Waverly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this is a rough one. Over the next 16 days, we’re looking at a whole lot of nothing. There isn’t a single stand-out session in the window worth getting excited about. The first few days are flat and messy, and it doesn’t really improve. Waverly is a breakwater setup, pretty exposed, and it needs some real love from the south-east to fire. Right now, there’s just not enough grunt or direction to make it worthwhile.

The water temp is sittin’ at a warm 78°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—so if you’re paddling out in boardies, it’s not the cold that’ll get ya, it’s the lack of waves.

Let’s run through it. Sunday the 16th is a write-off: cross-on southerly at 16 mph, tiny 3 ft south-southeast swell with a shockin’ 4-second period, and combined energy of just 21—that’s weak. Choppy garbage. Monday the 17th sees a cleaner window in the morning with a gentle offshore from the west-northwest at 9 mph, but the swell drops to 3 ft from the south, period only 6 seconds, energy at 51. It’s clean, but there’s no power. Afternoon’s even smaller at 2 ft. Tuesday the 18th through to Thursday the 20th: swell stays tiny—1.0 ft to 2 ft—with periods under 10 seconds. Some mornings are clean with offshore breezes, but the energy is pathetic, never cracking 50. Thursday morning has a moderate north cross-off at 16 mph but only 1.0 ft of east-southeast swell at 8 seconds—18 energy. You’d be better off at the pub.

Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd bring a slight bump: Saturday morning sees 3 ft from the east-northeast, period 6 seconds, and energy climbs to 106 (moderate). But the wind is a cross-shore from the northeast at 9 mph, so it’s a bit lumpy. Not worth the hype. Sunday the 23rd through to Monday the 31st is a long, drawn-out stretch of pathetic swell—0.7 ft to 1 ft, mostly from the southeast with periods from 8 to 13 seconds. The 13-second period on the 23rd sounds fancy, but with a 0.7 ft swell, it’s just a bump on the horizon. Energy rarely breaks 40. There’s a brief uptick on Thursday the 27th with 3 ft from the east-northeast, 6-second period, and energy at 157 (moderate), but it’s a cross-shore and the call is “poor surf conditions.” Not one session in the whole 16 days scores above a 0 out of 10—every single one is rated as poor.

Honestly, this is a classic lull for the area. It happens. For surfers, it’s a time to rest the arms, check your gear, and wait for the next change. The forecasts can flip, but right now, there’s no action on the horizon. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might catch a clean 2 ft wave on Monday the 17th or Tuesday the 18th with light offshore wind, but don’t expect a barrel.

Signing off, Rusty.

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