Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 10 am 28 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.9° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 28 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 30 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, NW swell with 2,095 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 28 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 8PM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Tue 30th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun night, light winds from the SSW by Tue afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NW by Thu night).

Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
!
4
2
!
2
3
2
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
10
2.2
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
3.5
NW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
11
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
1.4
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
8
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
1
WNW
8
0.5
SW
19
0.6
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
702
1045
1454
961
904
2095
899
934
1385
917
742
865
443
320
429
232
255
201
122
184
140
Wind (km/h)
25
NW
40
NW
40
NW
10
WNW
30
NW
25
NW
15
SSE
15
WNW
30
NW
10
SSW
10
WNW
10
SSE
5
S
25
WNW
30
NW
10
W
15
NW
15
WNW
10
SSW
10
WSW
10
W
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
1:30PM1.29m
11:23PM1.74m
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
2:36AM1.51m
4:40PM1.41m
3:23AM1.39m
Low Tide
6:12PM0.94m
7:16AM-0.17m
6:52PM0.94m
7:49AM-0.18m
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
9:34PM0.83m
10:00AM-0.06m
10:27PM0.77m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
13
15
14
13
14
14
12
14
14
12
14
14
13
14
14
12
13
14
13
Feels °C
9
8
5
13
11
6
12
13
7
13
12
11
13
12
8
13
13
8
11
12
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
2.2
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
15
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
11
0.6
SW
18
2.1
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
1.4
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
Energy kJ
258
203
144
961
150
1346
899
934
197
917
742
865
443
320
429
232
197
169
122
92
69
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
20
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
Energy kJ
22
18
144
44
186
102
199
53
235
211
163
201
181
207
104
255
201
102
140
140
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
24
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.3
SW
21
0.1
S
11
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SSW
14
0.1
S
10
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
SSW
19
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
0.2
W
14
0.3
W
14
0.5
SW
19
0.4
WNW
13
Energy kJ
11
22
18
72
2
110
96
80
2
44
44
97
37
6
75
9
17
16
33
184
55
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
3.5
NW
10
2.5
WNW
10
Energy kJ
702
1045
1454
904
2095
1385
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
2
4
4
3
4
3
2
4
1
1
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
26
145
144
0
145
26
5
490
32
5
0
5
5
490
32
48
490
0
5
75
48
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
1
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
2
4
4
3
4
3
2
4
2
2
3
2
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
8
6
5
5
6
7
5
5
9
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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