Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you. We’ve got a full 16-day window staring us down, but truth be told, it's a rough stretch here. The surf is on offer, but the quality just isn’t coming together. Let’s walk through it.

The run starts from July 4th, but don’t even bother paddling out on Saturday. We’ve got 4 ft of weak, choppy E swell with a short 5-second period and a cross-shore wind tearing it up. The water’s sitting at 83°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, but the conditions are just poor.

Sunday through the middle of the week sees a bit more push, with swell heights sitting around 4 ft to 6 ft, all from the east. Periods stay short, mostly 6 to 8 seconds, so it’s weak, crumbly stuff. The combined swell energy does build into the low-to-mid hundreds (114 to 385), but the wind is relentless – cross-shore or cross-offshore at best, but mostly just making a mess. There’s a brief window on the mornings of Monday 6th and Thursday 9th where it cleans up a little, but it’s still marginal.

For a standout, you’d have to squint to find one. The best of a bad bunch might be Monday morning, July 6th, at Tea Break. You’ve got 5 ft from the east, and the wind goes light cross-offshore, giving us clean faces. The period is still short at 7 seconds, so don’t expect any grunt, but it’s the cleanest you’ll see for a while. The combined energy is moderate at 168.

But then it’s back into the wind. From July 8th onward, it’s a slog of cross-shore breezes and lumpy, choppy surf. Even on the 19th, with 6 ft swell, the 19 mph cross-shore wind just destroys it – that’s more of a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle situation.

There’s no real highlight in the second week. The pattern of easterly swell and ugly cross-shore wind just keeps grinding on. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on those clean, cross-offshore mornings, but honestly, the forecast confidence is low for any quality.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more