Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 25 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
16.3° C
1.9° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 846 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 22s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 22s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Sat 25th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 22s
Best Surf 8AM (Tue 28th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 18s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 28th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into what’s on tap for our local stretch, Cox Bay.

First thing you’ll notice is the water temperature is sitting at 61°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a nice little bonus for the summer sessions.

The overall pattern kicks off with some small but clean options, then fades into a long stretch of onshore junk before maybe giving us a little window of hope way down the line. The best surf is right at the start, so don’t sleep on it.

Saturday, July 25th is your best bet. We’ve got a clean 2ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long period of 24 seconds. The morning is cross-off, but the afternoon really locks in with a gentle offshore breeze. The energy is solid (571) and the wave comment says it all – expect very good surf. For a summer day, this is a standout. The swell direction is a perfect match for the break’s optimum exposure.

Sunday, July 26th morning is a write-off with heavy rain and onshore wind, but the afternoon cleans up nicely. You’ll find a 3ft SW swell, still solid energy (841), and light cross-off wind. Surfable and fun, but not as clean as Saturday.

After that, the week goes downhill. From Monday, July 27th through to Wednesday, July 30th, we’re dealing with onshore winds and choppy, poor conditions. The swell hangs around 3ft to 4ft, but the wind is just wrong for Cox Bay. Tuesday morning has a peak in energy (1024) but the cross-shore wind kills it.

Thursday, July 31st through to Saturday, August 2nd is more of the same – onshore wind, poor surf, and pretty much a write-off for paddle surfing. The wind is howling from the west, and with the swell picking up to 6ft on Sunday afternoon, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Then we hit a dry spell. Monday, August 3rd morning is a tease. We get a glassy 4ft W swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s weak and lumpy (270). The rest of that week is just onshore trash.

The real gap hits from Monday, August 3rd afternoon right through to Sunday, August 9th. That’s nearly a full week of poor surf with onshore winds and tiny, weak waves. The energy drops to just 125-179, and the swell is under 2ft.

Friday, August 7th morning is the only glimmer in the second week. Glassy conditions, a tiny 3ft WNW swell, but it’s surfable. After that, it’s a complete flat spell to finish the outlook.

So, the standout is Saturday afternoon, July 25th. Get out there. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 80mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon night, min 12°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
3
3
2
3
2
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
24
0.8
SW
22
0.9
SW
21
0.8
SW
21
1
SW
20
0.9
SSW
19
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
1.1
SW
18
1.1
SW
19
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SSW
17
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
17
0.9
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
368
553
664
508
746
657
475
522
727
837
326
498
695
695
458
545
452
430
220
287
268
Wind (km/h)
15
ESE
15
E
10
SE
10
WSW
10
SSE
10
ESE
25
SE
20
ESE
25
SSE
10
S
10
WSW
10
NW
15
W
15
WNW
10
NW
10
W
15
WNW
10
NW
10
W
10
W
10
SE
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
on
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-off
High Tide
11:45AM2.54m
10:36PM3.08m
12:28PM2.64m
11:22PM3.15m
1:03PM2.74m
00:05AM3.22m
1:35PM2.83m
00:45AM3.27m
2:05PM2.90m
1:23AM3.28m
2:35PM2.98m
2:01AM3.26m
3:04PM3.04m
2:40AM3.19m
Low Tide
4:42PM1.85m
5:51AM0.69m
5:30PM1.79m
6:32AM0.57m
6:12PM1.70m
7:07AM0.47m
6:50PM1.59m
7:40AM0.40m
7:28PM1.47m
8:10AM0.38m
8:06PM1.35m
8:39AM0.40m
8:46PM1.23m
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
light rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:46
5:47
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:12
9:10
9:09
9:07
9:07
9:06
9:04
 mm
2
18
25
5
1
2
3
24
1
4
Temp °C
14
15
15
14
14
14
14
15
16
15
15
14
13
14
14
14
15
15
15
16
16
Feels °C
12
13
12
12
13
13
12
12
13
15
13
13
12
11
11
12
12
12
14
15
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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