Lecount Hollow Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. No point dancing around it – the next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for Lecounts Hollow. We’re starting off with very little energy, but there’s a building pulse of swell that could turn things on for a session or two, if the wind plays ball.

Right out of the gate, Wednesday the 2nd is flat and messy – tiny 1ft swell from the ESE with onshore breeze, just poor conditions. That small, weak energy of 52 combined energy is not worth paddling for. The water is sitting at 70°, which is a noticeable bump – a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so the first duck dive won’t be a shock.

Thursday the 3rd is a write-off. A short-period 4ft SSE swell shows up but it’s combined with a strong S wind that makes it a lumpy, choppy mess. The afternoon cleans up a bit with some cross-off wind, but the wave quality is still poor – a 3ft swell with only 74 energy doesn't get the heart racing.

Friday the 4th is the first flicker of hope. Morning session under clear skies with a light NW offshore wind – clean lines on a 3ft ESE swell at 7 seconds. The combined energy is 75 (weak), so it’s not going to blow you away, but it’s surfable. It’s the best option so far. The afternoon loses it again.

Saturday the 5th gets a little more size but the wind totally wrecks it. A 5ft NNE swell in the morning (145 combined energy) is crossed up by a 25 mph NNE breeze – just messy. By the afternoon, it’s a 7ft NNE swell (395 combined energy) with strong cross-onshore wind – that’s a lumpy, closeout wash. This is only for anyone who loves a beating.

Then we hit our real window. Sunday the 6th – this is your standout. The morning is clean, with a 8ft NNE swell (very strong energy at 753) and a NNW offshore breeze. That’s serious size – definitely expert territory, over 8ft is for the heavy crew only. The period is 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell but has power. The afternoon goes from good to excellent: same swell, 7ft, dropping to a light WNW breeze – glassy, cross-off conditions. The combined energy is still massive (674). This is the session to circle.

Monday the 7th is a hangover. The swell drops to 5ft from the ENE (357 combined energy) – still clean in the morning, but it’s marginal and dropping fast. Not the same quality as Sunday.

After that, the well runs dry. Tuesday the 8th has a tiny 3ft ENE swell and a brief offshore window in the morning, but with only 93 energy, it’s ordinary. From Wednesday the 9th all the way through to Tuesday the 15th, it’s a desert – tiny swells (0.7ft to 3ft), mostly weak energy (12 to 129), and persistent poor conditions. A few clean mornings but barely enough juice to get a push. There’s a gap of about 5–6 days of largely unsurfable waves.

There is a little flicker on Tuesday the 15th morning – a 1ft SSE groundswell (period 9 seconds) with a light offshore WSW breeze – clean but tiny. It’s surfable if you’re desperate.

Through the 16th and 17th, it’s back to tiny 0.7ft swells. On the 17th, the period hits 13 seconds – a long-period groundswell – but combined energy is only 28, so it’s a long wait for a barely rideable wave. Might break too straight at this beach break anyway.

Honest truth: Sunday the 6th is the one day that stands out. Big swell, clean, all-day. The rest is mostly small or windy. Worth being patient for that.

Rusty.

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