Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks in the water. It’s a story of a slow start, a little window of something good, and then a whole lot of flatness.

The water is sitting at a warm 72°, which is a solid 7° warmer than what we’d expect around here this time of year. That is seriously unusual; you’ll be in boardies or a spring suit for sure.

We start off in a bit of a lull. Wednesday, the 2nd of September, sees a tiny 2ft swell from the SSW with a 13-second period, but the cross-shore wind and moderate wave energy (233) keep things pretty messy and unexciting. That trend of small, marginal surf carries us through Thursday and Friday. Not worth getting the wax out.

The switch flips on Saturday the 5th. The afternoon session is where it’s at. A clean 4ft S swell rolls in with 14 seconds between waves, offering moderate-to-strong energy (928). The wind turns light offshore from the west, putting a glassy finish on it. That Saturday afternoon is the start of the fun.

It gets even better on Sunday the 6th. The afternoon sees the swell jump to a solid 5ft from the south, period still around 14 seconds, and the combined energy jumps into strong territory at 1052. With a light cross-offshore breeze, Point Mugu is going to have proper, clean, lined-up sets. That 5ft might look a little big for beginners, but for everyone else, this is the standout of the whole forecast. It’s fairly consistent, and while crowds can show up sometimes, the quality on offer will be worth sharing the peak for.

Monday the 7th holds in the 5ft range with clean offshore winds, carrying that fun quality through the morning and afternoon. The energy starts to drop (850 and 712), but the waves are still very good. Tuesday and Wednesday the 8th and 9th get smaller and the energy backs off, but the wind stays clean, giving some fun little waist-high waves.

From Thursday the 10th onwards, it gets small again. The 10th and 11th see the swell drop to around 3ft, despite some long 17-second periods, the wave energy is only moderate. That long period groundswell on a beach break can be a bit straight and tough to catch.

The real killer is from the 12th of September right through to the 17th. We’re talking ankle-to-knee high stuff, with combined energy dropping as low as 88. Even though the wind is often clean and offshore, there’s just nothing to ride. The 14th sees a 1ft wave with a 24-second period – that’s just a long, slow lump.

So, your best bet: Saturday the 5th afternoon and all of Sunday the 6th. Those are the true moments where the swell, wind, and tide all line up for a proper session. The rest of the two weeks is mostly a write-off.

Rusty, out.

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