Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.7° C
0.7° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 24s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 20s period, SW swell with 746 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.0m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Wed 22nd Jul)2ft (0.6m) 15s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 24th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 24s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sun 26th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 20s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here again. Let's talk in feet and miles per hour.

First up, we're lookin' at Cox Bay. The water temp is about 57°, which is a touch cooler than usual for this time of year, but nothing too wild.

The next couple of days are pretty quiet. Tuesday morning the 21st is a bit of a nothing burger, with a tiny 2-foot swell from the southwest and a cross-onshore breeze. That 16-second period is a long groundswell, but not enough size to get excited about. The combined energy is weak (331). The afternoon doesn't look any better.

Wednesday the 22nd is a bit of a tease. The swell bumps up to 4 feet from the WNW but the period drops to a short, weak 8 seconds. The wind is light, but it's cross-shore, creating ripples. The energy is moderate (404). It's still a bit of a write-off.

Thursday the 23rd is where things start to get interesting. The wind swings offshore from the SE, cleaning up the face. The swell is 4 feet from the WNW with a 9-second period, and the energy is moderate (408). The afternoon cleans up even more, but the swell drops back to 2 feet. It's a start.

Now, here's a true standout. Saturday morning the 25th. The swell is small at 2 feet, but the period is a massive 24 seconds—that's a very long period groundswell. The energy is strong (586). The wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean. With that kind of period, Cox Bay, a beach and point, will see long, lined-up sets. For a point break, this is prime. The afternoon gets even better, with the swell nudging up to 3 feet and the energy jumping to 711. This is the best on offer.

Sunday the 26th morning is another gem. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and the swell is 3 feet from the SW with a 21-second period. The energy is strong (596). This is as clean as it gets. The afternoon gets a bit more wind and a bigger 3-foot swell, but it gets a little cross-chop.

After that, the surf gets a bit messy. Monday the 27th sees a 3-foot swell with moderate energy, but the wind is cross-shore or onshore. By Tuesday the 28th the wind is straight onshore, making it choppy. The rest of the week and into the start of August is a mix of small, weak swells with onshore winds. The combined energy dips into the 200s and 300s. There's a brief moment on Monday afternoon the 3rd of August: a tiny 2-foot swell with glassy conditions and a 15-second period, but it's barely a ripple.

So, the best windows are Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th of July. The long-period groundswell and clean winds will make for some beautiful, lined-up waves. Crowds are possible at Cox Bay, so get there early.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
3
3
3
2
3
2
3
2
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SSW
15
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.1
WNW
9
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
14
0.8
SW
24
0.6
SSW
24
0.8
SW
22
0.9
SW
21
0.8
SW
21
1
SW
20
0.9
SSW
19
0.9
SSW
18
1
SW
18
0.9
SSW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
203
203
171
211
232
257
180
158
142
188
140
666
368
553
664
508
746
657
565
614
553
Wind (km/h)
5
WSW
10
WNW
5
NW
5
SSW
5
NW
15
SE
25
SE
10
SSE
0
SSE
5
SW
10
W
0
N
15
SSE
15
SE
15
SSE
5
SW
10
S
10
ESE
15
S
15
SE
5
ENE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
off
cross
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
6:55PM3.08m
8:06AM2.35m
7:49PM3.02m
9:36AM2.34m
8:47PM3.00m
10:51AM2.43m
9:43PM3.03m
11:45AM2.54m
10:36PM3.08m
12:28PM2.64m
11:22PM3.15m
1:03PM2.74m
00:05AM3.22m
Low Tide
12:21PM1.35m
1:55AM1.05m
1:15PM1.61m
3:01AM1.02m
2:27PM1.79m
4:06AM0.93m
3:42PM1.86m
5:03AM0.82m
4:42PM1.85m
5:51AM0.69m
5:30PM1.79m
6:32AM0.57m
6:12PM1.70m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:41
5:41
5:43
5:45
5:46
5:47
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:16
9:15
9:15
9:14
9:12
9:10
9:09
 mm
24
4
14
Temp °C
18
19
19
20
19
19
15
16
15
15
15
15
14
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
13
Feels °C
18
18
18
20
19
19
13
13
15
15
15
14
13
13
13
14
12
13
12
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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