10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve pored over the charts for our local break, and I’ve got to level with you—it’s a lean stretch ahead. There’s hardly a wave worth chasing over the next 16 days, and most of what we’ve got is a write-off. The only spot on the menu is 10th Street (Avalon), and it’s not exactly firing.

Starting Saturday, August 1st, we’ve got tiny surf with a combined energy of just 7—that’s weak. Saturday morning sees a 0.7ft swell from the ESE at 9 seconds, but with a cross-on southerly breeze at 6 mph, it’s messy and poor. Saturday afternoon picks up to 1ft from the SE, but the wind jumps to 12 mph and it’s choppy. No good.

Sunday, August 2nd, brings a 3ft swell from the SSE, but the period is a short 5 seconds—that’s windswell, not groundswell—and combined energy sits at 47 (still weak). The morning has an onshore wind at 12 mph, and by afternoon it’s cross-on and choppy. Poor.

Monday, August 3rd, is a total washout. Morning has a risk of thunderstorms with a strong cross-shore wind at 19 mph, and no swell height registered. Afternoon sees rain, but even with a light cross-offshore breeze, there’s zero swell. The combined energy is 0.

Tuesday, August 4th, morning offers a glassy 0.3ft from the east at 8 seconds—energy is just 1—but it’s so small it’s barely a ripple. Afternoon brings a risk of thunderstorms and a light cross-shore breeze. Still nothing.

We then go through a long stretch of poor surf: Wednesday, August 5th, has a 2ft to 4ft swell but with short periods and cross-on winds, making it choppy. Thursday, August 6th, afternoon sees a 5ft swell from the south at 6 seconds, with combined energy hitting 179 (moderate), but it’s cross-onshore and choppy—looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Friday, August 7th, stays small and clean but with no real energy.

The first glimmer comes on Saturday, August 8th, in the morning. We get a 3ft swell from the SSW at 6 seconds, combined energy of 115 (moderate), and a clean cross-offshore breeze from the WSW at 9 mph. The waves are surfable but very ordinary—still, it’s the best of a bad bunch. The afternoon drops back to 2ft and cross-shore chop.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Sunday, August 9th, through to Wednesday, August 12th, offers tiny swells under 2ft with weak energy, mostly cross-shore winds. Thursday, August 13th, and Friday, August 14th, bring gusty winds up to 19 mph, with only a brief uptick on Friday afternoon to 4ft from the south at 6 seconds—energy at 111 (moderate)—but with a cross-shore breeze, it’s lumpy and not clean.

The final days, August 15th and 16th, are tiny again—1.0ft to 2ft—with cross-shore winds and energy in the teens. No standout waves in the whole 16-day window.

Honestly, mates, this is a tough one. There’s no real standouts—the best on offer is Saturday morning, August 8th, at 10th Street, with a 3ft SSW swell and clean conditions, but it’s still just “surfable.” The water temperature is 75°—about normal for this time of year, no anomaly worth noting. For a spot that’s inconsistent and fairly exposed to the NE, we’re just not getting the right swell direction. It’s a blank run, and it’s not unusual for the area. Keep your eyes on the charts, though—it never stays poor forever.

Rusty.

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