Lawrencetown Left Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty.

Alright, let’s be straight with you – this outlook for the next 16 days is a bit of a mixed bag, and it’s gonna test your patience. We’re looking at Lawrencetown Left Point, a reef and point break that’s inconsistent, so it takes a bit of luck to get it right. The water temperature is sitting at 56°F which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a write-off. Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th are small and weak, with swell around 2ft to 3ft and short periods of 8 seconds or less. The wind is mostly cross or cross-off, but the wave energy is low (137 to 178), so you’re looking at poor surf conditions. Sunday the 12th is a bit cleaner with offshore winds in the morning, but the swell is tiny at 2ft and the energy is very weak (59 to 72). Not worth paddling out for.

Then we hit a gap. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th are a mess – strong onshore winds, chop, and the swell jumps up to 7ft on Tuesday morning, but with a short period of 7 seconds and cross-shore winds, it’s just a lumpy, blown-out mess. The energy is moderate (458) but the quality is poor. Wednesday the 15th through Friday the 17th stays in the 4ft to 6ft range, but the wind is cross or cross-off, and the waves are still short-period and messy. The energy gets up to 446 on Wednesday afternoon, but the conditions are marginal at best. Not worth getting excited about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 18th is the standout of the entire run. The morning brings a clean 4ft swell from the SSW with a period of 9 seconds, and the wind is offshore from the WNW. The combined energy is 276 – moderate – and the conditions are labelled as expecting good surf. The afternoon stays clean at 5ft with a period of 9 seconds and energy of 382. This is the best you’ll see, but keep in mind this break is inconsistent, so it might not be working perfectly. Still, it’s your best bet. Sunday the 19th is smaller and more ordinary.

After that, it goes quiet again. Monday the 20th through Tuesday the 22nd is mostly small, weak, or onshore. Wednesday the 22nd afternoon shows a bit of promise with a 5ft swell from the ESE, a period of 7 seconds, and fresh offshore wind, giving moderate energy (349) and good conditions. But it’s a gamble. Then Thursday the 23rd onwards is a mix of cross-shore winds and poor surf, with a big bump on Saturday the 25th – 7ft to 8ft from the S with a period of 8 to 10 seconds and energy over 950 – but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, so it’s more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle session.

So, bottom line: if you’re keen, target Saturday the 18th at Lawrencetown Left Point. It’s the only real standout in the whole 16 days. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy. The rest of the run is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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