Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Friday 22 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.0° C
(Which is 1.2°C colder than average for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 24) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (May 27) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (May 27) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sun 24th May)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Best Surf11PM (Tue 26th May)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 2AM (Wed 27th May)10ft (3.0m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Wed morning).

Saturday
23
Sunday
24
Monday
25
Tuesday
26
Wednesday
27
Thursday
28
Fri
29
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
!
3
0
!
3
2
!
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
1
WNW
10
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.8
WNW
14
0.9
SW
15
1
WNW
13
1.4
WNW
12
1.4
WNW
14
4
WNW
9
3
WNW
13
2.2
WNW
12
3
WNW
11
3.5
NW
11
2.1
WNW
10
1.2
W
18
3
NW
10
1.5
W
15
2.4
NW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
251
226
203
203
157
186
276
331
317
527
765
2536
2801
1319
2023
2699
848
919
1456
1046
1049
Wind (km/h)
15
S
20
SSE
15
S
10
SSW
10
S
10
W
5
WSW
10
WSW
15
W
40
NW
50
NW
55
NW
35
NW
20
NW
55
NW
20
NNW
25
NW
30
NW
25
NW
20
NW
35
NW
on
on
on
on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:49AM1.34m
7:50PM1.49m
7:11AM1.21m
8:33PM1.56m
8:34AM1.14m
9:12PM1.62m
9:51AM1.12m
9:46PM1.67m
10:59AM1.15m
10:17PM1.69m
11:59AM1.19m
10:47PM1.70m
12:51PM1.23m
Low Tide
1:03AM0.69m
1:08PM-0.02m
2:19AM0.53m
2:02PM0.12m
3:23AM0.36m
2:53PM0.27m
4:18AM0.19m
3:40PM0.41m
5:05AM0.05m
4:25PM0.55m
5:45AM-0.06m
5:07PM0.67m
6:22AM-0.14m
5:49PM0.77m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:21
8:21
8:22
8:22
8:23
8:23
8:24
8:25
Temp °C
11
12
13
11
12
12
11
12
12
12
12
12
11
12
13
12
14
13
12
13
12
9
8
10
9
10
10
10
10
9
9
2
2
2
8
2
3
9
8
5
9
6
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
1
WNW
10
0.9
WNW
10
0.8
WNW
9
0.7
WNW
9
0.8
WNW
14
0.9
WNW
13
1
WNW
13
0.9
SW
15
1.4
WNW
14
0.8
SSW
16
3
WNW
13
2.2
WNW
12
0.7
SSW
14
2.5
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
10
1.2
W
18
2.2
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
10
Energy kJ
251
226
200
151
98
75
276
303
317
335
765
314
2801
1319
183
1538
848
919
908
661
648
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
15
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.7
WNW
9
0.9
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.2
S
9
0.8
SSW
16
0.1
S
9
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.1
W
24
0.6
SSW
14
0.8
WNW
20
0.5
SW
14
1.3
W
16
1.5
W
15
1.4
WNW
14
Energy kJ
109
201
203
203
157
186
75
331
171
7
310
2
302
214
11
136
507
92
890
1046
834
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
12
0.3
S
11
0.3
S
12
0.3
S
12
0.4
WNW
16
0.5
W
16
0.6
SW
15
0.4
WNW
9
0.6
SSW
17
0.3
S
9
0.2
S
10
0.1
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.4
WNW
22
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
Energy kJ
29
23
23
25
87
129
171
30
202
16
7
2
2
156
96
74
73
82
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
12
2.2
WNW
8
4
WNW
9
3.5
NW
10
3
WNW
11
3.5
NW
11
2
WNW
10
3
NW
10
2.4
NW
10
Energy kJ
527
699
2536
2103
2023
2699
748
1456
1049
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
1
3
2
2
3
4
1
5
3
3
4
4
2
Distance (km)
5
37
5
5
5
75
23
104
145
122
145
2091
144
26
147
17
48
144
17
26
490
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
2
3
4
5
3
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
4
3
3
4
2
3
2
2
5
4
4
6
3
3
4
4
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
8
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
5
5
7
7
6
9
9
9
9
8
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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