Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break this down for you.

Right off the bat, looking at the 16-day window for Tea Break, it’s a bit of a frustrating run. This is a consistent reef setup, exposed to the north-northeast, and it's an intermediate-level wave, but the wind and conditions just aren't playing ball for most of it. We're looking at a long stretch of mediocrity here.

First up, for Friday afternoon, July 3rd, we've got a weak 4 ft east swell but with a short period of just 5 seconds. The wave energy is low (103), and that cross-shore wind of 16 mph from the east is making for a lumpy, cross-chop mess. Water temp is a warm 83°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, no surprises there.

Saturday morning, July 4th, the swell drops to 3 ft and the energy is even weaker (79), but the wind is lighter at 9 mph. Still cross-shore though, so you're looking at a bumpy surface. By the afternoon, the wind picks back up to 16 mph and the chop returns. Not a good day.

We finally get a little window on Sunday morning, July 5th. The swell is 4 ft, period is 7 seconds, and the wind shifts to a nice cross-offshore at 9 mph. The wave energy is moderate (111), and the report says it's clean. This is the closest thing to "surfable" we get. It’s not going to blow your mind, but it’ll be the best session of the early week.

From Sunday afternoon through to Tuesday afternoon, July 7th, it’s back to poor surf conditions. The swell hangs around 4 ft to 5 ft, but the cross-shore wind keeps things messy. The energy starts creeping up, hitting 240 on Tuesday afternoon, but with poor conditions, it's just energy going to waste.

Wednesday morning, July 8th, is another flicker of hope. The swell is 6 ft from the east with an 8-second period, giving us a moderate energy reading of 341. The wind is cross-offshore at 12 mph, so it's clean again, but the report flags it as marginal or questionable tide. This is the other standout window.

Thursday morning, July 9th, is the last real glimmer. We’ve got a 6 ft east swell, 7-second period, and strong energy (394). The wind is cross-offshore from the southeast at 16 mph, so it's clean, but again, it's marked as marginal. The swell is getting a bit bigger, but the quality isn't there for a great ride.

After that, from Thursday afternoon onward, it’s a grim picture. The swell stays between 5 ft and 7 ft, but the wind is almost always a fresh 16-19 mph cross-shore. By Friday afternoon, July 10th, the swell hits 7 ft, but with a 19 mph cross-wind and a lumpy chop, it’s going to be a battle. This is when the energy peaks at 479, but the conditions are so poor it's more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

The pattern for the second week, from July 11th through the 18th, is more of the same. Persistent east swell between 4 ft and 7 ft, but near-constant cross-shore winds of 16-19 mph. The wave energy fluctuates between 137 and 287, but every session is rated as poor. There are no standouts here. It’s a 6-day gap of really nothing worth paddling out for from the 11th to the 16th, with the same tired story continuing to the end.

So, the best bet in this whole forecast is Sunday morning, July 5th, for the cleaner, smaller waves, and then Wednesday morning, July 8th, for a slightly bigger but still clean option. Even then, keep expectations low. This is a tough stretch for Tea Break.

Rusty

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