10th Street (Avalon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here with the outlook for 10th Street (Avalon). Straight up, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a tough stretch ahead. The whole 16-day window is a real struggle for any decent surf, and most days are just write-offs. We’ve got a long gap from the start with no real recommendations, and honestly, it’s not looking good for a proper paddle.

The first record kicks off Tuesday, July 7th, but it’s not a recommendation. We’re looking at a tiny swell around 4ft from the NE, but the period is short at 6 seconds, and the wind is a cross-off from the NNE at 12 mph. The combined energy is weak (109), and it’s just poor surf conditions. The water temperature is a very unusual 76°, which is a huge 5° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a standout on its own, but not for the waves.

Wednesday, July 8th, is a similar story. The swell stays around 3ft to 4ft from the ENE, period still short at 6-7 seconds, but the wind turns cross-on and onshore, making it messy. The energy bumps up a bit (128-133), but it’s still poor.

Thursday, July 9th, the swell drops to 3ft, and with onshore winds from the S at 9-12 mph and a short period, it’s choppy and poor. Friday, July 10th, the swell is tiny at 1ft, and even with offshore winds from the NNW on the afternoon, there’s just no energy (33). Saturday, July 11th, is flat, with 0.7ft swell and a long period of 10 seconds, but the energy is a pathetic 10-14. That long period at a beach break like this means it’ll break straight and weak.

Sunday, July 12th, we get a pulse of 3ft from the East, but it’s a short 5-second period, and the wind is a fresh cross-on at 19 mph, making it lumpy. The condition is poor. Monday, July 13th, is more of the same: 3ft from the East, short period, and fresh cross-shore winds at 19-22 mph. This setup is looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

There’s a tiny glimmer on Tuesday, July 14th. The swell is 3ft from the ESE with a 7-second period, and the wind goes light and cross-off from the N in the morning. The energy is moderate (84). The conditions are described as "surfable waves but very ordinary." It’s the best of a bad bunch, but it’s not a standout. Remember, 10th Street is listed as *inconsistent*, so this blank run is more normal for the area.

After that, it’s back to tiny, poor surf from Wednesday, July 15th, through to the end of the window on Wednesday, July 22nd. We’re talking swells of 0.3ft to 2ft, with periods all over the place, and mostly cross-off or cross-shore winds. The energy stays in the pathetic to weak range (0-74). The long period swells (14 seconds) on Friday, July 17th, and Saturday, July 18th, are for 0.3ft surf – basically flat.

So, the honest truth? There’s nothing here worth paddling out for. The conditions are overwhelmingly poor, the swell is tiny or non-existent, and the winds are rarely your friend. It’s a frustrating outlook, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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