15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at 15th Street are looking pretty ordinary. We’ve got a long stretch of small, choppy, and messy surf ahead, with a few flickers of something better right at the back end. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

We start off on Friday July 10 – clear skies but a cross-on breeze out of the SSW at 9 mph, and the swell is a weak 3 ft from the south-southwest, period around 15 seconds. The combined energy is 498 (moderate), but the wind’s got the surface all chopped up. That run of poor surf conditions stretches right through the weekend and into the start of the following week. Saturday July 11 and Sunday July 12 are much the same – cross-on wind, barely 3 ft of swell, and a messy surface. Sunday afternoon sees a light onshore breeze but the swell drops to 3 ft. It’s all pretty grim.

Monday July 13 morning ticks up to a 1/10 with a 3 ft SSW swell (338 energy) and a light onshore wind, described as marginal but still poor. The afternoons are mostly a write-off too. This flat, poor-quality run continues day after day – Tuesday July 14, Wednesday July 15, Thursday July 16, Friday July 17 – with swells barely moving above 2 ft, cross-onshore winds, and energy in the weak to moderate range. Even when the period stretches out to 18-19 seconds on the 14th and 17th, there’s just no size or clean surface to get excited about.

Then we hit Saturday July 18. Now this is where things start to lift a little. The morning has a 3 ft SSW swell (672 energy) and light onshore wind – still marginal but a step up. The afternoon sees rain showers and a light cross-onshore, swell holding at 3 ft with 694 energy – scores a 2/10. It’s not clean, but there’s a pulse of energy. Sunday July 19 morning brings a 4 ft S swell with 954 energy, light onshore wind – that’s moderate energy and the biggest wave height in the whole forecast. Period of 12 seconds, not too long, but still marginal. The afternoon is a bit smaller at 3 ft with 858 energy. This Sunday session is the closest thing to a standout, but the wind’s still holding it back.

After that, Monday July 20 and Tuesday July 21 drop back into poor conditions with gentle onshore or cross-onshore winds. The 21st does show a 3-4 ft SSW swell (548-617 energy), but the surface stays messy. Wednesday July 22 and Thursday July 23 are smaller and still poor. Friday July 24 afternoon throws up a 3 ft swell from the west with only 8 seconds period – short period – and 312 energy, weak and sloppy. Saturday July 25 morning has a 4 ft W swell but again only 8 seconds, cross-onshore at 9 mph, 412 energy – poor.

So, what’s the best on offer? Honestly, Sunday July 19 has the most energy and the biggest swell, but the wind’s not clean. Saturday July 18 afternoon and Sunday July 19 afternoon are your best shots – still marginal but the only sessions with any pulse. It’s been a flat, windy run overall, so if you’re keen, keep an eye on those two days. Otherwise, this stretch is better for a paddle or a kite session on the beach.

Rusty.

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