Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

So, the next couple of weeks at Tea Break are a real test of patience. The first week is a total loss, and we’re basically waiting for a single window of decent surf way out at the end of the forecast.

The first week is a write-off. From Friday, August 28th, right through the first week of September, the wind is just a constant cross-shore, mostly from the east or east-northeast, which chops everything up. The wave energy is weak to moderate (131 to 212), and the swell direction is all wrong. This spot needs it from the north-northeast, but we’re stuck with easterly windswell. The period is short, mostly 5 to 7 seconds, so it’s just messy and lumpy. The water temperature is a warm 84°, which is about average for this time of year, but that’s the only nice thing I can say.

On Monday, August 31st, the energy picks up to 522, and by the afternoon we’re seeing 8ft of swell from the east with a better 10-second period. The energy number jumps to 1218, which is a solid bump. But the wind is still a moderate cross-shore, and the report calls it “marginal.” It’s big, but it’s not clean. For an intermediate reef break, this is too big and messy.

We get a few glimmers. On Thursday, September 3rd, the morning shows a clean cross-offshore breeze and a decent 3ft, but the energy is a paltry 82. Surfable, but you’ll be scratching. Same pattern repeats on September 7th and 10th: clean mornings, but the swell is tiny and weak.

The one to circle, the real standout, is Saturday, September 12th. The morning session is the best on offer. The wind is a clean cross-offshore breeze from the east-southeast, and the swell is shifting to the north-northeast – the magic direction for this reef. The wave height is a modest 3ft, but the period jumps to a lovely 11 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The energy is solid at 256, and the report says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the one. It’s a clean, lined-up, long-period groundswell hitting the reef on the optimum swell direction. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean, and the sets will have some push. For a consistent, exposed reef break, this is your window. The rest of that day is a write-off again, but that morning is worth the wait.

So, to sum it up: the first week and a half is a total bust. The only real promise is that Saturday morning, September 12th. It’s a long way out, so don’t lock it in yet, but keep an eye on it. The rest of the time, it’s just not worth it.

Rusty

Read more