Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s coming our way. We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead, so don’t get your hopes up too early.

We’ve got a run of poor surf conditions that just won’t let up. The first recommendation doesn’t even pop up until the 31st of August, and even then, it’s not exactly a day to call in sick for. That’s a solid gap of no real surf to speak of right from the start.

Tea Break (a reef setup) is the only spot on the cards. The water temp is sitting at a warm 84°, and that’s pretty much normal for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

Monday 31st August (afternoon) – This is the first sliver of hope, but it’s a mixed bag. The swell is coming from the E at 7 ft, with a period of 12 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the combined energy is strong (1117). The problem? The wind is a moderate cross-shore from the ENE at 12 mph, which is going to mess up the surface. It’s also a marginal call, so the tide might be a factor. This one is for the keen crew who know the reef, but it’s not the standout.

Tuesday 1st September (morning) – Swell drops to 5 ft from the E, period at 10 seconds, and the energy is moderate (356). The wind is lighter, a gentle breeze from the ENE at 9 mph, so it’s a little less choppy. But again, it’s borderline, and the afternoon turns to rubbish with a risk of thunderstorms. Not the one.

The biggest pulse of the whole outlook hits on Monday 31st August (afternoon) , but it’s not clean. The swell direction is E, and the optimum for Tea Break is NNE, so the waves aren’t really lining up how we’d want. The 12-second period is nice for a reef, but the cross-shore wind is just enough to keep it from being a true standout.

Honestly, there’s no day here I’d be circling on the calendar. The second week is even quieter, with tiny swells and poor quality. If you’re desperate, the 31st is your best bet, but set your expectations low. This one’s a write-off for the most part.

Rusty.

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