Manasquan Inlet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here. Let’s talk about this next stretch. I’m not gonna lie, this forecast is a bit of a bummer. We got a long, flat, and messy run ahead, but there are a couple of glimmers if you’re willing to wait.

We start off with something rideable, but it ain't pretty. On Monday morning, the 17th, Manasquan Inlet is seeing small 3ft surf from the SSE. It’s clean enough, but there’s barely any push behind it, with the combined swell energy way down at 77. The water is a warm 78°, which is about 5° warmer than the usual for this time of year – that’s a big deal, making the lack of waves sting a bit more. After that, things go totally flat. From Monday afternoon through the rest of the week and into the next, we’re looking at tiny, weak, and mostly poor surf. The swell drops to 2ft or less, and the winds are all over the shop – cross-on, onshore, or just too light. To be honest, there’s a big gap of about 5 days where you’re better off doing anything else. The energy is pathetic, with readings dropping into the 20s and 30s.

Now, there is a little pulse around the 25th. Tuesday the 25th sees the swell start to push up. Tuesday morning is still a mess, but by the afternoon, the swell jumps to 5ft from the S. The problem is the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, making it choppy and junky. The energy is moderate (192), but the quality just isn't there. It’s rideable for the keen, but it won't be pretty. Wednesday the 26th sees the swell drop back down and the wind goes straight onshore, so that’s a no-go.

The real kick happens on the 28th. That Friday gets a serious spike in energy. The combined energy jumps to 482 on Friday morning, with a 3ft SSE swell. But the wind is screaming from the NE at 30 km/h, a fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy and blown out. This isn't a paddle surfer's wave; this is more of a kite-surfing situation if anything. The swell is there, but the conditions will be rough. The direction is close to the old jetty’s optimum SSE, but with that wind, it’s just not going to be clean.

So, what’s the verdict? The standout is that brief window on the 25th afternoon where we get some size, but it’s let down by the wind. The second, more powerful one, is the big energy on the 28th, but that's for the wind sports crew. For a proper surf, there’s nothing on the table that’s worth getting too fired up about. The long-range stuff for the 29th and beyond fades back into the small and messy category, so don’t hold your breath. It’s a tough run, but forecasts can change, and this area tends not to stay flat forever.

Keep the faith.

Rusty.

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