Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about this stretch of coast. The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag, with a lot of small, clean windows but only a few moments that really get the heart pumping. We’ll have a few quiet days to start, so patience is key.

The first session worth paddling out for is on Sunday, July 12th. It’s not big, but it’s the best we’ve got early on. Head to Point Mugu for the afternoon. You’ll find a clean 3ft swell from the SSW, with a gentle cross-off breeze keeping things tidy. The combined energy is moderate (338), so it’s not a powerhouse, but it’s fun and surfable. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We hit a slump from Monday the 13th through Friday the 17th. The swell drops, and the wind gets messy. There are a few glassy mornings on the 14th and 16th, but the waves are tiny (1ft to 2ft) and the energy is weak. It’s a real waiting game.

Then, on Saturday, July 18th, the energy jumps. You’ll see a 5ft SSE swell rolling in, with strong energy (1418). The problem is the wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. It’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session. The swell is a bit much for beginners, and the conditions aren’t doing it any favors.

The real standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, comes on Sunday, July 19th. The morning at Point Mugu is the pick of the whole forecast. You’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the S, with a light cross-off breeze that’ll keep the surface glassy. The combined energy is strong (532), and the waves will have some punch. The crowd factor is “sometimes” here, so expect some company, but it’s worth it.

After that, the second week settles into a consistent but unspectacular pattern. From the 20th to the 23rd, we see small, clean 2ft to 3ft SSW swells, mostly with decent wind. The highlight in this stretch is Tuesday, July 21st morning, with a clean 3ft swell and good energy (432). It’s not a big day, but it’s clean and fun.

Then, on Friday, July 24th, we get a surprise. A very long period 24-second SSW groundswell arrives, pushing through 2ft waves with strong energy (535). The wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean. At Point Mugu, this long-period swell will wrap in nicely, offering well-shaped, powerful lines. The caveat is that long-period swells can be tricky at beach breaks, but this break handles it well.

The final few days, from the 25th to the 27th, see a building SSW swell. The Sunday, July 26th afternoon session is the best in this last stretch, with a clean 3ft SSW swell, good energy (888), and light cross-off winds. It’s a solid, clean session to end the outlook.

So, to wrap it up: the best of the best is Sunday, July 19th morning at Point Mugu. The second best is Sunday, July 26th afternoon. The rest is small but clean, with a few fun windows.

Rusty.

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