Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, looking at the whole 16-day window, it's a pretty flat and frustrating run for our region. There are no good surf options to speak of. The pattern is locked into a constant cross-shore wind with a short-period, weak easterly windswell. The wave energy is low to moderate at best, with combined energy readings hanging mostly in the weak to moderate range (like 64 to 92) for days on end. That tells you there's just no push in the water.

The first real week is a write-off. From now through the end of August, every session is described as "poor surf conditions" with a score of zero. Saturday the 22nd has a tiny 3ft easterly swell with a period of only 5 to 8 seconds. That's gutless. The wind is a cross-shore 12 to 16 mph, which leaves the surface chopped up and lumpy. Nothing changes for Sunday or Monday, just more of the same crummy cross-shore breeze and weeny swell.

Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th are more of the same story. The swell tries to nudge up to 6ft on Wednesday afternoon, with a combined energy of 227, but the period is still a short 6 seconds and the 19 mph cross-shore wind will tear it to pieces. It’s not surfable.

Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th see the swell energy climb a bit higher, into the moderate 200-300 range and heights around 5ft, but the period remains short and the wind persists from the east. It's going to be lumpy and poor. That Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep the same pattern, with combined energy even pushing into the mid-300s, but again, it’s a cross-shore mess.

We get a brief flicker of hope on Monday the 31st of August. The morning shows "marginal surf" with a score of 1, a 4ft easterly swell at 7 seconds, and a lighter 9 mph cross-shore wind. The combined energy is 328. But it's only marginal, and the afternoon turns poor again. That's the only time the forecast even hints at a possibility.

From the 1st of September onwards, the swell dies right down. Heights drop to 1ft to 4ft with very short periods. The wind stays cross or cross-onshore, and the energy plummets back to weak levels. It’s grim.

Summary: There is no standout session, no hidden gem. This is a solid 16-day gap in surf. For a break like Tea Break that is exposed to the east, it needs a decent groundswell and cleaner winds to fire, and we're not getting either. The setup is poor for paddle surfing; with the persistent cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions on a reef, it looks more suited to a kite session than a surfboard right now.

Don't lose hope, though. Forecasts change, and a blank run like this tends not to last forever.

Rusty.

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