Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gonna level with you – the next couple of weeks on the North Shore of Oahu are a real mixed bag. We've got some size, but the quality and the conditions are a battle. Let's break it down.

First up, the spot on the menu is Blacks Beach. The water's sitting at a balmy 76°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that's a solid 9° above average, so you can definitely leave the 4/3 at home.

Right out of the gate, it's a tough start. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th are a write-off – we're talking tiny, weak 2ft swells with poor conditions. Don't even bother paddling out. The combined energy is weak to moderate at best (168 to 227).

Friday the 7th morning shows a tiny flicker of hope. That 2ft swell from the SSW has some serious length to it at 19 seconds, but the reports are calling it marginal at best. The energy is ramping up (500), but the conditions just aren't there to make it work.

Honestly, the whole first week is a struggle. The swell barely gets over 3ft, and while the wind is often light and offshore, the wave quality is just not cooperating. There's a lot of "poor surf conditions" in the notes. It’s a frustrating wait.

We finally start to see something build around the 14th of August. Friday the 14th has a 3ft SSW groundswell with an 18-second period and clean offshore winds in the morning. The energy is getting solid (640). It's still marginal, but it's the first real glimmer of a session.

The standout window looks to be Saturday the 15th of August. The swell bumps up to a clean 4ft from the SSW, with a solid 16-second period. The wind holds offshore all day from the WNW at a light 9 mph. That's the best combo we've seen. The wave energy is pumping hard (770). For Blacks, that’s a legit groundswell, so it’ll be offering up some nice lines. Head there early to beat the crowds, as it can get busy.

That's as good as it gets, sadly. After Sunday the 16th, the surf drops back into the 2ft to 3ft range for the rest of the outlook, with the wind turning more cross-on and choppy. The energy stays moderate (285 to 608), but the quality just isn't there for a standout session.

So there you have it. A long, slow start with one proper window of opportunity on the 15th of August. If you can wait, that's your day.

Rusty.

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