Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.0° C
1.2° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, WNW swell with 744 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Sat 11th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 15s
Best Surf 5PM (Sat 11th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 15s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sat 18th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


Gather 'round, folks. Rusty here. Let's take a proper look at what's shaping up for Cox Bay over the next couple of weeks. We've got a bit of a mixed bag, so let's get into it.

Right off the bat, the water is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 55°F. That's a degree or two chillier than what we're used to, so you might want to factor that into your wetsuit choice.

The weekend starts off with a glimmer of hope. On Saturday morning, July 11th, we've got a smooth 3ft swell rolling in from the SSW with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 574. It's a bit cloudy, with a light cross-shore breeze, so it's not the cleanest, but it's ridable. The real standout is Saturday afternoon. The wind goes glassy, flat calm, and the swell holds at 3ft from the SSW. That's a recipe for some seriously clean, fun waves. The score is low, but the conditions are great for a beginner-friendly spot like Cox Bay. Don't expect barrels, but do expect a long, smooth ride.

Sunday, July 12th, is a write-off. The morning has a stiff cross-offshore wind that'll chop things up, and by the afternoon the wind is straight onshore, killing any chance of a decent wave. Monday, July 13th, has a glassy morning again with a smaller 2ft SSW swell, but it's a bit weak. The afternoon turns messy with a cross-onshore wind. The next several days, from Tuesday the 14th through to the end of the week, are dominated by small, short-period, onshore wind slop. We're talking about a solid run of poor conditions with a lot of wind from the west and northwest, and the swell period dropping to 7-9 seconds. It's a complete blank for quality surf.

The following week, from about Saturday July 18th, the swell bumps up a bit, hitting 5ft to 8ft, and eventually 7ft. But the catch is the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, and the period is a short 7-8 seconds. This is going to be a wind-blown mess. The combined energy gets up there, hitting 983 on the 18th afternoon, but it's all raw, unorganized power. Honestly, with that much onshore wind and a beach break, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It's too big and messy for a beginner and not clean enough for an expert.

There is a late-breaking glimmer. On Saturday, July 25th, the afternoon shows a cleaner, much longer period swell from the SW at 21 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 1639, indicating strong energy. The swell height is a manageable 3ft. But the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, so it's not clean. Then on Sunday, July 26th, the morning has a 3ft SW swell with a 20-second period and a lighter onshore wind. The energy is still very strong at 1030. This is a promising, long-range possibility, but it's a long way out and the winds are still not ideal. For a point break or reef, this would be a dream, but at a beach break like Cox Bay, that very long period might make the waves break a bit too straight.

So, the best on offer is that glassy Saturday afternoon, July 11th. The other promising window is at the very end of the forecast, around July 25th and 26th, but it's a long way off and the wind is a question mark. Keep your eyes on that one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 11°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
1
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
1
1
3
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
W
9
1.1
W
9
0.5
SSW
13
1
W
7
1.3
W
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.3
W
8
0.6
W
17
0.7
W
17
1.4
WNW
7
1.5
WNW
7
2.1
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
294
283
211
214
217
178
121
125
129
81
185
96
86
212
245
191
199
278
178
195
494
Wind (km/h)
5
SSW
5
SE
10
SE
20
SSE
10
W
10
N
5
SW
15
WNW
10
NW
10
WNW
15
WNW
5
WNW
5
SW
10
WNW
10
SSE
15
SE
10
S
10
SE
10
SW
20
WNW
15
NW
Wind State
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
11:23AM2.66m
10:29PM3.56m
12:23PM2.82m
11:27PM3.67m
1:14PM2.97m
00:24AM3.73m
2:00PM3.09m
1:20AM3.73m
2:43PM3.18m
2:13AM3.64m
3:25PM3.24m
3:05AM3.46m
4:06PM3.27m
3:56AM3.23m
Low Tide
4:19PM1.71m
5:44AM0.19m
5:24PM1.65m
6:39AM-0.00m
6:24PM1.52m
7:29AM-0.13m
7:19PM1.37m
8:15AM-0.16m
8:12PM1.22m
8:58AM-0.08m
9:05PM1.11m
9:39AM0.10m
9:58PM1.04m
cloud
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:30
5:31
5:31
5:33
5:33
5:35
5:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:25
9:25
9:24
9:23
9:22
9:22
9:21
 mm
3
7
3
1
Temp °C
13
13
11
13
14
13
14
14
15
15
14
14
15
16
16
14
14
14
14
14
13
Feels °C
12
11
11
9
12
10
13
12
12
13
11
12
15
14
14
12
12
13
14
11
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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