Outside Shoals Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 17 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
23.9°C
2.1° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 18 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 22 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 23 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, ENE swell with 1,882 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 21 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 23) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Mon 21st Sep)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf11AM (Tue 22nd Sep)5ft (1.5m) 7s
Most Powerful 8PM (Wed 23rd Sep)10ft (3.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 27°C on Fri afternoon, min 21°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri morning, fresh winds from the NE by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 23°C on Sun night, min 20°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the ENE by Tue night).

Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
Tuesday
22
Wednesday
23
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
7
0.2
ESE
12
0.2
ESE
12
1.4
ENE
5
1.4
ENE
6
1.5
E
7
1.3
E
7
1.1
E
7
0.9
ESE
7
0.9
ESE
8
0.9
ESE
8
1.2
E
6
1.5
E
7
2.3
ENE
8
2.3
ENE
9
3
ENE
9
3
ENE
10
2.5
ENE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
18
16
14
14
110
145
242
186
131
77
92
89
99
202
639
790
1232
1644
1457
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
10
NNW
10
NNE
15
NE
35
NE
25
ENE
20
E
20
SE
15
S
15
S
5
W
10
ENE
5
SW
15
SSW
10
SE
40
NE
35
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
00:51AM0.83m
1:30PM1.09m
1:48AM0.80m
2:32PM1.07m
2:50AM0.80m
3:35PM1.08m
3:52AM0.84m
4:31PM1.12m
4:47AM0.91m
5:20PM1.17m
5:35AM1.00m
6:03PM1.21m
Low Tide
6:58AM0.27m
8:09PM0.37m
7:53AM0.30m
9:09PM0.39m
8:52AM0.30m
10:06PM0.38m
9:50AM0.28m
10:56PM0.34m
10:46AM0.24m
11:40PM0.28m
11:39AM0.19m
00:20AM0.21m
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:45
6:45
6:46
6:47
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:06
7:04
7:01
7:00
6:59
6:58
6:55
 mm
1
1
2
6
4
4
5
3
Temp °C
23
25
27
26
21
21
21
21
22
23
23
22
22
23
23
22
21
21
21
Feels °C
21
27
29
28
17
18
18
20
21
24
25
26
25
25
24
23
17
18
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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