Drakes Estero Surf Break
Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Drakes Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Weather Forecast for Drakes Estero

Issued: 4 am 04 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.5° C

Normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 4 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 4 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 5 Jun, 11PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with 2,512 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 4 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 04) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 20s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jun 05) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jun 09) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Thu 4th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Best Surf 8PM (Thu 4th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Most Powerful11PM (Fri 5th Jun)13ft (4.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Thu morning, near gales from the NW by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun night, light winds from the WSW by Tue morning).

Thursday
4
Friday
5
Saturday
6
Sunday
7
Monday
8
Tuesday
9
Wednesday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
!
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
!
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
3
1
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
3.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
3
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
7
0.6
SSW
24
0.5
SSW
23
0.9
SSW
21
1.1
SSW
20
1.2
SSW
19
1.2
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
17
3
NW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
833
1693
1376
1224
2237
1973
1261
2094
1495
643
1056
518
433
301
656
865
1077
907
887
867
1303
Wind (km/h)
30
NW
45
NW
30
NW
30
NW
55
NW
50
NW
50
NW
55
NW
45
NW
25
NW
45
WNW
35
NW
10
WSW
10
S
15
SSW
30
NW
35
WNW
40
NW
25
NW
40
NW
25
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:59PM1.25m
2:54AM1.47m
5:38PM1.27m
3:43AM1.37m
6:15PM1.32m
4:41AM1.26m
6:51PM1.39m
5:54AM1.14m
7:26PM1.49m
7:22AM1.07m
8:02PM1.60m
8:54AM1.07m
8:39PM1.72m
Low Tide
9:56AM-0.15m
9:57PM0.92m
10:37AM-0.10m
10:59PM0.88m
11:19AM-0.03m
00:10AM0.80m
12:03PM0.06m
1:21AM0.67m
12:51PM0.18m
2:24AM0.49m
1:40PM0.32m
3:19AM0.27m
2:32PM0.47m
4:10AM0.04m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:30
8:30
8:30
8:31
8:31
8:32
8:32
 mm
7
1
Temp °C
13
13
12
14
14
13
12
12
12
11
12
11
13
13
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
Feels °C
8
6
3
8
6
3
2
1
1
6
3
2
12
12
13
13
7
6
8
6
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
19
1.1
SW
19
1.1
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.8
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
9
1.2
SSW
19
1.2
SSW
18
1.6
WNW
8
1.2
SSW
17
2.2
WNW
9
Energy kJ
524
949
891
781
679
567
437
371
367
295
232
217
211
81
213
213
1077
907
328
867
798
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
16
1.1
SW
18
0.1
S
26
0.2
SSW
26
0.6
SSW
24
0.7
SW
14
0.9
SSW
21
1.1
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
1.2
SSW
18
0.2
W
16
1
SSW
16
Energy kJ
169
258
679
13
64
433
208
656
865
116
65
887
20
532
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
12
0.2
S
12
0.1
W
19
0.1
W
19
0.1
W
17
0.2
WNW
10
0.5
SSW
23
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.2
W
18
0.2
W
15
0.3
W
16
0.1
W
13
Energy kJ
12
12
7
7
6
10
301
203
121
24
17
45
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
3.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
3
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
7
1.1
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
9
2
WNW
7
2.1
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
8
3
NW
9
Energy kJ
833
1693
1376
1224
2237
1973
1261
2094
1495
643
1056
518
149
416
346
532
696
1303
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
4
3
4
3
2
3
3
2
3
1
3
4
1
1
3
4
2
4
Distance (km)
26
145
26
26
144
144
145
147
144
26
144
135
48
5
5
48
145
144
26
145
17
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
1
3
4
1
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
5
4
4
4
5
3
4
4
2
4
2
4
4
4
1
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
6
9
8
9
9
6
8
8
8
6
9
9
9
8
5
5
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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