Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, lookin' at the charts for Tea Break. Let's be straight with ya—it's gonna be a proper test of patience over the next week or so. Right from Saturday the 15th of August, we've got a solid block of days where the trade winds are up and everything's blown out. The water's sitting at a warm 84°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothin' unusual there.

For the first ten days, honestly, it's a write-off for paddlin'. The wind is hammerin' from the east and east-northeast at 12 to 18 mph, cross-shore all the way, and it's choppy and lumpy. You get some chest-high swell around 5 ft to 5 ft, but that period is short, mostly 5 to 8 seconds, so it's weak and disorganised. The energy readings hover in the 200s to low 400s (moderate), but it's messy. No point in even lookin' at it for a surf. If you've got a kite, this is your window, but for a surfboard, you're better off stayin' home.

There's a real quiet patch in the middle of the week—around Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st—where the swell drops right off into the knee-to-waist high range, with combined energy fallin' below 100 (weak). It's just a dead period.

Now, here's where I perk up a bit. Towards the end of the run, especially around Tuesday the 25th of August, we start seein' some real grunt in the water. The swell jumps up to around 5 ft, and more importantly, the period stretches out—13 seconds on Tuesday afternoon. That's proper groundswell. The combined energy spikes to 846 (strong) that afternoon, which is a big number. But... and it's a big but, the wind is still a fresh breeze from the east at 18 mph, cross-shore and lumpy. It's gonna be a battle.

The standout here is Wednesday the 26th of August. The swell holds at 6 ft, with a period of 10 to 11 seconds, and the energy is still strong at 646 to 545. The wind eases a touch, but it's still cross-shore. This is the only time I'd even call it "marginal" for a surf, and that's being generous. The waves'll have some shape, but it's gonna be a bit of a wrestle with the breeze. Tea Break is a consistent reef setup, and it's exposed to this easterly energy, but with the wind never goin' offshore, it's never gonna be clean. Crowds are only sometimes a problem here, but with conditions like this, you might have it to yourself.

Bottom line: this is a tough 16-day outlook. There's no real glassy dawn patrol, no clean offshore winner. If you're desperate for a paddle, aim for the morning of Wednesday the 26th of August, when the swell is biggest and a little less lumpy. But honestly? I'd wait for the next forecast to change—it's not usually this poor for this long. Keep an eye out, because when it turns, Tea Break can fire.

Rusty.

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