10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a wave. We've got one spot on the radar, 10th Street (Avalon), but it's going to take a while before it shows us anything worthwhile. The water's a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 77.4°, so that's something, but you'll be doing more floating than surfing for a while.

The first week and a half are basically a write-off. From Friday the 14th through to Friday the 21st, we're looking at tiny, weak surf. The energy is nothing, with readings mostly in the single digits and teens (10 to 53), and what swell does show up is short-period junk. There's a bit of a bump Sunday afternoon the 16th with the swell pushing to 3.6ft, but it's coming with onshore wind and rain, so it'll be a messy closeout. You're better off staying home. The winds are mostly cross-shore or onshore, chopping up an already flat ocean.

We finally get a sniff of something cleaner from Monday the 17th through Thursday the 20th with some light offshore breezes, but the swell is still tiny, mostly ankle-biters in the 0.3ft to 3ft range. There's some clean surface texture, but you'd be fighting for a dribble. It's just not worth paddling out for.

The real tease starts on Sunday the 23rd. It's still small at 2.6ft, and the energy is low (73), but the conditions are clean with a light offshore wind. It's surfable, but very ordinary. Then we go flat again for a couple of days, which hurts.

Now, here's the interesting part. Look ahead to Thursday the 27th of August. This is where things might get a little fun, but it's far out so don't book your flights yet. The swell period jumps up to 12-13 seconds, and the energy readings climb into triple digits, hitting 121 on Thursday morning and building to 135 by the afternoon. That's moderate wave energy which is more like it. The swell is coming from the SE, but the wind is cross-shore and onshore, so it could be a bit lumpy. It's still not big, 2ft, but with that long period, there could be some fun, lined-up waves.

Then Friday the 28th could be the standout. The wind swings offshore from the NW and WNW, and we have that same 2.3ft of SE swell with a 10-second period. The energy jumps to 110 in the morning and 165 in the afternoon. This is the best combination of the whole run. Moderate energy, clean offshore wind, and a bit of a pulse. The wave direction is from the SE and this break likes the NE, so it's not perfect, but it's the best on offer. It's still small, but it could be clean and playful.

Saturday the 29th keeps the clean theme with light cross-offshore winds and 3ft of E swell, but the period drops back down to 7 seconds, so it will be less powerful and more crumbly.

So, there's the story. A whole lot of nothing for over a week, a possible glimmer on the 23rd, and then a promising couple of days on the 27th and 28th. The 28th looks like your best bet for a clean, fun session. Keep your expectations low, but don't write the whole fortnight off. The conditions will turn, they always do. But if this window of clean swell on the 28th doesn't fire, the run could stay blank for a while longer.

Stay patient, keep the board waxed.

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