Drakes Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into what's happening at Drakes Estero.

To be honest, the first few days are a bit of a bummer. We're looking at a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions, with a lot of wind. The water temp is about average for July, nothing to write home about. The best you can hope for in the near term is some clean but ankle-to-knee-high surf.

The first real sign of life doesn't show up until Tuesday, July 28th. The morning session at Drakes Estero should see some clean 3 ft swell from the SW, with a moderate cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate (1012), and it's one of the few days that gets a decent nod. It's not a standout, but it's the best of a pretty average bunch. The afternoon, however, gets messy with an 8 ft, short-period WNW swell that'll be too big and lumpy for most.

We then drift back into small, clean, but ultimately weak surf for the rest of the week and into the start of August. It's all in the 2 ft to 4 ft range, barely pushing over 3 ft, and the wind is a constant, strong cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate, but it's just not offering much to get excited about.

Then, out of the blue, we get a proper standout. On Sunday, August 2nd, the morning session looks like the real deal. We're looking at a 6 ft NW swell, which is a solid size, but the period is a short 8 seconds. For a spot like this, that shorter period might actually help it shape up better, but it's still a powerful wave. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze, so it'll be clean. The combined energy is strong (1072), and the forecast is calling it excellent for experienced surfers. This is your window. It's a bit of a wait, but it's worth keeping an eye on. After that, things drop off again into small, marginal surf as we head into the second week.

So, to sum it up: a lot of waiting, a few small, clean windows, and one big, promising morning on August 2nd. Keep your expectations low for the rest of it.

Rusty.

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