Lawrencetown Left Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks have in store for us at Lawrencetown Left Point.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough start. We’ve got a solid week of pretty miserable conditions ahead. From Friday the 3rd all the way through to Thursday the 9th of July, it’s a write-off. The wind is all over the place, mostly cross or onshore, and it’s kicking up chop and ruining any chance of a clean face. The swell is small to nonexistent for most of that stretch, with the odd pulse of moderate energy, like on the 8th (329), but a short, choppy 7ft swell with onshore wind is just a mess. Not worth paddling out for.

Now, let's talk about Thursday the 9th of July. That morning is our first real glimmer of hope. We’ve got a glassy surface with that slight air moving, and a clean 3ft swell rolling in from the SSW (204). That’s the kind of morning where you can actually enjoy a few turns without fighting the wind. But don’t get too excited – by the afternoon the wind swings onshore and chops it all up again.

The pattern doesn’t get much better through the weekend and into the following week. There are a few moments where the wind goes light or glassy, like Monday morning the 13th of July, with a 3ft SSW swell and glassy conditions (157). It's surfable, but the wave comment says “very ordinary conditions,” so don’t expect anything epic. The energy is there, but it’s not really delivering the goods consistently.

The biggest swell of the whole run shows up on Tuesday the 14th of July. We’re looking at a 6ft SSW swell in the morning, building to 8ft in the afternoon, with very strong energy (540 and 874 respectively). That’s a lot of water moving. But – and it’s a big but – the wind is straight onshore and the period is a short 9 seconds. That’s a recipe for a brutal, closed-out, washing-machine kind of day. Honestly, for that set-up, this looks way more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers. The conditions are marginal at best, with a score of just 1 out of 10. This is expert-only stuff, and even then, it’s not going to be pretty.

After that, the swell drops back down, but the wind stays problematic. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th offer some small, weak SSW swells around 3ft to 4ft, but it’s cross-on or cross-shore and choppy. There’s nothing in the second week that really stands out as a must-surf session.

So, to be honest, this is a pretty bleak outlook. The one truly standout moment is the morning of Thursday the 9th of July – that glassy, clean 3ft SSW swell. That’s your best chance for a session that feels good. Everything else is either too small, too windy, too big and messy, or all of the above. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing whilst you’re waiting for a wave that doesn't come.

Better luck next time, eh?

Rusty.

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