10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, 'cause I'm gonna level with ya. Lookin' at the next 16 days for 10th Street (Avalon), and I gotta be honest, it's a flat spell. There's no two ways about it. The finder's got nothing in the "recommended" column, and the guidance is just giving us a single, inconsistent, intermediate spot. So, we're in for a long wait.

The first record we've got is for Thursday morning, July 9th, and straight away the water is sitting at a very warm 76°F, which is a massive 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That's a real standout, but it's the only good news. The surf is tiny, 2ft of weak, short-period ENE windswell, and it's blown out by a cross-onshore wind. It's a write-off for a paddle.

We basically have a gap of days with no real surf on offer. Through the rest of the first week there's a few clean, tiny waves on the 10th and 11th, but they're ankle-snappers at best. Nothing to get excited about. The water temp anomaly isn't given for the rest of the period, so we can't say if that warm spike sticks around.

Come Sunday the 12th, the swell bumps up a touch to 4ft from the ENE, but the period is a shocker at 5 seconds. With a strong cross-shore wind, it's just a lumpy mess. That's more of a kite surfing day than a surfing day, to be honest.

The only real glimmer in the whole 16-day window is Tuesday morning, July 14th. The swell is a modest 3ft from the ESE, with a period of 7 seconds. The wind is a light, clean cross-offshore from the WSW. The guidance even calls it "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions". For a spot that's "inconsistent", this is about as good as it gets in this run. It's not a standout by any stretch, but it's the only window where you might get a fun, clean little wave to yourself, especially if the crowds are only "sometimes" a problem.

After that, it's back to tiny, weak pulses and onshore junk. The 18th of July has a morning pulse of 3ft from the SSW with a clean offshore wind, but the period is a pathetic 5 seconds. It'll be weak and bumpy. The rest of the second week is practically flat, with 0.3ft dribble and super long-period energy that's just not enough to push anything.

Look, it's a tough outlook. The local consistency is rated as "inconsistent", so a blank run like this is more normal for the area than a non-stop swell window. Keep your eye on that Tuesday the 14th for a possible sneaky session, but otherwise, don't hold your breath. Forecasts can change though.

Rusty.

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