Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.93° W

Drakes Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 17 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Bay sea temperature is
15.3°C
1.3° 

Drakes Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Bay surf forecast from 17 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 17 Oct, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 18 Oct, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 595 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 17 Oct, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 18s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 13s period and expected on Tuesday (Oct 20) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2PM (Sat 17th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 18s
Best Surf 2PM (Sat 17th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 18s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sun 18th Oct)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
1
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
SSW
13
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
408
547
534
458
452
441
314
314
519
436
344
334
334
223
217
279
218
211
102
268
173
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
20
NW
25
NW
25
NW
30
NW
30
NW
25
NW
20
WNW
5
WNW
5
ESE
5
WSW
10
NE
20
ESE
10
WSW
15
WNW
5
S
10
W
5
W
10
WNW
25
WNW
10
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:37PM1.42m
8:15AM1.24m
5:48PM1.36m
8:55AM1.29m
7:03PM1.34m
9:25AM1.35m
8:12PM1.34m
9:51AM1.42m
9:15PM1.36m
10:16AM1.51m
10:12PM1.39m
10:41AM1.60m
11:06PM1.41m
Low Tide
12:07PM1.03m
00:46AM0.17m
1:33PM0.98m
1:49AM0.18m
2:39PM0.87m
2:43AM0.17m
3:30PM0.74m
3:28AM0.18m
4:12PM0.58m
4:07AM0.20m
4:50PM0.41m
4:42AM0.26m
5:27PM0.23m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
—
—
7:22
—
—
7:22
—
—
7:24
—
—
7:24
—
—
7:26
—
—
7:26
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:30
—
—
6:30
—
—
6:29
—
—
6:27
—
—
6:25
—
—
6:24
—
—
6:22
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1
—
—
—
—
3
6
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
23
21
15
14
13
12
13
14
14
14
15
14
17
17
16
14
14
13
13
14
14
Feels °C
20
17
12
9
7
6
8
10
11
13
14
11
13
15
15
14
13
11
11
11
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Bay is 33 km (20 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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