Canova Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and uninspiring for our stretch of coast. We’re looking at a lot of small, weak swells and less-than-ideal winds. It's going to be a test of patience more than anything.

For the next week, we’ve got ankle-biters at best. Through the coming days, wave heights will be struggling to reach even 3 feet. The periods are short, mostly in that 7-9 second range, which means disorganized, weak waves. There’s a bit of lump and bump from cross-shore breezes most afternoons. Saturday the 5th has a hint of a wave, but it’s a jumble. The first real clean windows we see are on the mornings of Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th, when a light offshore or glassy wind should make the most of what’s out there. We’re talking waves around the 2 ft to 2 ft mark, so it’s more about getting some glide on a longboard than any real power. The energy is weak, sitting in the 80s (combined energy 84 and 59 respectively), but at least it’ll be clean. You’ll want to get out early before the onshore kicks in. The water temp is a warm 84°F, which is about normal for this time of year.

Then we hit a real dry spell. From around Friday the 11th through Wednesday the 17th, it drops off significantly. We’re looking at a solid gap of several days where there’s simply nothing rideable. The swell disappears and we’re left with dribbles and onshore slop. Keep the board in the car, but honestly, there’s no reason to get salty about it.

Now, there’s a hint of life on the horizon. Things start to pick up towards the end of the period, on Friday the 18th and into the weekend of the 19th and 20th. The swell starts to build, with the summary swell height getting up to around the 3 ft mark. The energy also jumps, hitting the 150s and beyond (combined energy 156, 162, and 167). The direction is NE, which is right in the optimum window for Canova Beach. The period stretches out a touch, up to 9 or 10 seconds. The downside? The wind turns cross-on from the ENE and gets fresh, especially on Sunday the 20th when it's blowing at 19 mph. It’s going to be lumpy and choppy, but there will be some push to it. This might be more interesting for the kite crowd than for pure paddle surfing, given the wind and the beach break setup.

So, mark your calendar for the tail end of the forecast. Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th look like your best bets for the biggest waves on offer. It won’t be perfect, but with everything else being so flat, it’s the most promising window we’ve got. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s the only time there’s any real hope for a proper session.

Stay patient out there. This is a lull, but it won't last forever.

Rusty

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