Coffee Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our stretch of coast. I’m not gonna lie to you, it’s a bit of a rough stretch ahead. The ocean’s got some energy, but it’s all cross and bumpy. If you’re looking for clean, glassy waves, you’re gonna be waiting a while. This isn’t a time for the faint of heart or the weekend warriors looking for an easy glide.

We're looking at a solid 16-day window with no real standout days, but there are a couple of windows where things might get interesting if you’re willing to wrestle with it. The whole period is plagued by a persistent cross-shore wind, mostly from the east, that’s going to put a chop on everything. It’s going to be a fight out there, not a cruise.

Our main break is Coffee Break, a reef setup that’s consistent. The swell energy is moderate, sitting in the 100-200 range for most of the early days. Friday the 7th is a non-starter, with weak 4ft to 4ft ENE swells and a moderate cross-breeze. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so you won't need the thickest suit, but that wind will chill you down.

The weekend doesn’t offer much relief. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are more of the same: cross-shore winds and junky, short-period swells. The swell direction is ENE, which is slightly off the optimum for this spot, and that, combined with the chop, just isn't going to line it up. The energy is still moderate, but it's all over the place.

The middle of next week sees the swell energy slowly climb. It’s still not clean, but by Thursday the 13th into Friday the 14th, we start to see some more powerful swells moving in. The swell bumps up to 6ft to 7ft, with the combined energy pushing into the 300s and 400s. This is more powerful, but it's also getting more unruly. The wind is still cross, and for a reef break like this, it’s likely to be a bit of a washing machine.

By the second week, things get a bit more serious. The period from the 15th to the 17th sees the biggest swell of the window, with heights around 6ft to 7ft. The combined energy is strong, hitting 547 on the 15th. This is a lot of water moving. The period is only 8 seconds, which is short, and with that cross-shore wind, this isn't for beginners. You'll need to know what you're doing. It's going to be powerful and lumpy.

As we get further out, into the 18th and beyond, the swell stays in the 5ft to 6ft range with energy in the 260-350 range. It’s still cross and messy. The winds don't let up. For the entire window, there are zero days with offshore or glassy conditions. It's all cross-shore, all the time.

Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the mornings will be your best bet when the wind is slightly less strong, but even then, it's not going to be great. Given the persistent cross-shore wind and the growing, junky swell, this set-up looks like it might be more fun for the kite surfers than for us. They can use that wind and chop to their advantage. For us, it's a grind. There are no true standouts here. The swell is there, but the quality is just missing. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s about managing expectations.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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