Lawrencetown Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here with the outlook for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow burn, with a lot of flat spells before we finally get a little juice.

First thing to note: the water is sitting at 66°F, which is a solid 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a real treat—feels like a warm bath out there.

The first real window of opportunity doesn’t show up until late in the game. We’ve got a long stretch from Wednesday morning, August 26th, all the way through to Thursday, September 3rd, where conditions are mostly poor or just ordinary. There are a few small windows of clean, glassy conditions—like Thursday morning, August 27th, with a glassy 4ft swell from the SE, but the energy is weak (176) and the period is short at 8 seconds. It’s surfable, but barely worth paddling out for. The rest of that stretch is a mix of choppy wind, onshore gunk, and tiny waves barely breaking. By Saturday, August 29th, the swell drops to 2ft. It’s a real flat spell.

Then, on Friday, September 4th, things finally turn. The morning kicks off with a solid 6ft swell from the ESE, with a period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of 518 (moderate energy). The wind is offshore from the N at 9 mph, keeping things clean. This is the standout of the whole outlook. Lawrencetown Reef is the spot to be. The swell direction is a good match for the SE optimum, and the wind stays offshore through the afternoon, with the swell holding at 6ft and energy at 541. It’s a bit punchy for the beginners—over 5ft calls for some experience—but for anyone with a few sessions under their belt, this is the best on offer. The reef setup should handle the longer-period swell well, and the offshore wind will make for clean, lined-up waves. Crowds are possible here, so get out early if you can.

Saturday, September 5th, still has some life in it. The morning shows 5ft from the ESE with offshore NNW wind at 9 mph. The energy is down to 257, but it’s still clean and rideable. By the afternoon, the swell drops to 4ft and the energy fades to 198. It’s ordinary, but still a fun follow-up session.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Sunday, September 6th, through to Wednesday, September 10th, is a write-off. The swell drops, the wind shifts onshore or cross-shore, and by the end we’re looking at a near gale and blown-out conditions.

So, bottom line: save your energy for the first week of September. Friday, September 4th, is the day. Lawrencetown Reef, 6ft ESE swell, offshore wind, and clean conditions. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on the forecast, but right now, that’s your best bet.

Rusty.

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