Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming down the pipe at Point Mugu.

We’ve got a slow start with just small, weak stuff that’s not worth paddling out for. But patience pays off – there’s a real window of quality opening up as we head into the first weekend and beyond. The water is sitting at a balmy 73°F, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year – you’ll be comfortable in just a spring suit.

It’s quiet and pretty ordinary right through Tuesday (Sept 1) and Wednesday. The swell is tiny, around 2ft to 2ft, and winds are cross or cross-off, so nothing to get excited about with combined energy sitting between 188 and 287 – that’s weak.

Thursday the 3rd afternoon brings a jump in the swell period to 18 seconds – that’s a proper long-period groundswell – but the height is still only 2ft and combined energy hits 470 (moderate). Still marginal, but you can see the engine starting.

Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th see the swell building slowly. By Saturday afternoon, we’ve got 4ft from the SSE with a 14-second period, and combined energy is up at 926 (moderate). The wind is cross-off and clean. It’s not the standout yet, but it’s getting there.

The real standout comes Sunday the 6th. Sunday morning is where you want to be. The swell is 5ft from the south, period 14 seconds, and combined energy is 1023 (moderate). But the kicker? Glassy conditions. That’s right, glassy. A light S wind of just 5 km/h and the ocean is like a mirror. This will be the cleanest surf of the whole run. The break handles SW swell best, and the S direction is close enough to deliver nice lines. Beginners should be fine at this size.

By Monday the 7th, the swell really cranks up. We’re looking at 8ft from the south with 15-second periods and combined energy of 2312 (strong). The wind is offshore from the NNW at 10 km/h. This is excellent, powerful surf, but at over 7ft it’s for experienced surfers only. The long period will make for clean, powerful peaks, but beach breaks might get a bit straight – Point Mugu as a point/reef setup will love it.

After that, the surf slowly fades through the second week. Tuesday the 8th still has 5ft from the south with clean cross-off wind, but the period drops to 11 seconds and energy dips. From Wednesday the 9th onward, we’re back to waist-high or smaller, with weak energy under 350. The last few days from the 14th to the 16th are flat and ordinary – swells around 1ft with long periods that just don’t have any push.

So to sum it up: don’t bother until Saturday the 5th afternoon. Sunday the 6th morning is the absolute gem – glassy, clean, chest-high south swell. Monday the 7th is the big one for experts. After that, it’s a slow fade into small, forgettable surf. Get out there while it’s good.

Rusty.

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