Surf Forecasts:
Bay Head surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, ESE swell with 151 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bay Head this week:
The surf forecast for Bay Head over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bay Head in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bay Head over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here, and let me tell you, the surf outlook for Bay Head over the next couple of weeks is a tough one. We got a lot of time ahead with barely anything to ride. It's gonna be a test of patience.
First, let’s talk about the water. It’s sitting at 74°, which is a full 4° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s really unusual, feels like the ocean hasn't got the memo that autumn's here.
Now, for the bad news. Right off the bat, Thursday morning has a small 3ft wave with a weak 6-second period. The wind is light offshore, so it’ll be clean, but there’s just no power. The energy is weak (57). It's surfable, but it's those very ordinary, nothing-special waves.
Friday and Saturday go almost flat, with waves dropping to 1-2ft. Cross-shore winds will mess up the surface anyway. Not worth looking at.
Sunday morning, we get a brief moment of hope. It’s glassy, clean, with 3ft waves. But again, the period is super short (5 seconds), so it’s gonna be weak and mushy. Not a classic.
Then we hit a stretch from Monday to the next weekend where the onshore winds ruin everything. Tuesday gets a little size at 4ft, but it’s accompanied by a moderate cross-onshore breeze, making it choppy and lumpy. The period is still short (6 seconds), so no good.
The big event is on the 21st of September. A swell from the ENE builds to 7ft, and the energy readings jump into the hundreds (366, then 497). This is real swell. But the wind is blowing 19-22 mph from the same direction, turning it into a complete, blown-out mess. It’s big, but it’s ugly. That’s kite-surfing weather, not paddle-surfing weather. Then the 22nd brings a full gale, with 40 mph winds and rain. The ocean will be a washing machine.
There is one saving grace on the 23rd, when the wind finally drops and shifts to the northwest. The surf will be back down to 3ft and the conditions will be clean again. But the energy is weak and it's not going to be anything special.
Honestly, the only decent window is that glassy Sunday morning, but it's small. The bigger swell on the 21st is completely ruined by the wind. We just have to sit this one out. The conditions aren't terrible for long, and a forecast can change, but for now, don't expect much. Keep the board in the car.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 22°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 27°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | SSE 4 | S 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 48 | 86 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 28 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 102 | 110 | 82 | 47 | 25 | 39 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:20AM0.10m | 10:35PM0.11m | 11:06AM0.10m | 11:20PM0.10m | 11:49AM0.11m | 00:03AM0.10m | 12:32PM0.10m | 00:46AM0.09m | 1:16PM0.10m | 1:31AM0.09m | 2:00PM0.10m | 2:19AM0.08m | 2:46PM0.09m | 3:08AM0.08m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:34PM-0.00m | 5:07AM-0.01m | 5:24PM-0.00m | 5:50AM-0.01m | 6:10PM-0.00m | 6:30AM-0.01m | 6:54PM-0.00m | 7:07AM-0.00m | 7:36PM0.00m | 7:44AM0.01m | 8:19PM0.01m | 8:20AM0.01m | 9:04PM0.02m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 30 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
Feels °C | 26 | 31 | 28 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 21 | 22 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | S 7 | SSE 6 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | S 5 | E 15 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | E 5 | SE 13 |
| kJ | 48 | 29 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 82 | 47 | 5 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | S 5 | SSE 6 | — | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 5 | ESE 6 | E 15 | — | E 14 | SE 14 | ESE 9 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | — | 24 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 4 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | — | ENE 3 | E 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 5 | SSE 6 | S 5 | — | — | — | SE 10 | SE 13 | E 6 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | S 6 | — | — | SSE 2 | — | SE 6 | SE 3 | SSE 5 | — | SSW 3 | — | — | — | ENE 3 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | — | SSE 6 | SSE 4 | S 5 |
| kJ | 1 | 86 | — | — | 1 | — | 6 | 5 | 21 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 7 | 102 | 110 | — | 40 | 25 | 39 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 191 | 1016 | 882 | 401 | 0 | 158 | 3 | 68 | 42 | 1007 | 2474 | 1321 | 643 | 29 | 406 | 394 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Jersey | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bay Head Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bay Head provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bay Head can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bay Head surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bay Head) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bay Head may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bay Head is 3 km (2 miles) from Point Pleasant. If you plan a vacation in New Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Point Pleasant. Point Pleasant has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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