Drakes Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.93° W

Drakes Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Bay sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.4° 

Drakes Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Bay surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SW swell with 232 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Bay in the next 16 days are 0.7m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 9s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 12th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 12th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s
Most Powerful 2AM (Sun 12th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Fri night, calm by Sun morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Tue morning, strong winds from the NW by Wed night).

Fri
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SW
17
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
276
217
217
220
232
203
208
206
161
156
154
106
85
152
109
74
90
89
89
77
130
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
30
NW
20
NW
25
NW
20
NW
10
WNW
20
WNW
20
NW
20
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
15
WNW
30
NW
30
NW
30
NW
40
NW
35
NW
25
NW
25
WNW
10
WNW
10
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
8:45PM1.92m
11:29AM1.25m
9:40PM1.99m
12:22PM1.33m
10:35PM2.05m
1:09PM1.40m
11:29PM2.06m
1:53PM1.45m
00:23AM2.02m
2:34PM1.49m
1:16AM1.93m
3:15PM1.53m
2:09AM1.79m
Low Tide
2:53PM0.83m
4:42AM-0.20m
3:58PM0.88m
5:35AM-0.33m
5:00PM0.88m
6:25AM-0.42m
5:58PM0.85m
7:14AM-0.45m
6:55PM0.79m
8:00AM-0.43m
7:52PM0.72m
8:44AM-0.35m
8:50PM0.65m
9:27AM-0.22m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
5:58
5:58
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:36
8:35
8:35
8:35
8:34
8:34
8:32
8:32
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
15
15
13
15
14
13
15
14
13
15
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
12
13
Feels °C
7
6
11
11
8
13
11
8
11
11
9
12
9
6
8
7
5
9
10
7
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Bay is 33 km (20 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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