Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty checkin’ in from the coast. We’ve got a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks, so let’s get into it.

First off, the water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild. The swell energy is pretty weak for the first week, with readings in the 100–200 range, so don’t expect much push. The standout session is Wednesday morning, August 19th, at Point Mugu. We’ve got a clean 3 ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a 15-second period, giving those waves some real shape and travel. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, making for some smooth, peelable faces. The combined swell energy is 296, which is moderate but with that long period, it’ll feel bigger. This is a beginner-friendly spot, so it’s a good one for all levels. Just a heads up, crowds are possible here.

After that, the surf drops off hard. From Thursday, August 20th, through to Sunday, August 23rd, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves, mostly below 2 ft, and the energy is in the low 100s. The wind stays light and variable, but there just isn’t enough swell to get excited about. It’s a real lull.

Things start to perk up a bit around Monday, August 24th morning. We get a 2 ft S swell with a 14-second period, and the energy climbs to 282. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean, but the size is still small. It’s surfable but not a standout.

The next real window of opportunity for a bigger swell kicks off late on Friday, August 28th, and into Saturday, August 29th. The combined energy jumps to 340 and then 506, which is strong. But the conditions are a bit tricky. The wind is light and cross-shore, and the swell is a bit messy. The Saturday morning session has 3 ft SSW groundswell, but the period is a solid 17 seconds. The energy is 506, so there’s plenty of power. However, the wind is light and cross-shore, creating some ripples. It’s a marginal call, but the energy is there. This is more for the experienced crew, as the bigger sets and long period will make it punchy.

The Sunday afternoon, August 30th, is another one to watch. The swell is 3 ft from the SSW with a 15-second period, and the energy is 322. The wind is light and cross-off, so it should be clean. It’s a good option, but not quite the best of the run.

The biggest size of the whole forecast shows up on Monday morning, August 31st, with a 5 ft W swell, but it’s a short-period 7-second wind swell. The energy is high at 450, but that short period means it’ll be crumbly and weak. The wind is light and cross-shore, so it’s not completely blown out, but it’s going to be messy. This one is really only for the hardcore or maybe better for a kite session if you’re into that.

The first week of September looks like another quiet spell, with small swells and low energy again. Nothing worth a special trip.

The real standout: Wednesday morning, August 19th, at Point Mugu. It’s the only session that ticks all the boxes: clean conditions, decent groundswell, and manageable size. For a longer-term look, keep an eye on Saturday, August 29th, for the power, but it’s a bit more of a gamble.

Rusty out.

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