Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk about this 16-day stretch in the local lingo.

We start off on Tuesday morning, 8 September, with a small, clean 3ft swell from the SSW at 11 seconds hitting Point Mugu. The combined energy is a moderate 457, and with a light cross-off breeze, it’s real tidy for a beginner spot. The water’s a warm 71°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year — feels like a tropical treat. The afternoon drops to 3ft, still clean, but the wind picks up a bit.

Wednesday, 9 September, the swell backs off to 2ft in the morning, but the period stretches to a long 16 seconds — proper groundswell, but it’s small. Combined energy is 289. Still cross-off winds, so it’s clean, but it’s a longboard kinda day. Afternoon bumps to 2ft with a 17-second period, energy at 348, but the wind gets stronger.

Now, Thursday morning, 10 September — this is a standout. We’ve got 3ft of SW swell, period at 17 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 478. The real magic is the glassy, 3 mph SW wind. That means the surface is like a mirror. The waves will be clean, lined up, and with that long period, it’s got some real push. Perfect for a point break — it’ll hold shape like a dream. Crowds are sometimes an issue, so get in early, and you’ll score.

Friday, 11 September, the morning is a bit iffy with a light cross-on breeze, but the swell sits at 3ft, period 16 seconds, energy 315. Afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-off, 3ft, 15-second period, energy 275. Surfable, but nothing to get too excited about.

Saturday, 12 September, is a bust in the morning — poor conditions, 2ft, cross-on wind. Afternoon’s a bit better with 2ft and cross-off, but it’s ordinary.

The middle of the second week, around Monday, 14 September, the afternoon brings a 3ft swell from the W with a short period of 9 seconds, energy at 326. It’s more of a windswell, but with cross-off winds, it’s clean enough for a fun session.

The real highlight is Sunday, 20 September, morning. We’ve got 2ft from the SW at 19 seconds — very long period groundswell — and combined energy at 430. The wind is super light from the SW, creating a light cross-shore with small ripples. It’s nearly glassy. That long period will make the waves reel off with heaps of energy, but it might be a bit straight for the beach break — perfect for Point Mugu’s points. Crowds are a possibility, but for a Sunday morning, it’s worth rolling the dice.

Monday, 21 September, afternoon is another cracker: 3ft from the SW, 17-second period, and a big 487 energy reading. Cross-off wind keeps it clean. That’s the best energy of the whole forecast, and it’ll be a session to remember.

The rest of the second week, from 22 September onward, the swell hangs around 2ft to 3ft, but the winds turn more onshore or cross-on, making it tougher to find a clean wave. The mornings on 22 and 23 September are poor with onshore flow, so save your energy for the afternoons.

Overall, the standout windows are Thursday morning, 10 September, for the glassy conditions, and Monday afternoon, 21 September, for the biggest energy. Don’t expect anything over 5ft — it’s all small, mellow surf, perfect for beginners and longboards. Keep your eyes peeled, and you’ll score some clean, fun waves.

Rusty.

Read more