Osbourne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks at Osbourne are looking pretty flat and uninspiring. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf ahead, so if you’re chasing waves, you’re going to need some patience. The first real chance of anything worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until mid-month, and even then, it’s not going to be anything to write home about.

The next few days are a write-off. Thursday and Friday are tiny, with the swell hanging around 2ft to 3ft and short, gutless periods. The water temp is 62°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. It’s just flat and ordinary.

The weekend and the start of next week don’t offer much hope either. We’re looking at waves under 2ft, mostly wind-affected and messy. There’s a bit of a clean-up on Monday morning with a light offshore, but the swell is just too small to bother with. You’d be better off finding something else to do.

The middle of next week, around Wednesday the 12th, sees a tiny bump in energy, but we’re still talking about waist-high slop at best. The swell direction is from the SSW, which is a bit cross to the point, so it’s not going to be breaking with any real shape. The energy is weak, around 87, so it’s just not doing anything.

The first day that might actually be worth a look is Saturday the 15th. The swell picks up a touch to 5ft, but it’s coming with a strong cross-onshore wind and a short period. This is going to be a mess – choppy, bumpy, and ugly. For a point break, this is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day. The energy is moderate, around 125, but the wind is going to ruin it.

Now, Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are the pick of the fortnight, if you can call it that. Sunday morning is still windy, but the afternoon cleans up with a cross-off breeze and the swell holds around 4ft. Monday morning looks the best: a gentle offshore from the northwest, a clean 3ft of SSW swell, and the period stretches out to 8 seconds. The energy jumps up to 139, which is the strongest we’ve seen. It’s still not big, but it’s clean and has a bit of push. This is the one to aim for if you’re keen.

After that, the taps get turned off again. The rest of the week sees the swell dropping back under 2ft, and it’s all over by the following weekend. The long-range stuff is just a tease.

So, overall, don’t hold your breath. The one standout is Monday the 17th, with clean conditions and the most energy we’re going to see. It won’t be epic, but it’ll be the most surfable the place gets. Everything else is a flat, blown-out mess.

Rusty.

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