Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 am 27 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.9° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 27 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 1 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 2,010 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 28 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 2.1m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 8AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 5AM (Wed 1st Jul)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds.

Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
3
1
3
4
1
4
3
3
3
3
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
18
2.5
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
2.3
WNW
10
2
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
11
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.2
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
NW
9
1.8
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
7
1.5
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
444
610
1084
969
1020
1183
794
740
1063
873
970
1385
848
951
1205
1037
512
491
192
255
240
Wind (km/h)
35
WNW
50
NW
45
NW
20
NW
40
NW
20
NW
10
WNW
30
NW
5
NE
10
SSW
20
WNW
25
NW
10
WSW
35
NW
40
NW
35
WNW
35
WNW
30
WNW
25
NW
35
NW
20
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
12:50PM1.26m
10:46PM1.74m
1:30PM1.29m
11:23PM1.74m
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
2:36AM1.51m
Low Tide
5:30PM0.92m
6:41AM-0.15m
6:12PM0.94m
7:16AM-0.17m
6:52PM0.94m
7:49AM-0.18m
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
9:34PM0.83m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
13
14
14
14
15
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
Feels °C
8
6
4
10
8
7
14
10
9
13
12
6
13
11
5
7
8
7
9
7
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
2
WNW
9
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
2
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
15
2.3
WNW
10
2
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
11
0.6
SW
18
2.1
WNW
10
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
1.8
WNW
9
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
Energy kJ
444
288
306
630
203
144
794
150
1063
873
970
197
848
211
163
531
229
207
171
255
203
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
13
0.1
S
10
0.7
SW
16
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
20
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SSW
17
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
0.2
W
14
Energy kJ
14
2
258
22
18
144
44
186
102
199
53
195
44
97
201
6
75
9
17
16
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
10
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.3
SW
21
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SSW
14
0.1
S
10
0.2
SSW
21
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SSW
13
0.2
SSW
19
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
0.2
S
11
0.2
SSW
21
Energy kJ
2
22
18
72
44
110
96
80
2
44
18
33
37
9
9
19
9
44
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
6
2.5
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.2
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
NW
9
1.8
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
7
1.5
WNW
8
Energy kJ
122
610
1084
969
1020
1183
740
1385
951
1205
1037
512
491
192
222
240
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
3
3
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
1
3
Distance (km)
470
565
144
26
145
17
0
145
0
5
490
26
48
145
144
147
512
133
145
145
23
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
4
4
2
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
4
3
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
1
2
3
2
2
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
8
5
5
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
7
9
5
4
7
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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