Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what this stretch has got cookin’ for us. It’s a long 16-day window, but honestly, we’re looking at a pretty drawn-out run of small, weak surf here at Point Mugu. The swell energy is sporadic, and for the first week and a half, it’s mostly tiny, long-period groundswell that’s gonna struggle to show much shape. There’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations to speak of from the 12th right through until the 17th, so don’t get your hopes up early.

We start off Wednesday the 12th with a small 2ft swell from the SW, but the period is a very long 17 seconds. That kind of groundswell can be tricky at a beach setup – it’ll likely break too straight. The morning has a light cross breeze, so the water’s messy. The combined swell energy is weak at 196, and the water temp is a notable 71°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. Thursday and Friday are similar – tiny swells around 2ft to 2ft, with that long-period energy around 16-19 seconds. Winds are mostly light and cross or cross-off in the afternoons, but the surf just isn't there. Friday afternoon shows a bump in energy to 583 (moderate), but with only 2ft on offer, it’s still small.

The first real standout you’d want to pencil in is Monday the 17th. The morning has a clean 3ft SSW swell with a light offshore breeze. It’s still a long 14-second period, but the wind is solidly cross-off, so it should be fairly clean and workable. The crowd factor here is “sometimes,” so you might have some company, but it’s not a zoo. The water is still running much warmer than average.

Tuesday the 18th morning is another decent call – same 3ft SSW swell with a light offshore wind, giving clean conditions. But again, don’t expect any power. The combined energy is moderate at 312. After that, we slide into more marginal days with light onshore breezes and smaller swells dropping to 2ft and below by the 21st.

For the second week, things stay small but try to rally again. Friday the 25th morning offers a 2ft SW swell with a 16-second period and a light offshore wind – that’s your best bet for the tail end. The energy is moderate at 277. Saturday the 26th morning is similar but a touch bigger at 2ft. None of these are gonna blow your wetsuit off, but they’re clean. The period stays long, so points and reefs would be the call, but we’ve only got Point Mugu here.

The biggest wave energy shows up on Thursday the 27th with a combined energy of 599 and 597, but that’s a 3ft SSE swell with a short 13-second period and a light cross wind. It’s small and a bit choppy. Not the classic setup.

Overall, the standout sessions are Monday the 17th morning and Tuesday the 18th morning for clean, small waves. The longer-range stuff on the 25th and 26th is promising but less certain. For a beginner, the small size is fine, but for anyone looking for push, you’ll be waiting. Keep an eye on the forecasts – it tends not to stay poor for long here.

Rusty.

Read more