Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Grab a coffee, let’s look at what’s heading our way for Cox Bay over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are a bit of a write-off for a proper paddle. We’ve got a bit of swell on the table, but the wind and conditions are just not cooperating. The water’s sitting at 60°, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least it’s not a shock when you get in.

We’re looking at a bit of a frustrating start. Monday the 3rd through Tuesday the 4th offers waves around 3 ft to 5 ft from the W and WNW, but the periods are short, around 7 to 8 seconds. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which is just making everything a bit of a messy, choppy closeout. The wave energy is moderate, hitting around 220 on Monday, but it’s not a clean, rideable energy. We’re stuck in the marginal zone.

Things don’t really improve through Wednesday the 5th. Still that short-period WNW swell, and the wind keeps swinging around onshore. It’s frustrating – you can see the energy in the water, but it’s just not shaping up.

Now, here’s a little glimmer of hope. Thursday the 6th is the best bet in this first week. The swell drops a touch to 4 ft from the WNW, but the wind finally plays ball. The morning sees a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE, cleaning things up nicely. But the real standout is the Thursday afternoon session. The wind goes *glass* – a flat calm from the WNW. The waves will be 4 ft with a 7-second period, and the energy is moderate (257). It’s not a big day, but it will be clean, fun, and uncrowded-looking. That’s the one to circle.

The weekend rolls in, and we lose it again. Friday the 7th through Sunday the 9th brings a mix of short-period junk and rising onshore winds, with the swell bumping up to 6 ft on Saturday afternoon. That’s too big for the messy conditions, and the 12 mph onshore wind on Sunday afternoon will be a total mess. Not worth the paddle.

Then we hit a real lull. From Monday the 10th through Thursday the 13th, the swell drops right off – we’re talking 1 ft to 2 ft. The energy is still moderate in the 200-300 range, but it’s long-period groundswell from the SSW. That kind of 15-18 second period is usually better at a point break or reef, not a beach-and-point setup like Cox Bay. It’ll just be straight and weak. The wind is mostly onshore, so it’s a no-go for a proper surf. This is a blank few days.

Okay, here’s the second standout. Friday the 14th morning – that’s a sneaky good one. The swell picks up to 4 ft from the W, with a 7-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE again, and the wave energy is solid at 332. The report says “expect good surf conditions,” and with a clean, light offshore breeze, that’s a legit window. After that, the afternoon goes back to onshore junk, so hit the early session.

The second week is a mixed bag of small, long-period swells and some tricky wind. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th have those 18-19 second SSW groundswells, but they’re tiny – 1 ft to 2 ft – and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore. The energy is strong (530 on Sunday morning), but it’s not going to make a quality wave at this beach.

The very last day of the forecast, Tuesday the 18th, offers a brief moment of hope. The morning session is glassy with a 2 ft SSW groundswell. It’s small, but it’ll be clean. That’s your “chill longboard” session if you’re desperate for a glide.

Overall, the pick of the 16 days is Thursday the 6th afternoon for the glassy clean conditions, and Friday the 14th morning for the best combination of size and clean offshore wind. The rest of the time, we’re fighting onshore winds or waiting for the swell to show up properly.

Rusty out.

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