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Drakes Estero Surf Forecast
/ CAL – Marin County (14 breaks) / California (404 breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA
16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Tuesday 12 May 2026 PDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.7° C
(Which is normal for this time of year)Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:
The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 2.1m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 17) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (May 13) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 14th May) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Thu 14th May) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 17th May) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu morning, near gales from the NW by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NW on Sat afternoon, moderate winds from the NW by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 13 | Thursday 14 | Friday 15 | Saturday 16 | Sunday 17 | Monday 18 | Tue 19 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 7 | W 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | |
236 | 917 | 537 | 397 | 793 | 891 | 1318 | 919 | 1676 | 1480 | 1363 | 2001 | 2538 | 2159 | 2643 | 1716 | 997 | 1220 | 886 | 661 | 500 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | |
High Tide | 9:36PM1.56m | 10:15AM1.21m | 10:07PM1.68m | 11:20AM1.26m | 10:41PM1.79m | 12:22PM1.31m | 11:19PM1.88m | 1:21PM1.34m | 00:00AM1.94m | 2:19PM1.36m | 00:46AM1.95m | 3:16PM1.36m | 1:35AM1.91m | 4:14PM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:36AM0.17m | 4:12PM0.35m | 5:19AM-0.05m | 4:55PM0.47m | 6:03AM-0.24m | 5:40PM0.59m | 6:49AM-0.40m | 6:26PM0.69m | 7:36AM-0.49m | 7:15PM0.77m | 8:27AM-0.52m | 8:09PM0.82m | 9:19AM-0.48m | ||||||||
 | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
 | 8:12 | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:17 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 |
4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 14 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | W 12 | WNW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | W 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | SSW 16 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 |
 kJ | 236 | 123 | 88 | 397 | 793 | 264 | 220 | 229 | 193 | 215 | 148 | 140 | 140 | 78 | 46 | 45 | 997 | 51 | 886 | 661 | 500 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | W 19 | WNW 17 | S 10 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | — | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | W 16 | WNW 15 | W 14 |
| kJ | 140 | 37 | 81 | 120 | 179 | 55 | 7 | 59 | 2 | 209 | 15 | 15 | — | 12 | 31 | 31 | 68 | 16 | 132 | 284 | 494 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSW 19 | S 10 | SW 18 | SW 13 | W 20 | S 10 | — | — | W 20 | SW 19 | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SSW 13 | W 18 | SW 17 | SSW 15 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 2 | 37 | 2 | 81 | 42 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 7 | 15 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 34 | 25 | 45 | 44 | 42 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 11 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | — | WNW 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 97 | 917 | 537 | 345 | 547 | 891 | 1318 | 919 | 1676 | 1480 | 1363 | 2001 | 2538 | 2159 | 2643 | 1716 | — | 1220 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 60 | 145 | 147 | 17 | 0 | 145 | 48 | 145 | 144 | 30 | 147 | 512 | 144 | 144 | 147 | 59 | 26 | 144 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Drakes Estero surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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