Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for us at Point Mugu. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. We’ve got a slow start, but some decent windows open up if you’re patient.

First thing, the water temp’s sitting about average for this time of year, nothing too crazy there. The first few days are pretty marginal. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are seeing small, weak swell around the 2ft to 3ft mark from the SSW. There’s decent energy in the water on Friday afternoon (650 for combined swell energy) but the wind is a bit of a factor, blowing cross-off which isn't ideal for peaky waves. It's clean, but not much push.

Now, Saturday the 5th afternoon is where things start to look more interesting. The swell bumps up slightly to 3ft from the SSW, and we get light westerly winds, keeping the surf clean. The combined energy jumps to 785, a solid sign of moderate wave energy. It’ll be a good longboard or funboard day, nothing too heavy.

The standout of the whole period, without a doubt, is Sunday the 6th afternoon through Monday the 7th afternoon. Sunday we’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the south, with light offshore W winds. The energy is cooking at 920. Then Monday afternoon sees it peak at 5ft from the S, with a combined energy shooting up to 1316. That’s some proper wave energy coming through. The wind stays cross-off and light. This is the best on offer – slightly bigger, cleaner, and with some real grunt. Keep in mind, with the swell over 5ft at 5ft, it might be a bit much for the absolute beginners, but for everyone else, this is prime time.

After that, the size backs off gradually. Tuesday the 8th through the 9th still have some rideable waves, around 4ft to 5ft, with clean conditions in the mornings. The energy stays respectable.

Then we hit a long stretch of quietness. From Thursday the 10th afternoon all the way through to Tuesday the 16th, the surf gets small and weak. We’re looking at knee-high slop, mostly under 2ft with combined energy values dropping below 200. The winds are messy, and surf quality is poor. There’s a long gap here of about a week where you’re better off doing something else. Looks more like a good stretch for kite surfing, to be honest, given the combination of small sea and some decent breezes.

Right at the tail end, on Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th, there’s a glimmer of hope. It’s a long way out, so take it as promising but not a dead cert. We’re seeing a very long-period groundswell coming in, around 20-22 seconds from the SW, but the height stays small, only 1ft to 2ft. The energy is moderate (463 on the 17th afternoon). That long period will make for some weird, fat lines at a beach break like this, but if you get the tide right, it could offer a few fun, clean peelers. Keep an eye on it, but don't bank your week on it.

Stay patient, get on it this weekend and Monday, and you'll score.

Rusty

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