Surf Forecasts:
Leo Carillo State Beach surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SSW swell with 291 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 13 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Leo Carillo State Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Leo Carillo State Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Leo Carillo State Beach in the next 16 days are 0.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Leo Carillo State Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's chat about Leo Carillo State Beach. It's a reef and point break that's good for beginners and usually fires pretty often. But right now? The ocean is taking a nap. The water is a warm 74°, which is a wild 9° warmer than normal for this time of year – that's a real freak of nature.
The surf is looking small and uninspiring for the foreseeable future. We've got a long stretch of days with almost nothing to talk about. The swell is tiny, hovering around 1ft to 2ft from the SW or SSW, and the energy is weak – we're seeing combined swell energy values of only 114 to 143. For the first week, the wind is mostly blowing onshore or cross-on, keeping the surface a mess.
But, there are a couple of afternoons that might be worth a session. Friday, September 18th afternoon and Saturday, September 19th afternoon are the ones to circle. The wind turns into a light WNW cross-offshore, which will clean everything up nicely. The swell is still small – about 2ft to 2ft from the SW – but the period is a nice long 18 to 19 seconds. That's a classic groundswell, and on a reef and point, it means long, lined-up walls. The energy will be moderate (around 275 to 337), so you'll be working for those rides, but the surface will be glassy. Just be aware the crowds can be a factor here, so if it looks good, don't hesitate.
After that, it's looking pretty grim. For a spot that's usually consistent, this is a dry spell. It won't stay this way forever, forecasts can flip, but right now, don't hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed morning, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 19 | W 7 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 89 | 62 | 85 | 78 | 108 | 107 | 90 | 88 | 72 | 270 | 195 | 201 | 198 | 193 | 167 | 184 | 184 | 131 | 255 | 252 | 255 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 11:10AM2.06m | 11:46PM1.65m | 11:38AM2.03m | 00:37AM1.46m | 12:08PM1.97m | 1:47AM1.30m | 12:43PM1.88m | 1:31PM1.79m | 2:52PM1.72m | 8:24AM1.43m | 4:32PM1.72m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 5:43PM0.51m | 5:18AM0.81m | 6:31PM0.56m | 5:38AM0.98m | 7:28PM0.63m | 5:50AM1.12m | 8:43PM0.69m | 10:22PM0.70m | 11:47PM0.64m | 10:18AM1.42m | 00:40AM0.55m | ||||||||||
 | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 7 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | W 6 | W 5 | SW 18 | W 6 |
| kJ | 89 | 62 | 85 | 18 | 13 | 107 | 90 | 88 | 40 | 270 | 195 | 201 | 198 | 193 | 167 | 118 | 184 | 40 | 20 | 252 | 41 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 6 | W 9 | W 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 9 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 12 | S 9 | SW 19 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 13 | 58 | 45 | 78 | 108 | 6 | 25 | 12 | 42 | 16 | 18 | 28 | 45 | 101 | 42 | 184 | 62 | 101 | 255 | 56 | 255 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 13 | S 9 | SW 21 | SSW 11 | S 11 | SSW 11 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | S 10 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 12 | 5 | 57 | 44 | 41 | 15 | 14 | 75 | 72 | 32 | 31 | 55 | 14 | 117 | 42 | 55 | 22 | 131 | 58 | 17 | 50 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 5 | — | E 3 | — | — | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | WSW 5 | W 6 | — | W 5 | W 7 |
| kJ | — | 8 | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 7 | 126 | — | 12 | 171 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 55 | 8 | 0 | 47 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 55 | 8 | 55 | 93 | 0 | 146 | 8 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Los Angeles County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Leo Carillo State Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Leo Carillo State Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Leo Carillo State Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Leo Carillo State Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Leo Carillo State Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Leo Carillo State Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Los Angeles County? If you are looking for accommodation near Leo Carillo State Beach, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Los Angeles County, consider staying in Thousand Oaks which is 16 km (10 miles) away. Other places in and around Los Angeles County where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Agoura Hills which is 17 km (11 miles) away, Agoura, Camarillo and Oxnard.
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