Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s take a look at what we’ve got around here.

Honestly, the next couple weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We have a long stretch of small to knee-high surf with light winds, but the real juice doesn’t show up until the last few days of the month. The first week or so you’ll be scratching for anything half-decent, but the swell builds nicely toward the very end, with a couple of mornings that could actually be pretty fun. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.

Let’s start with Saturday the 15th morning at Point Mugu. It’s tiny, around 3ft from the SSW with a 16-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, so there will be good shape but long waits between sets. The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s not glassy, but it’s manageable. The wave energy is moderate (436). It’s about as small as it gets, but for a beginner spot that’s fairly consistent, it’s a gentle option. Crowds can show up sometimes, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.

Sunday the 16th morning is a bit better. Still small at 3ft from the SSW, but the wind goes light cross-offshore, which cleans it right up. That’s a nice window of clean little waves, still with that same 16-second groundswell. Wave energy is moderate (407).

Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are pretty average, with small swell and light cross or cross-off winds. Nothing to write home about. That pattern hangs around through the middle of the week.

Now, the first real standout comes on Monday the 24th afternoon. The swell shifts around to the SSE, still small at 2ft, but the period is 15 seconds with a clean light cross-off breeze. Wave energy is moderate (284). However, the surf comment says “expect good surf conditions,” so even though it’s small, it should be tidy and rideable.

The next highlight is a bigger pulse, but it comes with a caveat. On Tuesday the 26th morning, the swell jumps up to 6ft from the S at 15 seconds. That’s a solid, powerful groundswell with strong wave energy (1634). The wind is light cross, so the surface should be okay. That’s a bit much for beginners though, more of an intermediate-to-expert wave at that size, especially at a beach setup like this.

Wednesday the 27th morning keeps it going with 5ft from the S, still moderate wind conditions, and Thursday the 28th morning holds around 5ft from the SSW with light cross-on breeze. All these days have “marginal” comments, so the quality might not be perfect, but there’s definitely more water moving.

The absolute best bet in the whole outlook is Saturday the 29th afternoon. The swell is 4ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, clean cross-off wind, and the surf comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” Wave energy is strong (991). That’s the session to aim for – clean, solid chest-to-head-high waves with decent period. Also worth a mention is the Saturday 29th morning with 3ft from the SSW, 17-second period, clean cross-off wind, and “expect good surf conditions.” If you prefer smaller, cleaner morning glass, that’s your pick.

Sunday the 30th morning drops back down to 3ft with light cross winds, back to the smaller stuff.

Bottom line: the first 10 days are small but clean at times. The real action is the last 4-5 days, especially Saturday the 29th afternoon – that’s the standout. Get on it if you can.

Rusty

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