Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's have a look at what's cooking for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

The water is sitting at a very unusual 72°, nearly 8 degrees warmer than you'd expect for this time of year. It's like bathwater out there, and that’s a real treat right from the start.

We're in a bit of a dry spell right now. The first few days are really just noise. Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th are a total write-off with poor conditions and hardly any energy moving through. You'll be scratching your head wondering where the swell went. The energy is weak, barely pushing past a hundred (111) on Tuesday morning. The wind is a problem, and the wave shapes just aren't there.

Things start to get a little more interesting by Thursday the 17th. It's still very marginal, with the swell at just 2 ft from the SSW and a period of 15 seconds. But by the afternoon, the wind switches to a clean cross-offshore breeze. That's the first real glimmer of hope. It won't be big, but if you're aching for a trim, you might find a few reeling left-handers.

The weekend and into the next week is where we see the best window. Friday the 18th afternoon through to Tuesday the 22nd morning has the best potential. The swell ticks up to 3 ft from the SSW, and the period stretches out to 17-18 seconds. That's proper groundswell, and for a point break like this, it should wrap in nicely. The combined energy will be in the moderate range, hitting 404 on Monday morning. The real standouts are the afternoons of Friday the 18th, Saturday the 19th, and Monday the 21st. The wind will be coming from the W or WNW in a clean cross-off direction, tidying the waves up beautifully. For a break this consistent and fairly exposed to the SW, that's a cracking combo. The waves won't be huge, but they'll have good shape.

The crowds here can be an issue sometimes, but with the swell being relatively modest, the hard-core chargers will be looking elsewhere. This is a great run for the intermediate surfer looking for some clean, long lines.

After that, the energy drops a bit, but the wind remains favourable, with clean cross-off conditions on the 24th, 27th, and 28th. The 28th looks particularly solid, with a moderate 3 ft swell from the SSW and a clean light breeze. It'll be a long grind of fun, but nothing will beat that five-day window from the 18th to the 22nd.

Rusty.

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