Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.93° W

Drakes Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 16 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Bay sea temperature is
15.1°C
1.0° 

Drakes Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Bay surf forecast from 17 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 16 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 20s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 17 Oct, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SSW swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 16 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 20s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 9s period and expected on Friday (Oct 23) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Fri 16th Oct)2.5ft (0.7m) 20s
Best Surf 8PM (Fri 16th Oct)2.5ft (0.7m) 20s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sat 17th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the NW by Wed night).

Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
2
2
2
0
1
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
20
0.8
SSW
20
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
18
0.9
SW
15
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
SSW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
272
259
485
408
547
534
458
452
447
273
318
519
436
344
334
334
226
183
279
218
180
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
10
NW
10
NW
10
NW
25
NW
25
NW
30
NW
25
WNW
30
NW
25
NW
20
WNW
0
SW
10
SE
10
WNW
10
NNW
10
WNW
30
NW
20
WNW
5
NNW
30
NW
30
NW
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
3:38PM1.49m
7:16AM1.22m
4:37PM1.42m
8:15AM1.24m
5:48PM1.36m
8:55AM1.29m
7:03PM1.34m
9:25AM1.35m
8:12PM1.34m
9:51AM1.42m
9:15PM1.36m
10:16AM1.51m
10:12PM1.39m
Low Tide
10:40AM1.02m
11:41PM0.14m
12:07PM1.03m
00:46AM0.17m
1:33PM0.98m
1:49AM0.18m
2:39PM0.87m
2:43AM0.17m
3:30PM0.74m
3:28AM0.18m
4:12PM0.58m
4:07AM0.20m
4:50PM0.41m
4:42AM0.26m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
—
—
7:20
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—
7:22
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—
7:22
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—
7:24
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—
7:24
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—
7:26
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—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:32
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—
6:30
—
—
6:30
—
—
6:29
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—
6:27
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—
6:25
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—
6:24
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
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Temp °C
24
24
20
22
20
14
13
13
12
13
14
14
15
16
14
15
14
12
12
13
13
Feels °C
22
21
16
19
16
10
8
8
7
8
10
11
14
15
12
13
9
4
11
10
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Bay is 33 km (20 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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