Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m staring at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and I gotta level with you—it’s a tough stretch. The only spot in the game is Tea Break, a solid intermediate reef that usually holds swell, but the conditions are fighting us for most of this run.

We start on Monday the 10th of August, and it’s ugly. Swell is coming from the east at about 5 feet with a weak, short 6-second period. The energy reading is just moderate at 221, and we’ve got a moderate cross-shore breeze at 12 mph kicking up a cross-chop. It’s poor. That theme carries all week. From Tuesday through Thursday, waves run from 3 to 6 feet, but the wind stays stubbornly cross-shore, often freshening to 19 mph, which just wrecks any chance of a clean wave. The energy bounces between weak and moderate, but the quality is flat-out bad.

Friday the 14th brings a bump in size, with waves hitting 7 to 8 feet from the east. The period is still short at 7 seconds, and the energy jumps to strong—481 and 579. But here’s the kicker: the wind is howling cross-shore at 16 to 22 mph. That’s not surfable for most of us—it’s choppy and lumpy, and at that size with that chop, I’d say the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Saturday the 15th teases us with 6-foot waves from the east, period at 8 seconds, energy a solid 442. But again, cross-shore winds at 16-19 mph. The pattern just won’t let up.

Now, there’s a glimmer late in the window. On Monday the 17th of August, we start to see a change. The morning is still average with 4-foot waves and a cross-onshore breeze, but the afternoon brings a 3-foot wave with a very long 13-second period, and energy jumps to 550. It’s rated as marginal, not good, but the tide might be the culprit. Tuesday the 18th is where you want to pay attention—this is the best of a bad bunch. Morning surf shows 6 feet from the east with an 11-second period, which is a proper groundswell, and the energy is high at 743. The wind is gentle at 9 mph, cross-shore but slight. This wave will have some push and shape, but keep in mind that long period swell like this can stand up a bit straight on a reef break, so pick your takeoff. It’s still only a marginal call and it’s nearly two weeks out, so treat it as promising but not a sure thing.

After that, Wednesday the 19th through the rest of the run fades back into poor conditions with small, short-period swell and moderate to fresh cross-shore winds. By the 25th of August, we get another marginal window with 5-foot waves and a light cross-onshore breeze, but it’s rough and unexciting.

There’s no water temperature anomaly given, so I can’t say if it’s colder or warmer than usual, but overall, this is a lean run. The only real highlight is that Tuesday morning window on the 18th, but it’s far out and only marginal. We’re looking at a solid two-week stretch with very little to get stoked about. Tea Break is usually consistent, so it tends not to stay this poor for long, but this time the wind and swell just aren’t cooperating.

Hang in there. This is Rusty, signing off.

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