Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down what Point Mugu has in store for the next couple of weeks.

First thing: the water is sitting at 73°F, which is about 9°F warmer than the long-term average for this time of year. That’s seriously warm—you’ll feel it.

The forecast starts off slow. Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st are pretty average—small, weak swells from 2 to 3 feet out of the SSW, mostly cross-shore breezes, and the combined energy is low to moderate (473 to 321). Not much to get pumped about. Tuesday through Thursday of the first week stay small and weak, with wave heights barely 2 feet and energy dropping into the 100s. Some sessions are clean, but the waves are just too small to matter.

Friday the 4th of September and Saturday the 5th start to show a little more life. Afternoon sessions both days have 3-foot SSW swell with a 16-second period, clean cross-off winds, and combined energy building to 506 and 521. That’s moderate energy, and the long period means better shape, but it’s still on the small side. Good for a longboard.

The real standout is Sunday the 6th of September. The morning session delivers a clean 4-foot S swell with a 14-second period and light offshore winds from the north. The combined energy jumps to 925, which is solid moderate energy. Winds are light and offshore, so the surface will be glassy. That’s the best session of the whole run—clean, punchy, and well-shaped. The afternoon stays clean but the swell bumps to 5 feet and the wind goes cross-off, so still good, but the morning is the pick.

Monday the 7th gets blown out with rain and strong onshore winds gusting up to 34 mph, so that’s a washout.

Tuesday the 8th of September is a wild card. The morning sees a 7-foot SSW swell but with light cross-onshore breeze, so a bit lumpy. Then the afternoon brings a massive 13-foot SSW swell with 14-second period and clean cross-off winds. The combined energy hits 5435—that’s very strong. But this is way too big for Point Mugu. It’s expert-only, and even then the size will likely close out the break. Unless you’re a serious charger, stay away.

After that, the second week tapers off. Wednesday the 9th through the 13th sees small swells, mostly 2 to 3 feet, with clean conditions but not enough wave to get excited. The energy drops into the 100s and low 200s. Ordinary stuff.

So, bottom line: if you want the best surf, aim for the morning of Sunday the 6th of September. That’s your window. Tuesday afternoon the 8th has size but it’s way too big for this spot.

Rusty.

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