Cape Mendocino Surf Break

Lat Long: 40.42° N 124.40° W

Cape Mendocino Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 01 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Mendocino sea temperature is
11.5°C
3.2° 

Cape Mendocino surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Mendocino surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, NW swell with 1,599 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Mendocino this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Mendocino over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Mendocino in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 7s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 3rd Sep)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Best Surf 8PM (Thu 3rd Sep)7.5ft (2.3m) 11s
Most Powerful 2AM (Fri 4th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Mendocino over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down for the next couple of weeks.

First few days are a total washout – poor conditions, messy winds, don’t bother paddling out. We got a long stretch of so-so surf through the first week, with only a few moments that shine.

The big standout is Thursday September 10th afternoon at Cape Mendocino. We’re talking glassy conditions with a light offshore breeze from the WSW, and a clean 3ft SW swell with a 17-second period. That’s real groundswell, long lines, good shape. Water temp is a bone-chilling 52°F, a full 5.4° colder than normal, so bring the thick suit. The combined swell energy is moderate (671), but the cleanness makes it the best session of the whole 16 days. Crowds are only *sometimes* a problem, so you might find some space.

Earlier, Thursday September 3rd morning shows a stronger 6.6ft WNW swell with a 10-second period, light S wind, and clean but marginal conditions. Energy jumps to 1284 – solid moderate. That’s for the advanced crew; beginners should stay on the sand. The afternoon gets a 7.2ft NW swell with lighter offshore WSW wind and moderate energy (1637), but still not full quality. Friday the 4th morning keeps that NW swell at 6.9ft with glassy offshore wind – marginal again. Then it fades.

Second week turns mellow. By Monday the 14th, we’re on small waves and cross-shore winds, nothing to get excited about. From the 5th to the 9th, it’s weak SSW swells (around 3ft, 15-16 second periods) but always cross-shore wind, just barely rideable.

Bottom line: if you can be patient, Thursday the 10th afternoon is your golden window. The rest is either small, windy, or plain average.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
1
3
3
4
3
1
4
1
1
3
2
2
3
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NW
10
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SW
18
1.2
W
8
1.6
WNW
8
2
WNW
10
2.2
NW
12
2.5
NW
11
2.1
NW
10
1.8
NW
10
1.1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
15
1.1
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.9
SSE
14
1
SSE
14
1.1
SSE
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
208
151
249
190
310
716
1235
1599
977
653
659
487
463
525
491
334
236
371
443
551
Wind (km/h)
20
S
20
SSE
35
SSE
35
SSE
15
SSE
10
S
10
WSW
10
SE
5
WNW
15
NNW
15
NNE
10
NNW
15
NNW
10
NNE
10
NNW
15
NNW
10
NNE
15
N
20
N
20
NNE
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:29PM1.80m
3:43AM1.27m
3:11PM1.82m
5:11AM1.18m
4:03PM1.83m
6:53AM1.19m
5:06PM1.83m
8:17AM1.27m
6:17PM1.84m
9:14AM1.37m
7:30PM1.87m
9:58AM1.47m
8:37PM1.91m
Low Tide
9:27PM0.20m
9:03AM0.72m
10:30PM0.14m
9:54AM0.88m
11:43PM0.09m
11:07AM1.00m
1:00AM0.02m
12:35PM1.04m
2:10AM-0.05m
1:56PM0.98m
3:10AM-0.12m
3:02PM0.86m
4:00AM-0.14m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:45
6:46
6:47
6:48
6:48
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:50
7:47
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:40
7:39
 mm
9
14
2
Temp °C
17
15
15
15
15
16
17
15
16
16
14
16
16
14
16
16
14
16
16
14
Feels °C
14
12
11
9
11
16
15
15
15
14
11
15
13
12
14
13
12
14
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Mendocino Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Mendocino provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Mendocino can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Mendocino surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Mendocino) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Mendocino may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Mendocino is 47 km (29 miles) from Eureka. If you plan a vacation in Humboldt County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Eureka. Eureka has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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