15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

The next few days are looking pretty flat and weak, but there's a big pulse of swell coming our way later in the period that could be something special. We've got a gap of no real surf from now until the weekend, so hang tight.

Water temp is sitting at a balmy 77°, which is a whopping 9° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's really unusual, we're talking tropical-feeling water.

The first real glimmer of hope is on Thursday, September 4th afternoon. The wind will be light and offshore from the west-southwest, and we'll see a 4ft SW groundswell (16 sec period). With moderate combined wave energy (995), it's a marginal call but the cleanest option we've had in days.

Friday, September 5th morning sees a similar 3ft SSW groundswell (16 sec) and light offshore winds. The energy is still moderate (965). By the afternoon, the swell starts to build: 5ft from the south (14 sec) with light offshore wind, and the energy jumps to 1446. This is getting more interesting.

Now, the real standout is Sunday, September 6th afternoon. We're looking at a 8ft south groundswell (15 sec) with a light cross-offshore breeze from the north-northeast at 9 mph. The combined energy is very strong (2268) and the conditions are clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The long period (15 sec) means it's a proper groundswell, which will work best at point breaks and reefs, but here at 15th Street (a beach and reef setup) it could still be firing.

Monday, September 7th, is worth mentioning but with a big caveat. The swell is predicted to be 10ft from the south-southeast, with a very long period (14-15 sec) and very strong energy (3445 in the morning). The wind is offshore, but the size is only for experts. This is big, powerful, and heavy. It's breaking too big for the break, so only the most experienced crew should even think about it. The south-east wind on Monday afternoon is a strong 28 mph, so that's a no-go for paddling, but that setup could be more interesting for kite surfing.

By Tuesday, September 8th, the swell is still 10ft but the wind is onshore and messy, so it's a write-off. The rest of the period from Wednesday, September 9th, onward drops off quickly into small, weak, and often choppy conditions. Not worth getting excited about.

So, your best bet is Sunday, September 6th afternoon. That's the call. Clean, solid, and powerful. Don't be late.

Rusty.

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