Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.6° C
0.6° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 11s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, WNW swell with 713 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Tue 14th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 2PM (Fri 17th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 11s
Most Powerful 8PM (Sun 19th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good, long look at what Cox Bay has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

The opening few days are a bit of a struggle, to be honest. Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th are pretty much a write-off with tiny weak swell and onshore or cross-onshore breezes messing things up. The wave energy is weak, barely getting above 250 on the energy scale.

But then, things start to get interesting. Thursday afternoon the 16th is where it finally clicks. We’ve got some clouds, but the wind drops to glassy – dead calm – and the swell bumps up a touch. You'll be looking at clean 4ft waves rolling in from the WNW with a short, punchy 8-second period. The energy reads a solid 375 (moderate), so there’s some push behind it. For a beach and point setup like Cox Bay, that glassy water is a rare and beautiful thing. This is easily your best early option.

Friday the 17th morning stays clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE, but the swell drops back a bit. By Friday afternoon a cross-shore wind comes up, but the swell is back to 4ft WNW with 10-second period and a healthy 515 (moderate) energy reading. It's rideable, but not as crisp as Thursday.

Saturday the 18th looks similar in size but the wind is a bit messier. Sunday the 19th, the swell actually gets a bit bigger – 5ft in the morning and 6ft by the afternoon – but that afternoon brings a 9 mph cross-onshore that chops it up. The 6ft afternoon is likely too lumpy for a good time.

Monday the 20th morning offers a clean-ish 5ft swell with a light air, but the period is short at 8 seconds. It’s marginal.

Now, here’s the real standout in the second week. Looking ahead to Saturday the 25th of July, something special is on the cards. The morning shows a clean, cross-shore wind with an incredibly long-period groundswell from the SW at 24 seconds. The wave height is only 2ft, which doesn't sound like much, but that period is a monster. The energy reading is a strong 581 (moderate-strong), telling you there’s serious power in those lines. This will be a long-period groundswell that will be super clean and lined up at Cox Bay’s point. It’s a long-range call, so don’t lock it in, but it’s got a lot of potential. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Thursday afternoon the 16th for the glassy conditions and clean surf. A very close second, and a promising long-range highlight, is the Saturday the 25th morning session for the super-long period groundswell.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu night, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Mon
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
2
3
1
0
2
1
0
3
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
W
9
0.8
WNW
9
0.8
W
10
0.9
WNW
9
0.8
WNW
9
1
W
8
0.5
W
18
1.1
WNW
8
0.7
W
17
0.6
W
16
1.1
WNW
10
1.1
WNW
10
1.1
W
9
1.1
WNW
9
1.9
WNW
7
1.4
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
0.6
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
129
67
110
122
135
109
140
152
147
278
178
255
235
194
197
376
226
365
445
293
186
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
5
WSW
10
WNW
5
NW
5
SSW
10
WNW
5
NNW
10
W
0
SSE
20
SE
15
SSE
10
S
10
SE
10
S
15
WNW
5
NNW
10
SSW
15
WNW
0
ENE
5
SW
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
00:24AM3.73m
2:00PM3.09m
1:20AM3.73m
2:43PM3.18m
2:13AM3.64m
3:25PM3.24m
3:05AM3.46m
4:06PM3.27m
3:56AM3.23m
4:46PM3.27m
4:47AM2.96m
5:26PM3.23m
5:42AM2.70m
6:09PM3.16m
Low Tide
7:29AM-0.13m
7:19PM1.37m
8:15AM-0.16m
8:12PM1.22m
8:58AM-0.08m
9:05PM1.11m
9:39AM0.10m
9:58PM1.04m
10:18AM0.36m
10:52PM1.02m
10:57AM0.68m
11:49PM1.03m
11:37AM1.02m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:33
5:33
5:35
5:35
5:37
5:39
5:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:24
9:23
9:22
9:22
9:21
9:20
9:19
9:17
 mm
Temp °C
16
16
16
15
15
18
18
20
17
15
14
14
15
14
15
14
14
15
17
16
16
Feels °C
13
16
14
13
15
16
17
20
16
14
12
12
15
14
13
11
14
12
16
16
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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