Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf. We’ve got one spot, Tea Break (a reef break that’s consistent and works best on a NNE swell), but the windows of decent surf are real narrow and mostly get messed up by the wind.

Right now, starting from Sunday the 30th of August, it’s a write-off. The swell’s around 4ft from the east, but with a cross-shore wind at 12-15 mph, it’s just a messy, choppy affair with weak combined energy (209). That holds through Sunday and into Monday morning, though on Monday the 31st the swell actually jumps up to 7ft from the east with a long 11-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy, showing 1088 in the combined energy. But the wind is cross-onshore and light, so it’s not clean. The afternoon improves: the wind goes cross-offshore at 9 mph, the swell settles to a still solid 7ft from the east at 10 seconds, and the combined energy is a healthy 776. The water temp is about average for this time of year. That Monday afternoon window is the best on offer for the whole outlook – clean faces, solid size, and a consistent reef. But with that size (over 5ft), it’s not for beginners, and since it’s consistent and a reef, it’ll have a few crew out (crowds are sometimes an issue).

Then it all falls apart. From Tuesday the 1st of September right through to Sunday the 13th of September, it’s day after day of poor surf. The swell drops and the wind stays cross or onshore, mostly 9-15 mph, creating lumpy, chopped-out conditions. There’s a brief glimmer on Monday the 7th of September morning – a clean 4ft easterly swell at 10 seconds with light cross-offshore wind and combined energy of 224 – but the window is tiny and the afternoon gets blown out again. After that, it’s back to tiny, weak swells (often under 3ft, periods as low as 4-5 seconds) with persistent cross-wind. The combined energy drops into the double digits or low triple digits – weak stuff.

So, to wrap it up: the only session worth paddling out for is Monday 31st August afternoon at Tea Break. That’s your standout. After that, we’re looking at a solid 12-day gap with nothing worth chasing. For a spot that’s usually consistent, this is a tough run, but forecasts change, so don’t lose hope. If you’re just keen to get wet, the clean Monday morning on the 7th of September might give you a few fun ones, but don’t expect much.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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