Tices Sholls Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.85° N 74.08° W

Issued: 7 pm 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tices Sholls sea temperature is
22.7° C

1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Tices Sholls surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tices Sholls surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, SSE swell with 155 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tices Sholls this week:

The surf forecast for Tices Sholls over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tices Sholls in the next 16 days are 1.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Sun 5th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 9s
Best Surf 2AM (Sun 5th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 9s
Most Powerful 8AM (Sat 11th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tices Sholls over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. I’ve looked over the numbers for Tices Sholls, and honestly, this is a tough stretch for the next couple of weeks. We’re staring down a long, quiet run with a lot of poor conditions and very little to get excited about.

The pattern over the full sixteen days is dominated by small, weak swell and unfriendly wind. There’s a gap of about ten days from now until we see anything that’s even close to being surfable. For the first week and a half, from Sunday the 5th through to Monday the 13th of July, the wave energy is consistently low, with values like 63, 25, and 57 (weak energy), and the wind is either onshore or cross-shore, creating choppy, bumpy surfaces. It’s pretty grim. The water temperature anomaly is not flagged as unusual, so it’s about average for this time of year.

The first chance for a paddle comes on the afternoon of Monday the 13th of July. Tices Sholls sees a jump in swell to 6ft from the ESE, with a combined energy of 772 (moderate wave energy). The period is 8 seconds. The wind is light and onshore, leaving the conditions marginal at best and the tide could be a factor. It’s a 1/10 score for that session – not exactly a ringing endorsement.

After that, we get another run of poor surf with cross-winds and lumpy chop right through to Sunday the 19th of July.

Finally, on the morning of Sunday the 20th of July, there’s a glimmer. We have a clean-looking morning with a wave of 4ft from the SSE, period of 8 seconds, and light offshore wind (SSW) at 9 mph. The combined energy is 149 (weak to moderate). It’s still pretty ordinary, but it’s the only session in the whole two weeks where the wind is truly clean. That is your absolute best bet. If you’re desperate, that’s the window.

The truth is, for most of this forecast, the combination of small swell and cross/onshore wind makes Tices Sholls a bit of a kite-surfing zone more than a paddle-surfing spot, especially through the lumpy afternoons. There’s simply no standout session worth hanging your hat on. The surf will be inconsistent and the waves won’t have any real shape until that last Sunday. Let’s hope the long-range charts change, because right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 39mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 34°C on Sat night, min 20°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat night, calm by Sun night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Fri afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Wed night, fresh winds from the SSW by Thu night).

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Sat
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.5
S
5
0.4
SE
8
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
10
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
5
0.9
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
7
0.7
E
7
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
1
S
4
1
S
5
0.3
SE
10
1.1
S
5
1.1
S
7
1
SSE
8
0.8
SSE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
22
23
11
18
27
25
141
103
64
55
60
48
31
22
35
48
18
52
110
147
92
Wind (km/h)
15
NW
10
S
15
SE
0
N
10
SSE
10
SE
10
E
25
NE
30
NNE
20
NE
15
NE
10
E
10
SW
15
SW
30
S
20
SW
15
SSW
25
SSW
20
WNW
15
NNE
10
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
off
cross
on
High Tide
11:02PM1.37m
11:46AM1.27m
11:49PM1.34m
12:31PM1.33m
00:39AM1.30m
1:19PM1.39m
1:33AM1.26m
2:10PM1.46m
2:31AM1.23m
3:08PM1.52m
3:37AM1.21m
4:12PM1.58m
4:48AM1.23m
5:18PM1.65m
Low Tide
5:27AM0.11m
5:36PM0.30m
6:04AM0.12m
6:30PM0.32m
6:49AM0.14m
7:41PM0.32m
7:46AM0.15m
8:57PM0.28m
8:51AM0.13m
10:05PM0.21m
9:55AM0.10m
11:06PM0.12m
10:56AM0.05m
rain showers
cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
mod rain
thunderstorm
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:33
5:33
5:33
5:35
5:35
5:35
5:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:28
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:27
8:25
8:25
8:24
 mm
4
4
10
6
9
4
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
34
24
25
24
25
25
23
21
20
20
19
20
20
22
25
24
29
30
25
22
24
Feels °C
34
26
25
26
28
28
25
20
18
17
18
20
20
22
23
23
30
29
27
20
22
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
5
0.8
SSE
4
0.5
S
5
0.4
S
5
0.4
ENE
4
0.5
ENE
6
0.4
S
5
0.5
S
5
0.5
S
5
0.5
S
6
0.4
SE
6
0.7
E
7
0.6
S
6
0.4
SSE
6
0.3
SE
9
0.3
SE
10
0.4
SSE
7
0.3
SE
10
1.1
S
7
1
SSE
8
0.8
SSE
8
Energy kJ
22
23
11
7
8
20
8
14
14
16
10
48
31
12
13
15
15
15
110
147
92
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.2
ESE
8
0.4
SE
8
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
10
0.3
SE
9
0.3
S
6
0.6
S
7
0.5
E
6
0.4
SE
9
0.2
E
7
0.2
E
7
0.3
SE
10
0.1
E
9
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.4
NE
4
Energy kJ
19
19
7
18
22
23
9
15
14
13
6
33
20
22
4
4
15
2
9
9
5
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
ENE
4
0.4
SE
8
0.1
E
10
0.2
SSE
7
0.3
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.3
E
6
0.2
ENE
6
0.1
E
6
0.1
E
7
0.1
E
6
0.1
E
9
0.2
ESE
9
Energy kJ
1
18
2
4
13
21
22
7
4
1
1
1
2
8
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNW
2
0.7
S
5
0.4
ESE
4
0.4
ESE
4
0.7
S
5
0.7
S
5
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
6
1.1
ENE
5
0.9
ENE
6
0.8
ENE
7
1
S
4
1
S
5
0.6
S
5
1.1
S
5
0.3
NNW
2
0.7
NNE
4
Energy kJ
2
20
7
6
27
25
141
103
64
55
60
35
48
18
52
1
16
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Distance (km)
0
202
1502
0
856
1502
96
174
1491
90
87
381
0
42
1339
40
34
40
0
83
257
Best forecast wave conditions in New Jersey
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
3
2
2
3
2
2
4
2
2
3
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
5
5
8
7
6
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tices Sholls Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tices Sholls provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tices Sholls can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tices Sholls surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tices Sholls) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tices Sholls may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Tices Sholls is 15 km (9 miles) from Toms River. If you plan a vacation in New Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Toms River. Toms River has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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