Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is a tricky one coming up. The next 16 days are looking pretty flat and average for Point Mugu, with only a few windows that might be worth a paddle. There's a dry spell right at the start, so don't get your hopes up for the first few days.

The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest wetsuit.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are pretty much write-offs. The swell is tiny, barely 1ft to 2ft, and the combined wave energy is weak (around 198 to 156). Wednesday afternoon the 16th might be surfable, but it's very ordinary – just small, weak stuff.

We finally see a pulse of energy arrive on Saturday the 19th. The morning of the 18th shows a jump with 4ft swell from the SSE, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are a bit messy. The real standout looks like Sunday afternoon the 19th. The swell holds around 4ft from the S, period drops to 10 seconds, but the wind goes clean and cross-offshore from the W. That's about as good as it gets in this stretch. The combined energy is moderate (536), so there's some push.

The best bet of the whole outlook, though, is a bit further out. On Friday the 24th, we get a solid 6ft swell from the S, with a 15-second period. That's a nice groundswell. The combined energy is strong (1538). The morning has light cross-shore winds, but the afternoon goes clean and cross-off from the WNW. That's the pick of the week. The swell size is right in the sweet spot for a point break vibe, not too big for a decent surfer, but it might be a touch much for a total beginner. The long period means it'll be walling up nicely, with good shape and long gaps between sets.

The week after that sees the swell drop back down. The 25th and 26th still have some decent 5ft to 5ft swell, but it's a bit shorter period and the winds are more variable. It's still surfable, but not the standout.

For the second week out, the 27th of July looks like a smaller, cleaner morning with 2ft from the SW and a long 18-second period, but the wind is onshore. The afternoon cleans up. It's a long-range call, so take it with a pinch of salt.

All in all, Point Mugu is a fairly consistent spot, but this run is mostly forgettable. That Sunday the 19th and Friday the 24th are your best windows. The 24th is the one to circle on the calendar. Crowds are sometimes an issue there, so expect a few others to have the same idea.

Rusty.

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