Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s headed our way for the next couple of weeks.

The overall pattern is a slow fade from some decent early-week waves into a long, flat spell before a whisper of something new shows up in the second week. The water is sitting at a very unusual 70°, which is a solid 6° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a real anomaly, feels more like a late summer bath than early autumn.

We kick off on Friday 4th September with a clean start. The swell is a modest 3ft from the SSW, but the period is a long 16 seconds, meaning it’s proper groundswell with good shape. Winds are light and cross-offshore, making it look clean. The combined energy is moderate at (686). It’s not huge, but for a beginner-friendly spot like Point Mugu, it’s a fun, manageable wave. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so expect some company.

Saturday 5th September picks up a touch, with 3ft early and 3ft in the afternoon, still from the SSW with that same long 16-second period. The morning has a slight cross-on wind, but the afternoon cleans right up with a cross-off breeze. The energy is solidly moderate (848 and 825). This is a great little window for a longboard or a funboard.

Sunday 6th September sees the swell bump up to 5ft from the south, but the period drops to 14 seconds, and the wind is onshore in the morning, turning cross-shore in the afternoon. The energy is strong (991 and 979), but the quality is marginal. Not the best day to bother.

Monday 7th September is the standout of the whole forecast. The swell is 6ft from the SSW with a 13-second period, and the wind is clean cross-offshore all day. The combined energy jumps to a very strong (1445) in the afternoon, and the guidance says this is excellent for experienced surfers. It’s got power, it’s got shape, and it’s clean. If you’ve got the skills, this is the day to be out. It’s a bit much for a beginner, but for the rest of us, it’s a proper session.

Tuesday 8th September drops back to 5ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon, still clean with cross-off winds. The energy is moderate (675 and 539). A solid follow-up day, but the wave quality is starting to drop off.

From Wednesday 9th September onwards, the swell fades fast. We go from 4ft down to 1ft by the middle of the second week. The winds stay mostly clean, but the energy drops into the weak triple digits and then the low double digits. There’s a long stretch from about the 10th through to the 16th where the surf is pretty flat and poor. Not worth a paddle.

Then, late in the second week, we get a late-breaking glimmer. Thursday 17th September morning shows a 1ft swell from the SW, but with a very long 22-second period. The energy is moderate (342) and the wind is clean. That’s a super long-period groundswell, which will wrap around the point nicely but will be very inconsistent. It’s a promising little pulse for the patient surfer, though still a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it.

Friday 18th September and Saturday 19th September keep the trend going with small 2ft SW swells, long periods around 18-20 seconds, and clean winds. The energy stays in the low 300s. Not a classic, but after the flat spell, it’s something to get wet on.

So, the clear winner is Monday 7th September for the experienced crew. For the mellow surfer, Friday 4th and Saturday 5th are your best bet. The rest is a waiting game.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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