Outside Shoals Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
26.1° C
2.2° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, S swell with 732 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sat 18th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 7s
Best Surf11PM (Sat 18th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 7s
Most Powerful 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul)7ft (2.2m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 23°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Sun afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 34mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 18°C on Thu morning). Mainly strong winds.

Fri
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ESE
8
0.2
ESE
8
0.6
S
3
1.2
S
5
1.2
S
7
0.9
S
7
0.7
S
7
0.5
SSE
7
0.5
SSE
7
0.7
SE
7
0.9
SE
5
0.6
SSE
6
0.8
SSE
6
2.4
S
8
2
S
8
1.1
SSE
8
0.9
SSE
8
0.6
SE
8
0.4
SE
7
0.6
SE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7
7
8
71
130
70
43
26
26
43
45
20
51
670
454
159
93
42
17
26
Wind (km/h)
15
SE
15
S
25
SSW
40
SSW
20
WSW
15
N
10
NNE
10
S
15
E
20
SE
20
SE
25
SW
40
SSW
25
SSW
35
SW
15
S
25
NW
25
NNW
20
N
15
N
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
10:55PM1.27m
11:21AM1.09m
11:42PM1.16m
12:12PM1.08m
00:30AM1.04m
1:04PM1.06m
1:19AM0.92m
1:59PM1.05m
2:12AM0.84m
2:57PM1.05m
3:08AM0.78m
3:54PM1.06m
4:05AM0.76m
Low Tide
4:38PM-0.10m
5:20AM-0.06m
5:34PM-0.02m
6:07AM-0.01m
6:31PM0.07m
6:54AM0.04m
7:29PM0.14m
7:40AM0.09m
8:29PM0.21m
8:27AM0.14m
9:31PM0.25m
9:16AM0.17m
10:34PM0.26m
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:22
8:21
8:21
8:20
8:19
8:19
8:17
 mm
1
8
1
1
24
1
2
5
Temp °C
27
26
28
29
26
26
27
27
25
25
25
26
28
25
28
29
25
21
24
24
Feels °C
26
26
28
28
28
26
28
27
25
24
26
27
28
24
27
29
23
17
21
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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