Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what Cox Bay has in store for us.

Overall, this is a mixed bag. The first week is a bit of a struggle with only marginal windows of clean surf, but late in the run there's a real possibility for some fun waves. The big standout is right at the end of the period, so we have to be patient.

The water temperature at Cox Bay is currently 53°F which is much colder than normal for this time of year.

We kick off on Monday the 6th with a cross-onshore breeze and a weak 1ft swell – not worth suiting up. That carries on through Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th, with messy onshore winds and poor conditions. The wave energy is moderate, moving from 347 to over 1000, but the wind is just ruining it.

Finally, on Thursday morning the 9th, things clean up. The wind goes glassy, we’ve got a clean 3ft swell out of the SSW running on a very long 16-second period from a groundswell. This is a clean, glassy window and the first real chance for a paddle. The combined energy is moderate (647). The long period means the waves will have shape but it might break a bit straight across the beach, so look for the point.

That clean spell continues into Friday morning the 10th with light cross-offshore winds and similar 3ft SSW swell. That Friday morning is your best bet in the first week. The afternoon gets a bit onshore and more marginal.

Saturday the 11th shows a pulse of swell from the W at 4ft, but a short 10-second period and onshore wind keeps it just okay. Sunday the 12th has a clean morning again with 2ft SSW groundswell and cross-off winds. Decent, but not a standout.

Monday the 13th through to Friday the 17th is a rough stretch of onshore wind and mostly small, weak swell. Wave energy dips to around 200-450. There's a brief window on Wednesday morning the 15th with a cross-shore wind and some 3ft W swell, but it's marginal at best.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. On Saturday afternoon the 18th, a new swell arrives from the WNW, pumping up to 8ft but with a short, choppy 7-second period. The combined energy is strong (761), but the short period and onshore cross-wind make this one for experts only and it will be messy.

The real standout for the whole outlook is Sunday morning the 19th. The wind goes glassy, we’ve got a solid 5ft swell from the WNW (combined energy 515). It’s clean and decently sized, but remember, at over 5ft it's getting too big for beginners. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit dumpy and less organized than the long-period stuff. Still, on that morning, it’s likely the best we’ll see.

Monday morning the 20th also looks good with clean, cross-offshore winds and a 5ft WNW swell on a slightly longer 9-second period. That’s another solid window, and the glassy conditions on Monday afternoon will be a nice lull.

After that, the run fades out through Tuesday the 21st with onshore winds and similar size. The best of the surf is on the 19th and 20th, but don't expect perfection – the periods are short, so it'll be more about punchy, dumping waves than long lines.

Rusty.

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