Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 04 Nov 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
16.2°C
1.2° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 4 Nov 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 12 Nov, 4PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 12 Nov, 10AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, NE swell with 382 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 7 Nov, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Nov 07) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 12) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Nov 12) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (EST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 7th Nov)3.5ft (1.1m) 8s
Best Surf 4PM (Thu 12th Nov)4.5ft (1.4m) 8s
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 12th Nov)7ft (2.1m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the WNW by Mon night).

Wednesday
4
Thursday
5
Friday
6
Saturday
7
Sunday
8
Monday
9
Tuesday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
8
0.6
SE
7
0.9
SSE
8
1
SE
9
1
SE
8
1
SE
8
1.4
SSE
8
1.1
SE
6
1.1
SE
8
0.9
SE
9
0.9
SE
9
0.9
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
9
0.7
ESE
10
0.6
ESE
10
0.6
ESE
11
0.6
ESE
11
0.5
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
0.5
ESE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
20
33
117
145
135
142
248
88
157
129
123
127
73
73
90
82
98
97
63
57
60
Wind (km/h)
10
S
15
S
20
SSW
20
SSW
20
S
25
SSW
25
SSW
30
S
10
NNW
30
NW
30
WNW
25
WNW
30
NW
25
NW
20
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
SW
20
SW
5
NE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
3:38PM1.09m
4:10AM1.09m
4:28PM1.06m
4:57AM1.16m
5:13PM1.04m
5:40AM1.23m
5:55PM1.01m
6:20AM1.27m
6:36PM0.99m
7:00AM1.29m
7:16PM0.96m
7:40AM1.29m
7:57PM0.93m
Low Tide
9:57PM0.08m
10:25AM0.09m
10:43PM0.05m
11:20AM0.06m
11:24PM0.02m
12:08PM0.04m
00:03AM0.01m
12:51PM0.03m
00:41AM0.01m
1:32PM0.04m
1:18AM0.02m
2:11PM0.07m
1:55AM0.05m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
mod rain
heavy rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
—
—
6:30
—
—
6:31
—
—
6:31
—
—
6:33
—
—
6:33
—
—
6:35
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
4:58
—
—
4:57
—
—
4:55
—
—
4:54
—
—
4:53
—
—
4:52
—
—
4:52
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
4
8
21
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
4
Temp °C
19
19
20
21
20
20
19
19
16
12
13
12
12
13
12
15
15
14
16
15
14
Feels °C
18
18
18
19
18
17
18
16
17
5
6
6
5
7
8
9
11
11
11
11
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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