Fort Cronkite Rodeo Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a stretch that’s going to feel more like a lull than a run of waves. The swell is inconsistent and the quality is just not there for most of the sixteen days.

Up first, our only real option on the menu is Fort Cronkite Rodeo Beach. This is a sheltered sandbar setup, and it’s very consistent, but that doesn’t mean the waves are good. The water is sitting at 62°, which is a whopping 5° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a seriously unusual warm anomaly.

We start off with the 30th of July, Thursday afternoon. There’s a 6ft WNW swell, but it’s a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is a cross-on at 16 mph. The combined energy is moderate (726), but it’s a choppy, messy mess. Not worth your time.

Friday the 31st offers a tiny bit of hope in the morning – a 3ft SSW swell with a very long period of 14 seconds and onshore wind. The swell energy is moderate (603), but the conditions are marginal. The afternoon is just more cross-on chop.

Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd of August see a little more size, with the swell pushing 7ft to 7ft from the NW/WNW, periods around 8 to 10 seconds. The energy builds to moderate-high (995 on Saturday morning, 994 Sunday afternoon), but the wind is cross-on or onshore every time. It’s too big for beginners at over 5ft, and with the wind, it’s just a messy wall of water. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

From Monday the 3rd of August right through to the 14th of August, it’s a grim run. The swell drops slowly from 7ft down to 1ft, with periods ranging from 8 to 19 seconds. The combined energy drops from moderate (861) all the way down to weak (211). Every single session is marked as "poor surf conditions." The wind is almost always onshore or cross-on, and even when the swell period gets long (15 to 19 seconds) in the second week, the size is too small to do anything with. There’s a long gap of nothing worthwhile here.

If you’re desperate, the 12th of August Wednesday morning has a 2ft SW swell with a very long period of 18 seconds and light onshore wind. The energy is moderate (628), but it’s tiny. The 13th of August Thursday morning is similar, with a 2ft SW swell at 16 seconds and moderate energy (614). But these are just whispers.

Honestly, this is a blank run. For an area that’s very consistent, it tends not to stay this poor for long, but right now, the forecasts are not kind. Keep your board in the car and your eyes on the sky.

- Rusty

Read more