Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 pm 11 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.1° C

1.3°C colder than average for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 12 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 16 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 16 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 834 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 13 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 13) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s is also forecast. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sat 13th Jun)2ft (0.6m) 18s
Best Surf 8PM (Tue 16th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 16th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
Monday
15
Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
4
0
1
2
2
0
2
2
0
1
2
1
3
3
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
10
0.9
SSW
14
1.2
WNW
10
0.8
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SW
21
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.9
SW
19
0.8
SW
18
1
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
578
584
325
325
261
198
209
232
229
326
191
191
330
543
373
723
614
442
595
499
371
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
20
SE
15
SSE
10
SSW
10
SSE
15
SSE
10
S
5
SSE
10
S
10
S
5
SSW
5
WSW
15
WNW
5
NW
10
SSW
5
SW
10
S
5
WSW
15
W
10
WSW
15
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
9:19PM1.83m
11:26AM1.21m
10:02PM1.93m
12:27PM1.29m
10:49PM2.00m
1:22PM1.35m
11:39PM2.03m
2:14PM1.39m
00:31AM2.02m
3:03PM1.42m
1:24AM1.95m
3:51PM1.44m
2:19AM1.83m
Low Tide
3:25PM0.61m
4:58AM-0.17m
4:18PM0.72m
5:47AM-0.34m
5:12PM0.80m
6:36AM-0.47m
6:07PM0.84m
7:26AM-0.53m
7:03PM0.84m
8:16AM-0.53m
8:01PM0.82m
9:06AM-0.48m
9:03PM0.79m
9:55AM-0.37m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:34
8:34
8:35
8:35
8:36
8:36
8:36
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
17
12
14
15
14
14
15
13
16
16
14
16
15
11
15
15
14
11
12
11
11
Feels °C
14
11
12
14
13
12
14
13
15
15
14
15
13
9
13
13
13
10
10
9
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
10
1
WNW
10
1.2
WNW
10
0.9
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
10
0.7
WNW
10
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.9
WNW
9
1.2
NW
9
1.2
WNW
9
1
WNW
9
1
WNW
11
Energy kJ
578
584
325
222
261
123
108
115
229
326
191
191
330
207
373
723
148
242
221
154
242
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.6
W
10
0.6
WNW
10
0.6
WNW
10
0.6
WNW
10
0.6
SW
21
0.8
SW
21
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
NW
9
0.9
SW
19
0.8
SW
18
1
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
Energy kJ
475
334
325
325
210
198
198
195
68
74
80
75
287
543
204
84
614
442
595
499
371
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
21
0.2
SSW
21
0.6
NW
9
0.4
SSW
19
0.5
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.4
WNW
9
0.5
WNW
9
0.7
NW
10
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
12
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
13
Energy kJ
9
42
47
145
180
209
232
131
81
83
82
35
45
98
156
151
160
85
158
98
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
3
0.3
S
3
0.2
S
3
Energy kJ
2
2
1
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
4
3
2
1
3
3
Distance (km)
0
5
5
5
5
37
5
5
5
5
0
75
0
0
5
75
5
490
145
48
5
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
3
1
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
3
4
3
4
4
3
3
4
2
3
3
4
4
4
3
2
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
9
4
5
5
4
4
4
5
9
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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