Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Cox Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 01 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
14.5°C
0.3° 

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, W swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, W swell with 1,160 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 1.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Wed 2nd Sep)5ft (1.5m) 10s
Best Surf11PM (Wed 2nd Sep)6ft (1.9m) 13s
Most Powerful11PM (Wed 2nd Sep)6ft (1.9m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Cox Bay, but you’ll need to pick your windows carefully—there’s some weather to work around.

The start of the period looks promising. Tuesday morning, September 1st, we’ve got waist-high swell rolling in at 2ft from the SW, with a long 14-second period making for some nice, lined-up waves. The wind is a light cross-off breeze at 6 mph, so the surface will be clean. Combine that with moderate wave energy (367), and it’s a great way to kick off the session. The water temperature is 58°, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Tuesday afternoon gets a bit messier with the wind picking up, so I’d stick to the morning.

Wednesday the 2nd brings a change. The morning is a write-off with heavy rain and gusty cross-off winds at 22 mph, and the swell jumps to 5ft, but with a short, weak 7-second period—no good. However, Wednesday afternoon is a hidden gem. The wind swings offshore from the east at 9 mph, and you’ve got a 5ft swell from the west with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate-strong (646), and the conditions are clean. That’s a standout session for the more experienced surfers.

Thursday the 3rd holds in clean with light winds and 5ft to 3ft swell from the west. The morning is the pick with very light cross-off airs and solid wave energy (639). Friday the 4th is a special one. Friday morning you’ve got a tiny 2ft swell, but it’s a very long-period groundswell at 19 seconds from the SSW. The wave energy is still moderate (537), and the wind is light cross-off. Friday afternoon is even better—glassy conditions with a 2ft, 18-second swell from the SW. That’s a true standout for a clean, long-waited session, best on a point or reef setup.

The weekend takes a dip. Saturday and Sunday see smaller swells and cross-onshore winds creeping in. The mornings are still worth a paddle if you’re desperate, but the quality drops.

The second week is a mixed bag. Monday the 7th is a no-go with onshore winds and a building 7ft windswell—choppy and messy. Tuesday the 8th is poor. Wednesday the 9th gets interesting with a pulse of 6ft from the WNW early, but the wind is onshore, and the energy is strong (1293), but the surface is lumpy. Thursday the 10th is a redemption day. Glassy conditions in the morning with a clean 4ft west swell at 11 seconds—moderate energy (632) and a real treat.

Friday the 11th through Sunday the 13th is marginal. The swell hangs around 5ft to 5ft but with short periods and cross-shore winds. It’s surfable, but not stellar.

The very end of the run, September 16th, brings a big swell. Wednesday morning sees 8ft from the west at 12 seconds, with very strong energy (1733). That’s big, powerful, and only for experts. The wind is light cross-on, so it’s clean but heavy. If you’re a charger, that’s your window.

The standout days: Wednesday afternoon, September 2nd for the offshore winds and clean 5ft swell, and Thursday morning, September 10th for the glassy conditions and solid groundswell. For the long-period lovers, Friday the 4th afternoon is a must.

Cox Bay is a beach and point setup, so with that long-period stuff, the point will hold it best. Crowds are possible here, especially on the clean days, so get in early.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 76mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, strong winds from the SE by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 13°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
0
3
4
3
2
2
3
3
2
2
1
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
14
1.2
WSW
7
1.6
SSW
7
1.5
W
10
2
W
11
1.4
W
10
1
W
10
0.6
SW
19
0.6
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
17
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
2
WNW
6
1.6
WNW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
211
166
140
263
452
1001
384
192
287
246
345
399
390
355
330
318
294
339
268
329
212
Wind (km/h)
10
SSE
20
SE
45
SE
35
SE
15
E
10
E
5
SE
5
ESE
5
ESE
10
SE
5
WNW
5
NNW
5
S
10
NW
5
NNE
5
W
10
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
25
WNW
10
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
High Tide
3:57PM3.43m
4:46AM2.79m
4:36PM3.39m
5:46AM2.62m
5:23PM3.32m
7:04AM2.49m
6:24PM3.21m
8:36AM2.47m
7:44PM3.15m
10:01AM2.59m
9:08PM3.19m
11:03AM2.77m
10:20PM3.29m
Low Tide
9:37AM1.03m
10:35PM0.64m
10:15AM1.29m
11:30PM0.70m
10:59AM1.54m
00:36AM0.77m
11:58AM1.77m
1:53AM0.78m
1:27PM1.89m
3:12AM0.71m
3:05PM1.83m
4:21AM0.55m
4:24PM1.62m
clear
cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
light rain
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:39
6:39
6:41
6:43
6:45
6:46
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:06
8:04
8:01
8:00
7:58
7:55
7:53
 mm
9
38
18
3
2
3
3
Temp °C
15
15
15
14
14
14
13
12
12
14
13
15
15
16
17
18
18
18
16
15
14
Feels °C
15
12
10
8
7
12
12
10
11
12
11
13
14
15
17
17
16
16
15
12
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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