Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at this 16-day window. To be straight with you, it’s a pretty grim run for Blacks Beach. The whole forecast period is a write-off as far as decent surf goes. We’re looking at a solid two and a half weeks of nothing worth paddling out for, so if you’re hanging for a wave, you’re better off finding something else to do for a while.

The first day with any surf on offer is Friday the 10th of July, but it’s a real dud. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the SSW with a period of 15 seconds, which is a long-period groundswell. Combined energy is moderate at 498, but the wind is a cross-onshore 9 mph from the SSW, chopping it up. The water temperature is a very unusual 72°, which is a huge 6° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s like swimming in a warm bath, but the waves are a complete mess. It’s poor surf, and that sets the tone for the whole outlook.

The forecast just never gets going. Saturday the 11th stays poor with the same sort of weak, cross-onshore junk. Towards Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th, the wind goes light onshore, but the swell drops to 3ft-3ft and the energy is weak (216 to 336). The surf is still no good. By Tuesday the 14th, we see a 2ft swell with a long 18-second period from the SW, but the energy is weak (265) and the wind is onshore, so it’s a dud again.

The pattern continues right through the second week. From Wednesday the 15th of July all the way to Saturday the 25th of July, it’s a parade of poor surf conditions. The swell stays tiny, mostly between 1ft and 3ft, with weak to moderate energy (92 to 549). The wind is almost always cross-onshore or onshore, even when it’s light. There’s a slight glimmer on Sunday the 19th of July when the swell hits 3ft from the SW with a 17-second period and energy of 519, but the wind is onshore from the W, so it’s still marginal at best. The comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” which is about as good as it gets, and that’s not saying much.

The very end of the outlook, on Saturday the 25th of July, sees a 2ft swell from the west with a short 8-second period and only 92 energy. That’s pitiful.

So, the bottom line: there are no standout sessions, no hidden gems, no reason to get excited. The only break on offer, Blacks Beach, is a consistent, exposed spot, but with this forecast, it’s just flat, windy, and messy. Honestly, if the wind keeps up from the SW like this, the setup at Blacks Beach looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual given the forecasts we’re looking at. Keep your eye on it, though – it tends not to stay this poor for long, and things can change. But for now, it’s a hard pass.

Rusty.

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