Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 pm 29 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
14.4° C

1.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 30 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 30 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 1 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,933 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 30 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.3m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 20s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Tue 30th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf 2AM (Tue 30th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 5AM (Wed 1st Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Tue night, calm by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
2
!
2
3
2
2
2
4
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
WNW
10
3
NW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
8
1.5
NW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
0.6
SW
18
1.3
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
8
0.7
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
711
1662
865
917
1306
740
578
831
339
280
413
243
289
260
226
207
237
252
249
261
271
Wind (km/h)
25
NW
20
NW
15
SSE
15
WNW
25
NW
10
S
10
W
5
S
10
W
15
W
10
SSE
5
SW
25
NW
10
WNW
10
SW
20
WNW
10
SW
10
WSW
25
NW
25
NW
25
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross
glassy
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
2:36AM1.51m
4:40PM1.41m
3:23AM1.39m
5:12PM1.48m
4:21AM1.25m
Low Tide
6:52PM0.94m
7:49AM-0.18m
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
9:34PM0.83m
10:00AM-0.06m
10:27PM0.77m
10:35AM0.05m
11:29PM0.67m
11:14AM0.20m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
13
14
13
12
14
14
12
13
13
12
14
14
12
13
13
11
13
13
11
13
Feels °C
12
8
12
12
8
12
13
11
12
11
10
13
12
7
12
11
7
12
11
5
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
15
2.3
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
0.6
SW
18
1.9
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
14
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
Energy kJ
150
1042
865
917
197
740
578
831
339
280
413
243
161
260
226
140
237
212
233
261
249
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
20
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.5
SW
19
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.6
WNW
11
0.5
WNW
11
0.7
SW
16
Energy kJ
45
186
102
199
53
235
211
163
201
229
207
142
255
201
102
184
140
252
98
68
271
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SSW
14
0.1
S
10
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
SSW
19
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
0.2
W
14
0.3
W
14
0.3
WNW
13
0.4
SW
19
0.4
WNW
12
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
WNW
12
Energy kJ
18
110
96
80
2
44
44
97
37
6
75
9
17
16
33
35
96
50
249
152
82
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
WNW
10
3
NW
10
2.5
WNW
10
1.5
NW
8
1.3
WNW
8
Energy kJ
711
1662
1306
289
207
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
2
4
4
1
4
2
1
3
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2
4
2
Distance (km)
145
23
5
490
26
5
490
0
457
145
5
48
490
0
789
145
23
426
145
23
145
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
3
1
4
3
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
2
4
4
1
4
2
2
3
2
2
4
3
2
4
2
2
4
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
6
9
6
5
7
5
7
5
5
5
9
8
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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