Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way. To be honest, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty marginal for any kind of proper session. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swell and tricky winds, so don’t expect any magic. The real standout, if you can call it that, is a brief window on the morning of Thursday, August 13th, and another hopeful blip on Friday, August 21st. Let’s break it down.

We start off with nothing really happening. Wednesday the 12th is a write-off with tiny 1ft swell from the SW and a cross shore wind. The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined wave energy is weak (244) – just not enough to get excited about.

Now, Thursday morning, August 13th, that’s our best early bet. Cox Bay wakes up with a clean 4ft swell from the W, and we’ve got a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE. That means the waves should be nicely shaped and clean. The swell period is a short 7 seconds though, so it’s gonna be a bit weak and won’t have much punch – combined energy is only 252. It’s surfable for a beginner, but don’t expect any barrels. It’s the best we’ve got in the first week.

After that, it’s a long, bleak run. From Friday the 14th all the way through to Thursday the 20th, we’re stuck with tiny surf, mostly under 3ft, and a lot of onshore or cross-onshore wind. The swell direction wobbles between SW and SSW, and the energy stays in the moderate range (197 to 488). There’s one afternoon on Wednesday the 19th where the swell bumps up to 5ft from the W, but the wind is straight onshore and the period is a short 12 seconds, so it’s going to be a messy, choppy mess. Not worth paddling out for.

Then, on Friday morning, August 21st, we get a glimmer. Cox Bay shows clean conditions again with a light cross-offshore SSE breeze and a 2ft swell from the SSW. It’s small, but the period is a reasonable 14 seconds, so there’ll be a bit of energy behind it. The combined energy is 398 – moderate. This is your second-best window. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean and fun for a longboard or a fish.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Saturday the 22nd has a moderate breeze making things choppy, and from Sunday the 23rd through to Thursday the 27th, we’re looking at tiny, weak swells with combined energy dropping as low as 121. The swell is mostly from SW or SSW, and the periods are all over the place, from 6 to 18 seconds. Nothing to get stoked about. There’s a brief spike on Tuesday the 25th afternoon with 5ft from the WNW but the period is a dismal 6 seconds and it’s onshore wind – that’s just closeouts and whitewater.

So, to sum it up: the best surf on offer is the clean, small morning sessions on Thursday, August 13th and Friday, August 21st. Both are for beginners or those who just want a gentle paddle. Everything else is a hard pass. Keep your eyes on the forecast, because it might change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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