Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks around Tea Break.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—this isn't shaping up to be a classic run. The whole 16-day window is littered with a persistent cross-shore wind that just won't let up. It's a real shame because there's wave energy pulsing through, but it's all getting chopped up and messy. There are no standout days where the wind cleans up, so we're looking at a long stretch of average-to-poor conditions.

The first hint of any real size comes in on Thursday, the 6th of August, with the swell pushing 5ft by the afternoon, but it's accompanied by a moderate 15 mph cross-breeze, so it'll be lumpy. The combined energy climbs to a moderate 239, so there's push, but it's not clean.

We get a bit of a lull in energy mid-week, dropping to weak levels around 58 to 90 on the 12th and 13th, with swell barely cracking 3ft. The wind is still on it, so it's a skip.

The real power shows up in the second week. From the 14th of August, the swell really starts to build. Friday the 14th sees afternoon waves hitting 7ft from the east, with a combined energy of 437—that's strong, no doubt. But the wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-shore, creating a lumpy, rough surface. That's expert territory size-wise, but the wind is just a killer for quality.

The biggest energy spike hits on Saturday the 15th of August, with the afternoon swell at 6ft and a combined energy of 486. That's a lot of water moving, but again, the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore. It's going to be a bumpy, blown-out mess. For a reef break like Tea Break, this much east swell with a cross-wind just isn't going to produce the clean, lined-up waves we're after. If you're a kiter, this setup looks far more interesting than it does for paddle surfing.

The very end of the run, around Tuesday the 18th of August, the wind does ease to a gentle 9 mph cross-shore in the morning with 6ft swell and a strong energy of 458. It's the closest we get to a clean window, but the swell is still over 5ft, so it's pushing into intermediate/expert territory, and the cross element is still there.

Honestly, the best of a bad bunch is probably that Tuesday morning, the 18th of August. The swell is a solid 6ft from the east, and with that gentle breeze, it'll be the least choppy of the whole period. But I can't call it a standout. The water temperature is sitting at 84°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won't need a steamer.

Bottom line: there's no real "go" day in the next 16 days. The swell is there, but the wind is just wrecking it. Sometimes that's how it goes. Keep an eye on the forecasts, things can change, but right now, it's a long wait for a clean one.

Rusty.

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