Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Tea Break are looking pretty grim. This reef set-up is consistent, and it picks up swell from the NNE, but what’s coming in is a real letdown.

Right from Thursday morning, August 13th, we’ve got weak, short-period easterly slop. Swell height is only about 3 feet from the east, with a period of just 7 seconds, and combined energy is a measly 87 – that’s barely a bump. The wind is cross-offshore, which keeps things clean, but there’s just no power or shape in the water. Water temp is 84°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so at least the water feels good.

That same pattern drags on for days. Thursday afternoon, Friday, the weekend… it’s all the same story. Small, crumbly, short-period east swell, cross-shore winds, and lumpy conditions. Friday the 14th sees the swell height nudge up to 6 feet, but with a period of 7-8 seconds and a fresh cross-shore breeze, it’s just a messy, blown-out 2-3 foot mess. The energy jumps up (363 on Friday morning), but that doesn’t mean good waves – it’s just more choppy, junky lines.

Honestly, the only time there’s a flicker of hope is on Monday the 17th. Swell height hits 6 to 6 feet, the period stretches to a decent 10 seconds, and energy readings climb into the 600s – that’s moderate energy. It’s still cross-shore, so it stays a bit lumpy, but the marginal surf forecast rating tells you it’s borderline. For a surfer who’s desperate and willing to work for it, you might find a semi-rideable wall. But it’s still not what I’d call good.

After that, it’s back to the same old story right through to the end of the month. Small, weak, short-period swell, cross-shore winds, and not a single standout in the whole 16-day window. There’s one morning on the 26th with lighter 9 mph winds, but the swell is tiny and gutless.

So here it is: if you absolutely need to get wet this week, the best chance is probably Monday the 17th or Tuesday the 25th, when the swell is at least chest to head high and has a little bit of period behind it. But don’t expect anything clean or lined up. For beginners, the swell never gets over 5 feet until the 25th, and that’s the only day that’s borderline – but cross-shore chop makes it tricky for learning. For experienced surfers, this is a real test of patience.

This stretch looks pretty average, but it’s not unusual for this spot. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but I wouldn’t be booking any days off work right now.

Rusty.

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