a little straight on the beach sections, but the point itself should handle it beautifully.
Crowds at Church are always a factor, so get out there early or you’ll be fighting for waves.
The forecast in the later days is less certain, but that stretch from July 31st to August 2nd looks like it has the best shot for clean, punchy surf. After that, swell drops off fast into the 4ft range and the magic fades.
Stay sharp, and don’t sleep on that last week of July.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu afternoon, min 21°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SW 24 | S 13 | SW 21 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
379 | 127 | 330 | 424 | 488 | 409 | 367 | 330 | 519 | 474 | 559 | 437 | 394 | 316 | 236 | 204 | 222 | 563 | 475 | 664 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 00:44AM1.39m | 1:58PM1.43m | 1:45AM1.14m | 2:48PM1.44m | 3:09AM0.93m | 3:42PM1.45m | 5:11AM0.84m | 4:40PM1.47m | 7:14AM0.88m | 5:36PM1.51m | 8:16AM0.96m | 6:26PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:01PM0.53m | 7:19AM0.16m | 8:13PM0.55m | 7:54AM0.37m | 9:43PM0.52m | 8:31AM0.55m | 11:24PM0.42m | 9:18AM0.71m | 00:41AM0.28m | 10:30AM0.81m | 1:32AM0.15m | 11:48AM0.85m | 2:10AM0.05m | |||||||
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | |
7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:55 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | S 11 | SW 17 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | W 6 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 |
379 | 81 | 330 | 336 | 488 | 235 | 184 | 330 | 519 | 474 | 559 | 437 | 394 | 316 | 236 | 204 | 41 | 389 | 475 | 432 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SW 16 | S 13 | SW 17 | W 5 | SSW 15 | SW 16 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | W 5 | W 6 | SW 8 | W 6 | W 7 | S 12 | S 13 | SW 24 | W 6 | SW 21 |
67 | 127 | 163 | 424 | 8 | 409 | 367 | 96 | 59 | 57 | 12 | 28 | 9 | 32 | 56 | 69 | 222 | 563 | 25 | 664 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | S 13 | S 11 | W 6 | WNW 15 | W 5 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 5 | S 12 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 13 | S 12 | SW 26 | SW 13 | W 6 | SSW 24 | W 5 |
10 | 56 | 108 | 10 | 21 | 8 | 35 | 113 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 81 | 106 | 171 | 84 | 39 | 368 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | W 4 | — | W 5 | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 6 | — | 8 | — | — | 25 | — | — | 25 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 85 | 2 | 85 | 85 | 0 | 85 | 85 | 19 | 85 | 85 | 2 | 84 | 85 | 2 | 85 | 163 | 23 | 84 | 63 | 63 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Orange County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Church Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Church provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Church can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Church surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Church) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Church may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Church is 7 km (4 miles) from San Clemente. If you plan a vacation in Orange County, look for hotels and other accommodation in San Clemente. San Clemente has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










