10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. I’ve had a good look at what’s on offer for 10th Street (Avalon) over the next couple of weeks, and I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. The water temperature is sitting at 25°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit, but the waves? Man, they’re just not playing ball.

We’ve got a long, dry gap here. There’s no surf worth mentioning until Monday the 31st of August, and even then it’s a bare minimum. From Wednesday the 19th right through to Sunday the 30th, every session is marked as poor surf conditions. The swell is tiny – mostly 1 ft to 3 ft – and what little energy there is comes from the SE or ENE with periods all over the shop, often short and weak. The combined wave energy is low, barely cracking 100 (values like 31, 20, 78, 62 – you get the picture). Winds are a mixed bag of cross, cross-on, and occasionally glassy, but with that little swell, it’s just not happening. There’s a couple of glassy windows on Thursday the 20th morning and Sunday the 23rd morning, but with swell heights of 1 ft and 0.7 ft, you’d be waiting forever for a ride.

The first real sign of life shows up on Monday the 31st of August morning. We’ve got a 2 ft SE swell with an 11-second period, and a clean cross-off breeze from the NNE. The combined energy jumps to 147 – still moderate but a step up. It’s described as “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” scoring a 1 out of 10. Not exactly a standout, but it’s the only thing on the board. The break is inconsistent and exposed to NE swell, but the wind is clean, so if you’re desperate, you could get a few small, slow ones. The swell direction (SE) isn’t ideal for the spot’s optimum NE direction, so don’t expect much shape.

After that, it stays bleak. Tuesday the 1st of September through to Thursday the 3rd of September sees more SE and E swells around 1 ft to 3 ft, with periods from 8 to 13 seconds. The combined energy climbs a bit – hitting 213 on Wednesday the 2nd morning – but the winds are mostly cross-on or cross, keeping things choppy and messy. Everything is still rated as poor surf conditions. Honestly, there’s nothing here to get excited about.

Look, this is one of those runs where the forecast just isn’t delivering. 10th Street is inconsistent at the best of times, and this 16-day window is a write-off. If you’re hanging for a paddle, Monday the 31st morning is your best (and only) bet, but keep the expectations low. Otherwise, it might be time to check the kite gear – with those fresh cross-onshore winds and moderate energy later on, the setup could be more fun for that.

Stay patient, and hopefully the next update brings better news.

Rusty

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