Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Issued: 4 am 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.2° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 20s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 10s period, WSW swell with 574 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 2 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 02) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.7m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Thu 2nd Jul)2ft (0.6m) 16s
Best Surf 8PM (Tue 7th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 20s
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 8th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Hey crew, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Cox Bay. Gotta be honest with you, it’s looking like a real dry spell.

The Big Picture

Don’t expect much for a while. We’ve got a solid gap of several days with no real action. The first few days are frustrating: Thursday and Friday mornings on the 2nd and 3rd of July have tiny 2ft SW swells, but the breeze is onshore or cross-onshore, ruining any chance of a clean face. The energy readings are low, between 316 and 406. It’s surf, but it’s not *good* surf.

Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th just keep the disappointment going with poor quality and messy winds. The water temp is about 56°F, which is normal for this time of year. Come Monday the 6th, it’s a total wipeout with onshore wind and poor conditions.

The Best We’ve Got

Okay, circle Friday the 10th of July on your calendar. The morning is the real highlight. We’re looking at a 3ft SW groundswell with glassy, clean conditions. That’s the dream. The wave energy is moderate at 630, and with a 16-second period, those waves are going to have some proper push and shape. It’s small, but it’ll be the cleanest it gets for a long time.

The Rest of the Second Week

After that Friday morning session, it’s a return to the struggle. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are poor or marginal, with the wind turning onshore and the swell dropping. Keep an eye on Wednesday the 16th of July. The morning has a bigger 6ft westerly swell with strong energy (1083), but the wind is going to mess it up. At that size and with the cross-shore wind, a beach and point break like Cox Bay is going to be a choppy mess, probably better for the kite surfers.

Final Word

It’s a tough start and a long wait. If you can, hold out for the morning of Friday the 10th of July. That’s your window. Everything else is pretty grim.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
1.2
W
8
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SW
15
1
W
8
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
16
1.6
WNW
8
1.2
W
8
1.3
WNW
10
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
18
1.7
WSW
10
1.6
WSW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
211
264
173
158
174
133
144
217
322
190
328
144
316
152
305
264
388
388
323
574
432
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
10
SE
0
S
5
SW
5
WNW
5
NNW
5
SSW
15
WNW
15
NW
10
W
20
WNW
20
NW
15
W
10
W
5
E
15
ESE
15
ESE
10
WNW
5
SW
15
S
5
SW
Wind State
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
High Tide
3:39PM2.89m
2:52AM3.17m
4:12PM2.91m
3:34AM3.05m
4:47PM2.94m
4:19AM2.90m
5:23PM2.98m
5:11AM2.73m
6:02PM3.03m
6:11AM2.57m
6:46PM3.11m
7:25AM2.45m
7:37PM3.20m
Low Tide
9:07AM0.41m
9:03PM1.53m
9:39AM0.48m
9:47PM1.47m
10:12AM0.58m
10:35PM1.40m
10:46AM0.71m
11:28PM1.31m
11:24AM0.89m
00:28AM1.20m
12:06PM1.11m
1:31AM1.05m
12:57PM1.33m
2:36AM0.86m
heavy rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:22
5:24
5:24
5:24
5:26
5:26
5:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:30
9:30
9:30
9:30
9:29
9:29
9:28
 mm
20
3
1
4
2
3
1
4
Temp °C
12
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
13
13
12
12
12
12
13
13
12
13
13
Feels °C
9
11
13
14
12
12
12
11
8
11
10
10
10
9
11
9
11
11
10
11
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WSW
8
1.1
W
8
1.2
W
8
1.1
W
8
1.1
W
8
1
W
8
0.8
W
8
0.9
W
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.2
W
8
0.6
SSW
14
0.9
WNW
9
0.7
SW
18
0.9
WNW
9
0.7
W
9
1
W
8
0.9
W
9
0.9
W
8
1.2
W
8
1.7
WSW
10
1.6
WSW
9
Energy kJ
101
138
173
148
156
133
86
105
229
190
136
144
316
138
79
119
130
113
200
574
432
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.5
SW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.8
W
10
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SSW
14
0.4
SW
24
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
Energy kJ
211
264
127
158
174
104
144
217
166
133
96
138
141
152
305
264
388
388
323
455
319
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
15
0.1
W
15
0.4
SW
19
0.2
W
14
0.3
SSW
18
0.4
SSW
18
0.4
WNW
12
0.5
W
12
0.4
W
13
0.5
SW
14
0.3
W
12
0.4
SSW
19
0.4
SW
24
0.4
SW
13
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
6
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SSW
15
0.5
SW
15
Energy kJ
4
4
96
15
61
120
49
70
55
95
27
140
141
43
150
116
261
40
53
144
104
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SE
3
1.6
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
10
1
WNW
5
1.1
W
9
0.6
ESE
3
1.2
S
6
0.4
SSE
5
Energy kJ
6
322
328
60
207
6
86
8
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
3
1
1
1
2
2
3
2
3
3
2
1
3
Distance (km)
0
0
0
21
226
0
687
687
1
135
687
135
274
1386
0
9
9
93
825
123
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Vancouver Island
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
1
1
3
2
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Canada
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
5
9
5
7
5
5
9
7
7
6
9
8
6
6
7
9
7
7
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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