Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for Blacks Beach is pretty grim. There’s a long stretch of nothing worth paddling out for, so don’t get your hopes up. We’ve got a whole lot of small, weak, and onshore conditions, with a bit of a pulse showing up way down the line, but it’s a long wait.

The first recommendation doesn’t come until Saturday, July 11th, and even then, it’s a tough sell. Saturday morning sees some clouds, a light cross-on breeze from the SSW at 9 mph, and a modest 3 ft swell from the SSW. The period is a very long 15 seconds, which is a proper groundswell, but it’s hitting a beach break, so it’ll be breaking straight and lumpy. The wave energy is moderate (442), but the water is a crazy 72°, which is a massive 5° warmer than normal – that’s very unusual. The surf is poor, and the wind is cross-on, making it choppy. Saturday afternoon and Sunday morning are “marginal” at best, with tiny 3 ft waves and onshore winds. The whole week after that is a write-off. From July 12th right through to July 25th, we’re looking at a solid two-week stretch of nothing but poor surf conditions, with occasional small 2 ft to 4 ft swells, but always with that cross-on or onshore wind messing things up. The combined energy stays mostly in the 200-300 range, which is weak. It’s a dead zone.

Now, the only glimmer of hope comes at the very end. On Saturday, July 25th, the afternoon shows a 4 ft swell from the SW with a very long 20-second period, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 955. That’s a proper pulse. The wind is onshore from the W at 9 mph, but it’s still just “marginal” and questionable for tides. Sunday, July 26th, is the best on offer, but it’s still not a standout. The morning has some clouds, a light cross-on from the WSW at 6 mph, and a 3 ft SW swell at 18 seconds. The energy is still strong (743), and the wind is light, so it might be cleaner than anything else we’ve seen. The afternoon gets a bit better with a 4 ft SW swell, 18-second period, and a strong 921 energy, with the wind turning onshore from the W. It’s promising, but it’s a long-range call, so take it with a pinch of salt. Crowds are likely here, so don’t expect privacy.

Stick to the longboard or a fish if you’re desperate, but honestly, this is a kite-surfing setup for most of the run. The small, weak swell and strong cross-shore wind won’t do much for a surfer, but a kiter would have a blast.

Rusty.

Read more