Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 am Friday 29 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.7° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)

Drakes Estero surf forecast from 29 May 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 30 May, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 31 May, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,751 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 30 May, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 30) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 24s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 31) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (May 29) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Sat 30th May)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Best Surf 5PM (Sat 30th May)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 5AM (Sun 31st May)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Mon morning, strong winds from the NW by Wed afternoon).

Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sunday
31
Monday
1
Tuesday
2
Wednesday
3
Thursday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
1
2
!
2
4
2
3
2
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
15
1.8
WNW
14
1.1
WNW
13
1.8
WNW
9
3
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
10
2
WNW
11
2.1
WNW
11
2.5
NW
10
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.9
SSW
16
2.1
WNW
7
2.2
WNW
7
0.8
SW
16
2.3
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
9
1.1
SW
19
1.1
SW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
857
1321
444
500
1204
1373
892
934
1363
470
614
587
464
396
504
306
445
311
947
949
882
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
20
NW
25
NW
30
NW
40
NW
30
NW
10
WNW
30
NW
20
NW
10
W
20
WNW
15
NW
20
NW
30
WNW
40
NW
40
NW
45
NW
25
NW
20
NW
35
NW
35
NW
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
12:51PM1.23m
11:16PM1.70m
1:39PM1.25m
11:46PM1.69m
2:22PM1.26m
00:18AM1.68m
3:03PM1.26m
00:53AM1.65m
3:43PM1.25m
1:31AM1.61m
4:21PM1.24m
2:10AM1.55m
4:59PM1.25m
2:54AM1.47m
Low Tide
5:49PM0.77m
6:57AM-0.18m
6:29PM0.85m
7:32AM-0.20m
7:08PM0.90m
8:06AM-0.20m
7:46PM0.92m
8:42AM-0.20m
8:25PM0.93m
9:18AM-0.18m
9:07PM0.93m
9:56AM-0.15m
9:57PM0.92m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:25
8:27
8:27
8:28
8:29
8:29
8:30
Temp °C
12
12
11
11
11
11
13
12
11
13
12
10
11
11
11
14
14
12
12
12
11
10
9
6
5
3
2
10
7
5
11
9
6
8
7
3
6
4
4
8
6
3
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
15
0.6
SSW
14
1.1
WNW
13
1.1
WNW
13
0.4
SSW
14
0.5
SW
22
2
WNW
11
0.7
SW
20
2.1
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
10
1.4
WNW
9
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
14
2
WNW
9
1.1
SW
19
1.1
SW
19
Energy kJ
857
133
444
431
77
229
892
392
865
419
339
355
464
371
362
287
223
167
608
949
882
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
14
0.1
SW
21
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.2
SSW
24
0.4
SW
13
0.6
SW
21
0.4
SW
16
0.9
SSW
19
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.2
S
15
0.1
SW
22
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
20
0.5
SW
20
0.6
SW
18
0.9
SW
19
0.8
SSW
16
0.2
S
12
Energy kJ
121
18
91
73
54
44
355
66
650
470
614
587
17
18
43
97
186
252
524
322
12
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
21
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
26
0.2
SSW
19
0.2
SSW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SSW
15
0.1
S
15
0.2
S
15
0.2
S
14
0.2
W
13
0.2
S
14
0.5
SW
21
0.6
SW
14
Energy kJ
9
18
26
37
32
80
41
42
85
4
17
16
12
14
222
169
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
9
1.8
WNW
14
1.7
WNW
7
1.8
WNW
9
3
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
10
2.1
WNW
11
2.5
NW
10
1.4
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
7
2.2
WNW
7
1.8
WNW
7
2.3
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
8
Energy kJ
127
1321
274
500
1204
1373
934
1363
311
396
504
306
445
311
947
748
645
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
4
2
2
4
4
2
3
2
2
4
3
2
2
1
2
3
4
2
4
Distance (km)
48
147
32
48
144
32
0
145
48
48
145
23
32
145
143
145
147
24
26
145
135
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
3
4
3
2
4
3
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
4
3
3
4
4
3
4
2
3
4
3
3
4
3
3
4
4
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
7
7
6
5
5
4
4
5
4
4
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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