Lawrencetown Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks for Lawrencetown Reef.

Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days are a real mixed bag. We’ve got a few windows where it could be good, but there’s a lot of chop and wind to sift through. The water is sitting at 67°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, a proper 7° anomaly. That’s a warm blanket out there.

We kick off on Thursday the 3rd of September, but honestly, don’t even bother. Swell is a tiny 1ft from the SE with a 9-second period, and the wind is onshore. The combined energy is weak at 28. It’s poor.

Friday the 4th brings a bit of size, but it’s messy. We’re looking at 8ft of SE swell in the morning, jumping to 511 in combined energy, but the period is a short 7 seconds and the wind is a strong cross-onshore. It’s lumpy. The afternoon is similar at 8ft with 606 energy, but still choppy. This is more of a kite-surfing day than a clean paddle session.

The first real bright spot comes on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning sees a clean 4ft from the ESE with a cross-offshore wind from the NNW. The energy is a moderate 211. The waves will be small but clean. The afternoon has a bigger 5ft swell from the ESE with a 9-second period and a fresh offshore wind from the NNE. This is your best bet for the first week. The wind is howling at 22 mph, but it’s offshore, grooming the faces. It’s a solid, clean option.

Sunday the 6th is a bit of a tease. Morning has 6ft of E swell at 10 seconds, with a strong offshore wind from the N, giving us a combined energy of 701. That’s a lot of juice. But the condition is “marginal,” which might mean the tide is tricky. Still, for the crew that knows the reef, this could be a standout, powerful wave. The afternoon backs off to 5ft.

Monday the 7th is clean again. A 4ft E swell with a 9-second period and a moderate offshore wind from the NNW. The energy is 245. It’s a good, clean, surfable day, but not as powerful as Sunday.

After that, the swell drops right off. Tuesday the 8th through Thursday the 10th is tiny, with poor conditions. Thursday the 10th gets a spike of 10ft from the SSW in the afternoon, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore and the period is only 8 seconds – it’s a messy, stormy mess. That’s a no-go.

Now, hold on for Friday the 11th of September. This is the other standout. The morning has a 7ft SW swell with an 8-second period and a cross-shore wind. The combined energy is a massive 1051. The file tells me the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is too big for this break. For a reef, 7ft with that energy is for experts only. If you’re a seasoned local here, this could be a beast. The afternoon drops to 5ft and gets choppy.

After that, it’s a long stretch of small, poor surf from the 12th to the 18th. The 18th of September has a tiny 1.0ft swell from the SE with a 12-second period, but the energy is only 32. It’s not worth getting wet for.

So, to sum it up: Your best windows are Saturday the 5th of September for clean, fun waves, and Friday the 11th of September for a bigger, expert-level swell. The rest is a lot of waiting and watching the wind.

Rusty.

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