Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First off, I gotta be honest with you – this stretch isn’t looking like anything to write home about. Tea Break is the only game in town, and for the first week and a half, it’s a grind. We’re looking at a solid run of poor surf conditions from Thursday, August 20th, all the way through to the end of the month. The wind is locked in from the east, sitting cross-shore with a moderate to fresh breeze, and that’s just putting a nasty cross-chop on the surface. It’s not clean, it’s not inviting, and the scores reflect that.

The swell is hanging around 3ft to 6ft for most of that stretch, coming from the east, with short periods around 5 to 8 seconds. That’s weak, short-period wind swell – not a lot of push, and the combined energy is mostly in the moderate range (98 to 222) which means it’s just not packing much punch. The reef is exposed to the swell direction, but it doesn’t matter if the wind is ruining it.

Now, there’s a little flicker of hope on Saturday, August 29th, in the morning. The wind swings around to the ESE at 9 mph, and we get a clean cross-offshore wind with a swell of 5ft from the east, period up to 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 250 – still moderate, but the clean conditions make it the first real chance for a wave. The score is barely a 1, but that’s the best we’ve seen. It’s a marginal window, and you’ll want to be on it early.

The real standout comes later. Sunday, August 30th, the morning sees a bump in swell to 6ft from the east, a period of 9 seconds, and combined energy of 575 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is light at 9 mph, cross-shore, with only a slight cross-chop. That’s the best quality on offer, and it’s still only a score of 2 out of 10. It’s not perfect, but it’s the pick of the whole 16 days.

Monday, September 1st, and Tuesday, September 2nd, keep the swell around 5ft to 6ft, with periods of 8 to 10 seconds, and the energy stays strong (330 to 661). But the wind is cross-shore or cross-onshore, and the surf is still marginal. The best morning is Tuesday, September 1st, with 5ft and 8 seconds, but that energy is strong (385) and the wind is gentle cross-shore – still not clean, but worth a look if you’re desperate.

From Wednesday, September 3rd, the swell drops off fast. By Thursday, September 3rd, it’s back to 4ft with a period of 8 seconds and energy of 151. The wind is light cross-onshore, and it’s poor again. The last day, Friday, September 4th, is a flat 3ft from the east with 7 seconds and energy of 71 – a weak finish.

So, the bottom line: if you’re itching for a paddle, the Saturday 29th morning is your best early window, and Sunday 30th morning is the only true standout for the whole outlook. The rest is a waiting game. The wind is the enemy here, and it’s not letting up.

Rusty.

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