Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat about what’s coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burn, so don’t rush to wax your board.

First off, the water is a warm 73°F – that’s about 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it feels like a bath. Nice little bonus.

The overall pattern is a slow start. The next few days are pretty flat and messy. We’re looking at a stretch of so-so to poor conditions from now through the end of the month. The swell is tiny, mostly 2ft to 3ft, with a long period groundswell from the SW, but the wind is a constant cross-on or onshore. It’s choppy, and the energy is weak to moderate (208 to 360). Nothing to write home about. The combined energy is moderate, but the quality just isn’t there.

Things get a little pulse around the 29th and 30th. Saturday morning the 29th brings a 4ft SSW swell (16 seconds) and light offshore wind, which is a big step up. The combined energy jumps to 797, a solid moderate wallop. It’s still a bit marginal, but it’s the first real sign of life. Sunday morning the 30th is similar, with a 4ft SSW swell, but the wind is cross-on and the energy drops to 675. Still, not a bad little window.

Now, the standout window is shaping up for Wednesday, 2nd September. That morning the stars almost align. We’ve got a 3ft SSW swell, a period of 11 seconds, and – get this – glassy, zero wind conditions. That’s the cleanest we’ll see. The combined energy is 426, which is moderate, but the glassy surface makes it rideable. The break is Blacks Beach, an exposed spot that takes a WNW optimum direction, but this SSW swell is still hitting it. The water is warm, the crowds are *often* there, so expect company. The swell is small, so it’s a fun size for a busy line-up.

After that, the second week is a bit of a fade. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th offer some 3ft SSW swell with light onshore winds, but the energy is moderate (549 to 787). It’s a bit bumpy, and the ratings are low. Then it drops off. The 5th and 6th have some 4ft and 3ft SSW swell, but the wind is onshore and the scores are poor. The long period (16-17 seconds) for a beach break like Blacks means it’ll be a bit straight and fat, better suited to the sandbanks if they’re holding. But overall, the second week is nothing to write home about.

There’s a big gap of poor conditions from the 6th to the 9th of September. The swell is small, the wind is onshore or cross-on, and the energy is low. The only real highlight is the glassy morning on the 2nd of September. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, that Wednesday looks like the best bet.

Rusty.

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