Turtle Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at the forecast for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a bleak picture. We're looking at a long stretch of flatness or very weak, messy swell. The combined swell energy is mostly in the low double digits, like 29, 27, 25, all the way down to 8, which is weak. That's a lot of days of staring at a flat ocean. For a spot like Turtle Cove, which is a reef and point break, we need a decent push from the SE (its optimum direction) to get any life, and that just isn't happening consistently.

The week starts with nothing. Tuesday and Wednesday (Sept 1 and 2) are a total write-off. The water temp is sitting at a pretty average 70° for the time of year, so no anomalies there, just a whole lot of nothing.

We get a tiny flicker of hope on Thursday morning, the 3rd. A small 3-foot ESE swell rolls in with a short period of 6 seconds, but it's clean with a cross-off wind from the SSW. The energy is a moderate 103. It's not going to be big, but it might be the only rideable wave of the week. Don't expect much.

Then the real dry spell hits. From Friday the 4th all the way through to the 11th, the swell is tiny – we're talking 1-foot to 2-foot max. The wind is all over the place, but the swell just isn't there. Friday the 11th afternoon sees a spike in swell to 7 feet from the SSW, which is a lot of energy (372), but the wind is howling at 25 mph from the SW. That's going to be a messy, blown-out wall of water, likely only for the brave or the kite surfers.

The best chance of the whole run looks like Saturday the 12th. The morning brings a 5-foot SSW swell with a period of 8 seconds and clean cross-off winds from the NW. The energy is a solid 265. That's a manageable size, not too big for a confident intermediate, and the direction is offshore. It's the only day that looks like it has any real potential for a clean, fun session.

After that, it's back to the doldrums. The 13th and 14th see small, weak swell, and the final days of the 15th and 16th are practically flat again with periods of 9 seconds but swell heights of only 1-foot.

So, the one standout is Saturday, the 12th of September. If you have to pick a day, that's it. The rest of the window is a long, slow wait for something worthwhile.

Rusty.

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