Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down in feet and miles.

The only spot in the mix is Blacks Beach. The water’s a balmy 76°F, which is a whopping 8°F warmer than average for this time of year. That’s a freak anomaly – feels like a hot tub out there.

The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come until Friday, August 14th in the morning. We’re looking at a 2ft swell from the SSW with a very long period of 18 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (572). That long period groundswell can be tricky at a beach break like this – it can stand up straight and close out. The wind is offshore from the W at 10 mph, so the surface will be glassy. It’s a marginal call, though.

The afternoon of the 14th sees a bump in energy (666), but the wind picks up to 15 mph and the forecast is still marginal.

The best window of the whole run is Saturday, August 15th, in the morning. A 3ft swell from the SSW with a 16-second period, strong energy (656), and clean offshore wind from the WNW at 15 mph. That’s your best shot. The swell is small, but with that period and clean wind, you could score a few fun ones on a longboard. Crowds are often at Blacks, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.

From the 16th through the 23rd, it’s a total bust. The wind goes cross-onshore, the swell drops to 2ft – 3ft, and the waves are either too small or too messy. The energy stays moderate, but the quality is poor.

The only other flicker is Tuesday, August 18th, in the morning. A 2ft swell from the SSW, 16-second period, offshore wind from the W at 10 mph, and moderate energy (378). Still just a marginal forecast.

Bottom line: The whole 16-day window is a dud. The best of the worst is the morning of August 15th – small, clean, but not reliable. For the rest, the wind is cross-onshore so much that this setup looks more interesting for kitesurfing than paddle surfing. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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