Waverly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about what’s on the table for Waverly over the next couple of weeks. I’ve pored over the numbers, and the honest truth is, this is going to be a lean stretch. We're looking at a solid gap of about two weeks where the surf just isn't going to deliver anything worth paddling out for.

I'm not gonna sugarcoat it: from now until late September, the conditions are consistently marked as poor. The winds are messy, and the swell is just too small and weak to do anything with. We’re seeing the combined swell energy barely tickling the 100 mark for most of that time, which is well into the weak category. There are a few spurts like Thursday the 10th where the morning shows a combined energy of 109 (moderate wave energy), with a chest-high 4ft swell from the SSW. The morning winds are a decent cross-off from the WSW at 12 mph, which might keep it clean-ish, but it’s just not a standout. For the next several days—right through to the morning of Monday the 21st—it's a flat spell with tiny 0.7ft to 2ft waves and all kinds of wind blowing across it. Not worth a second look.

Now, there is a bit of a pulse showing for the afternoon of Monday the 14th—a 5ft S swell rolling in, with a combined energy of 221. That catches your attention because it’s the biggest wave height in the whole forecast. But before you get too excited, that is a shore-breaking 5ft, blown out by a moderate cross-shore wind at 12 mph, which will turn it into choppy, lumpy lines. For the advanced crew at Waverly, maybe it’s a novelty to check, but the quality won’t be there. It's not a beginner's wave at that size either. The optimum swell for Waverly is from the SE, and this is from the S, so it’s not hitting the spot right.

Even late in the window, those last few days pop in with a bit more period. The mornings of September 20th and 21st show clean offshore winds from the NW at 6 mph and 12 mph, with a 1ft and 0.7ft swell from the SE, respectively. The period pushes up to 11 seconds on the 20th, but the swell is just too weak to be surfable. It’s basically a flat, glassy ocean—a good day for a swim, not a surf.

So, the reality is: there is no standout session in the entire 16-day outlook for Waverly. You’re on the beach for the long haul, waiting for the next proper swell to arrive. It’s a tough stretch, but the forecasts can change, so keep an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

Read more