Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here.

Look, I’ve gotta level with you—this is a pretty bleak run for Blacks Beach. The whole 16-day window is mostly flat or poor quality, and there’s a quiet start. The first real chance is Sunday the 5th, but even then it’s a toss-up.

Alright, here’s what’s cooking.

Sunday morning the 5th, we’re looking at about 3 feet of swell from the SSW, but check the period—18 seconds, that’s proper groundswell, deep and powerful. Combined swell energy is 515, so moderate. Waves that long can be a bit straight at a beach break like Blacks, but the wind is blowing offshore out of the west at 15 km/h, so the faces should be clean. The report flags marginal conditions with tricky tides, so it’s a gamble, not a guarantee. Water temp is about normal for this time of year.

Sunday afternoon the 5th drops to 2 feet and the wind goes cross-onshore—choppy and no good.

Monday the 6th morning has 3 feet again, same SSW direction, 16-second period, still offshore. Energy hits 529, but it’s marginal. Monday afternoon jumps to 742 energy but the waves are poor—wind stays on, quality’s off.

Tuesday the 7th morning brings 3 feet, 18-second period, 859 energy, but it’s poor with onshore wind. Tuesday afternoon is marginal at best.

Wednesday the 8th morning has 4 feet, 16 seconds, a light cross-onshore breeze, and 840 energy—moderate-to-strong but still marginal. Wednesday afternoon is similar with 772 energy and a low score.

Thursday the 9th stays stuck around 3 feet, 16 seconds, with cross and cross-onshore winds, energy around 724—marginal.

From Friday the 10th, it’s all downhill. Swell fades, periods shorten, wind stays messy. By Sunday the 12th we’re at 3 feet with a 14-second period and cross-onshore wind—energy under 322, poor.

Wednesday the 16th morning gives a brief bounce to 4 feet from the west at 9 seconds with light wind, but the period’s short and the waves are poor. After that, it’s more low-energy, poor conditions through Monday the 20th July, where it bottoms out at 2 feet and a combined energy of just 74.

The best you’re gonna get is Sunday morning the 5th—that long-period groundswell with offshore wind could give a few clean ones if you nail the tide. But it’s nothing to write home about. For the rest, the wind’s cross-onshore a lot, and with such weak surf, you might see more kite surfers than paddle surfers out there.

Stay patient. Forecasts change.

Rusty.

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