Surf Forecasts:
Tices Sholls surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 21 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, ENE swell with 100 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tices Sholls this week:
The surf forecast for Tices Sholls over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tices Sholls in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Fri 21st Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tices Sholls over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright surf’s up... or, well, it’s gonna try to be. Let’s be real, the next week and a half is looking pretty flat and sloppy for Tices Sholls. We’ve got a run of tiny, short-period swell mixed with a lot of cross and onshore wind that’s going to leave the ocean looking like a mess. Nothing’s worth paddling out for until we get to the back half of this forecast.
The good news is that by Tuesday the 25th, things finally start to turn. We’ve got a new SSW swell pushing in at around 4ft with a light W to WNW offshore breeze. That’s the standout of the whole 16-day window. The water is still running warm, about 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit. That Tuesday morning session is the one to circle on the calendar.
Before that, it’s a grind. The days are full of 0.7ft to 2ft dribble with periods under 8 seconds and cross-shore winds. Wednesday and Thursday will have clean conditions at times, but there’s just no energy in the water. The combined wave energy stays weak, mostly in the 30s and 70s, which tells you everything you need to know.
Things get a little more interesting around the 20th and 21st with a pulse of ENE windswell, but it’s onshore and junky, pushing the energy up to around 122 on the 21st. Not worth it. You’re fighting wind and chop for a wave that’s barely breaking.
After that, it’s another flat spell until the 25th. That morning, the energy jumps up to 231 with that offshore wind. The swell direction is SSW, which is cross-off for this spot, and with a period of 6 seconds, it’s not going to be a world-beater, but it’ll be the best, most rideable surf we’ve seen all week. The afternoon drops off a bit to 3ft, still with WNW offshore winds, but the morning is your call.
Following that, the long-period SE groundswell shows up on the 26th and 27th, but it’s mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and at a sandbar like Tices, a 16-second swell is going to close out and be a mess. Not recommended.
So, keep your board dry for the first week, and be ready for that Tuesday the 25th. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, and after this stretch of nothing, it’ll feel like a gift.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sun night, calm by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 23°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 6 | S 3 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 9 | SE 7 | SE 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 72 | 71 | 75 | 64 | 53 | 33 | 23 | 42 | 13 | 12 | 59 | 90 | 100 | 59 | 32 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 10:15PM1.52m | 10:51AM1.53m | 11:03PM1.42m | 11:39AM1.48m | 11:52PM1.31m | 12:26PM1.44m | 00:41AM1.22m | 1:12PM1.39m | 1:30AM1.15m | 1:59PM1.35m | 2:21AM1.10m | 2:50PM1.32m | 3:17AM1.08m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:10PM0.03m | 4:34AM-0.04m | 4:55PM0.11m | 5:12AM0.06m | 5:40PM0.20m | 5:52AM0.16m | 6:30PM0.28m | 6:35AM0.27m | 7:29PM0.35m | 7:28AM0.35m | 8:35PM0.38m | 8:31AM0.39m | 9:37PM0.37m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 16 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 22 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 32 | 31 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | S 6 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | — | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 9 | SE 7 | S 5 | ESE 8 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | E 6 |
| kJ | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | — | 72 | 71 | 75 | 64 | 53 | 33 | 23 | 42 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 32 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 5 | ENE 4 | — | SE 6 | — | ESE 5 | — | — | SE 13 | S 7 | SSW 6 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 5 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 6 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | 7 | 24 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | S 6 | — | — | ESE 6 | — | E 16 | E 15 | SE 14 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 1 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 18 | 6 | — | — | 4 | — | 5 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 3 | — | SSE 6 | S 3 | SSE 5 | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 2 | — | — | WSW 3 | SSW 6 | S 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | — |
| kJ | 4 | — | 11 | 8 | 57 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 59 | 90 | 100 | 59 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3269 | 1491 | 1187 | 1302 | 676 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 231 | 0 | 28 | 1186 | 37 | 53 | 203 | 0 | 168 | 53 | 378 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Jersey | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tices Sholls Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tices Sholls provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tices Sholls can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tices Sholls surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tices Sholls) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tices Sholls may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tices Sholls is 15 km (9 miles) from Toms River. If you plan a vacation in New Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Toms River. Toms River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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