Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Issued: 10 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
12.6° C

1.4°C colder than average for this time of year

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SSW swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Thu 9th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 16s
Best Surf11AM (Thu 9th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 16s
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 8th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Look, mate, it's a pretty quiet start. The first real chance doesn't show up until Thursday the 9th. There's a few days of nothing much before that, so don't bother waxing up just yet.

Thursday the 9th is where it gets interesting. Cox Bay is looking at a clean 3ft swell from the SSW with a long 16-second period, giving us some proper groundswell energy. The wind is glass in the morning and cross-off in the afternoon. This is the standout of the whole run – the wave energy is moderate (647), and with those conditions, it'll be clean and have some push. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Friday the 10th is a solid follow-up. More of that same 3ft SSW swell, but the wind is dead calm in the morning – absolute glass. Afternoon is glassy too with a light WNW breeze. The wave energy is still moderate (617-589). This is your other standout window. Keep in mind, with a 15-16 second period at a beach and point setup, the sets might come a bit wider, but the shape should be good and paddling out won't be a chore. This spot does get crowds sometimes, so get in early.

Saturday the 11th sees a change. The swell drops a bit and swings more westerly, with a shorter period. The wind goes cross, so it's not as clean. The wave energy stays moderate (580-613), but it's not the same quality.

Sunday the 12th morning has a 4ft W swell at a short 9-second period with a cross-off wind, so it'll be clean enough. The wave energy is moderate (451). That afternoon, the wind switches onshore and it gets messy.

From Monday the 13th through Wednesday the 22nd, it's mostly poor. There's a bump on the 20th and 21st where the swell gets over 5ft. On Monday the 20th, we see a 6-6ft WNW swell at a short 7 seconds – combined energy moderate (763). On Tuesday the 21st, it's 7ft to 8ft WNW swell at 8 seconds, with an energy reading of 1154, which is strong. But the wind is onshore or cross-onshore pretty much the whole time. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddler's wave, as the conditions will be choppy and poor quality. Anything over 8ft is expert territory anyway.

So to wrap it up: get out Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th. After that, it's pretty bleak.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Mon
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
0
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
1.3
W
10
1.4
W
10
1.2
W
9
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
305
264
388
388
323
547
399
464
447
376
458
393
287
294
327
362
219
217
178
120
125
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
15
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
20
W
25
WNW
15
NW
5
SW
5
SE
5
E
0
NW
5
WNW
0
N
10
SSW
10
SSW
5
ESE
15
SSE
15
WNW
10
NNW
10
WSW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross
cross
glassy
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
6:11AM2.57m
6:46PM3.11m
7:25AM2.45m
7:37PM3.20m
8:49AM2.43m
8:32PM3.31m
10:10AM2.51m
9:30PM3.43m
11:23AM2.66m
10:29PM3.56m
12:23PM2.82m
11:27PM3.67m
1:14PM2.97m
Low Tide
00:28AM1.20m
12:06PM1.11m
1:31AM1.05m
12:57PM1.33m
2:36AM0.86m
1:58PM1.54m
3:41AM0.64m
3:08PM1.67m
4:45AM0.41m
4:19PM1.71m
5:44AM0.19m
5:24PM1.65m
6:39AM-0.00m
6:24PM1.52m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:26
5:28
5:28
5:28
5:30
5:31
5:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:29
9:29
9:28
9:28
9:27
9:25
9:25
9:24
 mm
1
2
Temp °C
13
13
14
14
12
13
12
12
12
12
12
13
13
12
13
13
13
13
13
15
16
Feels °C
9
12
12
13
8
8
7
11
11
11
12
12
11
10
10
11
11
12
10
14
14
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
21
1
W
9
1.1
W
9
1.1
W
8
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
1.1
W
9
0.9
SSW
16
1
W
8
1
W
9
1.1
W
9
1.1
W
9
1.2
W
10
1.3
W
10
1.4
W
10
1.2
W
9
1.1
W
8
0.8
W
8
0.7
W
8
0.9
WSW
8
Energy kJ
305
158
186
173
323
547
399
181
447
114
157
194
202
279
327
362
219
165
84
61
109
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
W
8
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
15
0.7
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
14
Energy kJ
150
264
388
388
53
142
142
464
108
376
458
393
287
294
279
211
214
217
178
120
125
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.2
S
12
0.1
S
9
0.7
W
9
0.1
S
11
0.4
SSW
19
0.4
SW
13
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
W
18
0.1
W
20
0.2
W
17
0.2
W
15
0.3
W
15
0.2
W
16
0.3
W
15
0.4
W
14
Energy kJ
44
116
261
206
11
2
74
2
123
44
2
2
2
7
7
23
18
41
20
39
66
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
WNW
9
1
W
9
1.3
W
9
1.7
WNW
5
1.6
WNW
9
1.3
W
9
Energy kJ
220
145
263
174
374
287
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
1
2
3
2
1
2
1
2
Distance (km)
93
93
93
135
687
687
123
0
0
0
0
0
0
123
119
0
0
201
1
119
687
Best forecast wave conditions in Vancouver Island
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
1
1
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
1
2
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Canada
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
1
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
3
2
1
2
1
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
6
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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