Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 am 25 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.5° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 25 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 27 Jun, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 1 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, NW swell with 2,248 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 27 Jun, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 27) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jun 27) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sat 27th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Best Surf11PM (Sat 27th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 8AM (Wed 1st Jul)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, strong winds from the NW by Tue night).

Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
1
2
4
2
2
3
2
!
2
!
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
2.1
WNW
7
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
2.5
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.3
WNW
10
3
WNW
10
2.4
WNW
10
3
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
441
419
440
214
287
444
444
697
903
732
1020
1242
832
1261
1293
959
1084
1827
1080
1358
903
Wind (km/h)
10
W
45
WNW
40
NW
25
WNW
25
W
20
WNW
30
WNW
50
WNW
35
NW
15
NW
35
NW
30
NW
15
WNW
35
NW
30
NW
10
S
30
NW
40
NW
30
NW
45
WNW
35
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:05AM1.14m
9:33PM1.72m
12:02PM1.21m
10:10PM1.73m
12:50PM1.26m
10:46PM1.74m
1:30PM1.29m
11:23PM1.74m
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
Low Tide
3:53PM0.79m
5:26AM-0.05m
4:43PM0.87m
6:04AM-0.11m
5:30PM0.92m
6:41AM-0.15m
6:12PM0.94m
7:16AM-0.17m
6:52PM0.94m
7:49AM-0.18m
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
13
14
13
15
15
15
14
14
13
13
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
13
13
13
13
Feels °C
12
6
5
11
11
12
9
7
4
10
7
6
11
8
6
13
13
6
7
5
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
WNW
8
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
1.7
WNW
9
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
2.1
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
15
0.5
SW
20
2.1
WNW
10
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
Energy kJ
149
419
220
214
136
444
444
288
306
474
203
144
832
148
186
959
155
197
143
211
163
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
16
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.6
SW
19
0.2
WNW
9
0.2
W
13
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
10
0.7
SW
16
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
Energy kJ
441
45
175
183
287
8
14
2
2
258
22
18
142
45
110
102
80
53
44
44
97
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
W
15
0.1
W
14
0.2
WNW
13
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.3
SW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.2
S
10
0.1
S
10
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SSW
13
Energy kJ
2
2
2
2
4
4
17
22
18
72
109
96
8
2
18
33
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
WNW
7
2.1
WNW
7
1.4
WNW
6
1.1
WNW
5
0.8
WNW
5
1.3
WNW
5
2.5
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.3
WNW
10
3
WNW
10
2.4
WNW
10
3
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
9
Energy kJ
363
440
140
66
35
93
697
903
732
1020
1242
1261
1293
1084
1827
1080
1358
903
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
1
1
2
2
3
2
4
2
4
4
2
4
4
2
3
4
1
2
Distance (km)
457
145
144
145
430
48
430
2092
144
0
489
48
0
145
59
5
490
144
48
512
59
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
4
3
3
3
2
3
4
4
3
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
6
8
5
6
5
8
7
5
8
5
5
5
5
6
5
5
5
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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