Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let's break down the same outlook but in the units the old-timers and travelers might be more used to.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty slim for a proper session. We start with a glimmer of hope, but then it's a long, drawn-out stretch of flatness.

We get things moving on Tuesday, July 28th, with a bit of a maybe at Blacks Beach. The water is sitting at a very unusual 75°, which is much warmer than you'd expect. The swell is from the SSW, coming in at about 4ft with a long 17-second period, giving us a moderate energy level of 963. That's a solid groundswell, but the wind is a light cross-onshore from the WSW at 6 mph, which will fuzz the surface up a touch. The forecast calls it marginal, and with crowds that can be *often* around here, it might be more trouble than it's worth. This one's for the advanced crew who know the spot.

After that, Wednesday the 29th still has some SSW swell around 4-4ft with that long period, but it's still not pumping. By Thursday the 30th, the bottom falls out. The swell drops to 3ft and the energy goes with it, and from there we enter a long, flat spell.

From Thursday, July 30th all the way through to Wednesday, August 12th, there's very little on offer. The swell heights stay mostly below 3ft, the energy is low to weak, and the wind, while light, is often onshore or cross-onshore, leaving the ocean a bit messy. There are a couple of moments around the 7th and 8th of August where a longer-period SSW groundswell shows up, but with heights of only 2ft to 3ft, it just doesn't have the power to make anything worthwhile at a beach break like Blacks.

The only tiny silver lining is at the very end. On Tuesday, August 11th, we see a small 1ft pulse from the SW with an 18-second period. The period is so long it almost feels like ocean memory. The energy is low, but if you're dedicated, you might find a clean little wave on the right tide, especially with the light offshore wind from the W. Then into Wednesday the 12th, it picks up a touch more size (2-3ft) and the energy climbs a bit, but the wind turns cross-onshore again, killing it.

So, the best bet in this whole outlook, and it's a sad state of affairs, is that first afternoon on the 28th of July at Blacks Beach. It's the only window with any real size, and if you can handle the crowds and the slightly bumpy surface, there might be a few long-period lines to be had. Everything else is a waiting game. For now, it's looking more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle surfer's dream, given the light winds and small, weak waves.

Rusty.

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