Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin' over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I gotta be honest with ya – it’s a lean stretch. We’re starting with a whole lot of nothin’ for the first week and a half. The first real glimmer of anything worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Friday the 14th of August, and even then, it’s marginal. So, if you’re itchin’ for a wave, you’re gonna be waitin’ a while.

The only break on the radar is Blacks Beach. Right now, the water is a balmy 76°, which is a solid 9° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real rarity, feels like a tropical bath.

From Tuesday the 4th right through to Thursday the 13th of August, it’s a desert. The swell is tiny, mostly around 2 ft to 3 ft, and the wind is a dirty cross-on or onshore from the WSW or SW. The wave energy is all over the shop, from a weak 119 (moderate energy) up to a decent 470 (strong energy), but it doesn’t matter because the conditions are just poor. The wind is choppin’ it up something fierce. You’d be better off stayin’ home and waxin’ your board.

Now, we finally get a little pulse of life on Friday the 14th. The swell bumps up a touch, and the wind shifts to a clean onshore from the W and WSW. In the morning, we’re lookin’ at 2 ft of SSW swell at a long 18 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 523 (strong energy). The afternoon sees the swell hit 3 ft, same direction, 18 seconds, and the energy climbs to 720 (strong energy). The forecast calls it “marginal” – and for me, that’s the best of the whole run. This is a long-period groundswell, which means proper shape and power, but it can be a bit straight at a beach break like Blacks. Still, with that offshore wind, it’s the cleanest we’ll see.

Saturday the 15th is the other day that might be worth a look. The morning has 4 ft of SSW swell, again at 16 seconds, with light WSW winds. The energy is a solid 727 (strong energy). That’s the biggest swell of the entire forecast. It’s getting up there, so if you’re a beginner, this might be a bit much – it’s pushin’ into expert territory. The afternoon backs off a little but stays clean.

For the rest of the run after that, the swell fades back into the 2 ft to 3 ft range and the wind swings back to being mostly onshore, so the quality drops off again.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re desperate, Friday the 14th of August is your best bet, with the morning seeing the cleanest conditions on offer. Saturday the 15th has the most size, but it’s a bit rougher. Other than that, it’s a long, dry spell. But hey, it tends not to stay this flat for long around here, so keep an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

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