Lecount Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at one of our local haunts.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the next two weeks are a real mixed bag, and honestly, pretty grim for most of it. There are some promising flashes, but you’ll be sitting through a lot of flat, messy, or blown-out days to find them. The first real swell worth paddling out for doesn’t show until Friday morning, September 5th, but the wind is messy. The only true standout window is a bit further out.

Let’s break it down.

We’ve got nothing happening on the 3rd. Thursday is a complete washout with poor surf and cross winds from the South. Skip it.

Friday the 4th is where we get the first glimmer. Lecounts Hollow will see a small 2ft swell from the ESE with a short period of 7 seconds. The real winner here is the morning session – it’s glassy, like a lake. The water should be about average for this time of year. The energy is weak (50). It’s not big, but with those conditions, you might snag a fun little wave if you’re patient.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th? Forget it. The swell picks up to 4ft then 7ft (moderate energy at 94 on Saturday, then strong at 393 on Sunday), but it’s all cross-shore wind from the North. The wind will have it chopped up and lumpy. Sunday’s surge is too big for beginners coming in at 7ft, and with that wind, it’s a real battle for everyone else.

Monday the 8th is our first real chance. The swell will still be solid (5ft to 5ft) from the NE (strong energy, 524), but the period stretches out to 10 seconds, which is better. Monday morning still has some cross-shore wind, but Monday afternoon the wind drops to a slight air, becoming light cross-onshore. It’s still marginal, and that long-period groundswell can make a beach break like this run straight and close out. Not the best, but it’s the first day that isn’t a total write-off.

Then we hit a long, flat gap. From Tuesday the 9th all the way through to Saturday the 13th, the swell drops to 0.7ft to 2ft. The combined energy barely makes it to double digits some days. You’re looking at a solid four-day stretch of mostly clean but tiny drifts. Not that a glassy 1.0ft wave on Thursday the 11th won’t be pretty to look at, but you won’t be riding it.

Now, here’s the one that could pay off if you’re holding out. Jumping ahead to Friday, September 18th. After days of tiny or messy junk, the morning shows a clean 5ft swell from the NE (moderate energy, 171) and the wind goes glassy again. The period is a short 6 seconds, but that clean face and 5ft of punch is the best deal we’ve got in this entire forecast. It’s a Friday – if the crowds show up, and they sometimes do at the Hollow, it could get a bit busy. But for a short window, this is the one to aim for. It’s borderline for beginners at that size, but for any intermediate surfer, this is the standout morning of the whole outlook. Everything else before that is just waiting.

Stay patient, look for that glass on the 18th, and don’t bother with the flat spell in the middle. The longer range is always a bit of a gamble, but this one has a good look about it.

Rusty.

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