Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the start of this period is looking pretty average. There's no real punch for the first few days, just some tiny, weak waves. You won't see anything worth paddling out for until Thursday morning, the 27th of August. The water is sitting at a very unusual 72°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the 4/3 at home.

The best of the first week looks like it’ll be Thursday afternoon, the 27th. We’ve got a clean 3 ft swell from the S, with a period of 11 seconds. The wind goes glassy in the morning, and is a light cross-offshore in the arvo. The combined swell energy is only (331) though, so it's not going to have much push. Expect fun little waves for a log or a fish, but nothing that’ll get the heart pumping. Friday the 28th is very similar, with the swell shifting to a longer period SSW (19 seconds) at 2 ft, and the energy picks up a little (381). That long period means the sets will be pretty spread out, but the shape should be clean with that light cross-offshore wind.

Saturday the 29th sees a jump in energy (655) and the swell bumps up to 3 ft. The wind is a bit more on it with a cross-off, but still manageable. This is likely the pick of the first week. Sunday drops off again.

Now, for the standouts. If you’re willing to wait, mark your calendar for Thursday, September 3rd in the afternoon. The swell is forecast to be a clean 5 ft from the SSW at 14 seconds. This is the biggest, most consistent looking pulse of the whole run. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WNW and combined energy hits (840), which is the highest we’ve seen. This is legitimate fun-size surf for Point Mugu, and given it’s a fairly consistent break with good exposure, it should be holding nicely. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but 5 ft starts getting a little punchy, so know your limits. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get in early for the better tides.

After that Thursday peak, the surf tails off again through the second week. The mornings will keep getting ruined by onshore or cross-shore winds, but the afternoons from Friday the 4th through Saturday the 6th will still offer some clean, smaller waves in the 3 ft to 3 ft range. The energy is solid enough (499 - 645) but the swell quality isn't as good as that Thursday.

So, the call is simple: the first few days are a skip, the middle of next week has a few fun mornings, but Thursday 3rd September is the one to aim for. It’s the standout of the whole 16-day window, but being that far out, treat it as a promising long-range call rather than a guarantee. Keep an eye on the wind shifts as we get closer.

Rusty, signing off.

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