Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the imperial rundown.

We’ve got a run of small-to-modest swell that looks best in the first few days after a slow start. There’s a window of clean, long-period groundswell kicking off for Tuesday afternoon that’s the real standout—worth making a plan for.

Tuesday 28 July afternoon is your pick. Point Mugu switches on with some solid energy. We’re looking at 3ft of swell from the SSW, and the period is a long 17 seconds—proper groundswell. That long period means the waves will have shape and power, but at a beachbreak it might run a little straight; a point or reef would be ideal if you know one. Wind is a light cross-offshore from the west at 9 mph, so the face will be clean and glassy. The combined wave energy is moderate at 860. The water is sitting at 71°, which feels much warmer than usual for this time of year. There might be a few others out since crowds are sometimes an issue, but early afternoon should be fine.

Wednesday 29 July brings two sessions. The morning is a bit marginal with light cross-onshore wind, but the afternoon cleans right up. Swell drops slightly to 3ft from the SSW, still a solid 16-second period. Cross-offshore wind from the WNW at 9 mph gives clean conditions, and energy is back up around 868. A solid second day for smaller-wave cruisers.

Thursday 30 July afternoon sees a little bump in swell to 4ft from the S, period dropping to 15 seconds. Still clean with a west-northwest cross-off 9 mph. The energy dips but is still moderate at 612. A fun option if you missed the earlier days.

After that, it thins right out. Friday 31 July through Sunday 3 August are largely poor or marginal with tiny swell, onshore or crossing winds. There’s a bit of cross-off wind on Friday afternoon, but the swell is only 4ft with a short 13-second period and energy fading—nothing to get excited about.

From Monday 4 August through to Wednesday 12 August, it’s a long stretch of very small surf—most days under 2ft to 3ft—with poor conditions and low energy (often under 300). There’s a brief uptick on Friday 7 August morning with a long 19-second period from the SSW, but only 2ft and onshore wind—so it’s more of a tease than a goer. That long period groundswell at a tiny size just won’t have enough push.

The best bet is clearly Tuesday 28 July afternoon for clean, long-period waves. If you can find a spot that handles that SSW groundswell with a bit of structure, you’ll get the best of the run. Otherwise, the second week looks like one for the longboard or a rest day.

Stay keen,
Rusty

Read more