Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let’s break down the surf for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a slow burn, but there’s a little flash of hope if you’re willing to wait.

Right now, things are flat and messy. The first week and a half is pretty grim. The swell is coming from the south and southwest, but the wind is mostly cross-onshore, keeping the surface all choppy and bumpy. The water is warm, sitting at 71°, and that’s a crazy 7° above normal for this time of year - feels like a hot tub out there.

The main spot is Point Dume Little Dume. It’s a point break that’s exposed to the south, but it’s been inconsistent. For the next week and a half, you’re looking at tiny waves, mostly between 2ft and 4ft. The swell energy is moderate (readings like 415, 577, 346 - that’s the combined energy of all swells), but the wind just ruins it. A few mornings have a light breeze, but it’s still considered “marginal” at best. Honestly, the first week is a total washout unless you just want a warm swim.

The real action doesn’t kick in until the very end of the forecast. We’ve got a pulse of energy arriving on the morning of Friday, 31st July. The swell jumps to 4ft from the SSE, with a period of 16 seconds - that’s real groundswell. The combined energy hits 1042, which is now in the strong range. The wind is still a light cross-onshore breeze, so it’ll be a bit bumpy, but the size and period are a big step up.

Then, the standout window is the afternoon of Friday, 31st July and into Saturday, 1st August. Friday afternoon sees the swell building to 6ft from the SSE, period holding at 16 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 1892 - that’s strong wave energy. The wind is a light onshore breeze. At 6ft, this is getting into the territory where beginners might want to sit this one out. Saturday morning offers 6ft from the south, period a touch shorter at 13 seconds, but still solid with energy at 1187. For a break that’s usually inconsistent, this is definitely worth a look.

The big caveat: this is a long-period swell, over 15 seconds. At a point break like Dume, that’s a good thing - it’ll wrap in nicely and offer some nice lines. The crowds are often a factor here, so expect some company if you paddle out. For the rest of the weekend into the new week, the swell fades fast and the wind stays messy, so those two days are your only real shot.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a total dud. Friday, 31st July and Saturday, 1st August are your only real chances to get a proper wave, with the standout being the afternoon of the 31st. It’s a long-range call, so don’t book the day off just yet, but it’s the only one on the horizon worth getting excited about.

Rusty.

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