North Bar Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for North Bar. We’ve got a long, drawn-out stretch of tiny, weak surf and poor conditions, so don’t get your hopes up for anything epic.

We kick things off this Saturday morning, the 1st, with a small 3ft south swell, but it’s got a short 8-second period and it’s marked as poor. The wind is cross-offshore from the SSW though, so it’ll be clean, but there’s just no push. It’s a weak energy reading of 125, so it’s not doing much. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. We’ll see the swell drop right off after that, and we’re looking at a string of days with barely anything – Sunday the 2nd has a nothing 1ft, and we stay in the doldrums through the start of the week.

Then, on Monday the 3rd, things finally get interesting, but it’s a bit of a tease. The swell jumps up to 6ft in the morning with a moderate 365 energy, but it’s accompanied by light rain and a fresh breeze. Still, it’s clean. By the afternoon, the swell holds at 6ft, the wind swings offshore from the southwest, and the energy builds to 428. This is the standout of the whole window. Expect some proper, clean, waist-to-chest-high waves. This one is for the intermediates, not for beginners, but definitely the best we’re going to see.

After that, it’s back to the grind. Tuesday the 4th has a bit of swell (5ft) but the wind is onshore in the morning, which will chop it up. The afternoon cleans up but the swell is already fading. From Wednesday the 5th onwards, it’s a survival mission. We’re looking at a solid week-plus of dribble – waves between 0.3ft and 2ft, with weak energy readings mostly in the single digits or low tens. The wind is mostly offshore, so it’ll be pretty, but there will be nothing to ride.

There is a little bump around the 15th and 16th. On Saturday the 15th, we see a 4ft south swell with cross-shore winds in the morning, and then a 5ft north-northeast swell in the afternoon with offshore winds. It’s still ordinary, but it’s something. Then on Sunday the 16th, we get a 5ft north swell, but the period is a short 6 seconds and the energy is 278. This one might be a bit cross and messy, plus that short period means it will be lumpy.

Honestly, this is a poor run. The good window on Monday afternoon is your only real shot. Everything else is a write-off. The forecast can always change, but right now, I’d plan for a flat spell. The size on the 3rd is manageable for most, but it’s the only day with any real power.

Stay patient.

- Rusty

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