Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 pm Friday 14 Nov 2025 PST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
14.1° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Nov 14) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 12 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 20) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Friday (Nov 21) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (PST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 14th Nov)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 17th Nov)11ft (3.5m) 11s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 20th Nov)16ft (5.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, near gales from the NW by Sun night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Tue night, strong winds from the SSE by Wed night).

Fri
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
1
2
0
0
1
!
!
4
4
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
!
!
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
2.5
WNW
1.7
WNW
1.5
WNW
1.7
WNW
1.9
WNW
1.6
WNW
1.3
WNW
1.8
WNW
3.5
WNW
3.5
WNW
2.5
WNW
2.5
WNW
2
WNW
1.4
WNW
1.1
WNW
1.3
WNW
1
WNW
1.3
WNW
1.3
W
5
W
3.5
W
Period(s) (?)131111121111111311111112131112111010191615
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)19316194947709016314511127331332321527181312815223173732313221247110685644
Wind
(km/h)
0
WNW
15
NNE
15
NNW
25
NW
20
WSW
20
S
25
S
30
W
35
NW
40
NW
20
NNW
10
NW
35
NW
10
NNW
10
SE
15
S
40
SSE
15
SE
30
SE
30
E
25
ESE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
crossononcrosscross-
off
cross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
offcross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:05PM
1.25
8:46AM
1.63
9:12PM
1.24
9:15AM
1.67
10:12PM
1.26
9:42AM
1.70
11:05PM
1.27
10:06AM
1.71
11:55PM
1.29
10:31AM
1.72
12:41AM
1.30
10:57AM
1.72
1:26AM
1.30
11:27AM
1.71
Low Tide
/ height (m)
2:33AM
0.30
3:41PM
0.27
3:15AM
0.42
4:22PM
0.14
3:53AM
0.55
4:59PM
0.03
4:30AM
0.67
5:33PM
-0.05
5:05AM
0.77
6:06PM
-0.09
5:40AM
0.86
6:38PM
-0.12
6:14AM
0.93
Fri
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Sunrise--6:52--6:52--6:54--6:54--6:56--6:56--6:58
Sunset5:00--5:00--4:59--4:58--4:58--4:57--4:55--
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
Rain (mm)
----15315--------1111196
Temp. °C151514141414151312121112121112121213131213
Feels °C (?)151411991110743555710967878
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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