Lawrencetown Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let's take a look at the next couple of weeks here at Lawrencetown Reef. This is a bit of a tricky one, and we're going to have to be patient. The first few days are a write-off, but there's a really interesting window that pops up later on.

Right now, through Friday and into Saturday morning, it's a total mess. We've got a strong onshore wind with a 7ft SE swell and a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is weak at 342, and it's just lumpy, choppy, and poor. Don't even bother.

Then things shift. The wind swings offshore from the NNW on Saturday, cleaning things up. We've got a moderate 5ft swell from the east, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to a moderate 443. This is where it gets interesting. The water temp is sitting at 67°, which is a massive 7° warmer than usual for this time of year. Very unusual, but it means you might not need a thick wetsuit.

Sunday afternoon is the real standout. The wind goes offshore from the NNE, and the swell builds to 7ft from the east with a 10-second period. The combined energy is a strong 885. That's a lot of juice. However, the guidance says it might be too big for this break. For the average surfer, this is going to be a handful. The 7ft plus that energy means it's pushing into expert territory at this reef. It’s going to be a powerful, clean wave, but only for those who really know what they’re doing. The offshore wind is a major plus, making for some clean faces.

After that, the swell drops off quickly. Monday through to the middle of the following week we're looking at tiny, weak swell. The combined energy dips into the double digits, and the waves are just ordinary. There's a long gap of small, poor surf from Monday the 9th all the way through to the 15th.

We get a little pulse late on the 16th, with a 4ft S swell and some glassy conditions in the afternoon. Combined energy is still weak at 119, so it's just a small, clean wave. Nothing to get too excited about.

Then, the best bet for the whole forecast is on Saturday the 19th. The afternoon session looks prime. A clean 6ft swell from the SW with a 6-second period, wind is offshore from the north at 12 mph, and the combined energy is a moderate 256. This is the one to circle on the calendar. That's a fun, clean size for this reef, and the offshore wind will keep it glassy. Lawrencetown Reef can get crowded though, so expect some company.

So, to sum it up: the first two days are a bust. Sunday the 6th is for experts only. Then we have a long flat spell. The best all-rounder looks to be Saturday the 19th. It's a long way out, so the forecast could change, but if it holds, that's the day to be in the water.

Rusty.

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