Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s gonna be a pretty quiet stretch for Point Mugu. We’re lookin’ at a solid week of small, long-period groundswell, with waves generally hanging around the 1 ft to 3 ft range. The energy is what I’d call weak to moderate, sittin’ mostly between 102 and 529 for that combined swell number. That’s not a lot of punch. The good news is the wind stays pretty light and often cross-off or clean, so the water will look nice and tidy, but the size is just gonna keep things mellow. Think longboard or a fun little twinny, not a shortboard day.

We kick off Friday, July 3rd with a 3 ft SSW groundswell. The period is a juicy 16 seconds, so these waves are gonna have some shape and a bit of push, but the combined energy is still low at 312. There’s a light cross-onshore breeze in the morning, but by the afternoon it turns cross-off with a clean face. It’s surfable, but definitely on the smaller side.

Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th are very similar – same small size, same long-period groundswell. Saturday afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-off, and Sunday afternoon cleans up too, but the swell drops a hair.

Now, there are a couple of mornings that stand out as the best of the bunch. Tuesday the 7th morning looks like our real standout. The swell is still a small 3 ft from the SSW, but the energy bumps up to 529, and we’ve got light offshore winds out of the W. The water should be glassy and clean for those long walls. It’s a beginner-friendly height and the wind is perfect. The next best shot is Thursday the 9th. Again, 3 ft SSW swell with clean, cross-off winds in the morning and afternoon. Energy is a bit lower at 442, but it’s clean and offshore. For this kind of small, clean setup, Point Mugu is a treat – just watch out for crowds, as they can be around sometimes.

After the 9th, things go pretty quiet. From Friday July 10th through Saturday the 18th, the forecast drops off hard. The swell fades to 1 ft – 2 ft, with poor conditions or just very ordinary, marginal surf. The energy drops into the low 100s. It’s gonna be a long flat spell, more than a week where there’s hardly anything worth paddling out for.

That’s the picture. Small but clean early on, then a long dry spell.

- Rusty

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