Drakes Estero Surf Break
Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Drakes Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Weather Forecast for Drakes Estero

Issued: 4 am 08 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
10.6° C

1.7°C colder than average for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 8 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 10 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 11 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,883 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 8 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 22s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jun 08) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 22s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jun 08) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Mon 8th Jun)2.5ft (0.8m) 22s
Best Surf 8AM (Wed 10th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 11th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the NW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
8
Tuesday
9
Wednesday
10
Thursday
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
3
1
2
2
!
!
3
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
24
0.6
SSW
23
0.9
SSW
21
1.1
SSW
20
1.2
SSW
19
1.2
SSW
18
2.4
WNW
10
3
WNW
9
3
NW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
433
415
656
865
1077
917
1033
1603
1883
740
490
500
325
325
210
198
209
232
229
291
191
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
25
WNW
5
WNW
20
WNW
40
NW
30
NW
25
NW
40
NW
20
NW
5
W
10
S
10
S
10
S
10
WSW
10
SSE
10
S
5
SSW
5
S
10
S
5
W
5
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross
glassy
High Tide
7:26PM1.49m
7:22AM1.07m
8:02PM1.60m
8:54AM1.07m
8:39PM1.72m
10:16AM1.13m
9:19PM1.83m
11:26AM1.21m
10:02PM1.93m
12:27PM1.29m
10:49PM2.00m
1:22PM1.35m
11:39PM2.03m
Low Tide
12:51PM0.18m
2:24AM0.49m
1:40PM0.32m
3:19AM0.27m
2:32PM0.47m
4:10AM0.04m
3:25PM0.61m
4:58AM-0.17m
4:18PM0.72m
5:47AM-0.34m
5:12PM0.80m
6:36AM-0.47m
6:07PM0.84m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:31
8:32
8:32
8:34
8:34
8:35
8:35
 mm
Temp °C
12
14
14
14
12
12
14
14
13
18
16
14
16
17
14
16
16
14
16
16
13
Feels °C
5
9
13
11
7
4
9
7
6
16
14
13
14
16
13
14
14
14
15
15
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.9
SSW
21
1.1
SSW
20
1.2
SSW
19
1.2
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
17
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
0.9
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
0.9
WNW
11
0.9
WNW
11
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
Energy kJ
211
208
656
865
1077
907
887
867
1249
740
490
500
173
223
167
161
198
151
229
291
191
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
24
0.6
SSW
23
0.7
W
7
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.2
W
16
0.2
W
16
1
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
WNW
11
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
WNW
10
0.5
SSW
12
Energy kJ
433
415
52
121
116
65
20
20
487
620
475
334
325
325
210
198
133
232
147
74
83
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
19
0.1
W
16
0.7
SW
14
0.2
W
17
0.2
W
18
0.3
WNW
16
0.1
W
15
0.1
S
21
0.7
NW
9
0.3
SSW
20
0.4
SSW
19
0.5
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
WNW
10
0.6
WNW
10
0.4
SSW
12
0.6
NW
8
Energy kJ
36
5
203
24
24
51
4
9
85
75
146
180
209
94
74
56
41
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
WNW
7
1.3
WNW
6
1.5
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
10
2.4
WNW
9
2.4
WNW
10
3
WNW
9
3
NW
10
Energy kJ
334
100
402
832
917
1033
1603
1883
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
2
4
4
2
4
4
3
3
3
1
3
3
3
2
2
1
2
Distance (km)
48
116
0
26
145
26
26
144
26
17
5
5
5
62
5
5
5
0
5
180
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
9
6
5
5
9
9
7
6
5
6
8
5
7
6
5
7
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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