Lawrencetown Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you: if you’re hoping for a solid run of surf, the forecast is looking bleak for a good long stretch. We’ve got a massive gap of nothing but poor conditions before anything even remotely interesting pops up. Let’s get into it.

The first real chance for a wave show up on Wednesday morning, August 19th, at Lawrencetown Reef. Now, this is a reef break, fairly consistent, and it’s exposed to the swell. That morning we’ll see a 5 ft swell rolling in from the SSW with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is gonna be glassy—completely off the water from the west at just 3 mph. That’s about as clean as it gets. The water is sitting at 64°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (482), which suggests there’ll be some push to the waves. This is the one true standout, but know that it’s a beginner-friendly reef, so it won’t be too hairy. Crowds are sometimes an issue, so expect a few others out.

The good news? That’s about it. From Wednesday afternoon right through until the morning of September 2nd, it’s slim pickings. Days and days of rain, light rain, clouds, and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds muck up any hope for quality. Most of the swell is small and weak with energy readings barely scraping triple digits. There’s a lot of “poor surf conditions” and “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” in there. Honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for the most part.

Now, for those of you with patience, there is a glimmer on the horizon. On Wednesday morning, September 2nd—that’s about two weeks out, so keep that in mind—we get another interesting window. A clean, offshore wind from the north at just 3 mph, and a 3 ft groundswell from the SE with a very long period of 14 seconds. The combined energy reads 274 (moderate). That long period will mean better shaped waves and more energy, but at a beach and reef setup like Lawrencetown, it can break a bit straight. Still, with glassy conditions, it’s worth a look if the forecast holds. The afternoon on that same day gets blown out though, with onshore wind kicking in.

So, here’s the bottom line: if you’re desperate for a wave, the Wednesday the 19th morning window is your best bet hands down. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a write-off. Hang in there, or grab the kite gear—this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on many of those days. Keep an eye on that promising but less certain morning on September 2nd.

Rusty.

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