Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the outlook for Blacks Beach. Let’s get into it.

First off, this stretch is looking pretty quiet. The water is sitting at a toasty 69°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. We’re seeing a long-period SSW groundswell running, but the issue is the size is small – only 3 ft to 3 ft really showing through – and the wind is mostly blowing straight offshore (W/WNW), which is actually ideal for shape, but there just isn’t enough power behind it. The combined swell energy is moderate though, sitting around the 400 to 460 mark over the first few days, but conditions are poor or marginal.

Friday, the 3rd and Saturday, the 4th, nothing to get excited about. Offshore wind is there, 9-12 mph, but the swell is weak and the guidance says poor surf.

Sunday morning, the 5th, is the first little glimmer. Still small at 3 ft with a longer 18-second period on the same SSW direction. The combined energy bumps up to 506 and the wind sits at 9 mph from the west, which is clean. It’s still just marginal—questionable tide conditions—but it’s the best the week has to offer. Expect the sets to be far apart, typical of that long period, making it easier to get out.

Come Monday, the 6th and Tuesday, the 7th, the swell holds around 3 ft to 3 ft with the period dropping to 16-18 seconds. Offshore 9 mph winds keep the surface glassy. The energy ticks up, hitting 837 on Tuesday morning, so there’s more push in the water, but the call is still just marginal. This is about as good as it gets in this run—clean, but small.

From Wednesday the 8th onwards, things get messier. The wind swings around to the SSW and becomes cross-onshore, putting a chop on the surface. The swell stays similarly small, but the quality drops off into the weekend.

Saturday the 12th sees a brief return of offshore wind, but the swell has shrunk to 3 ft with a shorter 14-second period and marginal energy at 384. It’s nothing to write home about.

For the second week (starting July 13th) the trend is low energy. The swell barely reaches 2 ft at times, with combined energy dropping as low as 115, and the winds keep switching between offshore and cross to cross-onshore. The only slight peek is Saturday the 18th, when a 3 ft SW swell with a 18-second period shows up, clean offshore wind at 9 mph from the west, and combined energy at 483. That’s promising, but it’s far off and not a sure thing.

If you’re an advanced surfer, Blacks Beach is the spot, and it’s consistent, but for now it’s a waiting game. The standouts look to be Tuesday morning, July the 7th and maybe that Saturday, July the 18th, but honestly, nothing is firing. It’s a flat spell with a few clean but small waves in between.

Stay patient. – Rusty.

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