Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at the surf ahead for Point Mugu. First thing you need to know: we’re in for a stretch of small, clean surf rather than any big, roaring swell. The waves are going to be on the smaller side, and honestly, the standout windows will be about finding those pockets of clean, glassy conditions.

Right off the bat, there’s a bit of a flat spell for the first couple of days. Tuesday and Wednesday are looking pretty ordinary. The swell is tiny, around 1ft to 2ft, and the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, which is just going to mess up an already weak wave. The combined energy is weak, with values in the low hundreds (110-317). Not worth getting wet for.

The pattern starts to shift on Thursday the 17th. The morning is still marginal, but by the afternoon, the wind turns cross-offshore out of the west, and the surf cleans up. The swell is a touch better at around 2ft from the SSW, with a period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is starting to build (332). It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and lined up. This is the start of the better run of weather.

Friday the 18th and the weekend into Monday the 21st are your best bets. The swell stays in that 2ft to 3ft range from the SW, and the period holds in a nice 17-19 second window. That long period means the waves will have a bit more push and shape to them. The energy is moderate, sitting in the 294-390 range. The afternoons are consistently clean with light west winds. For Point Mugu, a gentle beach break, this is the sweet spot. It’s small, but it’s fun, and the conditions are good. With the light winds and clean waves, it’ll feel a lot bigger than the numbers suggest.

From Monday afternoon through the following week, the wind stays mostly favorable, but the swell slowly fades. The energy drops from the 300s into the low 200s by the 25th. The period also shortens, dropping from 17 seconds down to 13 seconds by the weekend. It’s still clean in the afternoons, but the waves get weaker and less consistent. There is one more little spike in the morning of Monday the 28th, where the wind goes glassy and the swell picks back up to around 3ft with a 13-second period. The energy jumps back to 315, and for a morning, it will be as glassy as it gets. But by Tuesday the 29th, it’s back to the fade-out.

The real standout here is the period from Thursday the 17th through to Monday the 21st. The afternoons, especially, will be worth the paddle. Keep your expectations for a longboard or a fish; this isn’t a shortboard week. It’s about clean lines and enjoying the water.

So, in short: the early week is a write-off, the end of the week and the weekend offer the best clean, small surf, and the following week is a slow tail-off with one glassy morning on the 28th. Take what you can get and enjoy the clear skies.

Rusty out.

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