Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for Point Mugu.

The first half of this outlook is pretty quiet. We’re looking at a stretch of small, wind-affected surf that’s not really worth getting excited about. From Thursday the 16th right through the 23rd, the swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 3ft from the SW or S. Winds are a mixed bag, often cross or cross-onshore, which will keep things messy. There’s a bit of a pulse on the 19th, with a 5ft S swell pushing the combined energy up to 1014 (moderate), but it’s blown out by a cross-onshore breeze. The highlight of this first week is actually Saturday afternoon the 18th and Sunday afternoon the 19th. Saturday afternoon sees a 2ft SW swell with a long 18-second period, and the wind goes light cross-off, cleaning it right up. Sunday afternoon is the better call, though. A 5ft S swell with a 14-second period ramps the energy up to 1074 (moderate), and with that light offshore wind from the W, the waves will be clean and lined up. That’s a proper window for a fun session.

Then we hit a bit of a lull through the middle of the week, with more small 2ft to 3ft SW surf, but things start to look up again on Friday the 24th. That morning we get a pulse of long-period swell, 2ft at 24 seconds from the SW, with energy hitting 1100 (strong). That’s a very long-period groundswell, so it’ll be super clean and powerful on the point but might be a bit too straight for a beach break. The afternoon is the real standout though: 5ft from the S at 16 seconds, with a clean cross-off breeze from the WNW. The combined energy jumps to 1378 (strong). That’s the best wave of the week, by far.

The following weekend, the 26th and 27th, stays solid. Sunday the 27th is a treat: morning and afternoon both have 4ft SW swell at 18-19 seconds, with light offshore winds and clean conditions. The energy is up around 819 to 1001 (moderate to strong), and the water is a warm 67° – that’s 4° warmer than usual, which is a real bonus for this time of year. The break itself is a beginner-friendly point, fairly consistent, and exposed to the SW which is right in the sweet spot. Crowds can be around sometimes, but with that quality, it’ll be worth the company.

A few things to note: the swell over 5ft on the 19th and 24th is pushing into intermediate territory, and with the long-period groundswell on the 24th, it’s best suited for the point here. The short-period stuff under 8 seconds isn’t an issue, but the long 24-second pulse is a real treat for the reef and point setups.

So, your best bet: Sunday the 19th afternoon for a clean, solid 5ft S swell, and Friday the 24th afternoon for the biggest, cleanest swell of the period. Mark your calendar.

Rusty.

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