Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 10 pm 26 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.9° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 27 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 30 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, WNW swell with 2,173 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 28 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 2AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 30th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri night, strong winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon night, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue morning, strong winds from the WNW by Wed night).

Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Fri
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
!
3
1
1
!
1
2
!
!
!
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
2.5
WNW
7
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
3
NW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
3
NW
10
3
WNW
10
3
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.3
WNW
9
1.8
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
6
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
444
444
690
1199
969
1020
1288
1787
1255
1256
1730
1734
1514
815
782
845
402
297
207
171
255
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
35
WNW
50
WNW
40
NW
20
NW
40
NW
35
NW
35
NW
40
NW
30
NW
5
W
35
NW
30
NW
10
W
40
NW
40
NW
30
WNW
35
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
30
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:10PM1.73m
12:50PM1.26m
10:46PM1.74m
1:30PM1.29m
11:23PM1.74m
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
Low Tide
6:04AM-0.11m
5:30PM0.92m
6:41AM-0.15m
6:12PM0.94m
7:16AM-0.17m
6:52PM0.94m
7:49AM-0.18m
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
15
14
14
13
14
14
13
14
15
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
14
13
Feels °C
11
8
6
3
10
8
5
7
8
7
13
10
5
11
9
4
7
7
6
10
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
2
WNW
9
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
2.3
WNW
10
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
20
2.3
WNW
10
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
2.1
WNW
10
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
Energy kJ
444
444
288
306
630
203
144
1040
110
186
1084
199
197
815
211
163
201
229
207
171
255
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WNW
9
0.2
W
13
0.1
S
10
0.7
SW
16
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SW
17
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
SSW
19
0.1
W
17
0.5
SW
15
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
Energy kJ
8
14
2
258
22
18
144
44
110
102
52
52
235
44
97
37
6
104
9
17
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
14
0.1
S
10
0.1
SW
24
0.2
S
11
0.3
SW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
10
0.2
SSW
21
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SSW
13
0.1
W
17
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
16
0.2
S
11
Energy kJ
4
2
22
10
72
110
96
2
2
44
18
33
5
9
9
19
9
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
5
1.4
WNW
6
2.5
WNW
7
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
3
NW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
3
NW
10
3
WNW
10
3
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.3
WNW
9
1.8
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
6
1.3
WNW
5
0.9
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
5
Energy kJ
32
131
690
1199
969
1020
1288
1787
1255
1256
1730
1734
1514
782
845
402
297
90
103
88
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
3
3
2
3
1
3
4
3
2
4
4
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
Distance (km)
48
147
1637
144
26
145
48
147
144
32
48
490
26
0
512
144
147
145
59
145
489
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
4
4
2
4
3
3
4
3
2
4
5
2
3
2
1
3
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
6
8
5
5
6
5
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
6
6
5
8
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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