Coffee Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise and look at Coffee Break.

Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you. For the next 16 days, Coffee Break is locked into a pretty grim run of surf. The wind is mostly cross or cross-shore from the East or East-North-East, and it’s almost always got a chop on it. The swell direction is coming from the East-North-East, which is a fair way off the optimum from the North-North-East that this reef likes best. The combined wave energy sits mostly in the moderate range, but it’s all short-period windswell of 6 to 9 seconds, so there’s no real punch or shape to it. Every single time slot in the data is marked as "poor surf conditions." It’s a tough stretch.

We start on Wednesday, 22 July morning with a small 3 ft swell from the ENE at 7 seconds, cross-on wind at 9 mph, and pretty weak energy. It’s choppy and messy. That pattern sticks around all day and into Thursday the 23rd. Thursday afternoon sees the swell bump up to 6 ft from the East, but the wind picks up to 16 mph and the period drops to 7 seconds, so it’s just lumpy, cross-shore junk. Not worth paddling out for.

Friday the 24th through Sunday the 27th is more of the same: waist-high 3 ft to 5 ft waves, East wind, cross-shore breeze, and short periods. The wind hits 19 mph on Saturday afternoon, turning the surface into a proper mess. The energy levels are all moderate, but none of it translates to a decent wave.

We get a glimmer of hope on Thursday morning, 30 July. The wind goes cross-offshore from the East at 9 mph, and the wave state is described as "clean." The swell is 4 ft from the East at 8 seconds. That’s the best window in the whole outlook, but it doesn’t last. By Thursday afternoon, it’s back to cross-shore chop.

The rest of the run into the first week of August is a repeat: 3 ft to 6 ft, short period, East wind, cross-shore, and poor quality. There’s a brief clean moment on Tuesday, 4 August afternoon with cross-offshore wind from the ESE, but the swell is only 4 ft at 8 seconds and the energy is moderate.

Honestly, there’s no standout session here. The water temperature is around 83°F, which is bang on average for the time of year, so at least the water is warm. But the wind never really gives us a break, and the swell direction is all wrong for this reef. If you’re desperate, the Thursday morning of the 30th is the cleanest it gets, but it’s still only a 4 ft East swell with a short period. It’s a grind.

Rusty.

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