Fox Hill Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’ve been lookin’ at the charts for our neck of the woods, and I’ll be straight with you — it’s gonna be a tough stretch. The next 16 days are lookin’ pretty bleak for anything worth paddlin’ out for. There’s just no solid, clean swell lined up with the right wind. We’re talkin’ a long gap before anything even sniffs worth a mention.

We gotta sit on our hands until maybe Monday the 31st of August. That morning, we get a little pulse of long-period groundswell from the ESE, pushin’ 1ft at 18 seconds. Combined energy is still low at 97, but that long period means better shaped waves and easier paddling out between sets. However, the swell’s tiny — basically a ripple. It cleans up with a light, cross-offshore breeze from the SW, so it could be glassy, but you’ll be fightin’ for scraps on a 1ft wave. By the afternoon, the energy picks up to 141 (moderate), still tiny at 1ft with a 16-second period, and a light offshore from the W might make it feel smooth, but it’s still a challenge to get a ride.

Then on Tuesday the 1st of September, we see a bump in energy to 147 but the breeze turns cross-on from the SE. Still, the swell is only 2ft from the ESE at 13 seconds. Not worth gettin’ wet for, really. The whole run from here is plagued by junky conditions — cross-onshore winds, choppy surface, and poor surf quality.

The standout, if you can even call it that, is Fox Hill Point (reef). It’s an exposed reef, pretty consistent. An intermediate-level wave, if there was any. It handles the SE swell direction which is the optimum, but the problem is that the swell never gets above 5ft, and when it does on Wednesday the 2nd of September (5ft from the ENE at 6 seconds), it’s short-period junk with cross-onshore wind. The combined energy that day is 264 (moderate), but that short period kills it; it’ll be fat and weak. The water temp is 66°, which is about average for this time of year, no drama there.

Honestly, the best chance you’ll get is maybe the morning of Friday the 4th of September. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the E at 9 seconds, combined energy of 382 (moderate-strong), and a light NE breeze, though it’s cross-on. It’s not perfect, but it’s the biggest of the run. Still, the forecast says “marginal” — tide might mess it up. It’s not what I’d call a standout.

After that, it drops back off. The 5th and 6th of September see the swell fade and the wind stay messy. By the 7th, it’s done.

Look, this is a reef break that needs a decent swell to work, and we just aren’t gettin’ it. The crowds at Fox Hill Point can be “often,” so even if there was a wave, you’d be in a pack. For now, it’s a hard pass. I wouldn’t even recommend it for a beginner on the 2nd when it’s 5ft — that’s actually borderline for intermediates, but the short period and onshore wind make it a messy, sectiony mess.

Keep your eyes peeled, but don’t hold your breath. The forecasts might change, but right now, this is a blank run for our area.

Rusty

Read more