Swamis Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the Swamis stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a solid pulse of long-period groundswell hitting early in the week, but the wind is going to be a real problem. The best waves on offer are going to be the first few days, but you'll be fighting a cross-offshore breeze that's just not quite clean enough to make it perfect. The water is sitting at 74° right now, which is a massive 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a really unusual anomaly, so you can leave the steamer at home.

The main event kicks off Monday, July 27th. Swamis is picking up a nice SSW groundswell, with chest-to-shoulder-high sets around 4ft, and period is a very long 18 seconds. That long period (moderate to strong wave energy, 1142) means the lines will have proper grunt, but it can make a beach break like this one a bit tricky, sometimes closing out. The wind is a light cross-on, so the surface will have a bit of texture. There's a hint of a question mark over the tide, so it might be a bit fat or shallow depending on when you paddle out. Overall, it's a bit of a tease – the potential is there, but the conditions aren't locking in.

Tuesday, July 28th, is more of the same. Swell hangs in around 5ft from the SSW (1219 energy), but the wind picks up a notch to a gentle breeze, making it messier and choppier. The quality is still questionable.

By Wednesday, July 29th, the swell starts to drop back to 4ft to 4ft, and the energy is fading (897). The cross-on wind is still a bother, so the surf is looking pretty ragged.

Thursday, July 30th, and Friday, July 31st, see a bit of a bump with a slightly different S-SSW swell, pushing 6ft. That's starting to get a bit solid, but it's still not clean. The wind turns directly onshore, which is a write-off for quality. The energy is still there, but it's a messy, blown-out situation.

After that, it's a long, slow decline. From Saturday, August 1st, onward, the swell drops off a cliff. It goes from 5ft down to under 2ft by Sunday, August 2nd, and the wind stays onshore or cross-on. The combined energy drops from 726 down to just a couple of hundred, which is weak. The comments from the models are all saying "poor surf conditions" or "marginal," which is a bummer. We're looking at a solid week of flat, bumpy, or tiny waves from August 2nd through to August 11th.

There is a tiny flicker of hope around Friday, August 7th, where a SSW pulse pushes 3ft with a 19-second period (720 energy), but the wind is still cross to onshore, keeping it marginal. It's not enough to get excited about.

The standout – if you can call it that – is the Monday, July 27th, to Tuesday, July 28th window. The swell has size and power, but the wind is the enemy here. For a spot that's fairly consistent, this run of poor quality is a real letdown. It's a wait-and-see game for the second week, but based on what we have now, it looks like a write-off.

Rusty.

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