Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Point Mugu.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a grind for us. There are waves on the cards, but we’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak surf that’s just not going to light anyone’s fire. The early part of the outlook is especially tough, with a real struggle to find anything rideable.

Things start off slow. On Friday the 10th, we’ve got some long-period groundswell from the SSW, running 16 seconds, but the swell is tiny at only 3ft. The combined energy is moderate at best (311), and with a cross-on wind, it’s not doing us any favours. Saturday and Sunday the 11th and 12th are more of the same – small SSW swells, light but annoying cross-on winds, and poor conditions.

We go through a real dry spell here. From Monday the 13th through to the morning of Friday the 17th, we’re stuck with very weak energy (values between 123 and 262) and tiny waves. There is a brief, almost teasing moment on Wednesday afternoon the 15th – the wind goes glassy, and the water is clean, but the wave height is only 1ft. You could get a ride on a log, but it’s barely surfable. The energy is weak (151).

The first real hint of something better shows up on Saturday the 18th. The swell from the SW bumps up to 2ft, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (367-418), but that long period means the waves will be fat and straight-breaking at the beach. It’s marginal, but there’s a chance of a clean-up set if you’re patient. Sunday the 19th sees the biggest swell of the entire forecast, hitting 3ft from the S with a 13-second period and strong energy (588-647). The morning has a light cross-on breeze, but the afternoon turns clean with a cross-off wind. This is probably the best window for a proper session, though “best” is relative here. It’s still not a standout.

Between the 20th and 22nd of July, there are a few afternoons with clean, cross-off winds and gentle breezes, with small SW swells around 2ft to 3ft. The energy stays moderate (301-392). It’s a nice enough time to be out on a longboard, with tidy waves, but it’s not firing.

The tail end of the outlook runs out of steam completely. From the 23rd to the 25th, we’re back to tiny 1ft to 2ft waves with weak energy and predominantly onshore or cross-shore winds. The very last record on Saturday the 25th shows a 22-second period swell, but it’s only 1ft and straight onshore – a total tease with no power.

The Best Bet: If you want the cleanest possible conditions, aim for Wednesday afternoon the 15th. It’s glassy and looks beautiful, but you’ll be struggling on waves only 1ft. For the most size and shape, Sunday the 19th is your pick. The afternoon session with the clean cross-off wind and 3ft to 3ft swell offers the most hope, even if it’s not world-class.

The bottom line: This is a period for the die-hards and longboarders. Keep your expectations low, and you might just score a fun, quiet session.

Rusty.

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