Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 pm 27 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.9° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 28 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 1 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, NW swell with 2,794 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 28 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 2.2m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 8AM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Wed 1st Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the ESE by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, strong winds from the NW by Thu night).

Sat
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
2
1
1
3
1
!
2
3
!
3
3
3
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
3
NW
10
2.1
WNW
11
2.2
WNW
11
3.5
NW
11
2.1
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
NW
9
1.8
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
8
1.9
NW
7
1.6
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
553
1084
630
1020
1314
849
794
1861
934
1102
2794
882
1149
1180
993
486
572
372
255
372
243
Wind (km/h)
50
NW
45
NW
20
NW
40
NW
35
NW
10
W
30
NW
25
NW
15
SSE
15
WNW
20
NW
10
SW
25
WNW
25
NW
20
NW
40
WNW
40
NW
30
NW
40
NW
20
NW
10
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
High Tide
10:46PM1.74m
1:30PM1.29m
11:23PM1.74m
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
2:36AM1.51m
Low Tide
5:30PM0.92m
6:41AM-0.15m
6:12PM0.94m
7:16AM-0.17m
6:52PM0.94m
7:49AM-0.18m
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
9:34PM0.83m
10:00AM-0.06m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
13
14
14
13
15
14
13
14
14
12
14
14
12
13
14
13
14
14
13
15
Feels °C
7
4
10
8
5
13
11
7
12
13
7
13
12
7
9
7
4
9
8
5
14
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
2
WNW
9
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
2.1
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
15
2.4
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
11
2.2
WNW
11
2.5
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
10
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
1.8
WNW
9
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
1.3
WNW
7
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
1.3
WNW
8
Energy kJ
288
306
630
203
144
849
150
1124
934
1102
1597
882
211
163
508
229
207
183
255
203
243
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
10
0.7
SW
16
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
20
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
17
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
16
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.2
W
15
0.2
W
14
0.5
SW
14
Energy kJ
2
2
258
22
18
144
45
186
102
199
252
235
44
96
201
6
75
171
17
16
102
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.3
SW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.2
SSW
21
0.1
SW
21
0.3
SSW
13
0.2
SSW
19
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
WNW
14
Energy kJ
22
18
72
110
96
80
52
44
18
33
37
9
9
9
9
44
37
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
3
NW
10
3.5
NW
11
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.5
NW
9
1.8
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
8
1.9
NW
7
1.6
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
8
Energy kJ
553
1084
1020
1314
794
1861
2794
1149
1180
993
486
572
372
236
372
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
3
4
2
3
3
1
4
3
2
2
2
1
3
2
Distance (km)
1637
144
26
145
48
26
145
48
5
490
48
48
490
23
26
512
144
26
147
23
5
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
3
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
3
3
4
4
2
3
4
2
3
4
3
4
4
2
3
3
2
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
5
9
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
9
6
5
5
5
4
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Drakes Estero:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Drakes Estero surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest