Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long look at what’s happening at Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty quiet stretch overall. The water is sitting at 71°, which is unusually warm for this time of year, a solid 7° above normal. Feels more like a bath than the Pacific.

The first real window of anything worth paddling out for is going to be on Monday, 12th August. Through the middle of the week, we’ve got tiny little 1ft to 2ft swells from the SW with very low energy (74 to 127). It’s surfable on the right tide on Sunday afternoon, 4th August, if you're a beginner just wanting to feel the board under your feet, but the overall vibe is ordinary.

The weekend of the 10th and 11th August is more of the same – small, weak, and messy. Not worth getting the wax out.

Things start to look a bit more interesting heading into the second week. On Thursday, 13th August, the energy starts to build. We’re looking at a solid 2ft swell from the SW, but the period bumps up to a nice 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell with some push behind it. The combined energy reads a moderate 300, so you’ll feel it. The afternoon is looking clean with a cross-offshore breeze from the W at 9 mph. This could be a very nice session for a point break wave.

Then, the standout of the whole forecast – Friday, 14th August afternoon. The swell holds at 2ft from the SSW, but the period stretches to 18 seconds. That’s long-period energy, and the wave energy number jumps up to 426 (moderate to strong). That shift in energy is real. With the wind going cross-offshore from the W at 9 mph and clear skies, expect clean, lined-up waves. This is the best on offer. If you can only pick one session, this is it.

That Saturday, 15th August, hangs around with a bit more size (3ft) but the wind is more cross/cross-on, making it a step down in quality. Still worth a look if you miss Friday. Then into Sunday morning, 16th August, we get a very rare moment of glassy conditions with a slight ESE breeze at just 3 mph. The swell drops back a bit (2ft, 14 secs), but if it's clean and empty, that’s a special morning for the longboard.

Point Mugu is a beginner-friendly spot and fairly consistent, but crowds are possible, especially on those cleaner afternoons. It's a fairly exposed spot to a SW swell, so the direction is working well for us. Overall, there's a big gap of flat days at the start, but the back half of the forecast – especially the 14th and 16th – offers some real hope.

Stay stoked, Rusty.

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