Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 10 am 23 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.7° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 23 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 30 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,824 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 23 Jun, 5PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 19s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 23) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jun 26) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Tue 23rd Jun)2ft (0.6m) 19s
Best Surf 5PM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Tue 30th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Tue night, strong winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Sun morning).

Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
1
1
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
!
3
2
3
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SSW
17
1.4
WNW
8
0.9
SSW
16
3
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
6
0.6
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
3
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
8
2.4
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
3
NW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
127
251
327
316
510
268
441
883
490
225
287
444
444
963
721
884
1172
1065
687
850
1824
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
15
W
10
W
10
SSW
15
W
10
NW
30
NW
50
WNW
40
NW
30
WNW
30
WNW
35
WNW
40
WNW
50
WNW
35
NW
20
NW
40
NW
25
NW
10
SSW
20
NW
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
8:27AM1.05m
8:18PM1.68m
9:54AM1.07m
8:56PM1.71m
11:05AM1.14m
9:33PM1.72m
12:02PM1.21m
10:10PM1.73m
12:50PM1.26m
10:46PM1.74m
1:30PM1.29m
11:23PM1.74m
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
Low Tide
2:05PM0.51m
3:54AM0.15m
2:59PM0.67m
4:43AM0.04m
3:53PM0.79m
5:26AM-0.05m
4:43PM0.87m
6:04AM-0.11m
5:30PM0.92m
6:41AM-0.15m
6:12PM0.94m
7:16AM-0.17m
6:52PM0.94m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
12
14
14
12
14
15
14
15
15
15
14
14
13
13
14
13
15
14
12
Feels °C
12
11
10
12
12
9
8
6
6
10
11
8
8
5
4
9
8
5
14
12
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SSW
17
1.4
WNW
8
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
1.9
WNW
9
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
2
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
15
2.4
WNW
10
Energy kJ
80
223
327
316
510
248
441
419
220
214
136
444
444
288
306
561
203
144
687
148
1102
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
13
0.7
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
7
0.7
WNW
7
0.7
WNW
7
0.7
SW
16
0.1
S
11
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.6
SW
19
0.1
W
14
0.4
SSW
13
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
10
0.7
SW
16
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
20
Energy kJ
116
51
43
40
40
268
2
45
175
183
287
4
64
2
2
258
22
18
142
44
186
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.5
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.3
WNW
9
0.5
SW
13
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
10
0.2
W
13
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.3
SW
21
0.2
S
11
0.5
SW
15
Energy kJ
127
251
104
211
16
84
2
2
2
2
2
14
22
18
72
9
110
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
WNW
8
3
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
6
1.7
WNW
6
1.3
WNW
5
1.8
WNW
6
3
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
8
2.4
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
10
3
NW
10
Energy kJ
253
883
490
225
208
82
241
963
721
884
1172
1065
850
1824
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
4
4
1
4
2
2
2
Distance (km)
48
0
37
5
180
0
48
145
144
145
432
147
327
430
32
26
512
23
48
145
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
1
3
4
2
4
4
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
4
2
2
4
2
2
3
2
3
4
4
1
4
3
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
9
8
5
5
5
5
6
6
5
6
5
5
7
7
9
5
5
5
6
5
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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