10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at what’s coming down the pipe for 10th Street (Avalon). Gotta be straight with you – this is a tough forecast.

We’ve got a real dry spell on our hands for a solid 13 days. From Monday, September 7th all the way through Saturday, September 19th, there’s just nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly messy or in the wrong direction, and it’s all being labelled as poor. You’re looking at weak wave energy, mostly sitting under 100 (like 67, 27, or even a paltry 5 on the 11th). There’s a day or two in there with cleaner conditions, like Tuesday the 8th morning with some light cross-offshore breeze, and Friday the 11th afternoon goes glassy, but there’s just no push behind it. Swells are dribbling in at 1ft to 2ft. It’s a waiting game.

Now, things start to change around Sunday, September 20th. We finally get some actual height. Sunday morning brings in a 5ft swell from the SW with a period of 6 seconds – that’s short-period wind swell. The energy jumps to 188 (moderate), and we get clean conditions with a moderate offshore breeze from the NW. It’s surfable, but the short period will make it a bit lumpy and unpredictable. It’s still just holding onto a 1/10 quality score. Best described as ordinary, but at least it’s rideable.

The real standout window – and the only one I’d really lock in for – is Monday, September 21st and Tuesday, September 22nd. Monday morning brings a 6ft NE swell. The period is still short at 6 seconds, but the energy hits 217 (moderate) and we have a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE. Conditions will be clean. Now, 6ft is pushing it for beginners, so this is more of an intermediate to expert zone. The swell direction is NE, which isn’t the optimum NE for this spot, but the wave quality and clean conditions make it the best of a quiet run. Monday afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-on wind.

Tuesday the 22nd is the biggest day of the forecast with a 7.5ft ENE swell. The energy is pumping at 558 (strong). However, the wind goes cross-shore, so it won’t be as clean as Monday morning. At 7.5ft, this is expert territory – too big for most. The short period (7 seconds) might make it fat and closed out at this beach.

So, if you’ve got to go, your best bet is Monday morning, September 21st for the cleanest conditions on a decent-sized swell. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no nasty surprises there.

Hang in there. It’s been flat for ages, but things are looking up.

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