Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s brewing for the next couple weeks. I’ll keep it real.

We’re looking at Tea Break, a consistent reef break that likes swell from the NNE. Water temp is 29°, right where you’d expect for this time of year, nothing wild.

From Tuesday 11 August right through Sunday 16 August, it’s a dead zone. Swell is mostly 4 ft to 6 ft, short-period E windswell (6-8 seconds), but the wind is cross all day – E at 12 to 19 mph – and every session is marked “poor surf conditions.” Combined wave energy runs moderate (119-471), but the chop and cross breeze kill it. That’s a solid six-day stretch of nothing.

Monday 17 August is the first flicker. Monday morning brings a jump to 7 ft from the E, with a 12-second period – that’s real groundswell. Energy hits 1235, which is strong. Wind is still cross from the E at 9 mph, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. It’s called “marginal” – the size is there but the wind is messy. 7 ft is pushing beyond beginner territory, and on a reef with that long period E swell, it’ll run a bit straight but could still give some better lines. This is your best shot, but it ain’t clean. Monday afternoon is similar, 7 ft, 11 seconds, energy 1059, same cross wind.

Tuesday 18 August morning drops to 4 ft, 10 seconds, with a lighter cross breeze at 6 mph – a bit cleaner but energy is moderate (311) and it only rates a 1/10. Not worth it. From 19 August through 26 August, it’s all the same: small E windswell, 3 ft to 6 ft, short periods (5-8 seconds), cross winds, and poor conditions all the way.

The only real chance is Monday 17 August – that 7 ft groundswell has some punch, but you’ll be dealing with a cross wind. If you don’t mind a little chop, you might snag a few. Otherwise, it’s a long, quiet run. Forecasts can change, but right now it’s slim pickings.

Rusty.

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