Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s happening at the Jersey Shore.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of flat, weak, and messy conditions. The water temp is sitting at about 74°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so at least it’s comfortable for a paddle, but you’ll be doing more paddling than surfing for the first week.

We’re starting Sunday the 19th of July with absolutely nothing. Waves are just 0.3 ft, period is long at 13 seconds but there’s no energy behind it. The wind is cross-off, which is clean, but the swell is basically a whisper. We’re dead flat until Tuesday the 21st. That’s a two-day gap of nothing.

Tuesday the 21st brings a pulse of windswell, but it’s ugly. Swell is 3 ft to 3 ft from the SSE with a short period of 5 seconds. The combined energy is weak (47 to 62). The wind is onshore and choppy. It’s a mess. Honestly, this setup at a beach/jetty break looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Wednesday the 22nd is flat again with offshore wind but zero swell. Another day off.

Now, here’s the one bright spot. Thursday morning the 23rd of July. The swell picks up to 5 ft from the SSE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 281 (moderate). The wind is clean from the NNW, cross-offshore. This is the best we’re going to get at Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach). It’s a bit of a lumpy, ordinary wave, but it’s surfable. The swell direction is from the SSE, and the optimum swell direction for this spot is ENE, so it’s not a perfect match, but it’s the most size we’ll see. The afternoon glass-off is even cleaner, but the swell drops to 2 ft. This is the standout session – Thursday morning.

After that, from Friday the 24th onward, we slip back into a long stretch of small, weak surf. A few mornings have clean winds and waist-high, short-period waves (3 ft to 3 ft, 7 seconds), but the energy is low (49 to 75) and the conditions are ordinary at best. The wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, messing up what little wave there is.

There’s another small window on the 31st of July, Friday morning. The swell is 3 ft from the SSE with a 7-second period, and the wind goes glassy calm in the afternoon. The energy is still weak (87). It’s rideable, but nothing to write home about.

The rest of the run into August stays flat and small. Honestly, for the next 16 days, the only session worth paddling out for is Thursday the 23rd morning. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty out.

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