Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Blacks Beach over the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch to call.

The overall pattern is pretty frustrating. We’ve got a long run of tiny, weak swell and wind that doesn’t want to cooperate. For the next several days, you’re looking at poor surf conditions. There’s a real gap from now, through the middle of the week. Nothing worth paddling out for until we get to Friday, August 14th, and even then, it’s only looking marginal.

The best of a quiet bunch looks to be the Saturday morning, August 15th. The swell is still small at 3 ft from the SSW, but the wind goes almost glassy – a slight air from the WNW, which is about as good as it gets around here. That’s the cleanest window we get, but don’t expect any power. The combined swell energy is moderate (608), so it’s not exactly going to be a world-beater. The water temp is sitting at a very unusual 76°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a bit of a novelty.

Sunday the 16th is similar in size, 4 ft from the SSW, with light offshore wind, but still in that marginal zone. The rest of the run is mostly short-period junk with a cross-onshore breeze. The period on Saturday the 22nd is a weak 8 seconds, and we see a little bump of long-period (18 seconds) groundswell on the 24th, but it’s only 2 ft, so it’s a non-event. This setup just isn’t doing anything for paddle surfing. If the wind picks up, it might look more interesting for kite surfing.

If you’re a beginner, the swell never gets over 5 ft, so it’s not too big, but the quality is so poor it’s hard to recommend. Experts won’t find anything to get excited about either. It’s just a flat, onshore pattern. Crowds can be an issue here, but with this forecast, the beach might be quiet.

It’s a frustrating outlook. Hopefully, the forecasts change, but for now, it’s a waiting game.

- Rusty

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