Swamis Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the outlook for the next 16 days at Swamis is a tough one to write. The numbers just aren't coming together for a good session.

There's a persistent, small south-southwest swell running, but it's constantly being messed up by onshore and cross-onshore winds. The water temperature is a whopping 9° warmer than usual for this time of year, sitting at 77°F. That's a real anomaly, feels like a bathtub out there.

The whole run kicks off on Wednesday the 5th of August with a tiny 2ft swell from the SW, period of 14 seconds, and even though the wind is light offshore from the W, the wave comment says it all: "poor surf conditions". The combined energy is weak at 168, so there's just no push.

Thursday the 6th is more of the same – 2ft and cross-on winds. Friday the 7th sees a small bump in energy with the swell hitting 2ft from the SSW and a very long period of 19 seconds. The combined energy jumps to a moderate 500, but it's still a "marginal" call, and the wind is onshore. That long period is a good sign for the open ocean, but at a beach-and-reef setup like this, it might just make the waves fat and hard to read.

We roll through the next week with nothing changing. Swell sizes hang between 2ft and 3ft, periods bounce around, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy fluctuates but never produces a clean, rideable wave. You'll see a few days tagged as "marginal surf forecast" – like the 14th of August when the swell bumps up to 3ft and the energy hits 688 – but the wind is still onshore, and the wave comment is still "marginal" at best, not "good".

The best of a bad bunch looks to be the morning of Saturday the 15th of August. The swell is 3ft from the SSW, period of 16 seconds, combined energy is a strong 742, and the wind is offshore from the WSW. It's still tagged as "marginal", but that's the only window where the conditions might align for a few half-decent walls. It's a promise, not a guarantee.

The rest of the outlook through to the 20th of August is the same sad story: small swell, bad wind. There's just no standout day here. For a spot that's usually fairly consistent, this is a frustrating flat spell. The setup is honestly more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer right now, given the persistent onshore flow.

We just have to wait for the pattern to shift. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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