Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've got to be straight with you – the outlook for Tea Break over the next 16 days is a bit of a tough one. We've got consistent swell, but the wind is a real problem. It's a cross-shore breeze from the east almost every day, sometimes blowing fresh, and that's creating a lumpy cross-chop that's just ruining the surface. The water temperature is sitting at 83°F with a tiny anomaly of 0.4°F, so it's pretty much bang on average for this time of year.

The first surf recommendation kicks off on Saturday morning, the 1st of August. We've got a 4ft swell from the east with a short period of 8 seconds and weak wave energy (181). But the cross-shore wind and the resulting chop make it a no-go – the call is "poor surf conditions." This pattern just keeps rolling through the weekend. Sunday morning is the same story: 4ft, east, 8 seconds, weak energy (164), and again, poor conditions. Sunday afternoon sees a bit more size at 5ft, but the period drops to 6 seconds and the wind stays cross. Monday through Wednesday is more of the same – consistent 3ft to 5ft swell from the east, but always with that cross-shore wind and poor surf. The energy stays weak to moderate, hitting a max of 206 on Monday afternoon.

Now, around Thursday the 6th, the swell drops right off. Thursday morning is only 3ft from the east-northeast, period of 6 seconds, and the energy is a weak 63. The wind eases to a gentle breeze, but it's still cross-shore and the conditions are still labelled poor. There's a bit of a pickup on Thursday afternoon to 5ft, but the period is a dismal 5 seconds and the energy only hits 117. Friday the 7th pushes back up to 5ft and 5ft, period around 6 seconds, but the wind is back to a moderate to fresh cross-shore, creating that lumpy chop. This poor run continues solidly through the first week – the swell is there, but the wind is just not cooperating.

Heading into the second week, from the 8th to the 16th of August, the pattern doesn't really change. The swell stays consistent, ranging from 3ft to 6ft, mostly from the east, with periods lingering around 6 to 8 seconds. The wave energy ticks up, with a moderate 223 on the 10th, and then a stronger 327 on the 11th, and even 381 on the 12th. But the wind forecast is the same old story – east or east-northeast, always cross-shore, and often a fresh breeze. The conditions are consistently called "poor surf conditions" across every single session. On the 12th, with swell at 6ft, an 8-second period, and fresh cross-shore wind, the setup looks more interesting for kiting than paddle surfing.

So, honestly, there's no standout day here. The consistent swell is a tease, but the persistent cross-shore wind and lumpy chop ruin the quality. If you're desperate, maybe one of those lighter wind mornings (like the 6th, with a gentle breeze) could be marginally less messy, but it's still a cross-shore and the swell is tiny. It's a blank run, and for this area, that's a bit of a rough spell. Forecasts can change, but right now, I'd be looking for something else to do.

Rusty.

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