Lawrencetown Left Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks. We’ve only got the one spot to focus on, so we’ll ride or die with it.

The pattern is a bit of a slow burn. We’re looking at a few small windows of fun, but a lot of flat, windy, or just plain messy days in between. The first few days offer some clean, surfable waves, but nothing to write home about. Then there’s a big, ugly gap before a potentially wild and woolly event right in the middle of the second week.

Let’s start with Sunday the 6th of September. The morning sees some light rain and a moderate offshore breeze from the NNW at 16 mph. We’ve got a 5 ft easterly swell, with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy of 356 (moderate energy). The water is a very warm 66°, which is 6° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a standout in itself. The afternoon holds up nicely too, with the wind dropping a touch to 12 mph, still offshore, and a 4 ft easterly swell at 9 seconds (290 energy). This is your pick of the first few days: clean, consistent enough, and not too big.

Monday the 7th of September drops off. The swell fades to 3 ft in the morning with a 19 mph offshore breeze, but the energy is low (93). The afternoon is a little better with a 1 score but still ordinary. Tuesday the 8th is even smaller, with 2 ft and 1 ft waves, and Wednesday the 9th is practically flat with 0.7 ft – glassy conditions on Wednesday afternoon, but nothing to ride.

Then the wheels come off. Thursday the 10th of September looks ugly – strong cross-onshore winds up to 25 mph and a 6 ft SSW swell with a short, choppy 6-second period (259 energy). Not for the paddle board. The afternoon gets crazy: a 10 ft SW swell hits, with a combined energy of 1119 (very strong). The wind is a fresh cross-shore at 22 mph, and the note says it’s too big for this break. That kind of size and power at a reef and point? That’s for experts only, and even then, it’s likely a mess. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Friday the 11th of September is still sizey at 8 ft in the morning (1191 energy), but the wind is gentler and cross-shore. It’s still a marginal call. The swell drops to 6 ft in the afternoon with a cleaner cross-off wind.

From Saturday the 12th of September all the way through to Monday the 21st of September, we have a massive dry spell. The swell is consistently under 3 ft, often below 2 ft, with a mix of onshore, cross-onshore, and even glassy conditions. There are a few moments of clean surf with offshore winds on the 19th (3 ft), but it’s just too small to get excited about. That’s over a week of very marginal or poor conditions.

The very end of the forecast, on Monday the 21st of September afternoon, shows a 7 ft SSE swell rolling in with 476 energy (moderate), but the wind is onshore from the SSE at 9 mph and the call is poor. Again, likely a messy, blown-out option.

So, the standout is clear: Sunday the 6th of September at Lawrencetown Left Point. The morning and afternoon offer a clean 4-5 ft easterly swell with offshore wind and warm water. It’s the only time in the whole run where the stars align for a proper, enjoyable surf. After that, it’s a long, flat wait.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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