TCs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this is a tough stretch for surf around TCs. The whole 16-day run is a real struggle. There are long gaps with barely anything rideable, so you’ll need patience, or just find something else to do for a while.

We’re looking at a solid two weeks where the swell is tiny, the wind is mostly messy, and the quality just isn’t there. From Sunday the 13th right through to Saturday the 26th of September, it’s mostly “poor surf conditions” day after day. The combined wave energy stays weak to moderate, hanging between 102 and 414, but don’t let those bigger numbers fool you—they’re coming with short, weak periods and cross-onshore chop.

There is only one small window that even gets close. On Sunday the 20th of September, early morning goes glassy with a light southerly breeze, and that’s when TCs (a sheltered reef break) sees its best chance. The swell is 2ft from the SW with a period of 18 seconds—long period groundswell that suits this reef setup nicely. The water temp is a very unusual 73°F, which is about 7° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s definitely a warmer dip than you’d expect. Still, it’s small, and even then it’s only described as “surfable but very ordinary.” That’s the only morning that’s not a total write-off.

After that, Monday the 21st has a bit more size at 2-3ft SW, but the wind is cross-onshore and it’s still only marginal. By the second week, from the 22nd onward, the swell drops back under 2ft and the wind stays onshore or cross-shore. The period drops below 15 seconds too, so the energy fades. By the 28th, it’s practically flat.

If you’re determined, the only real standout is that Sunday morning the 20th at TCs—glassy, clean, and that long SW groundswell. But don’t expect much. For the rest, it’s a kiter’s breeze more than a surfer’s swell. Hang in there, things can always flip.

Rusty.

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