Surf Forecasts:
Long Point surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 5s period, SW swell with 25 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Long Point this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Long Point in the next 16 days are 0.8m 5s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 14) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Long Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be real about the next couple of weeks.
To be honest, this is a tough stretch. For the first week and a half, there’s barely a ripple to get excited about. We’ve got a long, dry spell from now until about the 22nd of August where the swell is basically non-existent. You’ll see a few tiny bumps here and there, but nothing worth paddling out for. The water’s sitting at 77°F with a temperature anomaly of 2°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so if you’re just after a swim, it’s lovely, but for surfing? It’s a waiting game.
The only real blip of hope comes on Saturday the 16th of August. Long Point, the standout here, picks up a little pulse. It’s a fairly consistent spot, exposed to the SW, and the swell direction is SW, which is right in its wheelhouse. On Saturday morning, we’re looking at a 2ft SSW swell with a short period of 4 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore from the SW. Not ideal. The combined energy is weak at (17). But the afternoon offers a glimmer: a 3ft SW swell, period up to 5 seconds, and the wind swings to a cross-offshore from the NW, which will clean things up. The energy is still low at (25), but if you’re desperate, that’s your window. It’s small, and with a short period, it’s only for the longboard or a foamie. Crowds are possible here, so keep your eyes peeled.
Don’t get too excited about the rest of the fortnight. After that little bump on the 16th, it drops right back to flat. The models show nothing of substance through to the 27th of August. It’s a long stretch of clean, glassy mornings and calm afternoons, but with zero swell. The winds are light and variable, but without any wave energy, it’s just a sunbaking session.
The bottom line: if you’re a purist, save your energy. The 16th of August afternoon is the only real chance, and even then, it’s a small, clean, and short-period affair. Otherwise, it’s a dry spell that’s pretty normal for this area. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d be planning a beach day or a kite session rather than a surf.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 18°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, light winds from the SW by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NE 3 | NE 3 | ENE 4 | E 3 | SE 3 | SSW 4 | SW 5 | WSW 4 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | — | — | — |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | |||||||||||||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 29 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 |
Feels °C | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 16 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NE 4 | NE 3 | NE 3 | ENE 4 | E 3 | SE 3 | SSW 4 | SW 5 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | NW 3 | N 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2727 | 1658 | 1277 | 671 | 2701 | 2692 | 885 | 3228 | 916 | 928 | 1385 | 1372 | 1434 | 1811 | 586 | 592 | 592 | 628 | 613 | 1033 | 611 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Lake Erie - Canada | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Canada | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Long Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Long Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Long Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Long Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Long Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Long Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Long Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Long Point is 30 km (19 miles) from the city of Norfolk. If you plan a holiday in Lake Erie - Canada, look for hotels and other accommodation in Norfolk. Norfolk has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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