Canova Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Folks, it’s Rusty here. I’ve looked over the next 16 days for our stretch of beach, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a tough run. The swell is tiny, and the wind is all over the place. There’s no real stand-out swell to get excited about. We’ve got a few windows where the conditions clean up, but the waves are ankle-to-knee high at best. From now through to the end of July, most days are a write-off with cross-shore and onshore winds messing up what little energy there is. The first real chance to get wet comes around Saturday, July 25th, and then again on Sunday, July 26th, but the rest is a long gap of flat, poor quality surf.

Canova Beach is the only spot in the mix. The water is sitting at a warm 84°F, which is right about average for this time of year, so no need for a thick suit.

Let’s break it down. The first half of the week is pretty grim. Monday, July 20th, starts with a tiny 1ft SSE swell and a cross wind, making it a complete no-go. Tuesday and Wednesday are more of the same—small, choppy, and cross-on. By Thursday, July 23rd, we get a bit of onshore wind from the east, but the swell is still only 1ft to 2ft and weak (combined energy around 24 to 45). Friday, July 24th, is still small and onshore.

Now, Saturday, July 25th, morning is our first real peek at something. The wind turns light cross-off from the south, and the swell is 2ft from the east at 8 seconds. The energy is weak (45), but it’s clean. The word is “surfable waves but very ordinary.” It’s not going to get your heart pumping, but if you’re desperate, you could get a couple of little waist-high runners. The afternoon gets messy again with a risk of thunderstorms and a cross-on wind.

Sunday, July 26th, morning is the best shot in the whole 16 days. We’ve got a light offshore wind from the west at 9 mph, with the same 2ft east swell. The energy is still weak (42), but the wind is offshore and clean. It’s the only time the wind is truly working for us. The afternoon goes glassy, but the swell drops to 2ft and the energy fades to 32, so it’s flat and glassy—nice to look at, but not much to ride.

After that, from Monday, July 27th, through to the end of the forecast on Tuesday, August 4th, it’s a long stretch of tiny surf. The swell is 1ft to 2ft with weak energy (11 to 101). The wind is mostly cross-off or offshore, so it’s clean, but there’s simply no power. The only slight bump in energy comes on Friday, July 31st, afternoon, when the combined energy hits 101 (moderate), but the swell is still only 2ft from the ESE at 10 seconds. It’s a tease. The sets will be few and far between.

For a beginner, the swell never gets above 5ft, so it’s safe for learning, but the lack of waves makes it tough for anyone. This isn’t a spot for kitesurfing either—the wind is too light and variable.

Look, this is a tough outlook. The forecast can shift, and sometimes a small bump can surprise you, but right now, the only window worth paddling out for is Sunday morning, July 26th. Even then, keep your expectations low. We’ll see what the next update brings.

Rusty.

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