Point Mugu Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Point Mugu.

Alright, so the next couple of weeks at Point Mugu are a bit of a slow burn. No real drama to start with – just small, ordinary waves that aren’t worth getting excited about for a few days. The first few sessions are weak and the conditions are a bit mixed. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice bonus if you’re in the water.

Wednesday morning the 15th is tiny, with 1 ft of swell from the SW and a long period of 17 seconds. The combined energy is only 149, so it’s weak. The cross-on wind from the SSW at 6 mph doesn’t help. Honestly, it’s poor. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-off wind from the WNW, but it’s still pretty ordinary.

Thursday the 16th is the first real highlight. Morning comes in with a glassy surface – wind from the WSW at just 3 mph – and that same 1 ft SW swell. The energy is low (135) but the clean conditions make it surfable. It’s the best small-wave window early on. The afternoon gets a bit bumpy with cross-shore wind.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are nothing special. Saturday afternoon though, the swell bumps to 2 ft from the SW, energy climbs to 321, and the cross-off wind from the W at 9 mph makes for clean waves. It’s a decent session, but still small.

Now, Sunday the 19th through to Thursday the 24th sees the swell building. Heights go from 4 ft up to 5 ft. The energy gets into the moderate to strong range (770 up to 1865). The problem is that the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, so the quality is marginal. The period hangs around 12–16 seconds, so there’s some energy in the water, but conditions are holding it back.

The standout is Saturday the 25th. The swell is 5 ft in the morning, building to 6 ft in the afternoon, both from the S and SSW. The energy is very strong (1634 to 1411). The wind is cross-off from the WNW at 9 mph, and the conditions are described as clean. This is for experienced surfers – the 6 ft afternoon is into the territory where it’s not for beginners. It’s the best on offer in the whole forecast period. The swell direction (SSW) is right on the optimum for Point Mugu.

Sunday the 26th hangs on with 5 ft in the morning, clean cross-off from the W at 6 mph, but the period drops to 11 seconds. It’s still good, but not as good as Saturday. The afternoon drops to 3 ft with a very long 18-second period, which is a long period groundswell – better shaped, but at a beach break like Point Mugu, it might break a bit too straight.

After that, the rest of the week into the end of July is small again, with 3 ft to 3 ft swell, mostly cross-off or clean, but nothing to write home about. The energy drops back to moderate levels.

The 25th is the real standout. Get on it if you can.

Rusty.

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