Drakes Estero surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 am Thursday 28 May 2026 PDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Drakes Estero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Drakes Estero sea temperature is
11.8° C
(Which is slightly cooler than normal)

Drakes Estero surf forecast from 28 May 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 30 May, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 30 May, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with 1,309 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 30 May, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Drakes Estero this week:

The surf forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 30) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 24s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Drakes Estero in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 30) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (May 29) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Sat 30th May)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Best Surf 5PM (Sat 30th May)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful11PM (Sat 30th May)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Drakes Estero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon morning, strong winds from the NW by Tue night).

Thursday
28
Friday
29
Saturday
30
Sunday
31
Monday
1
Tuesday
2
Wednesday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
3
3
2
1
!
2
4
2
3
2
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
18
1.2
WNW
18
1.4
WNW
16
1.4
WNW
15
1.4
WNW
14
2
WNW
8
2
WNW
9
3
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
10
2
WNW
11
1.9
WNW
11
1.9
WNW
10
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
17
0.9
SSW
16
2.3
WNW
7
2.2
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
7
2.4
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
570
929
1029
857
834
515
632
1204
1306
892
815
755
470
614
587
464
568
518
355
530
266
Wind (km/h)
20
E
30
NW
25
WNW
25
NW
25
NW
30
NW
40
NW
45
NW
30
NW
15
WNW
25
NW
20
NW
10
W
20
NW
25
NW
20
NW
30
NW
35
NW
35
NW
50
NW
40
NW
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:59AM1.19m
10:47PM1.70m
12:51PM1.23m
11:16PM1.70m
1:39PM1.25m
11:46PM1.69m
2:22PM1.26m
00:18AM1.68m
3:03PM1.26m
00:53AM1.65m
3:43PM1.25m
1:31AM1.61m
4:21PM1.24m
2:10AM1.55m
Low Tide
5:07PM0.67m
6:22AM-0.14m
5:49PM0.77m
6:57AM-0.18m
6:29PM0.85m
7:32AM-0.20m
7:08PM0.90m
8:06AM-0.20m
7:46PM0.92m
8:42AM-0.20m
8:25PM0.93m
9:18AM-0.18m
9:07PM0.93m
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:24
8:25
8:27
8:27
8:28
8:29
8:29
4
Temp °C
15
17
13
12
12
11
11
11
10
13
13
11
14
13
11
12
12
12
14
15
13
11
15
8
8
8
6
3
3
1
10
9
6
13
11
7
9
7
3
6
5
5
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WNW
10
1.2
WNW
18
1.4
WNW
16
1.4
WNW
15
1.4
WNW
14
1
WNW
13
0.9
WNW
13
0.4
SSW
14
0.5
SW
22
2
WNW
11
0.7
SW
20
1.9
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
10
1
SW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
18
Energy kJ
346
929
1029
857
834
372
298
77
229
892
392
755
419
296
587
464
371
362
287
223
252
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
18
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.2
SSW
24
0.4
SW
13
0.6
SW
21
0.4
SW
16
0.9
SSW
19
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
0.1
S
15
0.2
S
15
0.1
SW
22
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
SW
20
0.5
SW
20
0.6
SW
14
Energy kJ
570
123
121
121
133
91
73
54
44
355
66
650
470
614
4
17
18
43
97
186
167
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.1
S
21
0.1
SW
21
0.1
SW
26
0.2
SSW
19
0.2
SSW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SSW
15
0.2
S
15
0.2
S
14
0.3
W
13
0.2
S
14
0.5
SW
21
Energy kJ
131
91
9
18
26
37
32
80
41
42
85
17
16
30
15
222
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ESE
3
1.5
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
9
1.1
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
7
2
WNW
8
2
WNW
9
3
WNW
8
2.5
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
11
1.6
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
7
2.2
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
7
2.4
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
6
Energy kJ
1
411
255
199
192
515
632
1204
1306
815
263
270
568
518
355
530
266
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
3
2
4
2
3
4
4
2
4
2
2
3
3
1
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
23
48
32
26
48
32
48
145
26
0
145
23
48
145
26
32
145
48
48
144
144
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
4
4
4
2
3
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
4
5
2
4
2
3
4
4
4
5
4
2
4
3
3
4
3
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
5
5
7
7
6
6
5
5
5
4
5
5
5
4
5
8
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Drakes Estero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Drakes Estero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Drakes Estero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Drakes Estero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Drakes Estero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Drakes Estero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Drakes Estero is 34 km (21 miles) from the city of Novato. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Novato. Novato has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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