10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be real: this outlook is a tough one. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, but there’s not a single decent wave on offer. The whole stretch from now through to the 9th of August is a write-off for any kind of proper surf. It’s a flat spell, pure and simple.

You’re looking at 10th Street (Avalon) – a beach/jetty setup that’s already inconsistent. That’s the key word here: inconsistent. And sure enough, it’s not breaking. The first few days show nothing but tiny, weak swell coming in from the SE and ESE. We’re talking a paltry 2ft swell with a short, weak period under 8 seconds. The combined wave energy is barely a whisper, with readings like 65 and 69 (weak energy). On top of that, the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, which is no good for cleaning things up. The water temp is sitting at 76°, about average for the time of year, but that won’t help you get a wave.

The 27th and 28th bring a bit of rain and some onshore wind, but the swell stays tiny – 2ft to 2ft. The energy drops even further into the 50s and 60s (weak). It’s just messy and small.

By the 29th and into the 30th, we get a little bump in swell from the NE, hitting 3ft, but the period is a shocking 4 to 5 seconds. That’s pure wind chop, not a real swell. The energy jumps a bit to 69 (weak), but that’s about as exciting as it gets. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not totally blown out, but with that period, the waves will be crumbly and weak.

The end of July and start of August shows a little more activity, but it’s still not surfable. The swell height touches 3ft on the 31st, but it’s from the E with a 6-second period. The energy is still low at 70 (weak). The wind is light, which is a small mercy, but it’s cross-on, so it’ll be bumpy.

Through the first week of August, the pattern is the same: tiny swell, short periods, and mostly cross-on or onshore winds. The 4th and 5th of August have a couple of mornings with a clean cross-off breeze, but the swell is a pathetic 1ft to 2ft with a period of 4 to 5 seconds. The energy is down to single digits and 20s (weak). It’s a ghost town out there.

The 6th, 7th, and 8th see the wind finally turn offshore a bit, especially on the 7th with a clean, moderate offshore from the WNW. But the swell is just 0.7ft. You’d be surfing ankle-snappers. The energy is in the teens (weak). It’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride.

To be honest, with this kind of weak, short-period, wind-affected chop, the setup at 10th Street looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. But even then, it’s barely enough.

The bottom line: there’s no standout. There’s no “best on offer.” The whole 16 days is a blank run. For an area like this, that’s not unusual. It’s a dry spell, plain and simple. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Read more