Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First up, don’t get your hopes up too high for the next little while. The start of this outlook is a bit of a slow grind. We’ve got a long stretch of days where the surf is just not cooperating. From Thursday the 6th right through to the end of the week, it’s pretty bleak. The wind is mostly a light cross-onshore breeze and the swell is tiny, around 1 ft to 2 ft. There’s just not enough energy to push anything decent. You’re looking at about a week of pretty poor conditions before anything starts to look even slightly interesting.

We do finally see a shift around the 14th of August, Friday afternoon. The swell starts to build a little, with some southwest swell hitting around 3 ft and a period of 18 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell, which means the waves will have a bit more shape and punch, but the long gaps between sets will be a thing. The wind turns clean and cross-offshore, which is a big plus. We’re seeing moderate wave energy at 632 (combined energy of all swells directed here), so there’s some life in the water. It’s still a bit marginal for a solid session, but it’s a sign of better things to come.

The real standout window is the 15th of August, Saturday morning. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The swell is up to 3 ft from the SSW, with a period of 16 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the west, making for some of the best conditions we’ve seen in the forecast. Combined energy is sitting at 544 (combined energy of all swells directed here), which is a solid moderate energy. The morning session at Point Mugu looks like it’ll be the pick of the bunch. The crowd can be a bit of a factor here sometimes, but that’s just the price of admission for a quality wave. It’s a beginner-friendly break, but with this size and long period, it’ll still be a fun, cruisy wave for everyone.

The 19th of August, Wednesday, also looks like a solid day. It’s a bit further out, so take it with a grain of salt, but we’ve got clean conditions again with a light cross-offshore breeze and 3 ft of SSW swell. The energy is moderate at 275 (combined energy of all swells directed here). It won’t be as punchy as the 15th, but it’s a good, reliable option for a mid-week session.

Overall, the first week is a write-off. The second week brightens up, with the 15th being the clear highlight. After that, things taper off again into the 20th and 21st, so make the most of that Saturday.

Rusty.

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