Robert Moses State Park Surf Break

Lat Long: 40.62° N 73.26° W

Robert Moses State Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 17 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Robert Moses State Park sea temperature is
24.5° C
2.0° 

Robert Moses State Park surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Robert Moses State Park surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, S swell with 258 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 6s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Robert Moses State Park this week:

The surf forecast for Robert Moses State Park over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Robert Moses State Park in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Mon 17th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 6s
Best Surf11AM (Mon 17th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 6s
Most Powerful 2PM (Mon 17th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Robert Moses State Park over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Robert Moses State Park.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things are looking up later on. The water is running a touch warmer than usual, sitting at about 76°, which is a bit out of the ordinary for this time of year.

Monday, August 17th is your best bet early on. The morning kicks off with a risk of thunderstorms, but don’t let that put you off. We’ve got a 6 ft swell from the S with a short 6-second period, producing moderate wave energy (239). The wind is a cross-off from the W at 9 mph, setting up clean, surfable conditions. In the afternoon, the wind swings NNW at 6 mph and goes fully offshore, cleaning up a 4 ft SSE swell (208). It’s not huge, but it’ll be fun and rideable.

Tuesday morning, August 18th is the standout of the whole outlook. The wind goes glassy from the N at just 3 mph, with a 3 ft SSE swell. The energy is low (89), but that glassy surface will turn those little waves into clean, playful walls. This is the session to get excited about – just be aware it can get a crowd here sometimes. The swell direction is a solid match for the optimum.

After that, the surf takes a dive. From Tuesday afternoon right through to Monday, August 24th, we're looking at a long stretch of tiny waves or poor conditions. Lots of choppy, onshore wind and small swell, so you can leave the board in the car for that week.

Tuesday, August 25th brings a flicker of hope in the morning. A 4 ft S swell (126) with a clean offshore wind from the NW at 9 mph. The period is short at 5 seconds, so the energy is a bit weak, but it’ll be clean. The afternoon sees that swell jump to 6 ft (303) but the wind goes onshore, so it gets messy.

Then we hit another rough patch. From Wednesday, August 26th, through the end of the month, it’s mostly messy with strong, onshore winds and a lot of chop. There is a late-season pulse on August 28th with a big energy reading (661) and a 4 ft SE swell at a very long 14-second period, but the wind is strong and not ideal. The swell size isn’t huge, but that long period will make it wall-up and could be tricky at a beach break like this. It’s more of a kite-surfing playground.

Bottom line: Don’t sleep on Tuesday morning, August 18th. It’s the cleanest and most fun you’ll see in the next 16 days. Otherwise, pick your moments carefully.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 22°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Mon morning, calm by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Thu night, min 21°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
S
6
1.3
SSE
6
1
SSE
7
0.9
SSE
7
0.8
SSE
7
0.8
SSE
7
0.6
SE
7
0.6
SE
7
0.5
SE
6
0.4
ESE
8
0.3
SE
9
0.4
ESE
8
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
8
0.4
ESE
8
0.4
ESE
8
0.2
ESE
13
0.3
ESE
7
0.3
ESE
7
0.6
S
6
0.7
S
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
239
129
83
75
65
59
34
33
17
25
14
27
20
18
26
26
17
11
10
24
36
Wind (km/h)
15
W
10
NNW
10
NNE
5
NNE
10
SW
5
SSW
5
WSW
25
SSW
15
WSW
15
SW
25
SSW
20
NNE
10
NNE
15
SW
5
SW
15
ESE
15
NE
5
S
15
WSW
20
SSW
25
NW
Wind State
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-on
off
High Tide
11:33AM1.41m
11:45PM1.24m
12:20PM1.36m
00:34AM1.15m
1:08PM1.31m
1:24AM1.07m
1:56PM1.27m
2:17AM1.01m
2:48PM1.25m
3:15AM0.99m
3:45PM1.25m
4:16AM1.01m
4:41PM1.29m
Low Tide
5:30PM0.15m
5:41AM0.12m
6:20PM0.24m
6:25AM0.22m
7:19PM0.31m
7:18AM0.30m
8:23PM0.34m
8:20AM0.35m
9:25PM0.33m
9:21AM0.35m
10:19PM0.29m
10:16AM0.31m
11:07PM0.23m
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:03
6:05
6:05
6:07
6:07
6:09
6:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:47
7:46
7:45
7:44
7:42
7:40
7:38
 mm
6
1
1
1
4
1
1
Temp °C
25
27
26
25
28
27
26
28
27
26
27
28
25
26
23
23
22
22
24
26
27
Feels °C
28
29
28
28
29
28
28
27
25
26
26
30
24
25
25
24
23
24
25
25
25
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Robert Moses State Park Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Robert Moses State Park provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Robert Moses State Park can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Robert Moses State Park surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Robert Moses State Park) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Robert Moses State Park may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Robert Moses State Park is 10 km (6 miles) from West Islip. If you plan a vacation in Long Island New York, look for hotels and other accommodation in West Islip. West Islip has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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