Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 am Saturday 23 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.0° C
(Which is 1.2°C colder than average for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (May 26) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (May 26) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (May 26) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2PM (Tue 26th May)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Best Surf 2PM (Tue 26th May)11ft (3.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 5PM (Tue 26th May)11ft (3.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Sun night, fresh winds from the NW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Tue night, calm by Thu night).

Saturday
23
Sunday
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Friday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
1
1
!
!
4
!
4
1
2
3
3
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
WNW
10
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.8
WNW
14
0.9
SW
15
0.9
WNW
13
1.2
WNW
12
2.5
WNW
14
3.5
WNW
14
3
WNW
13
2.5
WNW
12
3.5
WNW
11
2.5
WNW
11
1.9
WNW
10
1.1
W
18
1.4
WNW
16
1.4
WNW
15
1.4
WNW
14
2.1
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
201
203
203
157
186
276
331
294
399
2682
4889
2887
1903
3226
1539
740
777
1042
869
845
504
Wind (km/h)
20
S
15
SSW
10
SSW
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
W
15
WSW
15
WSW
30
NW
40
NW
40
WNW
25
NW
10
WNW
30
NW
15
NW
20
S
15
SW
10
SW
5
W
25
NW
35
NW
on
on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:50PM1.49m
7:11AM1.21m
8:33PM1.56m
8:34AM1.14m
9:12PM1.62m
9:51AM1.12m
9:46PM1.67m
10:59AM1.15m
10:17PM1.69m
11:59AM1.19m
10:47PM1.70m
12:51PM1.23m
11:16PM1.70m
Low Tide
1:08PM-0.02m
2:19AM0.53m
2:02PM0.12m
3:23AM0.36m
2:53PM0.27m
4:18AM0.19m
3:40PM0.41m
5:05AM0.05m
4:25PM0.55m
5:45AM-0.06m
5:07PM0.67m
6:22AM-0.14m
5:49PM0.77m
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:21
8:22
8:22
8:23
8:23
8:24
8:25
Temp °C
12
12
11
12
12
11
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
13
12
12
13
12
13
12
12
9
9
9
10
10
10
10
9
9
3
3
3
9
9
8
9
10
10
12
9
4
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
WNW
10
0.8
WNW
7
0.9
WNW
10
0.8
WNW
9
0.7
WNW
9
0.8
WNW
14
0.9
WNW
13
0.9
WNW
13
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
3
WNW
13
2.5
WNW
12
0.7
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
1.9
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
15
1.4
WNW
14
1.1
WNW
13
Energy kJ
196
61
151
98
75
276
303
294
335
310
314
2887
1903
183
136
740
500
370
869
845
451
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.6
WNW
10
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.6
WNW
9
0.9
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.2
S
9
0.2
S
10
0.2
S
9
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.1
W
24
0.4
WNW
22
0.8
WNW
19
1.1
W
18
1.4
WNW
16
1.3
WNW
9
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SSW
14
Energy kJ
201
65
203
157
186
56
331
171
7
7
7
302
214
11
154
502
777
1042
280
102
74
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
S
11
0.6
SW
16
0.3
S
12
0.4
WNW
16
0.5
W
16
0.6
SW
15
0.4
WNW
9
0.6
SSW
17
0.4
SSW
18
0.1
S
9
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
26
Energy kJ
23
203
25
87
129
171
30
202
102
2
131
123
121
89
18
26
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WNW
12
2.5
WNW
14
3.5
WNW
14
3
NW
9
3.5
WNW
11
2.5
WNW
11
1.7
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
8
Energy kJ
399
2682
4889
1147
3226
1539
429
504
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
3
3
4
Distance (km)
23
5
5
5
75
32
75
789
133
145
1122
48
0
145
0
50
75
32
17
145
133
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
1
4
4
4
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
3
3
3
4
4
3
9
2
5
4
4
4
4
5
4
3
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
5
9
9
7
7
6
6
7
9
5
5
5
5
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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