Outside Shoals Surf Break

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Issued: 1 am 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
27.6° C

4.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 5s period, E swell with 104 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 1.4m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Thu 9th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 8s
Best Surf11PM (Thu 9th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 8s
Most Powerful11PM (Sun 12th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Thu night, min 21°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 34mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 32°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the ENE by Sun night).

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
NE
6
1
NE
5
1.1
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
7
0.8
E
8
0.6
ENE
7
0.5
ENE
8
0.5
S
7
0.6
S
7
0.5
S
7
0.4
SSE
7
0.4
SSE
7
0.6
NE
4
0.7
E
5
1.1
E
5
1
E
5
0.7
ESE
5
0.3
SE
10
0.6
E
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
45
45
74
85
96
89
72
43
33
22
32
23
15
15
15
27
50
48
22
19
18
Wind (km/h)
20
NNE
20
NE
20
NE
20
ENE
10
E
10
SSE
15
S
15
S
10
W
15
W
0
SW
15
WNW
10
NNE
10
ENE
15
SE
15
ESE
20
ESE
40
E
40
NE
30
NE
15
N
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
off
off
glassy
off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
1:38PM1.09m
1:53AM0.97m
2:36PM1.15m
2:52AM0.92m
3:37PM1.23m
3:54AM0.90m
4:37PM1.31m
4:55AM0.90m
5:37PM1.38m
5:55AM0.93m
6:35PM1.44m
6:52AM0.96m
7:30PM1.47m
Low Tide
7:58PM0.18m
8:11AM0.08m
9:01PM0.17m
9:04AM0.05m
10:05PM0.14m
10:01AM0.01m
11:10PM0.09m
11:01AM-0.04m
00:13AM0.03m
12:01PM-0.10m
1:11AM-0.02m
12:59PM-0.16m
2:05AM-0.07m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
heavy rain
light rain
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:45
5:46
5:46
5:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:25
8:25
8:25
8:24
8:24
8:24
8:23
 mm
1
1
2
4
16
1
17
14
1
Temp °C
24
23
22
22
22
22
23
25
27
29
32
23
25
24
24
24
24
24
19
21
22
Feels °C
26
23
21
21
22
23
24
27
30
30
35
25
27
26
26
25
24
23
14
17
22
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
S
5
0.3
SSE
5
0.4
SSE
6
0.4
SE
9
0.3
SSE
6
0.9
ENE
7
0.8
E
8
0.6
ENE
7
0.5
ENE
8
0.5
S
7
0.6
S
7
0.5
S
7
0.4
SSE
7
0.4
SSE
7
0.6
NE
4
0.2
SSE
6
0.2
SSE
6
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.4
SSE
5
0.6
E
5
Energy kJ
4
5
12
21
7
89
72
43
33
22
32
23
15
15
15
4
4
15
14
7
18
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.3
SSE
6
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.3
SE
9
0.4
SSE
6
0.4
ENE
8
0.3
ENE
7
0.3
N
4
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
9
0.3
SSE
7
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
S
6
0.2
S
6
0.2
S
5
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SSE
5
Energy kJ
24
23
21
7
22
22
21
13
14
19
11
2
9
9
9
9
3
2
2
15
6
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
5
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.2
E
10
0.1
E
12
0.3
SSE
6
0.3
SSE
6
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.3
ENE
7
0.2
ENE
7
0.2
ENE
8
0.2
ESE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.2
S
6
0.3
SE
9
Energy kJ
1
2
2
7
3
7
7
15
14
14
10
4
6
9
14
2
14
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
NE
6
1
NE
5
1.1
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
6
0.4
SSE
6
0.4
SW
3
0.2
NNW
2
0.3
SE
3
0.7
E
5
1.1
E
5
1
E
5
0.7
ESE
5
0.6
E
5
Energy kJ
45
45
74
85
96
12
2
1
2
27
50
48
22
19
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
71
1152
185
281
414
26
170
223
0
0
0
48
249
1197
347
347
978
177
250
347
426
Best forecast wave conditions in Maryland
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
3
2
2
3
2
1
3
1
2
3
2
1
3
1
2
3
2
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
6
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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