Swamis Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Lookin’ at what we’ve got for Swamis over the next couple weeks, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. The first week is a slog, nothing really gets going clean. The best window is at the very end, around the start of August, when a solid south swell lines up with offshore winds. Let’s walk through it.

We’re starting off Wednesday 22 July with small, weak surf. Swell coming from the SSW at 3 ft and a 14-second period, but the wind is onshore from the WNW at 9 mph – that’s ruining it. The water temp is 75°, a massive 8° warmer than normal – feels like bath water. Wave energy is moderate around 477. The surf is poor, no good.

Thursday 23 July is a bit better with S swell building to 4 ft, 13-second period, and still onshore wind, WSW 6 mph, but the scores are still just marginal at best. Same story Friday, 24 July – the swell drops right off to 2 ft with a 24-second period from the SW, but the cross-onshore wind makes it choppy. Wave energy hits 998, so there is some pulse, but not organised for a clean wave. Just not worth paddling out.

Saturday 25 July shows some improvement in period – 21 seconds from the SSW, but swell is only 3 ft. Wind is light onshore from the WSW at 6 mph. The wave energy is higher at 1008, indicating a moderate groundswell pulse, but again, the quality is marginal. A frustrating run continues through Sunday and Monday with S/SSW swell around 3-4 ft and cross-onshore winds pretty much every session. The wave energy builds into the 1200 range on Monday 27 July, but with cross-onshore wind, it’s messy. This is not the week to clear your schedule.

We see a slight improvement on Tuesday 29 July with 4 ft SSW swell, 16-17 second period and light cross-onshore breeze, WSW 6 mph. It is still not clean, but the energy is there (1078-1084). A small window of ‘maybe’ but I’d still rather wait.

The first real glimpse of something decent comes on Saturday 1 August. The swell pulses to 6 ft from the S at 14 seconds – that’s a moderate to strong groundswell. Wind is finally offshore from the W at 9 mph, which makes all the difference for this exposed reef-and-beach break. Wave energy is 1586, so it's in the strong range. This is a standout moment – the biggest and cleanest swell of the forecast period, and if you are an advanced surfer, this is your day. It may be a little too much for beginners with size over 5 ft, but the conditions are finally right. The swell direction – S – is not the optimum W that Swamis prefers, but the combination of size, offshore wind, and good period will still produce. There will be some crowd at a break like Swamis, so you need to be sharp.

Sunday 2 August holds around 5 ft from the SSW in the morning, 12-second period, but the wind goes cross-onshore WSW 9 mph, so quality drops.

Into the second week, things fade fast. By Tuesday 4 August we’re back to 2 ft weak S swell with 16-second period, cross-onshore, and the energy is low at 242. Poor surf.

The second standout appears on Thursday 6 August – S swell at 6 ft, 15-second period, with offshore W wind at 9 mph. Wave energy is strong at 1378. This is another clean, punchy groundswell window – again, for the experienced crew. The wind will hold the waves open, and that longer period at a point-and-reef setup like Swamis creates proper lines.

Overall, this is a long wait. Most of the first week is a write-off with onshore and cross-onshore wind spoiling every pulse. It picks up for a few days around the end of July into early August, with the 1st and the 6th standing out as the best on offer – offshore wind, real size, solid period. If you’ve got patience, those two days will be worth the wait. Keep an eye on the forecasts, things can change.

Rusty.

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