Blacks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. The 16-day window for Blacks Beach looks pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions, with a few marginal windows that might offer a session if you’re desperate, but nothing to get excited about.

The first few days are a write-off. Sunday July 5th kicks off with a 2ft SSW swell, period at 18 seconds, but the wave comment says *poor surf conditions*. The combined energy is weak (448). The water is a touch warmer than normal at 69°, about 3° above the long-term average for this time of year. Monday and Tuesday stay in the same boat: small swell, offshore winds, but the surf is still poor. You’ll be scratching for a wave.

We finally get a glimmer on Wednesday July 8th, with a 4ft SSW swell and 16-second period. The energy is moderate (827). But the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy. The forecast says *marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions*. It’s a 1 out of 10. Not worth paddling out for.

Thursday July 9th is similar – 3ft SSW, cross-onshore, marginal. Friday July 10th through Monday July 13th are all *poor surf conditions*. The swell drops to 2ft to 3ft, energy weakens, and the wind is either cross or cross-onshore. This is a long stretch of nothing.

Mid-week, from Tuesday July 14th to Wednesday July 15th, we get a tiny 2ft to 1ft SW swell, but with periods up to 18 seconds. The energy is very weak (162 to 292). The wind is light and offshore, but the swell is too small to ride. It’s marginal at best.

Thursday July 16th sees a shift: a 4ft westerly swell with a short 8-second period. The energy is moderate (366). But the wind is cross-onshore, and the wave state is *gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy*. It’s still poor. This short-period swell won’t produce much.

The last few days, from Friday July 17th to Monday July 20th, are more of the same: tiny swells (1ft to 3ft), a mix of offshore and cross-onshore winds, and poor to marginal surf. The energy is weak to moderate (175 to 407). There’s nothing to recommend.

The best on offer? Honestly, there isn’t a standout. The closest to a session would be Wednesday July 8th morning, with a 4ft SSW swell (16-second period) and moderate energy (827). But the cross-onshore wind and marginal conditions mean it’s only for the hardcore. If you’re a beginner, the swell is under 5ft, so it’s not too big, but the quality is poor.

This is a classic blank run for Blacks Beach. It tends not to stay poor for long, but this 16-day window is a test of patience. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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