Swamis Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, checking in on the local scene. It's gonna be a bit of a slow burn over the next couple of weeks, but there's a glimmer of something decent on the horizon if you're patient.

Right now, we're looking at a stretch of pretty quiet conditions. The first few days are a write-off, honestly. The water's sitting at a balmy 74°, which is a solid 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a real tropical feel, but the waves just aren't there to match it. The combined swell energy is weak, sitting at 354 (weak energy), and we've got a light cross-onshore breeze making things a bit messy. It's a "poor surf conditions" call, so don't bother paddling out.

Monday the 25th and Tuesday the 26th offer a slight uptick, but it's still marginal. The swell bumps up to around 3 ft, but the energy is still moderate, with a reading of 534 (moderate wave energy) on Tuesday. The wind is variable, sometimes cross-on, sometimes onshore, and the wave comment is still "marginal". It's not really worth the drive yet.

We'll see a bit more size by the end of the week, with Thursday the 28th through Saturday the 30th showing some 4 ft to 5 ft swell from the SSW. The energy is still moderate, peaking around 965 (moderate wave energy) on Saturday afternoon. But the wind is a persistent cross-onshore, keeping things chopped up. It's that "marginal" call again and again – it's surfable for the keen, but nothing to get excited about.

The first week of September is more of the same. The swell direction stays locked in from the SSW, with heights around 3 ft to 5 ft. The wind is generally onshore or cross-onshore, so the quality is going to be average at best. The energy is moderate, nudging up into the 800s and 900s.

Now, here's where it gets a little interesting. Starting around Friday the 4th of September, the combined energy jumps into the strong range, hitting 1027 (strong wave energy) on Friday morning and peaking at 1132 (strong wave energy) on Friday afternoon. Swell size is 4 ft from the SSW with a nice long period of 17 seconds – that's a proper groundswell. The wind is forecast to be light and onshore, but the wave comment is still "marginal". This is the most promising window in the whole outlook.

The Best Bet: Swamis, on Friday the 4th of September.

The long-period SSW groundswell (17 seconds) will wrap in nicely, and with the wind looking light and variable, it could clean up. The energy is strong (1132), and the swell height is a manageable 4 ft. This is a spot that loves a west swell, and the SSW will have some good push. It's a "fairly consistent" break that can handle a crowd, and with these conditions, it could be the standout of the entire 16-day run. It's still a bit far out, so don't book the day off work just yet, but keep an eye on it.

The Saturday the 5th also looks like it could be okay with a 4 ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, but the wind is forecast to be a stronger cross-shore, which could ruin the fun. The energy is still strong (1084), but the wind is a bigger question mark.

For the rest of the second week, it's just more of the same marginal stuff. Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th have light offshore winds and 3 ft to 4 ft swell, but it's all "marginal". The surf will be there, but you'll have to work for a clean one. It's a persistent pattern of small, onshore swell, which is the norm for this area. It doesn't tend to stay poor for long, but this run is testing our patience.

Rusty.

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