Tuckers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s keep it real – this forecast is a tough one. We’ve got a long, quiet stretch ahead before anything even starts to look like a proper surf. The first few days are a total washout, and we’re waiting over a week just to get our feet wet.

Let’s break it down. Starting from Wednesday the 29th of July, right through to about the 5th of August, it’s a full-on dud. The swell is tiny, mostly under 3ft, coming from the ESE and SE, with periods that are short and weak. The wind is a constant problem – cross-onshore from the SSW and SW, blowing 15 to 37 mph. It’s messy, choppy, and blown out. The combined wave energy is weak, mostly under 100 (35-81), so there’s just no power in the water. Don’t even bother paddling out.

We do get a little flicker of hope on the 6th of August (Thursday morning and afternoon). The wind drops to glassy, and we see a slight bump in the energy to 121 for the morning. The swell is still only 3-3ft from the SE, with a period of 8 seconds, so it’s an ordinary, small wave. It’s surfable, but it’s not a standout. The breaks are still exposed to the swell, so it’ll be little, clean, rolling lumps.

Then we hit another gap. From Friday the 7th through the 9th, the wind picks up again, and the energy climbs, but it’s all from the wrong direction (NE) and the wind is strong and messy. The swell size stays around 2ft to 4ft, but the conditions are terrible. The energy is getting stronger (116-298), but it’s a waste because the wind is ruining it.

Now, here’s the one true standout on the horizon. On Monday the 10th of August, we get a pulse of solid swell. The morning shows a 7ft swell from the S, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 596 – moderate to strong energy. The wind is cross-shore from the WSW, running at 12 mph. This is the biggest swell of the forecast, but it’s a short-period swell, so it’s going to be a bit fat and not hold its shape. This swell is really only for the experienced crew; 7ft is over 5ft, so it’s too big for beginners. The water temperature is about 82°, which is normal for the time of year, so no drama there.

The rest of the second week (11th to 13th of August) is back to crud: small, weak, and blown out by strong winds. There’s a big spike in energy on the 12th (664), but it’s a 6ft swell from the NNE with a period of 10 seconds, and the wind is a strong cross-shore mess. It’s not worth your time.

In short: The best bet is the morning of Monday the 10th of August at Tuckers. It’s the only swell that has some size and power. Expect a 7ft swell from the S, with a moderate cross-shore wind. It’s a short-period swell, so it won’t be the cleanest, but it’s the biggest thing on offer. The rest of the 16 days is a long, quiet haul. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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