Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 pm 28 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.9° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 29 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 28 Jun, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 1 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, NW swell with 2,152 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 28 Jun, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 28) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 24s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf11PM (Sun 28th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 5AM (Wed 1st Jul)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun night, calm by Tue morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NW by Thu night).

Sun
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
4
1
2
3
3
3
2
3
!
2
1
2
2
1
2
0
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
2.2
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
2.2
WNW
11
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
11
3
NW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
2.4
NW
9
1.3
WNW
8
0.7
SW
16
1.2
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.5
SW
19
1.2
WNW
8
0.6
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
975
1374
961
778
1256
882
1062
1480
917
742
1673
533
370
890
226
255
201
130
184
150
252
Wind (km/h)
40
NW
40
NW
10
WNW
25
NW
25
NW
10
S
20
NW
20
NNW
15
SSE
15
WNW
5
SSE
10
S
25
NW
35
NW
10
W
25
NW
10
WNW
15
S
15
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:23PM1.74m
2:06PM1.30m
00:00AM1.73m
2:39PM1.30m
00:38AM1.71m
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
2:36AM1.51m
4:40PM1.41m
3:23AM1.39m
Low Tide
6:12PM0.94m
7:16AM-0.17m
6:52PM0.94m
7:49AM-0.18m
7:29PM0.92m
8:22AM-0.19m
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
9:34PM0.83m
10:00AM-0.06m
10:27PM0.77m
10:35AM0.05m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
12
15
14
12
15
14
13
14
14
12
13
14
12
13
Feels °C
9
5
12
11
7
13
13
8
13
13
10
14
12
8
12
12
8
11
12
9
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
2.2
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
15
0.5
SW
20
2.1
WNW
10
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
2.1
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
11
2.2
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
1
WNW
7
Energy kJ
203
144
961
148
186
882
199
197
917
742
964
533
370
444
226
183
188
130
91
91
101
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
SW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SW
18
Energy kJ
22
18
144
45
110
102
80
53
235
211
163
201
229
207
104
255
201
102
140
140
252
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
24
0.1
SW
22
0.3
SW
21
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.2
S
10
0.1
S
10
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
SSW
19
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
0.2
W
14
0.3
WNW
14
0.5
SW
19
0.4
WNW
13
0.5
W
12
Energy kJ
22
18
72
110
96
8
2
44
44
97
37
6
75
9
17
16
37
184
55
78
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
10
2
WNW
10
2.5
WNW
10
2.2
WNW
11
2.5
WNW
10
3
NW
10
2.4
NW
9
1.2
WNW
8
Energy kJ
975
1374
778
1256
1062
1480
1673
890
150
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
2
4
4
2
3
4
3
3
3
2
4
2
1
2
2
2
1
1
Distance (km)
144
48
0
145
24
5
490
48
5
0
48
5
490
32
0
145
0
5
0
26
48
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
4
3
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
2
4
4
2
3
4
3
4
4
2
4
2
2
3
3
3
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
5
7
5
9
5
6
6
7
9
7
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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