Coffee Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—looking at this stretch ahead, it ain't pretty. That east wind is just gonna sit on us like a wet blanket for the better part of two weeks. We've got waves on the way, sure, but they're gonna be chopped up, lumpy, and just plain frustrating. Conditions are gonna be poor for a good, long while.

First up, we're looking at Coffee Break for the next several days. We've got a weak to moderate energy pulse coming in, with the combined energy sitting around 244 on Wednesday afternoon. The swell is out of the east at 6ft, but that period is a short, fat 6 seconds. That's just windswell junk. The wind is howling cross-shore at 19 mph, making it a lumpy, cross-chop mess. Water temp is a warm 85°, which is about average for this time of year. But you won't be enjoying it in these conditions.

Thursday and Friday stay in that same rut. Swell bumps up a bit, hitting 6ft on Friday afternoon, but the period is still a dismal 6 seconds and the east wind is still on it at 16 mph. The energy numbers are moderate at best—348 on Thursday arvo, 268 Friday morning. You're just paddling into closeouts and whitewater. Not worth the effort.

The weekend doesn't offer much relief. Saturday morning drops to 4ft with a slightly better 8-second period, but the cross-shore wind, though lighter at 9 mph, is still there to mess it up. Energy dips down to 174. It's still poor, just a little less junky. The whole run from now through the 21st is basically a write-off. We're looking at a solid stretch of days with no real surf to get excited about.

Then, we get a flicker of hope. On the morning of Tuesday, the 22nd, the swell direction swings around to the north, and the period jumps to a long 10 seconds. The height is a modest 3ft, but the energy picks up to 223. The wind is still cross-shore at 9 mph, which is a problem, but it's no longer that relentless east wind we've been fighting. It's a marginal call—just a 1 out of 10 on the old good-surf-o-meter—but it's the first sign of something different. The morning of the 23rd looks similar, with a north-northeast swell and a 9-second period, energy at 227. Still cross-shore wind, though.

This little northern pulse is the only standout in an otherwise bleak forecast. It's not going to be epic, but it's a change. If you're desperate, which I know some of you are, that Tuesday morning at Coffee Break might be your best bet. Just keep your expectations low. That ENE wind is still gonna be there to keep it from being clean.

The whole stretch into the 24th and beyond is still plagued by that cross-shore wind, even if it drops to a light breeze. The swell stays small and period short, and we are back to the same old story.

So there you have it. A long, dry spell with one brief, marginal window late next week. It's a testing time. But that's the coast for you. Keep the boards waxed, and we'll see what the ocean decides to give us next.

Rusty.

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