Lawrencetown Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it's Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Lawrencetown Reef has on the menu for the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you, it's a pretty quiet picture for the most part. We're looking at a long, drawn-out stretch of small, ordinary conditions before a bit of pulse shows up late in the game.

We're starting off with a bit of a wait. The first surfable waves don't show up until Tuesday morning, September 15th. Even then, it's not exactly setting the world on fire. We've got a weak 3ft swell from the south, with a short period of just 7 seconds, meaning the energy is very low at just 94. The wind from the north at 12 mph keeps things clean, so it's surfable, but very ordinary.

Tuesday afternoon goes glassy with a bit of a lull. Then from Wednesday the 16th right through until Saturday the 20th, we've got a real flat spell. Wave heights barely get above 2ft, and most of the time the wind is a mess. It's either cross-on or just out of the wrong quarter. You'd be wasting your time for the best part of a week. The only thing worth noting is a brief period of clean, cross-off conditions on Friday afternoon, the 18th, and Saturday the 19th, but still with nothing underneath you.

Now, things start to get interesting on Monday morning, September 21st. The combined swell energy jumps up to 366 (moderate wave energy) with a clean 5ft swell from the SSW. The wind is solid out of the NNW at 16 mph, which is a cross-off, so the wave faces should be clean. That's your first real likely standout of the outlook – a bit of punch and shape. Monday afternoon follows up with a cleaner 4ft on 185 energy. A solid session.

After that, we drop right back down into the doldrums. Tuesday the 22nd through to Friday the 25th is a return to tiny, anemic swell, with periods stretching out to as long as 13 seconds, but with no height to back it up. That long period just means long waits between tiny waves. Not worth the paddle.

Then we get another uptick. Saturday, September 26th morning sees a 3ft, 9-second south swell with moderate energy (135) and clean cross-off wind. That's okay. But the real highlight of this whole 16-day window looks to be Saturday afternoon. The swell picks up to 4ft from the south, period stretches to 10 seconds, and the energy jumps to 279 (strong wave energy). The wind is light from the east, creating just a small cross-chop, but it's manageable. That's a proper session in the making.

Sunday the 27th carries that energy through. Morning shows a solid 5ft swell from the SSE, with 361 energy (strong) and light cross-shore wind. That's another good window. It will probably break a bit straight for the beachies with that period, but for a reef setup like this, it could be lined up nicely. Afternoon takes a turn as the wind swings onshore from the southwest, making it choppy.

We finish up the last few days with a glimmer. Monday, September 28th is glassy in the morning with a clean 3ft SSE swell (136 energy), and the wind goes light offshore from the NNE in the afternoon. Clean, small, but there. After that, it's back to tiny, poor conditions right to the end of the run.

So, to be honest, this isn't a blockbuster forecast. The water temperature is about average for the time of year. The big takeaway is that we have a solid, clean window from Monday the 21st through to Sunday the 27th where the swell picks up. The standout is Saturday the 26th afternoon through to Sunday the 27th morning - that's your best bet for some proper, clean, medium-sized waves. Get on it. Outside of that, it's a long, quiet wait.

Rusty.

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