Outside Shoals Surf Break

Outside Shoals Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 38.30° N 75.10° W

Issued: 7 pm 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Outside Shoals sea temperature is
23.3° C

1.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Outside Shoals surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Outside Shoals surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, SSE swell with 110 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outside Shoals this week:

The surf forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Outside Shoals in the next 16 days are 1.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Tue 7th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 5s
Best Surf 2AM (Tue 7th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 5s
Most Powerful 8AM (Wed 8th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outside Shoals over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 33°C on Fri afternoon, min 22°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, strong winds from the WNW by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 22°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thu
9
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
7
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.6
S
5
0.4
SE
9
1
S
5
1.1
S
6
1
S
6
0.7
SSE
6
0.9
SSE
7
0.7
SSE
7
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
16
20
22
22
21
21
18
18
18
18
17
22
54
80
74
43
72
47
23
21
20
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
0
WNW
10
S
5
WSW
5
NE
15
SSE
15
NW
5
SE
15
SE
10
NE
10
S
20
SSE
5
S
15
SW
10
SW
10
WSW
25
NE
15
NE
10
E
15
ESE
20
SE
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
cross
off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
10:13PM1.22m
10:32AM0.93m
10:52PM1.19m
11:14AM0.95m
11:32PM1.14m
11:58AM0.99m
00:14AM1.09m
12:46PM1.03m
1:00AM1.03m
1:38PM1.09m
1:53AM0.97m
2:36PM1.15m
2:52AM0.92m
3:37PM1.23m
Low Tide
4:34AM0.12m
4:27PM0.11m
5:14AM0.12m
5:13PM0.14m
5:54AM0.12m
6:04PM0.16m
6:37AM0.11m
6:59PM0.18m
7:22AM0.10m
7:58PM0.18m
8:11AM0.08m
9:01PM0.17m
9:04AM0.05m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:41
5:41
5:41
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:25
8:25
8:25
 mm
3
11
2
6
2
1
Temp °C
28
32
33
33
30
30
24
25
26
25
26
26
25
26
30
29
23
22
21
22
23
Feels °C
27
36
35
34
33
31
24
28
28
26
29
27
26
28
32
31
25
22
21
24
24
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSE
5
0.4
S
4
0.4
SE
7
0.4
SE
9
0.5
S
5
0.4
SE
9
0.5
S
4
0.4
SE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.5
S
4
0.6
S
5
0.4
SE
9
0.3
ESE
10
0.9
SSE
6
0.4
SE
10
0.7
SSE
6
0.9
SSE
7
0.7
SSE
7
0.5
S
6
0.4
SSE
6
0.4
SE
9
Energy kJ
8
6
11
22
11
21
9
18
18
8
17
22
18
56
23
43
72
47
20
12
19
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
7
0.4
SE
7
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.3
ESE
9
0.1
NE
4
0.3
ESE
10
0.2
ENE
5
0.4
SE
9
0.2
E
6
0.4
SE
9
0.4
NE
5
0.4
SE
9
0.2
ENE
5
Energy kJ
13
11
22
21
18
18
16
1
18
3
20
2
20
5
21
2
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ESE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.1
E
11
0.1
NE
5
0.1
E
10
0.2
ENE
5
0.1
E
9
0.2
E
9
0.4
SE
10
0.2
ENE
5
0.2
E
10
Energy kJ
16
20
2
1
2
3
2
7
23
2
8
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
4
0.6
SSW
4
0.5
S
4
0.7
S
4
0.4
S
5
0.3
S
4
0.6
S
4
0.5
S
4
0.6
S
4
1
S
5
1.1
S
6
1
S
6
0.6
NE
4
0.5
SSE
6
Energy kJ
11
11
7
20
7
3
9
8
13
54
80
74
12
20
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
26
249
10
185
301
391
206
2096
1199
987
1150
1150
0
0
0
0
253
71
191
330
441
Best forecast wave conditions in Maryland
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
2
1
3
2
2
3
2
2
4
3
2
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
6
8
5
9
7
5
9
9
8
6
5
9
9
9
5
5
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outside Shoals Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outside Shoals provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Outside Shoals can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outside Shoals surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outside Shoals) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outside Shoals may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Outside Shoals is 5 km (3 miles) from Ocean City. If you plan a vacation in Maryland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ocean City. Ocean City has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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