10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s cut to it. 10th Street (Avalon) is looking pretty grim for the next couple of weeks. The water’s sitting at 77°, which is much warmer than normal – over four and a half degrees above average for this time of year, so you’ll notice that warm bath when you get in.

We start Monday, August 31st with a risk of thunderstorms, a light cross-onshore breeze from the east at 6 mph, and tiny 1 ft swell from the southeast at 8 seconds. The combined energy is only 16 (weak) – basically flat and messy. Tuesday is clean but still tiny, and Wednesday picks up a little to 2 ft with an 11-second period, giving us moderate energy (132), but the wind is cross-shore and conditions are poor.

Thursday morning, September 3rd, is the first real chance – cross-offshore wind, clean faces, and 3 ft easterly swell with a short 6-second period. Energy is moderate (112), but it’s surfable in a very ordinary way. The problem is this break is inconsistent, and it rarely fires, so you’ll be hunting for anything rideable.

From there, it’s a long dry spell. Friday through Sunday, September 6th, we see a jump in swell to 5 ft and 5 ft, but the wind is cross or cross-on, and conditions are poor. Energy climbs to 273 on Sunday afternoon, but with onshore wind and short period, it’s just not worth it.

Monday, September 7th, morning has clean conditions with west wind at 6 mph, 3 ft swell from the east-northeast at 9 seconds, and moderate energy (169) – but again, only “surfable but very ordinary.”

The rest of the first week and into the second week is more of the same: small swell, poor quality, and few decent windows. The standout, if you can call it that, is Saturday, September 12th. Morning brings offshore wind from the west-northwest at 12 mph, clean faces, and 4 ft swell from the south at a short 5 seconds. Energy is moderate (130), and it’s the best we’ve got, but that short period means waves will be soft and crumbly. Still, it’s offshore and clean, so for a local, it’s the pick of a mediocre bunch. Late in the day, the wind picks up to 19 mph offshore, which is too strong for most.

The 13th through 15th of September are back to tiny, clean but small, with combined energy dropping to 20-29 (weak). Monday morning, September 14th, has glassy conditions with a whisper of north-northeast wind, but only 1 ft of swell – it’s a lake.

Overall, there’s no real standout here. The best you can hope for is a few clean, small waves on Saturday the 12th morning, but don’t expect much. This break is inconsistent, and the next couple of weeks look lean. Keep an eye on the forecast, but for now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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