Waverly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Waverly over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough outlook. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off, to be honest. We’ve got a long, dry gap with nothing worth paddling out for. The first sniff of anything even remotely rideable doesn’t show up until Saturday the 8th of August, and even then, it’s a pretty grim picture.

For the first week, from Tuesday the 4th right through to Friday the 7th, it’s all “poor surf conditions.” The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, and the swell is tiny and weak. Wednesday the 5th is especially hopeless with swell energy bottoming out at just 27 (that’s the combined energy of all swells). Even when the wind goes clean on Thursday morning the 6th, the swell is only 3ft with a short 6 second period – not enough to push any real shape.

We finally get a little flicker of hope on Saturday morning, August 8th. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the S, with clean cross-offshore winds from the SW. The energy reading hits 137 (moderate), and the forecast says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” The water is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. But look, “ordinary” is the word. It’s not gonna be a classic. The period is still a short 6 seconds, so it’s gonna be a bit fat and weak. This is the *only* day in the whole 16 days that even gets a score, and it’s a 1 out of 10. That’s how rough it is.

After that, we slide straight back into a week of tiny, weak surf. The wind does clean up a few times – like Tuesday morning the 11th with glassy conditions, and Wednesday the 12th with a nice offshore WNW breeze. But the swell is pathetic, barely 2ft, and the energy is in the toilet (29 to 37). It’s a flat spell, plain and simple.

The only other day that catches the eye a little is Sunday the 16th of August. The swell picks up to 3ft from the S, and the energy gets back into triple digits at 101 (moderate). The problem is the wind is cross-on from the ENE at 12 mph, making it choppy and messy. For a spot like Waverly, a breakwater with a SE optimum, that ENE wind is just going to ruin it.

So, honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the best you’re going to get is that Saturday morning, August 8th. It’s the only slot that’s not completely awful. It’s clean, it’s small, and it’s ordinary. The rest of the 16 days is a long, flat, and uninteresting stretch. For kite surfers, the strong cross-on winds later in the period might look more interesting than a paddle.

Hang in there, folks. The forecasts can change, and it won’t be this flat forever.

- Rusty

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