Cape Mendocino Surf Break

Lat Long: 40.42° N 124.40° W

Issued: 10 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Mendocino sea temperature is
9.6° C

3.6°C colder than average for this time of year

Cape Mendocino surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Mendocino surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SSW swell with 717 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Mendocino this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Mendocino in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 8th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Mendocino over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here, talkin’ Cape Mendocino. Gotta be straight with you – most of this 16-day outlook is a tough slog. Strong, side winds and sloppy, short-period windswell are gonna keep things ugly. The water temp is only 49°, which is a brutal 7° colder than normal for the season – that’s a serious anomaly, so you’ll want to be wrapped up like a seal if you even think about getting wet.

The first real chance of something decent ain’t until Thursday, July 16th. Before that, it’s all poor or marginal reports. The wind is blasting from the NNW or N at 15 to 19 mph, making a mess of the surface. Sure, there’s a 7ft NW swell on Monday the 6th, but with a period of just 8 seconds and that strong cross-wind, it’s just lumpy junk – moderate energy (1266) but terrible shape. Kite surfers might get a kick out of it, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a pass.

The one standout in the whole forecast is Thursday afternoon, July 16th. The wind goes glassy – light offshore from the NW at just 3 mph. The swell is only 3ft from the WNW, but that period is 18 seconds – proper long-period groundswell. Combined energy is 743, solid moderate. Cape Mendocino is exposed to the SW, so a WNW groundswell ain’t bang on the ideal direction, but with those glassy conditions, the surf will be clean and lined up. This is the session to circle on the calendar. It’s the only real window of clean, rideable waves in the whole 16 days, so if you’re gonna go, that’s your shot.

Friday the 17th still has some 4ft WNW swell (17 seconds) but the wind goes light cross-onshore, so it won’t be as crisp. After that, it fades into smaller, weaker, and wind-affected surf again. A long quiet patch, but that’s the way it goes sometimes.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
NW
7
0.6
SSW
14
1.6
NW
8
1.5
NW
8
0.8
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
18
1.9
NW
9
0.8
SSW
16
1.6
NW
11
0.8
SSW
20
0.9
SSW
19
1
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
1.1
SSW
17
1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
301
149
322
311
399
207
560
330
553
485
643
651
491
717
539
545
441
372
377
367
275
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
30
N
20
NNW
15
NNW
20
NNW
20
N
20
NNW
25
NNW
20
N
20
NNW
25
N
25
NNE
30
N
30
N
25
N
30
NNW
30
N
25
NNW
30
NNW
30
N
25
N
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
3:49PM1.47m
2:35AM1.44m
4:21PM1.54m
3:33AM1.30m
4:54PM1.62m
4:47AM1.15m
5:32PM1.70m
6:21AM1.05m
6:14PM1.80m
8:06AM1.05m
7:02PM1.89m
9:33AM1.14m
7:54PM1.98m
Low Tide
8:59AM-0.06m
9:27PM0.85m
9:35AM0.06m
10:28PM0.74m
10:14AM0.21m
11:35PM0.58m
10:58AM0.39m
00:42AM0.38m
11:48AM0.58m
1:46AM0.16m
12:47PM0.74m
2:45AM-0.05m
1:51PM0.86m
3:40AM-0.25m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:51
8:51
8:50
8:50
8:50
8:49
8:49
 mm
Temp °C
15
16
14
14
14
13
14
15
13
14
15
13
14
15
13
14
16
13
15
16
13
Feels °C
11
11
10
11
11
9
11
12
10
10
11
9
9
10
9
9
11
9
10
11
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
13
0.6
SSW
14
1.6
NW
8
1.6
NNW
8
0.8
SSW
18
2.1
NNW
8
0.8
WNW
12
0.8
SSW
16
1.6
NW
11
0.8
WNW
11
0.9
SSW
19
1
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
1.1
SSW
17
1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
Energy kJ
88
138
322
295
399
616
177
330
553
146
643
651
491
717
539
545
441
372
377
367
275
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WNW
13
0.4
WNW
13
0.7
SSW
14
1.5
NW
8
0.5
WNW
13
0.8
WNW
12
0.8
NNW
8
0.8
WNW
12
0.7
SSW
20
0.8
SSW
20
0.4
SSW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.9
NW
9
0.4
S
19
0.5
S
18
0.1
S
22
Energy kJ
69
66
186
311
99
184
90
171
336
485
81
220
171
123
117
160
9
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
20
0.6
WNW
12
0.6
SSW
14
0.3
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
17
0.5
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.2
S
8
0.2
S
21
0.2
S
11
0.3
S
20
0.1
S
11
Energy kJ
78
149
99
136
33
207
258
260
261
258
5
35
9
68
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
NW
7
1.9
NW
7
1.5
N
8
2.2
NW
8
1.9
NW
9
1.9
NW
8
0.7
N
7
1.4
NW
7
1.4
NW
10
1.3
NW
10
1.4
NW
10
1.2
NNW
5
1.7
NNW
7
2.2
NW
7
2.3
NW
8
2.3
NNW
8
2.4
NNW
8
2.3
NNW
8
2.1
NNW
8
Energy kJ
301
405
302
617
560
473
54
173
437
315
384
80
259
503
616
717
732
700
545
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
2
3
2
1
4
2
2
4
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
2
Distance (km)
80
51
40
51
151
45
152
437
51
151
437
51
149
436
54
334
436
42
316
54
59
Best forecast wave conditions in Humboldt County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
4
4
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
4
4
2
4
4
3
4
3
3
4
4
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
7
5
5
8
7
5
5
9
7
9
5
7
5
5
4
8
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Mendocino Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Mendocino provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Mendocino can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Mendocino surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Mendocino) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Mendocino may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Mendocino is 47 km (29 miles) from Eureka. If you plan a vacation in Humboldt County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Eureka. Eureka has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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