Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming down the line for us.

Alright, straight up, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty quiet. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swell and the conditions are fiddly. Don’t get your hopes up for anything firing just yet.

Let’s start with Blacks Beach. We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands. From Monday, August 24th through to Thursday, August 27th, it’s all pretty marginal. Swell is tiny, around 2ft from the SW, and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore. The combined swell energy is weak, reading between 164 and 285. Not worth getting wet for, really.

Friday, August 28th sees a slight uptick. The morning is still small at 2ft from the SW, but the afternoon brings a new pulse from the SSW at 3ft with a very long period of 19 seconds. The energy jumps to a moderate 565. That long period will mean long waits between sets, but at a reef like Blacks, it could translate into some nice, lined-up waves. Winds are light cross-on, so it won’t be perfect, but it’s the best window in the first week.

Saturday, August 29th actually looks like our best shot. Swell builds a little to 4ft from the SSW, with a period of 16 seconds and the combined energy reading 798 – that’s moderate, pushing towards strong. The wind is light from the SW, so it’s a light cross-on breeze. Not glassy, but very manageable. It’ll be the most push and shape we’ve seen. Keep in mind, Blacks can get crowded, and with consistent waves on offer, you can expect company.

Then it fades again. From Sunday, August 30th right through to Thursday, September 3rd, it drops back to small, weak surf with a lot of poor conditions and onshore wind. We’re looking at a real dry spell.

There’s a flicker of hope for the start of September. Friday, September 4th shows another pulse of SSW swell, about 4ft to 4ft. The period hangs around 17 seconds, with energy reading 946 – that’s a solid moderate swell, almost strong. Winds are light offshore from the WNW. This is the standout of the second week. It’s a full week and a bit out, so keep an eye on it, but if it materializes, Blacks could be clean and have some good power.

After that, the Saturday, September 5th afternoon turns choppy with a moderate cross-onshore breeze, and Sunday, September 6th is blown out with NW winds at 12 mph. The rest of the outlook through to Tuesday, September 8th is back to poor-to-marginal conditions.

The pick of the fortnight: Definitely Saturday, August 29th for the best combo of size, consistency, and lighter winds. The Friday afternoon, September 4th session is the long-range one to watch if you’re patient.

The water’s sitting at a very warm 73°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can ditch the steamer.

Stay patient, stay stoked.

Rusty.

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