Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at the surf ahead.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and frustrating for Blacks Beach. The water is an unusually warm 76° right now, more than 4° warmer than average for this time of year, which feels weird for a spot that usually needs a good chill to get the swell going. But that warmth won’t help us get waves.

We’re staring down a long, dry spell. From the start of August right through until the morning of August 15th, there’s basically nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 3ft, and the wind is almost always cross-onshore or onshore. The combined energy is weak, sitting in the low hundreds (like 122 to 499) for most of that stretch, and the wave comment is consistently “poor surf conditions.” It’s a real bummer.

Now, there is a faint glimmer. On the morning of August 15th, we finally see a bit of a pulse. The swell jumps to 4ft from the SW, with a period of 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which means better shaped waves, more energy, and longer waits between sets. The combined energy climbs to 658 (moderate), and the wind is light and offshore from the W. That’s the cleanest window we’ll see. But the wave comment is still “marginal” – not a total write-off, but not a stand-out day either. The swell direction is SSW, which is a bit off the optimum WNW for this exposed break, so it won’t be firing perfectly. Still, if you’re desperate, that Saturday morning on the 15th is your best bet – just don’t expect a classic. The afternoon drops back to 3ft, and the wind goes cross-onshore, so that window is small.

The rest of the 16th stays poor. No real standouts here, folks. This is a long, quiet stretch for Blacks Beach.

Rusty

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