Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be honest from the get-go – this forecast for the next couple of weeks is a flat spell. There’s no real swell to speak of for the first week, and while we see a tiny bump in the second week, it’s still going to be small. We’ve got a long gap of nothing much happening before we even get to talk about anything rideable.

The one spot we’ve got to look at is Point Mugu. It’s a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent, but it’s exposed to the SSW and the swell we’re seeing is coming from that direction. It’s a pretty exposed break, so it catches whatever is out there.

The water temp is sitting at 70°F right now, which is a whopping 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s very unusual – the ocean is feeling like a bathtub out there.

For the first week, from Friday the 7th through to Thursday the 14th, it’s just not worth paddling out. We’re looking at tiny waves, usually around 2 ft to 2 ft, with a long period swell (14 to 19 seconds). The combined energy is weak, sitting between 190 and 359. The wind is mostly light and cross-onshore, creating small ripples. It’s poor surf, pure and simple. Save your energy.

The first real standout in this entire 16-day window pops up on Saturday the 15th of August. The morning session is the pick. We’ve got a 3 ft SSW swell, still with a long 16-second period, and the combined energy rises to a moderate 464. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the west, which will keep the surface clean. It’s still small, but for this run, it’s the best you’ll get. The afternoon sees a moderate breeze pick up, so the morning is the go.

The other potential highlight is a week later, on Friday the 21st of August. The afternoon looks promising. The swell is 3 ft from the SSW (15-second period), with a combined energy of 362. The wind goes cross-offshore from the west with a gentle breeze, cleaning things up nicely. It’s the other session that rates as “expect good surf conditions.” It’s tiny, but it’ll be the cleanest we’ve seen.

Bear in mind, this is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not locked in. For a beginner spot like Point Mugu, these small, clean days are actually your best bet. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so you might have company.

The rest of the days in the second week are marginal or poor. The swell hovers around 2 ft to 3 ft, and while the wind is often clean, the wave height just isn’t there to get excited about.

So, in a nutshell: we’ve got a long, flat start. The only real standouts are the morning of Saturday the 15th of August and the afternoon of Friday the 21st of August. It’s small, but it’s clean. Don’t expect barrels, just a few fun, small waves for the longboard or a foamie.

Rusty.

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