Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s break down what’s coming for Point Mugu.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We’ve got a slow start with small, workable surf and iffy winds for the first several days, but a big pulse of energy shows up around Sunday, July 19th, and that’s our clear standout. For the most part, it’s a waiting game until then.

Right now, Wednesday morning, July 8th is the first surf to get on. Swell is 3 ft from the SSW with a long 16-second period, so there’s some push behind it. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 66°F. Early on we’ve got clean conditions with a cross-off breeze, and the combined energy is moderate (504). This is the best of the bunch for the first week, but it’s not big – better for beginners or those on a longboard.

Thursday, July 9th and Friday, July 10th see the swell dropping a little to 3 ft, with cross and cross-on winds making it a bit bumpy. It’s marginal, not worth getting too excited about. Saturday, July 11th is a write-off with onshore breezes and poor conditions.

We go through a scratchy patch from Sunday, July 14th to Wednesday, July 15th where the swell drops to 1-2 ft and the energy is weak (145 to 187). A few of those afternoons offer clean wave faces, but it’s really small and ordinary.

Thursday, July 16th and Friday, July 17th are more of the same – small 1 ft SSW groundswell with long periods (16-19 seconds) and clean cross-off winds. The combined energy is still low (118 to 199), so you’re looking at gutless waves but at least the lineup will be tidy.

Then comes the standout – Sunday, July 19th. We’ve got a serious jump in size: 6 ft building to 6 ft from the SSE on Sunday morning, with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy spikes to a very strong 1982 (2184 in the afternoon). Winds are light and cross-off, so the surf will be clean and powerful. This is for experienced surfers only – it’s going to be too big for beginners. Crowds are possible here, but for those who know what they’re doing, this is the window. Sunday morning looks excellent.

Monday, July 20th holds size around 5-6 ft with cross-off winds in the afternoon and very good conditions, but the morning is light cross-on and a bit lumpy.

By Tuesday, July 21st, the swell drops back to 2-3 ft and we’re back into small, marginal stuff for the rest of the forecast.

Overall, the first week and a half are quiet with small, clean options for the patient surfer. The real action is Sunday, July 19th – that’s the one to circle on the calendar. The setup looks more like a groundswell with long period, so at a point-and-beach setup like this, you’ll want to pick your bank carefully.

Rusty.

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