10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab ya board and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for ya. Got some news, and it ain't all good.

The short version is, if you're looking to score some waves at 10th Street in Avalon, you're gonna be waiting a while. This entire 16-day window is looking bleak. We're talking about a stretch where the ocean just... forgets how to surf. There’s plenty of flatness and tiny, crumbly stuff, but nothing that's gonna get the heart pumping.

The action starts on Thursday the 6th, but I wouldn't rush out. There's a weak, short-period swell in the water, maybe 3ft but with a period of only 6 seconds. It’s got no push, and that morning cross-shore wind is just gonna chop it all up. The combined energy is a weak 73. It's basically a lake with a pulse. The afternoon isn't any better, with the swell bumping up to 4ft, but the wind goes more cross-on, making it a total mess. This is a day for fixing your board, not riding it.

The pattern continues through Friday the 7th. Same story – small, weak swell and junky winds. You’d be fighting the chop more than riding a wave. The weekend isn't the reward you're hoping for either. Saturday the 8th morning holds a faint bit of promise, with a clean, glassy feel and a cross-off breeze. But that 3ft swell with just 99 units of combined energy is barely a ripple. It’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride. By the afternoon, it's back to the choppy stuff.

Then it just dies. From Sunday the 9th through to around Thursday the 14th, the swell drops off a cliff. We're talking ankle-biters, mostly under 1ft. There’s some clean mornings with offshore winds, especially Wednesday the 12th, but the swell is essentially flat. You'd be paddling for nothing.

Finally, on Thursday the 14th, there's a slight nudge. A weak 4-second pulse from the SSW pushes it up to 2ft. This isn't surf, it's just a slightly less flat ocean. The wind is still messy, so expect it to be lumpy and uninviting. It's a tease, and a bad one at that.

The flat spell continues for the next several days. It’s not until Thursday the 20th that the ocean finally shows a sign of life. This is the only period that looks even remotely interesting. The swell jumps to 4ft in the morning and builds to 5ft by the afternoon. The period is still short, only 6 seconds, but the combined energy jumps to a moderate 167. The winds look a lot better though, with clean, cross-off conditions in the morning and a gentler cross-shore later. Keep in mind, this is over a week and a half away, so it's not a lock, but it’s the best bet we got. This is definitely a case of "promising but we'll see."

That’s about it. The water is 76° which is about average for this time of year, so no dramas there. But for the most part, it’s a bust. The spot itself is inconsistent anyway, so a blank run like this isn't entirely unheard of, but it still stings. Forecasts can change, and the pattern might shift, but right now, I’m not holding my breath. As for the 5ft swell on the 20th, if the winds are right, it might be okay for the more experienced crew, but it's got that short period that makes it a bit crumbly.

Stay patient, or get your kite gear ready because this set-up is looking more like a kiteboarding session than a surf one for most of the week.

Rusty, signing off.

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