Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Point Mugu. We’ve got a solid stretch of surf coming through, but it’s not a flat-out blockbuster. The standout period is the very start, with a decent pulse of south swell and some surprisingly warm water.

The water is sitting at about 70°F, which is a whole 6° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a proper anomaly, and it’s a treat to be in the water without a wetsuit.

The first real action kicks off on Sunday afternoon, the 6th of September. We’re looking at a 5ft south swell, with a 14-second period, giving us a moderate wave energy of 892. The wind is light from the west, putting it in a cross-off position, so the surf is going to be clean. That’s the best session on offer for the whole outlook.

Monday the 7th keeps the momentum going. The morning holds a similar 5ft south swell, 13-second period, and a wave energy of 898, with a light cross-off breeze. That’s a solid morning session. The afternoon gets a bit breezier with 12 mph winds, so the quality drops off a notch.

After that, the swell gradually backs off. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are still surfable, but the size drops to 3ft and then 2ft. The energy falls to 501 and then 311. The wind stays in a cross-off or cross-shore range, so it’s not blown out, but you’ll be hunting for the better sets.

By Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th, the swell is small—around 3ft to 2ft—with a long period of 16 to 15 seconds. That long period can make the waves a bit too straight at the beach break, but the energy is still light (322 to 237). The wind is light and mostly cross or cross-off, so it’s clean but small.

We hit a real lull from Saturday the 12th through to Sunday the 13th morning. The swell drops to 2ft, energy slumps to 107, and the wind turns cross-on. That’s a write-off. Around 4-5 days of just poor conditions.

Things perk up a bit on Sunday afternoon the 13th, with a 4ft west swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds. That’s a weak, choppy windswell, but the wind goes cross-off, so it’s clean. The energy is 279.

Monday the 14th afternoon brings another little bump: a 4ft west swell, 7-second period, with a cross-off wind. It’s a short-period windswell, so it’s punchy, but clean. The energy is 329.

The rest of the second week, from the 15th through the 21st, is mostly small, with the swell bouncing between 1ft and 3ft. The energy is generally weak (121 to 506). The best of that late period is Monday the 21st, with a 3ft south swell, 17-second period, light offshore wind, and a wave energy of 506. That’s a clean, long-period groundswell, so the shape will be good, but it’s not a big wave. The wind is light, so it’s a glassy morning.

Overall, your best bet is the first two days: Sunday the 6th afternoon and Monday the 7th morning. That’s the cleanest, juiciest swell we’ve got. The rest is small but often clean enough for a longboard. If you’re a beginner, the 5ft to 5ft swell is manageable, especially with the periods being moderate. The 4ft windswell on the 14th is also fine for learners. The 2ft stuff is gutless. The crowds at Point Mugu can be a factor sometimes, but with the small surf, it’ll be less of a zoo.

Stay stoked, and keep an eye on the horizon.

- Rusty

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