Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks has in store for us at Cox Bay. It's a bit of a mixed bag, so we're gonna have to pick our moments.

Overall, the pattern is a bit sluggish early on. We've got some swell on the way, but the wind is going to be a problem for the first few days. The water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is about what you'd expect for this time of year.

The first real chance of a decent wave comes around Friday, August 7th. That morning, we get a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the SSE, with a 5ft swell from the WNW. The period is a bit short at 8 seconds, so it won't have the punch of a groundswell, but with light winds it'll be the best we've seen. The combined energy is moderate (333). This is likely the best on offer for the whole run, but the short period means it'll be a bit sectiony and less likely to hold a proper wall. Cox Bay is a fairly consistent spot, so it's not a total surprise.

The following week is a tough one. The swell picks up a bit, and we get a couple of mornings with clean conditions, like Saturday, August 15th. The morning of the 15th sees a 2ft, 18-second groundswell from the SW, with a light cross-offshore wind from the SE. That's a long period, which means it'll be a groundswell, offering better shape and more energy (492), but it's small. For a point break like Cox Bay, that long period will wrap in nicely, but it's a gamble on whether it'll have enough size to be fun. The afternoon on the same day is ruined by onshore wind.

The real standouts here are the Friday the 7th morning and the Saturday the 15th morning. The 7th is the best bet for a clean, surfable wave, even if it's a bit short-period. The 15th offers that classic, long-period groundswell but it's tiny. Neither is a slam dunk, but if you're itching to get wet, those are your windows.

If you're a beginner, the swell on the 4th, 5th, and 6th of August is over 5ft, so it might be a bit much for you. Anything over 8ft, like the afternoon of the 6th (7ft), is expert territory. The short-period swells will keep it a bit more manageable for beaches, but the really long-period stuff on the 15th will be better for the point.

Outside of those two days, there are long gaps of poor surf with onshore or cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions. The first week especially is a write-off until the 7th.

Stay patient, watch the forecasts, and I'll see you out there.

Rusty.

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