Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a slow start, but there’s a tasty little window of fun waves coming, and maybe even a sneaky bigger pulse later on. Let’s get into it.

The first half of the outlook is pretty quiet. For the first few days, we’re looking at knee-to-waist high stuff from the SW, around 2ft to 3ft. The energy is moderate, with readings between 489 and 753, but the periods are short, dropping from 24 seconds down to 18. That’s not giving us much push. The wind is mostly light, which is a plus, but the swell just isn’t there to make it exciting. It’s a bit of a frustrating start.

The real bright spot, and the standout of the whole period, is Tuesday the 28th of July. Both the morning and afternoon sessions at Point Mugu are looking prime. We’ve got clean, light offshore winds from the W, with a nice 3ft swell from the SSW. The wave energy is strong, hitting 721 in the morning and 763 in the afternoon. The period is a bit short at 17 seconds, but with that clean cross-off wind and decent size, it’s going to be a fun, punchy day. The water is sitting at 71°F, which is a massive 8°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

After that, things get a bit messy. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th of July have onshore winds and poor surf conditions. The swell drops off and the quality goes with it. Then, we get a ramp-up right at the end of July and into the start of August. Friday the 31st of July sees a jump in size, with a 5ft swell from the SSE in the morning and 4ft from the S in the afternoon. The energy spikes up to 1286, which is strong, but the period is still short at 14-15 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore in the morning. The afternoon cleans up with a cross-off breeze, but the quality is still just marginal. This is a promising long-range call, but it’s not as solid as that Tuesday.

Saturday the 1st of August is the biggest of the run, with a 6ft swell from the S in the morning (energy 1064) and 5ft in the afternoon. That’s getting into intermediate territory, with a short period of 13 seconds making it a bit lumpy. The wind is clean in the afternoon, but with that short period and size, it’s going to be a bit of a mess. It might be more interesting for the kite crowd than paddle surfing.

After that, the bottom drops out. From Sunday the 2nd of August onward, the swell crashes down to tiny 1ft to 2ft leftovers. The energy is weak, dropping below 100 at times, and the conditions are poor. It’s a long, flat run to the end of the 16-day window. A few days in the second week might have a clean surface but zero push.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 28th of July is your day. It’s the cleanest, most consistent, and best quality wave of the whole forecast. The long-range pulse on the 31st and 1st is worth watching, but it’s not as reliable. Get out there for that Tuesday.

Rusty.

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