Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ over the next couple of weeks at Tea Break.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with ya – this is gonna be a tough stretch. The next couple of weeks are lookin’ pretty bleak for a proper surf. The wind is stuck on cross-shore almost the entire time, and the wave energy is mostly weak, rarely pushin’ past a small dribble. The good news? None.

For the first week, it’s a write-off. From Thursday 3rd September right through to Monday 14th September, every session is tagged as poor surf conditions. The swell sits between 1 ft and 5 ft, mostly from the east, with periods all over the place – mostly short, choppy stuff. The wind is a constant cross breeze, keeping things ugly. The combined energy is under 100 most days, weak and messy.

There’s a slight lift in swell mid-week around Wednesday 9th and Thursday 10th, with the combined energy hittin’ 201 and 306 – so moderate energy – but the swell is still under 5 ft and the wind is cross. No good. Thursday 10th afternoon sees the swell hit 6 ft, but it’s still cross and sloppy.

Now, here’s where it gets a little interesting – but don’t get too excited. On Wednesday 16th September, we finally see a change. The morning brings an offshore from the SSE at just 3 mph, with a 2 ft swell from the north, period 8 seconds. The water is clean. Combined energy is 79 – weak. The afternoon goes glassy with a 3 ft swell from the NNE, period 8 seconds, and energy climbs to 173 – moderate. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Thursday 17th September is the best of a bad bunch. Swell picks up a bit to 4 ft from the northeast, with a period of 10 seconds – that’s a better shaped wave, more energy. The wind is cross-offshore and the combined energy is 268 – moderate. The water is clean. It’s still not gonna blow ya away, but it’s the closest we get to a decent wave in the whole outlook.

By Friday 18th, it’s back to marginal.

So here’s the bottom line: the standout moment across this whole 16-day window is Thursday 17th September. The swell hits 4 ft from the northeast, period 10 seconds, with clean conditions. It’s not big, it’s not epic, but it’s the best chance you’ll get for a half-decent paddle. The break is a consistent reef, so it’ll hold that swell okay. Crowds are possible, so don’t expect solitude. The optimum swell direction is NNE, and this is NE – close enough to be a decent match.

Honestly, mate, if you’re desperate for a wave, wait for that Thursday 17th. The rest of the run is a blank. But hey, for a place like this, these dry spells happen. Don’t lose hope – forecasts change.

Rusty.

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