Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.8° C
0.5° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 11s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, WNW swell with 555 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Thu 16th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 17s
Best Surf11AM (Fri 17th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 11s
Most Powerful11PM (Sun 19th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

The next 16 days have surf on offer, but the first few days are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a solid run of swells, but the wind is gonna be a factor at times, especially on the weekend. The real standout window is a bit further out, so keep that in mind.

The water temp is sitting around 57°, which is pretty much average for this time of year. Nothing wild there.

We kick off from Thursday afternoon the 16th. Cox Bay is seeing a 2ft groundswell from the west, with a super long 17-second period. The energy is moderate (244). The wind is a light cross-off from the SSE, keeping things clean. It’s not big, but it’s a nice little session to get the arms moving.

Friday morning the 17th is where it starts to get interesting. The swell picks up to 3ft from the west, period drops to 11 seconds, but the energy jumps to a solid moderate (508). Light rain and a cross-off breeze from the SE. This is a good morning session. The afternoon gets a bit smaller at 4ft from the WNW, but the wind goes light cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy.

Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are a write-off. Strong onshore winds from the WNW are gonna chop it up. The swell is there, but it’s messy. The Saturday morning has a 2ft west swell with a 15-second period, but the wind is straight onshore. The combined energy is moderate (406), but the quality is poor. Sunday afternoon sees a 6ft swell from the WNW, but it’s short-period (8s) and onshore. That’s a lot of whitewater and not much shape. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

Monday morning the 20th is a nice little reset. Glassy conditions with a 2ft swell from the SW, 17-second period. The energy is moderate (470). It’s a clean, glassy morning for some small waves. Tuesday the 21st is similar, with a light cross-shore wind and a 2ft swell from the SW, but it’s a bit more onshore in the afternoon.

Wednesday morning the 22nd is another glassy one. Zero wind, 4ft from the WNW, 9-second period. The energy is moderate (413). That’s a clean, fun morning.

Now, the standout is the run from Friday the 24th through to Monday the 27th. Thursday the 23rd is a nice warm-up with a 2ft SSW swell and a cross-off breeze, but the real goods start on Friday the 24th. Friday morning has a 2ft swell from the SW with a massive 26-second period! The energy is moderate (562). The wind is cross-off from the SSE. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll be lined up and clean.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are the pick of the bunch. On Saturday afternoon, we’ve got a 2ft swell from the SW, 22-second period, and the energy is moderate (585). The wind is cross-off and light. Sunday morning the 26th is even better: 3ft from the SW, 21-second period, and the energy is getting strong at 705. The wind is light cross-off from the SSE. It’s going to be clean, consistent, and have proper shape. This is a great time to be out.

The absolute best of the bunch is Monday afternoon the 27th. We’re looking at a 3ft swell from the SW, 18-second period, and the energy is a strong 1100. The wind is glassy, dead calm. It’s going to be absolutely perfect. The swell is still a manageable size, so it’s good for intermediate and experienced surfers alike. The long period will make the waves push in nicely, so find a good bank.

After that, the wind gets a bit more onshore from Tuesday the 28th through the end of the month, but the swell is still there. The energy on Tuesday morning is a strong 1063, but the wind is onshore. Wednesday the 30th has a light cross-shore breeze and a 3ft SW swell, which is still a decent option.

So, to sum it up: the best windows are the glassy mornings, especially Monday the 20th and Wednesday the 22nd. But the real standout is the stretch from Friday the 24th to Monday the 27th, with Sunday morning the 26th and Monday afternoon the 27th being the absolute cream of the crop. The long-period swells, especially the 26-second one on the 24th, are a real treat. Get out there.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri night, min 13°C on Thu afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue night, min 14°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
2
3
0
0
3
1
1
3
2
0
2
1
1
2
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
17
0.6
W
17
1
W
11
1.1
WNW
10
1.1
W
10
1
W
9
1.2
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
8
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
17
1.3
WNW
8
0.7
SW
16
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
9
1
WNW
9
0.6
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
138
204
242
265
235
167
227
300
226
434
359
243
238
201
261
203
216
193
158
142
Wind (km/h)
15
SSE
15
SSE
15
SE
5
SSW
0
NE
15
WNW
20
WNW
5
SE
5
SSW
15
WNW
5
NW
5
SW
10
NW
0
NW
5
S
10
NW
5
NNW
0
S
10
WNW
5
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
on
on
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
glassy
High Tide
3:25PM3.24m
3:05AM3.46m
4:06PM3.27m
3:56AM3.23m
4:46PM3.27m
4:47AM2.96m
5:26PM3.23m
5:42AM2.70m
6:09PM3.16m
6:46AM2.48m
6:55PM3.08m
8:06AM2.35m
7:49PM3.02m
Low Tide
9:05PM1.11m
9:39AM0.10m
9:58PM1.04m
10:18AM0.36m
10:52PM1.02m
10:57AM0.68m
11:49PM1.03m
11:37AM1.02m
00:50AM1.05m
12:21PM1.35m
1:55AM1.05m
1:15PM1.61m
3:01AM1.02m
cloud
mod rain
light rain
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:35
5:37
5:39
5:39
5:41
5:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:22
9:21
9:20
9:19
9:17
9:16
9:15
 mm
8
2
Temp °C
14
14
14
14
15
14
13
14
14
15
17
17
17
19
20
21
22
22
20
19
Feels °C
12
13
12
13
14
14
10
14
14
13
18
17
17
18
20
21
22
23
20
18
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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