Road K Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s be straight with you – the next 16 days at Road K are mostly a write-off for surf. We’re looking at a long, painful gap of nothing worth paddling out for until the morning of Sunday the 19th of July. That’s a solid 4 days of flat or junk conditions right from the start. After that, it’s still a struggle, with only a couple of brief windows that might just be worth a look. The water is sitting at 71°F on the 15th, which is about average for this time of year. The one standout that shows any real promise is the morning of Wednesday the 22nd of July.

From Wednesday the 15th through to Saturday the 18th, it’s all poor surf. Tiny, weak swells with cross-off or cross-onshore winds. The combined energy never gets above 98 (weak), and the period is short – only 6 seconds on the best days. No point even thinking about it.

Sunday the 19th of July morning finally shows a pulse – 5 ft swell from the SSW at 7 seconds, with clean conditions and a cross-off northwesterly breeze. The combined energy jumps to 345 (moderate wave energy). But the score is marginal, and it’s still a short-period swell, so don’t expect much shape. The afternoon goes cross and choppy. Not great.

Monday the 20th of July morning bumps up to 5 ft from the S at 9 seconds, with combined energy of 383 (moderate), but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy from the east. The afternoon is similar but a touch bigger at 5 ft. It’s a mess.

Tuesday the 21st of July is a write-off – risk of thunderstorms, fresh cross winds, and lumpy cross-chop. Swell at 5 ft to 6 ft from the S but the period drops to 7-8 seconds. Not worth it.

Wednesday the 22nd of July morning – this is the one. The swell is 6 ft from the S at 9 seconds, with a clean cross-off northwesterly breeze. Combined energy hits 471 (moderate wave energy). It’s the best on offer by a long shot. The wind is light and clean, so the waves should be reasonably shaped. This is a sandbar break, and with that swell direction, it should handle it okay. Keep in mind it’s an exposed spot, so it’ll get the full energy. The afternoon goes cross and drops off.

After that, it’s back to small, weak, and windy. Thursday the 23rd, Friday the 24th, and Saturday the 25th all have swell under 3 ft with poor wind and energy. Sunday the 26th of July morning has a tiny 2 ft swell from the S with a clean offshore north wind, but it’s barely surfable.

The last few days – Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th – are all below 3 ft, with onshore or cross winds and low energy. The final push on Tuesday the 28th of July afternoon has 4 ft from the S at 9 seconds with combined energy of 267 (moderate), but it’s completely onshore. Not worth driving for.

So, bottom line: if you’re keen, the only real window is the morning of Wednesday the 22nd of July. Clean, moderate energy, and a solid 6 ft. Everything else is a miss. The gap at the start is 4 days of nothing, and after the 22nd, it’s another long stretch of poor quality. The spot is very consistent, so it’s a bit of a shocker – but sometimes the ocean just doesn’t play ball.

Rusty.

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