Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what's on offer.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. We're looking at Tea Break, a reef break that's consistent and exposed, but the near-term forecast is a real struggle. The wind is locked in from the east and east-northeast, blowing cross-shore day after day, and most of the time it's a moderate to fresh breeze, which is just going to put a chop on the surface. While there's a bit of swell showing, the conditions are just too messy for a good paddle. The combined energy is mostly in the moderate range (values like 117, 155, 169), but it's all wrapped up in poor surf conditions. The water temperature is 83°F, which is right on the money for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We start off with a real blank run. From Thursday the 23rd of July all the way through to the morning of Monday the 27th of July, it's just a no-go. The swell is small to moderate, but the cross-shore wind is relentless, making it all look like a washing machine. You'd be better off finding something else to do.

Then, on Monday afternoon, the 27th of July, we get a tiny glimpse of something. The wind drops to a light breeze from the ESE, turning cross-offshore, and the conditions clean up. The wave comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," and the combined energy is a moderate 191. The swell is 6ft from the east with a short period of 6 seconds. It's still not great, but it's the first time the ocean looks clean enough to even consider it. But it's still a short-period, weak-ish swell, so don't expect much.

After that, it's back to the same old story. The rest of the week and into the next week is filled with more cross-shore winds and poor surf conditions. The swell energy does pick up a bit around the 30th of July and 1st of August, with combined energy values hitting 356 and 331, which is a solid moderate energy, but it's all with that darn cross-shore wind. The swell is around 5ft to 6ft from the east with a period of 8 seconds, but the conditions are just described as "poor."

For the second week, from the 4th of August onwards, the energy really drops off. The combined energy values are low, often under 100, and the swell is small and short-period. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th of August see the wind pick up to a fresh breeze again, making it lumpy. There's just no standout window here.

Honestly, if you're desperate, the only remotely clean window is that Monday afternoon the 27th of July. The rest of the 16-day run is a write-off. The reef setup at Tea Break isn't doing us any favours with this wind direction. With the significant cross-shore winds and the beach/reef setup, this stretch is looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Stay patient, folks. It can't stay this poor forever.

Rusty.

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