Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.93° W

Drakes Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 19 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Bay sea temperature is
15.5°C
1.5° 

Drakes Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Bay surf forecast from 19 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 19 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 20 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 519 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 19 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 19) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Bay in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 20) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 12s period and expected on Tuesday (Oct 20) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Mon 19th Oct)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Best Surf11PM (Mon 19th Oct)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 2AM (Tue 20th Oct)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu night, calm by Fri night).

Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
3
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.4
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
314
318
519
436
344
334
334
229
243
339
229
211
158
268
173
207
144
142
138
121
69
Wind (km/h)
25
NW
20
WNW
5
NW
10
ESE
10
NW
0
W
5
WSW
10
NW
15
NW
20
NW
25
NW
20
NW
5
NW
20
NW
5
NNW
5
SE
10
WNW
10
NE
5
NNE
15
NW
5
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
8:55AM1.29m
7:03PM1.34m
9:25AM1.35m
8:12PM1.34m
9:51AM1.42m
9:15PM1.36m
10:16AM1.51m
10:12PM1.39m
10:41AM1.60m
11:06PM1.41m
11:07AM1.70m
00:00AM1.43m
11:36AM1.79m
00:55AM1.43m
Low Tide
2:39PM0.87m
2:43AM0.17m
3:30PM0.74m
3:28AM0.18m
4:12PM0.58m
4:07AM0.20m
4:50PM0.41m
4:42AM0.26m
5:27PM0.23m
5:17AM0.34m
6:04PM0.06m
5:53AM0.45m
6:44PM-0.10m
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
—
—
7:24
—
—
7:24
—
—
7:26
—
—
7:26
—
—
7:28
—
—
7:28
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:29
—
—
6:27
—
—
6:25
—
—
6:24
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:22
—
—
6:21
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
13
14
13
15
15
15
15
15
15
15
14
13
13
14
13
16
18
18
20
22
19
Feels °C
8
10
10
14
13
13
13
15
13
11
10
7
13
12
11
15
17
16
18
19
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Bay is 33 km (20 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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