Fox Hill Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s happening around Fox Hill Point.

Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are a pretty flat and quiet stretch for this part of the coast. The first meaningful surf recommendation doesn’t show up until Wednesday afternoon, August 26, and even then it’s only just surfable. There’s a big gap at the start with nothing worth paddling out for, and then a long run of mostly poor conditions right through until the end of the forecast. It’s the kind of run that’s frustrating, but it happens here from time to time.

Water temperature is sitting at 66°, which is only about 0.2° off the long-term average – so pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year. Nothing unusual there.

The only spot on the radar is Fox Hill Point (reef), and it’s a fairly consistent break that works on a SE swell. The optimum swell direction is SE, so that’s a tick. But the problem is, the swell just doesn’t show up with any real energy for most of the period.

The first real chance to get wet is Wednesday afternoon, August 26. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the ESE, period around 9 seconds – that’s a short period, so the waves will be a bit weak and soft. Combined energy is only 93 (weak), so don’t expect much push. The winds are light offshore from the W at 6 mph, which means clean conditions. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. This is the best on offer, but honestly, it’s pretty marginal.

Thursday morning, August 27 is back to poor surf, with a light cross-onshore breeze and small, weak waves. Friday, August 28 is more of the same – tiny, messy, and not worth the drive.

Saturday, August 29 brings a slight improvement with clean conditions thanks to a moderate cross-offshore breeze from the NW at 12 mph, but the swell is still only 2ft from the SE and period a short 8 seconds. Energy is weak at 63. It’s clean, but the waves are too small to get excited about.

Sunday afternoon, August 30 is the only time we see glassy conditions – light winds, no bumps. But the swell is a pathetic 1ft from the SE, period 8 seconds, and energy is just 30. You’d be lucky to get a knee-high ripple.

The rest of the forecast from August 31 through to September 6 is a long string of poor surf days. The swell stays tiny, the wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, and the combined energy rarely gets above 100. There’s a brief moment on Wednesday afternoon, September 2 where the swell bumps up to 4ft from the SSE, but the period is a shocking 5 seconds – that’s windswell mush, and it’s coming with a moderate cross-onshore breeze at 12 mph, making for choppy, ugly conditions. Not worth it.

For a few days around September 3–4, the energy climbs into the moderate range (124–158), but the swell direction is off, the period is short, and the wind is messy. Still no good.

So, the honest truth? There’s nothing here that’s a standout. The best chance is that Wednesday afternoon, August 26, but only if you’re desperate for a paddle and don’t mind tiny, weak, clean waves. Otherwise, it’s a long, flat wait. Fox Hill Point is a reef break, and with a longer period swell (like the 16-second stuff on August 31) it could be interesting, but the swell height is just 0.3–0.7ft – not enough to break.

Keep an eye on the forecasts, though. It tends not to stay this quiet forever.

Stay patient,
Rusty.

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