Tijuana Sloughs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a long look at the surf outlook for Tijuana Sloughs.

Right off the bat, it's a bit of a struggle. We're looking at a solid 16-day run, but honestly, most of it’s going to be pretty average. The conditions are just fighting us. There’s no one epic swell to get excited about, just a lot of marginal days where the wind messes up what could be decent waves.

The best bet in the whole forecast is Sunday, September 20th. We’ve got a solid SW groundswell rolling in at 3 ft, and that combined swell energy is really pumping at a strong 708 (moderate-to-strong wave energy). The wind is a light breeze cross-on, so it’ll be a little bumpy but still workable for a river mouth on an exposed setup. It's an advanced spot, so you'll need your wits about you, but this is the cleanest window we get. The 22nd of September has a touch more size (4 ft) and even higher energy at 810, but the wind is from the SSW at 15 km/h making it pretty choppy, so that Sunday morning is your real standout.

A bit earlier, Monday, September 14th has the biggest surf at 5 ft from the WNW, but it’s light cross-on wind and marked as marginal—it might be too fat and bumpy to be enjoyable. The 19th of September also shows some energy (624 score) with 3 ft SW swell, but again, that cross-on wind holds it back from being a classic.

The water temp sits at a toasty 73°F which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit.

For the rest of the second week, from the 23rd through the 26th, it’s the same story: waist-high swell (2 ft to 3 ft) with onshore or cross-onshore breezes. Not a lot to get fired up about, but those later days on the 24th with a light onshore wind might offer a sneaky session for the patient surfer.

Overall, pick your window, keep expectations low, and you might get a few. There’s no screaming swell on the horizon, just manageable stuff if you're keen.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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