Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks.

We’re in a bit of a slow patch to start. The first real chance for a wave comes Tuesday morning, July 7th, but it’s a marginal one. We’ve got a small 2ft southwest groundswell rolling in, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That kind of period loves a setup like Cox Bay, which is a beach and point. The energy is moderate (538), but the wind is a light onshore breeze. The water is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. Don’t get too excited for that morning session though – the conditions are questionable.

The outlook picks up a bit on Thursday afternoon, July 9th. The swell holds at 3ft from the south-southwest, with a 16-second period. The combined energy is still moderate (678), but the wind shifts to a light cross-offshore. That should clean things right up. Friday afternoon, July 10th, looks even better. The swell drops a touch to 3ft from the same direction, period is 15 seconds, but the wind goes glassy. That’s a major positive. The energy is still moderate (625), and the conditions are rated as very good. That Friday arvo is the first real standout.

Saturday morning, July 11th, keeps that glassy feel with a 3ft south-southwest swell, 15-second period, and light winds. The energy is moderate (512). It’s clean, but not powerful.

After that, we hit a dry spell. From Sunday the 12th through to the end of the first week, the swell drops and the wind turns onshore or cross-shore. There’s a brief moment of clean surf on Monday morning, July 13th, with a tiny 2ft south-southwest swell and a cross-offshore breeze, but the energy is low (253). Then Tuesday morning, July 14th, gives us a glassy 3ft westerly swell, but with a short period of 8 seconds. That’s just not the same quality.

Now, for the second week, things get a bit more interesting, though less certain. The forecast picks up again on Saturday, July 18th. A bump of 5ft from the west appears, but the period is a short 7 seconds. The wind is light and cross-shore, so it might be okay for a paddle. Sunday morning, July 19th, is the true standout of the entire 16-day window. We’re looking at a 5ft west-northwest swell, 8-second period, with a clean cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (562). The waves will be punchy and clean. However, by Sunday afternoon, the swell jumps to 8ft from the same direction. That’s big, and with a short period it will be a close-out. That’s expert-only territory. It stays big into Monday the 20th, with 7ft in the afternoon, but the wind turns onshore, making it a choppy mess.

Overall, the best sessions are Friday afternoon, July 10th, and Sunday morning, July 19th. The 19th has more size and punch, but the 10th will be cleaner and more user-friendly with that glassy surface.

Rusty.

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