Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks. To be straight with you, it’s a bit of a slow start. We’re looking at a pretty long gap here with no real surf to get excited about. From now through to around the 18th of September, it’s mostly just small, weak, and messy. You’ll see some swell on the cards but the conditions are just not cooperating. The wind is cross-onshore or onshore for most of that time, and the wave heights are tiny – we’re talking 1 ft to 4 ft, but with short, weak periods and poor shape. The combined energy values are mostly in the low to mid hundreds, which tells you it’s just not packing any punch. It’s a proper wait.

Now, things start to look a little more interesting from the morning of Saturday the 19th. We’ve got a little bump in size – around 3 ft from the SW – and the wind is light and offshore, which is a big deal. The water temp at Blacks Beach is sitting at 73°, which is a whopping 5° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so expect bathwater conditions.

The real standout comes on Sunday the 20th of September. The morning looks promising: 3 ft of SW swell, period is pushing 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell – and combined energy hits 646, which is solid moderate energy. The wind is light and straight offshore from the WSW. That’s going to make for some clean, lined-up waves at Blacks Beach. It’s an advanced spot, exposed to the WNW, so this long-period SW groundswell will wrap in nicely. Keep in mind, though, the break is consistent and often has a crowd. With these clean conditions and that long-period swell, the sets will be well-spaced and powerful. It’s not for beginners at that size and period, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, this is the best session of the whole outlook.

After that, the energy fades again through the week, with similar small, cross-onshore conditions and combined energy dropping back into the low hundreds. There’s a little flicker on the 27th and 28th of September with some longer period swell (20 to 21 seconds) and combined energy around 520-625, but the swell height is only 2 ft to 2 ft and the wind is cross-onshore. It’s a tease, really. The longer period is good, but the size is just too small to get excited about.

So, bottom line: if you’ve got a board and you’re keen, your best bet is to pencil in Sunday the 20th of September. Clean, offshore, decent groundswell energy, and warm water. The rest of the window is mostly a write-off unless the forecasts shift.

Rusty.

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