10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let me break it down for you – the next sixteen days at 10th Street in Avalon are looking flat and grim. There’s a long dry spell right at the start, and things don’t really improve.

The first few days are a total washout. Thursday morning, September 3rd, kicks off with a tiny 2 ft swell out of the southeast, period around 9 seconds. The combined energy is weak at 80. We get a light cross-offshore breeze, but the waves are described as "very ordinary". The water temperature is a balmy 78°, which is a massive 6° warmer than usual—really unusual, feels like a hot tub. Still, it’s not enough to save it. The rest of Thursday and all of Friday, Saturday, and Sunday are poor, with swell dropping to 1 ft and 1 ft, and wind all over the place. The energy numbers fall into the teens and twenties—basically flat.

Monday, September 7th, is the only real bright spot. The morning shows a 2 ft easterly swell with a period stretching out to 11 seconds. That’s a groundswell, which at a beach/jetty spot like this might break a bit straight, but it’s got some juice. A light offshore wind from the NNW keeps it clean, and the combined energy hits 129 (moderate). It’s marginal—still only a 2 ft wave—but it’s the cleanest surf you’ll see in the whole window. The afternoon turns cross-shore and messy.

After that, it’s a long run of tiny, weak surf. From the 8th through the 10th, we’re talking 1 ft to 2 ft of swell with periods between 5 and 10 seconds and energy barely above 100. A strong onshore wind on the 9th afternoon with a fresh 19 mph southerly makes it lumpy and ugly. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The second week stays stubbornly small. By September 17th, there’s a 0.7 ft pulse from the east-southeast with a very long 13-second period, but it’s just too small to do anything with. Offshore winds keep it clean, but you’ll be floating around with nothing to ride. The best you can say is the conditions are glassy and the water is warm, but the wave energy is gone.

The one and only standout is the morning of Monday, September 7th at 10th Street. That’s your window: 2 ft, long period, light offshore wind, and moderate energy. For a break that’s inconsistent, getting any kind of clean pulse is a minor victory. Keep your expectations in check, but if you’ve got to get wet, that’s the time.

Other than that, it’s a long, quiet stretch. For this area, a blank run like this isn’t unheard of, but it’s a bummer. Forecasts can always flip, so don’t lose all hope, but right now, I’d save your wax.

Rusty.

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