Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and a towel, I’m gonna break down the next couple of weeks for us at Blacks Beach.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a challenging stretch. The water temperature is sitting at 73°, which is a solid 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s one positive to hang onto. But the surf is going to test our patience. For the next several days, from Wednesday the 26th through to the end of August, it’s looking pretty flat and messy. The energy is weak (combined energy of all swells directed here around 332 to 211), with small, short-period swells coming from the SW and SSW. Winds are mostly cross-onshore or onshore, making for junky, poor surf conditions. You’ll be paddling for nothing.

We’re looking at a gap of about five days of basically no-go surf before things start to show a pulse.

The first real glimmer of hope arrives on Wednesday morning, September 2nd. We’ve got a SSW swell building to 4 ft with a 12-second period. The combined energy jumps to 657 (moderate). What’s really exciting is the wind: it’s glassy from the NW. That’s a dream scenario for Blacks. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions." This is the standout of the whole outlook. The swell direction (SSW) is a little off the optimum (WNW) for Blacks, but with that glassy surface and a clean, lined-up groundswell, it’s going to be worth the wait. Crowds are "often" here, so expect a packed lineup if you’re keen.

The energy builds further into Wednesday afternoon and Thursday (September 3rd), with the swell hitting 5 ft to 6 ft (combined energy over 1000 – strong). However, the winds shift to onshore and cross-onshore, so the quality will be more marginal. That 6 ft is pushing into expert territory, too. The glassy window on Wednesday morning is definitely the sweet spot.

After that, the swell drops back into the 3 ft to 4 ft range through the first week of September, with onshore winds more often than not. It’s just marginal surf, not really a standout. The second week (September 6th onwards) sees the energy fade further, with poor conditions returning. The period finishes with a little spike in energy on September 9th (combined energy 516, moderate), but with cross-onshore winds limiting the quality.

Bottom line: The best bet in this 16-day window is clearly Wednesday morning, September 2nd. That glassy, 4 ft SSW groundswell at Blacks Beach is the real deal. Get out there early. The rest of the forecast is a waiting game.

Rusty

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