Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into this one.

Look, I’ve got to be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Blacks Beach. We’ve got a bit of a flat spell to start, then a few days of small, cross-onshore junk that’s barely worth a paddle. The water’s sitting at 75°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a proper tropical anomaly, feels more like a bath than the Pacific.

The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come until Friday the 24th of July, but don’t get your hopes up. It’s a tiny 2ft from the SW with a 24-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, which means it’ll be fat and straight at a beach break like this – better suited to a point or reef. The energy is moderate (669), but the wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s going to be choppy and messy. The rating is poor, and it’s consistent, but honestly, it’s a struggle.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are more of the same: 3ft to 4ft from the SSW-SW, with that same long period (21-18 seconds). The energy bumps up slightly (924-975), but the cross-onshore wind keeps it from being clean. You’ll get a wave, but it’ll be a bumpy, work-for-it session.

Things pick up a bit Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th. The swell pushes to 4ft-5ft from the SSW, with a shorter period of 17-19 seconds, and the energy climbs into the strong range (1177-1251). This is the best the forecast has to offer, but it’s still not great. The wind is still cross-onshore, making it choppy and not the clean, peeling Blacks we dream of. The optimum swell direction is WNW, but we’re getting SSW-SW, so the shape will be off. For a more experienced surfer, this might be okay for a workout, but it’s not a standout. It’s for advanced surfers only.

After that, it drops off a cliff. Wednesday the 29th through to Friday the 7th of August is a long, dry gap. The swell is tiny (1ft-2ft), the period is short, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore. The energy is weak (19-222). Many days have a score of zero. It’s not worth looking at.

Then there’s a last flash on Saturday the 1st of August. The afternoon shows a sudden 6ft from the SSW with a 13-second period and strong energy (1092), but the wind is onshore from the WSW, making it a messy, blown-out wall. That’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle-surfing one. For a surfer, it’s a miss.

The crowd factor at Blacks Beach is listed as "often", so when there’s anything rideable, expect company. But with this outlook, you’ll likely have the place to yourself, which says it all.

Rusty, signing off.

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