Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet stretch for Blacks Beach. The whole 16-day window is looking flat and uninspiring, with a long gap of nothing really worth paddling out for. The first day I’d even start to think about is Thursday morning, August 21st, but even then it’s marginal at best. From now until late August, there’s just not enough push to get excited about.

We’ve got a weak, long-period SSW groundswell trickling in, with swell heights hovering around 2 ft to 3 ft and periods up to 16 seconds. That long period is nice for shape in theory, but the energy is just too low – combined swell energy sits around 200-500 (moderate to weak), so it’s not gonna get the blood pumping. Winds are mostly light and onshore or cross-onshore, so expect small, rippled-out surf with poor conditions. Not clean, not powerful.

The real pick of a very weak bunch looks like late Friday afternoon, August 28th, into Saturday, August 29th. On Friday afternoon, the swell bumps up to 3 ft from the SSW at a very long 19 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 539 (moderate). Saturday morning sees the swell nudge 3 ft, still from the SSW, with a 17-second period and energy of 685. That’s the most interesting pulse we get. Winds are light and offshore (from the W to WSW) – glassy or near-offshore conditions could make it clean. Blacks is an exposed point, so it handles these long-period SSW swells well. But it’s an advanced break and on a small day like this, only the most experienced will get the best of it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

After that, it fades back to tiny by early September. A brief shift to a short-period W swell around September 1st (4 ft, but only 8 seconds) is not gonna deliver quality – that’s choppy and weak. Then it’s back to the same old marginal SSW pulses. For beginners, forget it – never gets above 5 ft. For experts, it’s a few small, clean windows, but you’ll be scratching for a wave.

Bottom line: save your energy. The standout is that Saturday morning, August 29th, window. It’s the only time you might get a clean, lined-up wave on the longer-period groundswell. But don’t expect much. Forecasts can change, but right now this stretch looks more like a good time to do a board repair than surf.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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