10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up for us at the home break.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and messy conditions ahead. The first real chance of anything rideable is a ways off, so don't bother checking the cam every morning just yet.

The sweet spot for the whole outlook is the early part of the second week. The standout by a long shot is Wednesday, September 9th, through the morning. We’re looking at a clean, offshore NW breeze of 25 mph all day, which is a huge plus. The swell will be a modest 3 ft coming from the east, but with a solid 11-second period, it’ll have some push. The wave energy is moderate at 272 (combined energy). That offshore wind is the real story here, making for clean, lined-up waves. This is the best option on the table, but keep in mind the easterly swell will be hitting the beach break, and with that long period, it might get a bit straight and fat in places. It’s a window for the more experienced crew, as it's the biggest and best quality we'll see.

Leading up to that, there's a lot of nothing. Before that Wednesday, we get a few slightly cleaner days on Friday, August 28th and Wednesday, September 3rd with small 2 ft to 3 ft waves and decent wind, but the energy is weak and the conditions are just "surfable." Not worth rushing for. The period from August 30th to September 3rd is a total write-off with barely any swell.

There is a notable bump on Monday, September 7th. Swell hits 3 ft from the east with a good 11-second period and moderate to strong energy (265), which is decent size, but the wind is cross or cross-onshore, making it choppy. The day before, Sunday the 6th, has clean but windy conditions with a 3 ft east swell and 98 energy.

And the water? When we do finally get a wave on the 7th, the temp on the 26th was 77°, which is about 4° warmer than normal. That’s a big anomaly for the time of year, so expect the water to feel noticeably warm for late August.

Because the swell is mostly under 5 ft and the quality is poor for so long, this setup looks better for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer on most days. But that Wednesday the 9th is our one true standout. It's a long way out, so don't hold your breath just yet, but it’s the one to watch.

Rusty.

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