Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checking in with the outlook for your local line-up.

Overall, the next two weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, but we do have some windows of opportunity. The water's sitting at a very warm 73°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, so you can leave the thick rubber at home.

Right now, the surf is pretty poor. We’ve got small, weak waves in the 2ft range from the SW with a long period of 18 seconds, but it’s cross-onshore and messy. The combined energy is only moderate at 381. It’s not worth the paddle.

Things start to look a little more interesting around Friday the 18th. The swell picks up to 2ft to 3ft from the SW, but the key here is that the wind goes straight offshore, blowing from the W to WNW. The wave energy builds through the weekend, hitting a solid 687 by Sunday morning, though it's still a bit onshore. It’s a marginal call, but if you time it right with the tide, there could be a clean little wave.

The real standout in this window, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Blacks Beach. It’s exposed to the open ocean, and from Saturday the 19th through Monday the 21st, we see the best conditions. The swell holds steady around 3ft to 4ft from the SW, with a long period of 17-18 seconds. That long-period energy will wrap in nicely. The wind is light and offshore, especially on the 19th and 20th, making for absolutely glassy conditions. It won’t be huge, but for a consistent, advanced break like Blacks, that’s a perfect size for some long, clean lines. Expect a crowd, because everyone will be on it.

The week starting Monday the 22nd drops off again. The swell stays small, generally 2ft to 3ft, and while the wind is mostly offshore, it’s just not got enough energy. The wave energy falls back to moderate levels, around 287 to 503. There are a few marginal sessions, like the morning of Tuesday the 22nd and Sunday the 27th, with some light cross-onshore wind, but nothing you’d rush for. It’s a bit of a flat spell.

Late in the period, Tuesday the 29th offers another marginal call with 2ft SW swell and light cross-on wind, but again, it’s small. The wave energy is only 321.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a write-off. The best bet is the weekend of the 19th to the 21st at Blacks Beach, with clean, offshore conditions and fun, long-period swell. The following week is quiet, with only a few small, dicey windows.

Keep your eyes on that weekend, that’s the real chance for some magic.

Rusty.

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