Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming down the pipe for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we're in a bit of a flat spell. The first few days are looking pretty ordinary with knee-high, weak swell from the south-southwest. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. You'll see a lot of light cross-onshore breezes messing with the surface, making for some pretty unappealing conditions. The energy is weak (321), and the sets are infrequent, so don't bother paddling out until things change.

We're looking at a long stretch of small, weak surf until the middle of the second week. The swell is tiny, period is all over the place, and the wind is mostly a nuisance. There are a few afternoons with a cross-offshore wind (like Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th), which will clean the surface up, but the waves are barely 2ft. It's surfable, but just barely. Honestly, this stretch is a write-off for any proper surf.

Now, hold onto your boards, because the real action arrives on Saturday the 18th. A new swell starts filling in from the south-southeast. The energy jumps way up (634 on Saturday morning, 895 on Saturday afternoon), and the period is solid at 17-18 seconds. That's a proper groundswell. The wind on Saturday afternoon turns cross-offshore from the west-northwest, and the report says "clean." This is the standout window of the entire forecast. The waves will be around 3ft, but with that long period, it'll offer up some well-shaped, rippable walls. Keep in mind, for a setup like Point Mugu, that long period means the sets will be clean but the lulls between them could be long. It's a point break, so it can handle the long-period swell direction better than a beach break.

The best of the best is Sunday the 19th. The swell builds further, with energy hitting 1268 and the swell height coming up to 5ft from the south. The wind is light and variable, going cross-offshore in the afternoon. The forecast is for "very good surf conditions." This is the one. It's still manageable for a confident beginner, but that 5ft mark with that much energy will be a step up. The water is warm, the wind is good, and the swell is pumping. This is the session to circle on the calendar.

After that, the swell fades quickly into Monday and Tuesday, but the wind stays clean, offering some clean, small waves in the 2ft to 3ft range for the rest of the week. The energy drops away, but it'll be a fun, mellow end to the run.

So, to sum it up: the first nine days are a dud. The real show is Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th. Sunday is the standout for size and quality, but Saturday afternoon will be a gorgeous, clean-session sleeper. After that, it's back to small, clean waves for the die-hards.

Rusty.

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