Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the local scene for the next couple weeks.

It’s a quiet start for Point Mugu. The waves are tiny and the conditions are mostly just okay, so don’t get your hopes up for the first few days. The water is sitting at about 66°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re getting wet.

Monday morning kicks off with a tiny 3ft SSW swell, but it’s a cross-shore mess with a light breeze and poor surf. The energy is weak (263). Monday afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-offshore wind, but you’re looking at a knee-high 2ft wave. Not worth rushing for. Tuesday stays small, with 2ft SSW swell and clean conditions, but the wind picks up in the afternoon, making it choppy. Wednesday and Thursday are flat and forgettable – 1ft swells with long periods, basically a lake.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are a write-off with onshore winds making a mess of the tiny wave energy. The swell energy starts to climb on Saturday (300), but it’s all onshore junk. Sunday the 19th shows a little promise. The morning is still meh, but the afternoon has a clean 2ft SW swell (473 energy) with a cross-offshore breeze. That’s the first real glimmer of a surfable wave, but it’s still small.

Now, the standout period starts to build from the 21st of July. Tuesday afternoon, the 21st, sees a 3ft SSW swell (385 energy) with clean, light wind conditions. That’s a nice little window for the beginner-friendly waves at Point Mugu. Wednesday the 22nd afternoon is even better – a 3ft S swell, but the energy jumps to 644, and the winds are light and cross-offshore. This is shaping up as the best session of the first two weeks for a wave that’s clean and fun for a longboard or a funboard.

The biggest swell of the forecast arrives on Thursday the 23rd, with a 5ft S swell hitting the morning. The energy is a solid 1045, which is moderate. However, the wind is cross-onshore, making it a bit lumpy. It’s still a bit of a challenge, and the wave size is starting to push into the upper limit for beginners. The afternoon cleans up a little, but the swell is dropping. Friday the 24th afternoon offers a good call with a 4ft S swell and clean cross-offshore winds. Saturday the 25th morning is also a solid pick – 3ft S swell (608 energy) with a clean cross-offshore breeze. That’s a great morning for a paddle.

The last few days, from the 26th, the swell drops back to the 2ft to 2ft range, but there are still clean windows, especially in the afternoons. The 26th afternoon has a 2ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period, making for a super clean, glassy surface. The 27th afternoon is similar.

The best on offer: Without a doubt, point your car at Point Mugu on Wednesday the 22nd of July in the afternoon. That 3ft S swell with clean light winds and decent energy (644) will be the most fun, user-friendly wave of the lot. The Saturday morning, 25th of July, is a close second with cleaner 3ft waves that are still manageable for everyone.

Be aware that crowds are a possibility here, especially when conditions are clean. Don’t expect a peak to yourself.

Rusty.

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