Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’re looking at a slow start at Point Mugu, but the second half of the window has some promise.

The next few days are all about small, clean conditions. Swell is tiny, mostly around 3 ft to 3 ft from the SSW, with a long period of 14 to 16 seconds, so there’s some energy in the water but not much height. The combined swell energy is moderate, ranging from 381 to 580 (moderate). The water temperature is sitting at a very unusual 69°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than average for this time of year. Wednesday and Thursday mornings look the best early on with light offshore winds, giving clean little waves. It’s not going to blow anyone away, but it’s a fun longboard or grovel session.

Friday morning the 24th sees a spike in period to 24 seconds, but the swell is only 2 ft and the wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s marginal. The energy jumps to 807 (moderate), but the size just isn’t there. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a 3 ft SSW swell and clean cross-offshore winds. That’s a decent little window.

The weekend (Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th) keeps the same pattern: 2 ft to 3 ft swells, long periods, and light offshore or cross-off winds. Consistent, clean, but small. Good for a paddle if you’re not after power.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The first standout is Tuesday afternoon, July 28th. The forecast shows a 3 ft SSW swell with a 17 second period, light offshore wind, and a combined energy of 674 (moderate). The conditions are clean, and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s the pick of the early week.

The real standout, though, is Friday, July 31st. The morning shows a 5 ft S swell with a 15 second period, clean cross-offshore wind, and combined energy of 959 (moderate to strong). The wave comment is “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the best on offer. The swell direction is SSW, which is the optimum direction for this spot. It’s a bit bigger, still clean, and the energy is solid. The afternoon bumps up to 5 ft, but the wind picks up a bit, so the morning is the call.

Saturday, August 1st, keeps the swell going with a 5 ft to 6 ft S swell, but the period drops to 13-14 seconds. The morning has light cross-shore wind, but the afternoon cleans up with a light offshore breeze and combined energy of 948 (moderate). The wave comment is “expect very good surf conditions.” This is a solid second option, but the swell is getting into the 6 ft range, which is still manageable for most, but it’s a step up from the week prior.

By Sunday, August 2nd, the swell drops back to 3 ft, and the energy falls to 361 (moderate). The wind is light cross-shore, but it’s a fade. After that, the start of August looks grim. From Monday, August 3rd, through Wednesday, August 5th, the swell is tiny (1 ft to 2 ft) and the combined energy is weak (93 to 199). The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions are poor. There’s a 3-day gap with no surf to recommend.

So, to wrap it up: Point Mugu is small and clean for the first week, with the best windows being Tuesday afternoon July 28th and the standout Friday morning July 31st. The first week of August is a bust. Get on it while you can.

Rusty.

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