Lawrencetown Left Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the start is slow and the end is slower. The first real chance to get wet is Saturday, September 5th. The water is sitting at 67°, which is a good 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, feels like a late summer hangover.

Saturday morning at Lawrencetown Left Point (reef and point) has a 5ft swell out of the ESE with a short 8-second period. Wind is blowing offshore from the N at 19 mph, keeping it clean, but the wave energy is moderate (287). It’s pretty marginal. The afternoon gets worse as the wind cranks to 25 mph from the NNW, still offshore but making it a real fight to get into anything.

Sunday the 6th brings a bit more size – 6ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon, both from the E with a 10-second period. The energy jumps up (513 and 670), so there’s some grunt. Wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean. But it’s still nothing to write home about. Monday morning the 7th drops to 4ft with a solid NW offshore breeze at 16 mph, energy is moderate (235). Clean, but just ordinary.

The one real standout – and I mean the only one – is Thursday, September 10th. A big pulse of SSW swell hits, pushing 12ft in the morning (1314 combined energy) and 10ft in the afternoon (1462). That’s a lot of water. But the wind is onshore and strong from the SW at 22-28 mph, making it messy and lumpy. The afternoon might be a little better with a cross-shore breeze, but the swell is honestly too big for this break. This is strictly for experts only, and even they’ll be working hard. For anyone else, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

After that, things drop off a cliff. Friday the 11th has a 5ft SSW swell with clean cross-offshore wind, but it’s poor quality. From Saturday the 12th all the way to the end on September 20th, we’re looking at tiny waves – mostly under 3ft, with short periods and weak energy. There are a few cleaner moments with light offshore winds, like Sunday morning the 13th or Monday the 14th, but the swell is just too small.

So, the best bet? If you’re an expert and don’t mind a rough go, Thursday, September 10th has the most power. For everyone else, the gaps are long. There’s really nothing worth paddling out for from the 12th onward. That’s just the way she goes.

Rusty.

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