
Surf Forecasts:
Cox Bay surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 24s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 846 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 24s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what Cox Bay has in store for us. It’s a beach and point setup, exposed to the west, and it’s a fairly consistent spot. The water is sitting at 57°, which is right about average for this time of year, nothing to worry about there.
Right now, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start. The first real highlight is on the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August. That’s over a week away, so keep that in mind, but it’s the cleanest option on the table. We’ve got a glassy 2ft swell rolling in from the WSW with a period of 15 seconds. That’s a long period groundswell, so the energy is there – you’ll feel it (combined energy of 271). For a break like this, that longer period can mean the waves set up a bit more lined up and the paddle outs are easier between sets. It’s small, but it’ll be clean. The wind will be light and offshore on the morning of Wednesday the 5th, making it your best bet for a peaceful session.
Before that, the first week is a mixed bag. Starting Wednesday the 22nd of July morning, we’ve got a 4ft swell from the WNW with a period of 8 seconds and glassy conditions – that’s a decent start (combined energy of 400). The water is still at 57°, normal for the season. After that, from Thursday the 23rd through the 29th, we see a lot of moderate energy coming in from the SW, with periods creeping up to the high teens and even 20+ seconds. The combined energy gets strong, hitting 840 on Sunday the 26th afternoon. The wind is mostly cross-off or light offshore through the mornings, especially on Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, which keeps things clean. But the swell heights hover around 3ft to 4ft – nothing huge, just fun, clean waves.
Then things go a bit flat and messy from the 31st of July through the end of the first week of August. The wind turns onshore consistently, and the swell gets short and weak. There’s a big jump to 5ft on the 2nd of August, but it’s short period (6 seconds) and onshore wind – that’s a no-go for a clean surf. It looks more like a kite day with that combination of bump and chop.
So, the standout is that Wednesday the 5th of August morning. It’s the cleanest window, with glassy conditions and a long period swell. The rest of the first week gives you plenty of clean, small-to-medium waves, but nothing to write home about. Second week is a write-off.
Bottom line: If you can wait, aim for the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August for a glassy, small groundswell session. Otherwise, the week starting the 22nd of July has solid, clean conditions for a log or a fun board, especially the mornings.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 49mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 24 | SSW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SSW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
207 | 227 | 208 | 180 | 158 | 188 | 188 | 140 | 666 | 368 | 553 | 664 | 508 | 746 | 657 | 475 | 614 | 621 | 715 | 322 | 493 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | off | off | off |
High Tide | 8:06AM2.35m | 7:49PM3.02m | 9:36AM2.34m | 8:47PM3.00m | 10:51AM2.43m | 9:43PM3.03m | 11:45AM2.54m | 10:36PM3.08m | 12:28PM2.64m | 11:22PM3.15m | 1:03PM2.74m | 00:05AM3.22m | 1:35PM2.83m | 00:45AM3.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:15PM1.61m | 3:01AM1.02m | 2:27PM1.79m | 4:06AM0.93m | 3:42PM1.86m | 5:03AM0.82m | 4:42PM1.85m | 5:51AM0.69m | 5:30PM1.79m | 6:32AM0.57m | 6:12PM1.70m | 7:07AM0.47m | 6:50PM1.59m | ||||||||
5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:14 | — | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:10 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:07 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 14 | 20 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
Feels °C | 22 | 18 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 24 | SSW 14 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SSW 17 |
207 | 227 | 208 | 180 | 124 | 80 | 56 | 47 | 666 | 163 | 553 | 664 | 508 | 746 | 657 | 475 | 614 | 621 | 715 | 322 | 493 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | SSW 13 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | S 5 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SSW 20 | SSW 11 |
142 | 142 | 144 | 162 | 158 | 188 | 188 | 140 | 68 | 41 | 158 | 67 | 66 | 29 | 62 | 57 | 69 | 50 | 34 | 253 | 73 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 24 | WNW 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 9 | S 5 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | WSW 6 |
51 | 47 | 43 | 66 | 57 | 30 | 50 | 45 | 115 | 368 | 39 | 101 | 98 | 65 | 16 | 72 | 45 | 68 | 76 | 73 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | SSE 7 | SE 4 | SSE 6 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 36 | 27 | 34 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 810 | 0 | 217 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 883 | 0 | 119 | 21 | 0 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Vancouver Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Canada | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










