Road K Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

First up, I gotta be straight with you: this is a tough stretch. We've got a long, dry spell on our hands. For a solid five days, from Monday the 14th right through to Friday the 18th of September, you’d be better off waxing your board and staring at it than trying to paddle out. The wave energy is barely registering (50), with tiny 1ft SE windswell and a fresh northerly breeze making things messy. The water is sitting at about 71°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but that's the only good news.

Things start to look a little less bleak on Friday the 18th. The morning is still tiny at 1ft from the ESE, but it's clean with a light offshore breeze. The afternoon is the first real tease of the whole outlook: 1.0ft of long-period SE swell (12 seconds) and a glassy surface. It’s small, sure, but that's as good as it gets for a while. This is a true beginner zone (Road K), and for a total rookie, you could get a couple of rides. The combined energy is still weak (42).

Then, we get another big gap. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are basically write-offs again with messy onshore winds. The swell does show a pulse on Sunday morning with 3ft from the SSW (106), but the winds are all wrong.

The real story here is the middle of the second week. Monday the 21st through to Wednesday the 23rd of September sees a solid swell pulse. We’re looking at 6ft to 7ft of ESE swell. The combined wave energy jumps into the strong category (545 on Wednesday morning). But here's the heartbreaker: it's accompanied by onshore and cross-shore winds, making for choppy, lumpy, poor conditions. At this size, it's too much for beginners anyway, but with the wind, it’s a total mess for everyone. A setup like this, with that much wind and power, starts looking a lot more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

Thursday the 24th offers a brief moment of hope in the afternoon. The swell drops to a more manageable 5ft from the ESE, the wind swings light, and conditions clean up a little. The energy is still strong (326), but it's a marginal window.

The very end of the outlook, on Monday the 28th of September, offers another small window. We get 3ft of SE swell with a light offshore wind in the morning, turning glassy by the afternoon. The energy is moderate (141). It's not a standout by any stretch, but it's clean.

Honestly, the best you can hope for are those glassy windows on the 18th afternoon and the 28th. The big swell in the middle of the run is a classic case of "if only the wind was right." Keep an eye on it, but don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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