Surf Forecasts:
Drakes Estero surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with 1,247 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:
The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Fri night, light winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 615 | 546 | 372 | 217 | 333 | 402 | 377 | 409 | 525 | 368 | 476 | 402 | 310 | 680 | 558 | 593 | 1082 | 868 | 500 | 412 | 527 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:24AM1.15m | 8:45PM1.92m | 11:29AM1.25m | 9:40PM1.99m | 12:22PM1.33m | 10:35PM2.05m | 1:09PM1.40m | 11:29PM2.06m | 1:53PM1.45m | 00:23AM2.02m | 2:34PM1.49m | 1:16AM1.93m | 3:15PM1.53m | 2:09AM1.79m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:53PM0.83m | 4:42AM-0.20m | 3:58PM0.88m | 5:35AM-0.33m | 5:00PM0.88m | 6:25AM-0.42m | 5:58PM0.85m | 7:14AM-0.45m | 6:55PM0.79m | 8:00AM-0.43m | 7:52PM0.72m | 8:44AM-0.35m | 8:50PM0.65m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 9 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 19 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 291 | 236 | 217 | 217 | 220 | 183 | 377 | 211 | 178 | 161 | 156 | 116 | 106 | 58 | 109 | 61 | 73 | 90 | 89 | 114 | 344 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 21 | — | W 18 | W 16 | SW 14 | W 18 | W 16 | W 16 | W 14 | SW 19 | W 14 | W 14 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | W 20 | W 19 | SW 16 | W 18 |
| kJ | — | — | 9 | — | 6 | 5 | 203 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 34 | 96 | 36 | 65 | 60 | 109 | 29 | 125 | 116 | 88 | 163 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 10 | S 10 | W 18 | W 15 | SW 21 | SW 21 | WSW 20 | W 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | W 14 | W 14 | SW 23 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 37 | 38 | 58 | 50 | 32 | 32 | 21 | 27 | 28 | 13 | 77 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 615 | 546 | 372 | 199 | 333 | 402 | — | 409 | 525 | 368 | 476 | 402 | 310 | 680 | 558 | 593 | 1082 | 868 | 500 | 412 | 527 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 145 | 32 | 26 | 145 | 23 | 0 | 26 | 26 | 48 | 48 | 26 | 26 | 144 | 48 | 48 | 144 | 32 | 48 | 145 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Drakes Estero surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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