Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at what Blacks Beach has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. We’ve got a long, dry spell on our hands.

Right off the bat, from now until about the 13th of August, it’s pretty grim. The swell is tiny, mostly around 2ft to 3ft, and while the wind is often blowing straight onshore from the W or WSW, it’s not doing us any favors. The wave energy is all over the place, but mostly weak to moderate, with readings like 165 and 166. The water is a balmy 76°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s the only highlight. The "poor surf conditions" tag is stuck on every session right through to the 14th. It’s a frustrating start.

We do see a bit of a pulse building from the 7th onward, with the combined energy climbing into the 400s and 500s, and a few sessions hitting the 800s by the 14th. The swell direction shifts a touch more to the SSW, and the period gets nice and long – hitting 19 seconds on the 7th and staying in the teens. But here’s the kicker: the wind stays cross-onshore or onshore for most of it, and the wave heights are still only 2ft to 3ft. That long period groundswell at a beach break like Blacks can sometimes make it break a bit straight and closey.

Now, if you’re patient, there’s one window that might get the heart beating a little. On Friday the 14th, we start seeing some "marginal" surf, with the combined energy jumping to 516 on the morning. The real standout, and I’m saying this with caution, looks to be Saturday the 15th of August. We’ve got a consistent 4ft swell from the SSW, with a 16-second period and the wind swinging more WNW, which is still onshore but better. The energy is strong at 708 in the morning. It’s still not perfect, but it’s the best we’re going to get in this whole run. For an advanced spot like this, 4ft is small, but the long period might give it some punch. Expect crowds to be a problem here – it says "often" busy, so get there early.

After that, it drops back down into the 2ft to 3ft range with that persistent cross-onshore breeze right through to the 19th. It’s a lean forecast. Honestly, with the constant onshore and cross-onshore wind and the small, long-period swell, this setup at a beach break might actually look more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys for most of the period.

Keep your eyes on that Saturday the 15th – it’s the only real chance of a decent wave. The rest of the time, you’re better off waxing your board and waiting.

Rusty.

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