10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Well, look, I'm gonna be straight with you. For the next 16 days, 10th Street (Avalon) is putting up a real struggle. The forecast is a long, flat, and mostly messy run. The water's a touch warmer than normal at 77°, but that's about the only good news.

We're looking at a gap of almost a week with no real surf to speak of. From Tuesday the 25th right through to the end of the month, it's just tiny, weak swells. On Tuesday the 25th, we've got a 1ft SE swell, but it's wrapping in at 11 seconds, which is a decent period, but the combined energy is a paltry 30. That's weak. The wind is a light cross-off, so the surface is clean, but the waves just aren't there. Wednesday morning the 26th is glassy, but again, only 1ft of SE swell with a period dropping to 9 seconds. It's frustrating because the conditions are clean, but there's nothing to ride.

The first sign of anything with a bit more push comes on Monday the 31st of August. The morning is still poor, but by the afternoon we get a 3ft SSW swell. The period is a short, choppy 5 seconds though, and the combined energy is only 74. It's "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." That's not a ringing endorsement, but it's the best we've seen in a week. The wind is a clean cross-off, so the surface will be good, but those waves will be weak and walled up.

Then we get another lull until Wednesday the 2nd of September. The morning is glassy, with a 2ft SE swell, but the period jumps to 12 seconds. The combined energy is 102, which is moderate. It's a bit of a tease, because the energy is there, but the height is still tiny. The afternoon turns to a cross-on breeze, ruining the glass.

The real standout, and the only time I'd get excited, is on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning sees a 3ft SE swell. The period is 10 seconds, and the combined energy hits 110. That's a moderate, solid push. The wind is a cross-shore, so there will be some chop, but it's the biggest, most energetic swell in the whole forecast. The crowd factor is "sometimes" at 10th Street, so you might have some company. This is the one to aim for, but remember, it's over a week away, so don't hold your breath.

After that, it's back to the doldrums with tiny, short-period swells and onshore winds through the second week. The afternoon of Tuesday the 8th of September has a 2ft E swell with a 6-second period and a cross-shore wind. It's just not worth the paddle.

Bottom line: This is a tough outlook. The surf is very infrequent and mostly poor. The only chance for a decent session is that Saturday the 5th of September morning, but it's a long way off and the forecast could change. For now, keep your board in the car and your expectations low.

Rusty.

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