Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

We’ve got a long stretch of small, marginal surf at Point Mugu for the next couple of weeks. Most of the swell energy is weak, sitting in the 300-400 range early on. The only real blast of action comes at the very end, and it’s the kind of day you want to be ready for.

Saturday, July 4th: The morning is tiny, with a 2ft SSW swell at 14 seconds. Light crosswind keeps it clean but marginal. The afternoon cleans up with a light offshore breeze, but the swell drops to 1ft. The period is a very long 19 seconds, so you’re waiting a while for a knee-high wave. The energy is only 310, so it’s weak.

Sunday, July 5th: Morning is a write-off with a cross-onshore wind. The afternoon clears up with a moderate cross-offshore breeze at 12 mph, but the swell is still only 2ft. Clean, but tiny.

Monday, July 6th to Friday, July 10th: It’s a grind. Swells stay around 2ft to 3ft from the SSW. Wind is mostly cross to cross-off, keeping things clean, but it’s all very small. The energy picks up a bit mid-week, hitting 523 and 623 on Tuesday, but it’s still just waist-high at best. The period is 16-20 seconds, so it’s a long-period groundswell, but you need more size for it to properly work at this beach-and-reef setup.

Tuesday, July 7th afternoon is the best of the first week: 3ft SSW, 18-second period, light offshore wind, clean. The energy is moderate (623). It’s surfable, but nothing to shout about.

Saturday, July 11th through Tuesday, July 14th: Things flatten out and the wind turns bad. Swell drops to 2ft or less, with onshore or cross-onshore winds. The energy plummets, hitting 95 by Tuesday afternoon. That’s critically weak. There’s a brief window on Sunday afternoon (July 12th) with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still only 3ft. Not worth it.

Wednesday, July 15th to Friday, July 17th: More of the same. Swell is 1ft to 2ft with clean afternoons, but the energy is pathetic (110-212). The period is still long, but it’s flat.

Saturday, July 18th: This is the one. The morning has a 4ft SSE swell with a strong onshore wind – forget that. But the afternoon... the wind swings to a light cross-offshore breeze from the W, and the swell jumps to 5ft from the SSE with a 16-second period. The energy is 1351, which is strong. It’s clean, and described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the standout. The direction is SSE, not the optimum SW, but the quality and power are undeniable.

Sunday, July 19th: The swell holds at 6ft from the S, 16-second period, with a light cross-offshore wind in the morning. The energy is 1845, very strong. Another big day for experienced crew.

So, save your energy for that second weekend. The 18th and 19th of July are the real deal. The rest is just small, clean knee-to-waist-high dribble. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

- Rusty

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