Drakes Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.93° W

Drakes Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 17 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Bay sea temperature is
15.3°C
0.7° 

Drakes Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Bay surf forecast from 18 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 18 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with 350 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Bay in the next 16 days are 0.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 10s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Thu 17th Sep)1.5ft (0.5m) 15s
Best Surf 2AM (Fri 18th Sep)2ft (0.6m) 15s
Most Powerful 8AM (Mon 21st Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun night, calm by Mon night).

Thu
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
Tuesday
22
Wednesday
23
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SW
19
0.6
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.7
SW
19
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SW
17
0.8
SW
17
0.8
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
166
142
236
236
133
199
307
252
255
339
297
346
346
350
251
251
306
242
215
171
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
10
NW
15
NW
25
NW
25
NW
10
WNW
30
NW
30
NW
20
NW
25
NW
20
NW
5
WNW
15
WNW
5
ENE
10
WSW
25
NW
10
NW
5
W
20
NW
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:29PM1.54m
7:59AM1.18m
5:28PM1.49m
9:11AM1.23m
6:38PM1.47m
9:55AM1.27m
7:48PM1.48m
10:27AM1.32m
8:49PM1.52m
10:53AM1.36m
9:42PM1.55m
11:17AM1.42m
10:30PM1.58m
Low Tide
00:34AM0.23m
12:33PM1.01m
1:45AM0.23m
2:00PM1.00m
2:50AM0.20m
3:06PM0.93m
3:43AM0.15m
3:56PM0.84m
4:26AM0.11m
4:38PM0.72m
5:02AM0.08m
5:16PM0.60m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:56
6:56
6:58
6:58
7:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:12
7:09
7:08
7:07
 mm
Temp °C
18
16
16
16
14
16
15
13
14
15
13
14
15
13
16
15
14
17
17
15
Feels °C
17
15
14
13
9
15
12
8
10
11
8
13
13
11
15
13
10
16
15
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Bay is 33 km (20 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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