Coffee Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Gotta be honest, this 16-day forecast is a tough one for the paddle crew. The swell is coming from the east, but it’s weak, short-period, and the wind is locked in cross-shore from the east or east-northeast for almost the whole run. The energy isn’t there to make anything of the exposed reef at Coffee Break. We’ve got a 16-day window, and the first week is a total write-off. You’ll be looking at a lot of bumpy, weak lines.

The water temp is 85°F, which is about normal for the season, so at least you won’t freeze.

Let’s run through it. From Thursday, September 3rd, right through the weekend, it’s a no-go. Swell is tiny, mostly 2 ft to 4 ft, with poor period (4-9 seconds), and the wind is a persistent cross-shore. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the 30s to 60s (low energy), so there’s no push. Saturday afternoon sees a jump to 4 ft, but the period drops to 4 seconds and the wind is still a moderate cross-shore – it’s just messy.

Moving into the next week, Monday September 7th through Wednesday September 9th, the swell tries to pick up. We see heights around 3 ft to 5 ft, and the period gets a little better, hitting 8 seconds on some mornings. The combined energy ticks into the 100-200 range (moderate energy), but the wind is still that annoying cross-shore. The afternoons are a battle with 12-15 mph winds, keeping the surface chopped up.

The only real glimmer comes on the mornings of Friday September 11th and Saturday September 12th. The wind swings to a cross-offshore from the ESE, cleaning the surface. The swell is small, 3 ft and 2 ft, with a 8-second period, so they’ll be weak but possibly rideable. Combined energy is moderate (167 and 107). It’s a glimmer, but not a green light. The afternoon on Saturday 12th shows a jump to 7 ft, but that’s with a 6-second period and a 15 mph cross-shore – that’s a washing machine for experts only.

The second week is much of the same. From Sunday September 13th through Wednesday September 16th, we get a consistent 4 ft to 5 ft swell, but it’s all cross-shore, with moderate energy in the 150-260 range. The period is 7-8 seconds, so it’s a weak, short-period groundswell. The wind never gives up.

The final days, Thursday September 17th and Friday September 18th, the wind goes cross-off from the SE/ESE, which cleans it up, but the swell fades again to 2 ft to 3 ft. The energy drops back to weak (49-88). It’s a clean, tiny wave for a longboard or a foiler, but that’s it.

With the persistent cross-shore winds and short-period, weak swell, this setup at Coffee Break is honestly looking more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. There’s no real standout here. I’d sit this one out.

Rusty.

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