Fox Hill Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, I’m gonna level with you, Fox Hill Point – it’s been a tough stretch, and the next couple of weeks don’t look like they’ll give us much to get excited about. This is a reef setup that’s exposed to the swell, and it typically needs something from the SE to tick over. We’re in a bit of a dry spell, so don’t expect much.

Gap in the action: There’s nothing on the table right through until late afternoon on Wednesday, August 19th. That’s a solid five-day blank run where there’s zero decent surf on offer. The energy’s just not there, and when it does show up, it’s tiny.

The first hint of something surfable comes on the afternoon of Wednesday, August 19th. It's nothing special – swell heights are a small 3 ft from the SE with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is only 107 (moderate), and the wind is a cross-off from the SSW, keeping the surface clean. It’s not a standout, but it’s the first ripple of life after that long pause. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – about 70°F – nothing wild.

Thursday, August 20th, and Friday, August 21st, stay poor. The swell stays weak, the wind is on or cross-onshore, and it’s messy.

Saturday, August 22nd, has a tiny moment: the morning starts glassy with an offshore WNW breeze at just 3 mph atop a 2 ft swell from the ESE. It’s clean, but you’re barely going to get wet. By the afternoon it’s onshore and messy again.

Sunday, August 23rd, sees a cross-shore wind with a lumpy 4 ft swell from the E (period 7 seconds), combined energy climbing to 128 (still only moderate). However, it’s not clean and the quality is poor. Not worth the paddle.

The only highlight in this whole 16-day outlook is the morning of Tuesday, August 25th. The swell drops back to 2 ft from the ESE, period 9 seconds, combined energy 97 (weak-to-moderate). But here’s the kicker – the wind is offshore from the W at 9 mph. That’s clean, groomed peelers on the reef. It’s the only time in the entire run where the wind is truly offshore and the swell is just about big enough to make it worth a session. Don’t get carried away – it’s still small, but for this reef, with clean conditions, it’s the best you’re going to get. The crowd factor? This spot is ‘often’ busy, so expect some company.

After that, it fades back into tiny, weak swell through to the end of the run. Wednesday, August 26th, starts glassy again, but the swell is only 2 ft. Thursday, August 27th, sees a longer-period 13-second groundswell from the ESE, but it’s only 1.0 ft – that long period makes it a tease, and the onshore wind ruins it. Friday and Saturday, August 28th and 29th, have clean cross-off winds but the swell drops right off back into the 1-2 ft range.

Bottom line: we’re in a flat spell. The only one worth putting your wetsuit on for is the morning of Tuesday, August 25th. The rest is a write-off. For kite surfers with that side-shore action, maybe you’ll find something, but for paddling, it’s a tough outlook.

Stay patient.
Rusty.

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