Fort Cronkite Rodeo Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for Fort Cronkite Rodeo Beach, and honestly, it’s a tough one. The pattern is pretty grim right from the start, with a lot of onshore or cross-onshore wind and messy conditions. There’s a real gap here with no decent surf on offer for the first several days, from Tuesday the 21st all the way through to the end of the month. The wind is mostly from the west or southwest, keeping things choppy and blown out. The water temperature is sitting at 61° and that’s a whopping 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, almost like bathwater for a Northern California beach break.

The first real standout that catches my eye isn’t until Tuesday the 28th of July. That morning, the wind swings light and onshore from the southwest at just 3 mph, which is close to glassy. The swell is a clean 3 ft from the SW, with a long period of 18 seconds, giving it that proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is moderate at 1046. This is a sheltered spot, so that long period should wrap in nicely. The water is still warm, but the wind is so light the surface should be smooth. Conditions are marginal, but this is the best we’ve seen by a long shot. It’s small, clean, and with very light wind, it’s your best bet for a session.

After that, we get a repeat of the same kind of setup on Wednesday the 29th of July morning. Again, a light southwest wind at 6 mph, another 3 ft SW swell at 16 seconds, and the energy is moderate at 1052. It’s another marginal window, but it’s the same recipe: clean, small, and workable if you’re patient. The rest of the week then falls back into poor, choppy conditions with the wind picking up.

Looking further out, the first week of August doesn’t offer much hope. The swell stays small and the wind is mostly cross-onshore. There’s a bit of a pulse on Monday the 3rd of August morning with a 4 ft WNW swell, but it’s a short period of 7 seconds and the wind is slight, so it’ll be bumpy. Honestly, the only real standouts are those two mornings at the end of July – Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th. They’re not perfect, but they’re the only windows where the stars align for a clean, manageable wave. Keep your expectations low and your eyes on those light wind days.

Rusty.

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