Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, checking in from the coast. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks at Point Mugu.

It's a bit of a slow burn to start, but by the time we hit the end of the month and roll into September, there’s some real promise. The water right now is sitting at 70°F, which is a solid 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That's unusual, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home for a while longer.

We kick things off on Sunday the 23rd with hardly a ripple. Tiny 1 ft of SW groundswell at 18 seconds. With that long period, it’ll be clean but just too weak for a proper paddle. The combined energy is 223, which is weak. You could maybe get a log out for a sunset glide, but honestly, it’s a flat spell. Monday the 24th is more of the same, just a little cross-shore bump.

Tuesday the 25th starts to show a pulse. Still small, but by the afternoon we see 2 ft waves with some good shape and a cross-off wind. By Wednesday the 26th, the swell fills in better. Afternoon sees 4 ft S swell with a period of 12 seconds and the combined energy jumping into the moderate range at 511. The wind goes light and cross-off, so the lines start to look a lot cleaner. That’s a solid afternoon session.

Thursday the 27th is a bit messy with onshore wind in the morning, but the afternoons consistently clean up. Friday the 28th is when we start to see some quality. That afternoon has 2 ft of super long-period SSW groundswell at 19 seconds, and the combined energy is 470. The long period means those waves will have some grunt, but at a beach break, it might wall up a bit. Still, clean and 2 ft of 19-second swell is a treat.

The real standout, though, is the weekend of the 30th and 31st. No, wait—let me re-read that. The best on offer actually looks like Saturday the 29th of August. Morning starts with 3 ft of SSW swell, 17-second period, clean with a light cross-off wind. The energy is ramping hard, hitting 537. The afternoon is even better: 3 ft of the same, 16-second period, and the energy jumps to 637. That is a solid, fun size for a point break like this. Clean conditions all day. Crowds are ‘sometimes’ at Mugu, so you might have some company, but for those conditions, it’s worth the paddle out.

After that, we get a bit of a lull with some onshore wind and smaller swell through the first days of September. But hold onto your board. On Thursday the 3rd of September, the ocean wakes up. Morning sees 2 ft of SSW groundswell at a ridiculous 20 seconds, and 439 combined energy. The afternoon is better: 3 ft, 19 seconds, and the energy jumps to 548. Both sessions are clean with light winds. That’s a world-class wave waiting to happen.

And if you can wait, Saturday the 5th of September is the absolute standout of the whole forecast. Morning brings 3 ft of SSW swell, 16-second period, and the combined energy is a very strong 690. But the magic is the wind: glass. Dead flat, glassy conditions. That is as clean as it gets. It’ll be a bit big for beginners, but for anyone else, that is the session to circle on your calendar. Sunday the 6th holds similar size—4 ft in the afternoon—and the energy hits a very strong 1014, but the wind is a bit more variable. The glassy Saturday morning is the pick of the bunch.

So, to sum it up: the first half of the run is small and slow. The real action starts Saturday the 29th of August, with a clean, fun 3 ft. But if I had to call one shot, it's Saturday the 5th of September, with that glassy 3 ft groundswell. That’s the one you don’t miss.

Rusty.

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