Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Wednesday 18 Mar 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.5° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Mar 19) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Mar 26) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Friday (Mar 20) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 19th Mar)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 8PM (Sat 21st Mar)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 26th Mar)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Thu morning, strong winds from the NW by Sat afternoon).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat night, light winds from the NW by Sun morning).

Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Tuesday
24
Wed
25
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
!
3
2
2
2
3
2
1
1
0
3
!
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.6
SSW
0.7
W
1
W
0.8
WSW
1
W
1.2
W
0.9
W
1.9
WNW
3
WNW
3
NW
1.9
WNW
2.3
NW
1.7
WNW
1.6
WNW
1.4
NW
1.4
WNW
1
WNW
0.6
SW
0.6
SW
2.5
WNW
3.5
WNW
Period(s) (?)14101012121111881010101011111211181889
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)140962121832713502024691018174572510555536064855542651971928291670
Wind
(km/h)
15
NNW
10
N
20
NW
10
NNW
10
NW
20
NW
25
NW
40
NW
45
NW
20
NNW
10
NW
25
NW
15
NW
20
NW
25
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
20
NW
45
NW
25
NNW
40
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offcross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:54AM
1.58
1:08PM
1.52
1:22AM
1.67
2:02PM
1.44
1:53AM
1.73
2:59PM
1.35
2:28AM
1.77
4:05PM
1.25
3:09AM
1.77
5:24PM
1.17
3:58AM
1.73
6:54PM
1.15
5:01AM
1.66
Low Tide
/ height (m)
7:23AM
0.15
7:30PM
0.17
8:06AM
0.02
8:04PM
0.32
8:52AM
-0.07
8:42PM
0.48
9:43AM
-0.12
9:23PM
0.64
10:41AM
-0.12
10:13PM
0.78
11:48AM
-0.10
11:24PM
0.89
1:05PM
-0.08
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Monday
23
Tuesday
24
Wed
25
Sunrise-7:16--7:15--7:13--7:11--7:11--7:09--7:07-
Sunset--7:22--7:22--7:23--7:24--7:25--7:27--7:28
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C19212420191813121310131110111112121211911
Feels °C (?)1520211717158551116575788833
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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