Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 am 12 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.4° C

1.0°C colder than average for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 12 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 15 Jun, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 16 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 834 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 14 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 14) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sun 14th Jun)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Best Surf 5PM (Mon 15th Jun)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 16th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
Monday
15
Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
1
3
3
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WNW
10
0.9
SSW
14
1.3
WNW
10
0.8
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SW
21
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.9
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
325
325
290
198
209
232
229
326
191
191
330
543
373
723
614
522
595
575
371
361
348
Wind (km/h)
10
S
5
WSW
10
SSE
15
SSE
10
SSE
10
SSE
10
SSE
10
SSW
5
SSW
10
WSW
10
WNW
0
N
10
S
10
SSW
10
S
15
S
10
WSW
10
SSW
15
SSW
15
SW
15
SW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
11:26AM1.21m
10:02PM1.93m
12:27PM1.29m
10:49PM2.00m
1:22PM1.35m
11:39PM2.03m
2:14PM1.39m
00:31AM2.02m
3:03PM1.42m
1:24AM1.95m
3:51PM1.44m
2:19AM1.83m
4:38PM1.47m
3:16AM1.66m
Low Tide
4:18PM0.72m
5:47AM-0.34m
5:12PM0.80m
6:36AM-0.47m
6:07PM0.84m
7:26AM-0.53m
7:03PM0.84m
8:16AM-0.53m
8:01PM0.82m
9:06AM-0.48m
9:03PM0.79m
9:55AM-0.37m
10:10PM0.74m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:34
8:35
8:35
8:36
8:36
8:36
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
15
15
13
16
17
14
16
16
15
16
16
13
16
16
14
15
15
12
13
14
13
Feels °C
14
14
12
14
15
13
15
15
16
15
15
12
14
14
13
13
13
11
10
11
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
10
1
WNW
9
0.8
WNW
11
0.8
WNW
10
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.9
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.8
WNW
11
0.8
SW
16
Energy kJ
325
231
290
157
130
109
229
326
191
191
330
207
373
723
614
522
595
575
371
143
348
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.6
WNW
10
0.6
WNW
9
0.6
WNW
10
0.6
WNW
10
0.6
SW
21
0.8
SW
21
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
NW
10
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
NW
9
0.8
WNW
9
0.8
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
11
0.8
SW
16
0.7
NW
10
Energy kJ
325
325
210
198
198
195
72
68
78
75
287
543
204
96
154
81
94
86
149
361
92
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
SSW
20
0.4
SSW
19
0.5
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
WNW
10
0.5
WNW
9
0.7
WNW
10
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
NW
9
0.4
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
S
13
Energy kJ
42
75
146
180
209
232
131
81
83
82
54
46
86
156
84
56
85
158
133
133
86
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
3
0.3
S
3
0.3
S
3
Energy kJ
2
2
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
2
Distance (km)
5
66
5
5
5
5
5
5
0
48
0
0
5
5
5
5
75
5
5
75
48
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
8
5
5
5
4
5
9
5
5
5
5
5
6
5
4
5
4
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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