Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the Point Mugu stretch over the next couple of weeks.

First up, I gotta be straight with you – the start of this outlook is a bit of a slow burner. There’s really nothing worth paddling out for on the first few days. The swell is tiny, around 1ft, and the energy is weak (86-110). It’s the kind of stuff that’ll have you sitting on your board doing nothing. We’ve got a bit of a dry spell from the 4th through the 6th, with only a few sessions getting a ‘surfable’ nod, but even then, it’s pretty ordinary. The wind is a mixed bag, mostly cross or cross-on, which isn’t helping.

Things start to get a bit more interesting as we head into the end of the first week. By Friday the 7th, we see a jump in swell energy with a long-period groundswell from the SSW (19 seconds) pushing the combined energy up to 330. But the wind is onshore and the conditions are poor, so it’s a frustrating tease. The same pattern holds into the weekend – the energy is there (291-255), but the wind is messy.

Now, here’s where your patience might pay off. The real standout in this forecast is early on Friday the 14th of August. We’re looking at a clean morning with light offshore winds from the west, making for a glassy surface. The swell is a modest 1ft, but it’s got some serious grunt with a 19-second period from the SSW, and the combined energy hits 288. That’s a proper little groundswell pulse. For a spot like Point Mugu, which is a beginner-friendly point that’s fairly consistent, this is a sweet window. The wave direction is right on the money from the SW, which is the optimum for this spot. Just keep in mind that crowds are possible here, especially when it’s clean.

The afternoon of the 14th sees a bigger push in size (2ft) and energy (425), but it gets a bit more marginal. Still, the morning is the pick of the entire run.

Looking further out, the second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The 15th and 16th have some bigger swell (3-3ft) with high energy (404-436), but the wind turns cross-on and cross-shore, so it’s not the cleanest. The 17th and 18th offer some cleaner, offshores conditions, but the swell drops back down. The 19th is a bit of a nothing burger.

So, to sum it up: if you want the best of the best, circle the morning of Friday the 14th of August. It’s the one time where the stars align for a clean, rippable wave at Point Mugu. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy.

Rusty.

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