Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good, long look at what Cox Bay has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

The opening few days are a bit of a struggle, to be honest. Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th are pretty much a write-off with tiny weak swell and onshore or cross-onshore breezes messing things up. The wave energy is weak, barely getting above 250 on the energy scale.

But then, things start to get interesting. Thursday afternoon the 16th is where it finally clicks. We’ve got some clouds, but the wind drops to glassy – dead calm – and the swell bumps up a touch. You'll be looking at clean 4ft waves rolling in from the WNW with a short, punchy 8-second period. The energy reads a solid 375 (moderate), so there’s some push behind it. For a beach and point setup like Cox Bay, that glassy water is a rare and beautiful thing. This is easily your best early option.

Friday the 17th morning stays clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE, but the swell drops back a bit. By Friday afternoon a cross-shore wind comes up, but the swell is back to 4ft WNW with 10-second period and a healthy 515 (moderate) energy reading. It's rideable, but not as crisp as Thursday.

Saturday the 18th looks similar in size but the wind is a bit messier. Sunday the 19th, the swell actually gets a bit bigger – 5ft in the morning and 6ft by the afternoon – but that afternoon brings a 9 mph cross-onshore that chops it up. The 6ft afternoon is likely too lumpy for a good time.

Monday the 20th morning offers a clean-ish 5ft swell with a light air, but the period is short at 8 seconds. It’s marginal.

Now, here’s the real standout in the second week. Looking ahead to Saturday the 25th of July, something special is on the cards. The morning shows a clean, cross-shore wind with an incredibly long-period groundswell from the SW at 24 seconds. The wave height is only 2ft, which doesn't sound like much, but that period is a monster. The energy reading is a strong 581 (moderate-strong), telling you there’s serious power in those lines. This will be a long-period groundswell that will be super clean and lined up at Cox Bay’s point. It’s a long-range call, so don’t lock it in, but it’s got a lot of potential. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Thursday afternoon the 16th for the glassy conditions and clean surf. A very close second, and a promising long-range highlight, is the Saturday the 25th morning session for the super-long period groundswell.

Rusty.

Read more