Swamis Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way for Swamis. The water’s sitting at a toasty 75°, which is a solid 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a big deal, almost like bathwater, so you’ll be keen on a thin suit if you’re paddling out.

To be honest, the next few days are a bit of a struggle. We’ve got some swell around, but it’s all tagged as “marginal” with questionable conditions. The energy is moderate, with the combined swell energy sitting around 633 to 679, but the wind is onshore and the waves are just not coming together cleanly. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are a write-off for a decent session – the swell is small and the wind is messing with the face.

We finally get a bit of a pulse for Saturday the 25th with a 3ft swell from the SSW, but the period is a whopping 21 seconds. That’s very long-period groundswell, which can be a bit tricky at a beach-and-reef setup like Swamis – it might run a bit too straight. The wind is light and offshore though, which is a major positive for clean faces. The combined energy is moderate at 938. It’s not a standout, but it’s the best of a quiet run.

Sunday the 26th holds similar 4ft SSW swell with a 19-second period, but the wind swings cross-shore, making it a little bumpy. The energy is around 996. Still not the magic day.

Monday the 27th is where things start to lift a little. The swell builds to 4ft from the SSW, with an 18-second period, and the combined energy jumps into the strong range at 1136. The wind is still cross-onshore, so it’s not perfect, but there’s more power in the water. Tuesday the 28th follows with 5ft SSW swell and a 17-second period, energy at 1165, and light offshore wind. That’s a better window – cleaner waves and a bit of size. This is probably the pick of the first week, though it’s still not a classic.

After that, the swell drops off again. From Wednesday the 29th through to Sunday the 2nd of August, it’s a mix of small, weak, and poor conditions. The combined energy falls below 500, and the wind is constantly cross-onshore or choppy. The waves are tiny and the period drops, so it’s a gap of several days with no real reason to paddle out.

There is a late spike right at the end of the forecast. On Friday the 31st of July, the swell jumps to 6ft from the S with a 15-second period, and the combined energy hits a strong 1544. The wind is offshore and light. That’s a proper late-afternoon possibility if you’re keen to gamble. Then Saturday the 1st of August holds 7ft S swell with a 13-second period, energy at 1461, and light offshore wind. That’s solid size – getting into the 6-7ft range, which is more for the experienced crew. The period is shorter, so it’s not as clean as a long-period groundswell, but the power is there.

After that, the window shuts. Sunday the 2nd of August through to the end of the forecast period is all poor surf, small waves, and cross-onshore winds. The combined energy drops to 200-300 range, and the swell is tiny. Nothing to bother with.

So, the standout for the whole period? I’d say Tuesday the 28th of July for the cleanest conditions with a solid 5ft SSW swell and light offshore wind. If you want more size and can handle the chop, Saturday the 1st of August is the big one, but it’s only for the confident crew. Crowds are often a thing at Swamis, so expect company.

Stay safe, and don’t force it on the flat days.

Rusty.

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