10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good look at what's coming our way for 10th Street in Avalon over the next couple of weeks. I've got to be straight with you right off the bat: the first week is a tough one. We're looking at a lot of time with the board on the sand and not much in the water.

The pattern kicks off with a real lack of energy. For the first several days, from Saturday the 22nd right through to the end of the month, the wave heights are tiny, often only 0.7 ft to 1 ft. The combined energy is weak, mostly sitting in the low double digits (between 18 and 64). On top of that, the wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, messing up what little ripple there is. The water temperature is a standout here though – it's sitting at a very unusual 78°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won't need a thick wetsuit.

We do see a bit of a pulse of energy on Thursday the 27th afternoon, with the swell bumping up to 3 ft from the SE and the combined energy jumping to a moderate 163. But it's arriving with a 12 mph onshore wind, so it's going to be a messy, choppy affair. Not the kind of thing you want to paddle out into.

The real chance for a wave doesn't show up until we get into the following week. The best on offer in this whole forecast is Wednesday morning, September 2nd. Now, hear me out. The swell drops back to 3 ft, but it's a long-period 11 second SE groundswell, and the combined energy is a solid 372 (moderate). More importantly, the wind will be light and variable, turning clean and cross-offshore. This is the one window where the break might actually shape up and offer a few decent, lined-up waves.

A few days later, on Thursday the 3rd of September, we get some real glassy conditions in the morning and afternoon with the wind dropping to nothing. The swell is tiny at 2 ft, but the surface will be like a mirror. It's barely surfable, but if you're on a log and just want to feel the glide, that’s your time.

Overall, it's a pretty bleak run. The break is inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast proves it. For the first week, you're honestly better off leaving the shortboard at home. That window on the 2nd of September is the only thing that even gets close to being interesting.

Rusty

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