TCs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be real with you – this outlook is a tough one. Over the next 16 days, TCs (a sheltered reef break) is the only spot the charts are even pointing at, and it’s just not happening. The whole stretch from Wednesday, August 5th right through to Thursday, August 20th is a total write-off for surf. Every single entry here is marked as “poor surf conditions.” There’s no run of days to get excited about, no sneaky window of clean waves. It’s a proper blank run.

The swell is tiny, never getting above 3 ft, and the energy is weak to very weak – the highest combined energy we see is 412 on Friday afternoon the 14th, but the swell is still only 2 ft and the wind is a messy cross-onshore. The direction is mostly SSW to SW, which is the optimum for TCs, but with such small waves and a lot of cross-onshore afternoons, it’s just not worth paddling out. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The pattern is the same day after day: mornings start with a light onshore breeze and tiny, 1-2 ft swell, then afternoons get chewed up by a cross-onshore wind. There’s a long gap of consistently poor conditions. If you’re looking for a standout, there isn’t one. The best you could hope for is a sneaky morning session on the 14th, 15th, or 16th when the swell bumps up to 2 ft and the wind is light onshore – but that’s still a long, soft period swell (15-19 seconds) that’s more likely to wrap cleanly into a reef like TCs than work on a beach. The 14th has a short peek of 2 ft with 19-second period and light onshore, which is the best we’ve got, but it’s still not a score.

Overall, this is a period where the forecast suggests it’s better to focus on something else. The water is a typical temperature, the swell is weak, and the wind is rarely your friend. Keep an eye on the longer-range forecasts, but for now, I’d say leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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