Canova Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – this next stretch is a tough one. We’ve got a long, quiet run ahead with barely a ripple worth paddling for. The good news? There’s a tiny window of hope right at the end, but you’ll need patience.

Right now and for most of the next couple of weeks, the swell is tiny. We’re talking knee-high dribble at best. For Canova Beach, the water’s sitting at a warm 84°, which is about average for this time of year. The energy in the water is weak – you’re looking at a combined swell energy of just 31 (weak) on Sunday the 26th, and it drops even lower from there. The wind is all over the shop, but mostly onshore or cross-shore, making what little there is messy and unappealing. The period is short, around 8 seconds or less, so it’s weak, wind-slop, not proper groundswell. Honestly, it’s not worth suiting up.

That poor run hangs around for days. From the 27th through to the 31st, we see surf heights barely reaching 1 ft, with combined swell energy values dropping to single digits – that’s barely a bump. Winds are varying, but even the clean offshore moments on the 27th morning and 30th morning can’t do anything with almost no swell. The first week of August keeps the same story: tiny waves, mostly cross or onshore winds, and poor conditions. A few days like the 2nd of August afternoon show a slight lift to 2 ft and east-southeast swell, with a light offshore wind, and the combined energy nudges up to 107 (moderate). That’s the first hint of something surfable, but it’s still ordinary.

The real standout – and the only one worth marking on your calendar – is the 2nd of August Sunday afternoon. We’ve got 2 ft of east-southeast swell, period around 8 seconds, and a light offshore wind from the west-southwest. The combined swell energy hits 107 (moderate), which is the best we see in this entire forecast. It’s not big, but with clean, glassy conditions, it’ll offer a few fun little runners for a log or a mid-length. It won’t be pumping, but it’s the pick of a very lean period.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. From the 3rd of August onward, we’re looking at waves under 2 ft, with the occasional spike in energy but still poor quality. Winds are mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the period stays short – mostly 6 to 8 seconds. The 5th of August morning has glassy conditions, but with only 2 ft and a period of 4 seconds, it’s barely a ripple. The 7th of August sees a longer period of 11 seconds on a tiny 0.7 ft north-east swell, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy – not worth it.

So here’s the deal: if you’re desperate for a paddle, aim for Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon. That’s your best chance. The rest of the time? Leave the board at home. A long dry spell like this can change fast, so keep an eye on the charts, but for now, it’s a tough stretch.

Rusty.

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