Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let's have a look at what's on offer for the next couple weeks at Cox Bay. It's a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We've got some solid, long-period groundswell coming in from the southwest early on, but the wind and conditions keep it from being truly classic. The real standout, the one that's got me a bit excited, is way off in the distance, so keep your eyes peeled for that.

We kick off Tuesday, July 28th. There's some proper energy in the water – a solid 4ft SW groundswell with a very long 19-second period, giving us a combined energy of 1082. That's a lot of power, and those long-period lines will be hitting the point and the beach. The wind is a light southerly cross-shore though, so expect a few ripples on the face. It's clean enough, but not perfect. This is your best window for the next few days. The water temp is about what you'd expect for this time of year.

Wednesday the 29th onwards, the swell starts to back off and the wind gets messy. The best of the first week is probably Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday morning, but even then, with a swing to a cross-on wind, it's not going to be firing.

We hit a real lull from Thursday the 30th through to the end of the first week and into the start of August. We're looking at small, short-period windswell and onshore winds. There's simply nothing to chase for about five days straight.

Then, on Wednesday, August 5th, we get a bit of a tease. A new pulse of swell arrives, pushing 5ft from the WNW, but the period is a short 7 seconds. The real story here is the wind. We're looking at a light offshore from the SSE in the morning, going completely glassy by the afternoon. The combined energy is moderate at 486 and 364, but those conditions will make the small, weak swell way more fun than it has any right to be. It will be clean.

But the real prize is on Wednesday, August 12th. I'm talking about a week and a half from now, so it's a long-range promise, but it looks like a cracker. The model is showing a 7ft W-NW swell. Now, at 7ft, that's getting up there. It's not for the beginners – that's expert territory. It'll be a bit raw and short-period at just 6 seconds, but hold on. The wind is forecast to be glassy. Absolutely dead flat. That combined energy is 540. A 7ft wave with glassy conditions on a beach and point setup like Cox Bay? That is a true standout. It'll be a powerful, chunky wave. Expect the report to be crowded because a day like that won't stay a secret.

So to sum it up: don't get too worked up about the first week and a half. Enjoy the clean but small stuff on August 5th if you're desperate. But mark your calendar for Wednesday, August 12th. That's the one that has the potential to be a proper session. The forecasts can change, but right now it looks like a gem.

Rusty.

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