Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got a bit of a slow spell on the cards for the Point Mugu area. Looking at the full 16-day run, we're not seeing any proper standout days that'll have you rushing for your board. The whole period is littered with marginal to poor conditions, and the swell is tiny.

The water temp is running much warmer than normal at 71°F, a full 7°F above the seasonal average – that's very unusual.

We kick off Sunday the 9th of August with pretty average conditions. There's a small 2ft SSW swell pushing through with a 15-second period, giving the water some energy (251), but the wind is a light cross-onshore, messing with the surface. Not great.

The pattern doesn't improve much. Monday through Wednesday of the first week sees the swell drop to around 2ft to 2ft, with periods varying between 13 and 18 seconds. The winds are light, but mostly cross or cross-on, so the face isn't clean. The combined energy is moderate, sitting around 200 to 258, but it's just not translating to good rideable waves.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are a bit of a tease. The swell bumps up a touch to 2ft and 2ft, and the period stretches to 19 and 18 seconds respectively. The energy jumps notably, especially Friday afternoon hitting 529 (moderate energy), and the wind goes cross-offshore, cleaning it up nicely. The surf is still marginal though, with only questionable conditions noted. It's small, long-period groundswell – the kind that can break a bit too straight at a beach break like Point Mugu, so temper expectations.

The following weekend, Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th of August, is probably the closest we get to a highlight. The swell holds around 3ft with a 16-second period, and the energy is solid (492 and 437). The wind on Sunday morning is light cross-offshore, and the forecast actually mentions "good surf conditions" – the only time in the whole run. At 3ft, this is small and clean, alright for the beginners this spot is suited for. But it's not big, not powerful. The crowds are a possibility here, as they are "sometimes" an issue.

After that, it fades again. From Monday the 17th onward, it's back to tiny 2ft to 3ft surf with inconsistent winds. There's a brief pulse on the 23rd of August with a 2ft, 19-second swell and moderate energy (306), but it's accompanied by a cross-onshore breeze and poor surf conditions. Not worth a special trip.

Overall, if you're itching for a paddle, the best bet is the morning of Sunday the 16th of August. It's clean, small, and about as good as this forecast gets. Everything else is a pass.

Rusty.

Read more