Drakes Estero Surf Break
Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Drakes Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Weather Forecast for Drakes Estero

Issued: 4 pm 03 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.1° C

Normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 4 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 4 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 5 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with 2,406 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 4 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 04) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 20s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jun 05) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jun 08) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Thu 4th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Best Surf 8PM (Thu 4th Jun)11ft (3.5m) 9s
Most Powerful 8PM (Fri 5th Jun)13ft (4.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NW on Thu morning, near gales from the NW by Fri afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon night).

Wed
3
Thursday
4
Friday
5
Saturday
6
Sunday
7
Monday
8
Tuesday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
2
0
!
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
!
1
2
3
3
2
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WNW
7
2.4
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
3.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
8
3
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
24
0.6
SSW
23
0.9
SSW
21
1.1
SSW
20
1.2
SSW
19
2.5
WNW
8
1.2
SSW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
627
636
904
1781
1576
1384
2189
2016
911
1606
1350
716
1352
735
433
415
656
865
1077
811
887
Wind (km/h)
50
NW
40
NW
30
NW
45
NW
30
NW
30
NW
55
NW
50
NW
45
NW
55
NW
45
NW
30
NW
45
NW
40
NW
20
WNW
10
WNW
5
WSW
30
WNW
35
WNW
40
NW
35
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:21PM1.24m
2:10AM1.55m
4:59PM1.25m
2:54AM1.47m
5:38PM1.27m
3:43AM1.37m
6:15PM1.32m
4:41AM1.26m
6:51PM1.39m
5:54AM1.14m
7:26PM1.49m
7:22AM1.07m
8:02PM1.60m
8:54AM1.07m
Low Tide
9:07PM0.93m
9:56AM-0.15m
9:57PM0.92m
10:37AM-0.10m
10:59PM0.88m
11:19AM-0.03m
00:10AM0.80m
12:03PM0.06m
1:21AM0.67m
12:51PM0.18m
2:24AM0.49m
1:40PM0.32m
3:19AM0.27m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:29
8:30
8:30
8:30
8:31
8:31
8:32
8:32
 mm
Temp °C
15
12
12
13
12
14
14
12
13
12
11
12
12
11
13
14
14
13
13
12
13
Feels °C
5
4
6
4
3
8
6
2
4
2
0
6
4
1
10
12
14
8
6
4
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.9
SW
19
1.1
SW
19
1.1
SW
19
1.1
SW
18
1.1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.9
SSW
21
1.1
SSW
20
1.2
SSW
19
1.1
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
18
Energy kJ
223
167
524
949
891
781
679
567
437
371
367
295
232
217
211
208
656
865
1077
777
887
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
20
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
16
0.2
S
13
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
26
0.2
SSW
26
0.6
SSW
24
0.6
SSW
23
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.8
NW
11
Energy kJ
186
252
169
258
13
3
13
64
433
415
160
123
85
66
153
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
14
0.5
SW
21
0.6
SW
14
0.2
S
12
0.1
W
19
0.1
W
17
0.1
SW
19
0.1
W
16
0.3
SSW
18
0.2
W
18
0.2
W
16
Energy kJ
14
222
169
12
7
6
14
5
61
25
20
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WNW
7
2.4
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
3
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
3.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
3.5
WNW
8
3
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
9
3
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
7
1.3
WNW
5
0.9
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
9
Energy kJ
627
636
904
1781
1576
1384
2189
2016
911
1606
1350
716
1352
735
307
90
91
581
610
811
513
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
3
4
4
3
3
3
2
3
3
3
2
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
Distance (km)
144
48
48
145
42
48
144
144
145
147
144
26
145
143
116
0
0
144
147
144
147
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
4
3
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
4
3
5
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
5
5
6
9
9
9
9
8
7
8
7
6
6
6
8
9
8
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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