10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be real about this forecast. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple. We’ve got a 16-day window and there’s barely a pulse in the water. The first few days are nothing, just a lake. The first sign of any real wave energy doesn’t even show up until Thursday, August 6th, and even then, it’s a mess.

Thursday morning offers a weak, short-period south swell at 4ft, but the cross-shore wind has it chopped up. The energy is weak (92). The afternoon is a bit bigger at 4ft, but the cross-onshore wind makes it junk. Not worth your time.

Friday morning, August 7th, is the only real window in this whole stretch. It’s still a small, 4ft south swell, but a gentle cross-offshore breeze cleans it up. It’s the first time it’s actually surfable. But it’s still weak (90) and very ordinary. It’s a “get a few if you’re keen” kind of morning, but the window closes fast as the wind goes cross-shore in the afternoon.

Then the plug gets pulled. From Saturday the 8th, we drop into a long run of tiny, weak south-east swells. The winds are clean, often cross-offshore, but there’s zero power. This flat spell runs for days, right through to Tuesday the 11th. You’ll be floating, not surfing.

There’s a tiny blip on Wednesday, August 12th, with a 3ft south-west swell, but it’s weak and the wind is cross-shore. Nothing to write home about. The rest of the week is more of the same, with tiny waves and offshore winds, but no energy.

The bottom line is we’re starved for swell. The energy readings are all in the weak range, and there’s no long-period groundswell in sight. The wind is often good, clean and offshore, but that doesn’t matter if there’s no ocean.

So, the best call is Friday morning, August 7th. It’s not a standout, but it’s the only time the conditions line up. You’ll get clean, small waves at 10th Street (Avalon). The water’s warm at 76°, which is normal for the time of year. It’s a one-star morning, at best.

The rest of the window is a waiting game. For the most part, the setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, especially on those windier days. Be patient, keep an eye on the charts, and hope something shows up. The clean days are there, we just need the swell.

Rusty.

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