Outside Shoals Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 21 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
24.4°C
3.3° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 21 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 25 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, ENE swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 25 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, ENE swell with 3,610 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 25 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 25) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 25) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 26) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Fri 25th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 12s
Best Surf 5AM (Fri 25th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 12s
Most Powerful 8AM (Fri 25th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the N on Mon morning, strong winds from the ENE by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Thu night, light winds from the N by Sat night).

Monday
21
Tuesday
22
Wednesday
23
Thursday
24
Friday
25
Saturday
26
Sunday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2
3
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
ESE
8
1.1
NE
6
1.5
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
2.3
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
9
3
ENE
9
3
ENE
10
3
E
11
3
E
12
3
E
12
3
ENE
12
2.5
E
12
2.2
E
12
1.9
E
12
1.6
ENE
11
1.5
ENE
11
1.5
ENE
11
1.5
ENE
11
1.4
ENE
10
1.3
ENE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
48
67
189
469
688
972
1438
1815
2255
2647
2913
2591
1987
1415
993
657
531
508
521
404
307
Wind (km/h)
25
NNE
25
NE
25
ENE
35
ENE
40
ENE
40
NE
40
NE
45
NE
40
NE
40
NE
40
NNE
35
NNE
30
N
25
NNE
20
N
20
NNE
15
NNE
15
NW
15
NNW
10
NE
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
High Tide
4:31PM1.12m
4:47AM0.91m
5:20PM1.17m
5:35AM1.00m
6:03PM1.21m
6:19AM1.10m
6:44PM1.25m
7:02AM1.19m
7:25PM1.26m
7:44AM1.29m
8:06PM1.26m
8:26AM1.36m
8:47PM1.23m
Low Tide
9:50AM0.28m
10:56PM0.34m
10:46AM0.24m
11:40PM0.28m
11:39AM0.19m
00:20AM0.21m
12:27PM0.12m
00:58AM0.14m
1:13PM0.07m
1:36AM0.08m
1:58PM0.02m
2:13AM0.03m
2:43PM0.00m
2:53AM0.01m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
light rain
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:46
6:47
6:48
6:48
6:50
6:50
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:59
6:58
6:55
6:53
6:52
6:51
6:50
 mm
1
1
8
1
1
2
1
Temp °C
21
20
21
21
20
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
15
20
20
18
21
21
19
22
22
Feels °C
21
17
19
17
15
13
13
12
10
11
11
11
9
14
14
14
18
19
16
20
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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