Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our local stretch.

Honestly, the next week and a half is looking pretty flat and ordinary. For the first four days, we’re seeing nothing but tiny waves around 1ft from the SW, with a mix of cross-onshore and cross-offshore winds, and the energy is low (70 to 95). It’s a poor start, and there’s nothing to get excited about. We’ve got a long gap with no real surf to speak of until later in the period.

Things start to pick up on Thursday the 6th in the afternoon, but even then it’s only 2ft with a clean cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is still only moderate (127) and the comment says “surfable but very ordinary.” Not worth dropping everything for.

Then we get a bit of a pulse building into Friday the 7th. The swell direction shifts to the SSW, and the period jumps to 19 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The energy is strong (333) but the swell height is still only 2ft. The morning is cross-onshore, but the afternoon cleans right up with light W winds and a cross-offshore. The score bumps up to “expect good surf conditions.” This is a small taste of what’s to come.

The real standout arrives on the morning of Sunday the 16th of August. Point Mugu will see a 3ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, and most importantly, a clean cross-offshore wind from the W. The combined energy is strong (338) and the comment says “expect good surf conditions.” This is your best bet for the whole outlook. The water temperature is running 71°F, which is a massive 7° warmer than normal – that’s very unusual for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

The afternoon on the 16th drops off a bit with the same height but a lower score, and after that, the swell fades back into the ordinary zone for the last couple of days. So, mark your calendar for the morning of the 16th if you want the cleanest, most energetic waves we’ve got in the whole 16 days.

Rusty.

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