Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, the honest truth is, for the first week and a half, it’s going to be a real struggle. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak south-southwest swell with very little energy behind it. The combined energy of the swells is low, mostly in the 100-400 range, which is just enough to keep the hope alive but not much else. The wind is mostly light, but it’s often cross or cross-onshore, so the surface won’t be clean. It’s a difficult period for the novice surfer, and even the experienced ones will be struggling to find a decent wave. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprise there.

The first real glimmer of something worthwhile shows up on Saturday, July 18th. The morning starts with a small 3ft SSE swell but the combined energy jumps to 923, which is a sign of something building. But the real standout is the Saturday afternoon session. The swell ramps up to 5ft from the south, with a period of 17 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the combined energy kicks up to 1859, which is a serious jump. The wind goes clean and offshore (WNW at 15 mph), making it a clean, lined-up setup. This is definitely for the more experienced surfer as it’s getting into that 5ft+ range, but the quality is going to be excellent for those who know what they’re doing. At a point break like Point Mugu, that long period is going to be a treat, offering well-shaped, powerful lines. The crowd is likely to be there, so be ready to share.

The following day, Sunday, July 19th, keeps the size up, with a 5ft swell in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-onshore wind, but the afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is still very strong (1242 and 880). This is a good follow-up session, but the Saturday afternoon window is the best on offer.

After that, the swell fades again, dropping back to the 2ft to 2ft range for the rest of the week, with the energy dropping back down. The wind keeps it a bit messy, so it’s back to the small, ordinary stuff.

So, to sum it up: the first week and a half are a write-off. The highlight is the Saturday, July 18th afternoon and Sunday, July 19th window, with the Saturday afternoon being the clear winner. Don’t get your hopes up for anything else in that second week.

Rusty.

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