Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, lookin' at the forecast for Tea Break. It's a reef break that's consistent and takes a NNE swell, but honestly, mate, this 16-day window is a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of challenging conditions, with the first real glimmer of hope not arriving until Sunday afternoon, 2nd August, after a few days of nothing but junk.

The water temp is sitting right around average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

From now until Saturday, 1st August, it's a write-off. The wind is cross-shore all day, often a fresh breeze around 19 mph, with lumpy cross-chop making a mess of things. The swell is coming from the east, which is about as far from the optimum NNE direction as you can get, with short periods around 6-8 seconds. The energy is moderate at best, topping out at 342 on Thursday afternoon, 30th July, but it's all just wind-affected slop. The waves are around 3 ft to 7 ft, but with the conditions, it's just poor surf. For a longer period, the morning of Sunday, 2nd August, has a little 4 ft east swell with a period of 8 seconds, but it's still cross-shore and rough.

The first real chance comes Sunday afternoon, 2nd August. The wind shifts to a light cross-offshore breeze from the ESE at 6 mph, and the conditions clean up. The swell is around 5 ft from the east, but the period drops to a short 5 seconds, so it's a bit mushy. The energy is weak (142). It's surfable, but very ordinary. Still, with the wind so clean, it's the best we've got.

After that, Monday 3rd August through to the end of the window on Friday 14th August, it's back to the same old story. The E wind is cross-shore, mostly a moderate to fresh breeze, kicking up a cross-chop. The swell stays around 3 ft to 6 ft, with short periods of 5-8 seconds, and the energy is mostly weak to moderate (44 to 301). The swell direction is all wrong for Tea Break. There's a tiny moment on Thursday afternoon, 13th August, where the wind goes cross-offshore again, but the swell is still short period and poor.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Sunday afternoon, 2nd August. It's the only time the wind gives us a clean surface. The 5 ft east swell is nothing special, but with the light cross-offshore breeze, it's the only surfable option in the entire 16-day forecast. You'll be scratching for waves, but at least it's not lumpy.

For the most part, this is a long stretch of poor conditions. For a reef break that's consistent, it's a real bummer. The waves are too small and short-period for the energy to mean much, and the wind just won't cooperate. The east swell is not the direction Tea Break wants, and the short period means it's going to be soft and weak. If you're desperate, you might get a few on the 2nd, but otherwise, it's a blank run.

Signing off,
Rusty

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