Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, looking at the forecast, it's a pretty bleak stretch ahead. We've got a long run of small, weak swell and mostly marginal conditions, so don't be expecting any fireworks. The water temperature is sitting at 74°, which is a solid 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's very unusual, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.

The standout spot, as always, is Blacks Beach. It's an advanced, exposed spot that needs a solid WNW swell, and unfortunately, we're just not getting that. The best window looks like it might be around Tuesday, the 27th of August, into Wednesday, the 28th of August. We're looking at a bit of a bump in swell height, with around 5 ft from the SSW on the 27th morning, and periods around 12 seconds. The combined energy (839) is moderate, but the wind is light and cross-onshore, so it won't be clean. This is really only for the experts, and the conditions are still marginal.

The 14th of August offers a tiny 2 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, and light offshore winds in the morning. The energy is weak (547). While the wind is clean, the swell is just too small to get excited about.

For the rest of the period, we're looking at days on end of poor surf. From the 15th through to the 26th, the swell stays under 4 ft, with weak energy values mostly in the 200s and 300s, and the wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, chopping things up. The best of it is still just "marginal" – a lot of days with that "questionable tide" feel.

The 29th of August sees a bit more size, with 4 ft from the SW, but a moderate cross-shore wind from the SSW at 12 mph will kill the quality. It's a messy one.

So, if you're desperate, keep an eye on that 27th and 28th window for the biggest, albeit still average, surf. But honestly, this is a time to take a break or do a dawn patrol with low expectations.

Rusty.

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