Waverly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you—this outlook for Waverly is a tough one. The next 16 days are looking mostly flat and pretty ordinary for a paddle. The water’s sitting at 78°F right now, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so if you’re just keen for a float, it’s not too bad.

Right now, Friday morning September 4th, we’ve got a tiny 1ft SE swell with a short 8-second period and 12 mph offshore NW wind, but the combined energy is only 18—weak as weak can be. The forecast calls it “poor surf conditions,” and I’m with that. The swell’s just too small and short to do anything with. That same pattern sticks around all weekend: Saturday morning the 5th sees a 0.7ft ESE swell, 13 combined energy, and a glassy wind, but it’s still flat. Sunday the 6th serves up a 3ft ENE swell at 4 seconds—laughable period—with 39 combined energy, but it’s chopped up by a cross-onshore wind. Not worth a paddle.

Monday the 7th through to Thursday the 12th is a whole lot of nothing. Monday morning the 7th has a 2ft E swell, 10-second period (that’s a long period for the size), and 51 combined energy, but it’s still rated poor. The swell’s too weak to break properly. The rest of the week is sub-2ft swells and light winds, but the energy’s mostly in the teens and twenties. No surf to speak of. Friday the 12th and Saturday the 13th are similarly flat.

Then we get a little glimmer. Tuesday morning September 15th—that’s the one standout here. The swell jumps to 4ft from the south at 6 seconds, with a combined energy of 212 (moderate wave energy). The wind is glassy—SW at 3 mph, which is perfect for clean conditions. The spot is a breakwater, very consistent, and fairly exposed to the swell. The guidance says it’s a 4/5 rating, advanced difficulty, and it works best with SE swell—this one’s from the south, so not the optimum direction, but still. The water’s still warm, but you’ll have to watch the crowds as it can get “sometimes” busy. This is the only day in the entire 16-day window that’s even surfable, and it’s still just “very ordinary conditions.” After that, the energy drops back to the 20s and 30s, with tiny swells and cross-shore winds.

So, here’s the deal: if you’re a dedicated surfer, Tuesday morning the 15th is your only real shot. The 4ft south swell with glassy conditions will offer a few clean waves at Waverly, but it’s not a howler. The rest of the 16 days—from now until the 19th—are a big fat gap of flatness. For a spot that’s very consistent, this is a dry spell, but it tends not to stay poor for long. Forecasts can change. For now, I’d say leave the board at home unless you’re on that Tuesday morning.

Rusty.

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