Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gonna level with you straight up: this stretch of the forecast is a tough one, and I'm not going to sugarcoat it. For the next 16 days, it's pretty grim across the board for a proper paddle. The only real option on the table is Tea Break, a reef break, and it's a consistent one, but it's being hammered by cross-shore winds for the vast majority of the period. The swell energy is pumping at times, with values hitting 365 (moderate to strong energy), but the wind is just ruining it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

Let's run through it. Friday the 24th kicks off with a 3ft to 5ft ENE swell (period 5-7 seconds) and a cross-shore wind. The combined energy is weak to moderate (117 down to 98), and it's a write-off. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are more of the same—cross-shore wind, messy, lumpy conditions. Swell bumps up to 5ft on Saturday afternoon, but it's still a mess.

Monday the 27th finally gives us a small glimmer. The afternoon sees a shift to a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSE. The swell is 5ft from the east, with a period of just 6 seconds. The energy is moderate (139), and the report says clean. This is the only session in the entire 16 days that gets a score of 1 out of 10, which tells you how low the bar is. It's surfable, but very ordinary. That's your best bet, but it's a poor excuse for a highlight.

From Tuesday the 28th it's back to cross-shore slop and poor conditions. The energy drops off and picks up, but the wind never plays ball. Wednesday the 29th afternoon sees the swell jump to 7ft and the energy to 304 (moderate-strong), but it's cross-shore and choppy. Thursday the 30th morning has a brief moment of clean, cross-offshore wind with a 5ft swell (8-second period, 234 energy), but it's marked as marginal. The rest of the week and into August is a relentless grind of cross-shore winds, lumpy 4ft to 6ft easterly swell, and poor to very ordinary conditions. The last day on the 8th of August is a 5ft, 7-second swell with 284 energy, but you guessed it—cross-shore wind.

So, overall? There's nothing here to get excited about. The only half-decent window is Monday afternoon the 27th. Don't hold your breath for the rest of it. If you're a kiter, this setup might look interesting with all that cross-shore wind, but for a paddle surfer, it's a long, poor run.

Rusty.

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