Fox Hill Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look at what we've got for Fox Hill Point over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you, it's a tough stretch.

The whole 16-day outlook is a bit of a bummer. We're starting on the 15th of July, and right from the get-go, the waves are tiny with almost no energy behind them. The dominant pattern is small, weak swell and the wind is mostly not our friend. We'll see a couple of pulses that get the energy up into three-digit territory, but even then the quality is just not there.

The water temp is sitting at 68°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest rubber. But you’ll be doing more floating than surfing.

The first real chance for anything rideable looks like Saturday afternoon, the 18th of July. The combined swell energy hits 101 (moderate energy), and we get a 4ft wave from the south, but it’s only got a 5-second period. That is super short-period, choppy windswell. It'll be bumpy, not great shape. The wind is cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean on the face, but it’s a messy one. Not a standout, just the first flicker of life.

Then Tuesday afternoon, the 21st of July, we see a little more size, with a 5ft swell from the south-southeast, and the energy jumps to 138 (moderate). But again, the period is a weak 6 seconds. Heavy rain is expected, and the wind is cross-off from the NNW, so it will be clean but the waves are gonna be soft and crumbly. Still poor quality.

It’s Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th before we see any energy in the 90s, but still in the poor surf category. It just never comes together.

Finally, we get something slightly better. Sunday the 26th of July morning and afternoon see the best winds of the whole forecast. We’ve got a moderate offshore breeze from the west, which will groom the waves nicely. The morning has 3ft from the southeast, and the afternoon pushes up to 4ft from the south-southeast. The afternoon swell has a really short, weak 4-second period, so the morning window is the better bet despite being smaller. The energy is still low, around 59-73, so it's not a powerful surf.

Then to close out the first week of the outlook, we get some glassy conditions. On Tuesday, the 28th of July morning, the wind goes dead calm with a 2ft swell from the southeast. Wednesday, the 29th of July morning is the same story – glassy, 2ft from the southeast. These will be tiny, clean little dribblers. If you’ve got a log, those mornings *might* offer a couple of knee-high rollers. But the energy is weak (43-63).

Honestly, there are no true standouts here. It’s a long run of poor to mediocre surf. For this exposed reef break, the optimum swell direction is from the southeast, which we see a lot of, but the swell size is just too small and the period too short for most of it to make the reef light up. It’s a frustrating pattern.

If you are desperate for a paddle, keep an eye on the glassy mornings around the 28th and 29th of July for the cleanest, smallest surf. But for real waves, we’re gonna have to wait for a change in the forecast.

Rusty.

Read more