10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and let’s have a look. Honestly, this stretch ahead is a tough one for us at 10th Street (Avalon). We’re looking at a pretty flat, quiet run over the next couple weeks. The swell just isn’t there to get the bank firing. We’ve got a long gap of nothing happening at the start, and it’s going to be a while before we see anything worth paddling out for consistently.

Right now, it’s a waiting game. We’re talking about a stretch with next to no push. The water temp is sitting at a normal 76° for this time of year, so there’s nothing weird going on there. It’s just a lack of waves. The energy numbers are weak, mostly in the single digits and low double digits. For example, the combined energy on Sunday the 9th is a paltry 2, and it doesn’t really get any better. We’ve got some small, unimpressive swell bumps, but the winds are mostly cross or cross-on, making it messy and choppy. Not the kind of conditions that get your heart racing.

The first few days are a write-off. Thursday and Friday look poor, with tiny waves and bumpy conditions. Saturday the 8th has a little bit of chest-high stuff at 2ft, but it’s coming from the SE with a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-off, so it might be clean but weak. That’s about the best of a bad bunch in the first week. This is a beach/jetty setup that’s already inconsistent, and with this sort of swell, it’s barely breaking.

We’ve got waves on the 14th, but they’re short-period junk. But here’s the thing – we finally see the wind swing offshore on that Friday morning. A light NW breeze at 6 mph is fanning across a 2.3ft SSW swell. The period is only 4 seconds, so it’s not going to have any punch. It’s clean, but small and crumbly. Not a standout, just a sign that the ocean isn’t completely dead.

Further out, there is a glimmer. The best window is looking like the 18th and 19th. On that Tuesday afternoon, we’ve got glassy conditions with a light ENE breeze at 3 mph. The swell is still small, 1.6ft from the SE at 9 seconds, but the energy ticks up to 45. It’s a bigger number, still modest, but gives us a bit more hope. The morning of the 20th is also clean and glassy with a WSW breeze at 3 mph, and there’s a bit of push from a 1.3ft SE swell. It’s small, but at least it’s clean. The winds are perfect, which is a major positive for clearing up the bump. This is the most promising stretch, but it's still a long way off, so treat it as a promising idea, not a certainty.

The forecast confidence drops as we go further out, but the pattern suggests we might get a few more rideable days after this dry spell. The break is inconsistent, so we need the ocean to cooperate, but there are signs of life. For now, it's all about being patient. If you’re desperate, it might be more interesting for the kite surfers with these cross-shore winds and small surf, but for a paddle surfer, this board is staying in the car for a bit.

Keep an eye on that 18th and 19th. It might be worth the wait.

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