Fort Cronkite Rodeo Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Fort Cronkite Rodeo Beach. I’ll be honest with you, this stretch is a tough one. The water is a balmy 65°F right now, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year – a good 7°F above the norm, so you can leave the thickest rubber at home, but that’s about the only bright spot for a while.

Right off the bat, from Wednesday the 26th of August all the way through the first week, we’re looking at a real flat spell. The swell energy is mostly weak to moderate – you’ll see numbers like 407 (moderate) on the 26th, but it’s a 2ft SW groundswell with a decent 16-second period, but the wind is cross-on from the W at 9 mph, and it’s just poor conditions. The waves are small, choppy, and not worth paddling out for. That pattern holds for days. The morning of Thursday the 27th has a 4ft WNW swell but it’s a short, weak 6-second period, and the wind is light cross-on, but the whole thing is just poor. We get a bit more energy later, like 842 on the 29th (moderate), but it’s still cross-on wind and choppy.

The one small window that might get you a little something is the morning of Thursday the 3rd of September. We’ve got glassy conditions – wind from the WSW at just 3 mph, and a 2ft SW groundswell with a long 19-second period. The combined energy is 368 (moderate), and it’s described as “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not a standout, but it’s the only time in the whole 16 days that gets a score of 1 out of 10. The swell is small, and with that long period, it might be a bit tricky on a beach break, but if you’re desperate, that’s your best bet. The rest of that week into the second week is a blur of small, choppy, onshore junk.

From the 5th of September on, we have a few more mornings that are “marginal” – like the 5th, 6th, and 10th – but the wind is either light cross-on or onshore, and the swell is tiny, mostly 2ft to 3ft. The 10th of September morning has a bit more energy (579, moderate), but the wind is light onshore, and it’s still just marginal. The afternoon of the 10th gets a fresh breeze from the west at 19 mph and lumpy conditions. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly.

Overall, there’s no real standout session here. The best you can hope for is a small, glassy window on the morning of the 3rd of September, but even then, it’s ordinary. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off for surf. Don’t sell the farm for this one.

Rusty.

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