Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for our little slice of coastline.

Right off the bat, it’s a quiet start. The first week or so is lookin’ pretty flat and weak, with nothin’ really worth paddlin’ out for. We’ve got a long gap of small, poor-quality waves and ordinary conditions stretchin’ from now through the end of next week. The water’s runnin’ much warmer than normal for this time of year, comin’ in at 70°F, which is a solid 6°F above average – feels more like a bathtub than the beach.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Monday, August 24th, in the morning. Point Mugu will see a clean, 2ft SSW swell with a 14-second period. Winds are light and cross-off shore, so the surface will be glassy and clean. The combined swell energy is moderate, sittin’ at 271. It’s small and gutless, but it’s the best we’ve seen all week – a real beginner-friendly ankle to knee-high option, and with the light winds, it’ll be a nice place to get wet.

But the true standout of the whole 16-day window looks to be Sunday, August 30th, in the afternoon. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’re lookin’ at a 4ft SSW swell, period around 16 seconds – a proper groundswell with some push behind it. Combined swell energy is strong at 736. The wind will be WNW at 9 mph, blowin’ cross-off shore, givin’ us clean, lined-up waves. This is where Point Mugu will actually show its face, with waist-to-chest high sets rollin’ in. Keep in mind that longer-period swells like this can make the waves a little straighter at beach breaks, but at a point setup like this, it’ll wrap in nicely. Crowds are *sometimes* an issue there, so if you can sneak out early or late, you’ll have the place to yourself.

The few days leadin’ up to that, like Saturday, August 29th, are also worth a look – morning has a 4ft SSW swell with 18-second period and light cross-shore wind, energy at 849. It’s a bit of a question mark with the tide, but the afternoon stays cross-off and clean.

After that standout Sunday, the swell fades quickly into the start of September, droppin’ back to small, weak, and unremarkable surf. So that Sunday, the 30th, is your real window.

Overall, it’s a long wait for not much, but that last Sunday of August has got some genuine promise. Keep your eyes on it, and don’t sleep on it if you can get out.

Rusty.

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