Bay Head Surf Break

Lat Long: 40.07° N 74.04° W

Bay Head Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 05 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bay Head sea temperature is
23.7°C
2.2° 

Bay Head surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bay Head surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, S swell with 134 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bay Head this week:

The surf forecast for Bay Head over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bay Head in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Thu 10th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Best Surf 5PM (Thu 10th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Most Powerful 2PM (Thu 10th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bay Head over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s chew the fat on Bay Head. Honestly, it’s a rough start. For the next week and a half, the ocean is basically asleep. The wind is a nuisance, and the swell is a no-show.

First up, Saturday, September 5th. It’s a flat start. You’re looking at a pathetic 1ft dribble from the east, with a cross-on breeze from the ESE at 3 mph. The water is a weird 75°, which is about 4° warmer than usual – feels like a bath, but that’s the only thing worth mentioning.

The next few days are a total write-off. Sunday sees a little more energy, maybe 3ft, but it’s short-period, choppy junk from the east-northeast. The combined energy is weak, reading 47 and 51. Not worth a paddle.

The whole week is a flat, windy mess. Monday and Tuesday are tiny, with waves dropping to 1ft. The wind does swing offshore for a few mornings, from the north-northwest and west-northwest, keeping the surface clean, but there’s zero push from the ocean. The combined energy on Wednesday morning, September 9th, is a laughable 8. It’s a dead flat spell that stretches all the way through the middle of the month.

There’s a tiny glimmer on Thursday afternoon, September 10th, when the wind finally goes offshore from the west-southwest at 6 mph. The swell is still only 3ft from the south, with a short period, but the combined energy climbs to 65. The conditions are described as “surfable but very ordinary”. It’s a one out of ten, and that’s the best we’ll see for a while.

The next week is more of the same – small, messy, and mostly side-shore winds. The combined energy stays in the low double digits, barely breaking 50. It’s a genuine drought.

Now, here’s the curveball. Look out to Thursday, September 17th. The models are showing a sudden, violent spike. A 10ft swell from the east-northeast is forecast to hammer the coast, with a combined energy reading of 1180 – that’s a massive, powerful pulse. The wind is expected to be light and cross-shore from the north at 6 mph, which would be clean. But – and this is a huge but – the guidance is screaming: "the swell is predicted to be too big for this break." This is a beach/jetty spot, and a 10ft wave with an 8-second period from the east is going to be a dangerous close-out, a real washing machine. It’s for the absolute top-tier experts only. The Friday morning after that, the swell drops to 8ft, but the wind is onshore from the east-northeast, making it a complete mess.

The following Saturday, September 19th, things settle down a bit. We get a 5ft easterly swell, and the wind goes light and cross-off from the southwest in the afternoon. The combined energy is 515, which is strong, and the conditions are called “very good”. This is the one to watch. It’s a solid, clean, and powerful day, but still a heavy wave for a beginner.

So, the bottom line: the first nine days are a total loss. The only true standout, if you’re an expert, is the afternoon of Thursday, September 17th, but it’s a dangerous, oversized beast. The more realistic call for the best surf on offer is the afternoon of Saturday, September 19th, with a solid 5ft from the east-southeast, clean faces, and a lot of energy. That’s your window.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 19°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 20°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed afternoon).

Sat
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
6
0.3
E
6
0.9
ENE
5
0.9
E
5
0.6
E
6
0.5
E
9
0.4
ENE
10
0.3
E
10
0.3
E
10
0.2
ENE
9
0.2
ESE
9
0.1
SE
10
0.2
ESE
10
0.2
ESE
9
0.9
S
7
0.8
S
7
0.6
S
6
0.6
S
7
0.5
S
7
0.7
ENE
4
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7
7
42
45
28
45
30
16
16
8
8
4
9
8
70
57
29
36
24
14
Wind (km/h)
5
ESE
10
ENE
20
ENE
10
ESE
10
NW
15
NNW
10
S
15
WNW
10
WNW
15
SSE
15
SW
15
SSW
35
SSW
30
SW
20
WSW
10
WSW
10
W
15
NW
10
NW
20
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
5:37PM0.09m
6:22AM0.08m
6:47PM0.10m
7:32AM0.08m
7:55PM0.10m
8:36AM0.09m
8:55PM0.10m
9:31AM0.09m
9:48PM0.11m
10:20AM0.10m
10:35PM0.11m
11:06AM0.10m
11:20PM0.10m
Low Tide
00:45AM0.01m
12:42PM0.01m
1:48AM0.01m
1:48PM0.01m
2:43AM0.00m
2:47PM0.00m
3:34AM-0.00m
3:42PM-0.00m
4:22AM-0.01m
4:34PM-0.00m
5:07AM-0.01m
5:24PM-0.00m
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:28
6:28
6:30
6:30
6:31
6:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:22
7:20
7:17
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:12
 mm
1
2
1
1
8
Temp °C
25
25
20
21
20
22
24
23
23
25
24
23
26
24
26
31
25
23
26
22
Feels °C
24
25
18
20
19
19
22
20
22
24
22
22
22
21
24
30
25
21
24
17
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bay Head Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bay Head provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bay Head can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bay Head surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bay Head) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bay Head may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bay Head is 3 km (2 miles) from Point Pleasant. If you plan a vacation in New Jersey, look for hotels and other accommodation in Point Pleasant. Point Pleasant has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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