Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s heading our way.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch for the next couple of weeks. There’s a big ol’ gap of nothing worth paddling out for right from the start. We’re looking at a solid run of poor surf conditions all the way through to the end of August. The first real glimmer of something rideable doesn’t show up until early in the morning on Wednesday the 26th, and even then it’s only a marginal call.

The main issue is a persistent easterly breeze that’s howling across the water, sitting cross-shore for most of the time, which has got the surface all chopped up and messy. The swell is coming from the east, but with short periods around 7 to 8 seconds, so it’s just weak, wind-affected slop with no real punch. The energy is low to moderate, reading between 55 and 470 (weak to moderate combined energy), which is just not enough to overcome the wind.

The only break we’ve got to talk about is Tea Break. It’s a consistent reef setup, which is a plus, and it’s wide open to swell from the north-northeast, which is its optimum direction. But the swell we’re getting is from the east, so it’s not lighting up the way it should. The water is sitting at a warm 84°, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

For the best of a bad bunch, you’re looking at Wednesday morning, the 26th of August. That’s the one day that stands out as sort of promising but still uncertain. The swell is forecast to be a solid 6 ft from the east, with a long period of 12 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s going to pump a lot of energy into the reef—the combined energy reading is a strong 942. The wind is still cross-shore, but it’s a moderate breeze, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s the cleanest it’s going to get. The swell direction from the east isn’t dead on the optimum NNE, but that long period will wrap in nicely at a reef like Tea Break. It’s a decent size, over 5 ft, so it’s a bit much for beginners, but an intermediate should have a fun time. Crowds are possible here, so get in early. The rest of that week stays messy, with a big drop-off into smaller, choppier waves.

So, if you’re desperate, pencil in the 26th. Otherwise, this is a long stretch of flat, blown-out nothing. It’s a tough run, but it can’t stay poor forever.

Rusty.

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