Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s see what we’ve got for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a slow burn. The first few days are small and ordinary, but hold tight—there’s a proper pulse of surf coming mid-week next week that’ll get the blood pumping. The standout window is definitely Saturday the 5th through Monday the 7th, with the best of it falling on Sunday. That Sunday is a beauty.

We kick things off Tuesday the 1st with tiny 2ft – 2ft SSW swell, cross and cross-off breezes, and weak energy (189-201). The water at Point Mugu is a whopping 73°, which is 9° warmer than usual for September – that’s seriously warm, a real treat. But the surf itself is poor, so no rush.

Wednesday and Thursday the 2nd and 3rd stay similar: 2ft – 2ft SW groundswell, light breezes, energy climbing a bit (251-393) but conditions still marginal at best. It’s a waiting game.

Friday the 4th shows some life. The swell jumps to 3ft – 3ft SSW groundswell, period holding at 16-17 seconds, and the combined energy ramps up to 636-668. Friday afternoon turns clean with a cross-off wind, and the forecast calls for very good surf. That’s the first real moment to paddle out.

Saturday the 5th is a step up. Morning sees 4ft SSE swell with cross-on breeze, but the afternoon is where it’s at: 4ft SSE swell, light cross-off wind, clean as a whistle, and energy hitting a solid 1203. This is moderate-to-strong stuff now, and it’s shaping up nicely.

Now for the crown jewel. Sunday the 6th brings 6ft – 7ft S swell with a 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy, very long, powerful lines. Combined energy is 2060-2340, strong. Morning has a slight cross-off, but the afternoon turns glassy. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The longer period means it’ll wrap into Point Mugu nicely, with clean lines and long sets. If you’ve got the skill, Sunday afternoon is the session to chase.

Monday the 7th holds the swell at 7ft S with 13-14 second period, still solid (energy around 1976-1643), and the wind is offshore from the NNW, light to gentle. That’s clean, powerful surf – still for the experienced crew. By Tuesday the 8th the swell drops fast to 4ft S, then 2ft, and conditions become ordinary. The rest of the second week is small: mostly 1ft – 2ft SW or SSW groundswell, weak energy (115-431), with a few clean moments but nothing to write home about. Wednesday the 16th fades to 1ft SW, the end of the run.

Overall, the best on offer is Sunday the 6th through Monday the 7th – that south groundswell with clean, offshore or glassy wind is the clear highlight. Crowds are sometimes an issue at Point Mugu, so on a standout day like Sunday, expect company. The swell is consistent enough over that peak. For the rest, it’s small and quiet, so pick your session with care.

Rusty.

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