10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this is one of those tough outlooks where you might want to keep the board in the car but not get your hopes up. We've got a long 16-day window, and frankly, the first twelve days or so are pretty flat.

We start looking at Saturday, August 15th. The swell is tiny, around 1ft from the southeast, and the period is short at 9 seconds. The wind is light and cross-shore, but with that kind of energy, calling it 'surf' is a stretch. This pattern of minimal swell and onshore or cross-onshore breezes continues right through.

There is a bit of a pulse in energy around Wednesday the 19th, with the swell bumping up to 2ft. The combined energy gets to 60, which is still very weak, and it’s from the southeast with a short period. The wind is light and cross-shore on the morning, but by afternoon it's onshore and choppy. Not a day to plan around.

We see a similar slight uptick on Friday the 21st, with a 2ft swell, but again, it's short period (8 seconds) and the wind is bumpy. Nothing is coming together for a decent session.

You’ll have to wait until Friday, August 28th, for any real change in the numbers. That day, the swell jumps to 8ft from the east-northeast, but it's a short-period, wind-driven swell (7 seconds). The combined energy is a massive 609, indicating a lot of power, but the conditions are messy. The morning wind is cross-offshore, which is clean, but the afternoon turns cross-onshore and choppy. For 10th Street (Avalon), which is a beach/jetty setup, a 8ft short-period swell with that kind of power is strictly for experts. It's going to be a thumping, dumpy closeout in most spots. The wave state is marginal, and the tide could be an issue. This is the only real window of size in the forecast, but it comes with plenty of caveats.

The pattern for the final days, into the 30th, sees the swell drop back down. The water temp, by the way, is sitting at 77°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year around here.

So, to sum it up: we are in a flat spell. For the first 12 days, you’d be better off finding a lake or a pool. The only standout is that Friday the 28th, but it looks more interesting for bodyboarders or those on bigger boards at a slab, rather than a clean, longboard-style day. Keep an eye on the forecasts; it tends not to stay this flat for long.

- Rusty

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