Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming at us. It’s a bit of a grind ahead, to be honest. The wind’s got a stubborn cross angle and it’s butchering the quality for a good long while. We’re looking at a dry spell before things finally turn.

The first several days are a complete washout. From Friday the 28th of August right through to at least Saturday the 5th of September, it’s just poor surf conditions. The wind is hammering in from the east or east-northeast, creating that lumpy, cross-chop that makes a mess of everything. The swell is mostly small, hanging around waist-high to a bit overhead (1 to 5 feet), but with that wind, it’s not worth paddling out. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate, often under 200, so there’s no power behind it either.

There’s a tiny flicker on the morning of Sunday the 6th of September. The wind switches to a light cross-off shore from the east-southeast, and the water cleans up. Swell is a meagre 3 feet from the east with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy is only 81, so it’s weak. We’re talking ankle to thigh-high slop. Still, for a surfer who’s been staring at a flat, wind-blown ocean, it’s surfable.

Then things get interesting. The real standout, and the only true light in this whole 16-day window, comes on Monday the 7th of September. The morning starts with some clouds and a glassy wind from the north-northwest. The wind goes totally calm that afternoon. The swell picks up to 4 feet from the east with a period of 10 seconds – that’s quality groundswell. The combined energy jumps to a strong 306. This is the best we’re going to see. Tea Break will be clean, with those long 10-second intervals offering nice shaped waves. It’s a reef break, consistently breaking, and intermediate-friendly with that size. It can get crowded sometimes, but on a Monday, you might snag a few less people out.

After Monday, it’s back to the cross-shore grind. The quality drops off. There’s a pulse of bigger swell on the 9th of September (6 feet), but with a short, weak 6-second period and a cross breeze, it’s a messy, frustrated lump.

Honestly, for two full weeks, Monday the 7th is your one shot. The water temperature is sitting around 84°, which is normal for the time of year, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

That’s the picture, folks. Keep your calendar clear for that Monday.

Rusty.

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