10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Yo, surfers, it's Rusty here. Let's be real about the 16-day outlook for 10th Street (Avalon). The honest truth is, this stretch is looking like a flat spell with very few windows of opportunity. The water is sitting at 77°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won't need a thick suit.

The first week is a write-off. From Sunday the 30th of August right through to Friday the 4th of September, we're looking at tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. The swell energy is low, ranging from 27 to 115 (weak to lower end of moderate), and the period is short, meaning weak, walled-up waves. The winds are mostly cross or cross-on, making a mess of what little is there.

We get a small glimmer on Wednesday morning the 2nd of September. The swell bumps up to 2 ft from the SE with a period of 11 seconds, giving a combined energy of 115 (moderate). The wind goes glassy with a WNW breeze at 5 km/h. It's surfable, but it's very ordinary. The wave heights are still tiny, and the quality is poor.

Thursday morning the 3rd of September offers a similar story: 2 ft from the SE with a light WSW cross-off breeze at 10 km/h, making for clean conditions. Again, it's surfable but very ordinary, with weak energy at 69.

After that, it's back to the doldrums. From the 4th of September through the 6th, the swell drops to 0.7 ft to 1.0 ft, and the energy is 10 to 16 (weak). The wind is all over the place.

The second week looks a bit more promising but still not great. On Monday the 7th of September, the swell picks up again to 2 ft from the SSE, but the period is a terrible 5 seconds, and the wind is a moderate cross-shore. The wave energy is 33 (weak). The pattern continues with a 3 ft SSE swell on Monday afternoon, but again with a 5-second period and cross-onshore wind. This is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Wednesday the 9th of September sees the biggest swell of the entire period. The morning swell is 2 ft from the SE with a 156 (moderate) energy, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, making it choppy. The afternoon pushes up to 4 ft from the ENE with a 7-second period and a massive 324 (strong) energy. However, that strong onshore wind will ruin it. It's a messy, blown-out situation.

The last few days from the 10th to the 14th of September are a return to tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. The only bright spot is the wind turning offshore from the NW on the 12th and 13th of September, but with only 1 ft of swell, it's not enough to get excited about.

In short, this is a tough outlook. The swell is inconsistent, and the waves are rarely breaking well. The best we can say is that Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd of September offer the most surfable, but still very ordinary, conditions. The period from the 7th to the 9th of September has more energy, but the wind is against it. Don't hold your breath for any standouts; it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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