Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water is *way* warmer than it should be right now – we’re talking about 5° above the long-term average. That’s pretty wild for this time of year, so don’t be surprised if it feels like bathwater out there.

Right, the honest truth is we’ve got a bit of a flat spell to start. Through to the end of July and into the first days of August, there’s surf on the cards at Point Dume Little Dume, but it’s not exactly setting the world on fire. Swell is hanging around the 3 ft to 4 ft mark, coming from the SSW, and for the most part, the wind is cross-onshore. That means the waves are going to be a bit bumpy and messy. The wave energy is moderate, with readings around 557 to 868 in the first few days, but it fades fast. There’s a long-period groundswell in there – periods of 15 to 17 seconds – which should have some push, but with the wind not helping, it’s hard to get excited. By the morning of Saturday 1 August, the swell drops to 3 ft and the energy is down to 349. It gets pretty weak from there, with heights tumbling to 1 ft by Sunday morning (2 August) and energy below 100. We’re looking at a dead run from the 2nd right through to the 7th of August, with barely a ripple – just 1 ft to 2 ft of weak, short-period swell and poor conditions. It’s a proper lull.

The best of a pretty average bunch is probably the Tuesday afternoon (28 July). The swell is 3 ft from the SSW with a period of 17 seconds – that’s a nice, long groundswell that will wrap into the point nicely. The wind is a light 6 mph from the WSW, which is onshore but very light, so it won't rip the face up too much. The water is warm, and there’s moderate energy (860). It’s nothing special, but it’s the cleanest we’ve got in the first week. Just keep in mind that this spot is inconsistent and can get crowded often – you might have some company.

Looking way out to the second week, things start to show a tiny bit of life around Friday 7 August. We see a long-period swell creep back in at 19 seconds from the SSW, with 1 ft of height but energy jumping to 220. By Saturday morning 8 August, it’s 2 ft from the SSW, period 18 seconds, energy at 226. Still small, but the direction and period are promising for the point. The wind is light from the S, so it’s cross-onshore, but manageable. It’s not a standout, just a hint that the ocean hasn’t forgotten how to make waves. For the rest of the second week, we stay in the 1 ft to 2 ft range with most sessions rated poor. The best bet is probably the morning of Wednesday 12 August, when we get 2 ft from the SSW with a 17-second period, light SSE wind, and energy at 307. It’s marginal, but if you’re desperate, that’s your window.

Honestly, there are no true standouts here. The first Tuesday afternoon (28 July) is the pick of the whole period, but even that is just a “maybe worth a paddle” kind of day. The rest is a long, drawn-out flat spell with only tiny pulses of long-period swell that never really get the height to do anything special.

Later, Rusty.

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