Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 3 am Saturday 20 Dec 2025 PST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.1° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)
Nearby Cam: 5km away, The Marine Mammal Center Live Stream Point Reyes National Seashore


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Dec 20) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 12 days are 5.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Dec 25) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Dec 23) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (PST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sat 20th Dec)4.5ft (1.4m) 11s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 20th Dec)4.5ft (1.4m) 11s
Most Powerful 4PM (Thu 25th Dec)16ft (5.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSW on Sun morning, calm by Mon night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 112mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Tue morning, gales from the SSE by Wed night).

Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.2
W
1.1
NW
0.9
WNW
2.3
SW
1.7
WSW
1.4
WSW
1.1
WSW
0.9
NW
0.7
WNW
1.5
WNW
1.7
WNW
1.8
WNW
1.7
WNW
1.4
WNW
1.1
WNW
3.5
SSW
5
SW
3
W
3
WNW
3
WNW
1.7
WNW
Period(s) (?)1012117888111312121212121191211111110
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)26032521554335523015316917862684795476154129120746029205824091759516
Wind
(km/h)
5
SSE
10
SSE
30
SSW
40
S
20
SW
15
NW
10
NNW
10
NW
5
NNW
10
ESE
45
SSE
35
S
10
WSW
25
S
55
SSE
40
SSE
35
SSW
35
S
30
SSW
30
SSE
35
SE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
cross-
on
ononcross-
on
cross-
off
offcross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
oncrossonononononononcross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:10AM
1.75
1:51AM
1.33
11:47AM
1.73
2:26AM
1.33
12:25PM
1.69
3:00AM
1.34
1:06PM
1.62
3:35AM
1.36
1:50PM
1.52
4:11AM
1.41
2:43PM
1.39
4:47AM
1.47
3:49PM
1.24
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:57PM
-0.19
6:37AM
0.96
7:31PM
-0.20
7:15AM
0.95
8:06PM
-0.19
7:58AM
0.93
8:43PM
-0.15
8:49AM
0.89
9:21PM
-0.08
9:51AM
0.82
10:02PM
0.03
11:03AM
0.71
10:46PM
0.18
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Sunrise7:22--7:22--7:24--7:24--7:24--7:24--7:26--
Sunset-4:54--4:54--4:55--4:55--4:57--4:57--4:58-
cloud
light rain
light rain
mod rain
mod rain
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
light rain
mod rain
heavy rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
heavy rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
Rain (mm)
-2467---9276211175512115
Temp. °C151415151413121211131414121314131213141313
Feels °C (?)1413119111110981165875553766
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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