Surf Forecasts:
Point Mugu surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 436 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Mugu this week:
The surf forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Mugu in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Mugu over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks. Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Point Mugu. It’s gonna be a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks, with some real glassy windows hidden in there if you’re patient.
The period kicks off with a bit of a slow start for the weekend. We’ve got a long-period groundswell rolling in, but it’s not much to write home about. For Sunday the 16th, the morning session looks your best bet early on. You’re looking at a 3 ft swell out of the SSW with a very long 16-second period. The water is notably toasty too, a solid 71°, which is a lot warmer than usual for this time of year. Paddling out shouldn’t be a chore with that long period giving you plenty of time between sets, but don't expect it to be cranking. The combined swell energy is moderate (528), and the morning winds are light, keeping things reasonable.
Honestly, the standout window in this whole outlook is Monday the 24th, morning session. It’s not big, with a 2 ft S swell on a 14-second period (294 moderate energy), but the wind is going glassy. Completely flat water. For a beach setup, that is everything. The waves will be clean, lined up, and as good as a small day gets. It won’t be for charging, but for a longboard or a funboard, that’s the pick of the litter for the whole 16 days.
Beyond that, there are a couple of other mornings that flirt with "good surf conditions." The 29th, a Saturday, shows a cleaner morning with a 3 ft swell out of the SSW (571 moderate energy) and light offshore winds. It’s a full 13 days out, so don’t book the trip based on it yet, but keep an eye on it. However, the 30th of August gets blown out by a strong onshore SE wind, so don't hold your breath for that Sunday.
There are long gaps of underwhelming surf here, especially through the second week. Don’t expect much on the 21st, 22nd, or 23rd. It’s mostly small, messy, or blown out. The late-breaking energy around the 28th and 29th has some moderate punch (combined energy up to 643), but the winds are a gamble.
So, to keep it simple: if you can get to Mugu on the morning of the 24th, do it. It’s not a big swell, but it will be the cleanest surf of the month. Everything else is a roll of the dice.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Wed morning, min 21°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
407 | 436 | 382 | 275 | 272 | 272 | 186 | 183 | 201 | 153 | 186 | 263 | 217 | 179 | 163 | 186 | 115 | 101 | 99 | 68 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:53PM1.49m | 12:35PM1.54m | 00:42AM1.25m | 1:10PM1.51m | 1:44AM1.02m | 1:50PM1.46m | 3:31AM0.85m | 2:42PM1.41m | 3:58PM1.38m | 8:49AM0.99m | 5:21PM1.41m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 6:05PM0.34m | 6:16AM0.18m | 7:00PM0.37m | 6:43AM0.39m | 8:04PM0.41m | 7:06AM0.59m | 9:29PM0.42m | 7:21AM0.76m | 11:14PM0.38m | 00:38AM0.28m | 10:34AM0.99m | 1:31AM0.17m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
Feels °C | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | W 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
407 | 436 | 382 | 275 | 272 | 272 | 186 | 58 | 201 | 153 | 186 | 263 | 217 | 179 | 163 | 186 | 115 | 101 | 99 | 68 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | W 4 | WSW 4 | S 10 | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 18 | SSW 14 | W 5 | SW 13 | W 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | WSW 5 | SW 19 | WSW 4 | WSW 5 | SW 18 | W 5 |
37 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 19 | 32 | 183 | 15 | 42 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 11 | S 11 | S 10 | W 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 13 | S 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | W 8 | SW 18 | SW 19 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 18 | S 10 | SSW 16 |
9 | 20 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 65 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 57 | 2 | 8 | 50 | 7 | 26 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | W 5 | W 5 | W 4 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | — | — | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | W 5 | — |
75 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 83 | 71 | 17 | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 4 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 45 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 45 | 34 | 0 | 73 | 19 | 5 | 73 | 10 | 0 | 99 | 34 | 5 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Mugu Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Mugu provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Mugu can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Mugu surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Mugu) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Mugu may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Mugu is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Port Hueneme. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Port Hueneme. Port Hueneme has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











