Swamis Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m gonna start with the big picture. Honestly, the first week and a half is a bit of a grind. We’ve got some swell, but the conditions are fighting it every step of the way. The real light at the end of the tunnel comes around the 25th July weekend, where things start to look a whole lot more promising. There’s a gap in quality surf right at the beginning until we get into the thicker stuff later.

So, here at Swamis, the first solid pulse we see is actually a long-period groundswell that shows up on the 15th July. But the wind is a cross-on, so it’s going to be a bit messy. The swell is a tiny 2 ft to 2 ft with a crazy long 18 second period, but the combined energy is only sitting at 230 to 266 (weak to moderate) – it’s just not enough to get excited about with the wind on it. The water temp is about average for July, nothing wild.

The 16th and 17th July are pretty much write-offs. The wind picks up, and the combo of small swell and cross-shore or cross-on wind just makes it choppy and poor. Not worth paddling out.

The 18th and 19th July see a bit more size, 3 ft to 3 ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. The energy bumps up to moderate (512 to 933), but with the wind, it’s still marginal. The 20th and 21st are similar – small, onshore, with a bit of a bump in energy but no real quality.

Then we hit the 24th July. Friday morning, we get a massive 24 second period groundswell, but it’s only 2 ft. The energy is moderate (822), but it’s onshore wind. That’s a big tease.

The standout, and I mean the real one, is the 25th July Saturday. This is the best on offer. The morning shows a 3 ft swell from the SSW with a 21 second period, and the combined energy is a strong 1533. The wind is light and onshore, but it’s light. By the afternoon, the swell jumps to 6 ft, same direction, with a 15 second period, and a massive 1613 energy reading. The wind stays light onshore. This is a long-period groundswell, so at Swamis, a beach and reef break, it’s going to have some real power and shape. The sets will be clean with that light wind. It’s probably going to be a bit much for beginners at 6 ft, but for the experienced crew, that’s the window.

The 26th July Sunday keeps the swell going – 6 ft in the morning (energy 2043!), but it’s cross-on wind, so it’s a bit choppier. Still, the size is there. The 27th and 28th maintain a solid 4 ft to 5 ft with long periods and light winds, keeping the quality high. Things taper off toward the 30th.

So, the call is: the first week is a slog. The 25th July Saturday is your best bet, with that clean, long-period groundswell and light winds. The 26th is also solid, but a bit wind-affected. The following week has consistent, good-sized swell but it’s always a bit compromised by the wind direction. If you’re keen, aim for that 25th.

Rusty.

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