Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window for the Point Dume / Little Dume area is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch ahead with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The first real chance to even think about a surf comes on Saturday, August 8th, but honestly, it’s a tough one to call good.

The overall pattern is small, weak, and messy. We’re looking at a tiny swell from the SSW, just 2ft, but it’s packing some serious grunt for its size with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s a pure groundswell, and at a point break like Point Dume Little Dume, that long period could actually wrap in nicely. The combined energy is moderate (318). The water is a whopping 72°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a real surprise. But here’s the kicker: the call is for marginal surf and questionable tide conditions. The morning wind is a light onshore from the SSW, not ideal. It’s the only window that even gets a whisper of a recommendation, but I wouldn't get my hopes up.

From Saturday afternoon onward, it’s a wasteland. The wind turns cross-onshore and picks up, the swell stays tiny, and the reports are all “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” We see a little bump in energy around Friday, August 14th, with the combined energy jumping to 402 and 529, but the swell height is still only 2ft to 3ft. The wind is cross-on or onshore, and the wave comment is still “poor” or “marginal.” That’s more energy but no quality – likely just a choppy, bumpy mess. That trend continues right through the second week. The swell never really gets above 3ft, and the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore.

There’s a small window on Wednesday morning, August 19th, with a cross-shore wind and a marginal call, but it’s still just 3ft of SSW swell. It’s not a standout. Honestly, there’s no standout session in this entire outlook. The break is inconsistent, and the conditions are against us. For a point break that needs clean lines, this constant onshore and cross-onshore wind is a killer. The setup looks more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session during the afternoons when the wind really picks up.

So, we’re looking at a long blank run. Don’t bother checking the charts for the next two weeks; it’s a write-off. Keep your board in the car for a surprise, but I wouldn’t hold my breath. Forecasts can change, but this one looks stubborn.

Rusty.

Read more