
Surf Forecasts:
Point Mugu surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with 354 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Mugu this week:
The surf forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Mugu in the next 16 days are 0.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, looking at the surf for Point Mugu over the next couple of weeks.
It’s a bit of a mixed bag, to be honest. The ocean is working, but we’re not talking about any kind of epic swell window. The energy coming in is mostly in the moderate range, with readings in the 111 to 403 zone, so there’s some push behind the waves, but it’s not going to be shaking the windows. We’ve got a consistent southwest swell direction, which is right on the money for this place.
First up, the water is sitting at 72°, and here’s the kicker – it’s 8° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a big deal. That’s a proper tropical feel in the water, so bare chest or a spring suit is all you need.
The long-range stuff for Monday the 14th sees the swell at a fun, mellow 1ft, with a long-period SW groundswell at 18 seconds. A period that long at a spot like this can get a little straight, but it won't matter much because the winds are set to be a clean cross-off on Monday afternoon. If you can sneak out for a session, it’ll be glassy and clean. These long-period waves also mean longer lulls between sets, so you’ll have plenty of time to paddle back out.
Looking at Tuesday morning, it's a write-off with onshore winds and a score of zero. But Tuesday afternoon, things start to get interesting again. We’ve got a jump in energy to 191, still 1ft, but the period is still a solid 16 seconds, and the wind goes light cross-on, staying clean.
From Wednesday the 16th through the following Monday, we get a little more size, with waves in that 2ft to 3ft range. The break starts to show its face. Wednesday afternoon and Thursday afternoon both look like good options. The energy builds to 329 and 360, and with a light cross-off wind, the surface is going to be nice and clean. The swell direction is right in that SSW/SW window.
Friday the 18th is another one to keep an eye on. It’s a touch smaller at 2ft but the period is up to 19 seconds, and the afternoon session is going to be a clean one with a light cross-off breeze and an energy reading of 324. There’s some real potential there for a fun, glassy session.
Saturday and Sunday follow a similar pattern for the afternoons, with that clean cross-off wind and moderate energy in the 300-400 range. The size stays friendly in that 2ft zone.
Now, for the following week, things start to fade a little. The swell direction wobbles a touch, but it stays mainly out of the SW. The energy drops down, and while the afternoons still have that clean wind, the swell just isn’t as strong. By the 25th onwards, it gets pretty ordinary. The period starts dropping into the low-teens and the energy fades, and we hit a bit of a flat spell. The exceptions are Tuesday the 29th, when we get a glassy 1ft SW swell in the morning, and the feelings of autumn are settling in.
Overall, if I was locking in a couple of standouts, I’d be looking at Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th. Both days have that clean, cross-off afternoon wind, and the swell direction is perfect for the break, giving us surfable, clean little waves. The long-period groundswell energy into Friday makes it the pick of the bunch.
The forecast is a bit more reliable for this first week. The second week is promising but less certain, and the trend is definitely towards smaller, weaker surf. It’s not going to be huge, but there are definitely a few windows to get wet and get a few clean ones.
Stay stoked.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 19°C on Thu afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
108 | 107 | 90 | 88 | 72 | 270 | 195 | 201 | 198 | 191 | 167 | 184 | 184 | 131 | 255 | 252 | 255 | 252 | 252 | 241 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 00:26AM1.13m | 12:00PM1.58m | 1:32AM0.96m | 12:31PM1.49m | 4:12AM0.87m | 1:15PM1.39m | 2:40PM1.31m | 8:23AM1.08m | 4:38PM1.31m | 8:05AM1.14m | 5:54PM1.40m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 6:29PM0.20m | 5:41AM0.61m | 7:23PM0.28m | 5:53AM0.76m | 8:37PM0.35m | 5:09AM0.87m | 10:20PM0.37m | 11:52PM0.31m | 10:54AM1.06m | 00:49AM0.22m | 12:23PM0.96m | 1:27AM0.14m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:55 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 8 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | W 5 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 6 |
108 | 107 | 90 | 28 | 40 | 270 | 195 | 201 | 198 | 191 | 167 | 118 | 184 | 27 | 255 | 252 | 32 | 252 | 252 | 31 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 5 | WSW 6 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 13 | S 9 | SW 21 | W 5 | SW 19 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | W 6 | W 5 | SW 17 |
41 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 42 | 27 | 16 | 55 | 14 | 117 | 12 | 184 | 104 | 101 | 68 | 56 | 255 | 22 | 15 | 241 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | S 13 | S 13 | S 9 | SW 21 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 19 | WSW 5 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 |
7 | 15 | 14 | 75 | 72 | 32 | 31 | 28 | 71 | 28 | 36 | 36 | 36 | 131 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 55 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 5 | — | SE 2 | — | — | — | SW 5 | — | — | SSW 8 | W 5 | — | WSW 4 | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | W 7 | — |
6 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 24 | 45 | — | 6 | — | — | 8 | — | — | 107 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 11 | 11 | 73 | 11 | 11 | 76 | 0 | 127 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Mugu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Mugu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Mugu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Mugu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Mugu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Mugu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Mugu is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Port Hueneme. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Hueneme. Port Hueneme has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










