Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Point Mugu has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, we're starting off pretty quiet. The first few days are a bit of a struggle, with small, weak, and often messy waves. The water is a warm 73°F and much warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a real treat. But don't get your hopes up for the start of the run.

Monday, August 31st, is a bit of a tease. The morning is a write-off with small 2ft S swell and a light cross-on breeze making things lumpy. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-off wind, and the same 2ft SSW swell has a bit more energy (314). It's surfable, but it's not going to blow your mind.

Tuesday and Wednesday are pretty poor overall, with tiny waves and not much in the way of quality. We're in a bit of a lull here.

Now, things start to get interesting towards the end of the first week and into the second. Friday, September 4th, the afternoon shows some promise. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the SSW with a period of 16 seconds, and the energy is ramping up (681). The wind is clean, cross-off, making it a decent session for a beginner-friendly spot like this.

The standout window is definitely the weekend of September 5th and 6th, and into the following Monday. Saturday afternoon, September 5th, is looking good. We've got a consistent 3ft SSW swell with a solid 16-second period, and the energy is climbing (836). The wind is clean, cross-off, and it's going to be a very fun session.

But the real highlight, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is Sunday, September 6th, through to Tuesday, September 8th. This is where it gets exciting. The swell builds significantly. Sunday afternoon sees 5ft S swell (15-second period) with a massive jump in energy (1334), and a clean, cross-off wind from the NE. This is excellent, powerful surf for experienced surfers. Monday, September 7th, is the peak, with 7ft S swell and a very long period of 15 seconds, pushing energy readings over 1900. The wind is still clean, cross-off. This is big, powerful groundswell, and for a point break like Point Mugu, that long period will wrap in beautifully. It's going to be pumping, but this is for experienced surfers only – the size is significant. The water will still be feeling that warm anomaly.

After that peak, the swell drops quickly. Tuesday afternoon, September 8th, still has some size at 10ft, but the period drops to 10 seconds, so it's a bit more windswell-like and messy. Wednesday, September 9th, is a steep drop-off.

From Thursday, September 10th, right through to the end of the forecast on the 15th, we're back to small, weak, and poor conditions. It's a long, flat run. The swell energy drops to under 200 (95) on the 13th, and most days are just tiny, weak waves. There's a brief moment of glass on the morning of September 15th, but the waves are just 1ft – hardly worth the paddle.

So, the plan is simple: wait out the early week, then get ready for a fantastic run from the afternoon of the 4th, with the absolute best, most powerful surf hitting from the afternoon of the 6th through the 8th. After that, it's a long dry spell.

Rusty.

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