Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 17 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
19.9°C
2.6° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 17 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 20 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 19 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, ENE swell with 4,114 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 20 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 20) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 19) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 17) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Tue 20th Oct)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Best Surf11AM (Tue 20th Oct)10ft (3.0m) 11s
Most Powerful 8PM (Mon 19th Oct)13ft (4.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon night, min 8°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Thu morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
1
1
!
0
!
1
3
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
NNE
6
2
NE
7
2.1
NE
8
2.5
ENE
9
2.4
ENE
10
2.5
E
11
3
E
12
3
E
12
3.5
ENE
12
3
ENE
11
2.5
ENE
11
2.5
ENE
11
3
ENE
11
3
ENE
11
3
ENE
11
2.3
ENE
11
2.1
ENE
11
1.6
ENE
10
1.5
ENE
10
1.5
ENE
10
1.6
ENE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
289
429
581
1067
1179
1521
2525
2851
3738
1796
1605
1645
1808
1950
2568
1334
1016
522
428
411
426
Wind (km/h)
45
N
40
N
35
NNE
35
NE
35
NE
35
NE
45
NNE
45
NNE
40
N
35
N
25
N
30
NNE
30
NNE
30
NNE
25
NNE
30
N
25
NNW
20
N
25
NNE
20
NE
25
NE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
12:52PM1.11m
1:12AM0.81m
1:50PM1.08m
2:12AM0.82m
2:49PM1.07m
3:14AM0.87m
3:45PM1.09m
4:10AM0.95m
4:36PM1.12m
5:00AM1.05m
5:22PM1.15m
5:45AM1.17m
6:06PM1.17m
Low Tide
7:29PM0.36m
7:15AM0.31m
8:23PM0.37m
8:14AM0.32m
9:16PM0.35m
9:13AM0.30m
10:04PM0.30m
10:11AM0.26m
10:50PM0.24m
11:05AM0.20m
11:33PM0.16m
11:58AM0.12m
00:16AM0.09m
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
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7:11
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7:11
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7:13
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—
7:13
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—
7:15
—
—
7:16
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—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
6:20
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—
6:17
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—
6:16
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—
6:15
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6:14
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—
6:13
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6:12
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 mm
6
4
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
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Temp °C
12
9
11
12
12
13
13
13
14
14
18
18
12
14
14
11
16
15
13
14
15
Feels °C
4
-1
2
4
4
6
4
4
6
6
12
13
5
7
7
4
10
10
8
9
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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