Tuckers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty dismal for a wave. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and mostly messy surf ahead. There’s a window mid-week that offers something clean, but it’s not going to be big. After that, the wind turns against us and it’s a write-off for a while.

The first run of proper surf doesn’t even show up until Wednesday the 26th. Before that, we’re looking at flat, weak, and poor conditions from Saturday right through Tuesday. It’s a slow start, no doubt. The swell energy is weak, with combined energy values hanging around the 80s and 90s – just not enough push. Winds are onshore or cross-onshore most of that time, so even the tiny bit of swell we have is going to be chopped up.

Then on Wednesday morning, things finally line up. We’ve got a clean, glassy morning with a light westerly breeze, and the swell bumps up to just under 4ft from the ESE. The period is 9 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 278 – that’s moderate energy, and it’s the best we’re going to see. This is the standout of the whole period. Tuckers (Big Island) is exposed to that ESE swell, and it’s right in the zone. The water’s sitting at 84°, which is about 2° warmer than average for this time of year – noticeable, but not crazy. Wednesday afternoon stays glassy with a touch more ESE wind, swell drops slightly, but it’s still clean. This is your window.

After that, it’s a slow fade. Thursday and Friday have the swell hanging in there around 2ft, but the wind goes cross-onshore and it turns messy. The energy drops back down, but the quality isn’t there. By the weekend of the 29th and 30th, it’s back to tiny, weak drivel with onshore winds. The energy drops below 100 again.

Looking ahead to the start of September, there’s a pulse of energy early on the 1st – around 4ft with a 10-second period – but the wind is howling from the southwest at 12-15 mph, making it a choppy, cross-onshore mess. Not worth your time. The following days just get worse, with stronger winds and the swell dropping back down. There’s a brief moment on Friday the 4th with an offshore breeze and a 3ft south swell, but the period is a weak 4 seconds, so it’ll be lacking any real punch. That’s it.

Honestly, if you’re not out there Wednesday morning, you’re probably waiting a while. This is a stretch where the ocean just isn’t cooperating. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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