Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 am 19 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.0° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 19 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 25 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 25 Jun, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with 1,465 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 20 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jun 20) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 25) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jun 21) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sat 20th Jun)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Best Surf 8PM (Thu 25th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 25th Jun)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the NW by Wed night).

Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Wednesday
24
Thursday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
1.5
NW
9
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.3
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
NW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
318
319
204
418
496
258
314
342
305
203
180
208
154
251
327
316
671
268
441
986
1057
Wind (km/h)
15
S
15
SSW
10
SSW
10
SW
20
WNW
20
WNW
10
WSW
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
W
5
WSW
10
SSW
10
W
10
WNW
10
SSW
20
WNW
35
NW
20
NW
35
NW
20
NW
Wind State
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:25PM1.51m
4:18AM1.45m
6:11PM1.55m
5:30AM1.26m
6:55PM1.60m
6:54AM1.11m
7:38PM1.64m
8:27AM1.05m
8:18PM1.68m
9:54AM1.07m
8:56PM1.71m
11:05AM1.14m
9:33PM1.72m
Low Tide
10:44AM-0.23m
11:22PM0.67m
11:32AM-0.06m
00:38AM0.57m
12:21PM0.13m
1:51AM0.44m
1:12PM0.33m
2:57AM0.29m
2:05PM0.51m
3:54AM0.15m
2:59PM0.67m
4:43AM0.04m
3:53PM0.79m
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:48
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
15
16
15
14
14
13
14
13
12
13
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
13
13
13
13
Feels °C
13
14
13
13
11
10
13
10
8
11
12
11
13
12
12
13
12
8
10
8
8
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
15
0.8
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
1
SW
15
1
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
1
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
9
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
0.7
WNW
8
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.3
WNW
9
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SW
15
Energy kJ
318
251
198
418
496
258
157
211
207
128
111
78
59
223
327
316
671
258
441
419
220
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
WNW
10
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.4
NW
9
0.4
SSW
11
0.6
SW
13
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
WNW
8
0.6
WNW
8
0.7
SW
14
0.9
NW
9
0.7
SW
16
0.1
S
11
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
19
Energy kJ
97
319
204
31
40
136
314
305
305
203
180
208
154
58
46
211
118
268
2
45
175
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
12
0.6
WNW
9
0.5
S
12
0.4
SSW
11
0.3
WNW
10
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SW
20
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
17
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
19
0.5
SW
15
0.6
NW
9
0.2
S
12
0.5
SW
13
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
Energy kJ
104
58
71
39
20
134
97
95
252
154
145
116
127
251
104
61
10
84
2
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
3
0.4
S
3
0.3
SSW
4
0.5
NW
10
0.8
WNW
5
1.5
NW
9
1.6
WNW
9
2.5
WNW
9
2.5
NW
9
Energy kJ
2
3
2
46
31
342
377
986
1057
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
1
3
3
2
3
2
1
2
4
3
2
4
Distance (km)
5
5
5
48
789
24
48
145
26
48
240
23
5
240
0
48
490
32
32
145
23
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
3
2
3
1
3
2
3
1
1
2
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
2
4
2
2
4
2
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
4
3
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
5
5
8
9
6
7
5
6
5
5
6
5
6
6
6
8
8
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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