10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the outlook for 10th Street (Avalon) over the next 16 days is a tough one. We’ve got a long dry spell to get through before anything even close to rideable shows up. For the first eleven days, from Friday the 4th of September right through to Monday the 14th of September, the surf is essentially a no-go. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3ft, and the energy is painfully weak, often sitting in the low double-digits or barely cracking 50. You’re looking at days of poor surf conditions with crude, short-period windswell and a lot of chop. A couple of afternoons do go glassy, like the Saturday afternoon, but with a mere 1.0ft of swell and a period of just 7 seconds, there’s nothing to ride. The water temperature is a notable 78°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than average for this time of year – very unusual, and it’ll feel like a warm bath out there.

The first real glimmer of hope arrives on Tuesday the 15th of September. The morning brings a clean 3ft of swell from the northeast, with the combined energy climbing to 73 – still weak, but it’s at least surfable. The wind is light and offshore from the north, so it’ll be clean, but the swell period is only 5 seconds, so expect crumbly, weak waves. This is more of a longboard or foiling session than a proper hit. After that, the energy drops back into the weak zone and the wind turns whack again.

Later in the week, Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th see a bit of height now and then, but it’s messy cross-onshore and choppy, with energy stuck between 34 and 63. Not worth paddling out for.

Way out on Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th of September, the direction swings back to the southeast with a long-period swell of 12 seconds, which is promising for a point or reef, but 10th Street is a beach/jetty setup. With only 1.0ft to 1ft of swell and combined energy in the 40s, it’s just too gutless. The wind looks okay – offshore or cross-off – but the lack of size kills it.

Bottom line: there is no standout session here. The only half-decent morning is Tuesday the 15th, with clean but weak 3ft NE swell. If you’re a beginner wanting a gentle paddle, it’s fine. For anyone else, leave the board in the car. It’s a quiet run, but that’s how it goes sometimes – forecasts can change, so keep an eye out.

Rusty.

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