Drakes Estero Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.03° N 122.94° W

Issued: 4 pm 01 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
13.4° C

Normal for this time of year

Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Drakes Estero surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with 1,018 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 2 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 02) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Thu 2nd Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 9s
Best Surf 8PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Wed 8th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Sat night, strong winds from the NW by Mon night).

Wed
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
2
3
1
2
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.6
SW
16
1.4
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.5
SW
19
1.3
WNW
8
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
1.2
WNW
8
0.8
SW
16
1.4
WNW
8
2
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
8
0.9
SW
18
2.1
WNW
8
1
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
555
648
370
244
302
188
201
230
188
184
207
252
249
188
318
236
388
303
465
480
600
Wind (km/h)
10
W
10
SSE
15
SSE
15
WNW
5
WNW
5
SW
15
WNW
10
WNW
5
SW
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
S
15
W
20
WNW
20
WNW
35
WNW
35
NW
30
NW
40
NW
35
NW
25
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
3:10PM1.31m
1:16AM1.67m
3:40PM1.33m
1:54AM1.61m
4:10PM1.36m
2:36AM1.51m
4:40PM1.41m
3:23AM1.39m
5:12PM1.48m
4:21AM1.25m
5:46PM1.55m
5:37AM1.12m
6:24PM1.64m
7:15AM1.04m
Low Tide
8:07PM0.90m
8:54AM-0.17m
8:48PM0.87m
9:27AM-0.14m
9:34PM0.83m
10:00AM-0.06m
10:27PM0.77m
10:35AM0.05m
11:29PM0.67m
11:14AM0.20m
00:36AM0.54m
11:57AM0.37m
1:44AM0.37m
12:48PM0.55m
part cloud
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
12
11
13
13
11
13
14
12
13
13
11
13
13
12
12
12
11
12
13
12
14
Feels °C
11
9
10
12
8
12
13
8
12
11
8
11
11
9
9
7
4
6
5
3
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
12
0.7
SW
20
0.6
SW
19
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
Energy kJ
555
648
370
244
302
188
169
230
188
165
207
169
169
188
202
161
388
303
465
455
600
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
15
0.2
S
11
Energy kJ
211
163
201
229
207
142
201
201
102
140
140
252
249
152
318
206
206
198
104
104
9
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
20
0.2
SSW
19
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.2
S
11
0.2
W
15
0.2
W
14
0.3
W
14
0.5
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.4
WNW
12
0.5
W
13
0.4
WNW
13
0.5
WNW
12
0.5
SW
21
0.2
SSW
12
0.4
WNW
11
0.1
S
8
0.2
S
11
Energy kJ
44
97
37
6
75
9
17
16
33
184
96
50
86
58
82
224
14
42
1
9
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
8
2
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
7
2.1
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
Energy kJ
236
374
277
443
480
363
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
2
3
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
4
3
Distance (km)
490
5
5
0
0
48
0
0
48
0
32
5
145
26
48
145
59
48
144
32
26
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
1
4
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
3
4
3
2
3
2
2
4
2
3
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
9
9
5
5
5
7
5
5
9
7
7
7
9
9
7
7
9
9
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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