10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cookin’ at 10th Street (Avalon) for the next couple weeks.

Honestly, mate, it’s pretty grim right across the board. The whole 16-day forecast is a real desert. The first sign of anything surfable doesn’t show up until Wednesday morning, September 2nd, and even that’s a real “meh” session. You’re lookin’ at almost two full weeks of flat, poxy conditions before that. If you were hoping for a proper standout, forget it – there’s nothin’ even close to a highlight in this whole outlook.

Kickin’ off from Friday August 21st through the end of August, it’s all poor surf. Miniature swells, mostly under 3 ft, with short, weak periods. The combined wave energy never really gets goin’ – mostly tiny numbers in the teens, twenties, and thirties. Saturday August 22nd afternoon goes glassy with a light breeze from the north, but that 3 ft swell from the northeast has only a 5-second period – no power, no shape, just a bump. Waste of time.

Even when the wind goes offshore or glassy – like Monday August 24th, Tuesday August 25th, and Saturday August 29th – the swell is a puny 1 ft to 2 ft with 8 to 12 seconds of period. The combined energy is consistently weak (between 27 and 39). You could maybe catch one on a log or a foamie, but it’s hardly a session to plan for.

Come Monday August 31st afternoon, we get a weird spike: a 3 ft swell from the south with a ridiculously short 4-second period, combined energy of 91, but the wind is a strong 15 mph cross-onshore, makin’ it choppy and poor. Honestly, that looks more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing one.

Then, finally, on Wednesday morning September 2nd, we get the only session that isn’t rated “poor.” A clean 2 ft swell from the southeast with a 12-second period and combined energy of 96 – call it weak-to-moderate. The wind is a cross-off from the north at 9 mph, so the surface will be clean. But the direction isn’t ideal for 10th Street (which likes NE), so don’t expect magic. It’s a tiny, clean little wave for a longboard or a twin fin, and that’s the best we’ve got. After that, it fades back to tiny junk then flat by September 5th.

Water temps? First break on the list, 10th Street, is about average for this time of year – nothin’ wild. Crowds at 10th Street are listed as “sometimes” busy, but with surf this ordinary, you probably won’t have to share many waves.

So there you go. Two weeks of waitin’ for just one marginal session. Sometimes the ocean just shuts down. If you’re desperate, September 2nd morning might give you a little grovel. Otherwise, leave the board in the garage – forecasts can always change, but right now, there’s nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for.

- Rusty

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