Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the first few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a slow start with tiny, weak swell and mostly dodgy wind. It’s not until Wednesday afternoon that things start to wake up a bit. The good news is that once we get past that initial flat spell, there’s a solid run of waves building, especially towards the end of the week and into the next.

The standout window is definitely the morning of Thursday, July 24th. That’s the one you want to circle on the calendar. We’re looking at a solid 8ft swell from the WNW, and with clean, cross-offshore winds from the SE, it’s gonna be firing. The combined energy is a massive 1,622 – that’s serious power. This is strictly for the experienced crew, though. It’s going to be a heavy, powerful day. For the rest of us, the mornings of Wednesday, July 23rd and Friday, July 25th are also looking great. On Wednesday the 23rd, we’ve got a clean 5ft from the WNW with glassy conditions in the morning – perfect for a fun, manageable session. Friday the 25th has a clean 5ft from the W with light cross-offshore winds.

Let’s break it down day by day. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th are tiny – 2ft and 1ft – with either onshore choppy winds or just weak, marginal energy. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday morning the 15th is still small and cross-shore, but Wednesday afternoon we get a 4ft, 8-second swell from the west with glassy winds. That’s the first real chance for a clean wave. Thursday morning the 16th is even better – 4ft, glassy, and a bit more energy (414). Thursday afternoon gets blown out, so stick to the morning.

Friday the 17th is a good one. The morning is clean with a solid 5ft, and the afternoon bumps up to 5ft with very good conditions and a cross-offshore wind. That’s a solid day all around. Saturday the 18th is a morning mission only – 4ft and clean, but the afternoon gets choppy again. Sunday the 19th has a weird long-period swell (19 seconds) but only 2ft, and the wind is messy. It’s a pass.

Now we hit a bit of a lull. Monday the 20th through Tuesday the 22nd are mostly small, with onshore winds and marginal conditions. It’s not totally flat, but nothing to get excited about. Then Wednesday the 23rd morning – glassy, 5ft from the WNW. That’s a sneaky good session. And then Thursday the 24th morning – that’s the big one. 8ft, clean, cross-offshore. If you’ve got the skill, that’s the day. Friday the 25th is still solid with 5ft and clean winds. Saturday the 26th is smaller again at 4ft, but glassy in the morning, making it a nice, mellow surf.

The final few days, from Sunday the 27th into Tuesday the 28th, we see the swell dropping back down to small, messy levels. The morning of the 28th has a 4ft from the west with a 10-second period, which is okay, but the wind is cross-shore, making it average.

So, to wrap it up: the best bet is the morning of Thursday, July 24th for the experts. For everyone else, the mornings of July 23rd and July 25th are your best chances for clean, fun waves. Water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so don’t forget the wetsuit.

Rusty.

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