Tices Sholls Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this is a rough stretch for Tices Sholls. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for decent surf. There is nothing that even sniffs at a good wave. The setup here is a sandbar, exposed to the swell, but the wind and swell just aren’t playing the game.

We start off the forecast period with very weak energy. Sunday the 6th sees rain showers and a strong cross breeze of 12 mph, with a tiny 2ft swell from the ENE at a short 7 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 47 (weak energy). That’s a “no-go” from me. Monday the 7th morning offers a brief flicker of hope with a clean-looking 2ft wave from the east at 10 seconds, but the energy is still only 60 and the waves are too weak to do anything with. It’s surfable but ordinary.

The middle of the week is a total bust. The wind is all over the place—onshore, cross-shore, howling at 18 mph. By Thursday the 10th, the swell bumps up to 4ft from the south, but with a short 6-second period and a cross-offshore wind that leaves it lumpy, that energy reading of 113 just means messy, weak lines. You’d be fighting a losing battle.

We go through a long gap of several days with absolutely nothing to recommend. The wind stays onshore or cross-shore, and the swell is either too small or too short period. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing special.

Then we head into the second week, and it gets worse. By Thursday the 17th, the swell actually builds—6ft from the ESE, 6 seconds, but the wind is cross-onshore at 12 mph. The combined energy jumps to 222, but it’s just raw, choppy power. This is not a paddle surfer’s friend. It hits peak ugliness on Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th, with swell pushing 8ft to 8ft from the ENE, period stuck at 8 seconds, and a strong cross-onshore wind of 25 mph. The energy readings are massive—792 and 1037—but that’s just stormy, messy power. That’s kite-surfing territory, not a clean surf day. And for the record, that 8ft swell is only for experts, but with the wind howling, it’s a dangerous mess for anyone.

So, the honest truth: there is no standout session here. Not a single one. The entire 16-day window is a flat or blown-out run. For Tices Sholls, this kind of blank run is more normal than you’d like. It’s a tough stretch, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it, but for now, don’t bother waxing up.

Rusty.

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