Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be real about the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a pretty flat run for Point Mugu, and I’m not gonna sugarcoat it. The first stretch is a write-off. We’ve got a solid week of nothing but tiny, junky waves with cross-onshore breezes messing things up. Light winds, sure, but the swell just isn't there. It's the kind of week where you’re better off checking the tide pools or doing literally anything else.

The water is sitting at a very toasty 71°, which is a solid 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a big deal, really unusual warmth. You won’t need more than a spring suit, if that.

We finally see a bit of a pulse kicking in around Friday the 14th and into the weekend. The swell direction is SSW, and the energy starts to build, but the wave heights stay stubbornly small. It's not until the middle of the following week that things get slightly more interesting. On Tuesday the 18th, we get a brief moment of glassy conditions in the morning with a 2ft SSW swell. That’s the closest thing to clean we’ll see, but it's still small. The period is a middling 15 seconds, so it'll have a bit of push, but it’s not going to be a world-beater.

The standout, if you can call it that, is the window from the afternoon of the 13th through to the 16th. The cross-off winds will keep things clean, and the swell energy is the strongest of the whole period. But remember, this is Point Mugu, a fairly exposed beach break. The swell direction is SSW, which is what you want, but the size maxes out at just 3ft. So, it’s clean, but it’s small. It’s a long-period groundswell, which can sometimes make beach breaks close out, so keep your expectations in check.

Honestly, there’s nothing here that’s going to get the heart racing. The best bet is to keep an eye on the mornings around the 15th and 16th when the winds are light and the swell is at its biggest. It’s a long-range call, so treat it with a bit of caution. For the rest of the time, it’s a paddling exercise.

This is a period where patience is key. The surf is small, the winds are mostly soft, and the standout is just a slightly less ordinary day than the rest. Keep the board waxed, but don’t be afraid to take a week off.

Rusty

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