Bay Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get straight into it. The honest truth is, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and uninspiring for Bay Head. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf and hardly anything that’s going to get your heart racing. You’re going to want to keep your expectations low for the most part.

The first couple of days are basically a write-off. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th have some weak, short-period swell, but it’s messy and the wind’s not helping. The water’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is something, but it’s not enough to save the surf.

We finally see a little bump in energy on Thursday the 6th, with a more defined south swell pushing through. The morning on Thursday has a bit more size, around 3ft, and while the wind is cross-offshore, it’s clean. The combined energy jumps up to 117, which is still weak-to-moderate at best. By the afternoon, the wind picks up to 19 mph, making things blown out and less appealing.

Friday the 7th is probably the closest we get to a recommendation. The morning has a clean 4ft of south swell, with a light cross-offshore breeze and a combined energy of 142. It’s still only a 1 out of 10 type of day, but it’s the best of a bad bunch. The period is short, around 6 seconds, so it’s not going to have much push, but it’s rideable. The afternoon drops off again.

The weekend is pretty average. Saturday the 8th has some small 3-3ft surf, and the afternoon actually looks clean with a light offshore wind. The energy is hovering around the 100-110 mark, which is weak. It’s the kind of day you’d go out on a longboard and just enjoy being in the water, not for any real waves.

Then it’s a long, flat gap. From Sunday the 9th all the way through Wednesday the 12th, the surf is small and weak, with energy readings dropping to below 50. There’s a bit of a pulse on Wednesday afternoon the 12th, with 4ft of south-southwest swell and energy jumping to 162, but the wind is okay and it’s still just ordinary. Nothing to get excited about.

The second week is even more of a letdown. There’s a brief moment on Friday afternoon the 14th where it goes glassy with a bit of 3ft south swell, but it’s still weak. After that, the surf just fades away. The last few days from the 15th onwards are tiny and mostly onshore, with swell heights dropping below 2ft and energy readings in the teens and twenties. There’s a period bump to 9 seconds on the 17th and 18th, but the swell direction turns more easterly and the size is nothing. It’s a flat spell.

So here’s the deal. If you’re desperate, Friday the 7th morning is your best bet for a clean, albeit small, wave. Otherwise, keep the board in the car and wait for the next system. This is a classic summer flat spell for the Jersey Shore, and it can change, but right now it’s looking like a long one. I’d say the setup looks more interesting for a kite than a paddleboard for most of this stretch.

Rusty.

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