Robert Moses State Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down.

First off, Robert Moses State Park is looking pretty flat for the next 16 days. There’s a long stretch from now through mid-July with almost nothing rideable. We’re talking a big gap of no surf for most of the forecast, with just a couple of very ordinary moments at the very tail end.

Wednesday afternoon, July 15th, we see a tiny 3ft swell from the SW, but the period is a short 5 seconds, and combined wave energy is weak (56). It’s clean with a cross-off NW breeze at 12 mph, but it’s just too small to get excited about. Water temp is 73°, about a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Thursday and Friday, July 16th and 17th, bring even smaller surf, around 2ft to 2ft, with cross-shore and glassy conditions, but no power behind it – energy readings are 32 and 26. Not worth suiting up.

Saturday, July 18th, stays tiny with light rain and onshore winds.

The first real glimmer comes Sunday morning, July 19th. Swell picks to 5ft from the south, period bumping to 7 seconds, combined energy jumps to 196 – that’s moderate. Winds are cross-off from the WNW at 15 mph, so it should be clean. But it’s still rated poor. Sunday afternoon stays similar at 4ft, still cross-off, energy 169. Best of the week, but still just average.

Monday morning, July 20th, is listed as “marginal” – 4ft south swell, period 9 seconds, energy 204, light cross-shore wind. That’s a small step up, but still not worth calling in sick. The afternoon turns onshore and choppy.

After that, it’s a long run of poor conditions with onshore winds and small, weak swell through the 21st to the 26th. A few clean moments pop up on the 22nd morning with a cross-off NE breeze and 3ft SSE swell (energy 79), but it’s just “surfable but ordinary.”

The real standout? If you’re desperate, Tuesday, July 28th, morning. That’s 2ft from the ESE, glassy and clean with a light offshore NNW breeze at 9 mph, and it gets a “surfable but very ordinary” note. Energy is pitiful at 53, but for this stretch, that’s as good as it gets. It’ll be tiny, clean, and probably uncrowded – you’ll want a longboard or a foil.

Bottom line: there’s almost nothing worth chasing for the next two weeks. A few clean mornings with knee-high dribble. Keep an eye on the charts, because it usually doesn’t stay this quiet for long around here.

Rusty

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