Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 10 am 19 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.0° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 20 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 20 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 24 Jun, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with 703 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 20 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 1.1m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 24) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jun 21) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sat 20th Jun)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Best Surf 8AM (Sat 20th Jun)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Most Powerful 2PM (Wed 24th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
2
3
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
1.7
WNW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
318
319
204
418
496
258
314
305
305
203
180
208
154
251
327
316
671
268
441
414
565
Wind (km/h)
15
S
15
SSW
10
SSW
10
SW
20
WNW
20
WNW
5
W
25
WNW
15
WNW
10
W
15
W
5
SSW
15
S
10
SW
5
S
10
SSW
10
W
5
WSW
15
WNW
30
NW
30
NW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:25PM1.51m
4:18AM1.45m
6:11PM1.55m
5:30AM1.26m
6:55PM1.60m
6:54AM1.11m
7:38PM1.64m
8:27AM1.05m
8:18PM1.68m
9:54AM1.07m
8:56PM1.71m
11:05AM1.14m
9:33PM1.72m
Low Tide
10:44AM-0.23m
11:22PM0.67m
11:32AM-0.06m
00:38AM0.57m
12:21PM0.13m
1:51AM0.44m
1:12PM0.33m
2:57AM0.29m
2:05PM0.51m
3:54AM0.15m
2:59PM0.67m
4:43AM0.04m
3:53PM0.79m
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
15
15
15
15
13
14
14
12
13
14
13
14
15
14
15
15
14
14
13
12
Feels °C
12
13
13
13
13
10
13
11
8
11
12
12
12
14
14
14
14
13
12
9
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
1
WNW
8
0.9
SW
14
1.3
WNW
9
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.9
WNW
9
1.1
NW
9
1.1
NW
10
1.7
WNW
10
Energy kJ
318
251
198
418
496
258
150
305
233
140
111
90
76
223
327
316
671
141
170
248
565
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
WNW
10
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
NW
9
0.4
WNW
10
0.6
SW
13
0.9
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
WNW
8
0.7
NW
9
0.7
SW
14
0.7
NW
9
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.7
SW
15
Energy kJ
97
319
204
42
38
136
314
95
305
203
180
208
154
61
81
211
84
268
441
414
220
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
12
0.6
WNW
9
0.5
S
12
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SW
20
0.2
S
11
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.5
SW
15
0.6
NW
9
0.2
S
12
0.5
SW
13
0.1
S
11
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
19
Energy kJ
104
58
71
39
40
134
97
9
252
154
145
116
127
251
104
71
10
84
2
45
175
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
3
0.3
SSW
3
0.9
WNW
5
1.1
WNW
9
Energy kJ
3
2
44
194
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
4
1
1
2
2
3
3
3
4
2
3
1
4
Distance (km)
5
5
5
48
789
26
48
145
32
48
145
5
5
75
5
5
180
0
0
145
32
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
1
3
2
3
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
2
4
2
2
4
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
3
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
5
8
9
6
8
6
6
5
5
5
7
7
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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