Lecount Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Right now, Lecounts Hollow is looking like a tough beat. For the next week and a half, the surf is just not playing ball. The first real window where things start to look interesting doesn’t come around until Friday the 25th of September, and even then it’s pretty ordinary.

Let’s run through it. From now through to the end of the week, the swell is tiny, the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, and the water is cold and clean conditions are rare. Sunday the 13th kicks off with a weak 1 ft swell from the SE, period at 10 seconds, but the wind is a cross-on breeze from the SE at 12 mph, making for choppy, poor conditions. That afternoon it gets worse with heavy rain and a stronger NE wind. Monday and Tuesday are a write-off too – small, short-period slop with onshore or cross-shore winds. The energy is low, barely hitting 87 in the combined swell energy readings, so you’re not missing anything.

By Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th, we get some clean-looking windows with light offshore or cross-off winds, but the swell is still weak – 2 ft to 2 ft from the east, period around 7 seconds. That’s small and weak, the energy is only 31 to 54. Surfable but not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate for a splash. The wind is light though, so if you’re a beginner looking for a tiny clean wave, maybe.

Friday the 18th sees a slight bump in size – 4 ft from the NE in the morning – but the wind is fresh cross-on from the NE at 19 mph, making it lumpy and messy. Not a good look. The combined energy hits 108, which is moderate, but the quality is just not there.

Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are small again, with onshore and cross-shore winds, very ordinary. Nothing to write home about.

Then Monday the 21st brings the biggest swell of the whole run: 6 ft from the north, period 7 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving, but the wind is howling from the NNE at 28 mph, cross-on, making for messy, blown-out conditions. The combined energy is a strong 327, but it’s not for paddle surfing – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than a traditional surf session. The afternoon drops to 5 ft but still with strong cross-on winds.

The rest of that week is more of the same: small, windy, and onshore. Thursday the 24th has gale-force winds – 40 mph from the NE – completely unsurfable.

Finally, on Friday the 25th of September, we get a little glimmer. The morning is still messy with strong cross-shore winds, but by the afternoon the wind swings to NNW at 6 mph, cross-off, and the swell picks up to 3 ft from the east with a period of 6 seconds. It’s clean, but the wave energy is still only 77, so it’s very ordinary. Saturday the 26th is the real standout. Both morning and afternoon have clean conditions – moderate offshore wind in the morning, light cross-off in the afternoon. The swell holds at 3 ft from the east with a period of 9 seconds, which gives the waves a bit more shape. Combined energy jumps to 169 and 175, which is moderate. This is your best bet. The break is consistent and exposed to the NE, so the east swell will wrap in nicely. The water temperature is around 66°F, which is normal for this time of year. Crowds can pop up sometimes, but with conditions being only marginal, it might be quieter than usual.

Sunday the 27th keeps that clean offshore flow in the morning, with the swell holding at 4 ft from the east and period at 10 seconds, energy hitting 252 – moderate to strong – but the surf is still described as marginal. The afternoon wind picks up to 16 mph but stays cross-off, so it’s still rideable, just not special.

Monday the 28th sees another pulse – 5 ft from the ENE with a period of 11 seconds, energy hitting 511, which is strong. But the wind is cross-on from the NNE at 19 mph, making it lumpy. So even though there’s plenty of energy, the quality isn’t there for a clean session.

In the end, Saturday the 26th is your best chance for a proper surf at Lecounts Hollow – clean, moderate energy, and a decent swell direction. Everything before that is mostly a waiting game. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because it doesn’t stay flat forever.

Rusty

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