Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 10 pm 15 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.2° C

Normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 16 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 16 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 16 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 834 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 16 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 21s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 16) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jun 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Tue 16th Jun)2.5ft (0.7m) 21s
Best Surf 8PM (Tue 16th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 16th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tuesday
16
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Mon
22
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
3
2
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
21
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.8
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
1.4
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
543
373
723
520
522
595
575
371
361
348
322
316
204
418
496
258
334
356
394
272
256
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
SW
15
S
10
SSW
15
S
20
S
20
SSW
20
S
20
SSE
15
SSW
10
WSW
20
WNW
25
WNW
25
NW
10
WNW
20
WNW
10
W
15
SW
10
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
00:31AM2.02m
3:03PM1.42m
1:24AM1.95m
3:51PM1.44m
2:19AM1.83m
4:38PM1.47m
3:16AM1.66m
5:25PM1.51m
4:18AM1.45m
6:11PM1.55m
5:30AM1.26m
6:55PM1.60m
6:54AM1.11m
7:38PM1.64m
Low Tide
8:16AM-0.53m
8:01PM0.82m
9:06AM-0.48m
9:03PM0.79m
9:55AM-0.37m
10:10PM0.74m
10:44AM-0.23m
11:22PM0.67m
11:32AM-0.06m
00:38AM0.57m
12:21PM0.13m
1:51AM0.44m
1:12PM0.33m
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:36
8:36
8:36
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
12
14
15
14
13
14
13
14
14
13
13
14
14
13
12
12
13
13
12
13
14
Feels °C
10
13
14
14
10
12
11
11
11
10
10
11
11
11
8
6
11
10
8
11
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SW
20
1
SW
19
0.8
SW
19
0.9
WNW
9
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
1
WNW
11
0.9
NW
11
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
NW
10
0.7
NW
10
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
1.3
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
10
Energy kJ
207
373
723
520
132
595
575
230
172
348
322
106
102
418
496
249
334
356
394
272
256
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
21
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
NW
9
0.9
SW
18
0.9
WNW
9
0.9
WNW
11
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
WNW
11
0.6
WNW
8
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
NW
10
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SSW
13
Energy kJ
543
204
156
83
522
129
186
371
361
146
44
203
198
102
90
258
318
305
305
206
118
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
WNW
9
0.4
WNW
8
0.5
WNW
9
0.8
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
13
0.6
S
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
13
0.5
S
12
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
11
0.6
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
Energy kJ
45
28
47
198
158
120
93
123
133
95
73
316
204
41
40
108
97
95
252
154
145
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
3
0.5
S
4
0.5
S
4
0.4
S
4
0.5
S
4
0.3
SSW
3
1.1
NW
10
Energy kJ
6
7
7
4
6
2
220
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
4
3
1
4
2
3
Distance (km)
0
5
240
23
37
5
23
37
75
23
37
5
23
48
147
24
0
145
32
48
75
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
4
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
4
3
4
3
2
4
2
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
4
4
5
5
5
9
6
6
5
4
6
9
4
9
7
9
6
7
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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