Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First up, we’re looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead. The whole 16-day window is basically a bust for good waves at Blacks Beach. We’ve got swell, sure, but it’s small and weedy, and the wind is just never quite right. There’s a long gap of nothing but poor conditions right from the start, with the first tiny glimmer of something barely surfable not showing up until Friday the 14th.

The real story here is the water. It’s *much warmer than normal* for this time of year, sitting at 76°F with a huge anomaly of 8°F above average. That’s very unusual.

Now, for the surf. The first few days – Tuesday the 11th, Wednesday the 12th, and Thursday the 13th – are all a write-off. You’ve got a tiny 2ft SSW swell, and while the wind is offshore, they’re calling it “poor surf conditions.” The combined energy is weak to moderate (324 – 409). Not worth a paddle.

We finally get to *Friday the 14th* and that’s where the only marginally interesting window opens up. The morning brings a bit more push with a 2ft SSW swell, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. That kind of long-period groundswell can be tricky at a beach break like Blacks, often making it close out or section. The wind is offshore, though, and the energy is finally building into the moderate range (547). The afternoon is similar, with a 3ft SSW swell, same long period, and the energy jumps to 765. It’s still only a “marginal” call, but it’s the best we’ve got.

*Saturday the 15th* is the closest thing to a standout, but that’s not saying much. The morning has a 3ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, clean offshore wind, and combined energy of 620. The afternoon bumps up to 4ft from the SSW, still with that long period, and energy hits 705. Still only “marginal” surf conditions. The waves will be small and the long period makes it suspect for a beach break, but if you’re desperate, the Saturday morning session is your best bet. The wind is offshore, so it’ll be clean, but don’t expect much power.

After Sunday the 16th, it’s back to poor or marginal conditions all the way through to Wednesday the 26th. The swell drops back down to 1ft to 3ft, and the wind is often cross-onshore, making it choppy. The energy fluctuates but never gets truly strong. The last few days, from the 23rd to the 26th, show some slightly better winds but the swell is tiny. There’s a slight uptick on Wednesday the 26th afternoon with a 4ft SW swell and energy at 779, but it’s still just marginal.

Overall, this is a tough spell. The only real “standout” is the Saturday morning surf on the 15th, and that’s a low bar. It’s clean, but small and likely a bit fat with that long period. For the rest of the 16 days, you’re better off doing something else.

Rusty.

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