Lecount Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got to be straight with you – this stretch of July and into August is looking like a tough one for Lecounts Hollow. We’ve got a real dry spell on our hands. There’s nothing in the way of a proper surf window until we get to Friday the 24th of July, and even then, it’s just a whisper of swell.

The overall pattern is a long run of poor surf conditions. From the start of the forecast right through the first week, we’re dealing with a messy mix of strong cross-shore winds and lumpy chop. There’s a brief window on the morning of Friday the 24th when the wind goes glassy, and we see a tiny 0.6m swell from the southeast. That’s about 2 feet, just ankle-to-knee high – but for a moment there, the ocean will be clean. That’s your best bet in the first week, and honestly, it’s not saying much. The water temp sits at 65°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing to get excited about.

Then we hit another lull. From the afternoon of the 24th right through to the end of July, it’s mostly small, weak, and onshore. The winds keep shifting, but the waves stay small and messy. The combined swell energy barely scrapes triple digits on a couple of afternoons, but it’s all short-period, wind-affected slop. Not worth paddling out for.

The only real standout in the entire 16 days is the morning of Saturday the 1st of August. We get a pulse of swell – 1.6m (about 5 feet) from the south-southeast – and while the combined energy jumps to 149 (moderate), the period is a short 5 seconds. That’s wind swell, not groundswell. The wind is light from the north, just a light cross-shore, so it won’t be clean. It’s a bit of a tease.

The following afternoon, Sunday the 2nd of August, shows something with more potential. A 1.1m (just under 4 feet) swell from the southeast with a period of 10 seconds bumps the energy to 200 (moderate). That’s a longer period, suggesting slightly better shape, but the wind swings moderate cross-shore from the south, which will mess up the surface. It’s still only in the mediocrity range.

After that, it’s back to tiny, weak surf all the way through to Wednesday the 5th of August. The last morning we see is a glassy 0.5m (around 2 feet) dribble with barely any energy (21). That’s a flat day.

So, to sum it up: we’ve got a long gap with no worthwhile surf. The best on offer is that glassy Friday morning the 24th of July for the cleanest tiny waves, but if you’re after something with a little more size, keep an eye on Sunday the 2nd of August – it’s the most promising pulse, but don’t expect perfection. For everyone else, it’s a week of letting the boards rest.

Stay patient. Conditions like this never last forever.

Rusty.

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