Sea Girt Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. I’ve got to be straight with you—looking at the next couple of weeks at Sea Girt, the ocean is going to be pretty darn quiet for a while. The first solid stretch is a total write-off, and we’re looking at a big gap of nothing before anything even starts to look like a wave.

Right from Wednesday morning, we’ve got a tiny 2ft, 6-second windswell that’s just not doing anything for us. The light SE wind is blowing cross-onshore, and it’s making a mess of an already weak surf. The energy is weak, just 28 in the combined swell energy.

This flatness is going to hang around for over a week. We’ll get some clean conditions with the cross-off winds on Thursday, but the swell is still tiny, around 3ft to 5ft, and the period is short. It’s just a lot of moving water without any push. The combined energy stays weak to moderate, but there’s no real swell behind it. By Friday the 7th, we’re looking at knee-high slop at 1ft. The ocean is basically a lake through the end of next week.

Honestly, the second week is pretty bleak, too. From the 9th through the 15th, we’re talking about ankle-biters, ankle to knee-high, with that southeast, short-period swell doing nothing. There are a few moments with decent offshore winds, like Sunday morning the 9th with a light W wind, but there’s just no swell to push.

Now, let’s look at the one tiny light at the end of the tunnel. If you’re patient, the weekend of the 16th and 17th starts to show a little life. On Sunday the 16th, we finally get a pulse of ENE swell coming in at 5ft to 5ft, with a short 6-second period. The energy is moderate, around 134 to 153. The winds are cross-off, so it will be clean, but that short period means it’s going to be a bit messy and closed-out. Still, it’s the biggest surf we’ve seen, and it’s clean, so if you’re desperate, that’s your call. Monday the 17th has 3ft of ENE energy, and it’s the first time we get a “surfable” rating, but it’s ordinary.

Here’s the thing: water temperature is 76°, which is 3° warmer than normal for this time of year, so a touch warmer than you’d expect. But that’s about all the excitement we’re getting. Sea Girt is exposed, and we’re looking for ENE swell, and we just don’t have any real groundswell in the window. It’s a frustrating run, but this is a consistent spot, so when it turns on, it turns on. Forecasts change, so I wouldn’t write the whole stretch off just yet.

There’s one option that stands out head and shoulders above the rest, but it’s far out there. The 16th and 17th, while not big in period, is the strongest pulse we see. It’s not for beginners at 5ft, but for the rest of us, it might be the only time we get a real wave under our feet. Keep your expectations low, but keep your eyes on that Sunday. It’s a long way off, so don’t book your flights yet, but it’s a promising sign.

Rusty, signing off.

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