Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

It’s a bit of a flat, frustrating run ahead, to be honest. We’re looking at a long stretch where the surf is just not playing the game. The first decent swell window isn’t until Friday the 14th, and even then, it’s only just poking its head above the marginal line. Before that, from Wednesday the 12th through to Thursday the 13th, the conditions are poor – small, weak waves and onshore wind. Don’t bother paddling out.

Things start to look a little more hopeful from Friday the 14th morning. We’ve got a SSW groundswell coming in with a period of 18 seconds – that’s proper long-period energy – pushing 2ft to 3ft. The combined energy is building into a moderate range (547 to 734). The wind is onshore but light from the W, so it won’t be glassy but it’s workable. This is marginal surf, but for Blacks Beach, those long-period SSW swells can wrap in with some shape. The tide will be a factor, so keep an eye on that.

Saturday the 15th keeps the same theme. The swell picks up a touch to 3ft to 4ft from the SSW, still with a long 16-second period. The wind stays light and onshore from the W. The combined energy is solidly moderate (621 to 706). Again, it’s marginal. The water temperature is a notable 75°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year.

Sunday the 16th is a step down. The swell drops back to 3ft, the period shortens to 15 seconds, and by the afternoon the wind swings a bit more northerly. The energy drops (517 to 476). It’s still in that poor to marginal range. Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are similar – small, weak, and poor. Wednesday the 19th sees the wind turn cross-onshore from the SW, making it choppy.

From Thursday the 20th right through to Monday the 24th of August, it’s mostly poor. There’s a tiny spike on Wednesday the 26th, with a 3ft to 4ft SW swell and a 16-second period, giving us the highest combined energy of the whole forecast at 587. The wind is light and onshore from the W, so it’s about as clean as it gets for these conditions. This is the best looking window in the whole run, but it’s still only a marginal 2 out of 10. Thursday the 27th brings a moderate cross-shore wind from the S, which won’t help.

The standout: If you’re desperate for a paddle, the morning of Friday the 14th and the morning of Saturday the 15th offer the best combination of size, period, and clean-ish wind. But honestly, it’s a tough call. The water is warm, the swell is small, and it’s a long period groundswell which can be tricky on a beach break like Blacks. It might offer some clean lines if the tide is right, but don’t expect any barrels. For the rest of the run, you’re mostly looking at ankle-biters and poor conditions.

Rusty.

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