Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what we’ve got cookin’ for the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag but we’ve got some real good moments if you’re patient.

We’re looking at a solid run of chest-high, clean groundswell through the weekend and into the start of the week. The water is way warmer than usual for this time of year – a full 5° warmer – so you’re in for a treat if you’re paddling out without a full suit. The spot that’s got our attention is Point Mugu. It’s a beginner-friendly point break that’s fairly consistent, and it’s pointed right at the SW swell, which is what the breaking waves want to see. The whole stretch is going to have that long-period SSW groundswell, which means the waves will have shape and energy, but the sets will be a bit spaced out. That makes paddling out easier, though.

The real standout kicks off Saturday afternoon, August 29th. Swell is a clean 3 ft from the SSW with a long 16-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore out of the west at 6 mph. The combined wave energy is solid 511 (moderate energy). It’s going to be glassy, clean, and lined up. Perfect for a longboard or a funboard. It’s a beginner wave, but it’ll be a blast for anyone. The only bummer is that crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get out early or late.

Sunday morning, August 30th, is a bit more marginal with a cross-shore breeze, but the swell is still there – 3 ft, 15 seconds. The afternoon cleans up again with a cross-offshore breeze, and the energy jumps to 540. Monday the 31st is similar: small but clean in the afternoons, with 2 ft to 3 ft waves.

The first week of September is a bit of a lull. Tuesday and Wednesday (Sept 1st and 2nd) see the swell dropping to 3 ft and the period shortening to 11-13 seconds. The energy drops into the 200s (weak). It’s clean but weak. Thursday the 3rd has a weird one: a 2 ft swell with a massive 18-second period and 500 energy, but it’s a really long period for a beach break, so it might be a bit straight and mushy. Still, it’s a good sign that the ocean is alive.

The next big standout is way out there, but it’s worth the wait. On Tuesday, September 8th, we see a jump in size. The morning session has 4 ft from the SSW at 14 seconds, with light cross-offshore winds, and the energy is a huge 950 (moderate-to-strong). That’s a solid waist-to-chest high wave with some punch. The afternoon gets a bit bigger – 6 ft – but the wind picks up to a moderate 12 mph breeze. That’s still cross-offshore, so it should be clean, but it’s getting into the “too big for beginners” territory. It’s a good one for the more experienced crew.

Wednesday morning, September 9th, is still solid with 6 ft, but the period has dropped to 10 seconds. That’s a shorter, more wind-swell style, but it’s still clean with a 772 energy rating. The afternoon settles down to 5 ft.

After that, the swell fades fast. The second week is a quiet affair. From Thursday, September 10th, through to Sunday, September 13th, we’re looking at small, weak, and often onshore or cross-onshore wind. The waves drop to 2 ft to 2 ft, and the energy is low. There’s a little bump on Sunday the 13th with 4 ft and 4 ft from the SSE, but the wind is not ideal (cross or cross-off). It’s more of a “maybe” session than a “must-do.”

So, if you’re picking your moment, make it Saturday afternoon, August 29th, or Tuesday morning, September 8th. The first one is the classic, clean, long-period point break session. The second is bigger, more powerful, and for the more experienced. The rest is a mix of small clean waves and then a big gap of nothing much in the second week.

Stay stoked, and keep an eye on the charts – it won’t stay flat forever.

Rusty

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