Lawrencetown Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

We're looking at a pretty bleak run of surf for a while. The pattern is dominated by small, weak swells that are just not cooperating with the wind. We've got a solid gap of poor conditions stretching from now until the tail end of the first week of September. For days on end, the swell is tiny and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, just ruining any chance of a decent wave. Combined swell energy is mostly in the 40s to 80s range, which is just weak. It's a real patience tester.

Now, there is a flicker of hope on the 25th of August, Tuesday morning. Lawrencetown Reef gets a glassy moment with a tiny 2.6ft swell from the SSW. The combined energy is only 69, so it's weak, but it's the only time we see the word "glassy" all week. It's surfable, but you'd be scratching for something rideable. Don't get your hopes up.

Then we hit a complete dead zone. From the 25th afternoon all the way through to the 4th of September, it's just one poor forecast after another. The swell is tiny, the wind is messy, and the energy readings are all in the weak zone. A few days have clean cross-offshore winds, but with only 2ft of swell, it's not enough to get excited about.

Finally, the light at the end of the tunnel comes on the 5th of September, Saturday morning. The swell picks up to a solid 6.6ft from the SE, with a combined energy of 311 (moderate), and the wind is a clean offshore breeze from the NW. The report says "expect good surf conditions." This is the standout. The swell direction is SE, which is a tick off the optimum SE, but it's still a good match. The waves will be clean and have some punch. However, Saturday afternoon is a different story. The swell jumps to 9.8ft from the SE, with a massive 957 energy. The winds are offshore, but the forecast warns the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. That's expert territory only, and even then, it might be a washing machine.

On the 6th of September, Sunday morning, it settles down to a much more manageable 4.6ft from the SE, with a clean offshore wind from the North. The energy is still healthy at 452. This is another solid option, but it falls after the big Saturday, so it's a good follow-up session.

So, the best on offer is definitely the 5th of September, Saturday morning. That's over a week away, so there's plenty of time for the forecast to shift, but as it stands, that's the one to circle on your calendar. The Sunday morning after is a solid backup. For the rest of it, it's a long wait for the ocean to wake up.

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