Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 pm 18 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
12.7° C

Normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 19 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 22 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 24 Jun, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with 703 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 21 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jun 21) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 1.1m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jun 24) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jun 20) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sun 21st Jun)2.5ft (0.7m) 13s
Best Surf 8AM (Mon 22nd Jun)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Most Powerful 2PM (Wed 24th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
2
2
3
2
0
2
0
1
1
2
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
1.6
NW
8
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
361
348
318
319
204
418
496
258
314
305
381
203
180
208
127
251
327
316
671
268
441
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
15
S
15
SSE
15
SSW
10
SSW
10
SW
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
WSW
20
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
5
W
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
SW
5
SW
15
WNW
10
NW
10
WNW
Wind State
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:38PM1.47m
3:16AM1.66m
5:25PM1.51m
4:18AM1.45m
6:11PM1.55m
5:30AM1.26m
6:55PM1.60m
6:54AM1.11m
7:38PM1.64m
8:27AM1.05m
8:18PM1.68m
9:54AM1.07m
8:56PM1.71m
11:05AM1.14m
Low Tide
10:10PM0.74m
10:44AM-0.23m
11:22PM0.67m
11:32AM-0.06m
00:38AM0.57m
12:21PM0.13m
1:51AM0.44m
1:12PM0.33m
2:57AM0.29m
2:05PM0.51m
3:54AM0.15m
2:59PM0.67m
4:43AM0.04m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
14
15
15
14
14
12
14
13
12
13
14
13
14
15
13
14
14
12
14
Feels °C
12
12
11
13
12
13
12
8
13
10
8
11
12
11
12
14
12
13
12
10
13
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
1
WNW
8
0.9
SW
14
1.3
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
8
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.9
NW
9
1.1
SW
17
1.2
NW
9
1.2
WNW
9
Energy kJ
361
348
318
251
198
418
496
258
150
305
222
116
92
71
50
223
327
120
671
237
197
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
11
0.8
WNW
11
0.8
WNW
10
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
NW
10
0.4
SSW
11
0.7
WNW
5
0.9
SW
15
0.4
SW
19
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
13
0.7
WNW
7
0.7
WNW
8
0.7
SW
18
0.9
WNW
9
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
Energy kJ
133
133
125
319
204
47
40
23
314
95
305
203
180
208
116
48
56
316
148
268
441
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
S
13
0.6
S
12
0.6
NW
10
0.5
S
12
0.4
SSW
11
0.3
WNW
10
0.6
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.3
S
11
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.5
SW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.2
S
12
0.5
SW
13
0.4
WNW
11
Energy kJ
133
121
104
82
71
39
20
136
97
20
252
154
145
116
127
251
104
211
10
84
47
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
3
0.4
S
3
0.4
SSW
4
0.4
SSW
4
0.5
NW
9
1
WNW
9
1.6
NW
8
Energy kJ
4
4
4
4
43
165
381
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
2
1
3
3
3
Distance (km)
5
5
5
5
5
48
789
26
48
145
26
0
145
0
5
75
5
48
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
3
2
2
2
3
1
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
3
3
3
2
4
2
2
4
3
2
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
4
4
5
8
9
7
7
6
6
6
5
6
5
5
7
6
7
9
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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