Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty darn slow for Point Mugu. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf ahead, but there’s a glimmer of hope if you’re willing to wait.

We’re starting out with a real dud. From Tuesday, August 4th, right through the week, we’re looking at ankle-biters in the 1ft to 2ft range. The energy is weak, barely registering 87 to 127 on the scale. Mornings are mostly blown out with that cross-on wind, and while afternoons clean up, there just isn't enough push to make it worth your while. It’s a paddling practice kind of week, not a surfing one.

We do see a slight bump in the swell direction to the SSW and a jump in period to 19 seconds on Friday the 7th. The energy climbs to 330, but the height stays stuck at 2ft. It’s still tiny, but that long-period groundswell might throw a little more shape at it. It’s still marginal at best.

The following week, from Monday the 10th through Thursday the 14th, we are stuck in the same pattern. Small SSW swell, 2ft to 2ft, and not enough consistency to get excited about. The energy fluctuates a bit, but it’s all still in the weak-to-moderate zone. The winds are still mostly cross-on in the mornings, with some cleaner afternoons. You’ll be fighting for a wave that barely stands up.

Now, here’s where things get a little more interesting. On Friday, August 14th, the energy starts to build significantly. We’re talking a jump to 380 in the morning, and then by the afternoon it jumps up to 558. The swell pushes to 3ft with that same long-period SSW groundswell at 18 seconds. The wind even goes cross-off in the afternoon. This is the first day that looks like it has some genuine potential.

The standout, though, is Saturday, August 15th. The swell holds at 3ft, with energy still strong at 453. The period is still a nice and long 16 seconds from the SSW. The morning is looking clean with a cross-off breeze. This is the pick of the whole window. It’s not big, but that long-period groundswell should offer some decent shape, and it’ll be the best quality we’ve seen. Sunday the 16th still has some of that energy around 412, and the morning looks clean too, but it’s a touch down on Saturday.

After that, it fades back down. The week of the 17th sees the swell drop back to 2ft and the energy tailing off. It looks like we’ll be back to the small and weak stuff by the 18th.

So, there you have it. It’s a long grind, but that window from the 14th to the 16th – especially the morning of the 15th – is your best bet. Water temp is running much warmer than usual at 71°F, which is notable. For a spot that's fairly consistent, this is a slow spell, but it should pick back up. Stick with it.

Rusty.

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