Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s coming up over the next 16 days for Tea Break. I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is showing nothing but “poor surf conditions” across every single session. Not a single recommendation came through on the finder, so we’re going to have to work with what we’ve got.

The wind is stubbornly cross-shore the whole way through, mostly from the east or east-northeast, which isn’t doing us any favours. The swell is hanging around between 3 ft and 6 ft, but it’s short-period stuff – mostly 6 to 8 seconds – so it’s lacking power and shape. The combined wave energy varies from 99 (weak) right up to 280 (moderate energy), but with that cross-chop and lumpy conditions on the afternoons, it’s a messy picture.

On Monday 20 July, the morning starts with a clear sky, 4 ft east swell at 7 seconds coming from the south-east cross-shore wind at 12 mph. The water sits at 83°, which is bang on average for this time of year (no anomaly). That’s about the only nice thing to say. The afternoon picks up a little to 4 ft, but the wind strengthens to 16 mph, still cross. It’s all “poor surf conditions” across the board.

Tuesday 21 July is much the same – 4 ft east swell, short period, cross winds. Wednesday 22 July dips to 3 ft in the morning, the weakest we see, but the energy is down to 100 (moderate low end). Not worth paddling out for.

Thursday 23 July afternoon sees a jump to 6 ft swell, but it’s only 6 seconds, period, with a 16 mph cross wind. That’s a lumpy, choppy mess. Energy hits 235 (moderate), but the quality is zero.

Friday 24 July afternoon also touches 6 ft, again short period, cross wind. The same story repeats Saturday 25 July afternoon with 5 ft and 19 mph winds, turning the surface into a “lumpy cross-chop.”

The pattern just keeps rolling through the end of July and into August. On Monday 27 July afternoon, we see 6 ft – the biggest swell of the whole forecast – but it’s 6 seconds, period, with a fresh 19 mph cross wind. The energy is 273 (moderate, but angry). That’s not a surfer’s wave; that’s a kite surfer’s playground if you ask me. The beach-and-reef setup here just looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those days.

From Tuesday 28 July right through to Sunday 3 August, it’s the same loop: 3 ft to 6 ft, east swell, short period, cross winds. The afternoon of Saturday 1 August even drops to 99 energy (weak) – the only time it dips below 100. The water temp stays around 83° throughout, so at least the water is warm.

Tuesday 4 August finishes the run with 4 ft, 6-second period, and a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon, but still cross winds.

So, there are no standout days. No clean windows, no offshore winds, no long-period groundswell to get excited about. The whole 16 days are a write-off for quality surf at Tea Break. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual – when the wind locks in from the east like this, it tends to stay poor for a while. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d leave the board at home.

Rusty.

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