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Surf Forecasts:
Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA
Forecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.9° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)Drakes Estero surf forecast from 31 May 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 4 Jun, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 5 Jun, 5PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, WNW swell with 2,141 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 31 May, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:
The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 31) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 21s. Another secondary swell of 2.5m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jun 05) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sun 31st May) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 4th Jun) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Fri 5th Jun) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat night, calm by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Tue afternoon, near gales from the NW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 30 | Sunday 31 | Monday 1 | Tuesday 2 | Wednesday 3 | Thursday 4 | Friday 5 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | NW 10 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | |
993 | 1281 | 876 | 892 | 1306 | 470 | 614 | 587 | 464 | 371 | 384 | 530 | 709 | 559 | 938 | 1274 | 1210 | 1191 | 2141 | 1652 | 692 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | |
High Tide | 11:46PM1.69m | 2:22PM1.26m | 00:18AM1.68m | 3:03PM1.26m | 00:53AM1.65m | 3:43PM1.25m | 1:31AM1.61m | 4:21PM1.24m | 2:10AM1.55m | 4:59PM1.25m | 2:54AM1.47m | 5:38PM1.27m | 3:43AM1.37m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:29PM0.85m | 7:32AM-0.20m | 7:08PM0.90m | 8:06AM-0.20m | 7:46PM0.92m | 8:42AM-0.20m | 8:25PM0.93m | 9:18AM-0.18m | 9:07PM0.93m | 9:56AM-0.15m | 9:57PM0.92m | 10:37AM-0.10m | 10:59PM0.88m | 11:19AM-0.03m | |||||||
— | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | |
8:27 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | 8:30 | |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
4 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 22 | WNW 10 | SW 20 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
77 | 229 | 876 | 392 | 882 | 419 | 346 | 264 | 213 | 371 | 362 | 349 | 223 | 252 | 524 | 949 | 891 | 781 | 679 | 567 | 515 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 24 | SW 13 | SW 21 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 22 | SSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | WNW 11 | S 13 | — | — | S 11 |
54 | 44 | 355 | 66 | 650 | 470 | 614 | 587 | 464 | 18 | 43 | 97 | 186 | 167 | 169 | 322 | 40 | 3 | — | — | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | — | SSW 15 | — | S 15 | S 15 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | SW 21 | S 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
32 | 80 | 41 | 42 | — | 85 | — | 4 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 222 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | — | WNW 11 | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 |
993 | 1281 | — | 892 | 1306 | — | — | — | — | 273 | 384 | 530 | 709 | 559 | 938 | 1274 | 1210 | 1191 | 2141 | 1652 | 692 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 144 | 32 | 0 | 145 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 430 | 145 | 135 | 48 | 144 | 133 | 48 | 145 | 48 | 48 | 144 | 143 | 144 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.












