Turtle Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get straight into it.

Look, I’m gonna be honest with you – the next couple of weeks at Turtle Cove are a tough watch. We’ve got a solid run of days where you’ll be better off finding something else to do. The best I can say is that a few windows pop up where it might be worth a paddle, but there’s nothing here that gets the heart racing.

The Overall Pattern

The first handful of days are pretty much a write-off. Strong winds, messy conditions, and not much swell to get excited about. There’s a period from Monday the 8th through to Friday the 12th where the wind does swing offshore or cross-offshore, which is a positive, but the wave heights are small and the energy is weak. After that, we see another patch of cleaner winds but with very inconsistent, weak swells. Honestly, this is a stretch where the ocean is just not cooperating for a proper surf.

Day-by-Day Breakdown

Sunday 5th July – Forget it. Barely any swell (1 ft) and a cross-onshore breeze making it choppy.

Monday 6th July – Things get uglier. Strong onshore winds (25 mph) with heavy rain. The swell bumps up to 6-8 ft from the ESE/E, but the wind state is just terrible. It’s a mess. Combined energy hits 201 and then 494, but without clean wind, that energy is just a chaotic crumble. Not for paddling.

Tuesday 7th July – Another day of strong, funky cross-onshore winds (28 mph) and a messy 7 ft swell. Just blown out.

Wednesday 8th July – A glimmer. The morning sees a light cross-onshore breeze and a 5 ft ENE swell (energy at 302), but conditions are still marginal. The afternoon turns much better: clear skies, a light cross-offshore wind from the SW, and the swell drops to 3 ft. It’s clean, but tiny. Not a standout, just a moment of clean water.

Thursday 9th July – Clean again with cross-offshore winds all day, but wave heights are down to just 1 ft. Very weak energy (44 and 36). Not worth the drive.

Friday 10th July – The morning is glassy clean with light airs and a 1.0 ft SE swell, but the period is 10 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell for such a tiny wave. It’ll be weak and straight at this point break, but the water will be glassy. Afternoon picks up a little to 3 ft from the SSW, still clean but no power. Combined energy is only 20 and 66. Barely surfable.

Saturday 11th July – A slight lift. Morning is choppy with cross-on winds and a 3 ft S swell, but the afternoon sees the wind drop to a light breeze, and the swell comes up to 3 ft from the S with a period of 8 seconds. Energy at 166. The waves might be rideable, but it’s cross-onshore and won't be pretty. Not a standout.

Sunday 12th July – Morning is clean with cross-offshore winds and a tiny 2 ft S swell. A very ordinary surfable wave, but nothing special. Energy only 65.

Monday 13th July to Friday 17th July – This whole stretch is dominated by clean cross-offshore winds, which is great for the surface, but surf heights are pathetically small (mostly 1.0 ft to 3 ft) and the energy is weak. The morning of Tuesday 14th has a 4 ft S swell (energy 201) and clean wind – that’s the most promising day of the lot. But it’s still a marginal, questionable tide situation. Friday 17th morning offers a similar 3 ft S swell with gentle winds and energy of 124, but again, it's just "surfable but very ordinary."

Saturday 18th July onwards – The wind turns onshore again. Light winds and a 3 ft S swell on the 18th, but it’s onshore. The last few days of the forecast look blown out or messy with onshore winds and tiny swell.

The (Only) Standout

If I had to point you to one moment when it’s worth a look, it’s the morning of Tuesday 14th July. The wind is clean and offshore (cross-off from the SSW), the swell is a very surfable 4 ft from the S with moderate energy (201). Turtle Cove is a reef and point, so it handles that S swell okay, and the clean wind means the face should be nice. It’s not big, but it’s the best quality on offer across this whole period. Crowds can be an issue here sometimes, so if you can get out early, you might have a fun session.

Every other day suffers from either no swell, too much wind, or both. This is one of those stretches where the forecast looks bleak, but things can change. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty

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