Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty.

Point Mugu is taking its time getting going. The first few days are pretty average. The water is sitting at 70°F, which is a good three and a half degrees warmer than usual – that’s a real oddity, feels almost tropical.

The first real action is on Sunday the 6th of September: about 5ft of south swell with a 14-second interval, but the wind is blowing from the SSE at 9 mph, so it’s onshore and messy. Energy is moderate at 853, but the quality’s not there. That afternoon the wind drops to 3 mph from the SSW, but still cross-onshore – just a tiny improvement.

Monday the 7th of September is the standout. We get 5ft of south swell at 13 seconds with clean cross-offshore wind from the west at 9 mph. Energy still solid at 869. Conditions are forecast to be very good. This is your best shot of the whole window – clean, well-shaped, and a good size for the point. That afternoon holds up too: 5ft at 12 seconds, cross-off wind from the WNW at 13 mph, energy down a bit to 738 but still decent.

Tuesday the 8th of September is still okay – 4ft at 11 seconds with clean wind, but energy drops to 480. After that, it’s a long stretch of tiny surf. From Wednesday the 9th onwards, waves drop under 3ft. Periods are very long, 16 to 20 seconds, but there’s just no height. Energy falls into the low hundreds – weak stuff.

There’s a short-lived pulse on Saturday the 12th afternoon: 5ft from the west but with only a 7-second period. That’s short period windswell, bumpy and weak. Energy is 303.

Then it’s a long, slow grind. By Wednesday the 16th of September, we get 3ft at 18 seconds with clean wind – energy jumps to 428, so there’s some push, but the size is too small to really get excited about. The pattern stays small and clean through to the end of the forecast.

Your one true day is Monday the 7th of September. If you can get out on a point break, that long period groundswell will wrap in nicely. Don't sleep on it.

Rusty

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