Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. We got a mixed bag coming up over the next couple of weeks, with a clear window of opportunity early on before things just die off for a while.

We got a solid little push of southwest groundswell arriving this afternoon. It’s not huge, but there’s good energy in the water with a combined energy of 426, and that 18-second period is just lovely. The water is way warmer than normal for this time of year, about 7°F warmer than average, which is a real treat. Point Mugu is the spot to be, with clean 2ft surf. The westerly cross-off wind is keeping things tidy. This is looking like a great way to kick things off.

Friday morning sees the swell bump up a touch to 3ft with a bit more energy (716). A light southerly makes things a touch cross-on, but it’s still surfable. The pick, however, is looking like Saturday afternoon. The swell holds around 3ft, but the period drops slightly. More importantly, the winds go cross-off again and the energy is climbing to 851. That’s when it’ll feel clean and fun. Sunday morning gets a bit more size, hitting 5ft, but the wind goes more cross. Still, there’s a lot of energy there (1047). Stick with Sunday afternoon for cleaner conditions at 5ft.

Monday is where it starts to get more serious. The swell builds to 6ft with a strong energy reading of 1141. It’s a bit much for the beginners, but for the rest of us, the morning with that light offshore breeze should offer up some proper waves. The afternoon has even more energy, pushing 1532, but the tide gets a bit questionable. Tuesday looks similar, with 6ft swell and clean morning conditions. This is the heart of the run.

After Tuesday, the size starts to fade. Wednesday dips to 4ft and the winds get messy with a cross-shore component. By Thursday, the swell drops to 2ft but the wind turns onshore and it just gets ugly. That’s the end of the good times for a stretch.

From Friday the 12th all the way through to Wednesday the 17th, we’re looking at a serious lull. Swell drops to 2ft and below, with readings dropping to triple digits, sometimes even below 100. The energy is just gone. There’s a couple of clean days in there, but with waves that small, it’s not really worth the paddle. It’s a long, flat spell, about 6 days of nothing doing.

There is a hint of life around the 18th, with the swell period jumping back up to 19-20 seconds, but the wave height is still only 2ft. It’s a weak, long-period pulse. The Friday afternoon looks clean with a cross-off wind, and we might see something surfable, but it’s not going to be spectacular. It’s promising for a return of energy, but it’s a long-range call, so I wouldn’t be planning a session around it just yet.

Bottom line: the next few days, especially Monday and Tuesday, are your best bets. It’s not a huge swell, but it’s clean and has some push. After that, hang loose and wait for the ocean to wake back up. The flat spell is a bit of a bummer, but these things never last forever.

Rusty

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