Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got coming up.

Honestly, for the next 16 days, the surf scene is looking pretty bleak. There’s a real lack of any quality swell on the horizon, so we’re staring down a long stretch of mediocre to poor conditions. The only break on offer is Tea Break, and even then, it’s a struggle to find a window where it all comes together. The water temp is sitting at 82°, which is spot on average for this time of year, so you can't blame the cold.

We kick off on Tuesday, the 7th of July, and right away it’s a scratch. The swell is coming in from the east at 5 ft with a short period of 7 seconds, and an easterly breeze is blowing at 16 mph, making for a messy cross-shore chop. The combined energy (260) is weak, and the wave comment says it all: poor surf. This same story pretty much holds through the rest of the week and into the weekend. The swell height fluctuates between 3 ft and 7 ft, but that period never stretches out enough to give it any real power, and the wind just keeps swinging cross-shore, killing any chance of clean lines. Thursday morning, the 9th, offers a brief moment of "cross-off" wind with the swell at 6 ft from the east, and it’s marked as "clean", but it’s still just not enough to get excited about.

There’s a bit of energy showing up on Wednesday afternoon the 8th, with the combined energy hitting 402, which is moderate, and again on the 15th of July (Wednesday afternoon) it hits 343, but these are one-off readings. The swell is short-period (7-8 seconds) and the wind is always sideshore or lumpy, so the quality just isn't there. The break is a reef setup, so it needs a good swell direction to work, and this east swell isn't what it's looking for—it wants it from the NNE. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" possible, but honestly, with surf this poor, there won't be anyone out anyway.

After the second week, around Sunday the 12th, the swell drops right off, with heights below 3 ft and energy levels dropping into double digits (91-188). It stays in this weak, messy pattern right through to the final day on Wednesday the 22nd of July. That last afternoon brings 5 ft at 6 seconds with a fresh 19 mph cross-shore. For a reef break setup like this, with that kind of wind and short-period junk, it honestly looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddler.

So, bottom line: there are no standout days here. This is a full-on 16-day gap with nothing worth paddling out for. I hate to say it, but keep your board in the car and wait for a better forecast.

Rusty.

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