Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Point Dume Little Dume over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is gonna be a real tough stretch for a paddle. We’re lookin’ at a long, dry spell. The first surf that’s even worth mentioning isn’t until Sunday the 12th, and even then, it’s not gonna be anything to write home about.

The first hint of any real energy shows up on Sunday the 12th. We’ve got a small SW groundswell coming through at 3ft, with a period of 14 seconds. That longer period is a nice sign, suggesting some shape, but the wind is a light cross-onshore out of the S. It’s marginal at best. The combined energy is just gettin’ its feet wet at (325), so we’re in weak territory. Not the day to get excited.

Things go totally flat again from Monday the 13th right through until early the next week, with nothing but poor surf conditions and tiny dribbles. It’s a proper blank run in the water.

Now, hang in there, because there is a little blip of hope. The situation starts to shift a bit on Saturday the 18th. We get a pulse of SW groundswell, still small at 2ft, but the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds. That means it’s a pure groundswell, and the energy starts to build to (367) in the morning, even hitting (432) by afternoon. The wind goes light and offshore from the SSW in the afternoon – that’s a major positive for tidying it up. For a point break like Dume, that combo of long period and clean wind can be magic. It’s marginal, but it’s the first real chance at a fun, glassy session.

The pick of the whole 16-day window, as far as I can see, is Sunday the 19th. The morning shows a 3ft S swell with a shorter 13-second period, and the combined energy jumps up to (588) – now we’re talkin’ moderate energy. The wind is light from the SSW, so it's gonna be clean. That’s the best combo of size and glassy conditions we’ll see. It’s still only a marginal forecast, and the swell direction is S which is a little off the break’s optimum S direction, but for this stretch, it’s the clear standout. Definitely worth checking the tide.

After that, it falls off again. Monday the 20th through to the end of the period on the 25th we’re back to small, weak, choppy surf with cross-onshore winds. Even a 22-second period swell on the 25th is too tiny at 1ft to do anything.

So, to wrap it up: the water is about average for the time of year. Don’t plan a trip around this forecast unless you’re happy with a flat spell. The real standout is Sunday morning, July 19th, with that light wind and the biggest, cleanest swell of the run. That’s the one to target.

Rusty.

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