Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag, with a gap of almost nothing worthwhile early on, then a couple of days that finally show some life.

The first few days are pretty grim. From Monday the 6th right through to Wednesday the 8th, we’ve got small, sloppy swell and onshore winds making a mess of things. You’ll find tiny 2 ft to 3 ft waves, mostly from the SW, but with onshore or cross-onshore winds, the surface is chopped up. The combined energy is weak to moderate (643 down to 347), and the wave comment calls it marginal or poor. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday the 9th is where it starts to get interesting. That morning, Cox Bay shows a glimmer of hope. Swell bumps to 3 ft from the SSW with a 16-second period, giving it some proper groundswell push. The wind goes glassy – dead calm – which is a massive plus. Combined energy is moderate (691). This is the best of the first week: clean, long-period lines that’ll hold up on the point. Crowds are only sometimes an issue, so you might get a few waves to yourself. Water temp is about average for the time of year.

Friday the 10th morning also looks sweet. Still 3 ft SSW swell, but with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE, so the waves will be clean and peeling nicely (608 combined energy). Friday afternoon turns onshore again, so make the most of the morning.

Saturday the 11th sees a shift. Swell direction goes west, height up to 4 ft, but period drops to 10 seconds – that’s shorter-period windswell. It’s still rideable, but not as refined. Light cross-shore winds keep it from being a total write-off (633 combined energy). Not a standout, but a decent option.

After that, from Sunday the 12th right through to Tuesday the 21st, it’s a long, dry stretch. We’re talking over a week of poor surf, with mostly onshore wind, small weak swell, and combined energy often under 400. A few days show 4 ft west swell on the 14th, but with cross-onshore wind, it’s messy. The 19th even shows 7 ft from the WNW, but with a 7-second period and 12 mph onshore wind – that’s a washing machine, not surf. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The one final bright spot is Tuesday the 21st morning. The swell is only 4 ft from the WNW with a short 7-second period, but the wind goes glassy again. Combined energy is still weak (351), but any day with glassy conditions and a little bump is better than a day at work. It’s not a classic, but if you’re desperate, it’ll be clean.

So, overall: Thursday the 9th morning is the true standout, with Friday the 10th morning a close second. That’s your best bet. After that, you’re waiting until the 21st for another clean shot.

Rusty.

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