Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf. We're staring down the barrel of a long stretch of small, weak, and frankly messy waves. The energy is just not there, and we’ve got a solid run of days with poor to marginal conditions. It’s going to be a test of patience.

Looking at Point Dume Little Dume, we kick off on Monday the 17th. There's a bit of swell showing around 3ft, but it’s coming from the SSW with a moderate 330 units of energy. It’s not doing anything for the wave quality. The water is a balmy 71°, which is a massive 7° warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s very unusual. You’ll definitely feel that difference. But the surf is poor, so it’s a case of having to take a dip just to cool off. The winds are light in the morning but turn cross-onshore in the afternoon, making things choppy.

The rest of that first week into the weekend is more of the same. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th have a similar story: ankle to knee-high waves, mostly in the 2ft range, with periods around 15 or 16 seconds. The morning light breezes are the best bet, but the swell is just too weak and the shape is marginal. Friday and Saturday, the 21st and 22nd, see the swell drop even further down to 1ft. The energy just completely dies, bottoming out at 123 units on Saturday morning. It’s basically flat.

We get a slight pulse over the weekend of the 23rd and 24th with a touch more period, pushing 19 seconds on Sunday morning, but the swell height is still only 1ft. It’s a tease. The energy picks up to 284 units, but with waves that small, it's not going to translate into anything you can really ride. That long period with tiny swell is just not going to break properly at a beach setup like this.

The following week, through the 25th to the 28th, is pretty much a write-off. We are stuck in this pattern of weak SW swells in the 1ft to 2ft range and onshore afternoon winds. There are long gaps where the surf is essentially non-existent. You'd be better off finding something else to do.

Now, casting an eye to the long range, there is a glimmer of hope. On Saturday the 29th, we finally see a jump in energy to a moderate 567 units. The swell bumps up slightly to 3ft from the SSW, but it's still marginal. The following days into the 30th and 31st keep that energy in the 400-480 range with similar wave heights. It’s promising that the energy is finally picking up, but it's still a long way off from being a standout. The conditions are still being called marginal at best. I’d say this is something to keep an eye on, but don't get too excited yet. It’s the first sign of life in a very long, flat spell. The second week looks a little more active, but the quality is still in question.

This stretch from the 17th through the 28th is a real drought, with only tiny, poor-quality waves on offer. The standout, if you can call it that, is the promise of more energy on the 29th and into September, but it’s a long-range call and far from certain.

Rusty out.

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