10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for 10th Street (Avalon). I’ll be honest, it’s a tough run. The first week and a half is mostly a bust, so don’t rush down there.

We’ve got a long quiet period starting off. From Monday the 14th through Wednesday the 23rd, the waves are tiny and messy, with heights barely scraping 3 ft and the wind generally rubbish. The combined wave energy is weak, mostly in the 42–94 range for that first week. There’s a brief moment of glass on Friday the 18th afternoon, but it’s on a tiny 0.7 ft swell – not worth the drive. The water temp is sitting at a very unusual 76°, a full 6° warmer than normal for this time of year, so the ocean feels more like a bath than a surf zone. But that doesn’t fix the wave quality.

Then we get a spike in size around Monday the 21st, with the swell jumping to 6 ft and then 8 ft, with energy numbers climbing into the 300–860 range – that’s strong wave energy, but don’t get your hopes up. It’s all short period, wind-affected junk from the east and northeast, with onshore winds making it ragged and choppy. By Tuesday the 22nd, it’s pushing 8 ft, but with 30 km/h cross-onshore winds, it’s just a lumpy mess. This setup would honestly be more fun for the kite crew than a paddle surfer.

Now, here’s where we get a little hope. On Thursday the 24th, things finally turn. We get an early morning glass-off with a WNW breeze and 4 ft of east swell, period up to 9 seconds. The combined energy sits at 276 (moderate). It’s not pumping, but after that long drought, it’s the best wave on offer. This is the standout. The morning looks clean and rideable for the intermediate crew. Afternoon gets a bit more cross-on, so hit it early.

After that, we get another small pulse on Sunday the 27th. Morning sees 5 ft from the ESE, period 8 seconds, with light offshore NW winds and clean conditions – that’s a solid session for a Sunday. The combined energy is 276, so it’s got some push. Monday the 28th keeps it tidy with 4 ft and light offshore winds. This little run at the end of the month is the best of the outlook, but still nothing huge.

Overall, this is mostly a waiting game. The first 9 days are a total blank for quality surf. The 24th and the 27th to 28th are your windows. Crowds are “sometimes” at 10th Street, so on those cleaner days, expect some company, but it’s never a packed house. Just keep an eye on the sky for those thunderstorms on the 24th.

Signing off – Rusty.

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