Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for this stretch.

Honestly, mate, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window is a bit of a dud. There’s no real standout surf on offer, and the whole period looks pretty average. The wind is stuck in a cross-shore pattern, never really swinging offshore to clean things up, and the swell is short-period, wind-driven stuff. The first few days are a write-off, and the pattern doesn’t really change. We’re lookin’ at a long gap of poor conditions with no real recommendation.

The only spot on the radar is Tea Break, a reef break that’s consistent and exposed to the swell. It’s an intermediate-level wave, and it can get crowded sometimes. The water temp is sitting at 83°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

For Monday morning, July 27th, you’re lookin’ at a weak 3 ft east swell with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is only 117, so it’s weak. The wind is a gentle cross-shore breeze at 9 mph, but it’s creating a slight cross-chop, so the surface is messy. Not worth paddlin’ out for.

Monday afternoon, the swell picks up a bit to 4 ft, still from the east, period still short at 8 seconds. Energy climbs to 169, but the wind picks up to 12 mph, still cross-shore, and the chop gets worse. Still poor.

Tuesday morning, July 28th, drops back to 3 ft east swell, period 8 seconds, energy 103. Gentle cross-shore breeze, slight chop. Still nothin’.

Tuesday afternoon, the swell hits 4 ft, but the period drops to a terrible 5 seconds. Energy plummets to 64. That’s weak, wind-driven junk. Wind is 12 mph cross-shore. No good.

Wednesday, July 29th, morning is 3 ft, and the afternoon jumps to 5 ft, but the period is only 6 seconds. Energy hits 166, but it’s a messy, lumpy cross-chop with 16 mph winds. This is more of a kitesurfin’ setup than a paddle session.

Thursday, July 30th, morning sees 5 ft at 7 seconds, energy 206. By afternoon, the swell hits 7 ft, but the period is still a short 7 seconds, and the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, creating a lumpy mess. The energy is 352, but it’s just wind-affected slop. This is really only for experts, and even then, the quality is poor.

Friday, July 31st, through to the end of the first week and into the second week, the pattern stays the same. Swell heights bounce between 3 ft and 5 ft, periods stay short between 5 and 8 seconds, and the wind is always cross-shore, ranging from 9 to 19 mph. The combined energy values are moderate at best, with the highest being 352 on Thursday afternoon, but it’s never clean. It’s all cross-shore chop.

From Saturday, August 1st, through to Tuesday, August 11th, it’s the same story. No standout days, no clean windows, no real reason to get excited. The wind never turns offshore, the swell never gets any longer period, and the quality is consistently rated as poor. There’s a brief bump on Sunday, August 9th, where the morning swell is 5 ft at 7 seconds, energy 255, and the afternoon is 5 ft at 7 seconds, energy 328, but it’s still cross-shore and lumpy.

So, bottom line, mate – there’s no good surf in this 16-day window. The wind is stuck on cross-shore, the swell is short and messy, and the quality is poor across the board. If you’re desperate, you could try Tea Break on a smaller, cleaner day, but there aren’t any. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the board in the shed.

Rusty.

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