Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a 16-day window for Cox Bay, and I’ll be straight with you – it’s a slow start and a mixed bag overall. The water temp is sitting right around average for this time of year at 59°, nothing unusual there.

The first week is pretty quiet. We’re looking at small, messy swells with a lot of onshore and cross-shore wind. The energy is mostly weak to moderate, with the combined swell energy reading between 162 and 548 (units). It’s not until Tuesday the 18th afternoon that we see a real glimmer of hope. That afternoon, the wind goes glassy, and we’ve got a 2 ft SSW swell with a 14-second period – that’s a long-period groundswell that’ll have some shape at this beach-and-point setup. The energy is moderate (466). It’s the first real standout, but it’s small.

Then on Thursday the 20th afternoon, we get another glassy window, with a 2 ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and moderate energy (455). That’s clean, but again small.

The real potential starts to build around the 22nd, Saturday morning – glassy conditions with a 3 ft W swell, but the period drops to 9 seconds, so it’s less powerful (267 energy). The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 4 ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds and the wind turns cross-onshore, so it’s messy.

Sunday the 23rd morning pushes up to 5 ft from the WNW, but with a short 8-second period and cross-on wind – that’s not great for paddle surfing, but with that size and short period, a kiter might have a better time. The afternoon is even worse with onshore wind.

Now, the second week brings a shift. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th drop right back to tiny 1 ft to 2 ft SW swells, long period (17-18 seconds), but weak energy (212-258). Not much to ride.

The real standout for the whole forecast comes on Wednesday the 26th morning and afternoon, and into Thursday the 27th morning. We finally get offshore winds, which is huge for Cox Bay. Wednesday morning has a light cross-offshore breeze from the ESE, with a 2 ft, 16-second SW swell (256 energy) – clean but small. The afternoon is where it gets good: a moderate offshore wind from the ESE, 3 ft W swell, but the period is short at 8 seconds (276 energy). That’s clean, punchy, and fun. Thursday morning keeps the offshore flow, with a 4 ft W swell, 7-second period (277 energy) – still clean, short-period waves that’ll be quick and fun for the more experienced surfers. The afternoon on Thursday the 27th eases off with a cross-offshore breeze, 3 ft W swell, 7 seconds (187 energy) – clean but small.

The last few days from the 28th onward fizzle back into small, onshore junk.

So, where’s the best? For clean, small-wave fun, the Tuesday 18th afternoon and Thursday 20th afternoon glassy sessions are your best bet early on. But the real highlight is the Wednesday 26th afternoon through Thursday 27th morning – that’s the cleanest, strongest swell window with offshore wind. The waves will be short-period but punchy, and the offshore wind will make them glassy. It’s deep in the forecast, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the one to pencil in.

Rusty.

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