Coffee Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, but this time in feet and miles.

First up, I’m looking at the whole 16-day window, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a bit of a tough one. The only spot firing any kind of consistent swell is Coffee Break, a reef break that’s exposed to the NNE. But the word on the street is “poor surf conditions” for every single session across the entire period. That’s a long stretch of nothing special, from July 27th all the way through to August 11th. We’re talking over two weeks of mostly cross-shore wind and chop, with the swell coming from the east or east-northeast.

The water temp at Coffee Break is sitting at a warm 83°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, let’s walk through it. The first few days are looking weak. On Monday afternoon, July 27th, we get a 4 ft swell from the east, but it’s only 8 seconds of period and the wind is a cross-shore 12 mph. The combined energy is a weak 169 (on the low end of moderate). It’s just not clean. Tuesday morning, July 28th, is a bit smaller at 3 ft, and the wind drops to 9 mph, but it’s still cross-shore. The energy drops to 127. Still poor.

Things get a bit more interesting on Thursday afternoon, July 30th. The swell jumps to 7 ft from the east, with a 7-second period, and the combined energy hits 400 (moderate). The wind is still a cross-shore 16 mph though, so it’s going to be lumpy. That’s the biggest swell of the first week, but the quality is just not there for a good paddle.

The second week, from August 1st onwards, is more of the same. A few pulses of 5 ft to 6 ft swell, but always with that cross-shore wind. The energy climbs a bit – on Monday morning, August 10th, we get a 6 ft swell with a 7-second period and energy of 294 (moderate). But again, the wind is a 12 mph cross-shore. It’s a consistent pattern, but not a good one.

The best of a bad bunch? Honestly, there isn’t a standout. If I had to pick a time to get wet, I’d say the early morning sessions on August 10th or 11th, when the swell is around 5 ft to 6 ft and the wind is a lighter 12 mph cross-shore, or the 9 mph cross-shore session on August 9th morning. The 5 ft swell with 7 seconds and a lighter breeze might be the least ugly. But don’t get your hopes up – it’s all cross-shore chop.

Because the wind is consistently cross-shore and the swell is straight from the east, this setup at Coffee Break is looking more like a kiteboarding session than a clean surf. The reef is there, but the conditions are just not cooperating for a good paddle.

Rusty.

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