Drakes Estero Surf Break
Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Drakes Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Weather Forecast for Drakes Estero

Issued: 10 pm 03 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.5° C

Normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 4 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 4 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 6 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, WNW swell with 2,274 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 4 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 04) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 20s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 06) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Thu 4th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Best Surf 8PM (Thu 4th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Sat 6th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Thu morning, near gales from the NW by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat night, light winds from the SSW by Mon afternoon).

Thursday
4
Friday
5
Saturday
6
Sunday
7
Monday
8
Tuesday
9
Wed
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
0
!
2
0
0
0
0
!
2
!
0
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
3.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
3
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
24
0.6
SSW
23
0.9
SSW
21
1.1
SSW
20
1.2
SSW
19
1.2
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
18
3
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
575
833
1731
1376
1224
2237
2274
1069
1855
1380
629
1018
546
433
415
656
865
1077
907
887
1280
Wind (km/h)
40
NW
25
NW
45
NW
35
NW
30
NW
55
NW
50
NW
45
NW
55
NW
45
NW
20
NW
45
NW
40
NW
15
WNW
10
SSW
10
SSW
25
NW
35
WNW
35
NW
30
NW
45
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:10AM1.55m
4:59PM1.25m
2:54AM1.47m
5:38PM1.27m
3:43AM1.37m
6:15PM1.32m
4:41AM1.26m
6:51PM1.39m
5:54AM1.14m
7:26PM1.49m
7:22AM1.07m
8:02PM1.60m
8:54AM1.07m
Low Tide
9:07PM0.93m
9:56AM-0.15m
9:57PM0.92m
10:37AM-0.10m
10:59PM0.88m
11:19AM-0.03m
00:10AM0.80m
12:03PM0.06m
1:21AM0.67m
12:51PM0.18m
2:24AM0.49m
1:40PM0.32m
3:19AM0.27m
2:32PM0.47m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:29
8:30
8:30
8:30
8:31
8:31
8:32
8:32
 mm
2
15
Temp °C
12
12
13
12
14
14
12
12
12
11
11
12
11
13
13
14
13
13
12
12
12
Feels °C
4
7
6
3
9
6
2
2
2
1
7
3
2
10
12
12
11
7
4
6
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.9
SW
19
1.1
SW
19
1.1
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.8
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
9
1.1
SSW
20
1.2
SSW
19
1.2
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
17
Energy kJ
167
524
949
891
781
679
567
437
371
367
295
269
217
211
81
168
865
1077
907
887
867
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
16
1.1
SW
18
0.1
S
26
0.2
SSW
26
0.6
SSW
24
0.7
SW
14
0.9
SSW
21
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.3
W
16
0.2
W
16
Energy kJ
252
169
258
679
13
64
433
208
656
121
116
65
45
20
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
21
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
12
0.1
W
19
0.1
W
19
0.1
W
17
0.2
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
23
0.7
SW
14
0.2
W
17
0.2
WNW
18
0.2
W
15
0.3
WNW
16
Energy kJ
222
12
12
7
7
6
10
415
203
24
30
17
50
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
3.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
3
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
7
2.2
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
8
3
WNW
8
Energy kJ
575
833
1731
1376
1224
2237
2274
1069
1855
1380
629
1018
546
176
268
462
634
528
1280
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
3
4
4
3
4
3
2
3
3
1
2
3
3
4
1
2
4
2
2
Distance (km)
48
26
144
48
26
144
144
145
147
143
26
147
143
116
5
5
48
145
59
48
512
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
4
4
3
4
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
5
4
4
4
3
2
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
2
4
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
5
9
9
9
9
8
7
8
7
6
9
6
5
5
5
5
7
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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