Waverly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get stuck into what we’ve got for Waverly.

Honestly, mate, it’s a tough stretch ahead. For the first week and a half, we’re looking at a whole lot of nothing. Tiny swell, wrong directions, and wind all over the shop. From Friday the 11th right through to around Tuesday the 22nd, there’s barely a wave worth paddling for. Most days are showing poor surf conditions, with heights under 2 ft, short-period junk, and onshore or cross-shore breezes messing it up. Not worth getting wet for.

There is a tiny window on Sunday the 13th. We get a bit of clean surf in the morning with a light offshore from the WNW, swell around 3 ft from the SE, but the energy is weak (87), and it’s just ordinary. Not a standout, just the least bad of a bad run.

Then we hit a long dry spell again. From the 14th to the 19th, it’s back to tiny, weak, and messy. A couple of days show longer period swell (12 seconds) but with barely any height and poor winds, so it’s not doing us any favours.

Now, the real story starts around Sunday the 20th of September. The swell finally shows some life, pushing to 5 ft from the ENE, with moderate wave energy climbing to 241. But the catch – it’s mostly cross or cross-onshore wind. The morning of the 20th has a cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions, which is the best we’ll see for a while. That Sunday morning is your best bet in this whole outlook. The swell is still short period (7 seconds), so it’s not groundswell quality, but it’s the biggest and cleanest combo we get.

After that, the swell holds through Monday and Tuesday (21st–22nd) around 5 ft to 6 ft, but the wind swings fully cross-onshore and choppy. By Tuesday afternoon, the energy jumps to 469, so there’s plenty of water moving, but it’s messy. Wednesday the 23rd sees the biggest swell of the period – 6 ft from the east, energy hitting 863 (moderate to strong), but again, onshore wind and rain showers make it a marginal call. That’s more of a kite day than a paddle day.

Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th finally bring clean offshore winds from the WNW and NW, with swell easing to 4–4 ft from the east, period still around 9 seconds. Surfable and clean, but nothing special.

The standout: Sunday the 20th morning at Waverly. It’s not perfect, but it’s the cleanest, biggest wave we get, with a cross-offshore breeze and moderate energy (241). If you’re keen, that’s the session to aim for.

Water temp at the start is a very unusual 78°, much warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s the first break mention context.

Signing off,
Rusty

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