Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 16 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
19.8°C
2.3° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 16 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 23 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, ENE swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 19 Oct, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, E swell with 4,135 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 23 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 23) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 2.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Oct 19) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 17) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Fri 23rd Oct)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf 5AM (Fri 23rd Oct)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful11AM (Mon 19th Oct)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 23°C on Fri night, min 8°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Fri morning, near gales from the NE by Sun afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 42mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue night, min 12°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (gales from the NNE on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the NE by Wed night).

Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
9
0.4
ENE
6
0.9
SSE
6
1.7
NNE
6
2.1
NE
7
2.5
NE
8
3
ENE
10
3
ENE
11
3.5
E
11
3.5
E
12
3.5
E
12
3
ENE
11
3
ENE
11
2.5
ENE
10
3
ENE
10
3
ENE
10
3
ENE
10
3.5
ENE
11
3
ENE
11
3
ENE
10
2.4
ENE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
22
13
54
194
456
1024
2083
2427
2984
4135
3861
2521
1756
1522
1501
1748
1941
2527
2203
1911
1140
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
25
S
30
NNW
35
N
45
NNE
45
NNE
50
NE
50
NE
50
NE
60
NNE
65
NNE
50
NNE
40
NNE
35
NNE
40
NNE
40
NE
40
NE
35
NE
30
NE
30
NE
25
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
12:01PM1.16m
00:18AM0.83m
12:52PM1.11m
1:12AM0.81m
1:50PM1.08m
2:12AM0.82m
2:49PM1.07m
3:14AM0.87m
3:45PM1.09m
4:10AM0.95m
4:36PM1.12m
5:00AM1.05m
5:22PM1.15m
Low Tide
6:35PM0.31m
6:19AM0.28m
7:29PM0.36m
7:15AM0.31m
8:23PM0.37m
8:14AM0.32m
9:16PM0.35m
9:13AM0.30m
10:04PM0.30m
10:11AM0.26m
10:50PM0.24m
11:05AM0.20m
11:33PM0.16m
clear
clear
rain showers
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:09
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—
7:09
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—
7:11
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—
7:11
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7:13
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—
7:13
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—
7:15
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
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6:21
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6:20
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6:17
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6:16
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6:15
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6:14
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6:13
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 mm
—
—
1
4
6
2
—
—
14
15
12
13
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
21
22
23
11
9
11
12
13
13
12
13
14
12
15
16
14
13
14
14
15
14
Feels °C
20
20
22
2
0
1
1
2
2
0
1
3
5
7
8
6
4
8
8
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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