Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into the outlook for our stretch of coast.

We’ve got a quiet start, but there’s some life coming through later in the week and into the following days. The water’s sitting at 71°, which is 7° warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s seriously unusual, so you’ll be surfing in bathwater.

Let’s kick it off with Point Mugu. For Monday afternoon, the 24th of August, we’re seeing a tiny 1ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period. That’s classic groundswell, but the height is small. Winds are cross-off from the WNW at 12 mph, so it’s clean, but the combined energy is only 221—pretty weak. The surf report says poor conditions. Nothing worth rushing for.

Tuesday morning the 25th keeps things marginal. Swell bumps to 2ft from the SW, still a long 16-second period, but winds turn cross-shore from the WSW at 6 mph. We get a bit more energy at 264, but it’s still a light cross-shore with ripples. Not a standout.

Tuesday afternoon is more of the same—2ft SW swell, 16 seconds, clean with a cross-off breeze from the WNW at 9 mph. Energy hits 304 now, but the commentary says marginal. We’re waiting.

Now, Wednesday the 26th gives us something to talk about. Morning brings a jump to 4ft from the S, period dropping to 13 seconds. Winds are glassy-light from the WSW at only 3 mph. That’s near-perfect conditions for a clean face. The energy? 726—that’s moderate to strong. The report still says marginal for the morning, but that’s likely tide-related. This is the first real chance for a fun session.

Wednesday afternoon keeps the 4ft S swell, period 12 seconds, with a cross-off breeze from the W at 9 mph. Energy is 650, and now the report says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s your window. If you can get out, this is a solid option for a beginner-friendly wave at Point Mugu.

The rest of the week and into the weekend stays in the 2ft to 3ft range, mostly from the SSW, with periods ranging from 12 to 19 seconds. The longer-period swells are best at a point break like this—they’ll hold shape and give you longer gaps between sets. Winds are mostly cross-off or light cross-shore, keeping it clean. But nothing else really jumps out as a standout.

Saturday the 29th afternoon is worth a mention: 3ft SSW swell, 16-second period, light cross-off breeze at 6 mph, clean. Combined energy at 517. But it’s still not a big day.

Fast forward to Sunday, the 6th of September. The morning session shows 3ft from the SSW, 14 seconds, cross-off from the W at 9 mph, and the report says “expect good surf conditions.” Energy is only 313, so it’s not powerful, but the conditions are clean.

Then Monday the 7th of September morning brings another clean call: 2ft S swell, very long 17-second period, light cross-off from the W at 9 mph. Energy 283. It’s small but clean. A longboarder’s dream.

Tuesday the 8th of September afternoon rounds out the forecast: 3ft from the SSW, 15-second period, light cross-off from the W at 6 mph. Energy 467, and the report says good surf. A nice way to close out the run.

Overall, the standout window is Wednesday the 26th of August—especially the afternoon—when the swell hits 4ft with clean conditions and moderate energy. That’s the one to aim for. The rest is small but clean fun, best on a log or a fish. Crowds at Point Mugu can show up sometimes, so be ready for company.

Rusty.

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