Surf Forecasts:
Point Mugu surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SSW swell with 270 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Mugu this week:
The surf forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Mugu in the next 16 days are 0.7m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’re looking at a classic late summer setup for Point Mugu. There’s no huge swell on the cards, but a persistent, long-period SW groundswell keeps a small wave in the water for most of the forecast period. The key is picking the windows when that clean offshore wind kicks in.
Overall, the water is way warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at a balmy 73°F—that’s a solid anomaly of 9° warmer. It’s a blessing if you’re in a shorty or just boardies. Crowds can be an issue here sometimes, but with mostly small surf, the line-up probably won’t be a warzone.
The first week is pretty weak. Swell heights barely push past 2ft with combined energy in the 100-300 range, so it’s more about the texture than the power. The best bet in that first stretch kicks off on Friday the 18th. The morning looks clean with light offshore wind (6 mph) and a 2ft SW swell packing a long 19-second period. The energy is moderate at (312), but that long period will wrap into the point nicely, giving you little lines to cruise on. It’s a beginner-friendly size, but don't expect barrels.
Past that, the pulse fades over the weekend but rebuilds. The standout period is actually the start of the following week. Monday afternoon the 21st and Tuesday afternoon the 23rd of September look like the real highlights. We see the swell nudge up to 3ft from the SW, with that lovely 16-17 second period holding it together. The combined energy jumps to (436) on Monday, making it the punchiest we’ll see. More importantly, the wind goes clean offshore from the WNW at 9 mph. For Point Mugu, that’s the magic recipe—clean faces, gentle peelers, and way more fun than the size suggests. The morning sessions on those days are marginal with a bit of cross-onshore wind, so aim for the afternoon windows for texture.
If you’re looking for a tide check, these smaller long-period swells can get a bit fat on the low, so a mid-to-coming-up tide would be your friend. There is a bit of a lull towards the final weekend of the month with flukey onshore winds, but there’s a flicker on Friday the 25th with clean wind and 2ft swell.
Keep your expectations in check on size, but the quality is there if you pick your moment.
Stay frothy,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 14 | W 6 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 169 | 138 | 139 | 89 | 62 | 64 | 78 | 108 | 107 | 90 | 88 | 72 | 270 | 193 | 201 | 198 | 172 | 167 | 184 | 184 | 131 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:38AM1.68m | 10:54PM1.51m | 11:05AM1.68m | 11:37PM1.32m | 11:32AM1.65m | 00:26AM1.13m | 12:00PM1.58m | 1:32AM0.96m | 12:31PM1.49m | 4:12AM0.87m | 1:15PM1.39m | 2:40PM1.31m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:59PM0.14m | 4:58AM0.26m | 5:42PM0.15m | 5:21AM0.44m | 6:29PM0.20m | 5:41AM0.61m | 7:23PM0.28m | 5:53AM0.76m | 8:37PM0.35m | 5:09AM0.87m | 10:20PM0.37m | 11:52PM0.31m | |||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 25 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 14 | W 6 | W 5 | SW 13 | W 6 | W 6 | WSW 6 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 8 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | W 6 |
| kJ | 169 | 138 | 40 | 13 | 62 | 64 | 16 | 13 | 107 | 90 | 28 | 40 | 270 | 193 | 201 | 198 | 172 | 167 | 118 | 184 | 39 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | S 10 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | S 9 | SSE 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 21 | W 4 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 8 | 16 | 97 | 89 | 58 | 45 | 78 | 108 | 9 | 6 | 88 | 42 | 14 | 18 | 31 | 30 | 34 | 109 | 10 | 104 | 101 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | WSW 13 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | S 11 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 15 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 57 | 44 | 41 | 15 | 14 | 75 | 72 | 31 | 31 | 53 | 49 | 117 | 26 | 184 | 35 | 131 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 5 | W 6 | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | SE 2 | — | — | — | W 6 | — | W 4 | W 3 | W 4 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 139 | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 9 | — | 3 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 15 | 106 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 67 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 72 | 11 | 73 | 45 | 0 | 128 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Mugu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Mugu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Mugu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Mugu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Mugu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Mugu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Mugu is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Port Hueneme. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Hueneme. Port Hueneme has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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