Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 26 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
15.6°C
0.8° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, SSW swell with 510 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Thu 27th Aug)1.5ft (0.5m) 15s
Best Surf 2AM (Sun 30th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 18s
Most Powerful11AM (Sun 30th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, it's Rusty here.

Well, looking at the next couple of weeks, it's not going to be a non-stop party, but there are definitely some windows where Cox Bay is going to turn it on. The start of the period is pretty quiet and small, so we'll have to be patient.

It's a bit of a slow burn to begin with. From Thursday the 27th through to the end of the month, we're looking at tiny, weak surf. The energy is there in the water but it's just not organized enough to give you much to work with. There's some swell around but the periods are short and the winds are a bit all over the shop, making it pretty average. You'd be fighting for scraps out there. That run of small days continues into the first couple of days of September, with a bit of a bump on the Wednesday the 2nd, but the wind is straight onshore and messy, so it's not worth getting too excited about.

The first real standout I can see is Thursday morning, the 3rd of September. The wind goes glassy with some light WNW airs, and that's when the swell starts to pick up. We're looking at a 5ft swell from the WNW with moderate energy (754). That's a far cry from the weak stuff we've had. It's clean, it's got some push, and it's going to be a lot of fun. This is the one to circle on the calendar that week. The afternoon sees it bump up to 6ft, but the wind swings onshore and it gets a bit lumpy, so make the most of the morning session.

Following that, the wave heights drop back a bit, but there's a beautiful run of clean, glassy conditions from Saturday the 5th onwards. The standout there is Saturday afternoon, with a glassy 3ft SSW swell and plenty of energy (573). The winds are dead light, the surface is going to be like a mirror, and the swell is holding a nice long period. It’ll be a bit smaller but super clean. The quality just keeps on coming through the next week. There are several days with very good conditions, most notably Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th of September. On Tuesday you've got glassy conditions with a 2-3ft W swell, and on Wednesday the wind is completely calm with similar sized waves. These are going to be super fun, long-period swells that will groom perfectly. The vibe will be good, just be mindful that long period stuff can close out a bit at the beach, but it should find some nice lines.

So, the pick of the lot for me is the Thursday morning session on September 3rd – best combination of size and clean conditions. The other real highlight is that run of glassy days from the 8th through the 10th. It's smaller, but the quality of the surf is going to be as good as it gets.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed night, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat night, min 12°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
3
3
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SSW
19
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SSW
17
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
17
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.9
W
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
124
124
112
104
139
103
211
255
211
273
510
326
402
306
272
272
183
168
127
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
25
SE
15
SE
5
SE
5
S
15
W
5
E
5
S
10
WNW
5
WSW
10
SSE
15
ESE
15
ESE
20
ESE
20
ESE
5
SSE
15
SSE
15
SE
20
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
on
glassy
cross
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
00:30AM3.23m
1:27PM3.03m
1:08AM3.26m
1:55PM3.14m
1:48AM3.25m
2:23PM3.25m
2:28AM3.20m
2:52PM3.34m
3:10AM3.10m
3:23PM3.40m
3:55AM2.96m
3:57PM3.43m
4:46AM2.79m
Low Tide
7:08AM0.48m
7:09PM1.18m
7:37AM0.47m
7:47PM0.99m
8:05AM0.52m
8:25PM0.83m
8:34AM0.63m
9:05PM0.70m
9:04AM0.81m
9:48PM0.64m
9:37AM1.03m
10:35PM0.64m
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:33
6:35
6:35
6:37
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:17
8:15
8:14
8:12
8:09
8:07
8:06
 mm
3
5
3
1
4
1
1
8
5
3
2
5
7
Temp °C
16
15
15
15
15
15
14
13
13
14
13
12
13
13
14
14
14
13
13
Feels °C
14
12
13
15
15
14
13
12
12
14
12
10
11
10
11
12
13
12
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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