
Surf Forecasts:
Point Mugu surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with 434 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Mugu this week:
The surf forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Mugu in the next 16 days are 1.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right folks, let’s talk about Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be honest, the first week is a bit of a grind. We’ve got a long wait for anything decent. Tuesday afternoon kicks things off with a tiny 2ft SSW swell and a period of 12 seconds, but the onshore wind is messing it up. The water is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
The pattern from Wednesday the 15th right through to the end of the week is pretty flat. We’re seeing small 1ft to 2ft SW swells, and while the wind does turn cross-off and clean at times, the wave energy is weak. Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are a write-off with onshore winds and poor surf. Sunday the 19th sees a slight bump in energy, but it’s still described as “marginal.”
Monday the 20th is more of the same. The energy is moderate, but it’s not really coming together. Then, finally, on Tuesday the 21st, we get a little taste of what’s possible. The morning shows 3ft from the SSW with a 16-second period, clean cross-off winds, and the wave commentary says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s the first real glimmer of hope.
But the real story, the standout of the whole forecast, is Thursday the 23rd of July. The afternoon session is looking *very* special. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, with a 4ft SSE swell at 13 seconds. The energy is strong and the commentary calls it “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the one to circle on the calendar. The water should still be that touch warmer than average.
The run from the 24th to the 25th sees the swell size jump up. Friday the 24th afternoon has a 6ft S swell with a 16-second period, and energy is very strong. Saturday the 25th morning is even bigger at 7ft from the S. This is heading into expert territory, and the wind is only cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. Not the cleanest option for those days.
We then get a nice little run to finish the period. Sunday the 26th afternoon is a real gem: 3ft from the SSW, a very long 19-second period, clean cross-off wind, and the commentary says “expect very good surf conditions.” Monday the 27th is also good with 3ft SW and clean winds. Tuesday the 28th afternoon is another standout call with “expect very good surf conditions,” a 4ft SSW swell at 17 seconds, and light cross-off wind. The final day, Wednesday the 29th, fades out with onshore winds and poor surf.
Overall, Point Mugu is a slow starter, but the second week has some absolute crackers. Don’t sleep on that Thursday the 23rd afternoon glass-off, and the Sunday the 26th afternoon session is a beauty for the long-period groundswell lovers.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Wed morning, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 11 | SW 17 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
109 | 77 | 95 | 90 | 89 | 88 | 91 | 94 | 74 | 77 | 246 | 201 | 116 | 235 | 302 | 278 | 196 | 258 | 232 | 412 | 434 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:49PM2.11m | 11:35AM1.27m | 10:37PM2.02m | 12:16PM1.32m | 11:24PM1.85m | 12:57PM1.37m | 00:13AM1.62m | 1:40PM1.40m | 1:06AM1.36m | 2:25PM1.43m | 2:10AM1.10m | 3:12PM1.44m | 3:43AM0.90m | 4:04PM1.46m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:11AM-0.49m | 4:34PM0.54m | 5:52AM-0.39m | 5:28PM0.52m | 6:31AM-0.24m | 6:26PM0.53m | 7:10AM-0.05m | 7:31PM0.54m | 7:46AM0.16m | 8:48PM0.53m | 8:22AM0.38m | 10:19PM0.48m | 9:00AM0.57m | ||||||||
— | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
8:08 | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:05 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 22 |
Feels °C | 21 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | WSW 5 | SSW 12 | W 6 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | W 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
17 | 8 | 49 | 30 | 89 | 88 | 91 | 94 | 74 | 77 | 246 | 101 | 116 | 166 | 268 | 278 | 189 | 141 | 40 | 412 | 434 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 6 | SW 5 | WSW 6 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | S 9 | SSE 12 |
96 | 65 | 95 | 90 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 54 | 51 | 49 | 67 | 201 | 90 | 235 | 302 | 216 | 196 | 258 | 232 | 41 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | S 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | WSW 6 | WSW 6 | S 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | S 15 | S 13 | S 15 | W 5 | WSW 4 | SSW 20 | S 10 | W 5 | SW 21 |
109 | 77 | 6 | 48 | 28 | 27 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 27 | 27 | 39 | 56 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 75 | 66 | 13 | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 5 | — | ESE 3 | — | ESE 2 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | W 3 | W 5 | — | WSW 4 | — | — | W 4 |
— | — | 4 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | 3 | 34 | — | 3 | — | — | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 236 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 73 | 67 | 5 | 72 | 67 | 14 | 236 | 45 | 0 | 67 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Mugu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Mugu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Mugu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Mugu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Mugu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Mugu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Mugu is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Port Hueneme. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Hueneme. Port Hueneme has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











