Waverly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty again. Let's break down the next 16 days in plain English. I'm not gonna sugarcoat it – the finder is giving us a zero on every single time slot for Waverly. The whole 16 days is a bust. The guidance says Waverly is a very consistent breakwater that gets a fair bit of swell, but when I look at the numbers, it’s a desert. The swell is tiny, the wind is all over the place, and the combined energy is weak – nothing over 90 (12) for the first week, and the best later is 119 (moderate), but every single time slot says "poor surf conditions." This is a rough spell, and for a spot that usually delivers, it hurts. But you know how it goes – the forecast can flip, so don't give up.

In the first week, from Thursday 20 August through the end of the month, the waves are laughable – mostly 1 ft to 2 ft, and the wind is almost always cross-on or cross-shore, making it choppy. The only cleaner moments are on Sunday 23 August and Monday 24 August, with cross-offshore winds and clean conditions. But the swell is still tiny – 2 ft and 2 ft – and the period is short (6 to 7 seconds), so those waves are weak and gutless. The combined energy is only 45 to 48 (weak), not worth wetting a wetsuit for. For the advanced crew at Waverly, this is a paddle for nothing.

The second week, from 1 September to 4 September, has a little more energy. On Tuesday 1 September afternoon, the swell hits 3 ft from the NE, with a combined energy of 119 (moderate). Still, the wind is cross-on and the period is a short 6 seconds, so it's choppy and weak. The end of the week, from Thursday 3 September to Friday 4 September, has the cleanest conditions of the whole period – cross-offshore winds from the NW and NNW, and the waves are clean. But the swell is still only 1 ft to 2 ft, and the energy is low (32 to 57). For a breakwater that needs a decent swell to work, this is just a tease.

So here's the deal: 16 days with no surf worth paddling for. The water temperature on Thursday 20 August morning is 77°F, which is a whopping 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that's a real anomaly, so the water is warm but the waves are flat. If you're into kite surfing, the stronger onshore winds on a few days might be more interesting than trying to paddle on these weak, choppy waves. But for a surfer? Stay home. This is a dry run, and for a spot that's usually consistent, it's a real bummer.

Rusty.

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