Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a rough run. We’re looking at a solid 16-day stretch, but the first week and a half is pretty much a write-off for anything decent. The first recommendation doesn’t pop up until the 4th of September, and even then, it’s a grim picture.

The only spot in the frame is Tea Break. This is a consistent reef break, exposed to the swell, and it loves a good NNE direction. But the problem is, the wind is stuck in a cross-shore pattern for days on end, and the swell is mostly short-period, weak stuff. For the first several days, from the 4th through to the 10th of September, we’re seeing tiny waves – mostly 2 ft to 5 ft – with wind speeds of 9 to 19 mph. The combined swell energy is all over the place, mostly weak to moderate (values like 27, 23, 92, 133 – that’s low energy, barely moving the needle). The water temp is sitting at 85°, which is pretty normal for the time of year, nothing weird there. But honestly, the conditions are just poor. That cross-chop is going to make it a frustrating paddle.

Now, the 11th of September afternoon shows a bit of a pulse. Morning sees 4 ft at 8 seconds, but the afternoon bumps up to 6 ft from the east, with a period of 6 seconds. That’s short period, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but the energy jumps to 289 (moderate). The wind is still cross-shore at 16 mph though, so it won’t be clean. A couple of days later, on the 13th of September, things get a bit weird – a tiny 0.3 ft swell from the north with a 12-second period rolls in, but that’s barely a ripple.

The second week stays pretty mediocre. From the 14th to the 19th of September, we’re looking at 3 ft to 5 ft from the east, period mostly 5 to 7 seconds, with cross-shore winds of 9 to 16 mph. The energy is moderate (values like 126, 155, 139, 161). Nothing really stands out as a clean, glassy session. The 17th of September afternoon has a 3 ft swell from the east with a 10-second period (that’s a bit longer, more groundswell feel), but with a risk of thunderstorms and cross-shore wind, it’s not a time to get excited.

The best on offer? I’d say the 11th of September afternoon, with that 6 ft east swell, if you’re desperate for a bit of push. But the wind is a killer. The 17th of September afternoon has a longer period (10 seconds) which would give better shape, but it’s small at 3 ft and the weather is iffy. Nothing here is a standout. It’s a tough outlook.

Tea Break is a reef, so it’s a consistent spot, but when the wind and swell don’t line up, it’s just a frustrating session. There’s a big gap of poor conditions from the 4th right through the 19th. This is just one of those periods where the ocean is having a rest.

Rusty.

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