Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a pretty thin run of surf on the radar for Point Mugu over the next two weeks, so don’t get your hopes up too high just yet. The first few days are looking very marginal, with a slow build-up later on. The standout window is going to be that first weekend of September, so keep your eyes peeled for that.

We start off the outlook on Sunday, August 30th, with a weak, long-period SSW groundswell. The waves are around 3ft, but the period is a solid 15 seconds, so there’s some energy in the water (474). The wind is messy in the morning—cross-shore from the SW—making for bumpy conditions. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-offshore WNW breeze, but the waves drop to 3ft. It’s not terrible, but it’s not great either. The same goes for Monday, August 31st: small swell, 2ft, though the afternoon clears up nicely with a clean cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is moderate (375 to 321), so you’ll be scratching for a ride.

Tuesday and Wednesday, September 1st and 2nd, are pretty much write-offs. The swell drops right off, with heights around 2ft to 2ft and poor energy levels (153 to 295). The winds are mostly cross-off or light, but there’s just no push to the waves. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no excuses there.

Now, here’s where it gets a little more interesting. Thursday, September 3rd, shows a slight uptick. The morning is still small (2ft, 238 energy), but the afternoon brings a clean 2ft wave with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s got moderate energy (465). The wind is a moderate cross-offshore breeze, so it’s rideable, but you’ll want a bigger board to catch those long-period lines.

The real standout—and I mean the only standout worth truly getting excited about—is Saturday, September 5th, and especially Sunday, September 6th. On Saturday, the morning is a write-off with onshore SSE wind, but the afternoon cleans up with a WNW cross-offshore breeze and a solid 3ft SSW swell at 16 seconds. The combined energy bumps up to 574, which is healthy. But Sunday, September 6th, is the pick of the whole forecast. The morning is glassy—dead calm from the south at 3 mph (543 energy). The waves are 3ft from the SSE with a period of 13 seconds. That’s clean, glassy, and fun. The afternoon is also clean with a cross-offshore wind and 3ft waves from the south (647 energy). This is your best window. Get in the water.

After that, things get tricky. Monday, September 7th, brings onshore winds and chop, with 4ft swell that’s just a mess. Tuesday, September 8th, has a decent pulse in the afternoon: 5ft swell from the SSW, 13 seconds, and clean cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is strong (802). That’s a lot of power, and it’s over 5ft, so it’s no longer beginner-friendly. It’s a good, solid wave for intermediates and up. But the morning is a write-off with rain and onshore wind.

From Wednesday, September 9th, onwards, the swell steadily fades. The period drops, the energy goes down, and by the second week, we’re looking at tiny, poor waves. Thursday, September 10th, through Sunday, September 14th, is mostly 2ft to 2ft slop with poor energy levels (120 to 281). The wind is often cross-off, but there’s just no swell to speak of. It’s a long, flat lull to end the outlook.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a struggle until the weekend of September 5th and 6th. That’s your best bet. After that, it’s time to wax the longboard and wait for a change. Stay tuned, forecasts can shift.

Rusty.

Read more