Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Point Mugu for the next couple of weeks. The water’s a balmy 71°F, which is more than 6°F warmer than what’s normal for this time of year – that’s a real anomaly, and you’ll feel it.

We start the run on Tuesday, 8 September. The morning’s the pick, with a clean 3ft swell from the south, period of 11 seconds, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined swell energy is a moderate 445, and conditions are looking clean. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, and it’s fairly consistent, but crowds are possible here. The afternoon drops off a bit to 3ft, though the period stretches to 13 seconds.

Wednesday, 9 September, the swell drops to 2ft in the morning and 2ft in the afternoon, but the period jumps right up to 16 and 17 seconds. That’s proper long-period groundswell, which will wrap in nicely at this point. Clean conditions again with a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (289 and 339).

Thursday, 10 September, morning is a bit of a mess with a cross-onshore wind, but the afternoon cleans right up with a light cross-offshore breeze and a 3ft swell from the southwest (16-second period, 397 energy). That’s the better window for the day.

Friday, 11 September, the morning is onshore and messy, but the afternoon turns it around with a clean 3ft, 15-second period swell and a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is 284.

The weekend gets pretty grim. Saturday, 12 September, and Sunday, 13 September, are both small and weak, with cross-onshore winds and poor conditions. The combined energy drops to between 110 and 199. Not worth paddling out for.

The entire first half of the following week, from Monday, 14 September through to the weekend of 20 September, is a struggle. Wave heights hover around 1ft to 2ft, and while the period is often long (16-19 seconds), the winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, leaving the surface bumpy. The combined energy is moderate, hanging around 124 to 352. It’s a real flat spell for the most part.

Now, here’s the standout. Look at Monday, 21 September, and Tuesday, 22 September. We’ve got a nice little pulse of 3ft swell from the southwest, with a period of 16-17 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 405-406. The winds are light and cross-offshore, promising clean, glassy conditions. This is the best on offer across the whole outlook. The groundswell from the southwest is right in the optimum direction for Point Mugu, and it’s a fairly consistent break, so you’ll likely get a few. Crowds are possible, so get there early.

The forecast for that distant window is promising but has some uncertainty. Beyond that, Wednesday, 23 September, offers a final clean session in the afternoon with 2ft swell and a light cross-offshore breeze.

So, overall, we’ve got a slow start, a long flat patch in the middle, but a real gem of a window on the 21st and 22nd. Get your hopes up for that one.

Rusty.

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