15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's break down what's coming for 15th Street.

The water is sitting at about 73°F, which is a massive 6°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that's really unusual, almost feels like a warm bath. But the surf? Don't hold your breath just yet. The first week is a bit of a dud. From Wednesday the 15th through Friday the 18th, it's tiny and weak, with mostly cross or cross-on winds. We're talking light wind ripples and swell energy barely breaking 300 (259–329). Not worth suiting up.

Saturday the 18th shows a slight pulse – an 0.8m (3ft) SW swell, but it's got a long 18-second period and cross-on wind. Energy climbs to 518–688, but it's still choppy and marginal. Sunday the 19th morning is the first real hope: a 1.4m (5ft) S swell with 12-second period and offshore wind from the WSW. That's clean. Energy is moderate at 981. Sunday afternoon holds 1.0m (3ft) SW at 17 seconds with offshore wind – could be a fun little session. The week after, Monday 20th to Wednesday 22nd, stays small (0.7m–1.1m / 2ft–4ft) and cross-on, nothing special.

Then things change. From Thursday 24th July onwards, we get some proper surf. That morning brings a 1.8m (6ft) S swell at 13 seconds, with offshore WNW wind. Combined energy jumps to 1798 – that's strong. That's a standout, but at 1.8m it's getting a bit chunky for beginners. Friday 24th holds similar size (1.7m–1.8m / 6ft–6ft) but it's a bit more cross-on.

Saturday 25th July is the real gem. You've got a 1.6m (5ft) SSW swell, 13-second period, and offshore wind from the west. Light breeze, likely glassy. Combined energy is 1516–1238. That's solid, clean, and the swell direction matches the break's ideal (WSW). 1.6m is good for most intermediate to advanced surfers, but might be too much for beginners. This is the day to mark on your calendar, but it's over a week away, so keep checking.

Sunday 26th drops to 0.9m (3ft), but the period stretches to 19 seconds – very long groundswell – with light cross-on wind. That long period might make it a bit tricky at a beach break, but could offer some clean lines.

The rest of the run into the end of July stays in the 0.8m–1.2m (3ft–4ft) range, mostly cross-on with gentle breezes, and energy dropping off. Nothing else jumps out.

So, to wrap it up: the first 10 days are mostly flat or marginal. The real window opens Thursday 24th, with Saturday 25th being the best bet for clean, solid waves. After that, it fades. No crowds info on this spot, but with a consistent break and decent swell, expect company.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the long-range, and I'll see you in the water.

Rusty.

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