Fox Hill Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is a tough one, and I’m not going to sugarcoat it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for any real waves. We’ve got a solid run of small, weak surf and not a lot of hope on the horizon. It’s the kind of stretch where you might be better off tuning up your board or doing some other shore duty.

The first good session we see is a while off. From now until then, it’s a real grind. The swell is tiny, most of it under 2ft, and the energy is just pathetic. We’re talking combined energy readings in the teens and twenties — that’s weak, gutless stuff. The wind is mostly cross or onshore, so even the small bumps are going to be chopped up and messy. There are a few glassy mornings early on, like Thursday and Friday morning, but with next to no swell, it’s not going to be worth the paddle.

This dry spell really stretches out. Day after day, it’s the same story: small, weak, and mostly poor surf conditions. We do see a little bump in the swell on Monday the 10th, but the wind is straight onshore and the period is a short 4 seconds, so it’s going to be a washing machine. Not good.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Friday the 21st. That’s over a week and a half away, so keep that in mind. The swell finally starts to push up, with the morning showing 4ft from the southeast at 5 seconds. The energy jumps to 66, which is still weak but a step in the right direction. The wind is light and onshore, so it’s not perfect, but it’s something.

Then, Friday afternoon is where it gets interesting. The swell builds to 4ft from the southeast, and the energy really kicks in, hitting 156, which is moderate energy. The period is still short at 6 seconds, so it’s not going to be any kind of groundswell, but it’s the best we’ve seen. The wind is gentle cross-onshore, making it a bit choppy, but there’s finally some push to the water.

Fox Hill Point is the only break on the radar. It’s a reef setup, fairly consistent, and exposed to any southeast swell that comes through. The optimum swell direction is from the southeast, which is exactly what we’re getting on that Friday. It’s an intermediate spot, so it will handle this size okay. The water is currently a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 64°F with a -2°F anomaly, which is notable.

So, here’s the long and short of it: don’t get your hopes up for the next week and a half. This is a blank run. The surf is just not there. But the models are pointing to that Friday the 21st as the one day with some real potential. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not certain. The sets might be a little close together with that 6-second period, but at a reef like Fox Hill, it could offer up some fun, cleanish waves. It might not be a standout for the history books, but compared to what we’ve got coming, it’s the best on offer.

Stay patient. It won’t be poor forever.

Rusty

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