Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming.

We’ve got a slow start. A few days with nothing much to talk about, so you’ll be waiting a bit for the first real chance. The swell is tiny and the wind is messy for the first part of the week.

The first window worth mentioning is Thursday the 13th of August, in the afternoon at Point Mugu. The wind goes cross-off from the west, cleaning it right up. The waves are small, about 2 feet from the SSW, with a period of 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is moderate at 290. The water is a crazy warm 71° – that’s 7° warmer than normal, so don’t expect a cold session. This is a fairly consistent spot, exposed to the SW, so it can handle a bit. This is the best early option, but keep it in perspective – it’s small and clean, not a day for the record books.

Now, Saturday the 15th is the one to circle. The morning has clean cross-off wind from the west, with 3 feet of SSW swell at 16 seconds. The energy is up to 472. The afternoon gets even better with 4 feet from the SW, still clean cross-off wind from the NW, and the energy jumps to 616 – that’s strong. The period is still 16 seconds, so those long lines will wrap in nicely at a point break. This is the standout. It’s small, but it’s clean and has some decent grunt. Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, so it’s worth getting there early.

Sunday the 16th morning is still clean with light offshore wind and 3 feet of SSW swell, energy at 484. The afternoon gets a bit breezier from the WNW but stays cross-off.

From Monday the 17th through Tuesday the 18th, the mornings are clean but the swell drops to 3 feet and the energy fades. Still surfable, but nothing special.

The second week, from Wednesday the 19th onward, is small and clean in the mornings, but the swell is around 2 to 3 feet with energy in the low to mid 200s. There’s a 21-second period swell on the 22nd, but it’s only 1 feet – lots of time between tiny waves. Not worth it.

So the bottom line: Saturday the 15th of August, afternoon, is your best call. 4 feet of clean SW groundswell, light cross-off wind, and strong energy. The Thursday afternoon before is a decent warm-up, but after the weekend, it’s a slow fade into small, clean, but gutless surf. The water is weirdly warm, so enjoy that while it lasts.

Rusty.

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