10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty bleak run of swell for 10th Street (Avalon) coming up. This is a beach/jetty setup that’s already inconsistent at the best of times, and looking at the next 16 days, the surf basically flat-lines. This ain’t one of those stretches that turns around quickly; this is just how it goes around here sometimes.

We start off with almost nothing. Saturday morning (15 August) you’ve got a tiny 1ft of swell from the SE, but it’s a pathetic 9-second period and the combined energy is a weak 13 – barely a ripple. A light breeze from the NE keeps it cross, but it’s honestly not worth suiting up for. That quiet spell drags on through Sunday and Monday, with combined energy dropping to zero on Monday the 17th. Nothing but flat, clean water. Tuesday the 18th shows a flash of 1ft from the SE again, but with that super-long 12-second period and a combined energy of just 22, it’s still a no-go. Wednesday the 19th lifts a tiny bit to 2ft (SE, 10s, 48 energy) but it’s cross-on winds in the arvo, so it’s choppy.

The first hint of something bigger shows up on Friday the 21st of August. We get 4ft from the ENE at a short, junky 5-second period. The combined energy climbs to 75 – still weak for a proper surf. Winds are cross from the ENE, so it’s chop, not glass. Not good.

Saturday the 22nd is the first time we see moderate energy – 109 and 111 – with 4ft of short-period ENE/ E swell (6 seconds). But look at the wind: moderate cross-on from the E, turning the beach into a choppy, lumpy mess. This is more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddle-surfing one.

Sunday the 23rd drops back to 3 – 3ft, energy falling to 64-67, with onshore wind again. You’re looking at a full week of junk.

Then we get a little blip of longer-period swell around Tuesday the 25th – 1ft from the SE with an 11-second period, but combined energy is only 32-41 and winds are cross-on. It’s not the clean, groomed stuff you want.

Towards the very end of the outlook, on Saturday the 30th of August, we see the biggest numbers on the board: 4ft to 5ft of ENE swell, with a short 5-6 second period and moderate cross-on wind from the E at 15 mph. Combined energy hits 118 – moderate. But that short period and messy wind mean poor shape. Again, the beach is getting knocked around. If it was a reef or point, that ENE direction might offer something, but at a beach break with onshore wind, it’s just bluster.

Honestly, there are no standouts here. The water temperature is sitting around 77°F, which is about a touch warmer than normal for the time of year – not much to write home about. Crowds are noted as “sometimes” at 10th Street, but with this lack of quality, you won’t be fighting for waves. Save your energy.

Rusty.

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