Turtle Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Turtle Cove.

First thing, this is gonna be a long wait. The old ocean is flat as a pancake right now. We’re looking at a stretch of barely-there waves for more than a week. The first surfable hint doesn’t show up until Friday the 11th, but I wouldn’t get out of bed for it. If you’re desperate, that Friday morning has a small 2ft swell from the south-west with a gnarly 6-second period – that’s weak, wobbly stuff. The wind is offshore from the WNW at only 6 mph, so the surface will be glassy, but the waves have no push. The combined energy is a measly 55 – that’s weak.

The rest of that first week into the second is grim. Mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds, tiny swell, and the odd offshore moment but with so little height it’s not worth paddling out for. That Tuesday morning, the 15th of July, gives a little 2ft swell with a cross-off breeze, but it’s still only 8 seconds and a combined energy of 60. Surfable, but very ordinary.

Now, the real story is in the third week. Monday the 20th of July afternoon, things finally wake up. A 7ft swell from the SSW hits, but the period is a short 6 seconds and the wind is messing it up with a cross-onshore from the ESE at 12 mph. The combined energy jumps to 353 – that’s moderate energy, but the conditions are poor for Turtle Cove. This looks more interesting for kite-surfing than paddle-surfing, to be honest.

The stand-out window is Tuesday the 21st of July and Wednesday the 22nd. We get a 7ft swell from the SSW on Tuesday afternoon with a combined energy of 433. That’s moderate to strong. The period is still a short 7 seconds, so it’s windswell, not groundswell. It’s gonna be a bit lumpy and on the big side. Over 8ft it’s expert territory, and 6ft–7ft is pushing it for beginners. The wind goes light and cross on Tuesday afternoon. Wednesday is similar with 6ft–5ft swell.

For the very best chance, look at Friday the 24th of July morning. The swell drops to a more manageable 3ft from the south, and the wind goes totally glassy – a major positive. The combined energy is 96, weak, but with clean conditions and zero wind, you’ll get some fun little runners. Crowds at Turtle Cove are sometimes a thing, so be ready for that.

Bottom line: the first week is a write-off. The second week is when the surf finally shows up. The 21st and 22nd have size but messy winds, so it’s for the experienced crew. The 24th morning is the pick for a clean, small session. Water temps are about average for this time of year.

Rusty.

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