10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a paddle. The only spot on the radar is 10th Street (Avalon), and even then, the forecast is a long stretch of "poor surf conditions" with nothing that's going to get a surfer out of bed.

Let's look at what's on offer. Over the next 16 days, there’s a significant gap with no real surf to get excited about. From the start on July 5th right through to the morning of July 8th, we’ve got tiny, weak swell. On July 5th, we're looking at a 1ft SE swell with a short period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of just 18 – that’s barely a ripple. The wind is a cross-onshore breeze, keeping it messy.

We do see a bit of a bump on the morning of July 8th (Wednesday). There’s a 4ft swell from the ENE with a period of 6 seconds. The combined energy hits 113, which is moderate, but that short period means the waves will be weak and crumbly. The cross-shore wind will keep it lumpy. This is far from a standout.

After that, it’s back to tiny, inconsistent swell for days on end. We get a cleaner window on Friday, July 10th with some offshore and cross-offshore wind from the WNW, but the swell is only 1ft – not enough to ride. On the morning of July 19th (Sunday), we get a glassy morning with a 3ft NE swell, but again the period is a short 5 seconds, resulting in weak, low-energy waves with a combined energy of 32.

To be honest, this is a blank run. The water is warm – about 76° and a "much warmer than normal" anomaly of 5° for the first session – but that’s about the only positive. With the weak swell and onshore winds at a beach/jetty setup, this stretch looks more interesting for a flat day kite session than for paddle surfing. The forecast can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, I wouldn’t be waxing up.

Rusty.

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