Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at the 16-day window ahead for Tea Break. The reef is exposed to a north-northeast optimum, but it’s facing easterly swell all period, so it’s a bit of a mismatch. The recent pattern is pretty grim, with a long stretch of poor surf and cross-shore winds that just won’t let up. The swell energy is weak to moderate at best, and the wind stays mostly cross, never cleaning up for a proper session. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

We start off with a blank run. The first few days are a write-off. Saturday 29 August has a 4ft, 6-second east swell with 12 mph cross-shore wind, giving poor surf and a combined energy of just 148. Sunday 30 August is similar, with 4ft, 8-second swell but still cross. The wind is a moderate breeze, and the wave state is cross-chop. It’s not worth paddling out.

Monday 31 August sees a jump in swell to 7ft, 10-second east swell, but the score is still low. The combined energy climbs to 816, which is moderate, but the wind is cross and the surf is marginal with questionable tide conditions. By Tuesday morning 1 September, the swell drops back to 4ft, and it’s back to poor surf. The whole first week is a struggle.

The standout moment, if you can call it that, comes on Monday 7 September. The morning shows 4ft, 9-second east swell with a combined energy of 263, and the wind is a gentle cross-shore, so it’s the best of a bad bunch. The afternoon has 5ft, 9-second swell with energy of 323, still cross-shore. It’s marginal, but it’s the only period where you might find a few fun ones if you’re keen. The water temp is normal.

Tuesday 8 September morning has a 4ft, 8-second swell with light cross-shore wind and a combined energy of 388, but the afternoon turns back to poor surf. The rest of the window, from Wednesday 9 September through to Sunday 13 September, is a mix of poor surf and marginal conditions, with cross-shore winds and occasional cross-chop. The swell stays east, between 4ft and 6ft, but the period is short, often under 8 seconds, so the waves are weak and messy.

Honestly, this is a tough stretch. The reef is consistent, but the wind is always cross, and the swell direction is wrong. If you’re desperate, the morning of Monday 7 September is the only real hope. Otherwise, it’s a blank run for most of the 16 days. The patterns don’t shift, so it’s a waiting game.

Rusty

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