Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, checkin' in with the latest on the local surf scene. We're dialing into Point Mugu for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a bit of a slow burn with a couple of sweet windows to keep an eye on.

The water is runnin' a touch warmer than normal for the time of year at about 65°, so that's a bit of a treat right off the bat. The swell energy is gonna be building and fading, but we're not talking about any giants. The biggest energy pushes we see hit a moderate range in the 500s, so it's not exactly gonna be a war zone out there.

For the first few days, it's pretty marginal. Friday morning (July 3rd) we've got a tiny 3ft groundswell from the SSW with a long 16-second period, so there's some push in the water, but the wind is a light cross-on, making it a bit messy. The combined energy is weak at 313, and the call is just a marginal affair. That pattern holds through the weekend – small waves and funky winds – nothing to get excited about yet.

Things start lookin' up come Tuesday (July 7th). We get a consistent 3ft SSW swell that's picking up in energy (623 on Tuesday afternoon). The wind turns offshore from the WNW, which is the dream at Point Mugu. That combo – long period groundswell and offshore wind – is gonna produce some clean, lined-up sets. Wednesday (July 8th) is a standout. Morning and afternoon both have clean 3ft SSW swell with a light offshore wind. The wave energy sits strong at 523 in the morning and 436 in the arvo. This is your best bet for the whole 16-day window – glassy conditions and punchy little peelers. Keep in mind the crowds can be *sometimes* an issue here, so get there early if you can.

After that, it gets shifty. The second week starts to fade. By Friday (July 10th), onshore winds and poor conditions take over, and we get a string of "poor surf" calls. There's a brief moment of calm on Sunday (July 12th) afternoon where the wind goes glassy, but the swell is tiny at 2ft with weak energy (228). It's surfable, but just barely.

The final glimmer comes on Saturday, July 18th. The morning session has a clean 2ft SSW groundswell (18-second period) with a gentle offshore breeze, and the wave energy ticks up to a moderate 276. It's not the size of the previous week, but the conditions look right for a longboard or a fun fish. It's a good way to cap off a pretty mellow outlook.

So, to wrap it up: the best surf on the cards is Wednesday, July 8th at Point Mugu. The window from Tuesday to Wednesday gives you the cleanest waves with the most energy. After that, pick the glassy moments if you're desperate for a paddle, but don't expect any fireworks. Keep an eye on the long-range forecast for Saturday the 18th – it might be worth a look.

Stay wet, stay stoked.

Rusty.

Read more