Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at this next stretch for Cox Bay, and I’ve gotta say – it’s a bit of a mixed bag with some real gems hidden in there if you’re patient. The overall pattern starts with a small, weak swell that’s got some serious long-period grunt behind it, but the wind is a problem early on. Then we get a nice little window of clean, glassy conditions that’ll have you grinning, before a run of cleaner but punchier waves rolls in over the weekend. After that, it’s a rough patch of onshore slop for a few days, before a pulse of bigger, wind-ruined swell tries to show up. The standout is the Thursday morning session, absolute magic.

Right now, Wednesday afternoon is a write-off – 3 ft of SSW swell at 18 seconds, but it’s getting hammered by a 25 km/h WNW wind, so just leave it. The water is sitting at 56°, which is about average for this time of year.

Thursday, the 9th of July, is your best bet. Thursday morning at Cox Bay is looking like a dream: 3 ft of long-period SSW groundswell (16 seconds), but the wind is dead calm, glassy as a mirror. That’s going to be clean, peeling lines. The combined energy is moderate (609), so there’s some push. Not a big wave, but perfect for a beginner-friendly session. Thursday afternoon stays glassy with a whisper of ESE wind, energy builds to 780, and the same swell – still clean. If you’ve got a log or a funboard, this is the time.

Friday the 10th gets a bit messy with a light onshore breeze kicking in, and those same 3 ft swells dropping to 15 seconds. The surf is still rideable, but it’s losing that magic. Saturday the 11th brings a shift: a new 4 ft W swell at 10 seconds. The morning has a cross-off SE wind, keeping it clean, and the combined energy is 620 – moderate. Saturday afternoon is even better with a light offshore E wind, clean waves, and energy still at 591. This is a solid day for a bigger board, not too big for beginners.

Sunday the 12th drops back to 2 ft SW swell, and the wind goes crossshore or onshore – not great. Monday the 13th has a tiny 2 ft SSW swell, but Monday morning is glassy again, so the pros might get a few long rides on the point. The rest of the week from Tuesday the 14th through Friday the 17th is a mix of small, weak swells and onshore winds – a few clean moments but mostly poor. The combined energy drops to the 200–400 range, so it’s weak.

The weekend of the 19th sees a bigger pulse: 5 ft to 8 ft WNW swell rolls in, but the wind is strong onshore, putting it in the “too big for beginners” territory and making it a mess for everyone. The 20th and 21st are similar – big but blown out. The final highlight is Wednesday the 22nd morning: 5 ft WNW swell at a short 6 seconds, but the wind is glassy, and the combined energy is 299. That’s going to be a clean, punchy little wave for the early birds, but with that short period, it’ll be a bit crumbly on the beach. Still, if you’re keen, it’s the best of that last week.

In short: Thursday the 9th is the standout – glassy, long-period, clean. Saturday the 11th is a solid second pick. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty

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