Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

There’s a bit of a wait before anything decent shows up – nothing good until the 18th. Early on it’s flat and junky, just 3ft of weak cross-shore slop, not worth suiting up for. Thursday the 18th is where it switches: clean, light offshore, swell swinging southwest, around 1-2ft but glassy and tidy. Fun little wave for the beginners at Cox Bay (beach and point setup), not big but clean.

Friday and Saturday are blown out – onshore winds, weak 2ft slop, poor shape. Skip it.

Monday the 21st jumps up – from 3-4ft building to 8ft by afternoon – but the WNW wind is ripping at 25-40 km/h, cross-onshore and messy. The energy’s there but it’s all chop. Not your day unless you like getting hammered.

Here’s the standout: Tuesday the 22nd. Glassy, calm, dead-still morning with a clean 5ft W swell rolling in, period around 11 seconds. Combined energy sits at 866 – moderate, but the clean face makes it feel way better. This is the pick of the whole run. The afternoon fades a touch with a light cross-onshore ripple, but the morning is pure gold.

Wednesday the 23rd pushes to 6ft, still rideable but the period drops to 10s and the wind gets a bit more cross-shore. Afternoon’s a little better with light southerly airs, but it’s marginal – more walled-up and less forgiving.

Thursday the 24th drops back to 4-5ft, W swell, light cross-onshore. Clean-ish but nothing special. Friday the 25th is a big day – 8ft in the morning jumping to 10ft by afternoon, but it’s short-period WNW windswell at 8 seconds, wind up at 20 km/h. That’s big, steep, and choppy – expert territory only, and even then it’s messy.

Saturday the 26th stays big at 6-7ft but the period’s still short at 8s, wind cross-onshore and lumpy. Poor quality – that’s more of a kite session than a surf session at a beach break. Sunday the 27th drops fast – 3ft in the morning, 1-2ft by afternoon, but the wind’s still onshore and choppy. Not worth it.

Then we get a second clean window: Monday the 28th starts glassy with a 3ft W swell, light offshore in the morning – clean but small. Tuesday the 29th is the real gem for the back half: morning glass, 5ft W swell, 11s period, energy at 808 – clean, punchy, and well-shaped. Afternoon pushes to 7ft with a light cross-onshore, still good but a touch lumpier.

Wednesday the 30th holds at 5-6ft but the period drops to 10s and the wind goes light cross-shore – glassy-ish but with a little ripple. Finally, Thursday the 1st of October cleans right up – light offshore, 4ft W swell, 9s period – a nice cruiser to close out the run.

Water’s about average for this time of year, nothing weird. Crowds at Cox Bay are always a possibility, especially on those clean days like the 22nd and 29th – get out early.

Overall, the standouts are Tuesday the 22nd and Tuesday the 29th – both glassy, clean, with solid W swell. The first week’s a bit of a mixed bag, but those two mornings are pure gold. The long-range stuff is promising but keep an eye on the wind – anything over 8ft here is big and better left to the experts.

Rusty out.

Read more