Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 26 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
15.3° C
0.8° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 20s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 846 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 20s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sun 26th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 20s
Best Surf11PM (Sun 26th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 20s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 28th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Cox Bay.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a real gem hiding in the second week that’s got my attention. The first week is mostly about smaller, cleaner windows, but the real standout is a session much later that looks absolutely *magic*.

The first real chance to get wet comes on Sunday, July 26th in the afternoon. We’ve got a 3ft groundswell from the SW with a very long period of 20 seconds. The water temp is sitting at 60°, which is about average for this time of year. The wind is a light breeze from the ESE, blowing offshore, keeping things clean. That long period will mean good shape and energy, but also longer lulls between sets. The combined swell energy is moderate (850). It’s not huge, but it’s a solid, clean start.

Monday, July 27th and Tuesday, July 28th see the swell drop a little, with a mix of cross-off and cross-on winds. The surf is small and the conditions are marginal, so don't expect much. We then slide into a few days of mostly onshore wind and small, weak swell until Friday, July 31st morning. That morning is a beauty – glassy conditions with a tiny 2ft swell from the SW. It’ll be clean as a whistle, but you’ll be hunting for the little ones.

After that, we hit a rough patch. From Saturday, August 1st right through to Wednesday, August 6th morning, the surf is either small, choppy, or plagued by onshore winds. It’s a bit of a blank run, to be honest. The swell drops off and the period gets short, making for weak, messy waves.

But then, things start to get interesting. Thursday, August 6th morning brings a turnaround. We’ve got glassy conditions again with a 5ft swell from the west. It’s clean, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it won’t have the same punch as the longer period stuff. The energy is moderate (384).

Now, here is the standout. Monday, August 10th afternoon. This is the one. The wind goes dead calm, flat glassy, and we’ve got a solid 8ft swell from the WNW. That’s expert territory for size, but the combined swell energy is strong (1060). With no wind, the waves will be perfect. This is a serious session for experienced surfers only. The short 8-second period means it’ll be a bit more of a wall than a peak, but with that size and glassy conditions, Cox Bay is going to be firing.

The day before that, Sunday, August 9th morning, is also a good call with clean, cross-off winds and a 7ft swell from the WNW. It’s a solid option, but the Monday afternoon is the absolute peak.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a slow grind with a few clean but small windows. The highlight is definitely Monday, August 10th afternoon – that’s the one you want to circle on the calendar. Get ready for a big, clean, glassy session. Just remember, that swell is hefty, so leave the foamies at home.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon night, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
2
3
2
3
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SW
20
0.9
SSW
19
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
1.1
SW
18
1.1
SW
19
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SSW
17
1.1
SW
17
0.9
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
746
657
475
522
727
837
326
498
695
528
458
545
452
430
232
353
268
160
183
166
Wind (km/h)
10
ESE
15
ESE
20
SE
20
ESE
20
ESE
5
SSW
10
SSW
5
N
10
W
10
WNW
5
NNW
5
SW
5
W
5
ENE
5
S
5
WSW
5
WSW
10
W
10
W
15
NW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
on
cross
cross-on
on
glassy
glassy
on
glassy
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
11:22PM3.15m
1:03PM2.74m
00:05AM3.22m
1:35PM2.83m
00:45AM3.27m
2:05PM2.90m
1:23AM3.28m
2:35PM2.98m
2:01AM3.26m
3:04PM3.04m
2:40AM3.19m
3:34PM3.10m
3:22AM3.08m
Low Tide
5:30PM1.79m
6:32AM0.57m
6:12PM1.70m
7:07AM0.47m
6:50PM1.59m
7:40AM0.40m
7:28PM1.47m
8:10AM0.38m
8:06PM1.35m
8:39AM0.40m
8:46PM1.23m
9:08AM0.48m
9:27PM1.12m
light rain
light rain
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:10
9:09
9:07
9:07
9:06
9:04
9:02
 mm
4
3
2
14
5
2
Temp °C
14
14
15
15
16
15
15
14
13
14
14
13
14
14
16
16
16
14
15
14
Feels °C
13
13
12
13
13
15
14
14
13
12
12
13
13
13
15
15
16
13
13
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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