10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it for the next 16 days. I'll be honest from the get-go, we’re looking at a pretty quiet run. The swell window just isn’t doing us any favours, and we’ve got a lot of small, weak surf mixed with onshore winds. There’s nothing in the data that screams "go-time," but let’s walk through it day by day.

The only spot we’ve got data for is 10th Street (Avalon), a beach and jetty setup. It’s inconsistent here, so don’t expect waves every day. The water’s sitting at 75°, which is about 0.9° warmer than average for this time of year – so pretty normal, a touch on the warm side.

We kick off on Wednesday, July 29th. The afternoon sees a tiny 0.7 ft swell from the ENE with a short 6-second period. Combined energy is only 4 – that’s barely a ripple. Wind is a moderate 16 mph from the WNW, so the surface is clean, but there’s nothing to ride. It’s a "poor surf conditions" call.

Thursday, July 30th, is more of the same. Morning brings 0.7 ft at 8 seconds from the ENE, energy at 6. Wind is a moderate 12 mph from the NW, clean again, but still nothing on offer. The afternoon glass off with a slight ESE breeze, but the swell is still a pathetic 0.7 ft. You could sit on a foamie and not get wet.

Friday, July 31st, we get a slight bump. The morning has 1 ft from the ENE, but the period drops to a terrible 5 seconds. That’s pure wind chop. Energy is 11. Light E wind makes it a bit messy. By the afternoon, the swell shifts to the SE at 1.0 ft, 10-second period, energy 25. The wind turns SSE at 9 mph, cross-onshore. Still poor.

Saturday, August 1st, and Sunday, August 2nd, offer no hope. Saturday is tiny 0.7 ft with cross-onshore winds. Sunday brings a bit more size – 3 ft in the morning and 4 ft in the afternoon from the S, but the period is a shocking 4 to 5 seconds. That’s just chunky, bumpy, wind-affected slop. Energy climbs to 43 and 62, but it’s all poor.

Monday, August 3rd, sees 4 ft from the SSW, period 6 seconds, energy 99. Wind is cross-shore from the SW. Still a "poor" call. The afternoon goes flat with no swell.

From Tuesday, August 4th, all the way through to Wednesday, August 13th, the forecast is dominated by tiny swells – mostly 0.3 ft to 3 ft – with poor quality and onshore or cross-onshore winds. The energy values are almost all under 60, with many days in the single digits. The winds do swing offshore or cross-offshore from August 6th onward, so the water will look clean and glassy at times, but with no swell to push through, it’s a flat spell.

There is a slight something on Thursday, August 13th. Morning shows 3 ft from the E, period 5 seconds, energy 68, with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the WNW. The afternoon holds 3 ft from the ENE, 6-second period, energy 73. Still, the quality is marked as "poor surf conditions". For a beach break, a short period swell like that isn’t going to offer much shape. It could be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddler.

So here’s the bottom line: there is no standout session in this whole 16-day window. The only break we can look at is 10th Street, and it’s consistently tiny, weak, and either wind-affected or flat. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might find a knee-high bump on the cleaner mornings, but honestly, leave the board at home. It’s a long, quiet stretch, and while things can change, the current outlook is a big yawn.

Rusty.

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