Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Point Mugu. It’s a bit of a slow start, but we’ve got a real gem waiting for us if we’re patient.

The water’s sitting at a very warm 71°, which is a solid 7° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a real outlier, so don’t expect to need a thick wetsuit.

The first few days are pretty flat and a bit messy. Thursday and Friday the 3rd and 4th have tiny, weak swell with cross-onshore winds, so you’re better off finding something else to do. The swell energy is low (239 on Thursday morning), and the wave comment is literally “poor surf conditions.” Saturday the 5th isn’t much better; the swell is still small and a bit jumbled.

Then it starts to get interesting. Late Saturday the 5th into Sunday the 6th, the wind swings offshore and we start seeing cleaner conditions. The real standout kicks in on Sunday morning the 6th. A 5ft south swell with a period of 14 seconds is rolling in, and the combined energy jumps to 1042 (moderate). The wind is light and offshore from the west, so the face will be smooth. The wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions,” and that’s no lie. This is the best run of the forecast.

That Sunday morning session is the pick of the bunch. The offshore wind will keep it clean, and the swell is solid enough to get some fun rides. It’s not too big for a confident beginner, but it’s got enough push to get a decent lip. The crowd factor is sometimes a problem at Point Mugu, so get there early if you want a peak to yourself. This is a south swell, and the optimum direction for this break is southwest, so the angle is a little off, but the quality of the wind and the swell height make up for it.

The clean conditions hold into Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th as well, with similar 5ft south swell, but the period drops to 13 seconds, which is still solid. The energy stays high (up to 1308 on Monday afternoon). It’s great surf, but nothing beats that Sunday morning glass.

After that, the swell slowly backs off. Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th still have clean, offshore conditions but with smaller waves (4ft and 3ft). The energy drops to around 400, so it’s still fun for a longboard or a groveler.

From Friday the 11th onward, we hit a real flat spell. The swell drops to under 3ft, and the wind gets messy again. There’s a long dry stretch from the 11th all the way through to the 16th where the best you can find is “marginal” or “poor” conditions. The energy values are down in the 100-200 range, which is very weak. You’ll be chasing ankle-biters.

There is a little flicker of hope on the 17th of September, with a 1ft, 21-second period groundswell from the SW. The period is very long, which is great for a point break like Point Mugu, but the swell height is tiny. The energy is still low (338), so it’s more of a promise than a real session. Don’t get too excited about it this far out.

So, the bottom line: the best window is Sunday the 6th through Tuesday the 8th. Sunday morning the 6th is the absolute standout. Get out there.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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