Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 21 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
18.6°C
1.9° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 21 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 26 Oct, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 21 Oct, 5PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, ENE swell with 3,094 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 26 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 26) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Oct 21) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Oct 22) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Mon 26th Oct)2ft (0.6m) 10s
Best Surf 8PM (Mon 26th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 11s
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 21st Oct)11ft (3.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Wed afternoon, light winds from the ENE by Fri night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
ENE
11
2.5
ENE
12
2
ENE
11
1.7
ENE
10
1.4
ENE
10
1.7
ENE
10
1.7
ENE
9
1.5
ENE
10
1.5
ENE
9
1.1
E
10
1
E
10
0.8
ENE
10
0.7
ENE
10
0.6
E
10
0.5
E
11
0.7
SE
9
0.9
SE
10
0.9
ESE
11
0.9
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3094
1613
938
607
394
533
506
391
360
235
194
136
112
80
58
84
157
196
173
135
Wind (km/h)
30
NNE
25
NNW
25
NNW
20
NNW
20
N
25
NE
20
NE
15
ENE
20
ENE
15
ENE
10
ENE
10
E
10
E
5
SSW
5
W
15
SW
15
W
10
NNW
10
ENE
15
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
glassy
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
on
High Tide
4:36PM1.12m
5:00AM1.05m
5:22PM1.15m
5:45AM1.17m
6:06PM1.17m
6:30AM1.29m
6:50PM1.19m
7:14AM1.39m
7:35PM1.18m
8:00AM1.46m
8:20PM1.16m
8:47AM1.51m
9:07PM1.11m
Low Tide
10:50PM0.24m
11:05AM0.20m
11:33PM0.16m
11:58AM0.12m
00:16AM0.09m
12:47PM0.05m
00:58AM0.02m
1:36PM-0.00m
1:40AM-0.03m
2:24PM-0.03m
2:23AM-0.06m
3:13PM-0.04m
3:09AM-0.07m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
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7:15
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7:16
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7:16
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7:18
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7:18
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7:20
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:14
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6:13
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6:12
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6:09
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6:08
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6:07
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6:07
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 mm
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Temp °C
14
14
12
17
16
14
15
14
14
14
15
14
14
13
13
17
16
16
17
16
Feels °C
8
8
6
12
11
9
10
10
10
10
13
12
12
10
12
14
13
14
14
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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