Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, checking in on the local surf for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks. We've got a bit of a slow burner on our hands, with the real juice showing up late in the game.

The week kicks off pretty quiet. The water temp is sitting at a balmy 69°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for this time of year – feels like a warm bath out there. For the first few days, from Sunday the 19th to Thursday the 23rd, we're looking at small, mostly cross-off or cross-onshore conditions. Swell is tiny, around 2ft to 4ft, with a long period (14-17 seconds) that suggests some decent energy trying to push through, but the wind is just a bit off. The combined energy is moderate (between 341 and 620), but the surf is a bit marginal. The morning of Sunday the 19th has a light cross-on breeze with some clouds, and the waves are poor. The afternoons clean up a touch with a cross-off breeze, but it's still only small, knee-to-waist high stuff. Not much to get excited about, really.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. Friday the 24th of July is your first real standout. The morning is looking magic. We've got a light, glassy cross-off breeze from the west, and the swell is a clean 2ft from the SW, but with a monster 24-second period. That's a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is strong (728), and the forecast is calling for "very good surf conditions." This is a point break, so that long period will wrap in nicely and produce some proper, lined-up waves. It will be small, but the quality will be top-notch. Keep in mind crowds are possible here.

The following Saturday morning, 25th of July, is another cracker. Similar story: a light cross-off, 2ft of SW swell with a 21-second period, and strong energy (670). Again, "very good surf conditions" are on the cards. The quality is the star here, not the size. These two mornings are the best of the first week.

The second week gets a bit more interesting in size, but the wind becomes a factor. The 28th and 29th of July mornings have light winds, but they're cross or cross-on, which messes with the shape. The afternoons, though, clean up with a cross-off breeze and offer "very good surf conditions" with 3ft to 3ft of SSW swell, periods around 16-17 seconds, and strong energy (750 and 704). The 28th afternoon is a solid pick.

Then we get a building swell late in the month. The mornings of the 30th and 31st of July see the swell push up to 4ft and then 6ft from the SSE, still with a 15-16 second period. The energy jumps significantly, hitting 872 and then a massive 1536 on the 31st morning. But the wind is a light cross-on, so the surface won't be pristine. The 31st afternoon looks better, with a 6ft SSE swell, a 15-second period, and a cross-off breeze. That's expert territory in size, but the clean conditions will be a treat for the crew who can handle it.

The first of August sees a solid 6ft of S swell, but the wind is light cross-on in the morning and a cross-shore in the afternoon, so it's a bit messy. After that, the surf drops off quickly. The 2nd and 3rd of August see the swell fade back to 4ft and then a tiny 1ft, with the combined energy dropping to weak levels (around 198). The run ends with small, clean waves but nothing to write home about.

So, my pick of the window? Lock in the mornings of Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th of July. Tiny, but the quality will be epic. The 31st of July afternoon is the one for the crew looking for a bigger, clean wave. Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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