Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming up for Blacks Beach.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a long stretch of nothing good. The next two weeks are looking pretty grim, with a massive gap in any decent surf. The first mention of anything even close to worthwhile doesn’t show up until Friday, August 14th, and even then it’s a real coin toss. That’s over a week and a half of flat, poor conditions to sit through.

The issue is a stubborn pattern of light to gentle breezes that are mostly cross-onshore, ruining the shape of the tiny swell that’s around. The waves are small, under 3ft, and the wind is just enough to mess them up. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate at best, hitting the low hundreds most days (124-230), which is a lot of energy going nowhere good.

For most of the first week, we’re stuck with these 2ft to 2ft SW swells with a period around 13-15 seconds. The wind is either cross-on or onshore, so it’s choppy and messy. Not worth paddling out for.

Finally, on Friday, August 14th, things start to look a little less hopeless. The swell bumps up to 3ft, coming from the SSW with a long period of 18 seconds. The wind switches to light onshore, which is a big upgrade. The combined energy jumps to a strong 582 – that’s the first time we see a solid number. The water temp is a very unusual 76°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. This is the best window on offer, but it’s still only a marginal call.

Saturday, August 15th holds the best bet. The swell picks up to 3ft from the SSW, still with a 16-second period, and the wind is light and onshore. The combined energy is strong (564). This is the standout of the whole 16-day forecast. For an advanced spot like Blacks Beach, a 3ft SSW groundswell with light winds could be clean and fun. It’s not big, but it’s the only time we’ve got a decent combo.

After that, it drops back down to the same old poor conditions again. The long period (over 15 seconds) on these swells means they’ll be better shaped and more powerful, but at a beach break like Blacks, they can also break a bit straight. Given the overall lack of size and quality, this setup might actually be more interesting for kite surfing than a standard paddle session for most of the window.

So, the only window that’s worth your time is the Friday, August 14th to Saturday, August 15th stint. Saturday is the pick. It’s a long way out, so don’t get your hopes up too high, but it’s the only real chance for a wave.

Rusty.

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