Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Tea Break has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. The entire forecast window is looking pretty flat and messy. We've got a consistent easterly swell poking in, but it's mostly short-period windswell, and the wind just won't play ball. It's a long stretch of poor surf conditions ahead.

We kick things off from July 19th. The swell is hanging around the 4ft to 5ft mark, but it's coming from the east with a short period of just 7 seconds – that's windswell, not groundswell. The wind is a persistent cross-shore from the east and east-northeast, 12 to 19 mph. That breeze is gonna put a real chop on the surface, making it pretty scrappy. The combined energy is mostly moderate, sitting between 169 and 247. There's just no quality to work with here.

This same story drags on day after day. July 20th, 21st, 22nd – the wave heights bobble between 3ft and 5ft, the period stays short, and the wind never turns truly favourable. It’s all cross or cross-on, keeping the ocean lumpy. The combined energy dips as low as 79 on the 22nd morning, which is weak. There's nothing to get excited about.

As we move into the following week, there's a slight change on July 27th. The swell period stretches to 9 seconds, which is a little more promising, and the swell height is a clean 4ft. The wind is a lighter 9 mph from the east, but it's still a cross-shore. The combined energy is a moderate 177. But even with that slightly longer period, the report still says "poor surf conditions" – the cross-chop is still messing it up.

After that, we get a few more days with periods hitting 8 seconds, like on July 28th and 29th, and even a 6ft pulse on the afternoon of July 30th (combined energy hitting 285). But again, the wind is always cross-shore, and the conditions are consistently described as poor. Even that bigger 6ft is sporty, but with the wind on it, it's just a washing machine.

Honestly, looking at the whole 16-day run, there isn't a standout day. Not one. The wind is just relentless in the wrong direction for this spot. Tea Break is a reef, so you'd normally want some clean lines, but with this constant easterly breeze, it's going to be a battle of chop. For anyone thinking about it, this setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the consistent cross-shore wind.

We go from July 19th all the way to August 3rd with no improvement. That's a blank run for the paddler. It’s one of those periods where you’re better off leaving the boards in the shed.

Keep your head up,
Rusty.

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