Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 26 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
15.3° C
0.8° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 20s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 846 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 20s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 20s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2PM (Sun 26th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 20s
Best Surf 2PM (Sun 26th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 20s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 28th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on offer for Cox Bay over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a bit of a slow start, but there are a couple of windows worth getting excited about if you’re patient. The first few days are pretty marginal. Sunday the 26th has some clean conditions with that offshore wind in the afternoon, but the swell is small, around 3 ft from the SW with a very long 21-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and combined wave energy is moderate (850). The water is sitting at 60° – that’s about average for the time of year. Monday the 27th afternoon looks similar: clean offshore wind, 3 ft from the SW with 18-second period, moderate energy (607). It’s okay, but nothing to write home about.

We hit a rough patch from Tuesday the 28th right through to the end of July and into early August. Onshore winds, small, weak swell, and generally poor conditions. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell periods drop off. The morning of Friday the 31st July is a glimmer of hope with glassy conditions and 3 ft from the SSW, 15-second period, and moderate energy (630), but it’s a one-off before the wind turns against us again.

The first week of August is pretty grim. The swell starts to pick up a bit around the 4th and 5th, but it’s all windswell with short periods (6-8 seconds) and onshore winds. The combined energy gets moderate to strong (up to 637), but the quality is poor. This setup at Cox Bay, being a beach and point, looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during this stretch.

Now, the real standout is a long way off, but it’s a cracker. On the morning of Saturday the 8th of August, conditions look prime. You’ve got glassy conditions with almost no wind, a solid 8 ft swell from the WNW, but the period is short at 8 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving, and with strong wave energy (1020), this is only for experienced surfers. The wind is glassy, which is a massive positive, meaning the waves will be clean. If you’re an expert, this is your window. The afternoon sees the swell jump to 10 ft, but the wind turns onshore, so stick to the morning.

Sunday the 9th has another 10 ft pulse in the afternoon, but again, onshore wind and choppy conditions ruin it. The morning of the 9th is a smaller 6 ft with a light onshore wind, which is still marginal.

So, to sum it up: the next week is mostly a washout for quality surf. If you’re an experienced surfer, circle the morning of Saturday the 8th of August on your calendar. That’s the best on offer, but keep in mind it’s a long-range call, so don’t bet the farm on it just yet.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 54mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
3
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
21
1
SW
20
0.9
SSW
19
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
1.1
SW
18
1.1
SW
19
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SSW
17
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
17
0.9
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
508
746
657
475
522
727
837
326
498
695
695
458
545
452
430
232
353
268
268
183
168
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
10
ESE
15
ESE
20
SE
20
ESE
25
ESE
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
NNW
10
W
15
WNW
10
NNW
10
W
10
W
5
N
5
SW
5
SW
10
WNW
5
WSW
15
W
15
NW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
High Tide
12:28PM2.64m
11:22PM3.15m
1:03PM2.74m
00:05AM3.22m
1:35PM2.83m
00:45AM3.27m
2:05PM2.90m
1:23AM3.28m
2:35PM2.98m
2:01AM3.26m
3:04PM3.04m
2:40AM3.19m
3:34PM3.10m
3:22AM3.08m
Low Tide
5:30PM1.79m
6:32AM0.57m
6:12PM1.70m
7:07AM0.47m
6:50PM1.59m
7:40AM0.40m
7:28PM1.47m
8:10AM0.38m
8:06PM1.35m
8:39AM0.40m
8:46PM1.23m
9:08AM0.48m
9:27PM1.12m
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:47
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:10
9:09
9:07
9:07
9:06
9:04
9:02
 mm
16
7
3
2
3
15
7
1
2
Temp °C
14
14
14
14
15
15
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
15
16
15
14
14
14
Feels °C
12
13
12
11
12
12
14
13
13
12
12
11
12
12
12
13
16
16
14
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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