Lawrencetown Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cooking at Lawrencetown Reef.

First up, the water is sitting at 54°, which is a solid 6° colder than usual for this time of year. That’s more than just a little nippy – that’s a full-on wetsuit mission, so don’t even think about a shorty.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but it’s not a total write-off. The first real glimmer is on Saturday the 25th morning. It’s tiny, with a 3ft swell from the SSE, but the wind is glassy and the air is clear. The wave energy is pretty weak at 88, so it’s more of a longboard or foamy session to get wet. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Sunday morning the 26th cleans up a bit with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still small at 3ft. The energy is still low. It’s a keep-an-eye-on-it kind of day.

The real standout, the one you want to circle, is Tuesday morning the 28th. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the SSE, the period stretches to 8 seconds, and the wind is a clean cross-off. The combined energy jumps to 243, which is moderate. The report says to expect good surf conditions, and for this spot, that’s when it gets fun. This is the best on offer in the first week.

Wednesday the 29th morning is clean again, but the swell drops back to 3ft with less energy. It’s still surfable, just not as punchy.

Thursday morning the 30th is another one to watch. The swell hits 5ft from the S with a 10-second period, and the energy is strong at 448. That’s a solid, powerful groundswell. The wind is cross-off and clean. This is a proper session for anyone who knows what they’re doing. It’s the best of the whole outlook.

Friday the 31st morning holds onto that energy with a 4ft S swell, clean cross-off wind, and the afternoon even goes offshore with a light breeze. Two solid sessions in a row.

After that, things get a bit messy. The first week of August sees the wind turn onshore and the swell quality drops off. There’s a window on Thursday afternoon the 6th of August that looks clean again, with a 4ft S swell and cross-off wind, but it’s a week and a half away, so less certain. The energy is moderate at 211.

Overall, the pick of the litter is Thursday the 30th of July, with Friday the 31st a close second. Tuesday the 28th is the early-week winner. The rest of the run is either too small, too windy, or too far out to call with confidence.

Keep your rubber on, the water’s cold.

Rusty.

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