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Surf Forecasts:

Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 9 am Monday 16 Feb 2026 PST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.9° C
 (Which is 1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Feb 17) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 12 days are 4.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Feb 18) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Feb 19) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (PST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Tue 17th Feb)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Tue 17th Feb)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 18th Feb)13ft (4.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent 
12 DaysHourly
Print Table

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon afternoon, calm by Wed night).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds.

Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
!
0
!
!
!
3
4
1
!
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
See all maps
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.4
WNW
1.4
WNW
2.5
WNW
3
W
3.5
W
3.5
W
4
WNW
3
W
2.2
W
2.1
WSW
2.5
WNW
3
WNW
1.7
WNW
1.4
WNW
1.1
WNW
0.7
WNW
0.7
W
1.6
SSW
3
S
3.5
SSW
2.2
W
Period(s) (?)13131081113131312101010101099868911
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)7006131422103530353495462432531435784139419965613651938268200111422831130
Wind
(km/h)
10
SE
30
WNW
35
WNW
35
W
40
W
30
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
10
E
10
NNE
35
NW
15
N
5
SE
10
SSW
15
ESE
15
E
20
SE
30
SE
35
SE
55
SSE
40
SSE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on		cross-
off		cross-
off		crosscrosscross-
off		cross-
off		cross-
off		crosscross-
off		cross-
off		offcross-
on		oncross-
on		crosscross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
on		cross-
on		on
High Tide
/ height (m)
10:44AM
1.73
12:23AM
1.41
11:26AM
1.70
12:48AM
1.47
12:09PM
1.64
1:14AM
1.54
12:55PM
1.55
1:42AM
1.61
1:47PM
1.42
2:12AM
1.67
2:47PM
1.28
2:48AM
1.71
4:04PM
1.15
3:31AM
1.73
Low Tide
/ height (m)
6:05PM
-0.16
6:03AM
0.60
6:35PM
-0.13
6:41AM
0.49
7:05PM
-0.05
7:23AM
0.39
7:36PM
0.07
8:09AM
0.29
8:10PM
0.23
9:00AM
0.21
8:46PM
0.42
9:59AM
0.15
9:27PM
0.61
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Sunrise7:00--6:58--6:58--6:56--6:54--6:54--6:52--
Sunset-5:51--5:52--5:52--5:53--5:54--5:55--5:57-
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
Rain (mm)
124934----1-------2129
Temp. °C111211109899989799991111121214
Feels °C (?)952-10034731-15653545111
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Drakes Estero surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.

View detailed surf forecast for Drakes Estero at:
surf-forecast.com

Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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