Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about this forecast. There’s absolutely nothing to get excited about in the next 16 days for the surf scene. The whole window is a write-off, so don’t bother checking the cams or waxing up just yet.

The wind is stuck blowing cross-shore all day, every day, with a nasty cross-chop that makes the water look like a washing machine. The swell is moving in from the east, but it’s mostly short-period stuff under 8 seconds, which means the waves are weak and jumbled. The energy is modest at best, with only a few pulses, like the 228 (moderate energy) on Sunday afternoon the 12th or the 209 on Friday the 17th, but it’s all wasted by the wind. The wave height never gets above 1.5m (roughly 5 ft), so it’s not a size issue, it’s just a mess.

The break is Tea Break, a reef setup that’s normally consistent, but with the wind howling from the east and east-northeast at 20–30 km/h (12–18 mph), it’s a total loss. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. For the whole run, the score is zero. You’d be better off sitting this one out.

If you’re really desperate, the only thing worth noting is a gentle breeze on Saturday morning the 18th and Monday morning the 20th, but it’s still cross-shore and the swell is short-period. The waves are around 1.2m (4 ft) and 6–7 seconds, which is just mediocre. The energy is around 131 both days, so it’s weak.

From the 23rd onward, the swell drops off hard, with heights under 1m (3 ft), periods under 5 seconds, and energy below 100. It’s a wasteland. The last few days of July and into the 27th show a little life again, but same story, cross-shore wind and poor conditions.

Look, Tea Break is a consistent reef, and it’s rare to see such a blank run. It’ll come back, forecasts can change. But for now, the best advice is to go do something else.

Rusty.

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