Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for us here. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a definite window of fun waves coming up, so let’s get into it.

We’ve got a patch of decent, clean surf starting this weekend. The water is sitting at 70°, which is a full 6° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a real standout – the ocean is feeling like a bath, and that’s not something you see every day.

The first real call to paddle out is Saturday, September 5th. The swell is bumping up a little, with a clean 3ft from the SSW on Saturday morning, and the wind is light but cross-on. The afternoon cleans up perfectly with a cross-off breeze making for some tidy lines. The combined energy is moderate, sitting at 848 in the morning and 815 in the afternoon. It’s not huge, but it’s workable.

Now, the real standout of this whole stretch is Sunday, September 6th. The morning is glassy – dead flat calm wind – and the swell is pushing 5ft from the S with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and at Point Mugu, that long period will draw up some nice, lined-up walls. The combined energy hits 899. It’s a bit too much for a beginner, but for the rest of us, that’s the best session of the week. The afternoon stays clean with cross-off wind, still holding at 5ft and 979 energy. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Monday, September 7th keeps the good run going. Morning sees 6ft from the S, period at 13 seconds, and clean cross-off wind. The combined energy jumps to 1093, which is solid. That’s a bit more power, and the size is getting into the zone where you want to be confident on your board. The afternoon drops a touch to 4ft, but still clean.

Tuesday, September 8th is still clean, with 5ft in the morning, but the wind is a bit stronger. The swell is hanging in there, but the energy drops to 839. It’s still fun, just not as punchy as Sunday.

After Tuesday, things start to fade. Wednesday, September 9th has waist-high 4ft waves, clean but weaker. From Thursday, September 10th through to the middle of the following week, we hit a flat spell. The swell drops to 2ft and then down to 1ft, and the combined energy falls into the low hundreds. The wind is all over the place, with some cross-on and cross-off days, but there just isn’t enough push to make it worthwhile. That’s a solid 5 or 6 days of very small, weak surf.

There’s a flicker of hope on the far horizon. Saturday, September 19th shows a glassy morning with 2ft from the SW, period of 18 seconds, and energy of 317. The afternoon gets a little more push to 3ft and 411 energy, with a clean cross-off wind. It’s a long way out, so don’t lock it in yet, but it looks promising for a small, clean day.

So, to wrap it up: Sunday the 6th is the absolute winner – glassy, solid groundswell, and warm water. Saturday the 5th and Monday the 7th are your backup plans. Don’t bother looking at the ocean between the 10th and the 15th, it’s going to be flat. Keep an eye on that 19th of September, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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