Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for our local stretch.

Right off the bat, don't get too excited. The first week and a half is looking pretty flat and uninspiring. We've got a long, quiet spell ahead before things finally wake up. The water temp is hovering around 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least the paddle won't be a shock to the system.

Point Dume Little Dume is our only game in town, but it’s rough out there for a while. From Thursday, July 9th right through to Saturday, July 19th, it’s a real struggle. We're looking at tiny swell, mostly around 1ft to 3ft from the SSW, with a very long period of 16 to 19 seconds on some days. That long period might sound good, but for a beach-break setup, it tends to break too straight and fat. The winds are almost always a cross-onshore mess, making for choppy, bumpy waves. The combined swell energy is weak, often in the low hundreds (like 122 to 439), just not enough push to get you into anything worthwhile.

There is a brief tease on the morning of Wednesday, July 15th. The wind goes glassy, and you’ll see a tiny 1ft SW swell with a very long 18-second period. The comment even says "glassy." It’s surfable, but only just. Don't clear your schedule for it.

The real story, and the only standout worth pointing to, arrives much later. Keep an eye on Sunday, July 19th and Monday, July 20th. The swell finally shows up. On Sunday morning, we see a 3ft SSE swell, but the energy is massive, jumping to 1173. That’s a good sign. By Monday morning, July 20th, it gets even better: a 7ft S swell with an even bigger energy reading of 2002, and a 15-second period. That’s proper groundswell, with some punch. Winds on Monday morning are light cross-onshore, which isn't perfect, but compared to the week before, it’s a huge upgrade. This is the window to aim for. For a point break, that S swell direction is close to the optimum, and the size is solid. It’s going to be big, over 7ft, so this is strictly for experienced surfers. Beginners, stay on the sand for this one.

After that pulse, it drops back down quickly. Tuesday, July 21st still has some 5ft SSW swell but the energy is fading (664), and by Wednesday, July 22nd we’re back to small 3ft stuff. Wednesday morning does look clean with a cross-offshore breeze (ESE), but the window is short-lived.

So to sum it up: the first 10 days are a write-off, but that pulse around the 19th and 20th of July is your best bet. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the only real highlight in this forecast.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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