Lawrencetown Left Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the outlook for Lawrencetown Left Point.

First up, the water is sitting at 67° right now, which is a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s really unusual, so you’ll want to peel off the thickest rubber.

The long-range picture is a bit of a heartbreaker, to be honest. We’ve got a massive gap of no real surf to speak of until the morning of Thursday, September 5th. That’s the first day you’ll even want to paddle out. The pattern is we get a few windows of clean, offshore conditions, but the swell is inconsistent and the energy is often weak. The real standout here is the Saturday morning, September 5th.

Saturday morning, September 5th is the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got a 6ft swell from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds, which is a decent groundswell. The combined energy is moderate (420). The wind is a moderate offshore from the NW, which will groom the surface to be clean. The wave comment says "expect good surf conditions," which is the best we’re going to see. It’s a point and reef setup, so that longer period will wrap in nicely. Keep in mind this spot is inconsistent, so when it is on, you’ve got to be there. Also, crowds are possible here.

Saturday afternoon, September 5th is still rideable with a 5ft swell from the ESE, but the wind picks up to a fresh offshore, which will make it a bit more challenging. The energy drops to moderate (305).

Sunday, September 6th offers a 5ft swell from the east with a 10-second period and clean conditions, but the wind is cross-offshore and the notes say "poor surf conditions." The energy is moderate (464), but it's not cooperating.

Monday, September 7th morning sees a drop to 4ft from the east with a 9-second period and a moderate offshore. It’s marginal, but surfable. The energy is moderate (288).

After that, the swell fades hard. We get a tiny window of "surfable but very ordinary" waves on Tuesday the 8th with a 2ft, and then it’s a long dry spell of tiny, messy, or onshore junk until the 14th of September.

Monday, September 14th brings a pulse of 8ft to 10ft from the SW, but it’s a short-period windswell (7 to 8 seconds) with a strong onshore wind. The energy is very strong (1290 for the afternoon), but the conditions are poor. For a beach and reef setup with that much wind and short-period swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s a messy, lumpy mess.

Tuesday, September 15th morning cleans up with a fresh offshore and a 4ft SSW swell, but the energy is weak (184).

Overall, if you can get out on Saturday morning, September 5th, that’s your best bet. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a write-off or a kite session.

Rusty.

Read more