Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's coming up in our local waters. We're kicking off with a bit of a slow start, but the second week is looking like it'll be worth the wait.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, honestly. We’ve got some small, messy, onshore slop through Friday and Saturday the 17th and 18th of July. The swell is tiny, around 1ft to 2ft from the SW, and the wind is all over the shop – cross-on and cross. It's not gonna be much fun.

We start to see a little more life from Sunday the 19th onwards, but it's still mostly marginal. The swell slowly builds, but it's still cross-on or cross-shore breezes keeping things lumpy. The combined energy climbs into the moderate range (over 400), but it's not clean enough to get excited about just yet.

Things change for the better on the morning of Wednesday the 22nd. The wind finally swings to a light cross-offshore from the W, cleaning up the waves. The swell is still small, around 3ft from the SSW, but the energy is solid (525) and the conditions are clean. It's not a big day, but it's a nice, smooth paddle out. This pattern of clean, cross-off mornings holds through Thursday the 23rd, with similar small waves.

Now, the real standout is shaping up for the weekend of the 25th and 26th. Saturday morning the 25th of July is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. The swell is still a modest 2ft from the SW, but the period is a very long 21 seconds, so there's heaps of power in the water. The combined energy is a strong 957, and we’ve got light offshore winds making it glassy. This is a proper groundswell pulse, so at Point Mugu – a point break – it’s going to wrap in beautifully and offer some clean, lined-up walls. The water is a warm 68°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – about 5° warmer than average, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.

Sunday the 26th keeps that energy going with a clean 3ft from the SSW in the morning, also with a very long period (19 seconds) and cross-off winds. These two days are the ones to circle on the calendar. Keep in mind, the crowds at Point Mugu can be a factor sometimes, so get there early for the best of it.

The following week from Monday the 27th to the 1st of August keeps things ticking over with a mix of clean, cross-off mornings and a few more cross-shore afternoons. The swell stays in the 3ft to 4ft range, with solid energy. The standout from this stretch is Tuesday the 28th of July, with a clean 4ft swell from the SW in the morning (very good conditions) and a clean 4ft in the afternoon. It’s not the biggest, but it’s consistent and clean.

Overall, the first two days are a bust, but from Wednesday the 22nd onwards, we have a long run of solid, clean surf. The best is definitely the morning of Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th for the combination of groundswell quality and glassy conditions.

Rusty out.

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