Coffee Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Coffee Break is serving up over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: this is a tough stretch. We’re looking at a whole lotta days where the conditions are just not playing ball. For the first week and a half, the easterly wind is blowing cross-shore pretty much non-stop, and it’s messing up the surface. You’ll see a mix of moderate and fresh breezes, up to 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop that just makes for poor surf conditions. The scores are flat zero across the board until mid-month.

The swell does come and go, don’t get me wrong. We start off Saturday the 1st with a 5 ft easterly swell but the energy is only moderate at 299, and that cross-wind kills it. We see a drop to smaller 4 ft stuff on Sunday the 2nd, then a bit of a pulse again early in the week, but it’s all with that same onshore-leaning cross-wind. The swell period is mostly short, around 5 to 8 seconds, so it’s weak, disorganized wind-swell for the most part.

Even when we get a bit more size on the 10th and 11th with 5 ft to 5 ft swells and energy climbing into the 200s, the wind is still fresh and cross, so it’s all chop and no shape. Honestly, for a reef break that needs a clean window, this is a write-off for most of the period.

Now, there is one little flicker of hope. On Friday the 14th, things almost come together. We get a solid 6 ft to 6 ft easterly swell, and the wind actually turns cross-offshore for both the morning and afternoon. The energy jumps to 306 on Friday morning and 332 on Friday afternoon, which is strong moderate. The wave comment flips to "marginal," which is the best thing we see. The water is running at about 83°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. But even then, it’s only a “marginal” call, so it’s not a full-green-light day, just the best of a bad bunch. The crowd factor at Coffee Break is "sometimes", so you might have a few others with the same idea.

After that, the last couple of days, the 15th and 16th, we see the swell bumping up to 6 ft and even 8 ft, with energy hitting 378 and 742 – that’s strong energy – but the wind goes back to cross and lumpy. That 8 ft on Sunday the 16th with a fresh 19 mph cross-wind? That’s just a messy, blown-out mess for paddle surfing. Might be more of a kite-surfing setup than anything else.

So, the bottom line: the 14th is your only real chance to get a half-decent slide in with clean-ish conditions. Everything else, you’re fighting the wind. It’s a long dry spell, nearly two weeks of poor conditions, so keep an eye on the forecasts in case the wind lightens up.

Rusty.

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