15th Street Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down. The only spot in the mix is 15th Street – a beach-and-reef setup that’s usually consistent, but what we’ve got on the table for the next 16 days is pretty grim. The water’s sitting at 70.2° with a solid 4.3° anomaly, so it’s way warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a nice touch, but the waves just aren’t cooperating. The swell direction is mostly SSW, while the spot really wants a WSW angle, so that’s already a bit off. The periods are long – 16 to 18 seconds – so there’s some groundswell energy, but the heights are tiny, mostly under 3.3 ft, and the combined energy (854 on Tuesday morning) is moderate at best, then drops off fast. And the wave comments keep saying “marginal” or “poor.” Not a good sign.

Let’s go through the days. Tuesday July 7 morning: clean offshore wind from the west at 6 mph, swell 3.3 ft from the SSW, period 18 seconds, energy 854 (moderate). Looks okay on paper, but the wave comment is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so probably not worth the paddle. The afternoon gets a bit windier, still offshore, but the swell drops to 3.0 ft. Wednesday July 8 is the best of a bad bunch – morning has 3.6 ft, 16 seconds, WSW 6 mph offshore, energy 919 (moderate). That’s the highest energy in the whole window, and the wind is clean. But the wave comment still says “marginal.” Thursday through Saturday (July 9-11) the wind turns cross-onshore, swell stays around 3.3 ft, and the energy slides from 741 down to 469. The waves are chopped and poor. Sunday July 12 and Monday July 13 are offshore again but the swell shrinks to 2.6-3.0 ft, energy dropping to 344. Still marginal. Then from Tuesday July 14 all the way through Friday July 17, the swell bottoms out at 1.3-1.6 ft, energy under 260, and the wave comments are all “poor.” That’s a real dead zone. Saturday July 18 shows a little pulse – 3.0 ft, 18 seconds, WSW 6 mph cross-on, energy 582 (moderate), and the wave comment is “marginal” with a score of 2. That’s the best we get after the first week, but the wind is light cross-on, not ideal. Sunday July 19 morning has offshore wind again, 3.0 ft, 17 seconds, energy 572, but again marginal. After that, it fades back into poor conditions through July 22.

Honestly, there’s no standout here. If I had to pick a session, Wednesday July 8 morning has the best combo of size (3.6 ft), clean offshore wind, and the highest energy. But it’s still only marginal, and the direction isn’t spot-on. The rest is a long stretch of tiny, poor-quality surf. The gap from about July 14 to July 17 is particularly empty – several days with nothing worth mentioning. If you’re dead set on surfing, you might get a couple of fun little waves on the 8th or 18th, but keep expectations low. This is a place that can be consistent, but right now the ocean is just not

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