Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water is sitting at a very warm 71°F which is a solid 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s pretty unusual and means you can leave the thick wetsuit at home. The swell energy is ticking along in the moderate range, mostly between 300 and 500 (combined energy), so nothing monstrous, but enough to keep things interesting.

We kick off on Wednesday, 26 August with a little 4ft swell from the south, but a light cross breeze keeps it a bit messy. It’s surfable, but not the best of the run. By Thursday morning, 27 August, the wind goes glassy – dead calm – and we get clean 2ft lines from the south. That’s the kind of morning you want to be out there when it’s small and perfect.

The standout window really starts shaping up from Friday, 28 August through the weekend. Friday morning and afternoon bring a super-long period 19-second groundswell from the south-southwest, with waves around 2ft. That long period stuff carries a lot of punch for its size, and with light offshore winds, it’ll be clean and lined up. Point Mugu handles this kind of swell nicely since it’s a point break – those long-period swells can be a bit tricky at beach breaks, but here they’ll wrap in nicely. The energy is moderate (387–413), and with the break being fairly consistent, this is the pick of the week.

Saturday and Sunday continue the trend with south-southwest swell around 3ft to 3ft, still packing a long 15–17 second period. The winds stay light and offshore, so expect clean, peeling waves. Saturday afternoon looks particularly good with 3ft and a cross-off breeze, combined energy at 513 – that’s solid moderate energy and the best quality of the weekend.

We hit a bit of a lull from Monday, 31 August through to Tuesday, 1 September. Onshore winds and poor surf conditions mean you’re better off taking a break. Those days are a write-off, with energy dropping and the wind turning onshore.

Things start looking up again on Wednesday, 2 September with a pulse of 4ft south swell, but the morning is a bit messy with cross-onshore winds. By Thursday, 3 September, we get a jump in size to 5ft from the south-southwest, period at 13 seconds, and the afternoon goes clean with a light cross-off breeze. The combined energy climbs to 757 – that’s getting into strong territory. This is the best session of the second week, and it’s worth noting that 5ft is a bit punchy for beginners, but for the rest of us, it’s a ripper.

Friday, 4 September brings a glassy morning with 3ft from the south-southwest, period at 17 seconds, and light rain in the air. The swell is small but the long period will give it some shape. The weekend after that (5–6 September) has more clean, small surf in the 3ft to 3ft range, but by Sunday the wind turns onshore again.

The following week from 7 September onward sees the swell drop off. Waves get smaller, around 2ft to 3ft, and while there are a few clean windows (like Tuesday morning, 8 September with 2ft at 18 seconds), it’s mostly marginal. The energy drops into the 200–300 range, so it’s really only for the longboard or a fun little cruiser session.

All in all, the best of the forecast is Friday 28 August through Sunday 30 August, and then Thursday 3 September afternoon. That Thursday session with 5ft and clean conditions is the standout of the whole run.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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