Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a mixed bag. The first few days have some rideable swell, but the quality is held back by the wind. The standout moment is Wednesday afternoon, the 29th of July, when everything lines up for a session. After that, the swell really drops off and we’re looking at a long stretch of almost nothing until the second week of August.

The best wave on offer is Point Mugu. On Wednesday afternoon, July 29th, the waves will be a clean 3ft from the SSW with a nice long period of 16 seconds (a proper groundswell). The wind is a cross-offshore breeze, which will keep the faces smooth. The wave energy is moderate (868). The water temp is a very unusual 71°, which is over 4° warmer than normal for this time of year – so grab the boardshorts. This is a beginner-friendly spot, but it’s fairly consistent, so you can get some fun ones. Just be aware that crowds are possible. That long period, combined with a beach break setup, might make the waves a bit straight, so you’ll want to pick your peak.

Tuesday morning, July 28th, is marginal. You’ll see 3ft from the SSW with a 17-second period, but the wind is a cross-on, putting small ripples on the surface. The energy is moderate (694). The afternoon is cleaner (cross-off), but the score is still low.

Thursday, July 30th, has a bump in size to 4ft from the S, but again, the morning wind is cross-on. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-off, but the period drops to 14 seconds. The energy is still moderate (605).

Friday, July 31st, sees 4ft in the afternoon from the SSW with a 13-second period and a clean cross-off wind. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about (709 energy).

Then we hit the wall. From Saturday, August 1st, all the way through to Saturday, August 9th, the swell drops to a tiny 1ft to 2ft. The energy plummets into the double digits (weak) and the conditions are poor. It’s a real blank run. If you’re a kite surfer, the strong cross-off winds and ankle-biters might look more interesting than a paddle session.

Finally, there’s a glimmer of hope on Sunday, August 9th, with a pulse of 3ft from the SSW, but it’s still rated as marginal. Things start to look a little better on Wednesday, August 12th, with a 2ft from the SW and a very long 18-second period, cleaning up nicely in the afternoon. The energy picks up to moderate (448), and it’s described as "good surf conditions". This is a long-range promise, so keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

So, the play is simple: hit it Wednesday afternoon, July 29th, for the cleanest, longest-period waves. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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