10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Gotta be straight with you – this stretch is looking grim. We’re talking a solid run of days where the surf just isn’t happening at 10th Street (Avalon). From Saturday the 29th of August all the way through the first week of September, it’s tiny, messy, or both. Wind’s all over the place – cross, onshore, cross-on – and the swell barely cracks 2 ft to 2 ft. The combined energy is weak, mostly below 100, so there’s just no push. Water temp is 77°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – about 4° above the long-term average. But that doesn’t help the waves.

The first hint of anything with a pulse shows up on Wednesday the 2nd of September morning when the swell jumps a bit to 2 ft from the SE with a period of 11 seconds, and combined energy hitting 139. That’s moderate energy, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore and the comment says “poor surf conditions.” Same goes for the afternoon – 2 ft, 10-second period, 112 energy, still cross-shore chop. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday the 3rd sees 3 ft from the ENE early with 116 energy, but onshore wind and unknown conditions. By afternoon it’s choppy again. Friday the 4th is cleaner – morning has a light cross-off breeze from the NNE at 12 mph, but the swell’s dropped to 2 ft from the E, period only 7 seconds. Clean, but tiny. Saturday the 5th is glassy in the morning with a light cross-off, but at 1 ft it’s barely wet.

Then we get a gap: from the 6th to the 10th of September, it’s more of the same – small, weak, onshore or cross-on chop. Nothing surfable.

The first real standout? It’s a tease. On Saturday the 12th of September morning, we get a bump: 6 ft from the ENE, but with a short period of just 6 seconds. The combined energy is 198 – moderate – and the wind is glassy. That’s rare. But the period is short and the direction is ENE, while the optimum for this spot is NE. It’s not ideal, but the glassy conditions make it clean and rideable. Afternoon the same day, the wind swings onshore and it chops up.

The next chance is Sunday the 13th of September morning: 3 ft from the E, 6-second period, 57 energy, with a cross-off breeze from the NNW at 12 mph. It’s clean but small. Afternoon goes offshore from the NNW at 9 mph, 2 ft, 54 energy – clean again, but not much to get excited about.

Best on offer? That Saturday the 12th morning. Glassy, 6 ft, clean, but the short period and slightly off direction mean it won’t be a classic. It’s really the only window where the size and wind line up. The rest is for the keepers.

Rusty

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