Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

The next 16 days look pretty flat for proper surf. It’s all easterly swell, but the wind is cross-shore almost the whole time, making it lumpy and messy. The only real bright spot is a couple of mornings near the end of the month where the wind shifts offshore and cleans things up a bit. But even then, it’s not great.

The whole forecast is at Tea Break, a reef break that’s open to the swell. The ideal swell direction is from the NNE, but we’re getting easterly swell instead, so it’s not hitting the break right. No water temp anomaly given, so it’s about what you’d expect.

Tuesday 21st July through Tuesday 28th July: Day after day, it’s the same. Swell runs from 3ft to 6ft, with a short period of 6 to 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate, reading between 114 and 304. The problem is the wind – cross-shore at 9 to 18 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. Surf quality is poor, score is zero. Not worth it.

Wednesday 29th July – a little change. The morning has a cross-offshore wind (ESE at 12 mph), which is clean. Swell is 5ft from the east, period 8 seconds, and energy is 247 (moderate). The surf is still marginal, but the score is a 1. Afternoon goes back to messy.

Thursday 30th July – the best of the bunch. Morning has a clean cross-offshore wind (E at 12 mph). Swell is 5ft from the east, period 8 seconds, and energy is 300 (moderate). This is the only session where you might get a few clean ones. Score is a 1. Afternoon gets choppy again.

From Friday 31st July onward, it’s back to cross-shore winds and poor surf. Swell drops to 3ft to 5ft, period short, and energy fades to weak (46 to 280). Quality is poor, scores are zero. The end of the outlook is a total washout.

So the honest truth: the only session worth a look is the morning of Thursday 30th July, and even then it’s marginal. The rest is a long, choppy, cross-shore mess. Sometimes that’s just how it goes.

Rusty.

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