Lawrencetown Left Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’ve looked over the numbers for Lawrencetown Left Point, and to be honest, the next couple of weeks look pretty grim for a proper surf. There’s a lot of waiting involved here, and for a spot that’s already described as inconsistent, that’s a bit of a kick in the guts. The good news is that there is a small window that pops up later on that might just save the run.

Right now, and through most of the first week, it’s pretty much a write-off. The waves are small, the wind is messy, and the energy just isn’t there. Sunday the 13th is a total non-starter, with tiny 2ft swell from the SSW and a weak 47 units of combined energy, all under a choppy cross-onshore breeze. Monday the 14th actually sees a jump in size to 5ft from the SSE, and the combined energy reads a moderate 222, but the conditions are only described as marginal. The wind is cross-off from the NW, keeping things clean, but the swell period is short at 7-8 seconds, so it’s not going to have any real punch. It’s a session for the die-hards, not a standout.

Tuesday the 15th drops right back off. Wednesday, Thursday, and the weekend all look poor. There’s a moment on Thursday afternoon the 17th where the wind goes glassy and the waves are 2ft, but it’s just too small and weak to get excited about. The whole stretch from the 13th to the 22nd is basically a dry spell for anyone looking for a proper wave.

Now, here’s the one that catches my eye. Wednesday morning the 23rd of September. That’s over a week away, so you’ve got to keep an eye on the forecasts, but this is the only real standout in the whole run. Lawrencetown Left Point is looking at a 5ft swell from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy hits a solid 300 – moderate but solid. The wind is light from the NE, which is cross-offshore, and the report says clean. That’s the kind of morning you want to be in the water for. The water temperature anomaly isn’t given specifically, so we’ll just say it’s about average for the time of year. The swell direction is ESE, which isn’t bang on the optimum SE direction, but it’s close enough to get the reef and point working. Keep in mind, this break is inconsistent, so a window like this is rare – you’d be mad not to jump on it if the forecast holds.

After that morning, things fall apart again pretty quickly. The Wednesday afternoon gets bigger at 6ft from the ESE with 578 units of energy, but the wind swings cross-on from the ESE and it gets choppy. Too big and onshore for this setup. Thursday the 24th is a mess with 6ft and strong onshore winds up to 19 mph. Friday the 25th afternoon actually shows some promise with 5ft and an offshore wind from the N, and the combined energy is a solid 392, but it’s getting late in the run and the long-range confidence drops. The final weekend and Monday the 28th fizzle out into tiny, weak surf again.

Bottom line: if you can wait, Wednesday morning the 23rd is your best shot. Everything else is a waiting game or a washout. Crowds are listed as “sometimes” here, so on a good clean morning, you might find a few others in the water, but it won’t be packed. This is a spot that doesn’t fire often, so when it does, you go. Keep your fingers crossed the forecast stays sweet.

Rusty.

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