Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a slow burn start, but there’s some decent little windows of fun clean surf if you’re patient. The first few days are pretty tame but the longer period swell from the S and SW will keep things interesting for a longboard or a funboard. The real standout looks like it’s gonna be the first Saturday of August, with a solid pulse of energy mixing with nearly perfect wind.

Point Mugu is the only spot on the menu, and it’s a fairly consistent beginner-friendly break that’s fairly exposed to the SW swell. The water is sitting at a very unusual 71°F – that’s a massive 8°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the 4/3 at home.

Thursday morning (23rd July) kicks things off with a small 3ft S swell at 13 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WSW at 15 mph, and the combined energy is a solid moderate 531. It’s not big, but it’s clean and surfable.

Friday (24th July) sees a shift to a longer period 24-second SW groundswell. The morning is a little messy with a light cross-onshore, but the afternoon cleans right up with a cross-offshore breeze. The swell drops to 2ft, but the energy is still decent at 521. That long period will make the waves stand up nicely at the point, with long gaps between sets.

Saturday (25th July) and Sunday (26th July) are a mixed bag. The swell picks up a bit to 3ft and 3ft from the SW, but the wind stays onshore or cross-shore, putting a bit of a wrinkle on the face. The energy is moderate ( 625 and 603 ), but it’s not the cleanest. You might get a few if you’re patient, but it’s not the best on offer.

Monday (27th) through Wednesday (29th) is pretty similar – small, waist-high stuff with light onshore or cross-shore winds. The swell period stays around 16 to 19 seconds, so there’s some shape, but the quality is just okay. Not worth burning a sick day for.

Tuesday afternoon (28th July) is a sneaky little highlight. The swell is 3ft from the SSW with a 17-second period, and the wind goes clean cross-offshore from the W at 15 mph. The energy is a strong 741, and the forecast says "very good surf conditions". This is a solid session for the intermediate surfer.

Thursday (30th July) through Friday (31st July) sees a new pulse of energy. The swell picks up to 4ft from the SSE on Friday morning, with the combined energy hitting a strong 1133. But the wind is a light onshore/cross-shore, so it’s not as clean as it could be.

Saturday (1st August) – The Standout. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning swell is 6ft from the S at 14 seconds, with a very strong energy reading of 1114. The wind is dead calm – a slight air from the SW – so it’s glassy. The afternoon is even better: the swell drops to 5ft, but the wind goes clean cross-offshore from the W at 10 mph, with the energy still at 929. This is the best combination of size and clean conditions in the whole window. The break is a point, so that long period S swell will wrap in nicely. The waves will be a good size for a step-up, and the crowd factor is "sometimes", so expect a few others out with the same idea.

Sunday (2nd August) the swell starts to fade quickly, dropping to 4ft and then 3ft, with the wind turning onshore. By Monday (3rd August) , it’s all over. The swell drops to 2ft and the energy collapses to 102. It’s a full-on lull from Monday 3rd August through to Friday 7th August – the energy sits in the weak range (between 75 and 127), and the winds are mostly onshore or choppy. There’s a small window of clean 1ft surf on Thursday afternoon (6th August) and Friday morning (7th August), but it’s basically flat. Not worth paddling out for.

So, the best bet is without a doubt Saturday 1st August in the afternoon at Point Mugu. Clean, 5ft groundswell from the S, glassy offshore winds. The morning will be fun too if you want the bigger 6ft sets with the glassy conditions. Don’t sleep on that Tuesday afternoon (28th July) either – it’s a smaller but cleaner session.

Rusty out.

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