Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this 16-day window for the Jersey Shore is a tough one. We're looking at Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) and honestly, the surf forecast is mostly a write-off for a while. There's a big gap of nothing but poor conditions right through the end of July and into the first week of August. The water temp is sitting around 74°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezing your butt off while you're staring at the flatness.

We're looking at a whole lot of weak, short-period windswell. For days on end, we're looking at tiny waves around 2 ft to 3 ft coming from the SE or ESE, with periods of 6 to 8 seconds. The combined energy is mostly in the double digits (33 to 93), which is just weak sauce. The wind is all over the place – onshore, cross-onshore, and choppy – making it a total mess. Not a single session worth paddling out for through the 24th to the 31st of July. It's a grim stretch.

The first bit of a pulse shows up on the morning of Wednesday, July 29th. We get a tiny 4 ft swell from the ENE, but it's got a pitiful period of 5 seconds. The energy climbs a bit to 149, but it's still a junky windswell. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSW, which will clean it up, but the wave comment says it's "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." It's a low-quality option at best, and definitely not a standout. The crowd factor is "often" here, so even for this dribble, you might have company.

The real window to watch, and I mean really watch because it's far out, is the morning of Monday, August 3rd. The forecast is showing a cleaner 3 ft swell from the SSE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy hits 206, which is a solid moderate energy. The best part is the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSW, which should leave it clean. The wave comment finally says "expect good surf conditions," which is the only decent score in the whole 16 days. This is the one to pencil in, but remember, it's a week away, so don't hold your breath. Even then, the afternoon blows out with a cross-shore wind.

For the rest of the first week of August, we drop right back off. Tiny waves, weak energy, and a lot of nothing. The 4th through the 8th of August are all showing 2 ft or less, with energy dropping into the teens and single digits. It's a classic summer flat spell.

So, here's the deal: August 3rd morning is the only true standout, and it's a long-range call. It's the only time the forecast lines up for clean, surfable conditions. For everything else, you're better off finding something else to do. The setup is so weak and windy for so long that it's more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those breezy afternoons.

Rusty.

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