Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the Point Mugu forecast in old-school numbers.

It’s a slow start, real slow, but the back half of July has some promise. Most of the coming week is tiny and a bit junk, but towards the end of the month a proper swell shows up. For now, it’s all about patience.

Thursday, July 16 starts with a glassy morning – a 0.4m SW groundswell (16-second period). Wind is glass from the SSW at 3 mph. It’s surfable but weak, with combined energy at (158), meaning you’ll be doing a lot of paddling for not much. The afternoon goes cross-shore WSW at 6 mph and gets bumpy, so that morning window is the only chance, and it’s a poor one.

Friday, July 17 is a total bust. Still 0.4m, with onshore SSE wind at 9 mph in the morning and cross-onshore SW at 3 mph in the afternoon. Total mess.

Saturday, July 18 shows a little life. Morning is cross-onshore with 0.6m SW swell (18 seconds, energy 319 – moderate). It’s marginal. But the afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-offshore west wind at 9 mph. Still only 0.6m, but the long period (18 seconds) and clean face will make the most of it. Best of a weak bunch so far.

Sunday, July 19 the swell kicks up. Morning has 1.4m from the south (15 seconds, combined energy 1062 – strong), but the wind is cross-onshore SSW at 6 mph, making it bumpy. The afternoon goes clean with cross-offshore WNW wind at 12 mph, and the swell backs off a hair to 1.2m. There’s energy, but it’s raw.

Monday, July 20 through Tuesday, July 28 is a long stretch of average. Swell bounces between 0.5 ft and 1.6m, mostly S or SSW, with periods from 14 to 19 seconds. The afternoons are often clean with cross-offshore west or WNW winds. But the wave heights are inconsistent, and the reports say marginal. These are grovel days or one-turn waves.

Friday, July 24 afternoon is the one to mark. We’ve got 1.6m of south swell (15-second period), combined energy hitting (1508) – that’s strong. Wind is clean cross-offshore WNW at 9 mph. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The size is a bit much for beginners, but for anyone else, that’s a proper session. The long period (15 seconds) gives it power, though at a beach it can run a bit straight.

Saturday, July 25 afternoon holds at 1.6m from the SSW (14 seconds, energy 1327) with clean west winds, but it’s noted as marginal – likely tide or bank issues.

Water temp is average for the season.

After the 25th, the swell winds down. Thursday, July 30 afternoon has a clean 0.7m SW swell (15 seconds) with cross-offshore winds. By Friday, July 31, it’s back to tiny 0.6m and onshore slop.

So here’s the call: don’t waste your time before July 19 unless you’re aching for a paddle. The real session is the afternoon of Friday, July 24 at Point Mugu. That’s your window. Swell, wind, and energy all line up. Be there.

Rusty, out.

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