Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 22 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.3° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 24s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 846 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Wed 22nd Jul)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 24th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 24s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 28th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what Cox Bay has in store for us. It’s a beach and point setup, exposed to the west, and it’s a fairly consistent spot. The water is sitting at 57°, which is right about average for this time of year, nothing to worry about there.

Right now, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start. The first real highlight is on the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August. That’s over a week away, so keep that in mind, but it’s the cleanest option on the table. We’ve got a glassy 2ft swell rolling in from the WSW with a period of 15 seconds. That’s a long period groundswell, so the energy is there – you’ll feel it (combined energy of 271). For a break like this, that longer period can mean the waves set up a bit more lined up and the paddle outs are easier between sets. It’s small, but it’ll be clean. The wind will be light and offshore on the morning of Wednesday the 5th, making it your best bet for a peaceful session.

Before that, the first week is a mixed bag. Starting Wednesday the 22nd of July morning, we’ve got a 4ft swell from the WNW with a period of 8 seconds and glassy conditions – that’s a decent start (combined energy of 400). The water is still at 57°, normal for the season. After that, from Thursday the 23rd through the 29th, we see a lot of moderate energy coming in from the SW, with periods creeping up to the high teens and even 20+ seconds. The combined energy gets strong, hitting 840 on Sunday the 26th afternoon. The wind is mostly cross-off or light offshore through the mornings, especially on Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, which keeps things clean. But the swell heights hover around 3ft to 4ft – nothing huge, just fun, clean waves.

Then things go a bit flat and messy from the 31st of July through the end of the first week of August. The wind turns onshore consistently, and the swell gets short and weak. There’s a big jump to 5ft on the 2nd of August, but it’s short period (6 seconds) and onshore wind – that’s a no-go for a clean surf. It looks more like a kite day with that combination of bump and chop.

So, the standout is that Wednesday the 5th of August morning. It’s the cleanest window, with glassy conditions and a long period swell. The rest of the first week gives you plenty of clean, small-to-medium waves, but nothing to write home about. Second week is a write-off.

Bottom line: If you can wait, aim for the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August for a glassy, small groundswell session. Otherwise, the week starting the 22nd of July has solid, clean conditions for a log or a fun board, especially the mornings.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 49mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
1
2
2
1
1
3
2
2
3
2
3
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
9
1.1
WNW
9
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
14
0.8
SW
24
0.6
SSW
24
0.8
SW
22
0.9
SW
21
0.8
SW
21
1
SW
20
0.9
SSW
19
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
18
1
SW
19
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SSW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
207
227
208
180
158
188
188
140
666
368
553
664
508
746
657
475
614
621
715
322
493
Wind (km/h)
5
SW
5
NW
15
SE
20
SSE
10
SSE
0
ESE
5
SSW
10
WSW
5
E
20
SE
20
ESE
15
SE
20
SE
10
ESE
5
SW
5
SSE
10
SW
5
ESE
20
ESE
15
E
10
E
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
off
off
off
High Tide
8:06AM2.35m
7:49PM3.02m
9:36AM2.34m
8:47PM3.00m
10:51AM2.43m
9:43PM3.03m
11:45AM2.54m
10:36PM3.08m
12:28PM2.64m
11:22PM3.15m
1:03PM2.74m
00:05AM3.22m
1:35PM2.83m
00:45AM3.27m
Low Tide
1:15PM1.61m
3:01AM1.02m
2:27PM1.79m
4:06AM0.93m
3:42PM1.86m
5:03AM0.82m
4:42PM1.85m
5:51AM0.69m
5:30PM1.79m
6:32AM0.57m
6:12PM1.70m
7:07AM0.47m
6:50PM1.59m
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:41
5:43
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:48
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:15
9:15
9:14
9:12
9:10
9:09
9:07
 mm
8
14
20
7
1
2
Temp °C
21
19
20
16
16
15
16
16
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
15
14
14
15
17
Feels °C
22
18
20
14
14
16
16
16
15
14
12
12
12
12
14
14
14
14
12
13
16
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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