Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, switching to feet and knots for you. Gonna be straight with you – this 16-day stretch at Tea Break is a tough one to crack. This is a consistent reef break, but the numbers just aren't lining up for any quality waves. The wave energy is weak for the vast majority of the run, and the wind is almost always cross-shore, putting a chop on the face. We’re looking at a big gap of poor conditions from the start.

We kick off on Thursday, September 3rd, with a tiny 2ft swell from the east, period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is a measly 65 – just a weak little pulse. The wind is a cross-shore breeze at 9 mph, and it’s got a slight chop. That’s the story for the next few days: tiny swell, cross-shore wind, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions.” Through Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, the swell stays below 3ft, and the period is short, mostly 4 to 8 seconds. The water is 85°, about average for the time of year, but that doesn’t help the waves.

The first real sign of life in the energy comes on Tuesday, September 8th, in the morning. The combined energy hits 113 (moderate), but the swell is still only 3ft from the east, period 8 seconds, and the wind is still that same cross-shore breeze. It’s a tease. The swell builds a bit through the middle of the following week, with Wednesday afternoon, September 9th, showing 5ft from the east, period of 6 seconds, and energy up to 207. But it’s still cross-shore, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions.” The size is getting up there, but it’s a short-period windswell, so it’ll be choppy and weak.

The best-looking energy window comes on Thursday, September 10th, through Saturday, September 12th. The swells are between 4ft and 6ft, with energy readings in the 240 to 290 range – that’s solid, moderate energy. The swell direction is still east, period around 6 to 8 seconds. But here’s the rub: the wind is mostly cross-shore. The only slight glimmer is on Saturday afternoon, September 12th, when the wind swings to a cross-offshore direction from the ESE at 12 mph, and the wave comment says “clean.” That’s the *only* time in the whole outlook the waves look clean. That afternoon has a 6ft swell from the east, period of 6 seconds. It’s not a standout – the period is too short, and it’s a beach-and-reef setup, so that mid-size, short-period swell might actually be more interesting for kite surfing than a proper paddle. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have some company.

After that, it fades. From Sunday, September 13th, onward, the swell drops back under 4ft, and the energy falls off. The last week of the outlook is a real letdown, with tiny swells, cross-shore wind, and poor conditions. There’s a brief glimmer on Wednesday, September 16th, with a long-period groundswell of 1.0ft from the NNE at 14 seconds, but that’s a whisper, not a wave. The energy is only 80. So, for the entire 16-day run, if you’re looking for a classic surf session, this isn’t the spot. The only time it’s even worth a look is that Saturday afternoon, September 12th, but keep your expectations in check.

Rusty.

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