Waverly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, I’ll be straight with you – this forecast period is a tough one for our region. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, but honest to god, the surf just isn’t showing up. It’s a long, quiet stretch, and the first real suggestion of anything worthwhile doesn’t even pop up until Thursday, 10th September. Before that, we’re talking more than two weeks of consistent tiny waves and poor conditions. The combined swell energy is almost permanently in the weak range, usually sitting between 21 and 91, with a few brief bumps into the low hundreds. The water temperature at Waverly is sitting at 77°F, which is a whopping 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a seriously warm anomaly, very unusual.

The standout, and really the only moment worth a mention, is Thursday, 10th September. Both the morning and afternoon at Waverly show something just barely surfable. The swell is still small – around 3ft in the morning from the SSE, and 3ft from the ENE in the afternoon. The period is short, 6 seconds, so it’s windswell, not groundswell, meaning it lacks punch. But the wind is offshore from the WNW, blowing at 12 mph, which will keep the surface clean. The combined energy reaches 124 in the morning and 113 in the afternoon – moderate energy, but barely. It’s still just ordinary conditions, but for this run, it’s the best we’ve got. Waverly is a breakwater setup, exposed to the SE, and the optimum swell direction is from the SE, so the SSE swell is close enough to be alright. The crowds can show up sometimes, but honestly, with this size, I wouldn’t expect anyone else out. The water temp will still be about the same as earlier – much warmer than normal.

Outside of that one day, it’s a total blank. The rest of the period is filled with tiny waves, cross-shore winds, cross-onshore chop, and even a few thunderstorms. The swell never gets above 4ft, and that’s attached to a windy, messy period with a 5-second period. It’s just not worth paddling out for. A couple of days in early September have offshore winds but the swell is only 0.3ft or 1ft – you’d be floating, not surfing.

So, if you’re dead keen, Thursday, 10th September is your only real shot. It’s not gonna be epic, but it’s clean and surfable. Otherwise, sit tight, because the forecast is quiet for a long time after that.

Rusty.

Read more