Swamis Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what we’ve got for Swamis over the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a bit of a mixed bag, and for the most part, we’re looking at a pretty long stretch of quiet, marginal conditions. The good news is that the water’s sitting at 75°F, which is a solid 6°F above the norm for this time of year – that’s really unusual, a proper warm spell, so you’ll be needing a shorty or even just boardies out there.

The first real sign of life comes on Friday the 4th, with a clean-looking setup. We’ve got a 4ft SSW swell, but here’s the catch – it’s a long-period groundswell, 16 seconds, and that’s packing moderate energy (781). With a light offshore wind from the west, it’ll be glassy. Now, Swamis is a beach and reef setup, and while that long period will bring some nice shape, it can also make it a tad straight on a beach break, but over the reef it should be sweet. The scores are low though, so it’s more of a “get a few sneaky ones” session than a classic.

Saturday the 5th is similar, but the swell bumps up a touch to 4ft from the south, and the wind stays light offshore in the morning. Energy is building, jumping to 1242, so it’s got some real push. The afternoon gets a bit tricky with a cross-onshore breeze, so the morning is your window.

Sunday the 6th sees the swell peak with a solid 7ft from the SSW, but the wind swings around to a cross-shore from the north, which is going to chop it up. That’s expert territory at that size, and the wind won’t help. The energy is high (1748), but it’s messy.

Honestly, after that initial pulse, things really drop off. From Monday the 7th onwards, the swell sizes are trending down, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore. By the time we get to the second week, from the 9th onwards, it’s a proper lull. You’ll see a few days with 3ft or less, with long periods but poor wind, and the energy just fades out – we’re looking at low, two-digit energy values by the 12th and 13th, which is weak. The forecast keeps saying “poor surf conditions” or “marginal,” and there’s a long stretch from the 11th to the 19th where it’s just not worth paddling out for a proper wave.

The standout for the whole period has to be the Saturday morning, the 5th. That 4ft S swell, with light offshore wind (6 mph) and a solid 14-second period, all at a break that’s fairly consistent – that’s your best bet. The energy is strong (1242), and the water is warm. Crowds can be an issue at Swamis (it’s “often” crowded), so get out early.

If you’re a beginner, anything over 5ft gets tricky, so the 7ft on Sunday is a no-go. For the rest of the time, it’s just too small and wind-affected to get excited about. It’s a long run of flatness, but that’s how it goes sometimes – the forecasts can change, and a blank run isn’t unusual here.

Rusty.

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