10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty talkin’. Let’s look at what’s on offer for the Avalon region.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with ya: the next couple of weeks are looking grim for a proper surf. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing special ahead, with no standout days that’ll get your heart racing. For the first week, from Friday the 24th of July right through to the end of the month, it’s all small, weak, and messy. The swell tops out at a puny 3 ft on the 26th, but with short, weak periods around 6 to 8 seconds and cross-onshore winds messing it all up, it’s just blown-out junk. The wave energy is barely hobbling along in the 60s to 80s (moderate) on those first few days, then it drops off a cliff to single digits by the 29th. Honestly, not worth paddling out for.

We hit a real flat patch from the 30th of July through the 3rd of August. The 30th morning goes glassy, but with a 2 ft swell at a terrible 3-second period and energy of just 8 (low) – that’s a lake, not an ocean. The afternoons get clean with a little cross-offshore wind, but the swell’s still tiny and weak. By the 4th of August, there’s a morning of total calm and flatness – 0.3 ft and 0 wind. You might see a ripple.

Now, late in the run, around the 7th and 8th of August, things start to perk up a little. Thursday the 6th shows a lift with 3 ft from the south in the afternoon, but the wind is cross-onshore with moderate energy (61), so it’s choppy. The real flicker of hope is Friday the 7th morning: 3 ft from the south, clean with a cross-offshore breeze from the WSW. That’s surfable, but it’s still pretty average. Then Saturday the 8th morning is the best of the whole outlook, with 3 ft south swell, clean glassy conditions thanks to a light WNW cross-offshore wind, and the wave energy climbs to 88 (moderate). That’s the one spot where you might find a half-decent wave, but it’s no classic – just ordinary conditions.

For the break itself, 10th Street (Avalon) is a beach and jetty setup, exposed to the swell but inconsistent. It rarely fires, and the crowds are a sometimes thing. The water’s running a touch warmer than normal at 76°F with a slight anomaly.

So, if you’re desperate, keep an eye on Saturday the 8th of August morning. That’s the only window where it’s clean and there’s enough south swell to maybe get a couple. But don’t expect much. The rest is a write-off.

Stay patient, folks. Good things come to those who wait.

- Rusty

Read more