Lawrencetown Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a proper look, folks. Rusty here.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – this is one of those bleak 16-day windows we get around here. The opener on Friday the 11th gives us nothing worth paddling out for, and honestly, that sets the tone. We’re looking at a whole lot of flat or junky conditions for the first couple of weeks, with only a couple of very brief, very average windows where you might get a soggy ride or two.

First up, Friday September 11th and Saturday the 12th are write-offs. Tiny, sloppy, and weak. Sunday the 13th is even worse with onshore winds and no energy. That takes us into the middle of next week.

Now, Monday September 14th is the only thing that even comes close to a recommendation. Lawrencetown Reef will see a pulse of swell, but don’t get hyped. It’s small, coming in at 5 ft on the sets, and the period is a short 6 seconds from the SSE. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 63°, with the anomaly at +3°, so it’s notably mild. The wind is a clean offshore from the N, which will keep the surface tidy, but the combined wave energy is only moderate at 128. The surf is ordinary at best. Tuesday morning the 15th offshore winds again but it’s dropped right back to 3 ft. By Wednesday the 16th, it’s tiny and glassy, but not rideable. That’s the only stretch of half-decent wind conditions in the first week, and the swell is just too weak to get excited about.

After that, we hit a dead zone. From Wednesday the 16th right through to Friday the 25th of September, there are lengthy gaps with no surfable swell. We get a bit of a bump on Saturday September 19th with waves up to 6 ft from the SW, but the wind is a fresh onshore at 22 mph, so it will be lumpy garbage – more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddle-surfing one. The energy jumps up to 283, but with that wind, it’s a complete mess.

The only other faint pulse is on Friday September 25th. Again at Lawrencetown Reef, we get some clean morning offshores from the NNW with a 3 ft ENE swell. It’s a groundswell with a period of 8 seconds and the combined energy is moderate at 113. Honestly, it’s surfable but still very ordinary. It’s not until the very end of the run, on the 26th, that we’re back to tiny knee-high dribble.

So here’s the bottom line: there are no standouts in this window. The best bet is Monday September 14th morning, or Friday September 25th morning, but only for a very patient, low-expectation session. The rest of the time, the board stays in the car. It’s a long, flat stretch, and it’s pretty normal for this time of year to have a run like this. Forecasts can change, but for now, it’s a tough watch.

Rusty.

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