Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 27 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
15.6°C
0.8° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, W swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, WNW swell with 1,375 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Thu 27th Aug)1.5ft (0.5m) 15s
Best Surf 2PM (Wed 2nd Sep)7ft (2.2m) 10s
Most Powerful 8PM (Wed 2nd Sep)8ft (2.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s talk Cox Bay. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a slow burn, but there’s a couple of days that’ll get your blood pumpin’.

We start Thursday the 27th with real small, long-period groundswell – about 2ft from the SW with a period over 15 seconds, which is very long. The combined energy is weak at 318. It’s clean with a cross-off breeze, but it’s marginal for anything more than a floater. Water temp is a nice 60°F, about average for this time of year.

Friday the 28th is a total washout. Strong onshore wind and the swell even smaller. A day for the workbench.

Saturday the 29th bumps up a bit – 2ft from the SSW, but the period is still long at 17 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (470). There’s a light cross-shore wind, but it’s not real clean.

Sunday the 30th shows some life: 3ft from the SW, long period again (17 seconds), and strong energy at 526. The morning has a light cross-offshore breeze and it's clean. Perfect for a longboard. Not a standout, but a good call for a morning session.

Monday the 31st stays around 3ft from the SSW. The wind picks up in the morning, but the afternoon gets a light offshore breeze. It’s rideable.

Tuesday the 1st of September is glassy. Dead calm, 2ft from the SSW with a 14-second period. Clean and pretty, but small. Good for a beginner or a mellow glide.

Now, the first real standout is Wednesday the 2nd of September. We get a jump to 5ft from the west, but the period drops to 9 seconds – so it’s a short-period wind swell. Still, the combined energy is strong at 538 and conditions are clean. The afternoon is even better with 5ft and a cross-off breeze. For Cox Bay, that’s a proper fun day.

But the real gem is Thursday the 3rd of September. We’re talking a solid 7ft from the west. The combined energy is very strong at 968. The morning has a nice light cross-off breeze and it’s clean. That is a powerful west swell – it’s gonna be thumping. This is too big for beginners, but for the experienced crew, this is the best of the whole run. The afternoon gets choppy with a cross-onshore wind, so get out there early.

Friday the 4th still has good energy (710) with 5ft from the WNW in the morning, light cross-off, clean. The afternoon turns glassy again, though the swell drops to 2ft from the SW, but with a very long period of 18 seconds. A beautiful, clean, glass-off evening.

After that, from Saturday the 5th through Thursday the 11th, it settles back down. You’ll get knee-to-waist high waves, mostly 2ft to 3ft, with that long-period groundswell. Conditions are mixed – some glassy mornings, some light cross-shore winds. It’s consistent, just small. The combined energy stays moderate to strong, in the 350-570 range. The standouts in this stretch are the glassy afternoons on Saturday the 5th and the clean morning on Friday the 11th. Not pumping, but pleasant.

One more note: Wednesday the 9th sees a bump to 5ft from the WNW, short period, with a light cross-shore wind. It’s marginal, but there’s enough push for a fun session if you’re keen.

Bottom line: my top pick is the morning of Thursday the 3rd of September. 7ft of west swell, light wind, clean. That is the one. The glassy afternoons on the 1st and 4th are also worthy. For the rest, keep your expectations in check.

-Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 101mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the ESE by Tue night).

Thu
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
0
3
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
15
0.5
SW
15
0.4
SSW
19
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
17
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
1.9
W
9
1.9
W
10
2.2
W
10
1.6
W
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
112
104
139
103
175
255
211
273
424
326
402
306
272
272
183
168
525
682
968
474
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
5
SE
10
W
10
W
5
WNW
5
SSW
10
W
5
SE
10
SSE
15
SE
10
ESE
10
SE
0
W
5
SSE
10
SSE
25
ESE
40
ESE
25
E
10
E
5
ENE
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
on
on
on
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
High Tide
1:08AM3.26m
1:55PM3.14m
1:48AM3.25m
2:23PM3.25m
2:28AM3.20m
2:52PM3.34m
3:10AM3.10m
3:23PM3.40m
3:55AM2.96m
3:57PM3.43m
4:46AM2.79m
4:36PM3.39m
Low Tide
7:09PM1.18m
7:37AM0.47m
7:47PM0.99m
8:05AM0.52m
8:25PM0.83m
8:34AM0.63m
9:05PM0.70m
9:04AM0.81m
9:48PM0.64m
9:37AM1.03m
10:35PM0.64m
10:15AM1.29m
11:30PM0.70m
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
cloud
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
mod rain
mod rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:35
6:35
6:37
6:39
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:15
8:14
8:12
8:09
8:07
8:06
8:04
 mm
2
1
1
1
1
4
1
1
2
12
77
8
7
8
Temp °C
15
15
15
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
14
14
15
15
13
13
13
13
14
13
Feels °C
13
15
15
13
12
13
11
12
12
10
12
12
15
15
12
10
6
7
12
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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