Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 am 17 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.5° C

Normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 17 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 20 Jun, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 17 Jun, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 595 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 20 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 1.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 17) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jun 20) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sat 20th Jun)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Best Surf11AM (Sat 20th Jun)3.5ft (1.0m) 15s
Most Powerful 2PM (Wed 17th Jun)3.5ft (1.0m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
522
595
575
371
361
348
318
316
204
418
496
258
318
305
305
206
156
208
127
251
327
Wind (km/h)
15
S
15
S
15
S
15
S
20
SSW
15
S
15
S
15
SSW
5
S
10
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
15
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
W
5
W
10
SW
15
W
5
WNW
Wind State
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
High Tide
3:51PM1.44m
2:19AM1.83m
4:38PM1.47m
3:16AM1.66m
5:25PM1.51m
4:18AM1.45m
6:11PM1.55m
5:30AM1.26m
6:55PM1.60m
6:54AM1.11m
7:38PM1.64m
8:27AM1.05m
8:18PM1.68m
Low Tide
9:06AM-0.48m
9:03PM0.79m
9:55AM-0.37m
10:10PM0.74m
10:44AM-0.23m
11:22PM0.67m
11:32AM-0.06m
00:38AM0.57m
12:21PM0.13m
1:51AM0.44m
1:12PM0.33m
2:57AM0.29m
2:05PM0.51m
3:54AM0.15m
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:36
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
13
14
14
14
14
15
14
14
12
11
13
12
11
13
13
13
14
14
12
Feels °C
12
12
11
11
11
11
12
13
11
14
8
7
10
8
7
11
11
11
13
13
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
1.1
WNW
6
1.3
WNW
9
0.9
SW
14
1.3
WNW
9
1.1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
8
0.7
SW
15
0.7
NW
9
Energy kJ
522
595
575
371
361
348
318
203
198
418
496
104
233
305
261
157
111
88
59
223
84
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
9
0.9
WNW
11
0.8
WNW
11
0.8
WNW
11
0.7
NW
10
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
NW
10
0.4
SSW
11
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.7
NW
8
0.7
SW
18
Energy kJ
90
126
94
173
151
149
110
316
204
48
40
258
318
95
305
206
156
208
116
70
327
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.7
NW
10
0.5
NW
9
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
NW
10
0.6
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
S
11
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.5
SW
15
Energy kJ
158
120
92
133
133
123
73
104
41
39
24
108
97
9
252
154
145
116
127
251
104
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.7
WNW
10
1.5
NW
7
1.3
WNW
9
Energy kJ
6
5
4
4
5
88
198
244
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
3
2
1
3
1
1
3
1
2
3
Distance (km)
5
5
5
23
75
5
5
5
5
0
147
0
1
145
1
48
145
23
48
426
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
1
3
1
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
4
2
2
3
1
2
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
6
6
6
4
7
5
9
4
9
9
8
6
6
5
5
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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