Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 14 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.5° C
0.8° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 909 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Wed 15th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf11PM (Sat 18th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s
Most Powerful11PM (Sat 18th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Cox Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Overall, it’s a mixed bag. The first few days are pretty lacklustre – small, messy, and not really worth paddling out for. The best stuff is tucked away in the second week, with a couple of standout mornings that’ll get your heart pumping. There’s a gap of poor or marginal conditions from the start all the way through to the 20th, so don’t rush.

Wednesday 15th and Thursday 16th are write-offs. Wednesday morning has a tiny 3ft swell from the WNW with a short 9-second period, plus cross-shore wind and weak energy (307). It’s just not happening. Thursday is even smaller – 2ft in the morning and 2ft in the afternoon – with a long period swell (17-18 seconds) but the energy is moderate (357-436). The cross-off wind in the morning keeps it clean, but the size is too small for any real fun.

Friday 17th morning is the first real glimmer. Cox Bay picks up a 3ft swell from the west, 11-second period, with cross-off wind and clean conditions. The energy is moderate (508), and it’s the best of the first week. The afternoon though, the wind swings onshore and kills it.

Saturday 18th and Sunday 19th are a step up in size but not in quality. Saturday morning sees 2ft from the west with a long 15-second period and cross-on wind, energy moderate (387). Saturday afternoon gets a 5ft swell but it’s short period (7 seconds) and onshore – choppy and no good. Sunday morning has 5ft again, 8-second period, cross-on wind, and moderate energy (547). It’s lumpy. Sunday afternoon is similar but worse.

Monday 20th morning is a beauty. The swell drops to 2ft from the SW but with a very long 17-second groundswell, glassy conditions, and moderate energy (491). The water temp is about average for the time of year. It’s clean, small, and perfect for a longboard. The afternoon sees cross-on wind mess it up again.

Tuesday 21st afternoon is another glassy moment – 2ft, SW, 16-second period, clean. The energy is moderate (399). A nice little session for those who like it smooth.

From Wednesday 22nd through to the end of the month, the swell stays small (1ft to 6ft) and the wind is mostly cross or onshore. The energy ramps up into the high hundreds and even over 1000 by the 26th, but the conditions are never quite right. The 27th afternoon sees a 6ft WNW swell, but the onshore wind and short period (8 seconds) make it a messy one for experts only.

The standout is definitely Friday 17th morning – clean, cross-off wind, 3ft west swell, and decent energy. The second standout is Monday 20th morning – glassy, long period groundswell, and tiny but clean. If you’re after a bit more size, the 27th afternoon has 6ft, but it’s only for the experienced and the wind isn’t kind.

Cox Bay can get crowded sometimes, so keep that in mind. For now, wait for the 17th or the 20th morning and you’ll score.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue night, min 13°C on Thu afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 14°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tue
21
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
2
1
1
2
3
1
1
1
0
3
2
0
3
2
1
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
10
0.9
WNW
9
0.4
SW
18
1
W
8
0.5
W
18
0.6
W
17
0.6
W
17
1
W
11
1.1
WNW
10
1
WNW
10
0.6
W
15
1.6
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
9
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
17
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
160
135
120
137
152
199
204
242
255
201
167
259
449
310
280
363
243
235
125
203
258
Wind (km/h)
0
W
5
SSW
10
WNW
0
NE
15
SSE
10
S
10
SE
10
SSE
10
WNW
15
NW
5
SSW
10
WNW
5
ESE
10
SW
10
WNW
0
N
5
SW
10
WNW
5
ENE
10
S
5
WNW
Wind State
glassy
cross
on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross
glassy
High Tide
1:20AM3.73m
2:43PM3.18m
2:13AM3.64m
3:25PM3.24m
3:05AM3.46m
4:06PM3.27m
3:56AM3.23m
4:46PM3.27m
4:47AM2.96m
5:26PM3.23m
5:42AM2.70m
6:09PM3.16m
6:46AM2.48m
6:55PM3.08m
Low Tide
8:15AM-0.16m
8:12PM1.22m
8:58AM-0.08m
9:05PM1.11m
9:39AM0.10m
9:58PM1.04m
10:18AM0.36m
10:52PM1.02m
10:57AM0.68m
11:49PM1.03m
11:37AM1.02m
00:50AM1.05m
12:21PM1.35m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:33
5:35
5:35
5:37
5:39
5:39
5:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:23
9:22
9:22
9:21
9:20
9:19
9:17
9:16
 mm
1
4
Temp °C
16
15
15
16
15
15
14
14
15
15
14
15
15
15
16
18
19
19
19
17
16
Feels °C
14
15
14
14
15
14
13
13
14
13
15
13
14
16
14
17
19
19
19
16
16
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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