Fox Hill Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Gotta be straight with you – Fox Hill Point is lookin’ like it’s in a bit of a funk for the whole 16-day stretch. There’s no standout session in there, no pumpin’ swell, no magic window. The first record kicks off on Thursday afternoon, July 9th, but it’s a real flat spell from the get-go.

The overall pattern is just weak. The swell is tiny, barely crawlin’ out of the southeast, and what little energy there is gets swallowed up by lousy winds most days. We’re talkin’ combined swell energy levels barely nudging into triple digits only once (a 117 on that Thursday arvo), and even then it’s just 3ft of short-period, 8-second slop with a cross-off wind. It’s clean, but there’s no push behind it.

Fox Hill Point, as a reef break exposed to the southeast, needs a decent swell to light up. What we’ve got is dribble. Thursday the 9th sees a bit of ESE swell at 3ft, but the wind is a moderate cross-off from the SSW at 12 mph. It’s not terrible, but the waves are gutless. The water is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, a small bonus if you’re paddlin’ around.

Through the next week it’s a sad story. Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th drop off into the weeds – swell heights under 2ft, mostly onshore or light cross-on breezes. Sunday the 12th is glassy in the morning but the swell is a pathetic 1ft. We get a few moments of clean offshore wind mid-week, like Tuesday the 14th with a moderate offshore from the west at 12 mph, but the swell is still barely a ripple at 1ft. That pattern repeats – clean but tiny, or a little more size with a chop.

Now, Saturday the 18th is interesting, but not for the right reasons. The morning is flat, but in the afternoon we get a jump to 4ft of short-period SSE swell with 6-second period, and combined energy hits 128 – which is moderate. But it’s got a light cross-shore from the north-northeast and light rain, so it’s messy. For a reef, that period is way too short, and the size is just enough to be a washout. Not a recommendation.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Sunday the 19th through to Thursday the 23rd is tiny – 1ft to 2ft – with a mix of light onshore and sometimes glassy conditions. On the morning of July 23rd, we get glassy conditions with 2ft of 6-second slop, clean as a whistle, but no power behind it. Friday the 24th sees a slight bump: 3ft of ESE swell, 7-second period, with a clean cross-off wind from the southwest 12-16 mph. Combined energy sits around 60, which is still weak.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it: there is no standout. There’s no day where the stars align – not even a single score above zero in the guidance. For a spot that’s “fairly consistent,” this is a dry spell. The whole 16 days is a long gap with no real recommendation. But don’t lose hope – forecasts can shift, and Fox Hill Point can turn on when the swell direction locks in from the southeast. For now, keep the board in the car and your eyes on the horizon.

Rusty.

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