Point Dume Little Dume Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Point Dume Little Dume.

Truth is, the next week and a half is a bit of a slow grind. We’ve got a long period groundswell from the south-southwest rolling in, but the conditions are messy. The water is sitting at 71° right now, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – that’s over 5° above average, so it’s a genuine anomaly. You’ll feel that bathwater when you get in.

From Wednesday 22 July right through to the end of the month, it’s a frustrating stretch. The swell is tiny, mostly around 2ft to 3ft, and the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore nearly every session. The wave energy is moderate, with values like 394 to 781 (moderate energy), but it’s not doing us any favours. The waves are poor or marginal at best – choppy, crumbly, and not worth the paddle. Friday 24 July morning actually has a long period of 24 seconds, which is a very long groundswell, but the size is only 2ft from the southwest. That kind of period usually makes for better shaped waves at a point break like this, but there’s just not enough height to work with.

The weekend of 26-27 July is more of the same: small swell, marginal conditions, and a light breeze that’s never quite right. You’d be scratching for anything rideable.

Now, we start to see a glimmer of hope heading into the first week of August. On Saturday 1 August, the swell bumps up to 5ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon from the south, with a period of 14 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 1122 and 1195 (strong wave energy). That’s a proper step up. The wind is cross-onshore but light, so it’s not going to be glassy, but it’ll be cleaner than what we’ve had. Sunday 2 August still has some size at 5ft, but the energy drops back.

That Saturday 1 August is the standout. It’s the biggest swell in the whole outlook, and the conditions are about as good as we’re going to get. If you’re an intermediate surfer, that 5ft to 6ft range is right in your wheelhouse. For beginners, it’s a bit punchy, but manageable with the right tide. The break is inconsistent here, so don’t expect non-stop action, but the sets that come through will have some push.

After that, it fades fast. By Monday 3 August, we’re back down to 2ft, and the rest of the outlook is flat and poor. The 5th and 6th of August have a clean cross-offshore wind, but the swell is only 1ft to 2ft – not worth getting wet.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. Hang tight, and target Saturday 1 August for the best chance of a decent wave. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the only real window in the next 16 days.

Rusty.

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