Tuckers Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at what’s coming our way.

The next week and a half is a real struggle. There’s a big gap of nothing happening. From Tuesday the 18th of August all the way through to Monday the 24th of August, the surf is really poor. We’re looking at tiny, weak swells, wrong wind directions, and just generally messy conditions. You’re better off waiting.

The first real flicker of hope comes on Tuesday the 25th of August. The energy starts to pick up, with a combined swell energy of 303, but it’s still a bit marginal. The swell is a long-period groundswell from the SE at 16 seconds, which is nice and long, but it’s only 2ft. The wind is light from the S, so it’s cross-on at Tuckers, a point break. The water temp is a warm 83°, which is about a degree and a half above average for this time of year, so not too weird.

That little pulse builds into Wednesday the 26th. The swell jumps to 5ft from the SE with a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy hits 838. This is a moderate-energy swell. But here’s the kicker – the wind is onshore from the SSE at 12-13 mph. That’s going to chop it up. Tuckers is a point, so it handles a bit of wind, but onshore wind is never good. The swell is also getting a bit big for beginners, over 5ft.

Thursday the 27th is a write-off. The wind is howling from the ESE at 15 mph, and the swell is 5ft but with a shorter period of 11 seconds. The energy is still there at 518, but it’s just messy.

Then things go nuts for the wrong reasons. On Friday the 28th of August, we get a massive spike. The swell is 8ft from the SE, but look at that wind – 81 mph from the SE. That’s hurricane-force. The combined energy is 1739, which is very strong, but the conditions are dangerous. This is not for paddle surfing. Honestly, with that setup, Tuckers is looking more interesting for kite surfing than anything else.

It settles down after that, but the wind is still strong from the SW and SSW on the 29th and 30th, making it messy. There’s a small window on Monday the 31st of August, with the swell dropping to 2ft from the ESE, but the period is long at 12 seconds, giving a combined energy of 144. The wind is light, which is a positive, but it’s still cross-on.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is Tuesday the 1st of September. The swell is 4ft from the ESE with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is 236. The wind is light from the ENE, blowing cross-shore. That’s the best wind we’ve seen in a while. It’s not perfect, but it’s the cleanest it’s going to get. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" at Tuckers, so you might bump into a few others, but it won’t be a circus.

Wednesday the 2nd of September is similar. The swell is 5ft from the ESE, period 9 seconds, and combined energy 307. The wind is still light cross-shore from the ENE. It’s still marginal, but it’s the best of a bad bunch.

If I had to pick one, it’s Tuesday the 1st of September at Tuckers. The swell is a moderate 4ft, the wind is light and cross-shore, and the energy is there. It’s not going to be epic, but you’ll get a few. The long period swells earlier in the week are better at this point break, so the shape should be okay.

Stay patient, and don’t bother with the first week.

Rusty.

Read more