Waverly Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty lean for the most part. There’s a long stretch of nothing special ahead, but there is a glimmer of something towards the end.

We start from Wednesday the 16th of September, and honestly, the first week is a write-off. You’ve got tiny little 0.7ft to 1ft slop for days, and the wind is all over the shop – mostly side-shore or side-onshore, which just chops it up. The wave energy is weak, barely ticking over, and the water temp at Waverly is sitting at 76°, which is a solid 6° warmer than usual – that’s unusual, proper summer bathwater.

That poor run just keeps going. By Friday the 18th there’s a little 0.7ft ESE swell with a long 12-second period on the morning, but the wind is side-offshore, so it’s clean but just too small to do anything with. Saturday the 19th gets a bit of a bump to 3ft, but the period is a shocking 5 seconds and it’s side-onshore and choppy – messy. Through to Wednesday the 23rd, everything is either too small, too onshore, or both. On Wednesday morning the 23rd we finally see a bit of something: 5ft at 7 seconds with glassy conditions. The energy is moderate at 190. But the comment says it’s surfable but very ordinary, and I’d agree – it’s not worth getting excited about.

There’s another little window on Thursday the 24th morning. Swell drops to 3ft, but it’s glassy again. Still, the energy is weak and the wave size is small. It’s a grovel at best.

From Friday the 25th through to Tuesday the 29th it’s all under 2ft again. The wind does go offshore or side-offshore for a few of those mornings, which is great for conditions, but you’re surfing tiny ankle-biters. No thanks.

Then we hit the real potential. Thursday the 1st of October. That’s over two weeks out, so don’t lock it in yet, but the numbers are eye-catching. The morning shows a solid 8ft swell from the SE with an 11-second period. The wave energy is absolutely pumping at 1428 – that’s strong energy. The wind is side-shore from the NE at 16 mph, so there’ll be some chop. That size and period mean this is for experienced surfers only – over 8ft is expert territory. The afternoon sees it drop slightly to 7ft with the same period, but the wind goes side-onshore, making it less appealing. For standsouts, if that forecast holds, Thursday morning at Waverly is your only real shot at something with genuine power, but the wind and size mean it won’t be perfect. Still, it’s the only game in town across this whole 16-day span.

Overall, it’s a very quiet run. The first week is a washout. The second week has a few clean but tiny windows, and then that one big day right at the end. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty

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