Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 10 am 10 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
10.7° C

1.7°C colder than average for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 10 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 10 Jun, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 11 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,883 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 10 Jun, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 10) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Wed 10th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 5PM (Wed 10th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 11th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
10
Thursday
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
Monday
15
Tuesday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
!
!
4
3
0
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SSW
18
3
WNW
9
3
NW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
1.3
WNW
10
1.2
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SW
21
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.8
SW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
887
1447
1883
697
555
544
325
325
278
251
260
232
229
226
191
191
330
543
373
723
520
Wind (km/h)
25
NW
35
NW
20
NW
5
WNW
5
WSW
15
SSE
10
S
10
W
10
S
20
SSE
15
S
10
SSE
15
SSE
15
SSE
10
SSE
10
SSW
10
SW
5
SW
10
WSW
10
WNW
5
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
8:54AM1.07m
8:39PM1.72m
10:16AM1.13m
9:19PM1.83m
11:26AM1.21m
10:02PM1.93m
12:27PM1.29m
10:49PM2.00m
1:22PM1.35m
11:39PM2.03m
2:14PM1.39m
00:31AM2.02m
3:03PM1.42m
1:24AM1.95m
Low Tide
2:32PM0.47m
4:10AM0.04m
3:25PM0.61m
4:58AM-0.17m
4:18PM0.72m
5:47AM-0.34m
5:12PM0.80m
6:36AM-0.47m
6:07PM0.84m
7:26AM-0.53m
7:03PM0.84m
8:16AM-0.53m
8:01PM0.82m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:32
8:34
8:34
8:35
8:35
8:36
8:36
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
15
18
16
13
16
15
12
14
15
12
14
15
13
15
15
14
16
16
15
Feels °C
9
8
13
17
14
12
15
14
11
11
12
11
12
13
12
14
14
14
15
15
14
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
17
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.2
WNW
10
1
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
10
1.2
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
0.8
WNW
10
0.7
W
9
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.8
SW
19
Energy kJ
887
867
1139
697
555
544
291
227
278
251
260
133
78
226
191
191
330
207
373
723
520
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
16
0.2
W
16
1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
WNW
9
0.6
W
11
0.5
SSW
12
0.6
SW
21
0.8
SW
21
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
NW
9
0.8
SSW
13
Energy kJ
20
20
487
525
475
334
325
325
210
198
198
151
229
61
82
82
287
543
158
86
198
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
16
0.2
W
14
0.1
S
21
0.7
NW
9
0.6
NW
9
0.4
SSW
19
0.5
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
W
7
0.6
W
9
0.5
NW
9
0.4
WNW
8
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
WNW
9
Energy kJ
51
16
9
78
47
145
180
209
232
131
83
83
23
64
38
25
156
53
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
3
NW
10
0.3
SSW
3
0.3
S
3
0.3
S
3
0.3
S
3
Energy kJ
833
1447
1883
1
1
2
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
4
4
2
3
3
1
3
1
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
2
3
3
Distance (km)
26
144
26
0
147
5
5
180
5
48
5
5
5
5
5
5
75
0
48
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
3
3
1
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
5
7
6
6
8
7
5
5
5
5
5
9
5
5
5
5
5
7
8
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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