Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 10 pm 28 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
14.4° C

1.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 29 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 30 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 30 Jun, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,993 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 29 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jun 29) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 30) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Mon 29th Jun)7.5ft (2.3m) 10s
Best Surf 2AM (Tue 30th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 2AM (Tue 30th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun night, calm by Wed morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sun
5
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
4
1
!
2
4
!
2
2
2
2
1
3
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
3
NW
10
2
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
11
3
NW
10
2
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
2
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
0.7
SW
16
1.5
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1180
832
711
1993
826
934
1972
809
590
687
452
339
525
232
255
240
165
222
294
270
750
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
10
WNW
25
NW
25
NW
10
SSE
15
WNW
15
NNW
15
SSE
5
SW
10
SSE
10
SSW
30
NW
15
NW
10
SSW
15
NW
15
WNW
10
W
25
WNW
25
NW
30
NW
50
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:23PM1.74m
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
2:36AM1.51m
4:40PM1.41m
3:23AM1.39m
5:12PM1.48m
Low Tide
7:16AM-0.17m
6:52PM0.94m
7:49AM-0.18m
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
9:34PM0.83m
10:00AM-0.06m
10:27PM0.77m
10:35AM0.05m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
13
15
14
13
14
14
12
15
14
13
14
14
12
14
14
12
13
13
12
13
14
Feels °C
6
13
10
7
12
13
8
13
12
12
13
12
6
13
13
8
12
10
7
8
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
15
2.1
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
15
2.5
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
11
2.4
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
1.3
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
Energy kJ
144
832
150
1231
826
934
1193
809
590
687
452
181
207
232
183
201
102
140
140
252
249
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
22
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
20
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.2
W
14
0.3
W
14
0.5
SW
19
0.4
WNW
13
0.4
WNW
12
0.4
SW
13
Energy kJ
18
144
44
186
102
199
197
235
211
163
201
6
75
142
255
16
33
184
55
50
44
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
22
0.3
SW
21
0.2
S
11
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
SSW
19
0.2
W
17
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.3
WNW
13
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
13
0.2
SSW
24
Energy kJ
18
72
9
110
96
80
53
44
44
97
37
22
9
9
17
44
63
35
96
44
55
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
3
NW
10
3
NW
10
1.5
WNW
9
2
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
8
Energy kJ
1180
711
1993
1972
339
525
240
165
222
294
270
750
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
2
4
4
4
2
4
1
3
2
1
3
1
2
3
1
1
3
2
1
Distance (km)
48
0
145
26
5
0
1
5
490
5
48
490
0
48
1
0
430
145
32
48
147
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
2
3
1
2
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
2
4
4
4
4
4
2
4
3
2
4
2
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
9
5
5
5
6
6
6
6
6
6
8
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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