10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for 10th Street (Avalon). Gotta be straight with you – this is one of those outlooks where we're mostly waiting. The surf is almost non-existent for the first week and a half, with tiny, weak swells and mostly poor conditions. It's not until we get deep into the second week that things finally wake up. There’s a real gap in quality surf here from the start right through to mid-month.

To start, water temps are sitting around 78°, which is a whopping 4° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s unusual, and you’ll definitely notice the bath-like water.

The opening days, from Tuesday the 11th right through to late August, are a bust. You're looking at tiny waves, often below 2 ft, with weak energy. The wind is a mixed bag – we get a bit of glass on Wednesday afternoon, but it's on top of a 2 ft dribbler. There's nothing to get excited about. Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are just as flat and messy. This stretch is a write-off for a proper paddle.

The first notable change arrives on Monday the 18th. By the afternoon, a long-period 15-second SE groundswell starts to push in, with some real energy behind it. It's still small at 1 ft, but the period has some grunt. The problem is the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy. It's a tease.

Now, the real standout of the entire forecast is Wednesday the 19th of August. This is the one to circle. The morning brings a 3 ft SE swell with a period of 12 seconds and solid energy. The wind is light and onshore, but for a beach/jetty setup like this, that's manageable. It's the biggest, most powerful swell we see in the whole 16 days. The water is still warm, and while it’s not perfect, it’s the best option by a country mile. This one has the most potential for a fun session.

After that peak, the energy slowly fades through the 20th and 21st with smaller 2-2 ft swells and fresh cross-onshore winds making it lumpy. It drops off into tiny surf again by the 22nd.

There’s a final little spike right at the end of the outlook, on Wednesday the 26th of August. We get a 4 ft S swell with a short 6-second period. It’s the biggest in height, but the period is short and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore 16 mph, which will chop it right up. For a beach break, that combo is messy – might be more interesting for the kite surfers than anyone on a paddle board.

Bottom line: if you’re chasing a wave, your best bet is the morning of Wednesday the 19th of August. Everything else is a gamble on tiny, weak, or wind-affected surf. It's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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