Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s happening at Point Mugu. It’s gonna be a bit of a slow start, but there’s a little window later that’s worth keeping an eye on.

First off, the water is sitting at 71°—that’s a solid 7° warmer than usual for this time of year, which is very unusual. You won’t need a wetsuit.

The overall pattern is pretty weak. Through the first week, we’re talking tiny, near-useless swell. The combined swell energy is low, barely cracking triple digits on a good day (93 to 316). The wind is mostly cross-on or light, which doesn’t help. Thursday morning the 6th is a washout with 1ft SW swell and a cross-on breeze. Friday morning the 7th is a touch bigger at 2ft, but the wind is still messy. Honestly, through the first week, it’s all poor surf conditions. There’s a gap of about 8 days where you’re really not missing much.

Now, the standout window. Things start to perk up around the 14th of August. Thursday afternoon the 14th sees a 2ft SSW swell with an 18-second period – that’s a proper groundswell, carrying some real grunt. The wind goes cross-off, and the waves are clean. The combined energy hits 552 (moderate), so there’s some push. This is the best offer on the table. The swell direction is SSW, a touch off the optimum SW, but it’s close enough to work.

Then Saturday the 15th holds that energy – 3ft SSW swell, again 16 seconds, with clean cross-off wind in the afternoon. The energy is still strong at 504. Sunday the 16th afternoon is also looking clean with a 3ft SSW swell. These are the days to aim for. The swell is small, so it’s fine for all levels, but the long period (over 15 seconds) means it could be a bit straight at the beach break. It’ll hold shape better if you can find a bend or a corner.

Don’t expect any crowds to be a big issue here; it’s a spot that can get a few heads on a good day, but with the size so small, it’ll be mellow.

After that, it tails off again into the 20th. The 21st of August has a clean 2ft S swell with a 16-second period, but it’s just not enough.

So, bottom line: the first week is a total wash. Save your energy for that stretch from the 14th to the 16th of August. The 14th afternoon is the pick of the bunch.

Rusty.

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