Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

Honestly, mates, the next couple of weeks are pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much to write home about, so don’t rush out just yet. The first good surf doesn’t show up until pretty late in the game.

From now, up to nearly the end of the period, it’s a real struggle. Starting Saturday the 12th and running all the way through, conditions at Tea Break are just ordinary. The swell is small and weak, mostly coming from the east with a short, choppy period around 5 to 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-shore, messing things up. Wave energy is weak to moderate at best. The combined energy of all swells directed here is mostly two-digit or low three-digit numbers, meaning weak to moderate wave energy at best. The wind stays a problem day after day, keeping the surface messy. There’s no real quality in this stretch at all.

We get a few days in the middle where the swell drops to hardly anything—2ft to 2ft—with periods that are a bit longer but super weak energy. That’s not going to get anyone out of bed. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing to shout about.

Then, come Sunday the 27th, there’s a glimmer. On Sunday morning, the swell bumps up to 6ft from the NNE with a period of 9 seconds. The wind turns light and cross-offshore, which cleans things up nicely. The combined energy of all swells directed here jumps to 441, which is strong wave energy. This is the standout of the whole outlook. It’s the only time in the 16 days where conditions are described as “expect good surf conditions.” But because it’s over a week and a half away, treat it as promising but not locked in yet. If it holds, that Sunday morning will be the time to go.

Given the setup at this reef break, that NNE swell direction is right on the money for optimum. Be aware that crowds are possible here sometimes. The break is consistent, which is a plus, and it’s exposed to the swell. The size is good for experienced intermediates, and the clean conditions will make it feel even better.

So, the short version: it’s a long, flat, messy run until Sunday the 27th morning. That’s your only real window. Everything else is a write-off.

Rusty.

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