
Surf Forecasts:
Cox Bay surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 24s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 20s period, SW swell with 746 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.0m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 24s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
It’s a bit of a slow burn for the first few days, but don’t write it off just yet. We’ve got some solid groundswell on the horizon that’ll make it worth wetting the wetsuit, especially if you time it right.
The water’s sittin’ at a pretty standard 57.4°F for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.
We kick things off with the first real nod on Thursday, July 23rd. Cox Bay is the only game in town, and it’s a bit of a weird one. The swell is tiny, only 2.0ft, but it’s got serious grunt with a 15-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell pushing in from the SSW. The combined energy is moderate (331), but the real story here is the wind. We’ve got a nice cross-off breeze from the SSE, so the surface will be clean. It’s not gonna be big, but for a patient soul on a longboard, the shape will be there. Thursday afternoon looks the best of the two.
Then things get interesting. Sunday, July 26th is the standout. The morning session is calling my name. We’ve got a 2.6ft swell from the SW, but the period is a very long 21 seconds – that’s proper ocean energy. The combined energy is strong (653), and with a light SSE cross-off breeze, it’s going to be glassy and clean. This is the kind of day where the lines just stand up and offer a long, smooth ride. The size is small, so it’s friendly for all levels, but the quality is what’s gonna get you frothing.
Monday, July 27th morning is also a good shout. Slightly smaller at 3.0ft, but still a decent 18-second period from the SW. The light southerly cross-off wind keeps it clean. It’s a solid follow-up to the weekend.
The second week gets a bit trickier. We see a few more days with clean conditions (like the 28th afternoon), but the swell is dropping and the winds get a bit more onshore. There’s a long gap of poor conditions from the 31st all the way through to the 4th of August.
Then, on Wednesday, August 5th, we get a little surprise. A morning glass-off! The wind is just about dead calm, and we’ve got a 3.3ft pulse from the WSW with a short 8-second period. The combined energy is moderate (299). It’s not the big groundswell we had, but when the wind goes glassy, you paddle out. It’ll be a clean, fun little session for the early birds before the wind fills in from the WNW later.
So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is without a doubt Sunday, July 26th morning. The small, clean, long-period swell from the SW at Cox Bay is the real deal. Monday, July 27th morning is a close second. The rest is a waiting game or a gamble on that glassy morning in August.
Stay stoked.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 44mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 24 | SSW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SSW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
207 | 227 | 208 | 162 | 158 | 188 | 188 | 140 | 666 | 368 | 553 | 664 | 508 | 746 | 546 | 475 | 614 | 727 | 715 | 326 | 498 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:06AM2.35m | 7:49PM3.02m | 9:36AM2.34m | 8:47PM3.00m | 10:51AM2.43m | 9:43PM3.03m | 11:45AM2.54m | 10:36PM3.08m | 12:28PM2.64m | 11:22PM3.15m | 1:03PM2.74m | 00:05AM3.22m | 1:35PM2.83m | 00:45AM3.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:15PM1.61m | 3:01AM1.02m | 2:27PM1.79m | 4:06AM0.93m | 3:42PM1.86m | 5:03AM0.82m | 4:42PM1.85m | 5:51AM0.69m | 5:30PM1.79m | 6:32AM0.57m | 6:12PM1.70m | 7:07AM0.47m | 6:50PM1.59m | ||||||||
5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:15 | — | — | 9:14 | — | — | 9:12 | — | — | 9:10 | — | — | 9:09 | — | — | 9:07 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 21 | 14 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 21 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 21 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | S 8 | WNW 10 | SW 24 | SSW 14 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SSW 17 |
207 | 227 | 208 | 151 | 116 | 82 | 65 | 107 | 666 | 163 | 553 | 664 | 508 | 746 | 546 | 475 | 614 | 727 | 715 | 326 | 498 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WNW 8 | S 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | SSW 13 | SSE 6 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | S 5 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SSW 20 | WSW 5 |
142 | 142 | 144 | 162 | 158 | 188 | 58 | 38 | 68 | 39 | 158 | 48 | 47 | 65 | 27 | 57 | 54 | 65 | 48 | 253 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 24 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 8 | WNW 9 |
51 | 47 | 43 | 66 | 57 | 47 | 188 | 140 | 115 | 368 | 39 | 44 | 98 | 93 | 62 | 56 | 46 | 67 | 28 | 42 | 26 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | SSE 7 | SSE 4 | — | SSE 6 | S 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 17 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 35 | 17 | — | 46 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 93 | 226 | 2 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 1285 | 824 | 0 | 119 | 21 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 763 | 0 | 123 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Vancouver Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Canada | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










