Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks at Point Mugu are going to test your patience if you’re chasing anything decent. We’ve got a bit of a run of surf to start, but it’s not going to be all-time. The energy is moderate, with combined swell energy values mostly in the 700-900s range for the first few days, telling us there’s some push there, but it’s not a massive swell window.

The first real chance is this Saturday morning (September 5th). We’ve got about a 3ft SW swell rolling in with a long 16-second period. It’s not big, but the wind is light cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit rippled. The afternoon cleans up with a light cross-off breeze, making it a better bet. It’s a pretty ordinary start, to be honest.

The standout of the entire run, without a doubt, is Sunday morning, September 6th. The swell bumps up to around 5ft from the S, still with a solid 14-second period, and the conditions turn glassy. That’s the moment to be in the water. The water temp is running about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. You’ll want to be on it early because the afternoon gets a bit cross-y, though still surfable.

Monday the 7th has similar size in the morning but the wind is a bit more cross, making it less clean than Sunday. The afternoon looks better with a cross-off wind and waves around 4ft. Monday’s a workday, but if you can sneak out, it’s not a bad one.

Tuesday the 8th still has some size (5ft) in the morning with light cross-off winds, so it should be clean. But the energy is already starting to drop. By the afternoon, the wind picks up, and the wave state is getting more marginal. After Tuesday, things start to fizzle out.

From Wednesday the 9th onwards, the swell drops below 3ft. There are still rideable waves, but you’re looking at ankle-biters. The energy drops into the 300s and 400s, which is weak. That long-period SSW swell on Wednesday afternoon (2ft at 17 seconds) is a classic example of a lot of period, but no size. It’ll be clean, but you’ll be doing a lot of paddling for not much.

The gap of any decent surf is big. From about the 10th through to the 18th, it’s predominantly poor. We’re talking 1ft to 2ft waves with weak energy, mostly in the 100s and low 200s. There are a few clean moments in the afternoons, like on the 13th and 14th, but the swell is just too small to get excited about. It's more of a log-paddling session than a surf. You’ll see some 18 to 22-second periods in there, especially on the 17th, but with waves under 2ft, that means it’s just a lot of ocean movement with no actual wave to ride.

The tail end of the forecast, around Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th, shows a tiny bump, with a 2ft SW swell and a cross-off wind in the afternoons. It’s better than the nothing we’ve seen for days, but it’s still small. The energy is only in the low 200s to low 300s.

So, what’s the call? Sunday morning (September 6th) is your one true standout. Get out there early for the glass. The Tuesday morning before it drops is the only other morning with a bit of size and clean conditions. After that, it’s a long stretch of small, weak waves. It’s just one of those quiet spells. Keep the board waxed and wait for the next pulse.

Rusty.

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