Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be honest about the next couple of weeks. It ain’t gonna be pretty for most of it, but there are a few windows where you won’t be totally wasting your time.

Right off the bat, the surf is small and the wind is cross-onshore. Monday morning at Point Mugu (California) is clean looking in the sky, but the ocean’s a mess—poor surf conditions with only 2ft of swell and a period of 14 seconds. The energy is weak (219). The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no drama there. It’s a no-go.

Tuesday afternoon shows the first flicker of life. Swell drops to 2ft but the period jumps to 18 seconds, and the wind turns cross-offshore. It’s clean, and the energy ticks up a bit (268). Still tiny, but a long-period groundswell like that will at least give you something to push against. It’s a beginner wave, so if you’re just learning, this is your window.

The whole week struggles to get going. Wednesday and Thursday afternoons are clean-ish with cross-off winds, but the swell stays under 2ft. The energy builds a little—Thursday afternoon hits 290—but it’s still marginal. Friday afternoon sees the swell at 2ft with a 18-second period, and the energy jumps to 521, which is moderate. The wind is clean, but the tide and conditions are questionable. Still, if you’re desperate, that Friday glass-off might be your best bet for the first week.

Saturday afternoon is similar—3ft, cross-off, clean—but the period drops to 16 seconds. The energy is solid (459). It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. Sunday afternoon gets a bit more wind, 12 mph, but it’s still cross-off and clean. The swell is 3ft, period 15 seconds. Just average.

The following Monday afternoon, the 17th, is the standout of the whole run. The swell is 3ft from the SSW, period 14 seconds, and the wind is cross-off at 9 mph. The energy is moderate (304), and the conditions are described as “expect good surf conditions.” It’s still small, but it’s clean and consistent for the spot. This is your pick if you want a proper surf.

After that, it fades. The next week is mostly small and onshore, with a few clean afternoons but nothing with any push. The 22nd has a 1ft swell with a 21-second period—that’s a very long-period groundswell, but it’s tiny and the wind is up. It’s not worth the paddle.

Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, the only real “best on offer” is that Monday afternoon the 17th. Everything else is either too small, too onshore, or just plain ordinary. If you’re a beginner, Tuesday the 11th and that Monday might be okay. If you want more than a knee-high dribble, you’re waiting a while.

It’s a blank run, plain and simple. But the spot is fairly consistent, so it won’t stay poor forever. Forecasts change. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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