Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—this is a tough one. The forecast is looking pretty bleak for the most part. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak energy and a lot of marginal conditions. The water temp is sitting at 71°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual, so you’ll be surfing in a bath, but at least you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t pop up until Thursday, August 13th. That morning, we finally see a bit of a pulse. The morning session on the 13th is the standout of the whole 16-day window. We’re looking at a 2 ft swell from the SW with a period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy reading is 312 (moderate wave energy). The wind is light and cross-off from the W, which should keep things clean. This is a long-period swell, so it’ll have longer lulls between sets, but at Point Mugu, that setup can be pretty good. The trade-off is that the swell is still small, so don’t expect anything with much power.

Prior to that, from July 30th right through to August 12th, it’s a whole lot of nothing. The swell heights are bouncing between 1 ft and 3 ft, with periods mostly around 13-15 seconds. The energy is low, often sitting in the double digits or low triple digits. The wind is a mixed bag of cross-onshore and cross-off, but the scores are all low, and the wave comments are all “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” There’s a tiny spike on August 7th with a 2 ft, 19-second period SSW swell, but the wind is cross-on and the energy is still just 425 (moderate). It’s not worth getting excited about.

So, for the whole two weeks, the only real highlight is the morning of Thursday, August 13th. If you’re a patient surfer, that’s your window. The rest of the time, the board’s staying in the car.

Rusty.

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