Tijuana Sloughs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with no decent surf to speak of for the first week. The only break with any life in the data is Tijuana Sloughs, a river mouth setup that’s advanced, consistent, and exposed to the swell. The water is sitting at 73°F, which is a massive 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so you’ll be in for a warm one if you paddle out.

But here’s the kicker: from Wednesday the 5th of August right through to the weekend, the waves are just sad. We’re looking at tiny 2ft SW swell with a period around 14 seconds, and the combined swell energy is weak to moderate (175 to 469). The wind is light and mostly onshore, but the quality is just “poor surf conditions” every single day. It’s not worth getting wet.

Even into the second week, things don’t truly fire. Around Tuesday the 11th of August, we get a slight bump with a 1ft SW swell but a long 18-second period, and the energy pushes up to 278. The wind is a light cross-shore, and the call is “marginal surf forecast.” Not exactly a standout. The swell tries to build a little more around Friday the 14th of August, hitting 3ft from the SW with a 18-second period and energy jumping to 671, but it’s still a marginal call. The wind stays light and onshore, and the waves just don’t have the juice.

The best of a bad bunch lands on the weekend of the 15th and 16th of August. Saturday morning the 15th has a 4ft SSW swell with a 16-second period. The energy is solid at 739, but it’s a gentle cross-onshore wind, and the report says “marginal surf forecast.” For a river mouth like Tijuana Sloughs, that long period might actually break a bit too straight, but it’s the biggest swell in the window. Sunday the 16th drops back to 3ft from the SSW.

Honestly, there’s nothing here that gets me excited. The whole 16-day window is a bust. No standouts, no clean glassy days, and the waves are just too small and messy. If you’re desperate, maybe the 15th offers a few rideable ones, but don’t expect much. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a flat spell.

Rusty.

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