10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get the stoke meter out for this one. I’ve looked over the next 16 days for 10th Street (Avalon), and I’ll be honest with you – it’s a tough stretch. The swell is tiny and the wind is working against us most of the time. We’re looking at a long, quiet run with very little to get excited about.

The water is sitting at 77° this week, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

We kick off Monday the 24th with a tiny 1 ft SE swell. The wind is light and cross-offshore, but the energy is just too weak (39 combined energy) to push anything proper. The same story rolls through Tuesday and Wednesday – nothing on offer. This is a real dry spell.

Thursday the 27th sees a slight bump to 2 ft to 2 ft from the ESE with a short period of 8 seconds, but the wind is onshore and choppy. The energy creeps up to 122 (moderate) by the afternoon, but it’s messy. Not worth paddling out for.

The closest we get to a window is on Monday the 31st of August. The swell drops to 1.0 ft, but the period goes nuclear at 18 seconds from the SE. That’s a very long period groundswell, and it’s pushing 96 combined energy (moderate). The catch is it’s a beach/jetty setup, and long-period swells like that can break too straight for beach breaks. Still, a gentle offshore wind from the WNW might make it look better than it is. I’d call it a long shot.

Then on Tuesday the 1st of September, we get a brief moment of class. A 2 ft SE swell with a 15-second period, glassy conditions in the morning, and 131 moderate energy. For a few hours, it could be clean and fun for a log or a mid-length. But it’s inconsistent at this spot, and the crowd factor is there sometimes.

From the 2nd of September onward, the swell picks up a little – into the 3 ft to 4 ft range – but the wind turns nasty. Strong cross-shore and cross-onshore breezes, with energy climbing to 394 (strong) by the 4th. The swell direction is SE, but the wind is from the ENE and NE, making it a lumpy, choppy mess. By the 5th and 6th, the swell hits 6 ft from the ENE (6-second period) with a strong breeze, and the combined energy is over 500 (strong to very strong). That’s a lot of moving water, but the wind is ruining it. For a beach/jetty break, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The final chance comes on Monday the 7th of September. We see a 4 ft ESE swell, period at 9 seconds, with a cross-offshore breeze and 267 combined energy (moderate). The morning has a gentle breeze and clean conditions. It’s marginal, but it’s the best we’ve seen in a while. The next morning, Tuesday the 8th, is glassy with a 4 ft easterly swell and 212 energy – again, clean, but ordinary.

Honestly, the standout is Tuesday the 1st of September. That glassy morning with a long-period SE swell is the only true highlight in this 16-day stretch. It’s not a classic, but if you’re desperate, that’s your window.

- Rusty

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