Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.93° W

Drakes Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 10 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Bay sea temperature is
15.7°C
1.3° 

Drakes Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Bay surf forecast from 11 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 13 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 13 Oct, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 679 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 11 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 11) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 18s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 13) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 10s period and expected on Sunday (Oct 11) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 11th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 18s
Best Surf 8AM (Tue 13th Oct)2.5ft (0.8m) 18s
Most Powerful 5PM (Tue 13th Oct)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
10
Sunday
11
Monday
12
Tuesday
13
Wednesday
14
Thursday
15
Friday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
2
2
0
2
1
2
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
19
0.6
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
1
SSW
16
1.1
SW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
20
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
231
211
541
271
318
371
362
335
404
399
679
587
519
544
387
387
387
314
272
272
485
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
45
NW
25
NNW
10
WNW
10
WNW
20
SSE
0
ESE
15
W
10
NW
5
SW
15
WNW
0
NE
0
SW
15
NW
5
NNW
0
N
15
NW
10
NW
5
NW
20
NW
5
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
High Tide
12:20PM1.73m
1:10AM1.45m
12:47PM1.74m
2:01AM1.40m
1:14PM1.73m
2:54AM1.34m
1:42PM1.69m
3:50AM1.29m
2:13PM1.64m
4:52AM1.24m
2:51PM1.57m
6:03AM1.21m
3:38PM1.49m
Low Tide
7:12PM0.04m
7:03AM0.48m
7:51PM-0.02m
7:39AM0.62m
8:30PM-0.03m
8:16AM0.75m
9:10PM-0.01m
8:55AM0.87m
9:54PM0.03m
9:40AM0.96m
10:43PM0.09m
10:40AM1.02m
11:41PM0.14m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
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7:16
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7:16
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7:18
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7:18
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—
7:18
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—
7:20
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:40
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—
6:39
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—
6:37
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—
6:37
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6:35
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—
6:34
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6:32
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
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Temp °C
14
14
14
13
14
14
16
16
14
14
15
13
17
17
16
21
22
19
23
23
19
Feels °C
7
7
7
10
10
13
15
13
12
13
13
10
16
14
13
18
18
16
20
18
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Bay is 33 km (20 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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