Point Mugu Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.10° N 119.11° W

Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Mugu sea temperature is
19.9° C
2.7° 

Point Mugu surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Mugu surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 1,055 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 14s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Mugu this week:

The surf forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Mugu in the next 16 days are 1.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Fri 17th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 14s
Best Surf 8AM (Mon 20th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 13s
Most Powerful 2AM (Tue 21st Jul)5ft (1.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's coming up in our local waters. We're kicking off with a bit of a slow start, but the second week is looking like it'll be worth the wait.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, honestly. We’ve got some small, messy, onshore slop through Friday and Saturday the 17th and 18th of July. The swell is tiny, around 1ft to 2ft from the SW, and the wind is all over the shop – cross-on and cross. It's not gonna be much fun.

We start to see a little more life from Sunday the 19th onwards, but it's still mostly marginal. The swell slowly builds, but it's still cross-on or cross-shore breezes keeping things lumpy. The combined energy climbs into the moderate range (over 400), but it's not clean enough to get excited about just yet.

Things change for the better on the morning of Wednesday the 22nd. The wind finally swings to a light cross-offshore from the W, cleaning up the waves. The swell is still small, around 3ft from the SSW, but the energy is solid (525) and the conditions are clean. It's not a big day, but it's a nice, smooth paddle out. This pattern of clean, cross-off mornings holds through Thursday the 23rd, with similar small waves.

Now, the real standout is shaping up for the weekend of the 25th and 26th. Saturday morning the 25th of July is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. The swell is still a modest 2ft from the SW, but the period is a very long 21 seconds, so there's heaps of power in the water. The combined energy is a strong 957, and we’ve got light offshore winds making it glassy. This is a proper groundswell pulse, so at Point Mugu – a point break – it’s going to wrap in beautifully and offer some clean, lined-up walls. The water is a warm 68°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – about 5° warmer than average, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.

Sunday the 26th keeps that energy going with a clean 3ft from the SSW in the morning, also with a very long period (19 seconds) and cross-off winds. These two days are the ones to circle on the calendar. Keep in mind, the crowds at Point Mugu can be a factor sometimes, so get there early for the best of it.

The following week from Monday the 27th to the 1st of August keeps things ticking over with a mix of clean, cross-off mornings and a few more cross-shore afternoons. The swell stays in the 3ft to 4ft range, with solid energy. The standout from this stretch is Tuesday the 28th of July, with a clean 4ft swell from the SW in the morning (very good conditions) and a clean 4ft in the afternoon. It’s not the biggest, but it’s consistent and clean.

Overall, the first two days are a bust, but from Wednesday the 22nd onwards, we have a long run of solid, clean surf. The best is definitely the morning of Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th for the combination of groundswell quality and glassy conditions.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
3
2
0
2
2
2
3
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
14
0.4
SW
15
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.4
SW
16
0.6
SW
17
1
S
12
1.1
S
12
1
SSW
15
1.5
SSW
13
1.5
SSW
16
1.4
SSW
12
1.3
SSW
10
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
1.9
W
7
0.7
S
14
0.8
S
14
0.8
S
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
94
74
77
246
201
90
235
302
347
428
746
1055
618
327
362
272
236
371
192
239
206
Wind (km/h)
15
SSE
10
SSW
5
ESE
10
S
10
SW
5
SE
15
SSW
10
SW
5
E
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
WSW
10
S
15
WSW
15
WNW
15
W
10
W
10
WNW
10
W
15
WNW
5
W
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
12:57PM1.37m
00:13AM1.62m
1:40PM1.40m
1:06AM1.36m
2:25PM1.43m
2:10AM1.10m
3:12PM1.44m
3:43AM0.90m
4:04PM1.46m
6:01AM0.83m
5:00PM1.48m
8:00AM0.89m
5:55PM1.52m
Low Tide
6:26PM0.53m
7:10AM-0.05m
7:31PM0.54m
7:46AM0.16m
8:48PM0.53m
8:22AM0.38m
10:19PM0.48m
9:00AM0.57m
11:52PM0.37m
9:48AM0.73m
1:04AM0.23m
11:01AM0.84m
1:56AM0.11m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:56
5:56
5:58
5:58
5:58
6:00
6:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:07
8:07
8:06
8:06
8:05
8:05
8:04
 mm
Temp °C
22
22
20
22
21
20
22
21
20
22
23
23
25
24
20
21
23
21
24
23
22
Feels °C
22
22
22
23
22
22
22
22
20
22
23
24
25
24
20
21
23
21
24
22
22
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Mugu Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Mugu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Mugu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Mugu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Mugu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Mugu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Mugu is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Port Hueneme. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Hueneme. Port Hueneme has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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