Tices Sholls Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Tices Sholls. We’ve got a sixteen-day window, but honestly, it’s a slow start with a lot of flat or messy days. The real standout doesn’t pop up until the very end, so you’ll need some patience.

First off, we’re looking at Tices Sholls (a sandbar setup) which is exposed to swell but doesn’t see a ton of consistent, high-quality energy in this period. The water temperature? It’s about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The first recommended surfable day is the morning of Monday, September 7th. We’ve got a tiny 1 ft swell from the ENE with a 9-second period and weak combined swell energy (59). It says “surfable but very ordinary,” and that’s about right. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNW, so it’ll be clean, but it’s ankle-biters at best.

From there, things go pretty quiet. We’ve got a gap with no real recommendations from Tuesday the 8th through to Thursday the 10th. Thursday afternoon does show some height (6 ft) from the SSW but the period is a short 7 seconds and winds are bumpy. The combined energy jumps to 434 (moderate), but the conditions are just marginal. Not worth a paddle out.

Friday the 11th morning is clean again with a gentle cross-off breeze, but the swell is only 2 ft from the S with a weak 43 energy. Again, just ordinary.

The next real glimmer is on Monday morning, September 21st. The swell picks up to 5 ft from the NE, 6-second period, combined energy of 175 (moderate). But here’s the catch: it’s a short-period swell and the wind is glassy, glassy! That’s a major positive, making for clean, smooth conditions. But with the swell over 5 ft and only a 6-second period, it’ll be a bit crumbly and could be too much for beginners.

Now, the true standout is the last day in the window: Tuesday morning, September 22nd. This is the best on offer. We’ve got a 6 ft swell from the ENE with a 7-second period and combined energy of 291 (moderate). The wind is glassy, absolutely glassy, which means near-perfect, clean conditions at this sandbar. The rating inside says “expect good surf conditions,” and I’m calling it: this is the morning to be in the water. The swell direction (ENE) is not the optimum SE for this break, but with glass and that size, the sandbar should still produce fun, rideable waves. At 6 ft, it’s getting into the zone that’s a bit much for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is the one.

Overall, we’ve got a long, dull stretch, but that final Tuesday morning looks like a genuine reward for the wait. The mid-range call is less certain, but this one looks promising.

Rusty out.

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