TCs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good hard look at what's on the table for this one spot. It's a long wait, but there is a little light at the end of the tunnel.

So, the word on the street is that TCs (a reef setup for the advanced crew) is the only game in town for the next couple of weeks. It's a sheltered spot that really wants the swell from the SW. Thing is, we're looking at a whole lot of nothing for a good long while. The early days are a real bummer—mixed-up, choppy conditions, and nothing even close to surfable. We've got a gap of over a week with no recommendations here. It's a tough spell.

Your first real chance to even think about paddling out is Sunday morning, September 6th. It's not going to blow your mind, but it's our first real taste of something. We've got a 3 ft swell pushing in from the S, with a period of 13 seconds. That's a solid, long-period groundswell, which means proper energy moving through. The combined swell energy is reading at 514 (moderate), but the magic here is the glassy conditions. That NE wind at 3 mph is going to leave the surface like a mirror. For an advanced reef break, that's as good as it gets for cleanliness, even if the size is small. This is the standout for the whole run. The water is warm—73°F—which is 6° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it feels like a tropical bath out there.

After that Sunday morning window, things look a bit messy again. The winds stay in a cross or cross-on shore pattern for the rest of the first week and into the second. The swell does pulse up to 4 ft on Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th, but the wind just won't cooperate, leaving a cross-chop on the surface. It's frustrating because there's some moderate wave energy there (672 on Monday afternoon), but it's just not going to be clean.

You have to skip all the way to Saturday morning, September 19th, for the next real glimpse of hope. By then, it's over two weeks out, so treat this as a promising idea, not a sure thing. We're looking at a 2 ft swell from the SW with a very long 18-second period. The combined swell energy is up to 343. The big news is a light rain and a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the WNW. That's clean, lined-up conditions on a reef. If this holds, it could be the best wave of the fortnight, with those long period lines wrapping in nicely. Just remember, the crowds here are listed as "sometimes" a thing, so you might have to share the peak.

Bottom line: Sunday the 6th is your first and best early call for clean, glassy small waves. The long-range look at September 19th has potential for a much better wave, but keep one eye on the forecast. Otherwise, it's a quiet period for this spot.

Rusty.

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