Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet run overall. The surf’s gonna be on the small side for most of the period, and the wind’s not always gonna play nice. We’ve got a few moments that could be worth a paddle, but you’ll need to pick your windows carefully.

The first real chance to get wet is this Saturday, the 5th of September. Early on, we’ve got a 3 ft swell from the SSW with a really long 16-second period, so there’s proper groundswell energy in the water (combined energy of 578). The wind is a light cross-onshore from the WNW at 6 mph, so it’ll be a bit bumpy but not blown out. The water’s about average for this time of year. Blacks Beach is an exposed spot, so it’ll pick up what’s out there, but the tide might mess with the shape a bit. That long period can make it wall up at a beach break, so it might be better for the more experienced crew. There’s a chance of crowds, so keep your eyes open.

Saturday afternoon sees a similar tiny bump to 4 ft from the SW with the same long period (628 combined energy), but the wind picks up to 9 mph and goes directly onshore. That’s gonna make it messy.

Sunday the 6th is a write-off. The swell drops right off to 1.0 ft with a short 10-second period, and we’ve got a moderate 16 mph cross-onshore. Choppy junk. Skip it.

Monday the 7th is where things get a bit more interesting. We’ve got a 6 ft SSW swell pulsing in with a 13-second period – that’s solid, proper size. The combined energy is cranking at 1182. But the wind is a cross-onshore again at 9 mph, so it’s gonna be pretty choppy. This is definitely in the "experts only" zone size-wise, not for the beginners. The quality is marginal, but if you’re hungry for size, that’s your window.

Tuesday the 8th drops back a touch to 5 ft, and the wind’s still cross-onshore. The wave energy is still moderate (986), but the conditions are poor. It’s just not clean.

From Wednesday the 9th all the way through to the end of the second week, the swell stays tiny – mostly under 3 ft and often around 1 ft to 2 ft. The wind is light and variable, sometimes cross-onshore, sometimes offshore. The period is long, but with that little height, it’s gonna be a struggle to find anything worth paddling for. The combined energy values are mostly in the 200s and 300s, which is weak.

There’s a little blip on Saturday the 19th of September, with a 5 ft swell from the west and a shorter 10-second period, and light offshore winds from the WSW. The combined energy is 861 – moderate. That morning might be the best of the whole run if it holds together, but it’s a long way out, so don’t lock it in just yet.

The long-range stuff from the 14th through the 20th is all small and marginal. The 18th of September has a 2 ft swell with a 20-second period, which is an incredibly long groundswell, but with that little height, it’s just a gentle bump. The energy is in the 500s, so it’s there, but it’s not a standout.

Bottom line: If you’re desperate, Saturday the 5th and Monday the 7th are your best bets for the first week. The second week is a bit of a gamble, with the 19th of September looking like the most promising of a quiet bunch. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but don’t expect fireworks.

Rusty.

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