Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 am 21 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.0° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 21 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 28 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,943 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 22 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jun 22) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jun 27) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Mon 22nd Jun)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 5AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, strong winds from the NW by Thu night).

Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
2
1
2
0
2
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
2.1
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
7
2.3
WNW
7
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
3
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
314
305
305
206
156
208
127
251
327
316
671
268
441
440
491
306
479
444
444
1267
1346
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
25
WNW
15
WNW
10
W
15
W
10
WNW
10
SSW
10
WSW
10
S
10
SSW
10
W
0
WNW
25
NW
40
WNW
40
NW
35
NW
35
WNW
40
NW
35
WNW
55
WNW
30
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
on
on
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:55PM1.60m
6:54AM1.11m
7:38PM1.64m
8:27AM1.05m
8:18PM1.68m
9:54AM1.07m
8:56PM1.71m
11:05AM1.14m
9:33PM1.72m
12:02PM1.21m
10:10PM1.73m
12:50PM1.26m
10:46PM1.74m
Low Tide
12:21PM0.13m
1:51AM0.44m
1:12PM0.33m
2:57AM0.29m
2:05PM0.51m
3:54AM0.15m
2:59PM0.67m
4:43AM0.04m
3:53PM0.79m
5:26AM-0.05m
4:43PM0.87m
6:04AM-0.11m
5:30PM0.92m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
12
14
14
13
14
15
13
15
15
14
14
15
14
15
16
14
14
15
14
Feels °C
13
11
8
13
12
11
12
13
13
14
14
12
10
8
6
9
10
7
8
6
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
WNW
8
0.9
SW
14
1.3
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.8
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
Energy kJ
143
305
222
161
128
108
100
71
327
316
671
90
171
419
220
214
136
444
444
291
306
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.7
SW
15
0.7
WNW
8
0.7
SW
14
0.7
NW
9
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.6
SW
19
0.1
W
14
0.4
SSW
13
0.1
S
10
0.8
SW
16
Energy kJ
314
95
305
206
156
208
116
223
52
211
79
268
441
45
175
183
224
4
55
2
306
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
20
0.3
S
11
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.5
SW
15
0.6
WNW
8
0.2
S
12
0.5
SW
13
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
10
Energy kJ
97
20
252
154
145
116
127
251
104
43
10
84
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WNW
9
2
WNW
7
2.1
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
7
2.3
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
6
2
WNW
7
3
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
10
Energy kJ
207
440
491
306
479
216
374
1267
1346
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
3
1
1
2
2
3
2
3
2
2
2
1
3
1
1
2
2
2
4
Distance (km)
48
145
1
48
145
0
5
75
5
5
490
0
457
145
109
145
145
144
144
512
26
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
1
2
2
3
3
3
5
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
4
1
2
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
4
2
2
3
4
2
5
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
7
5
6
5
5
5
7
8
8
6
5
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
8
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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