Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gather 'round, mates, Rusty here. I’ve taken a hard look at the charts for Blacks Beach over the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with ya – it’s a tough run. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak waves ahead, so don't be in a rush to grab your board.

The first week is a real bummer. From Sunday the 2nd right through to Sunday the 16th of August, we’re looking at almost nothing but poor surf conditions. The swell is hanging around a pathetic 1 ft to 2 ft, mostly out of the SW, with some brief hiccups of 3 ft. The combined swell energy is mostly moderate, sitting between 117 and 196, which is just enough to know the ocean is still there, but not enough to surf. Winds are mostly light offshore or cross-onshore, so the water will be clean, but there’s just no power behind it. It’s heartbreaking, really. On the 7th and 8th of August, the swell period does climb up to a long 17 to 19 seconds, hinting at some groundswell energy, but the height is still only 2 ft to 3 ft, so it’s all show and no go. The energy numbers spike up into the 400s and 500s during that window, but with such small waves, it’s just teasing us.

Things get a little more interesting towards the end of the second week. The standout window is on Friday the 14th of August. The morning shows a 2 ft SSW swell with a very long 18-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 537 – that’s moderate-to-strong energy. Then the afternoon looks even better: 4 ft of SW swell at 18 seconds, and the energy hits 831, which is strong. The wind is offshore from the W at 6 mph in the afternoon, which is a major plus for clean surf. This is a serious groundswell pulse, and for Blacks Beach, which is an exposed point break that loves a good WNW or SW groundswell, this could shape up real nice. The long period is best for this setup. Keep in mind, this is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not locked in. If it holds, Friday afternoon is your best shot. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year at 76°, so you can ditch the thick suit.

After that, the weekend of the 15th and 16th of August sees the swell drop back to 3 ft to 3 ft with 15-16 second periods and lighter wind, but it’s still only marginal. It’s not bad, but it’s not the standout.

So here’s the bottom line: the first week and a half is a total write-off. Don't bother. Focus on Friday the 14th of August for a real chance at some clean, long-period waves at Blacks Beach. It’s an advanced spot, and when it’s on, it’s on. But with such a long dry spell before it, the crowds are likely to be thick when that pulse hits. Keep your eyes on the forecast.

Rusty.

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