Jenkinsons (Point Pleasant Beach) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’re looking at a pretty quiet stretch ahead for the Jersey Shore. The whole 16-day window is a real struggle. Basically, the first week and a half is a write-off, and even the second week doesn’t offer much to get excited about. It’s one of those periods where you’re better off keeping the board in the car and just taking a look.

We’re starting with Thursday, September 3rd. That’s the first real chance to get wet. The swell is a tiny 3 ft from the ESE, with a period of 9 seconds. It’s weak energy, only 215 (moderate), but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW in the morning. Water temp is a touch warmer than normal at 74°. That afternoon, it gets glassy with a NNE breeze, but the swell drops to 2 ft. The waves will be small and weak, but at least the surface will be clean. It’s more of a paddle-around session than a proper surf.

After that, it’s a brutal gap. From Friday, September 4th, all the way through to Tuesday, September 15th, there’s nothing worth recommending. The swell just dies. You’ll see tiny 0.7 ft to 2 ft bumps with short periods, mostly under 8 seconds, and the wind is all over the place. The energy readings are all in the double digits, under 100, which is basically flat. There’s a brief moment of offshore wind on the 12th, but with 0.7 ft swell, it’s just a flat, clean lake.

Then on Tuesday, September 15th, we get a little bump. The morning shows 4 ft from the NNE, but it’s a short-period 5-second windswell. The energy is still weak at 78. The wind is a cross-shore from the north, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. It’s not good, but it’s the biggest wave height in the whole forecast. The afternoon is similar at 3 ft from the ENE with a 6-second period. The energy is 77. This is the closest thing to a standout, but it’s a very low bar. With that short period and messy wind, this spot is a beach/jetty setup, so it’s going to be a bit of a close-out mess. It’s really only for advanced guys who are bored and want to fight for a few close-outs.

The worst part is the consistency. This break is listed as “fairly consistent,” but the forecast is showing a massive blank run. It’s one of those rare times where the ocean just shuts down for over a week. Conditions can change, of course, but right now, you’re looking at a long, quiet stretch. For the second week, nothing changes: tiny swells, weak energy, and nothing to write home about.

So, to sum it up: the best day is likely Thursday, September 3rd, for the cleanest conditions on a very small wave, or Tuesday, September 15th, for the biggest, but ugliest, swell. If you’re desperate, go for the 3rd. If you’re a masochist, try the 15th. Otherwise, save your energy.

Rusty.

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