Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let’s be straight up. The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag. There’s some fun little windows if you’re patient, but nothing that’s gonna have you calling in sick for a week straight. The best bet is gonna be that little pulse that builds through the end of August and into the first days of September. The water is an absolute anomaly right now, sitting at a very unusual 72° at Point Mugu, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the thick rubber at home.

We start off on Thursday the 27th of August with pretty average conditions. The morning is a write-off with a light cross-on breeze and a small 2ft south swell with a short period of 12 seconds. The energy is weak, coming in at 305. The afternoon cleans up nicely though, turning glassy, and the swell picks up a touch to 3ft from the south. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

Friday the 28th is where we see the first real sign of life. The swell direction swings to the SSW and the period jumps to a very long 19 seconds, making it a proper groundswell. The morning is clean with a 2ft swell and a cross-offshore wind. The energy is moderate at 424. The afternoon sees the swell energy climb to 430. Keep in mind that with a period that long, it can make the wave break a little too straight for this break, but it’s still a promising sign.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th continue this trend of building energy. Saturday afternoon sees a 3ft SSW swell with a period of 16 seconds and a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is building, up to 511. Sunday afternoon is similar, 3ft at 15 seconds, energy at 492. Consistent, clean, and that’s a good sign.

Now, here's where we get to the standout. Wednesday the 2nd of September. The morning is glassy, with a 4ft southerly swell at 12 seconds, energy hitting 507. But the afternoon is the real star of the show. We get a 5ft SSW swell with a 13-second period, and a clean cross-offshore wind. The combined energy jumps to 717, which is a solid, strong pulse. This is the best on offer for the whole period.

Thursday the 3rd of September pushes even bigger, with the morning seeing 5ft swell at 14 seconds, and the afternoon hitting 6ft at 13 seconds with a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is strong at 1043 in the afternoon. This is getting into the territory where it’s a bit much for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is the big one. It’s still a bit of a wait, being over a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

After that peak, it settles back down. The second week sees smaller, cleaner waves, mostly in the 2ft to 3ft range with good wind, but the energy levels drop off. The 8th and 9th offer some clean morning sessions with smaller SSW and SW swells, but nothing with the punch of that early September window. The 11th of September has a clean 2ft SW swell in the morning, but the energy is weak at 268. It’s a slow finish to the run.

So, if you're looking for the best surf in this 16-day window, you’re looking at the afternoon of Wednesday the 2nd of September and into Thursday the 3rd at Point Mugu. A clean 5ft to 6ft SSW groundswell with light winds. That’s the one.

Rusty.

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