Outside Shoals Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
26.5° C
2.4° 

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, S swell with 594 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Tue 21st Jul)6ft (1.9m) 7s
Best Surf11PM (Tue 21st Jul)6ft (1.9m) 7s
Most Powerful 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul)7ft (2.2m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 89mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 20°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Mon morning, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
S
5
1.7
SSE
8
1.6
S
8
1.5
S
8
1.1
SSE
8
0.9
SSE
7
0.8
SSE
7
0.5
SE
8
0.9
ENE
5
0.9
ENE
5
0.9
ENE
6
0.9
NE
6
0.9
ENE
6
0.7
ENE
6
0.6
ESE
8
0.6
ESE
8
0.4
ESE
8
0.4
ESE
8
1
S
5
2.1
S
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
104
373
287
282
171
79
62
28
30
44
45
52
57
33
41
41
23
23
49
462
Wind (km/h)
30
S
15
WSW
30
WSW
20
SW
20
NNE
20
NNE
15
NE
15
NE
20
ENE
20
ENE
15
NE
25
NE
15
NNE
10
NW
10
ENE
10
SE
15
SW
15
SSE
25
S
20
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
2:12AM0.84m
2:57PM1.05m
3:08AM0.78m
3:54PM1.06m
4:05AM0.76m
4:48PM1.09m
4:59AM0.77m
5:38PM1.13m
5:48AM0.80m
6:24PM1.17m
6:34AM0.84m
7:07PM1.22m
Low Tide
8:29PM0.21m
8:27AM0.14m
9:31PM0.25m
9:16AM0.17m
10:34PM0.26m
10:06AM0.18m
11:33PM0.26m
10:57AM0.17m
00:21AM0.24m
11:47AM0.14m
1:02AM0.21m
12:34PM0.11m
1:39AM0.18m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:19
8:19
8:17
8:16
8:15
8:15
8:15
 mm
9
58
1
21
6
Temp °C
28
28
26
29
27
22
23
22
22
23
22
22
23
22
23
24
23
25
26
27
Feels °C
27
28
25
28
28
19
21
21
20
21
20
18
21
21
23
24
23
26
26
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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