Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with ya – the next sixteen days at Tea Break are a tough watch. There’s no real standout session, just a whole lot of onshore or cross-shore wind messing things up. The swell sticks around, but the conditions just don’t line up for a proper paddle. We’ve got a long gap of poor surf with no real recommendation until we get a sniff of something marginal.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird there.

Wednesday the 12th is a write-off. 4ft of east swell with a short period of 6 seconds and a moderate cross-shore breeze – bumpy, weak, and no fun. The combined energy is only 134 (weak). Thursday the 13th stays similar, though the morning has a cleaner look with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell is still small and short at 4ft from the ESE at 7 seconds, energy at 121 (weak). It’s just not enough.

Friday the 14th morning is the first time we get a “marginal” call. Swell bumps up to 6ft from the ESE at 8 seconds, with a cross-offshore wind and a clean surface. The energy jumps to 364 (moderate). It’s the best of a bad bunch, but the wind is still cross-off, not true offshore, and the period is short. For a reef break like Tea Break, you’d want a bit more push and cleaner direction. Still, if you’re desperate, that Friday morning session is the only one that could offer a couple of rideable ones before the afternoon wind picks up and turns it lumpy.

From Saturday the 15th right through to Sunday the 23rd, it’s a slog. Winds stay cross or cross-on, swell fluctuates between 3ft and 7ft, but the energy is weak to moderate, and the periods are short (5 to 8 seconds). The combined energy tops out at 441 on Friday afternoon, but with a fresh cross-shore and lumpy chop, it’s a mess. Not worth it.

Monday the 17th brings a bump in size – 6ft from the east with a 12-second period, energy at 1005 (strong). That sounds promising, but the wind is cross-on and choppy, and the rating is still marginal at best. That long period for a reef break could make it a bit too straight, and with the wind, it’s not a goer.

Tuesday the 18th morning has a lighter cross-shore wind and a cleaner look, but the swell drops to 4ft at 9 seconds. Still marginal.

The only other flicker of hope is Thursday the 27th morning. Swell picks up to 6ft from the east at 10 seconds, energy at 578 (moderate), with a gentle cross-shore breeze and a clean surface. That’s a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt, but it’s the only day in the second week that might offer a half-decent paddle.

So, the best on offer? It’s a tie between Friday the 14th morning and Thursday the 27th morning. Both are marginal, both need the wind to play ball. If you’re going to pick one, the Friday 14th morning is closer and more reliable. Just don’t expect magic.

Rusty.

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