
Surf Forecasts:
Point Mugu surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 21s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SSW swell with 742 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Mugu this week:
The surf forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Mugu in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a bit of a slow burn start, but there’s some decent little windows of fun clean surf if you’re patient. The first few days are pretty tame but the longer period swell from the S and SW will keep things interesting for a longboard or a funboard. The real standout looks like it’s gonna be the first Saturday of August, with a solid pulse of energy mixing with nearly perfect wind.
Point Mugu is the only spot on the menu, and it’s a fairly consistent beginner-friendly break that’s fairly exposed to the SW swell. The water is sitting at a very unusual 71°F – that’s a massive 8°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the 4/3 at home.
Thursday morning (23rd July) kicks things off with a small 3ft S swell at 13 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WSW at 15 mph, and the combined energy is a solid moderate 531. It’s not big, but it’s clean and surfable.
Friday (24th July) sees a shift to a longer period 24-second SW groundswell. The morning is a little messy with a light cross-onshore, but the afternoon cleans right up with a cross-offshore breeze. The swell drops to 2ft, but the energy is still decent at 521. That long period will make the waves stand up nicely at the point, with long gaps between sets.
Saturday (25th July) and Sunday (26th July) are a mixed bag. The swell picks up a bit to 3ft and 3ft from the SW, but the wind stays onshore or cross-shore, putting a bit of a wrinkle on the face. The energy is moderate ( 625 and 603 ), but it’s not the cleanest. You might get a few if you’re patient, but it’s not the best on offer.
Monday (27th) through Wednesday (29th) is pretty similar – small, waist-high stuff with light onshore or cross-shore winds. The swell period stays around 16 to 19 seconds, so there’s some shape, but the quality is just okay. Not worth burning a sick day for.
Tuesday afternoon (28th July) is a sneaky little highlight. The swell is 3ft from the SSW with a 17-second period, and the wind goes clean cross-offshore from the W at 15 mph. The energy is a strong 741, and the forecast says "very good surf conditions". This is a solid session for the intermediate surfer.
Thursday (30th July) through Friday (31st July) sees a new pulse of energy. The swell picks up to 4ft from the SSE on Friday morning, with the combined energy hitting a strong 1133. But the wind is a light onshore/cross-shore, so it’s not as clean as it could be.
Saturday (1st August) – The Standout. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning swell is 6ft from the S at 14 seconds, with a very strong energy reading of 1114. The wind is dead calm – a slight air from the SW – so it’s glassy. The afternoon is even better: the swell drops to 5ft, but the wind goes clean cross-offshore from the W at 10 mph, with the energy still at 929. This is the best combination of size and clean conditions in the whole window. The break is a point, so that long period S swell will wrap in nicely. The waves will be a good size for a step-up, and the crowd factor is "sometimes", so expect a few others out with the same idea.
Sunday (2nd August) the swell starts to fade quickly, dropping to 4ft and then 3ft, with the wind turning onshore. By Monday (3rd August) , it’s all over. The swell drops to 2ft and the energy collapses to 102. It’s a full-on lull from Monday 3rd August through to Friday 7th August – the energy sits in the weak range (between 75 and 127), and the winds are mostly onshore or choppy. There’s a small window of clean 1ft surf on Thursday afternoon (6th August) and Friday morning (7th August), but it’s basically flat. Not worth paddling out for.
So, the best bet is without a doubt Saturday 1st August in the afternoon at Point Mugu. Clean, 5ft groundswell from the S, glassy offshore winds. The morning will be fun too if you want the bigger 6ft sets with the glassy conditions. Don’t sleep on that Tuesday afternoon (28th July) either – it’s a smaller but cleaner session.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 21°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 21 | SSW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
209 | 141 | 189 | 444 | 271 | 467 | 584 | 450 | 657 | 546 | 470 | 547 | 727 | 610 | 601 | 629 | 608 | 545 | 397 | 475 | 475 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:55PM1.52m | 8:56AM0.97m | 6:44PM1.57m | 9:26AM1.02m | 7:28PM1.63m | 9:49AM1.06m | 8:06PM1.70m | 10:10AM1.10m | 8:41PM1.76m | 10:32AM1.13m | 9:14PM1.80m | 10:54AM1.17m | 9:46PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:01AM0.84m | 1:56AM0.11m | 12:18PM0.88m | 2:36AM0.01m | 1:15PM0.86m | 3:09AM-0.06m | 1:59PM0.81m | 3:40AM-0.11m | 2:35PM0.76m | 4:08AM-0.15m | 3:09PM0.70m | 4:35AM-0.16m | 3:43PM0.66m | ||||||||
6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | W 6 | S 13 | S 12 | SW 21 | SSW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
209 | 141 | 62 | 272 | 239 | 467 | 584 | 450 | 657 | 546 | 470 | 547 | 727 | 610 | 601 | 629 | 608 | 545 | 397 | 475 | 475 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 24 | SW 24 | S 11 | WSW 5 | S 10 | W 5 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | S 21 | SSW 20 | S 19 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | W 5 |
36 | 141 | 189 | 444 | 271 | 121 | 10 | 30 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 75 | 127 | 116 | 10 | 10 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 26 | S 11 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | W 6 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSE 9 | S 10 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | S 18 | S 18 | SSE 14 |
166 | 105 | 88 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 31 | 28 | 46 | 40 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 99 | 99 | 78 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 6 | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
120 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 73 | 0 | 73 | 45 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 45 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Mugu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Mugu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Mugu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Mugu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Mugu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Mugu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Mugu is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Port Hueneme. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Hueneme. Port Hueneme has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










