Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Aight folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this 16-day run for Blacks Beach (San Diego) is a rough one. We’ve got a lot of small, weak swell with persistent cross-onshore or onshore wind, and that’s not a recipe for good waves. The water is sitting at 76°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, a solid 8° above the long-term average.

The first decent look doesn’t come until Thursday morning, August 13th, with a small 2ft SW swell and a period of 16 seconds. The wind goes light offshore from the WSW, which is a major positive and will clean things up. The combined swell energy is moderate at 278, but it’s still a marginal day with questionable tide conditions.

Friday morning, August 14th, sees a similar story: a 2ft SSW swell at 18 seconds, with a light offshore wind. The energy jumps to moderate (547), but the wave comment says the same thing—marginal. Saturday, August 15th, looks a touch better with a 3ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, building to 4ft in the afternoon. The wind holds offshore from the WNW, keeping it clean. The energy is now solidly moderate, hitting 634 in the morning and 706 in the afternoon. Still, the forecast calls it marginal due to tide.

If you’re desperate, the standout in this entire window is the Saturday afternoon session. The swell is small but has some push with a 4ft SSW swell, long 16-second period, and the offshore wind will groom it. Blacks is an exposed beach-and-reef setup, so that long-period groundswell will offer some shape, but it might get a bit straight at times. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

After that, the surf fades back into the doldrums. The second week is a mix of 1ft to 3ft swell with moderate cross-onshore wind and low energy (175 to 505). There’s nothing worth chasing; even the consistent breaks aren’t lining up.

Bottom line: Saturday afternoon, August 15th, is the only real chance for a surf. It’s not firing, but it’s the best we’ve got.

Rusty.

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