Point Mugu Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.10° N 119.11° W

Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Point Mugu sea temperature is
19.3° C
2.2° 

Point Mugu surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Point Mugu surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period, S swell with 894 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Mugu this week:

The surf forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Point Mugu in the next 16 days are 1.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Thu 16th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 16s
Best Surf 8PM (Sun 19th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sun 19th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here with the Point Mugu forecast in old-school numbers.

It’s a slow start, real slow, but the back half of July has some promise. Most of the coming week is tiny and a bit junk, but towards the end of the month a proper swell shows up. For now, it’s all about patience.

Thursday, July 16 starts with a glassy morning – a 0.4m SW groundswell (16-second period). Wind is glass from the SSW at 3 mph. It’s surfable but weak, with combined energy at (158), meaning you’ll be doing a lot of paddling for not much. The afternoon goes cross-shore WSW at 6 mph and gets bumpy, so that morning window is the only chance, and it’s a poor one.

Friday, July 17 is a total bust. Still 0.4m, with onshore SSE wind at 9 mph in the morning and cross-onshore SW at 3 mph in the afternoon. Total mess.

Saturday, July 18 shows a little life. Morning is cross-onshore with 0.6m SW swell (18 seconds, energy 319 – moderate). It’s marginal. But the afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-offshore west wind at 9 mph. Still only 0.6m, but the long period (18 seconds) and clean face will make the most of it. Best of a weak bunch so far.

Sunday, July 19 the swell kicks up. Morning has 1.4m from the south (15 seconds, combined energy 1062 – strong), but the wind is cross-onshore SSW at 6 mph, making it bumpy. The afternoon goes clean with cross-offshore WNW wind at 12 mph, and the swell backs off a hair to 1.2m. There’s energy, but it’s raw.

Monday, July 20 through Tuesday, July 28 is a long stretch of average. Swell bounces between 0.5 ft and 1.6m, mostly S or SSW, with periods from 14 to 19 seconds. The afternoons are often clean with cross-offshore west or WNW winds. But the wave heights are inconsistent, and the reports say marginal. These are grovel days or one-turn waves.

Friday, July 24 afternoon is the one to mark. We’ve got 1.6m of south swell (15-second period), combined energy hitting (1508) – that’s strong. Wind is clean cross-offshore WNW at 9 mph. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The size is a bit much for beginners, but for anyone else, that’s a proper session. The long period (15 seconds) gives it power, though at a beach it can run a bit straight.

Saturday, July 25 afternoon holds at 1.6m from the SSW (14 seconds, energy 1327) with clean west winds, but it’s noted as marginal – likely tide or bank issues.

Water temp is average for the season.

After the 25th, the swell winds down. Thursday, July 30 afternoon has a clean 0.7m SW swell (15 seconds) with cross-offshore winds. By Friday, July 31, it’s back to tiny 0.6m and onshore slop.

So here’s the call: don’t waste your time before July 19 unless you’re aching for a paddle. The real session is the afternoon of Friday, July 24 at Point Mugu. That’s your window. Swell, wind, and energy all line up. Be there.

Rusty, out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Wed night, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
2
3
1
2
2
1
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
14
0.4
SW
15
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.9
S
14
1.4
S
15
1.2
S
14
1.5
S
13
1.2
SSW
12
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
90
89
88
126
94
74
77
246
201
306
819
553
824
447
314
330
597
358
367
Wind (km/h)
10
ESE
5
SSW
10
WSW
10
SE
15
SSE
5
SW
5
SE
10
S
15
W
5
S
10
SSW
20
WNW
0
NE
10
SW
15
WNW
0
ESE
10
WSW
15
W
0
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
10:37PM2.02m
12:16PM1.32m
11:24PM1.85m
12:57PM1.37m
00:13AM1.62m
1:40PM1.40m
1:06AM1.36m
2:25PM1.43m
2:10AM1.10m
3:12PM1.44m
3:43AM0.90m
4:04PM1.46m
Low Tide
5:52AM-0.39m
5:28PM0.52m
6:31AM-0.24m
6:26PM0.53m
7:10AM-0.05m
7:31PM0.54m
7:46AM0.16m
8:48PM0.53m
8:22AM0.38m
10:19PM0.48m
9:00AM0.57m
11:52PM0.37m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:58
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:07
8:06
8:06
8:05
 mm
Temp °C
23
23
22
21
23
22
20
21
21
19
21
21
20
21
21
21
22
22
21
Feels °C
24
25
23
22
23
22
22
22
22
19
22
21
19
22
20
21
21
21
20
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Point Mugu Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Point Mugu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Mugu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Mugu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Mugu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Mugu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Point Mugu is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Port Hueneme. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Hueneme. Port Hueneme has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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