Outside Shoals Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
27.4° C
4.1° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, SSW swell with 239 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 6s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2PM (Fri 10th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 6s
Best Surf 5AM (Fri 17th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 7s
Most Powerful 5AM (Fri 17th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 35°C on Wed afternoon, min 22°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
6
0.6
S
6
0.4
SSE
7
0.5
S
6
0.5
S
6
0.8
ENE
5
0.8
ENE
5
0.9
E
5
0.8
E
6
0.8
E
7
0.8
E
7
0.6
E
6
0.6
E
8
0.5
E
7
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.3
SE
9
0.3
SE
9
0.2
ESE
8
0.2
ESE
8
1.4
S
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
20
30
15
18
22
27
25
47
50
65
58
27
41
25
21
20
12
12
6
7
153
Wind (km/h)
10
W
5
WNW
10
N
10
NNE
15
NNE
15
ENE
25
ENE
20
E
10
SE
15
E
15
SE
10
SW
15
SW
25
SW
25
WSW
15
W
20
WSW
15
SW
10
SW
20
SSW
10
SSW
Wind State
off
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:37PM1.31m
4:55AM0.90m
5:37PM1.38m
5:55AM0.93m
6:35PM1.44m
6:52AM0.96m
7:30PM1.47m
7:49AM1.00m
8:25PM1.47m
8:44AM1.04m
9:17PM1.44m
9:38AM1.07m
10:07PM1.37m
Low Tide
10:01AM0.01m
11:10PM0.09m
11:01AM-0.04m
00:13AM0.03m
12:01PM-0.10m
1:11AM-0.02m
12:59PM-0.16m
2:05AM-0.07m
1:55PM-0.19m
2:56AM-0.10m
2:50PM-0.20m
3:45AM-0.11m
3:44PM-0.16m
4:33AM-0.09m
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:45
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:24
8:24
8:24
8:23
8:23
8:22
8:22
 mm
1
2
4
6
4
Temp °C
29
31
30
26
25
23
24
24
23
23
23
23
26
29
27
31
35
33
31
32
27
Feels °C
30
32
31
27
25
24
22
22
22
23
22
22
25
26
24
31
33
33
33
32
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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