Swamis Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for us.

Right off the bat, the water at Swamis is running at a warm 76°, which is 8° warmer than the long-term average for this time of year. That's a seriously unusual anomaly, so you'll be able to leave the thick rubber at home.

The forecast kicks off on Thursday, July 30th with a bit of pulse. We've got a 4ft swell from the south, rolling in at a proper 13-second interval. The combined energy is sitting at a moderate 801. The wind is light and blowing from the west, which is directly offshore for this spot. That means clean, lined-up faces. It's only a 1/10 score, but for a Thursday morning session with offshore breeze and a bit of size, it's worth a paddle. The Thursday afternoon drops off a touch to 3ft, but that swell period stretches out to a very long 16 seconds. The wave energy is still respectable at 787. That offshore wind holds, so the later session could have some real grinders.

Friday the 31st starts similar, with a 4ft south-southwest swell at 14 seconds and that offshore wind, giving a combined energy of 614. The morning looks like the better bet here. By Friday afternoon the swell drops to 3ft and the energy drops to 447, but the wind stays offshore.

Now, here's where it gets tough. From Saturday, August 1st, right through to Monday, August 10th, the surf goes pretty flat and messy. The wind switches to a cross-onshore direction, and swell heights are tiny, mostly between 1ft and 2ft. The combined energy readings are low, dropping from 362 all the way down to 144. There's just no push. It's a long, quiet stretch about a week and a half of barely anything worth getting wet for.

The real standout, the one to circle on your calendar, shows up on Friday, August 7th. The morning session sees a 3ft south-southwest swell, but the period — listen to this — is a massive 19 seconds. That's a very long-period groundswell. The combined energy jumps back up to a moderate 577. At a reef setup like Swamis, that long period energy will really wrap in and focus. Yes, the wind is a cross-onshore 9 mph, which will put a bit of texture on it, but that pulse of energy is the best thing we've seen in a fortnight. A 19-second swell is rare; the waits between sets will be long, but the waves that do come through will have serious push and shape. The afternoon cleans up with a 9 mph offshore wind, but the energy drops a touch to 463.

After that, we slide back into small, cross-onshore conditions for the rest of the run. The swell shows a little flicker of life around the 13th of August with a 3ft south-west swell at 16 seconds and a combined energy of 465, but the cross-onshore wind holds. The main window for anything remotely fun is those first few days, with the 7th of August being the absolute best bet for a wave with some real grunt and character.

Stay safe, and I'll see you out there.

Rusty.

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