Tea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s get into it. I’m looking at Tea Break, and honestly, the outlook for the next 16 days is a bit of a heartbreaker. We’ve got a consistent run of swell, but the wind just won’t play ball, keeping things messy. The water temp is sittin' around 83°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year – no surprises there.

Tea Break is a consistent reef break that likes an optimum swell from the NNE, so that exposed easterly fetch is a bit off the mark. It’s an intermediate-level wave, but through this whole period the wind is nearly always cross-shore from the east, at times blowing a fresh 19 mph. That’s gonna put a nasty lumpy cross-chop on the face for most sessions. Wave energy fluctuates, peaking at a moderate 394 (around Thursday the 9th morning), with a short 7-8 second period – so it’s all windswell, meaning it’ll be peaky and kinda weak, without the punch.

There’s no standout day here. Every single session from now through to the 21st of July is tagged as poor surf conditions with a score of zero. The only slight glimmer is the Thursday morning of the 9th, where the wind goes cross-offshore and the model shows it as “clean.” The swell’s about 6ft with that 8-second period and moderate energy at 394. It’s the closest thing to a window, but still, with the wind being cross-off, it’s far from ideal and the swell still lacks the quality of a proper groundswell. For the rest, it’s just a parade of choppy, lumpy, cross-shore slop.

Even for a reliable reef like this, when the wind’s against it, it’s a tough paddle out there. There’s nothing in this run that I’d get excited about. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on that Thursday, but don’t hold your breath. You might find it more interesting as a kite session with that consistent cross-wind and moderate wave energy. Otherwise, maybe give it a miss. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long wait.

- Rusty

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