Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Issued: 10 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.1° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SSW swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sat 4th Jul)1.5ft (0.5m) 15s
Best Surf 5AM (Mon 6th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 8th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Righto, Rusty here again. Let's work it out in feet and miles per hour for Cox Bay.

First few days are a bust. Saturday 4th July, you got clouds and wind blowing straight into the beach from the WSW at 5 mph. The swell is only 2 feet, a long-period groundswell from the SSW, but the energy’s weak as at 279. Not a chance. Same story Sunday and Monday morning—tiny, onshore wind, nothing doing.

Tuesday afternoon, 7th July, that’s the one to mark. We get totally glassed-out conditions—no wind at all. The swell is a soft 2 feet from the SW, but it’s carrying a very long 20-second period (combined energy 793). That’s deep water energy. Cox Bay can handle that at the point, but it could be a bit straight for the beach. Still, dead calm and a long groundswell? That’s the best you’re gonna get.

The rest of that week stays small and mostly blown out. Wednesday and Thursday have 3-foot SW swell with decent energy numbers (over 700 at times), but the wind is cross-onshore or onshore. It’s frustrating.

Sunday 12th July gives a little hope. The swell drops to 2 feet, 14-second period, but the wind finally swings cross-offshore from the SE. That’s clean. Low energy (392-407), but you’ll get a few clean runners if you’re patient.

From Monday 13th right through the end, it’s grim. Onshore winds from the WNW pick up, gusting over 15 mph at times. The swell is small—mostly 2 feet or less—and when it does hit 6 feet on Saturday 18th, it’s junky short-period WNW slop with 15 mph onshore wind. No thanks.

So, your only real window is Tuesday arvo, 7th July. Glassy, long-period, small but clean. Sunday 12th is a consolation prize. The rest is blown out or flat.

Keep the wax warm.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun night, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Fri
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
3
2
1
1
3
2
1
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
16
1.7
WNW
8
1.3
W
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
7
0.7
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
142
144
217
383
217
212
219
316
152
305
264
388
388
460
547
399
464
447
334
464
393
Wind (km/h)
5
NNW
10
WSW
15
WNW
10
NNW
5
WSW
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
W
20
WNW
10
WNW
5
WSW
5
SW
20
SSE
10
SW
15
WSW
5
NNW
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
NE
10
S
10
SW
Wind State
glassy
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
cross
cross-on
High Tide
3:34AM3.05m
4:47PM2.94m
4:19AM2.90m
5:23PM2.98m
5:11AM2.73m
6:02PM3.03m
6:11AM2.57m
6:46PM3.11m
7:25AM2.45m
7:37PM3.20m
8:49AM2.43m
8:32PM3.31m
10:10AM2.51m
Low Tide
9:47PM1.47m
10:12AM0.58m
10:35PM1.40m
10:46AM0.71m
11:28PM1.31m
11:24AM0.89m
00:28AM1.20m
12:06PM1.11m
1:31AM1.05m
12:57PM1.33m
2:36AM0.86m
1:58PM1.54m
3:41AM0.64m
3:08PM1.67m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:24
5:24
5:26
5:26
5:28
5:28
5:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:30
9:30
9:30
9:29
9:29
9:28
9:28
9:27
 mm
11
1
1
Temp °C
13
12
13
12
12
13
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
13
12
11
12
12
12
13
Feels °C
11
11
11
8
12
10
13
13
10
10
12
12
13
10
11
10
11
10
11
10
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
W
8
0.8
W
8
0.7
SSW
16
1.5
WNW
8
1.3
W
8
0.6
W
12
0.6
SSW
14
0.8
WNW
9
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SSW
21
0.9
WNW
8
1
W
8
1.1
W
8
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
1.1
W
8
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
1
W
8
Energy kJ
108
86
217
259
217
101
138
108
152
305
120
144
165
460
547
399
169
447
334
464
140
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.5
W
12
0.6
SSW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.5
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.2
S
12
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
19
0.8
W
8
0.8
W
9
0.9
SSW
15
Energy kJ
142
144
70
166
95
136
140
316
43
150
264
388
388
11
142
142
464
123
74
106
393
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
18
0.4
WNW
12
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
W
13
0.5
W
12
0.4
SW
19
0.1
SW
24
0.4
SW
24
0.2
SSW
23
0.4
SW
13
0.4
SW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.4
SW
14
0.1
S
9
0.1
S
9
0.2
S
11
0.3
SSW
20
0.4
SW
13
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
11
Energy kJ
121
49
45
55
73
96
23
141
54
44
116
261
206
52
2
1
9
75
45
10
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
W
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
7
1.1
W
6
1.5
WNW
6
1
W
9
1.2
W
9
1.2
W
9
1.2
W
9
1
W
8
0.4
SE
3
Energy kJ
134
383
212
219
100
126
158
215
220
215
134
2
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
3
3
2
1
3
1
1
2
4
2
Distance (km)
0
687
687
1
123
687
123
123
1386
93
763
0
17
226
123
0
123
687
0
1222
749
Best forecast wave conditions in Vancouver Island
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
3
1
1
1
3
3
3
3
1
1
3
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Canada
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
3
3
3
3
2
3
1
1
3
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
9
6
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
7
5
4
8
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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