Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 am 18 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.7° C

Normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 18 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 20 Jun, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 24 Jun, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with 703 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 20 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 1.1m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 24) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jun 21) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sat 20th Jun)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Best Surf 2PM (Sat 20th Jun)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 2PM (Wed 24th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.4
NW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
371
361
348
318
319
204
418
496
258
314
305
305
206
156
208
127
251
327
316
671
307
Wind (km/h)
15
S
20
SSW
15
S
10
S
20
SSW
10
SSW
5
SW
20
NW
15
WNW
5
W
25
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
15
W
5
W
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
SW
5
WSW
15
WNW
5
S
Wind State
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
4:38PM1.47m
3:16AM1.66m
5:25PM1.51m
4:18AM1.45m
6:11PM1.55m
5:30AM1.26m
6:55PM1.60m
6:54AM1.11m
7:38PM1.64m
8:27AM1.05m
8:18PM1.68m
9:54AM1.07m
8:56PM1.71m
Low Tide
9:55AM-0.37m
10:10PM0.74m
10:44AM-0.23m
11:22PM0.67m
11:32AM-0.06m
00:38AM0.57m
12:21PM0.13m
1:51AM0.44m
1:12PM0.33m
2:57AM0.29m
2:05PM0.51m
3:54AM0.15m
2:59PM0.67m
4:43AM0.04m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
14
14
15
15
14
14
12
14
13
11
13
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
12
Feels °C
11
11
12
11
13
12
13
12
8
13
9
6
11
12
12
13
12
13
13
12
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
1
WNW
8
0.9
SW
14
1.3
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.4
NW
9
Energy kJ
371
361
348
318
251
198
418
496
258
147
305
215
122
89
69
66
223
327
316
671
307
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
11
0.8
WNW
11
0.7
NW
11
0.7
NW
11
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.4
NW
10
0.4
SSW
11
0.8
WNW
5
0.9
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
WNW
8
0.6
WNW
8
0.7
SW
14
0.9
NW
9
0.7
SW
16
Energy kJ
138
133
119
115
319
204
34
40
30
314
95
305
206
156
208
116
44
39
211
118
268
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.6
NW
10
0.5
S
12
0.4
SSW
11
0.3
WNW
10
0.6
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
S
11
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.5
SW
15
0.6
WNW
9
0.2
S
12
0.5
SW
13
Energy kJ
133
133
121
73
82
71
39
19
136
97
9
252
154
145
116
127
251
104
53
10
84
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
3
0.4
SSW
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.5
NW
10
0.9
NW
5
1.1
WNW
9
Energy kJ
4
4
4
4
5
49
39
186
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
2
1
4
3
Distance (km)
37
75
5
5
75
5
48
789
0
48
145
26
0
145
23
5
75
5
48
177
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
3
2
3
2
2
2
3
1
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
2
2
4
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
6
5
7
5
5
4
9
4
7
6
7
5
5
5
5
6
7
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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