Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.

Honestly, I’m looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead. The only spot we’ve got to work with is Tea Break, a reef break that’s consistent and exposed to the swell, but the details are just flat-out ugly for the foreseeable future.

We are kicking off on Tuesday, 14th July, and there’s plenty of swell around for the next couple of weeks, but the wind is a killer. It’s coming out of the east and east-northeast, blowing at 12 to 19 mph, and it’s all cross-shore. The wave state describes it as a lumpy cross-chop, and the data backs me up: the combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate (123) on Tuesday morning, but the poor surf conditions label is stuck on every single entry. The swell height is around 3 ft to 4 ft, period is short—under 8 seconds—so it’s weak, mushy, and chopped up. Tuesday afternoon gets even worse with energy dropping to 86 (weak) and a period of just 5 seconds.

This pattern locks in. Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday... it’s the same story. Cross-shore breeze, moderate to fresh, energy readings bouncing between 78 and 234, but always paired with “poor surf conditions.” The swell direction is consistently east, which is fine for the break’s optimum from the north-northeast, but the wind is just ruining the surface. On Saturday, 18th July, the afternoon swell bumps up to 6 ft with energy hitting 221 (moderate to strong), but the wind is still cross-shore from the ENE at 16 mph. It’s a bit more size, but it’s still messy.

The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no real surprises there.

The only glimmer I see is way down the line. On Saturday, 25th July, the morning shows a shift: wind is from the ESE at 9 mph, cross-offshore, and the report says “clean.” That’s the first time we’ve seen that word. Swell is small, only 2 ft, period is 8 seconds, and energy is weak (94), but it’s clean. The afternoon stays gentle with a slight cross-chop, but the swell picks up to 4 ft with energy rising to 195 (moderate). That Saturday morning window is the closest thing to a standout in this whole 16-day window, but it’s still a far cry from good.

For the rest of the run into late July, it’s the same old cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions. By Monday, 27th July, the swell is 4 ft in the morning and 6 ft in the afternoon, with energy up to 219 (strong), but the wind is still cross-shore. It’s going to be a frustrating period for paddle surfing. Honestly, with the consistent cross-shore wind and a beach-and-reef setup, a kite surfer would have a better time of it than a surfer.

So, to sum it up: we’ve got a solid two-week block of poor surf at Tea Break. The only clean-ish window is Saturday morning, 25th July, but it’s small. Hang tight, the forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Read more