10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch ahead at 10th Street in Avalon. To be honest, the surf through this whole 16-day window is a no-go. There’s nothing in the water worth paddling out for. The first day with even a mention of something surfable isn’t until Wednesday, September 9th, so we’re looking at a solid two-week gap of flat, junk conditions before we get any kind of look.

For the entire first part of the run, the energy is just embarrassing. Most days the combined swell energy sits in the teens or 30s, with a few brief bumps into the low 100s, but it’s all short-period, onshore slop. From Tuesday, August 25th all the way into early September, every session is flagged as "poor surf conditions." Winds are mostly cross-on or cross-off, with a few clean windows but nothing behind it. Even on a rare clean morning, the swell is only 1 ft to 2 ft with weak period – just not enough push to make a wave.

The water temps are a touch warmer than normal for the time of year. On the first Tuesday afternoon, the water is sitting at 77°, about 4° above average. So the bath is nice, but there’s nothing to ride.

Now, for that one lone bright spot. On Wednesday, September 9th, things finally look a little different. We get a solid offshore wind from the NW, clean conditions, and the swell bumps up to 2 ft from the East with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 97, which is the highest we’ll see all forecast, and the waves are described as “surfable.” It’s not pumping, but after two weeks of zero, that counts as the standout. The offshore wind (NW) is a good match for the optimum direction (NW) and will keep things clean, but be aware this spot is inconsistent, so don’t expect magic. It’s a beach/jetty setup that’s fairly exposed to the NE, and the E swell direction isn’t perfect, but it’s the only real chance we’ve got. Crowds are possible here at times, but on this small, marginal day, you might have the place to yourself.

Bottom line: if you’re desperate for a surf, mark your calendar for September 9th. Everything before that is a flat, blown-out write-off. Until then, the kites might find something on those windier afternoons, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts can always shift, but right now it’s a desert.

Rusty.

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