Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – we’re looking at a pretty grim run at Tea Break. This is a reef break, and it’s exposed to NNE swell, but the wind is locked in from the east for the entire forecast period, blowing cross-shore and never letting up. That means the surface is always chopped or lumpy, and the wave quality is shot. The water temp is sitting at 84°F with a tiny anomaly of 0.4°F, so it’s bang on average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The outlook starts now and stretches 16 days, but don’t get your hopes up. From Wednesday 19th August through to Friday 28th August, every session is rated poor. The swell is mostly small, 2ft to 6ft, from the east, with short periods of 5 to 8 seconds – that’s weak, windswell stuff. The combined energy readings are low to moderate at best (148 to 480), but with constant cross-shore winds of 9 to 19 mph, it’s always messy. There’s a persistent cross-chop, and afternoons get lumpy under fresh breezes. A few mornings have light breezes, but still cross-shore, so it’s never clean.

Around Saturday 29th August morning, things get a little interesting. The swell picks up to 5ft from the east, period 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 397 – still moderate, but the wind is a light cross-shore breeze. The forecast calls it “marginal” with questionable tide conditions, so it’s a gamble. That’s the first hint of something surfable, but it’s not a standout.

The real blip comes on Monday 31st August. The morning has 5ft east swell with a 12-second period – that’s a longer period groundswell, more energy – and the combined energy hits 716 (strong). The wind is light cross-shore. Still marginal, but with that longer period, Tea Break as a reef might actually shape up a bit. Afternoon drops to 5ft, 11 seconds, and 601 energy, again marginal. Tuesday 1st September morning keeps that trend with 4ft, 10 seconds, and 269 energy, but then it fades quickly.

After that, from Tuesday 1st September afternoon onward, it’s back to poor conditions with dropping swell. By Wednesday 2nd September, the energy is weak (73) and the swell is tiny. The whole period never really delivers clean surf, but the best bet is 31st August morning if you’re desperate and want to roll the dice on a reef break with some longer-period energy.

So, to sum it up: there’s no solid day to get excited about. The wind is the enemy here. If you’ve got a kite, the constant cross-shore breeze might be your thing, but for paddle surfing, it’s a long wait. The 31st August morning is the only one that earns a mention – it’s promising but uncertain, given it’s a week and a half out. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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