Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Point Mugu. We’ve got a drawn-out run of small, mostly ordinary surf over the next couple of weeks, with a couple of windows that will get the heart beating a little faster.

The overall pattern is pretty mellow: a lot of waist-to-chest high waves from the SW, but the energy is on the lower side through the middle of the period. The standout sessions are going to be the afternoons, where the wind tends to clean things up. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

Thursday the 10th is where it starts. Morning’s a bit suspect with light onshore breeze, but come Thursday afternoon the wind swings cross-off from the west, the swell sits at 3 ft from the SW with a long, beautiful 16 second period. The energy is moderate at 390, and the setup looks clean. That’s one of the best on offer—small but glassy and lined up.

Friday the 11th afternoon tells a similar story: 3 ft SW swell, 15 second period, cross-off wind, clean. It’s not big, but the wave quality is good for the size.

Then we hit a long, lean stretch. From Saturday the 12th through Monday the 14th, the swell drops to 1 ft to 2 ft, period wobbles, and the wind crosses up. The combined energy dips into the low 100s (109 to 172). You can surf but it won’t be memorable. That gap stretches through to Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th – still in the 2 ft to 2 ft range, with clean afternoons but nothing to write home about.

Friday the 18th afternoon has a moderate breeze from the WNW, cross-off, with a 19 second period SW swell at 2 ft. Energy is 308. It’s clean, but tiny.

Here’s the real light at the end of the tunnel: Saturday the 19th. Both morning and afternoon bring 2 ft SW swell with an 18 second period, light cross-off wind from the west, and the energy is pumping at 343 and 317. Clean, long-period groundswell for a point break setup. That’s your standout for the second week.

Sunday the 20th afternoon goes completely glassy, with a 2 ft SW swell and 18 second period. Energy at 317. That’s the pick of the entire outlook, in my opinion. A real moment of calm, clean, small but quality surf.

After that, Monday the 21st afternoon holds 3 ft SW swell, 17 seconds, cross-off breeze—another solid session.

From Tuesday the 22nd onward, it fades into light wind and marginal conditions. The last few days of the period (23rd to 25th) are a bust with onshore slop and dropping energy.

If you’re looking to paddle, target the 19th and 20th. The south swell direction matches the optimum SW for the break, the period is long, and the afternoons have that clean, offshore feel. It’s a classic Ventura County point vibe—small but lined, and not too crowded if you’re local.

Rusty, out.

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