Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, lookin' at the surf outlook for the next couple of weeks. Basically, it's a long stretch of flat or poor conditions, but there's a little window of hope if you're patient.

We got a dry spell right off the bat. For the first week, from July 14 right through to July 20, it's pretty much a write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly under 1 ft, and the energy is weak (23 or less). The wind is offshore at times, but with no waves to speak of, it's just a clean, flat ocean. Nothing to get excited about.

Then we hit July 21, and things start to change. Tuesday morning at Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) sees a little pulse of energy come through. We're talking 2 ft from the SSE with a short period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 120 (moderate). The water temp is 72°, which is about normal for the time of year. The real highlight is the wind – it's glassy, dead calm. That's a major positive. The waves are surfable but ordinary, and with it being a beach/jetty setup, it's not going to be a classic, but it's the best we've seen in a while. The short period means it'll be a bit crumbly, but for a clean, small-wave session, this is your pick. Crowds are often a factor here, so expect company.

The rest of that week is a mess. The wind turns onshore or cross-shore, the swell gets a bit bigger but messy, and the energy is all over the place. By July 24, things get a bit more interesting but still marginal. The Friday morning shows 4 ft from the SE (energy 277 – moderate-strong), with clean cross-offshore wind. That's a decent combo, but the period is only 7 seconds, so it'll be a bit fat and soft. It's one of the better options in the second week, but it's still a far cry from good.

The standout, if you can call it that, is still the glassy morning of July 21. It's the only time in the whole 16 days where the wind is perfect and there's actually some wave energy to play with. The rest is a waiting game. For a beach break like this, the long period swells (13 seconds on July 19) are pretty useless – they'll close out and be hard to paddle into. Shorter period stuff is your friend here.

So, bottom line: the first week is a total blank. July 21 morning is the best on offer, but it's not a classic. After that, there are a few marginal days, but nothing that'll make you call in sick. Keep an eye on it, but don't cancel your plans yet.

Rusty.

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