Coffee Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, I’m gonna be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one. For the whole 16-day stretch, the only break on the radar is Coffee Break, and it’s mostly a dud. There are huge gaps with no good surf on offer, so let’s break it down.

Starting Friday the 4th afternoon: clear sky, but cross-shore wind blowing 12 mph from the ENE is messing up a tiny 3 ft swell from the same direction. The period is a weak 4 seconds, and combined swell energy is a measly 23 – that’s barely a ripple. Water temp is 85°F, right about average for this time of year. The pattern just repeats.

Saturday the 5th, Sunday the 6th, Monday the 7th – each morning and afternoon is the same: swells between 2 ft and 5 ft, periods mostly 5 to 8 seconds, and cross-shore wind keeping things choppy. The combined energy hits 133 and 135 a couple times (moderate energy in brackets), but the cross-chop kills any hope of a clean face. It’s all "poor surf conditions."

From Tuesday the 8th through Thursday the 17th, same story. Swell picks up – we see 4 ft to 6 ft on some afternoons, and combined energy climbs into the 200s and even 321 (moderate to strong energy in brackets) on Thursday the 10th afternoon. But the wind is always cross-shore, 12 to 19 mph, making lumpy, choppy messes. Wednesday the 9th afternoon has 6 ft from the E at 6 seconds, but with a fresh breeze and lumpy cross-chop, it’s just a washout. Saturday the 12th morning finally goes clean with a cross-offshore breeze and 4 ft swell – energy 180 – but it’s still not a true offshore. The afternoon then drops to a tiny 0.7 ft.

After that long dry spell, Friday the 18th morning shows a flicker: "marginal surf forecast" with a score of 1. Swell is 5 ft from the E at 7 seconds, energy 215 (moderate), and light cross-shore wind at 6 mph – small ripples, but the closest we get to okay. Still, 7-second period won’t give much shape.

Then, Saturday the 19th is your best shot. Morning: clean conditions with a light cross-offshore wind from the SE at 3 mph, 4 ft swell from the E at 6 seconds, energy 114 (weak). Wave comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" – score of 1. Afternoon holds similar: 5 ft, 6 seconds, clean with cross-offshore ESE breeze at 6 mph, energy 138. That’s your pick. The E swell matches close enough to the optimum NNE direction for this reef, and the clean wind is a big plus. But with short 6-second periods, it’ll be crumbly and inconsistent.

Overall, Coffee Break is a consistent reef, but the wind just never plays nice. The only real window is Saturday the 19th, and even then, it’s ordinary. For an exposed reef with these cross-shore winds, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing most days. Hang tight, forecasts can shift.

Rusty.

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