Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks here are gonna test your patience, that’s for sure. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf ahead, so don’t get too excited. The water is sitting around 73° which is well above normal for this time of year, so you can leave the thick rubber at home.

The outlook starts off pretty uninspiring. We’re looking at a run of days where the swell is just not doing much. For the first few days, there’s some waist-high stuff mixing around, maybe 2ft to 3ft, but the energy is weak to moderate at best (294 to 486). The winds are mostly light and cross-shore, which will keep the surface a little bumpy, but it’s not exactly firing.

The real issue here is that Point Dume Little Dume is an inconsistent wave in the best of times, and this stretch is no different. You’ll see periods in the 14-17 second range, which means there’s some wait between sets. You’ll be doing a lot of sitting and looking at the horizon.

Through the middle of the period, the swell just fades out completely. We’re talking 1ft or maybe 2ft if we’re being generous. The energy drops way off into the double digits (110 to 176). It’s a flat spell, plain and simple. There’s a gap of several days here where the surf is going to be next to nothing. If you’re desperate, you might find a dribble of a wave, but it’s not worth the paddle.

Things try to pick up a little bit around the 16th. We see a 2ft SW swell with a bit more push (311 energy), but it’s still marginal and the winds aren’t helping. We’re looking at a lot of onshore and cross-onshore breeze, which will chop things up. The periods are still long, but the size is lacking. This pattern continues for a few days, just hovering in that poor-to-marginal range.

As we get into the back half of the second week, there’s a slight pulse. On the 21st, the energy gets back up into the 400s with a 3ft to 3ft swell from the southwest. This looks like the best bet of the whole window. The morning of the 21st has light onshore wind and the energy looks a little more organized (431). It’s still not big, but for a spot like this, it might clean up into a few rideable shoulders. The afternoons are going to get choppy with a moderate breeze, so get on it early if you can.

To sum it up, if you’re really jonesing, the morning of the 21st is your best chance at a few fun ones. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s something. The long-period nature of these swells (17 seconds) can make the waves break a bit straight along this point, so pick your line and stick with it.

Honestly, for a while there, the setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, with those light cross-shore breezes and small, weak waves. But don't worry, it tends not to stay this poor for long, and the forecasts can change. We just gotta wait it out.

Rusty.

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