10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta level with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead for the Avalon area. We’re looking at 16 days of forecast, but honestly, there’s no real green light in the whole run. The first sniff of anything that even resembles a wave comes in on Sunday the 6th of September, but it’s just a tease.

The overall pattern is weak, inconsistent, and plagued by onshore winds. We start Sunday afternoon with rain showers and a tiny 2ft swell from the ENE, but it’s a short 6-second period and the wind is a cross-on 9 mph, making it choppy. The combined energy is a paltry 41 (weak). Monday the 7th clears up, but the swell drops to 1ft from the E with a 10-second period. The wind is a light cross-off 6 mph, so it’s clean, but there’s just no power – 57 energy (weak). Still, if you’re desperate for a paddle, Monday morning might be the cleanest you’ll see all week.

Tuesday the 8th is even smaller, with 1ft from the ENE. The wind turns offshore from the WNW at 6 mph, so it’s glassy clean, but the energy is a measly 26 (weak). It’s a knee-high dribble. Wednesday the 9th sees a bump in wind, with a 12-16 mph SSW breeze, but the swell is a messy 2ft to 3ft with a horrible 4-second period – just wind slop with 53 energy (weak) on the afternoon.

Thursday the 10th is the only real standout. We get a 5ft swell from the SSW in the morning, with a 6-second period, and offshore WNW winds at 16 mph. The energy jumps to 188 (moderate), and it’s clean. The afternoon drops to 4ft from the S, still clean with a lighter WNW wind, and 111 energy (moderate). This is your best shot. The water temp is a toasty 78°, which is 6° warmer than normal – very unusual. 10th Street (Avalon) is a beach/jetty setup, so it’s fairly exposed but inconsistent. With that size, it’s okay for intermediates, but beginners might find 5ft a bit much. Crowds are “sometimes” a thing, so you might have some company.

After that, it’s back to the grind. Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th are tiny, with 1ft to 1ft swells and low energy. The wind stays clean, but the waves are just not there. The entire second week, from the 13th to the 21st of September, is a total write-off. Swells barely reach 2ft, periods are short, and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, making it choppy. The 17th of September afternoon goes glassy, but the swell is only 0.7ft from the ESE with a 13-second period – too long for this beach break, so it’ll just break straight. Energy is 27 (weak). The 20th of September has a 5ft swell from the SSW but with a 16 mph cross-on wind, making it a choppy mess, even with 159 energy (moderate). Not worth it.

For a break that’s inconsistent and rarely delivers, this blank run is just normal for the area. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the windy days. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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