10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and listen up. I’m lookin’ at the charts for our stretch of coast, and I gotta be straight with you: it’s a bit of a slow burn for the next week or so. We got a bunch of small, weak swell and winds that aren’t doing us any favors. The first surf worth paddling out for ain't gonna be for a while. The 10th Street (Avalon) spot is the one we’re working with, and the water’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, about 77°, which is a little noticeable.

Right now, we're in a real lull. From Monday the 24th all the way through the end of the month, it's mostly tiny surf. We're talkin' chest-high at best, with a weak combined energy – often in the 20s and 30s (weak energy), struggling to get any real push. The winds are mostly cross or onshore, keeping things lumpy. It's not a total flat spell, but it’s gutless. This is one of those times where you’re better off fixing your dings or doing some yard work.

Now, if you're willing to wait, things start to get *real* interesting as we push into September. The first glimmers show up late on Monday, August 31st. Still small, but the period jumps way up to 18-19 seconds, and the energy starts to climb into the 90s then up to 168 in the afternoon. It's still pretty weak, but it's clean. That’s the first sign of life.

The real standout, the one you should circle on your calendar, is Thursday, September 3rd. The charts are lighting up for this one. We're looking at a solid swell of 5ft, with a long 15-second period pushing in from the SE. The wave energy is gonna be pumping – over 1100 in the morning (strong wave energy). And here’s the kicker: the wind is forecast to be offshore from the NNW. That’s a dream scenario. Expect very good, clean surf all day, with the morning looking slightly better than the afternoon.

After that little pulse, things settle back down but stay rideable. Friday the 4th is still decent, with 4-5ft of SE swell, but the wind is more cross-offshore so it won’t be quite as pristine. The energy is still strong, in the high hundreds. By the 6th and 7th, it drops off again to smaller, less powerful stuff.

So here's the deal: the best window in the next two weeks is that Thursday the 3rd. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising, not a sure thing. The SE swell matches what this spot likes, and with that offshore wind, 10th Street is going to be a fun, clean wave. Don't expect a huge barrel, but expect some proper, pushy, well-shaped waves.

A word of warning for the new surfers: that 5-foot swell is pushing the limit for a beginner. And that jetty is inconsistent, so don't expect a wave every set.

Alright, that's the long and short of it. Stay tuned, keep your eyes on that forecast for the 3rd, and I'll see you in the water.

- Rusty

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