Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming down the line for our little stretch of coast.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the next week and a half is looking pretty flat and sad. We're talking about small, weak surf with energy readings struggling to climb out of the low hundreds. Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about. The first glimmer of something worthwhile doesn't show up until Saturday, the 8th, and even then it's a game of patience.

Now, let's get into the nitty-gritty. The best of the best, the one standout in this 16-day window, is shaping up for Saturday afternoon, the 8th. We’ve got a 2ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 16 seconds. That's a long-period groundswell, which means it'll have some punch and shape, but it might also make the waves a bit walled-up at the beach. The real beauty here is the wind – it's swinging light and cross-offshore from the W at 6 mph. That's a clean, glassy forecast, and the guidance says to expect good surf conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 268 (moderate). This is your window. Point Mugu is the spot, fairly exposed to the SW with optimum swell from that direction, and it's a fairly consistent break. Crowds are possible there, so be ready to share.

Before that, we've got a long stretch of nothing. From now through Friday the 7th, it's a grind of tiny, weak swell with mostly onshore or cross-shore winds. The wave energy is pitiful, mostly under 100 (weak). The best you'll get is a few clean but tiny waves on Saturday afternoon the 1st and Sunday afternoon the 2nd, with 2ft and 1ft SSW swell respectively and a clean cross-off wind. But honestly, it's barely a ripple.

After the 8th, the swell drops back to tiny again. The morning of the 11th has a small 1ft bump, but it's cross-on. The afternoon of the 11th cleans up a bit with a 2ft SW swell, 18-second period, and clean cross-off wind, but it's still very ordinary. The following week, the 13th through the 16th, is more of the same: small, weak, and mostly messy. The morning of the 15th shows a 2ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, but it's cross-shore, and the energy is a moderate 311. It's a marginal call.

So, to sum it up: the next 7 days are a write-off for anything fun. Keep your eyes on Saturday afternoon, the 8th, at Point Mugu. That's where the cleanest, most promising waves will be. After that, it's a whole lot of waiting.

Rusty.

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