Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking.

We’re looking at Point Mugu for the next couple of weeks, and honestly, the surf is small but it’s got a sweet, clean feel to it for long stretches. The water is *much* warmer than normal for this time of year, about 5° above average, so you can leave the thick rubber at home. The swell energy is moderate, topping out around 437 in the combined reading, so nothing huge, but smooth.

The best of the bunch kicks off Friday afternoon, August 28. We’ve got a clean 0.7m (2ft) SSW groundswell with a long 19-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. That’s a recipe for glassy, lined-up waves at the point. It’s not big, but for a beginner-friendly spot that's fairly consistent, it’s a real gem. Keep an eye out for crowds though – it can get busy.

Saturday, August 29, keeps the same vibe. Morning is a bit cross-shore, but the afternoon cleans up again, 1.0m (3ft) SSW with a 17-second period and light cross-off wind. Still clean, still fun.

Sunday, August 30, the swell dips a touch, 0.9m to 1.0m (3ft to 3ft), period drops to 15 seconds, but with light winds and clean conditions, it’s still worth a paddle. The energy stays moderate.

Monday, August 31, sees a smaller S swell, 0.7m (2ft) with a 12-second period, but the afternoon cleans up nicely with cross-off winds. Not a standout, but rideable.

Tuesday, September 1, is the weakest day of this early run. The swell drops to 0.5m (2ft) in the morning with poor conditions, but the afternoon manages a clean 0.6m (2ft) from the south. Small, but you could still get a few.

From Wednesday, September 2 through Sunday, September 6, the pattern holds. Swell sits between 0.8m and 1.0m (3ft to 3ft), mostly from the SSW, periods ranging 13 to 16 seconds. Afternoons are consistently clean with light to gentle cross-off breezes. The energy picks up a bit – 661 on Thursday afternoon – but don’t expect anything overhead. It’s consistent, clean, and mellow.

Monday, September 7, is more of the same. Swell back to 0.7-0.8m (2-3ft), clean afternoons, nothing dramatic.

Tuesday, September 8, is the smallest day of the second week – 0.5m to 0.6m (2ft to 2ft), clean but very small. You’ll be scratching for waves.

Wednesday, September 9, and Thursday, September 10, bring a little pulse again. Swell around 0.6m (2ft) with a longer 16-17 second period, clean in the mornings and afternoons. The energy stays moderate (320-333). Still a fun log or mid-length kind of setup.

Now, Friday, September 11, is where things get interesting. Morning shows 0.9m (3ft) SSE swell with 14-second period, combined energy jumping to 599, and light cross-off wind – that’s a solid, clean session. But the afternoon? The wind swings directly onshore from the SSE, and the swell turns to S at 0.8m (3ft) with energy of 827 – strong combined swell energy – but the conditions get messy.

Saturday, September 12, winds up the forecast with the biggest swell we’ve seen – 1.3m (4ft) from the south, 13-second period, combined energy of 749. Morning has a light cross-onshore, but the afternoon cleans up beautifully with light cross-off wind. That’s going to be the standout session of the whole run – a solid waist-to-chest high S swell, clean, and with that energy, it’ll have some push. For beginners, 1.3m (4ft) is getting near the top end, but intermediate and above will love it. Point Mugu should handle that direction well for a point break.

So, if I’m calling it: the absolute best is Saturday afternoon, September 12. That’s your winner. The runner-up is Friday afternoon, August 28, for that silky smooth groundswell. The rest is a long stretch of clean, small, consistent waves – not pumping, but never bad.

Rusty.

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