Lawrencetown Left Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what we've got coming down the line for our local zone.

Honestly, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is a bit of a fizzer for the most part. We’re looking at a long stretch of ordinary conditions, especially for the first week. The standout window, if you’re patient, looks to be in the second week.

Let’s start with the joint. We’re talking about Lawrencetown Left Point, a reef and point setup. It’s an inconsistent spot, so it doesn’t fire all the time. The water temp is sitting at 62°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama there.

We kick off from Tuesday the 4th. There’s some swell around – 7ft from the SSW with moderate energy (607) – but the wind is a cross-shore mess at 16 mph, creating lumpy chop. The surf is just poor. Through Wednesday the 5th, the swell drops a bit but the cross-wind stays on it. Thursday the 6th sees the swell drop to under 3ft, and while the morning is clean with a light WNW breeze, the waves are tiny and weak (94). Nothing to get excited about. Friday the 7th through to Tuesday the 12th is a real doldrum period. Swell heights are mostly below 3ft, with periods of 6 or 7 seconds. There are a few glassy moments, like Friday morning and Sunday morning, but the energy is so low (down to 27 or 35) it’s barely a ripple. It’s a long, slow gap of flatness.

Now, things start to perk up a little around Thursday the 13th. The morning brings a clean offshore wind from the NNW with 2ft waves, but it’s still weak. The real glimmer shows up on Thursday afternoon. The swell picks up to 4ft from the SSW, and the period jumps to 9 seconds, giving us a solid groundswell. The combined energy reads 303 – moderate but much better. The wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s a little rippled. This is our first true standout option. The bigger period at a point break like Lawrencetown Left Point should translate into some proper, lined-up waves. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve seen.

Friday the 14th keeps the hope alive. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, and the afternoon is glassy with 4ft swell. The energy is still moderate (188). It’s surfable, but ordinary. The real standout of the whole outlook, however, might be the morning of Saturday the 15th. It’s glassy, clear, with a 3ft SSW swell. The energy is a clean 100. It’s not huge, but with glassy conditions at a point break, that’s your session for the week. The crowd factor is "sometimes", so you might have company, but the clean conditions will be worth it.

The run continues through Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th. Sunday has another glassy morning with 3ft waves, but it’s a short period swell (6 seconds). Monday morning sees a 4ft SSW swell with an 8-second period and moderate energy (276), but the wind is cross-shore, making it marginal. The Monday afternoon, however, gets a bit chunky with 6ft and 586 energy, but the cross-onshore wind comes up strong at 16 mph, ruining the surface. That’s going to be choppy and messy. For a 6ft swell, the wind is turning it into a bit of a washing machine – might be more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.

After that, the final days from Tuesday the 18th to Wednesday the 19th see the wind and chop return, with the swell dropping off again. The Wednesday afternoon brings a 7ft SSW swell, but with a terrible 5-second period and cross-wind, it’s another write-off.

So, if you’re asking me for the pick of the bunch, I’d say Thursday the 13th afternoon and Saturday the 15th morning are your best bets. Thursday has the bigger, longer-period groundswell, and Saturday has the pristine glassy conditions. Get on it.

Rusty.

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