Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Wednesday 27 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.8° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)

Drakes Estero surf forecast from 28 May 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 30 May, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 29 May, 5PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, WNW swell with 1,464 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 28 May, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 11s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 28) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 1.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (May 29) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Thu 28th May)6ft (1.9m) 11s
Best Surf 5PM (Sat 30th May)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 5PM (Fri 29th May)6ft (1.9m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Wed
27
Thursday
28
Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sunday
31
Monday
1
Tuesday
2
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
2
3
4
3
1
1
!
3
4
2
3
4
3
3
2
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WNW
11
1.9
WNW
11
0.9
WNW
18
1.2
WNW
18
1.4
WNW
16
1.5
W
15
1.9
WNW
14
1.1
WNW
13
1.7
WNW
8
3
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
11
1.9
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
10
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
1.7
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
8
2.2
NW
7
0.8
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1208
778
570
929
1029
978
1464
444
403
1121
787
815
815
848
470
614
587
464
750
476
287
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
5
SSW
5
ESE
25
NW
20
WNW
15
WNW
25
NW
30
NW
35
NW
45
NW
25
NNW
10
WNW
30
NW
20
NW
10
NW
25
NW
20
NW
20
NW
35
NW
40
NW
35
NW
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:17PM1.69m
11:59AM1.19m
10:47PM1.70m
12:51PM1.23m
11:16PM1.70m
1:39PM1.25m
11:46PM1.69m
2:22PM1.26m
00:18AM1.68m
3:03PM1.26m
00:53AM1.65m
3:43PM1.25m
1:31AM1.61m
Low Tide
4:25PM0.55m
5:45AM-0.06m
5:07PM0.67m
6:22AM-0.14m
5:49PM0.77m
6:57AM-0.18m
6:29PM0.85m
7:32AM-0.20m
7:08PM0.90m
8:06AM-0.20m
7:46PM0.92m
8:42AM-0.20m
8:25PM0.93m
9:18AM-0.18m
clear
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:23
8:24
8:25
8:27
8:27
8:28
8:29
8:29
5
1
Temp °C
13
11
16
15
13
12
12
11
11
11
10
13
12
11
13
13
11
12
12
12
14
10
9
15
12
8
9
9
6
4
3
1
10
8
5
11
10
6
8
6
3
7
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WNW
11
1.9
WNW
11
1.4
WNW
10
1.2
WNW
18
1.4
WNW
16
1.5
W
15
0.6
SSW
14
1.1
WNW
13
1
WNW
13
0.4
SSW
14
1.1
WNW
11
1.9
WNW
11
0.7
SW
20
0.9
SW
19
1.6
WNW
10
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
Energy kJ
1208
778
371
929
1029
978
133
444
361
77
296
815
392
540
461
614
587
464
371
362
287
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.9
WNW
18
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.1
SW
21
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.3
SW
24
0.5
SW
22
0.6
SW
21
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
13
0.9
SW
18
0.1
S
15
0.2
S
15
0.1
SW
22
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
20
Energy kJ
183
136
570
123
121
121
18
91
73
87
229
355
66
42
470
4
17
18
43
134
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
24
0.5
W
21
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.1
S
21
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
26
0.2
SSW
19
0.2
SSW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.5
SW
15
0.2
S
15
0.2
S
14
0.3
W
13
Energy kJ
11
233
131
163
91
9
18
26
37
32
44
41
41
106
17
16
30
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
E
3
1.3
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
9
0.9
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
14
1.7
WNW
7
1.7
WNW
8
3
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
8
2.2
NW
7
1.7
WNW
6
Energy kJ
5
346
261
105
1464
311
403
1121
787
815
848
461
500
419
750
476
231
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
3
4
3
4
2
2
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
3
2
3
2
Distance (km)
145
0
0
109
26
0
26
32
48
145
17
0
145
23
0
145
23
32
145
135
145
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
4
3
2
4
4
4
4
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
2
2
4
4
3
4
4
2
4
3
2
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
9
9
6
5
5
5
5
7
7
5
5
5
4
4
4
5
5
5
4
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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