Surf Forecasts:
Point Mugu surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SW swell with 379 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Mugu this week:
The surf forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Mugu in the next 16 days are 0.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Second text
Alright, let’s get into it. The start is dead. First couple days are a total dud with tiny, weak swell and garbage wind. Point Mugu is showing a weak 1 ft of 16-second SW groundswell, but an onshore breeze is making it a choppy mess, barely worth paddling out for. Water temp is a very warm 72°, way above normal for the season.
You gotta wait until the afternoon of September 18th to see anything that might get your heart rate up. The swell is still small, only 2 ft from the SW, but the wind goes cross-offshore and the energy bumps up. It’s clean, but it's still a marginal call.
The first real standout appears on September 20th. Sunday afternoon the combined swell energy hits 430 (moderate wave energy) with a 3 ft SW groundswell and an 18-second period. The wind is clean and cross-offshore from the west. This is the first proper window for a session, especially for the intermediate surfer. The size is manageable, but that long period will give the waves some real shape and push.
The back half gets better. Starting the morning of September 29th, Tuesday, we see a run of improving conditions. Light cross-offshore winds and building energy. Still on the smaller side, but clean. But the crown jewel is September 30th. Wednesday morning delivers a 3 ft SSE groundswell at 16 seconds, combined energy of 422, and near-glassy cross-offshore winds. Wednesday afternoon is even better: a 3 ft SSE swell, 15-second period, and a serious combined energy of 577 (strong wave energy) with clean cross-offshore wind. The direction isn’t perfect for the spot, but the quality is there. This is your best bet, by a long shot.
That final run from the 29th to the 30th of September is the one to watch. It’s a long way off so keep your fingers crossed, but if the forecast holds, Point Mugu will have some clean, long-period lines. Expect some company in the water.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 18°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 88 | 72 | 270 | 195 | 201 | 198 | 169 | 222 | 184 | 184 | 131 | 255 | 252 | 255 | 252 | 375 | 358 | 338 | 334 | 318 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:32AM0.96m | 12:31PM1.49m | 4:12AM0.87m | 1:15PM1.39m | 2:40PM1.31m | 8:23AM1.08m | 4:38PM1.31m | 8:05AM1.14m | 5:54PM1.40m | 8:12AM1.19m | 6:44PM1.49m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 7:23PM0.28m | 5:53AM0.76m | 8:37PM0.35m | 5:09AM0.87m | 10:20PM0.37m | 11:52PM0.31m | 10:54AM1.06m | 00:49AM0.22m | 12:23PM0.96m | 1:27AM0.14m | 1:05PM0.84m | 1:56AM0.08m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:55 | — | — | 6:54 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | W 5 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 6 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 88 | 40 | 270 | 195 | 201 | 198 | 169 | 222 | 118 | 184 | 12 | 255 | 252 | 255 | 252 | 375 | 31 | 338 | 334 | 318 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 9 | S 9 | SW 21 | W 5 | SW 19 | S 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 |
| kJ | 24 | 42 | 17 | 16 | 29 | 14 | 117 | 11 | 184 | 93 | 101 | 58 | 56 | 19 | 12 | 49 | 358 | 14 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SW 21 | SSW 12 | SW 21 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 19 | WSW 5 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 75 | 72 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 71 | 28 | 109 | 37 | 37 | 131 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 48 | 6 | 55 | 50 | 47 | 46 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | SSW 8 | — | — | WSW 4 | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 24 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 7 | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 280 | 5 | 67 | 76 | 0 | 73 | 45 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 34 | 0 | 67 | 0 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Mugu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Mugu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Mugu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Mugu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Mugu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Mugu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Mugu is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Port Hueneme. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Hueneme. Port Hueneme has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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