Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s heading our way.

Right off the bat, don’t expect much for the next few days. We’re looking at a bit of a flat spell to kick things off, with no real standout surf until we get into the second week. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which feels a whole lot warmer than it should be this time of year – that anomaly of 6° is very unusual, so leave the winter suit at home for now.

Point Mugu is the only game in town this whole outlook. It’s a beginner-friendly spot and fairly consistent, with that SW swell direction lining up nicely with what it likes. Starting Thursday the 10th, the surf is tiny, around 3-3ft, and the energy reading is moderate (477). But honestly, the conditions are messy with onshore winds, so it’s not worth paddling out. Friday the 11th afternoon sees the wind swing cross-offshore with light 6 mph breezes, cleaning up those small 3ft SW swell waves, making it surfable – but still pretty ordinary.

Saturday the 12th drops off to 2ft, and while Sunday the 13th sees the swell period stretch out to 19 seconds, the swell height is just 1ft, so it’s a non-event.

The real story here starts mid-week. Wednesday the 16th afternoon shows a slight improvement with 2ft SSW swell and clean cross-off winds, but still nothing to write home about. It’s not until the 19th of September that we see a glimmer of hope. Saturday afternoon the 19th has 2ft SW swell, a long 18-second period, and light 6 mph WNW cross-off winds. The wave comment is “expect good surf conditions” and the energy ticks up to 459 – moderate but feeling fuller.

The absolute standout, though, is Friday the 25th of September. That morning, Point Mugu gets light 6 mph W cross-off winds, a tiny but punchy 2ft SW swell, and the period jumps to a very long 21 seconds. That long-period groundswell will wrap in beautifully here, and with a combined energy reading of 441 (moderate), it’s promising. It won’t be big, but the quality should make up for it. Clean, lined-up waves for the experienced crew who know how to work a point break on a long-period swell. The afternoon looks just as good.

Keep in mind, the other days in between are mostly marginal or poor, so don’t get your hopes up for the daily dawn patrol until that last Friday rolls around. For a beginner spot, the consistency is okay, but the size is tiny – beginners will be fine in that 2ft to 3ft range. Crowds are possible at Point Mugu, so expect some company.

Rusty.

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