Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about the next few weeks at Point Dume Little Dume. This is going to be a tough one, so don't get your hopes up too high.

We’re looking at a long stretch of pretty marginal conditions. The opening days, from the 20th of July, are a write-off. The water is sitting at a very warm 71°F which is 7°F above normal for this time of year – that’s way warmer than usual, a real sign of the times. But the surf? It’s just not there. We’re seeing a light cross-onshore breeze with small wind ripples, and the swell is small and weak. The combined energy is only 345 (weak), and it’s all coming from the south, which is cross-on for this spot. The forecast scores are a zero, so honestly, don’t even bother paddling out.

The first few days are a total bust. Monday the 20th, Tuesday the 21st, and Wednesday the 22nd all have poor surf conditions with cross-onshore winds. The swell is tiny, barely reaching 4 ft, and the period is a mix of short and medium – nothing to get excited about. The afternoon sessions are even worse, with moderate, choppy winds.

We do start to see a bit of a pulse building around Thursday the 24th of July. The morning has a combined energy of 1063 (moderate) with a 4 ft south swell, but the cross-on wind is still there, keeping things messy. The best looking morning in this first week is Friday the 31st of July. The wind is light, almost glassy from the south-southwest at just 3 mph, and we’ve got a 3 ft south-southeast swell. The combined energy is 812 (moderate), which is okay. For a spot that’s inconsistent, this is a rare window of cleanish conditions. The water is still warm, but the wind is right. The crowd factor is a problem though – it’s often crowded here, so expect company.

Then we hit a major gap. From the 1st of August, the surf just drops off a cliff. The combined energy plummets to 92 (weak) on the Sunday morning. The swell is tiny, the winds are cross-on, and it’s just flat. This dead period lasts for a solid few days of nothing worth mentioning.

The very end of the outlook, on Tuesday the 4th of August, offers a glimmer. The afternoon shows a 5 ft south-southeast swell with a 16-second period – that’s a proper long-period groundswell. The combined energy is 1252 (strong). The wind is light from the west-southwest, which is cross-on, but the light breeze keeps it from being a total mess. The morning is also promising with a 5 ft swell. This is a long-range call, so it’s not locked in, but if it comes together, it’s the best chance of the whole run. The size is pushing into intermediate territory, and it’s a point break, so a long-period south swell should peel nicely. Just be aware it’s an inconsistent spot, so waves might be few and far between, but the ones that come through could be good.

Overall, it’s a grim outlook with a long, flat gap in the middle. The only real standouts are the clean morning on the 31st of July and the promising, but distant, session on the 4th of August. Keep your eyes on the charts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty

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