Lawrencetown Left Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: if you’re looking at the next couple of weeks around this stretch, you’re gonna have to be patient. There’s a long, flat, junky spell ahead, but I can see a couple of windows that’ll get the heart rate up if you’re willing to wait for them.

First up, the bad news. From now through the 23rd, it’s mostly dribble. Monday the 17th has a tiny 0.7ft swell with a weak 15 units of energy and a cross breeze, not worth your wax. The next few days just get messier, with onshore winds and choppy conditions. There is a pile of weak energy around the 19th (644) but it’s short-period and cross-on, so it’s all shape and no push. Honestly, we’re looking at a solid week of nothing worth paddling out for. You can sleep in.

There’s a brief tease on the morning of Friday the 21st—a small 2ft swell, but the wind is cross-off and clean, so it might be a knee-high slosh for someone desperate. The energy is weak (77), but it’s clean, which counts for something. Then we’re right back into poor surf and chop through the weekend and into the following week.

Now, hold on to your board, because things get interesting around Wednesday the 26th. That morning we get a jump in swell to 5ft from the south, with a cross-off breeze that’s gonna keep it clean. The energy is moderate at 252, so there’s some push behind it. This is the first real glimmer. The following morning, Thursday the 27th, is even better: 5ft from the south, northeast cross-off wind at 15 km/h, and clean conditions. This is your best bet for a proper session. The energy is strong at 443, and the period is 7 seconds, so it’s a bit of a windswell, but with that offshore wind, it’ll be hollow enough to have fun on.

Then we get the big one. On Friday the 28th, the swell jumps up to 4ft in the morning with a long 15-second period, and the energy is cranking at 957. That’s a solid groundswell. But hold on—by the afternoon, it’s a whole different story. The swell blows up to 10ft from the SSE, with that same long 15-second period, and the energy is a massive 3331. That’s strong-to-very-strong. But here’s the catch, and it’s a big one: it’s predicted to be too big for this break. We’re talking well over the 8ft mark, so unless you’re a proper expert, stay well clear. That kind of size and period at Lawrencetown Left Point is gonna be a beast, and even the experts will have their hands full. The wind is cross-on and chop will be an issue. This is more of a spectacle than a surf.

For this spot, which is a reef and point setup, that long period (15 seconds) is actually something to watch. It will likely break a bit straight, so the point might handle it better than a beach break, but the sheer size will be the limiting factor.

After that, Saturday the 29th drops back down to a more manageable 5ft in the morning, but the wind goes cross and it’s chop. The rest of the run into the 1st of September is just small, weak, and wind-affected.

So, the standout call is Thursday morning the 27th. That’s your pick of the week. Clean, 5ft from the south, cross-off wind, and strong energy. It’s a solid intermediate session, and the water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’ll be comfortable. The second prize, if you’re keen, is the Wednesday morning before it. Just keep in mind the big one on the 28th afternoon is one for the eyes, not the board.

This is a long stretch of nothing, but trust me, it’ll be worth the wait for those two mornings. Keep those fins sharp.

Rusty.

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