Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s coming up for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the water is running *much warmer than normal* for this time of year—we’re talking about 71°, which is a solid 7° above average. That’s unusual, and it’ll feel like a bath out there.

The swell is on the small side for the first few days, but the real story is the wind. We’ve got a run of clean conditions that’s hard to ignore. The standout here is Wednesday morning, the 26th of August. The wind goes glassy out of the SSW at just 3 mph, and that’s a rare treat. The swell is 3 ft from the S, with a period of 13 seconds—that’s a proper groundswell, and it’ll have some shape to it. The energy is moderate, clocking in at 570. It’s not big, but it’s clean, and for a beginner-friendly spot like Point Mugu, that’s perfect. Crowds are possible here, so expect a few others out, but with conditions like that, it’s worth it.

From there, the pattern holds steady. Tuesday afternoon the 25th, and Wednesday afternoon the 26th, both offer clean cross-off winds and surfable waves around 2 ft to 4 ft. Nothing too exciting, but solid.

The end of the week and into the weekend (Friday the 28th through Sunday the 30th) sees a slight bump in energy, with the swell hanging around 2 ft to 3 ft from the SSW. Periods are in the 15-19 second range on Friday, which is a long period groundswell. That’s good for a point break like this—longer lines, more push, better shape. The wind stays favourable, mostly cross-off or light cross, so the surf will be clean.

Now, the real standout in the entire forecast window is Friday afternoon, the 4th of September. The swell is 4 ft from the SSW, period of 17 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 868—that’s strong, punchy energy. The wind is light and cross-off out of the W at 6 mph. This is going to be the best day on offer. It’s still beginner-friendly at that size, but the quality will be there. Keep an eye on it, but remember it’s over a week out, so it’s promising but not locked in.

The rest of the first week of September looks similar: small, clean, consistent. The morning of the 7th of September (Monday) has glassy conditions again, with a 4 ft S swell at 14 seconds—strong energy at 655. That’s a solid one too.

There are no gaps in the surf here—it’s pretty much every day offering something. The only real letdown is the 6th of September, where the wind turns onshore, and the surf takes a hit. But that’s just one day.

Overall, if you’re after the best, aim for Wednesday morning the 26th of August for the glass, or Friday afternoon the 4th of September for the power. Both are worth the paddle.

Rusty.

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