Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Issued: 4 pm 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.1° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 20s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SSW swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sun 5th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf 5AM (Wed 8th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 20s
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 8th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Cox Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, this is going to be a quiet period. We've got a solid run of days where the surf is either tiny, windy, or both. Honestly, the first week looks pretty average, with only a couple of windows worth getting excited about. After that, there's a promising pulse of swell right at the very end of the outlook, but we've got to sit through some flat spells to get there.

We're looking at a gap of several days with no real recommendations from now until the end of the first week. The best early bet is Friday, 10 July. The morning session is the one to target. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell from the SSW with a lovely light cross-off breeze. The combined swell energy is moderate at 653, and that offshore wind will have the waves looking smooth. It's not a huge day, but for this stretch, it's a little standout for a longboard or a funboard.

After that, we slip back into a lull. Most of the following week is filled with poor conditions or onshore breezes, so don't get your hopes up for mid-week paddles.

Now, the big news is what's brewing for the very end of the period. On Saturday, 18 July, the swell jumps up to 8ft from the WNW, with combined energy at a solid 1555. The period is a short 8 seconds, so it will be a bit fat and powerful. This size is in the 'experts only' territory. The wind looks cross-shore in the morning, which is workable. Then Sunday, 19 July sees the swell peak at 10ft with combined energy hitting a massive 2710. That is a powerful, chunky swell. Again, the period is short at 9 seconds, so expect a lot of raw power. The morning has a light offshore, but the afternoon gets messy with a cross-onshore. This is promising, and if the winds play ball, it could be a proper end-of-outlook stand out for experienced surfers only.

So, the call is: wait out the quiet first week, get a few small clean waves on the 10th, and then keep an eye on that potential for some proper size right at the end. Forecasts can change, but that's the story right now.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
0
0
2
1
1
2
3
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
16
1.7
WNW
8
1.2
W
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
217
373
190
197
140
316
152
305
264
388
388
323
547
399
464
447
334
464
393
287
294
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
10
NNW
5
WSW
15
WNW
10
NW
10
WNW
20
WNW
10
NW
10
W
10
WNW
5
SW
15
WNW
20
W
10
NW
10
W
10
W
0
NNE
5
SSE
5
WNW
15
WNW
15
W
Wind State
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-off
on
cross-on
on
High Tide
4:47PM2.94m
4:19AM2.90m
5:23PM2.98m
5:11AM2.73m
6:02PM3.03m
6:11AM2.57m
6:46PM3.11m
7:25AM2.45m
7:37PM3.20m
8:49AM2.43m
8:32PM3.31m
10:10AM2.51m
9:30PM3.43m
11:23AM2.66m
Low Tide
10:35PM1.40m
10:46AM0.71m
11:28PM1.31m
11:24AM0.89m
00:28AM1.20m
12:06PM1.11m
1:31AM1.05m
12:57PM1.33m
2:36AM0.86m
1:58PM1.54m
3:41AM0.64m
3:08PM1.67m
4:45AM0.41m
cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
light rain
mod rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:24
5:26
5:26
5:28
5:28
5:28
5:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:30
9:30
9:29
9:29
9:28
9:28
9:27
9:25
 mm
1
9
Temp °C
12
12
13
14
13
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
13
13
13
13
Feels °C
11
8
13
11
9
13
10
10
13
12
13
12
9
9
10
9
10
12
13
12
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
W
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.2
W
8
0.6
W
12
1
W
8
0.8
WNW
9
0.5
SW
18
0.6
W
9
1
W
9
1
W
9
1
W
8
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SSW
18
1
W
9
1
W
8
0.9
SSW
16
1
W
8
1.1
W
9
1.1
W
9
1.2
W
9
1.2
W
10
Energy kJ
86
226
190
101
127
108
152
61
154
151
143
323
547
146
136
447
114
189
198
251
267
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.6
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
W
8
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
Energy kJ
217
166
95
136
138
316
43
305
264
388
388
53
142
399
464
105
334
464
393
287
294
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
12
0.4
W
13
0.5
W
12
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SSW
19
0.4
SW
24
0.2
SSW
23
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.2
S
12
0.1
S
9
0.6
SSW
15
0.2
S
11
0.4
SSW
19
0.4
SW
13
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
W
18
Energy kJ
70
55
73
96
140
141
54
150
116
261
206
11
2
142
9
123
45
2
2
6
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
6
1.1
WNW
6
1.4
WNW
5
0.9
WNW
5
1.1
W
8
1
W
8
Energy kJ
373
197
115
95
106
41
169
143
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
1
1
2
1
2
3
2
3
1
1
2
1
3
3
2
3
1
1
1
Distance (km)
687
1
119
687
93
151
1386
93
93
93
123
123
1386
135
1285
93
0
0
687
171
687
Best forecast wave conditions in Vancouver Island
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
1
1
2
1
3
2
3
2
2
3
3
3
1
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Canada
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
1
1
2
1
3
2
3
2
2
3
1
3
3
3
1
2
1
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
5
5
8
7
6
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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