Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming our way over the next couple of weeks for Point Mugu.

Honestly, it’s a bit of a slow start. The first week or so is pretty quiet, with only tiny knee-high waves on offer and mostly ordinary conditions. The real standout window doesn’t open up until later, so don’t rush to grab your board just yet.

We kick off the first few days from Monday the 17th into the weekend of the 23rd. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1 ft to 3 ft from the SSW, with a very long period around 15 to 18 seconds. The energy is weak, sitting between 129 and 297. The wind is mostly cross or cross-off, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. The water temp here is about average for this time of year, nothing weird. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but even for a learner, there’s not enough push. The consistency is fairly consistent, but with next to no size, it’s more of a paddle than a surf.

Things start to look a little more promising around Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th. Early mornings show a small bump in energy, with the energy reading hitting 294 and 268, and the swell still around 2 ft from the SSW-SW. The periods are long, around 14-16 seconds, and the wind is a clean cross-off. These are *surfable* waves, but still pretty ordinary for most. For a longboard or a foiler, there might be a fun little glide, but it’s not a standout.

Now, hold onto your hats—the end of the month and into September is where it gets interesting. The period from Saturday the 29th of August through to Monday the 1st of September has some real potential. On Saturday the 29th afternoon, we see the energy jump to 387 with a clean 2 ft SSW swell and cross-off wind. Then Sunday the 30th sees consistent energy around 434-451 with S swells at 2 ft and light winds. But the best of the bunch looks like Monday the 31st morning: the energy hits 596 (moderate wave energy) with a 3 ft SSW groundswell and glassy conditions. That is the pick of the whole forecast. The wind is dead calm—glassy—and the waves will be clean and workable on a longboard. Tuesday the 1st of September morning also looks good with 3 ft and cross conditions.

So here’s the bottom line: the first week is a write-off, a long gap of small, weak surf. The standout is Monday the 31st of August morning at Point Mugu. If you can wait, that’s your session. The SW swell direction is a good match for the break, and glassy wind is a major positive. It’s small but clean. For beginners, the 3 ft is fine. For the rest of us, it’s a fun longboard wave. Don’t expect barrels, but do expect a nice cruise. Crowds are possible here, so get out early.

Stay patient, folks.

Rusty.

Read more