Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.8° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 1,006 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 16th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 8s
Best Surf11PM (Sat 18th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s
Most Powerful11PM (Sat 18th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here, and I've gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Cox Bay is a real mixed bag. We're looking at a long stretch of small, inconsistent surf, and it's not until the very end of the window that things get interesting. The water's sitting around 56°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing wild there.

The week starts off slow. Wednesday morning we've got a weak 3ft WNW swell rolling in, but it's short period and the wind is messy. Thursday and Friday stay small, with waves around 2ft to 2ft. The wind is better on those days though, with a clean cross-offshore breeze on Thursday morning and Friday morning, so it'll be glassy but tiny. Honestly, not much to get excited about.

Then Friday afternoon is where we see a little pulse. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the WNW, the wind goes glassy, and the energy jumps to 515 (moderate). It's a nice little window for a sunset session if you're keen on a longboard or a foamie. Saturday the swell builds to 5ft, but the wind turns onshore, making it a bit of a washout.

Sunday through to Tuesday morning the swell stays around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, so it's not great. There's a brief moment late Tuesday afternoon with glassy conditions and 4ft of swell, but it's a short-lived window.

Now, the real standout is the morning of Friday, July 24th. That's the one. The swell is solid at 7ft from the WNW, and the wind is a clean cross-offshore breeze. The energy is a massive 1328 (strong). This is proper surf for experienced crew only – anything over 8ft is expert territory, and this is close. The wave comment says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" and it's the highest-rated session in the whole forecast. If you're a solid surfer, that's your morning.

The Saturday morning after that, July 25th, is also looking good with 7ft swell and clean cross-offshore wind, but it's not quite as strong as the Friday.

After that, the swell drops back down and the wind turns onshore again, so the window closes pretty quickly. The last week of the forecast is mostly small, weak swell from the SW with cross or onshore wind, so not much to recommend.

Overall, the best bet is the morning of Friday, July 24th at Cox Bay. It's a standout, but it's only for the experienced. The rest of the 16-day window is mostly small and marginal, so pick your moments carefully.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon night, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
3
2
2
0
3
2
2
3
2
0
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
9
0.4
SW
18
1
W
8
0.5
W
18
0.5
W
17
0.6
W
17
0.6
W
16
1.1
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
10
1.4
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
7
2
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
132
120
140
152
138
204
178
255
408
208
232
509
350
574
455
256
235
181
203
207
158
Wind (km/h)
10
S
10
WNW
5
NNW
10
S
20
SSE
10
SE
10
SE
5
WNW
5
NW
10
W
15
W
5
SE
10
SW
15
WNW
0
NW
5
S
10
WNW
0
SSE
15
SSE
5
SW
5
SE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
2:43PM3.18m
2:13AM3.64m
3:25PM3.24m
3:05AM3.46m
4:06PM3.27m
3:56AM3.23m
4:46PM3.27m
4:47AM2.96m
5:26PM3.23m
5:42AM2.70m
6:09PM3.16m
6:46AM2.48m
6:55PM3.08m
Low Tide
8:15AM-0.16m
8:12PM1.22m
8:58AM-0.08m
9:05PM1.11m
9:39AM0.10m
9:58PM1.04m
10:18AM0.36m
10:52PM1.02m
10:57AM0.68m
11:49PM1.03m
11:37AM1.02m
00:50AM1.05m
12:21PM1.35m
1:55AM1.05m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:33
5:35
5:35
5:37
5:39
5:39
5:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:22
9:22
9:21
9:20
9:19
9:17
9:16
 mm
10
Temp °C
15
16
16
15
14
14
14
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
16
16
16
17
15
15
15
Feels °C
15
15
14
13
11
13
13
15
13
14
12
13
14
13
17
16
16
16
14
14
15
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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