Rockaway Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Rockaway over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, it's a tough stretch. The models are showing a whole lot of quiet, messy conditions for the next two weeks. We’re looking at a long run of poor surf, with the first real chance of anything rideable not showing up until well into the second week. There's a solid gap of nearly two weeks of flat to weak, wind-affected dribble before we get a flicker of life.

The first week and a half is a write-off. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the swell is tiny to non-existent. The odd little pulse of 3ft to 4ft from the east shows up, but it's almost always paired with a breeze that messes it up. The combined energy is weak, bouncing around between 30 and 135 (weak to low-moderate), which just isn't enough to get excited about. The water temp is a standout, though – it's a whopping 3° warmer than usual for this time of year, sitting at 75°F.

Now, the one thing that catches my eye is the morning of Monday, July 20th. The models are showing a jump in swell to 6ft from the south, with a combined energy shooting up to 507 (very strong). That's a real pulse of energy. The wind is light from the south, which is cross-on, but at only 6 mph, it's a light breeze. That's the best we’ve got in the whole 16-day window. It’s a long way out, so take it with a pinch of salt, but if that holds, Rockaway could finally have some proper waves. The 6ft south swell with an 8-second period won't be for beginners, but for the crew with a bit of experience, it’s the only game in town. The rest of that week fades back into mediocrity.

So, keep your expectations low, and pin your hopes on that Monday the 20th. It's a long wait, but it might just be worth it.

Rusty.

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