Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Grab a coffee and let’s look at what’s shaping up at Cox Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the coming days are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some consistent groundswell energy, but the wind and conditions are going to be a real puzzle. The water temperature is sitting at about 59°, which is normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The best window, and honestly the only real standout in this whole 16-day run, is Thursday the 30th of July through to Friday the 31st of July. On Thursday morning, we’ve got a 3 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and with light SSE cross-offshore winds, the wave face is going to be clean. The combined energy is moderate (662). Thursday afternoon turns even better with a pure offshore breeze from the ESE, cleaning up that 3 ft SSW swell. That’s your prime session. Friday morning is also a solid call with a 2 ft SW swell and 15-second period, and a 15 mph ESE offshore wind keeping things tidy. The energy is moderate (530). Friday afternoon holds up with a cross-offshore wind and a 3 ft SSW swell. For a beach and point setup like Cox Bay, that long period is going to offer some nice lines, but it might be a little too straight for the beach proper, so look for the point to handle it best.

After that, the weekend and the following week look pretty grim. The swell drops off, period shortens, and the wind swings onshore or cross-onshore, making for choppy, messy conditions. Saturday the 1st of August and Sunday the 2nd are small and weak, with very low energy and poor wind. From Monday the 3rd of August through to the 10th of August, the data is mostly “poor surf conditions” or “marginal” – there’s just no quality on offer. The swell is either tiny, or when it does pop up around 7 ft to 8 ft on the 5th and 6th of August, the wind is howling from the WNW, making it too blown out and choppy for a good paddle. That 8 ft swell on the 6th of August with strong onshore wind is strictly for the experienced, and even then, it’s going to be a battle.

There is a little flicker of hope on the 11th of August, Tuesday morning. A 2 ft W swell with a 15-second period and glassy conditions. That’s a rare, clean slot, but it’s tiny. The energy is low (315). It’s promising, but it’s a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed.

So, to sum it up: the only real window to get excited about is Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st of July. The rest of the period is a write-off with a long gap of messy, small or blown-out surf. Stick to those two days, and you’ll get the best of what’s on offer.

Rusty.

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