TCs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty.

First up, we’re looking at the TCs break. It’s a sheltered reef, so it needs the right direction to really light up, and sadly, over this whole 16-day window, we just ain’t gettin’ it. The swell is tiny and pretty weak across the board. The combined swell energy is low, sitting mostly between 86 and 369, which is real weak to moderate at best. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a rough stretch.

We kick off on Thursday morning, July 30, with a 2ft SSW groundswell, with a long period of 16 seconds, but the onshore wind and low energy (369) mean it’s gonna be poor. That’s the story for the whole first week. Friday the 31st shows a bit of energy (311) but it’s a cross-on breeze, so it’s messy. Through the weekend and into the start of next week, the swell drops to 1ft to 2ft, with periods still decently long, but the direction is off for this sheltered reef and the wind keeps switching to on or cross-on. The energy dips below 100 on Sunday, August 2, and stays low.

The best chance of something rideable would be on Thursday, August 7, when we see a jump in period to 19 seconds from the SSW, and combined swell energy climbs to 224. Swell is still small, only 1ft, but that long groundswell will have some push. However, the wind is cross-on, so it’ll be bumpy. It’s not a standout by any means, but it’s the most interesting pulse in the whole forecast.

As we move into the second week, the pattern stays stubborn. Still small, still cross-on or onshore for the most part. The swell picks up a tiny bit around August 11–13 to 2ft, with periods around 16–19 seconds and energy in the 200–285 range, but the direction is still SSW to SW, and this break wants SW to really work. The onshore or cross-on wind is a constant issue.

Look, there are no true standouts here. For a break that’s “fairly consistent”, this is a real quiet period. The wind is against us, and the swell direction never lines up. The water temp is about average for this time of year, which is something.

To be honest, for a sheltered reef setup, this 16-day run is a wash. If you’re desperate, the long-period pulses on August 7, 11, or 12 might give you a few weak ones, but don’t expect anything clean. It’s more of a waiting game.

Rusty.

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