Cox Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 49.10° N 125.88° W

Issued: 10 am 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cox Bay sea temperature is
13.1° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Cox Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cox Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SSW swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cox Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cox Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Sat 4th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 15s
Best Surf 2PM (Tue 7th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 8th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cox Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks around Cox Bay.

There’s a bit of a slow start, but don’t write it off just yet. The first few days are pretty marginal, with small swell and a bit of wind messing things up. The real standout action kicks off next week, with a couple of absolute gems to look forward to.

Friday morning the 3rd is worth a paddle if you’re keen. We’ve got a clean 2ft swell from the SSW, and the wind is glassy. The water’s sitting at 56°, which is just a touch cooler than usual for this time of year – not dramatic, but you’ll feel it in a spring suit. The combined swell energy is 321 – moderate – and with that 15-second period, you’re looking at long lines that’ll hold up beautifully on the point.

Later that afternoon and into Saturday, conditions get a bit choppier, with cross-on winds and lower scores. Saturday afternoon gets a bit of a bump in height to 2ft, but the wind is onshore and rough, so it’s not our best look.

We hit a rough patch from Sunday the 5th through to Monday the 7th. Swell picks up to 4ft, but the period drops right off to just 8 seconds, and winds are onshore or cross-on. The energy’s there (402 to 549) but it’s a messy, short-period windswell – best avoided unless you’re bored.

Now, mark your calendar for Tuesday afternoon, the 7th. This is a beauty. Under a bit of light rain, we’ve got a 2ft SSW groundswell pushing in with a 20-second period. Combined swell energy is 727, solidly moderate, and the wind is glassy. That’s a recipe for perfection at Cox Bay. The long period will work beautifully on the point, giving you smooth, lined-up waves with plenty of push for their size.

Wednesday morning the 8th keeps the magic rolling. Glassy conditions again from the SE, 2ft SSW swell at 18 seconds. Energy is 528 – it’s clean, it’s consistent, and the light air means it’s all about the wave face. Another morning not to miss.

Later Wednesday afternoon, the swell bumps to 3ft, but we lose the glass, with an onshore WNW breeze setting in. That trend sticks around through Thursday – onshore winds and poor conditions.

Then we get a second golden window. Friday the 10th is a dream. Morning brings a cross-off wind with 3ft SSW swell at 16 seconds – clean, rippable conditions (energy 596). Then Friday afternoon goes glassy again, same 3ft swell, 15-second period, energy 501. Honestly, if you can only pick one day in the whole run, Friday the 10th is the call. Two sessions of absolute glassy gold.

The second week is a mixed bag. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th have small swell but are plagued by onshore and cross-on winds. It drops off hard from Monday the 13th through Wednesday the 15th – very small (2ft to 2ft), very onshore, and combined energy tumbling to as low as 180. That’s weak, messy, not worth the drive.

Thursday the 16th has a slight glimmer – 3ft W swell at 17 seconds, energy 471 – but the afternoon goes onshore. Friday the 17th is similarly marginal with side-shore winds.

The very last day, Saturday the 18th, throws up a bit more size at 5ft from the W, but watch out – the period is only 8 seconds, and it’s cross-on. That’s a short-period windswell, not the kind of quality we love. Energy is 424, so there’s some push, but for a spot like Cox Bay, the longer-period stuff is what we’re after.

So, bottom line – your absolute standouts are Tuesday afternoon the 7th and the full Friday the 10th. Both have glassy conditions, classic long-period SSW groundswell, and the kind of clean face that will make you forget about the flat spells. Don’t sleep on those windows.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
2
3
3
1
1
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
16
1.7
WNW
8
1.3
W
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
7
0.7
SW
18
1.6
WNW
6
0.6
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
18
0.9
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
158
174
142
144
217
383
234
246
285
316
165
305
264
388
388
323
547
399
464
447
381
Wind (km/h)
5
SSW
5
WNW
5
NNW
5
SSW
15
WNW
10
NNW
5
W
20
WNW
10
WNW
10
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
10
W
5
WSW
10
S
5
SE
10
WNW
10
NW
15
W
15
WNW
5
WNW
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross
glassy
on
cross-on
on
on
glassy
High Tide
4:12PM2.91m
3:34AM3.05m
4:47PM2.94m
4:19AM2.90m
5:23PM2.98m
5:11AM2.73m
6:02PM3.03m
6:11AM2.57m
6:46PM3.11m
7:25AM2.45m
7:37PM3.20m
8:49AM2.43m
8:32PM3.31m
Low Tide
9:39AM0.48m
9:47PM1.47m
10:12AM0.58m
10:35PM1.40m
10:46AM0.71m
11:28PM1.31m
11:24AM0.89m
00:28AM1.20m
12:06PM1.11m
1:31AM1.05m
12:57PM1.33m
2:36AM0.86m
1:58PM1.54m
3:41AM0.64m
cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:24
5:24
5:24
5:26
5:26
5:28
5:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:30
9:30
9:30
9:29
9:29
9:28
9:28
 mm
6
14
1
Temp °C
13
13
13
12
12
12
13
14
13
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
12
12
Feels °C
13
13
11
12
11
8
13
10
10
13
10
9
12
13
13
13
11
10
11
9
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
W
8
1.1
W
8
0.9
W
8
0.8
W
8
0.7
SSW
16
1.4
WNW
8
1.3
W
8
0.6
SSW
14
1.5
WNW
7
0.7
WNW
9
0.5
SW
18
0.6
W
9
0.8
W
8
1
W
8
1.1
W
8
1.1
W
8
0.9
SSW
18
1.1
W
8
1
W
8
1
W
8
0.9
SW
16
Energy kJ
148
156
108
86
217
251
234
136
204
86
152
56
92
133
153
152
547
169
130
124
381
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.5
W
12
0.6
SSW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.5
W
12
0.7
W
10
0.7
SW
18
0.4
SW
13
0.6
SSW
21
0.7
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
W
9
Energy kJ
158
174
142
144
70
166
95
71
106
316
43
305
264
388
388
323
142
399
464
447
101
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
14
0.3
SSW
18
0.4
SSW
18
0.4
WNW
12
0.2
SSW
21
0.4
W
13
0.5
W
12
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SSW
14
0.4
SW
24
0.2
SSW
23
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.4
SW
14
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.1
S
11
0.4
SSW
19
0.4
SW
13
Energy kJ
15
61
121
49
45
55
73
96
138
141
54
150
116
206
206
53
142
142
2
123
44
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
W
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
7
1.2
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
6
1
WNW
5
1.1
W
8
Energy kJ
134
383
246
285
131
165
58
173
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
3
3
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
3
2
3
1
3
3
3
3
Distance (km)
0
93
0
123
1019
1
119
687
93
123
1386
123
687
0
119
0
123
93
1285
93
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Vancouver Island
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
3
1
1
2
1
1
3
1
3
1
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Canada
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
3
1
2
2
1
1
3
1
3
1
3
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
6
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
4
5
9
8
9
6
5
5
8
5
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cox Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cox Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cox Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cox Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cox Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cox Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cox Bay is 77 km (48 miles) from Gold River. If you plan a holiday in Vancouver Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Gold River. Gold River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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