TCs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. I’m lookin’ at TCs, a reef break that’s pretty sheltered and needs a solid SW swell to really wake up. For the next sixteen days, honestly, it’s a tough stretch. The swell’s just too small and the wind’s never quite right. You’re looking at a lot of days with poor surf conditions, and nothing that’s really gonna get the heart pumpin’.

We start off on Thursday the 23rd of July. The swell is tiny, only 1ft from the SW, and the wind is a cross-on WSW breeze at 9 mph. The water’s a balmy 72°, which is a massive 6° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, feels like a bath out there. But the waves are just messy and weak, with combined energy at 328 (moderate). It’s a no-go.

Friday the 24th sees a little more height, up to 2ft on the morning, but still a cross-on wind from the SSE. The energy bumps up to 568 (moderate), but it’s still poor. The afternoon goes a bit glassy with a light onshore breeze, but the swell drops to 1ft. Not worth wettin’ a suit.

Saturday the 25th morning has the best-looking chance of the whole run: 2ft from the SW with a light onshore wind from the SSW. The energy is a solid 521 (moderate). It’s still only a marginal call, with questionable tide, but it’s the closest we get to anything rideable. The wind is light, so it might be clean enough for a longboard if you’re desperate. Afternoon goes back to poor.

From Sunday the 26th right through to Wednesday the 5th of August, it’s the same story. Swells stay between 1ft and 4ft, but the wind is almost always cross-on or onshore. The period is dropping from 19 seconds down to a weak 9 seconds by the 3rd. The energy stays moderate, but it’s all messy. The morning of Saturday the 1st of August has the biggest swell of the forecast at 4ft from the S, but it’s cross-on from the SSE at 9 mph, making it choppy. This break is a reef, so it can handle a bit of size, but with that wind, it’ll be a washing machine.

After the 5th of August, the swell really drops off a cliff. From the 6th of August onward, the energy is weak – 78 to 181 (weak). The swell is 1ft to 2ft, and the wind is still cross-on. It’s flat.

So, the standout? There isn’t one. Absolutely nothing here gets a green light. The best of a bad bunch is Saturday the 25th of July morning, but even that’s marginal. This is a real blank run for TCs. It’s just one of those spells where the ocean shuts down. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, I’d leave the board in the car and find something else to do.

- Rusty

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