Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and get straight to what matters. We're looking at a pretty lean run coming up for the main spot on the radar. The overall picture is one of marginal, small, and often choppy conditions for the foreseeable future, so let's not beat around the bush.

Straight up, we've got a long stretch ahead with no real standout sessions. The best of the bunch is gonna be Blacks Beach. This is an advanced, exposed break that needs a solid WNW swell to really fire, and we just aren't getting that. The water is running at 75°, which is a whopping 4° warmer than normal – that's seriously unusual for this time of year, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.

For Thursday the 23rd, don't even bother. Swell is a weak 4ft from the W with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined wave energy (172) is weak, and the morning's light offshore from the WSW will be the cleanest it gets, but the poor-quality disclaimer says it all. By the afternoon it drops to a tiny 1ft, so that's that.

Friday the 24th through to Monday the 28th of July is a slog. The swell hangs around the 2ft to 5ft range, coming from the SSW/SW with periods between 16 and 24 seconds. Now, those are nice, long groundswell periods, which usually means better shape and energy, but the catch here is the wind. It's persistently cross-onshore from the SW, keeping the surface a bit messy and choppy. The combined energy does peak on Monday the 27th (1162-1221), which is moderate, but with the wind, it's always going to be a battle for clean faces. This is marginal at best for a paddle surfer. If you're a kiter, the persistent cross-shore wind and modest swell makes this setup far more interesting than it is for surfing.

From Tuesday the 29th of July all the way through to Friday the 7th of August, it's a full-on dry spell. Swell heights mostly under 3ft, combined energy dropping into the low hundreds and even below 100, and scores of 0 make it clear: it's poor. There's a blip on July 29th morning with a 4ft, 16-second swell (686 energy), but the cross-on wind kills it. The last days show wind swinging mostly onshore from the WNW or cross-shore, which isn't doing us any favors either.

So, the honest truth is there isn't a single day I'd point to and say "paddles out". The first recommendation doesn't even arrive until Thursday morning the 23rd, and it's a dud. It's a long, flat gap from there until the end of the window. If you absolutely have to get wet, the Monday morning of July 27th is the least bad option with a bit more size and energy (4ft, 18-sec period, 1162 energy), but pray for a lull in the wind. For everyone else, keep the board in the car and watch the forecasts. It won't be flat forever.

Stay patient,
Rusty

Read more