Turtle Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Turtle Cove. Let’s be real – most of this forecast is a tough one for us paddle surfers. The good news is that the first real chance of a wave pops up on Wednesday, July 22nd, with a 7 ft south swell. The energy is moderate at 579, but the period is a short, crumbly 8 seconds, so don’t expect any power. The wind is a cross-off from the SSW, keeping things clean, but the water is a chilly 66°F, which is 4°F below normal – that’s much colder than we’re used to for this time of year, so bring a thick suit. The conditions are clean, but the wave comment says it’s marginal, so it’s a so-so session at best.

From Thursday morning, July 23rd, the quality drops off hard. The swell stays small, under 5 ft, and the winds get messy – cross-on, onshore, choppy. The combined energy sinks to 254 or lower, and it’s all poor surf conditions. We’re looking at a long, dry spell. Friday, the 24th, is a washout with a 3 ft, 7-second swell and onshore wind. Saturday and Sunday, the 25th and 26th, are tiny with onshore or cross-onshore breeze. The energy drops to 56 and 54, so it’s basically flat.

The entire week after that is a grim run. Monday, July 27th, has a 2 ft swell with offshore wind, but it’s too small to do anything with. Tuesday, the 28th, gets a tiny 4 ft bump but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. Wednesday, the 29th, is rainy and messy. The energy stays in the double digits, and every comment is “poor surf conditions.” We’re looking at a solid week of nothing.

The only glimmer of hope comes on Friday, August 1st, in the morning. The wind drops to a glassy calm, and the swell is 3 ft from the south with an 8-second period. The energy is a weak 120, and the comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s a 1 out of 10. That’s about as close to a stand-out as we get, but it’s flat, small, and forgettable. The rest of that day and into the weekend is just cross-off wind over tiny waves.

After that, we’re back to nothing. The period from August 3rd to the 6th shows swells barely reaching 1.0 ft to 4 ft, but all with poor conditions, cross-chop, and moderate to strong wind. The energy is mostly in the single digits or low 100s. It’s a total blank run for the second week.

Honestly, if you’re a paddle surfer, this is a tough 16 days. Turtle Cove is a reef and point, so it needs a decent swell to work, and we just don’t have it. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on most days, with the moderate cross-off winds and small, clean lines. But for us, it’s a waiting game. The forecasts can change, so don’t lose hope, but as it stands, there’s nothing to get excited about. The best session is that Wednesday afternoon, July 22nd, with the 7 ft swell, but it’s a short-period, marginal affair. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty.

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