Surf Forecasts:
Leo Carillo State Beach surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SSW swell with 697 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 22 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Leo Carillo State Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Leo Carillo State Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Leo Carillo State Beach in the next 16 days are 1.1m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Leo Carillo State Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look at what’s coming up for Leo Carillo State Beach. It’s a reef and point set-up, and it’s a consistent little spot, but the next couple of weeks are gonna be a real mixed bag. We've got a long stretch coming up where the surf is just too small and the winds aren't playing nice.
Right off the bat, Saturday the 22nd we see some tiny little 1ft SSW groundswell with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy is weak (183). Don’t get too excited though, a groundswell that long can make a beach break section close out, but on a point like Leo, it *could* offer a few lined-up runners. The wind is a light cross-off from the WNW at 9 mph which will keep things clean. The water is a very unusual 70°, a full 5° warmer than normal for this time of year. That is a stone’s throw from bathwater. But still, the swell is tiny.
From Sunday the 23rd all the way through the week leading into September, it's more of the same. We're bumping along with waves mostly between 1ft and 2ft from the SW or SSW. The period drops off, and the winds flip around to onshore or cross-on a lot of the time. A lot of the afternoon sessions will be clean with a cross-off, but it’s just not enough push. The energy is weak. There’s a slight pulse on Wednesday the 26th with a S swell pushing 4ft, but the onshore wind from the South at 3 mph is gonna make a mess of it. The period is short at 12 seconds, and the combined energy is only moderate (579). Not a standout.
We finally see some proper life towards the end of the run. Saturday the 5th of September is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon session looks like the best bet. We’ve got a clean 4ft SSW swell with a 16-second period and the wind turning nice and light cross-off from the WNW at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (678), and with the wind a steady light breeze, Leo Carillo should be offering up some fun, rippable walls. This is a promise, but being that far out, keep an eye on the forecast.
So, overall, the next two weeks are mostly a waiting game with a lot of small, marginal surf in between. Nothing for the beginners until that bump in early September, and even then 4ft is a friendly size for that point. The stand-out is that Saturday afternoon session on the 5th. Get out there if the forecast holds.
Until next time,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 22°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 22°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSE 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 72 | 167 | 127 | 111 | 163 | 154 | 101 | 173 | 169 | 127 | 277 | 408 | 444 | 262 | 231 | 165 | 120 | 312 | 329 | 582 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:17PM1.91m | 8:57AM1.47m | 7:04PM2.00m | 9:13AM1.52m | 7:44PM2.09m | 9:31AM1.57m | 8:20PM2.15m | 9:50AM1.64m | 8:55PM2.17m | 10:10AM1.71m | 9:29PM2.14m | 10:31AM1.78m | 10:05PM2.05m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:59AM0.41m | 12:58PM1.25m | 2:31AM0.33m | 1:39PM1.16m | 2:59AM0.27m | 2:15PM1.06m | 3:25AM0.24m | 2:50PM0.96m | 3:49AM0.25m | 3:26PM0.87m | 4:13AM0.30m | 4:03PM0.79m | 4:37AM0.39m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 25 |
Feels °C | 26 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | S 14 | SW 17 | W 5 | SW 16 | S 14 | SSE 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 72 | 167 | 56 | 67 | 163 | 153 | 101 | 17 | 169 | 107 | 277 | 408 | 444 | 262 | 231 | 165 | 111 | 83 | 329 | 582 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | W 5 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | S 13 | SW 16 | W 6 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 19 | S 9 | W 6 |
| kJ | 50 | 12 | 85 | 111 | 157 | 154 | 50 | 173 | 89 | 127 | 43 | 124 | 121 | 106 | 74 | 74 | 67 | 312 | 81 | 30 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | S 16 | W 4 | WSW 5 | SSW 14 | S 13 | W 5 | S 13 | SW 16 | W 5 | W 13 | WSW 6 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | W 10 | SW 13 | S 9 |
| kJ | 57 | 58 | 127 | 45 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 126 | 12 | 87 | 124 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 92 | 31 | 120 | 31 | 27 | 36 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | WSW 4 | W 6 | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 | — | — | W 8 | — |
| kJ | 4 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 7 | 49 | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — | — | 45 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 2 | 18 | 62 | 0 | 47 | 62 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 49 | 13 | 6 | 55 | 18 | 8 | 55 | 8 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Los Angeles County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Leo Carillo State Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Leo Carillo State Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Leo Carillo State Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Leo Carillo State Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Leo Carillo State Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Leo Carillo State Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Los Angeles County? If you are looking for accommodation near Leo Carillo State Beach, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Los Angeles County, consider staying in Thousand Oaks which is 16 km (10 miles) away. Other places in and around Los Angeles County where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Agoura Hills which is 17 km (11 miles) away, Agoura, Camarillo and Oxnard.
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