Tices Sholls Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with ya—looking at the next couple weeks, it’s a flat, frustrating stretch for our stretch of sand. Tices Sholls just ain’t lining up. We’ve got a solid two-week gap before anything even remotely worth paddling out for shows up. The first glimmer of hope doesn’t come until Monday, August 3rd, so we’re talking about a long, dusty spell from now right through the end of July and into the start of August.

Alright, let’s get into it. Saturday the 25th of July kicks things off with tiny 3 ft swell from the ESE, but it’s that rotten cross-onshore breeze that’s got it all chopped and messy. Combined wave energy is weak, sitting around 73 to 94. Not even worth waxing the board. Sunday and Monday are more of the same—small, weak, and onshore or cross-onshore. Tuesday the 28th sees a slight bump in energy, up to 123 from a SSE swell, but it’s still just 3 ft and those moderate cross-onshore winds from the SE keep things ugly. Wednesday the 29th the wind switches to a cross-shore from the NNE, but it’s fresh and lumpy with a chop that’ll rattle your teeth. Thursday the 30th shows the highest combined energy yet, 173 to 183, but again, it’s small—4 ft tops—with that cross-chop or onshore wind messing it up.

Friday the 31st through the weekend stay pathetic. Risk of thunderstorms, light to moderate breezes, and swell barely cracking 3 ft. Water temp is sitting at a very pleasant 75 °F, which is a noticeable touch warmer than normal for the time of year, but that won’t help when there’s no clean wave to ride.

Then Monday, August 3rd—finally a flicker. We see the biggest swell of the whole outlook: 5 ft from the SSE, with combined energy jumping to 303—the strongest all period. Periods are still short, around 9 seconds, but the wind is a light cross-shore from the NE. Look, the surf report still says “marginal,” and it’s a score of only 1 out of 10, but the light cross-shore breeze gives a window of something rideable. It’s a sandbar, beginner-friendly setup, but with the swell direction from the SSE and the optimum from the SE, it’s not perfectly lined up. Still, if you’re desperate, this Monday morning is the only real chance. Tuesday the 4th holds similar 5 ft swell but with onshore or cross-onshore breeze ruining it. After that, it’s back to tiny, weak, and messy right through to Sunday August 9th.

So, bottom line: two weeks of almost nothing, with one brief moment on Monday August 3rd morning where a 5 ft SSE swell and light cross-shore wind might just give you a couple of grovelly ones. The rest is a write-off. Stay patient, mate—forecasts can always shuffle, but right now, it’s looking grim.

Rusty.

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