Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get this out there.

Honestly, the next two weeks are looking pretty flat and grim for the most part. We’ve got a long stretch of small, messy surf ahead, so don’t get your hopes up too high. We’re looking at a quiet period, but it’s not going to stay like this forever.

The water temp at Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) is sitting at 77° which is a solid 4° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a real noticeable bump. It feels like bathwater out there, which is nice even if the waves aren't.

We’re starting the run with some tiny, weak surf. Saturday the 15th is flat out poor, with a combined swell energy of just 16. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore breeze from the NE at 9 mph which chops things up. Forget it.

Sunday the 16th is a bit of a washout too. The morning is cross-shore, and the afternoon kicks up to 16 mph from the SSW, but it's only 2ft of short-period slop with weak energy of 19. Not worth the paddle.

Monday the 17th might give you the first, very slight glimmer. It's small, around 3ft from the SSE on a 6-second period, but for a moment, the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. The combined energy is still low at 64, so it’s not going to be anything special, just a few soft, bumpy ones. It's surfable, but "ordinary" about sums it up.

The next stretch from Tuesday the 18th through to the 27th is mostly a big fat zero. We’re talking days of tiny waves, around 1ft, with weak energy, and winds that are never in our favor. There might be a clean window on Wednesday the 19th morning, with a light SSW cross-off breeze, but there's just no swell behind it. It’s a frustrating period of waiting. We also see a bit of a bump in energy on the 26th with 56, but it’s still just 1ft. Not even close.

Then, here’s the interesting bit, and it’s a long way off, so take it with a grain of salt. After this long, flat streak, things look like they might fire up towards the end of the month.

Friday the 28th of August is the standout, and it’s a week and a half away. It’s far out, so don't book your flights yet, but the models are showing a real pulse of ENE swell. We’re talking 7ft to 8ft on a 7-second period. The energy really jumps here, with readings of 469 and 601 in the morning and afternoon. That’s a serious jump from the low numbers we’ve been seeing. The wind is onshore and choppy, but with that much juice in the water, it’s going to be a full-on, powerful, and probably pretty raw session down at the jetty. This is a wave for experienced surfers only, as it’ll be well overhead.

Saturday the 29th should still be solid from the same swell, coming in at around 6ft, with energy still in the 286 range. It's going to be a bit less intense than Friday, but still a proper surf, again mainly for the more advanced crew.

By Sunday the 30th, it will be easing back down to a more manageable 4ft, but still with some push from that E swell. Keep an eye on that period, the 28th is the one to watch, even if it is a long way out.

So, for the next week, leave the board in the car, but keep your fingers crossed for that last weekend of the month. It looks like it could be worth the wait.

Rusty.

Read more