10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s be straight up – the next couple of weeks at 10th Street (Avalon) are a real slow burn. We’ve got a long, quiet stretch ahead with barely a ripple for days on end. If you’re hanging for a wave, you’ll need to be patient, because the first bit of action that’s even worth talking about doesn’t show up until the tail end of the period.

Right now, and for the next several days, it’s flat. Like, flat flat. From Thursday the 6th of August right through to about Monday the 17th, you’re looking at swell heights mostly under 2 ft, with combined energy readings struggling to hit triple digits – we’re talking numbers like 79, 63, 39, down to single digits. That’s weak energy, no two ways about it. The wind’s all over the shop too, often cross-on or choppy, so there’s nothing to get excited about. The water temp is sitting at 25° with an anomaly of 1.0°, which is a touch warmer than average for the time of year – not a game-changer, but nice if you’re just floating around.

The one small glimmer comes on Wednesday the 19th of August. That morning, we’ve got a 4 ft swell from the south with a period of 6 seconds, combined energy hitting 130 (moderate energy), and offshore winds out of the NNW at 12 mph. That’s clean, offshore conditions, and the wave comment calls it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” Look, it’s not gonna blow your mind – short period, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and won’t have that long, drawn-out line – but it’s the best on offer by a long shot. The afternoon holds similar with 4 ft from the south, still offshore from the WNW, and energy at 125. This is strictly for the keen locals who just need a paddle. It’s a beach/jetty setup, so it can get a bit sectiony with that short period, but with the offshore wind, there’ll be some clean little walls.

Before that, on Tuesday the 18th of August afternoon, there’s a brief pulse of 4 ft from the south with period 4 seconds, offshore wind from the WNW, energy at 79. It’s small and short period, but at least it’s clean. That’s the warm-up act.

After Wednesday the 19th, it drops right back off into the dirt again – by Thursday the 20th we’re looking at 1 ft and energy in the 20s and 30s. Friday the 21st is even worse, with fresh cross-onshore winds up to 22 mph and lumpy conditions. Honestly, it’s a pretty grim run for the most part.

So, the standout is Wednesday the 19th of August. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only window with real swell and clean wind. If you’re a beginner, the 4 ft stuff might feel a little pushy, but it’s not huge. The short period means it won’t have heaps of power, so it’s manageable. Crowds? 10th Street can get them sometimes, so on that Wednesday with the only waves around, expect a few other keen souls out.

For the rest of the time? Honestly, if the wind’s up and the swell’s tiny, it might be more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session. But hang in there – forecasts change, and it can’t stay this flat forever.

Rusty

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