Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Drakes Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.0° C
0.3° 

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 791 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Tue 14th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Best Surf 5AM (Tue 14th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Tue morning, strong winds from the NW by Wed afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Thu night, calm by Sat morning).

Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Mon
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
7
2.2
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
8
1.9
NW
8
0.7
W
16
0.7
SW
18
0.7
W
16
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.8
S
12
0.8
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
183
123
164
243
263
674
532
387
674
408
319
430
416
251
314
239
208
362
318
203
291
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
15
WNW
30
WNW
30
NW
25
NW
45
NW
35
NW
35
NW
40
NW
30
NW
25
NW
30
NW
20
NW
10
W
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
W
15
WNW
10
WSW
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
11:29PM2.06m
1:53PM1.45m
00:23AM2.02m
2:34PM1.49m
1:16AM1.93m
3:15PM1.53m
2:09AM1.79m
3:55PM1.58m
3:04AM1.60m
4:34PM1.61m
4:03AM1.40m
5:14PM1.64m
5:13AM1.21m
5:54PM1.65m
Low Tide
7:14AM-0.45m
6:55PM0.79m
8:00AM-0.43m
7:52PM0.72m
8:44AM-0.35m
8:50PM0.65m
9:27AM-0.22m
9:51PM0.59m
10:08AM-0.05m
10:54PM0.53m
10:50AM0.15m
00:01AM0.46m
11:34AM0.37m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:35
8:34
8:34
8:32
8:32
8:31
8:30
8:30
 mm
Temp °C
14
17
15
14
14
15
14
14
14
12
13
13
12
13
13
11
13
14
12
13
13
Feels °C
11
14
10
8
9
7
6
8
8
4
9
8
6
12
10
7
11
12
10
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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