Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Well, it's a pretty bleak stretch looking out over the 16-day window. The truth is, there's not a single moment where it's worth paddling out. The whole run is a blank, a long one at that.

Looking at the charts, the issue is persistent cross-shore wind from the east, never letting up and never turning clean. Combine that with swell that’s coming from the same easterly direction, and you get slop.

Tuesday, 1st September kicks off with a morning that's just about the best it gets, and that's saying something. Tea Break has a clean sky, a light 9 mph cross-breeze, and 4ft of 9-second easterly swell pushing in. The wave energy sits at a modest 295, so there's some push, but the 'marginal' call is spot on. It's a reef break, exposed to the NNE, and that easterly swell isn't really wrapping in properly. The water's a warm 85°, about average for the time of year. By the afternoon, the wind picks up to 12 mph, a storm risk appears, and it all goes pear-shaped.

The rest of the first week is a write-off. Wednesday the 2nd has a morning with only 3ft of weak 9-second swell (124 energy). Thursday the 3rd is even worse, with a 4-second period hop in the afternoon that's barely surfable. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday are all the same story: tiny, weak, and cross-chopped. The wind is a constant easterly, never dropping below 9 mph and often at 12 or 16 mph. The comment on every single session is 'poor surf conditions' with a score of zero.

Going into the second week, there is a slight bump in size, but not quality. Monday, 7th September sees the afternoon hit 4ft, but the wind is still cross, the period is only 9 seconds, and it's still from the east. The wave energy cracks the 200 mark (206), but the conditions are just as messy. Wednesday, 9th September afternoon has a 5ft swell (191 energy), but it's a short 6-second period and the wind is a moderate 16 mph cross-breeze. Thursday, 10th September afternoon pushes 6ft with 275 energy, but again, a 6-second period and 16 mph cross-wind. That size is getting into the "too big for beginners" zone, but it's so lumpy only a fool would be out there.

The weekend of the 12th and 13th is the same deal: 6ft to 6ft, short period, and lumps. The combined energy hits 341 on Saturday morning the 12th, which is moderate, but the 8-second period and constant cross-wind kill any chance of a clean wave. On Sunday the 13th, the wind even goes cross-onshore, adding more chop. The final days, from the 14th to the 16th, see the size drop back down with no improvement in wind.

It's a long, blank spell. The only positive is that the break is consistent by nature, so when a proper groundswell shows up with offshore wind, it'll pump. For now, save your energy. The easterly wind and easterly swell combo is a dud for paddle surfing here; if you're a kiter with a big kite, the constant breeze might look interesting, but for us, there's nothing to chase.

Rusty.

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