Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 pm 10 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
10.7° C

1.7°C colder than average for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 11 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 11 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 11 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, WNW swell with 1,139 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 11 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 11) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 11th Jun)7ft (2.2m) 10s
Best Surf 5AM (Thu 11th Jun)7ft (2.2m) 10s
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 11th Jun)8ft (2.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Wed afternoon, calm by Thu morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
10
Thursday
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
Monday
15
Tuesday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
!
3
4
3
0
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
3
3
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
1.2
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SW
21
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.8
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1447
1139
665
544
522
325
325
221
246
209
232
229
291
191
191
330
543
373
723
520
522
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
15
NW
5
WNW
10
WSW
15
SSE
15
SSE
5
WSW
10
SSE
15
SSE
15
S
10
SSE
15
SSE
15
S
10
SSE
10
S
10
SW
5
S
10
SW
10
WNW
5
NW
5
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
High Tide
8:39PM1.72m
10:16AM1.13m
9:19PM1.83m
11:26AM1.21m
10:02PM1.93m
12:27PM1.29m
10:49PM2.00m
1:22PM1.35m
11:39PM2.03m
2:14PM1.39m
00:31AM2.02m
3:03PM1.42m
1:24AM1.95m
Low Tide
2:32PM0.47m
4:10AM0.04m
3:25PM0.61m
4:58AM-0.17m
4:18PM0.72m
5:47AM-0.34m
5:12PM0.80m
6:36AM-0.47m
6:07PM0.84m
7:26AM-0.53m
7:03PM0.84m
8:16AM-0.53m
8:01PM0.82m
9:06AM-0.48m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:32
8:34
8:34
8:35
8:35
8:36
8:36
8:36
 mm
Temp °C
15
15
18
17
13
16
15
12
14
14
12
14
15
13
15
15
14
16
16
13
13
Feels °C
8
13
17
15
11
14
14
11
11
11
10
12
13
12
14
14
14
15
15
11
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SSW
17
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
1
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
1.2
WNW
10
1
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
10
0.7
W
10
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.8
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
Energy kJ
867
1139
665
544
522
255
227
221
246
150
110
92
291
191
191
330
207
373
723
520
522
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
16
1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
WNW
8
0.6
W
10
0.6
WNW
10
0.6
SW
21
0.8
SW
21
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
NW
10
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
14
Energy kJ
20
487
525
475
334
325
325
210
198
198
151
229
44
74
75
287
543
204
94
154
158
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
15
0.1
S
21
0.8
NW
8
0.6
NW
9
0.4
SSW
19
0.5
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
WNW
10
0.5
NW
10
0.6
WNW
10
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
NW
9
0.6
NW
10
Energy kJ
17
9
84
49
145
180
209
232
131
56
83
82
52
45
64
156
65
77
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
WNW
9
0.3
SSE
3
0.4
SSW
3
0.3
S
3
0.4
SSE
3
0.3
S
3
Energy kJ
1447
2
2
1
4
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
2
3
3
2
Distance (km)
144
26
0
180
5
5
172
5
37
5
5
5
5
5
5
75
0
48
0
0
48
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
3
3
1
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
6
7
7
9
7
5
5
4
5
7
5
4
5
6
5
6
5
4
4
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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