Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 am 30 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.9° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 30 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 1 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 1 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,895 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 1 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.3m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Wed 1st Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf 5AM (Wed 1st Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 5AM (Wed 1st Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Tue night, calm by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
2
2
2
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
8
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
1.1
WNW
8
1.6
NW
8
1.3
WNW
8
0.6
SW
18
1.7
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
740
882
1255
725
567
748
346
318
261
197
255
201
149
314
237
252
374
504
423
779
605
Wind (km/h)
10
S
20
NW
30
NW
15
SSE
10
W
0
SSW
15
WNW
20
WNW
10
WSW
10
SSW
20
NW
5
W
5
SSW
15
WNW
5
WSW
5
SW
25
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
35
WNW
35
NW
Wind State
on
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
2:36AM1.51m
4:40PM1.41m
3:23AM1.39m
5:12PM1.48m
4:21AM1.25m
5:46PM1.55m
Low Tide
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
9:34PM0.83m
10:00AM-0.06m
10:27PM0.77m
10:35AM0.05m
11:29PM0.67m
11:14AM0.20m
00:36AM0.54m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
12
14
14
12
13
13
12
14
14
12
13
13
11
13
13
11
12
12
12
Feels °C
11
12
7
11
13
11
11
10
8
13
13
8
12
12
8
12
11
6
7
5
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
WNW
10
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
7
1.1
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
Energy kJ
740
199
197
725
567
748
346
318
261
197
140
127
149
202
237
237
249
152
271
206
388
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.5
W
13
0.4
WNW
13
0.5
SW
21
0.5
SW
21
0.6
SW
16
Energy kJ
102
80
53
235
211
163
201
229
207
171
255
201
102
140
140
252
86
58
224
222
206
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
14
0.1
S
10
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
SSW
19
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
0.2
W
14
0.3
W
14
0.5
SW
19
0.4
WNW
13
0.4
WNW
12
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.5
W
12
0.2
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
12
Energy kJ
96
52
2
44
44
97
37
6
75
9
17
16
33
184
55
50
44
68
76
14
28
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
1.6
NW
8
1.7
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
8
Energy kJ
882
1255
314
374
504
423
779
605
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
1
4
3
1
3
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
3
2
4
Distance (km)
5
32
32
5
490
0
0
147
23
5
180
23
789
145
0
66
145
23
26
145
135
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
3
3
2
2
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
1
4
3
2
4
2
2
3
2
2
4
2
2
4
3
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
8
7
5
8
5
9
5
4
5
6
9
9
9
7
6
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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