Coffee Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you about the next couple of weeks. The short version is, we’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch ahead. The wind is locked in from the east, which is cross-shore to cross-on for just about everything we’ve got, and it’s not showing any signs of letting up for a while. The swell is there, but it’s messy, short-period windswell, and the cross-chop is going to make it a battle, not a pleasure.

We’ve got a solid gap of poor surf from Sunday the 9th all the way through to the following Saturday the 15th. During that time, the waves are there, but they’re junky. The east wind is just constantly chopping up the surface, and those short, 6-8 second periods mean the waves lack any real push or shape. It’s the kind of surf that will have you paddling around frustrated, not sitting there smiling.

The energy builds through the middle of the week, with the combined swell energy climbing from a moderate 155 on Sunday to a strong 515 by Friday afternoon. Swell heights are going to push up to around 7ft to 7ft by Friday the 14th, but don’t get excited. That's just more junky, wind-blown water. With that size and that cross-shore wind, it’s going to be a washing machine out there. Honestly, for anyone thinking of getting wet, that setup looks way more interesting for kitesurfing than for paddle surfing.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday morning the 15th. The swell is still up around 6ft and the energy is still strong at 504, but the forecast is calling it “marginal” rather than poor. It’s not clean, but it might be the least bad it’s been all week.

But the real standout, the one you want to circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 18th. The swell is still solid at 6ft, but the period jumps to 12 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The combined energy is up at 809, which is strong. The wind is still cross-shore, but it’s a bit lighter in the morning at 9 mph. This is when the reef at Coffee Break (West Coast) could start to show its teeth. It won’t be perfect, but the longer period will give it some real shape and power. It’s a consistent reef, so it should hold the swell, but that size is pushing it for beginners. Tuesday is the best on offer, no doubt.

The following morning, Wednesday the 19th, might be worth a look too. The swell drops to 4ft but the wind is even lighter, and the energy is still moderate at 326. It’s still cross-shore, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s a more manageable wave.

After that, it’s a slow fade. The swell drops off through the end of the second week, dropping below 3ft by the 22nd and 23rd. The energy falls away to weak levels, and the period drops back down. It’s a classic fade-out, and the surf looks to be done by the end of the window.

All in all, the next couple of weeks are a test of patience. The highlight is Tuesday the 18th at Coffee Break, with Saturday the 15th as a smaller, more marginal option. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s something to get out for.

Rusty, signing off.

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