Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a slow start, but don’t write it off just yet. The first few days are pretty weak, but the second half of the first week and into the start of August has some real potential for clean, fun waves. The real standout here is Friday the 31st of July, with a solid pulse of swell and clean conditions. Let’s get into it.

The water is running about 71°, which is a *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – over seven degrees above the average. That’s rare, and it makes for a very pleasant session without needing a thick suit.

We kick off with a tiny swell on Saturday the 25th of July. A small 3ft SSW swell at 21 seconds is coming through, but the wind is a light cross-on from the S. It’s not great, and the energy is only moderate (624). The afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-off, but the swell drops to 2ft. Sunday and Monday are similar, with small 3ft to 4ft SW swells hanging around, but the wind stays light and cross-shore, keeping things a bit bumpy. The energy is moderate, ranging from 503 to 751.

Tuesday the 28th of July afternoon is where things start to look a little better. We’ve got a 3ft SSW swell, and the wind goes light cross-off, cleaning it right up. The energy is solid moderate (784), and the conditions are looking good. This is a nice little window for a beginner-friendly session, as the waves are small and manageable.

Now, the real treat comes on Friday the 31st of July. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the S, with a 14-second period, and the afternoon sees a light cross-off wind from the W. The energy jumps into the strong range (1056), and the conditions are expected to be very good. This is the standout of the forecast – a solid, clean, head-high session. It’s getting a bit punchy for beginners, but it’s still fine for most intermediate surfers.

Saturday the 1st of August continues the good run with a 5ft SSW swell, and the morning is looking clean with a light cross-off wind. The energy is moderate (677). It’s a solid follow-up day.

After that, the swell drops off a cliff. Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon drops to 1ft, and from there, we’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak surf. The energy values fall into the low triple and even double digits, with most days showing poor or very ordinary conditions. This flat spell runs from the 2nd of August right through to the end of the 16-day window on the 9th of August. There’s a small glimmer on the 8th of August afternoon with a 2ft SSW swell and clean cross-off wind, but it’s still very weak.

So, the call is simple: the best bet is Friday the 31st of July and Saturday the 1st of August. The rest of the window is either small and bumpy, or just plain flat. Don’t expect much for the second week.

Rusty.

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