Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat for Point Mugu. There’s a real dry spell ahead, so don’t get your hopes up too high.

The first bit of surf worth paddling out for is this Friday afternoon, July 31st. We’ve got a clean 3ft south swell rolling in with a 13-second period, and the combined energy is moderate at 374. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 71°. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WNW, so the waves should be pretty clean. It’s a beginner-friendly break, fairly consistent, but crowds are possible here. The swell direction is from the south, which is a good match for the break.

After that, we hit a flat spell. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd of August see tiny, ordinary waves, and then from Monday the 3rd through to Saturday the 8th, the surf is just too small to bother with – mostly 1ft to 2ft, with weak energy in the 74 to 308 range. The winds are generally light and cross-off during the afternoons, but the swell just isn’t there.

The next real sniff of action comes on Friday afternoon, August 14th. The forecast is actually calling for “expect good surf conditions” this time. You’ll see a 1ft south-southwest swell with a very long 19-second period, and the combined energy is a moderate 283. The wind is a clean, light cross-offshore from the west. That long period will favour the point break setup, but it’s still small. This one’s a week and a half away, so it’s promising but less certain.

Saturday morning, August 15th, has a little more size at 2ft from the same direction, but the cross-on wind will mess up the surface. The afternoon looks like a write-off.

So, bottom line: the best of a quiet period is this Friday afternoon, July 31st. The 14th of August could be a late call if the forecast holds, but don’t hold your breath. For now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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