Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's be real honest about what's cooking here at Jenkinsons.

Look, I've been staring at the charts for this stretch and it's a tough one to call surf on. We're looking at a long, long dry spell to kick things off. For the rest of July, from the 15th all the way through the 24th, it's just flat or close to it. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3 feet, with short-period junk. The wind is howling onshore or cross-shore most days, chopping everything up. It’s a total write-off for paddle surfing. There's a bit of a pulse on the 18th, but it's a messy 4ft on a 4-second period with rain and onshore wind – that's more of a kite-surfing chop than anything you'd want to paddle into. The combined energy is weak, barely getting into double digits for most of that stretch.

The light at the end of the tunnel finally shows up on the 25th of July. Saturday afternoon sees a shift: wind goes light offshore from the west-northwest, and the swell picks up to 5ft from the east. The energy gets a bit of life (130), and the surf is described as "surfable" but ordinary. It's a start.

Then, Sunday the 26th of July is the real standout. The morning is still a bit bumpy with that 5ft swell from the south-southeast, but the afternoon... that's the moment. The wind drops to a dead calm, glassy flat. The swell holds at 5ft from the SSE with a 7-second period, which isn't long-period groundswell but it's enough to push in. The combined energy jumps to a solid 214. For a beach/jetty setup like this, that glassy condition is everything. It'll be clean, but don't expect perfect shape. It's still a beach break, so be ready for some closeouts. If you're an advanced surfer, this is your window.

The run continues into Monday morning the 28th of July. Another glassy morning, this time with a light offshore wind from the west. The swell is 5ft from the SSE, and the energy is even stronger at 235. This is the best consistent swell of the whole outlook. The glassy conditions will make it look a million times better than it is. After that, the wind starts to pick up again, and the quality drops off into the end of the month with more onshore and cross-shore slop.

So, bottom line: it's a grim start for nearly two weeks. Don't bother before the 25th. Your best bet is the afternoon of the 26th and the morning of the 28th of July for clean, glassy peaks. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no wild surprises there. This spot is fairly consistent, but we're in a lull. It won't stay poor forever, but right now, wait for that glassy window.

Rusty.

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