Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up.

This forecast starts with a bit of a lull, so don't rush out just yet. The first real action kicks off on Saturday the 25th of July, but it's a bit of a mixed bag. The standout window is that Saturday afternoon at Cobden Breakwater. The swell is a solid 13 ft from the west, and the wind goes glassy offshore from the ENE. That’s a recipe for some absolute bombs, clean and powerful. The combined wave energy is seriously pumping at 6274 – that’s a lot of grunt. But fair warning, at that size it’s an expert-only affair. Beginners stay well clear.

Sunday the 26th still has good size, with 7 ft from the west on the morning, and the wind is light cross-off from the ESE, so the surface will be clean. The energy is still strong at 1887. It’s a step down in size from Saturday, making it more manageable for experienced surfers, but still not one for the learners. The afternoon drops to 6 ft, but the wind swings onshore, so the morning is the pick.

From Monday the 27th through to Wednesday the 29th, the swell drops into the 3 ft to 5 ft range. The wind stays light and favorable, off or cross-off, with a glassy moment on Tuesday afternoon. The energy is low to moderate (225–687). It’s clean, small-wave fun, but nothing to get overly excited about.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Thursday the 30th of July through to the end of the month, the wind gets messy. Thursday sees a gusty 19 mph cross-off, and Friday has onshore wind and rain. The swell picks up again to 7 ft, but with poor conditions, it’s not worth paddling out. The breakwater setup will be choppy and blown out.

The first week of August offers one clear standout. Sunday the 2nd of August morning is a cracker for the experienced crew: 7 ft from the west, a very long 15-second period groundswell, light cross-off wind, and strong wave energy at 1733. That’s clean, lined-up, and powerful – best suited to the point or reef setup here. Monday the 3rd is similar with 8 ft from the west, 18-second period, and clean conditions, but that’s getting serious size, expert-only.

The second week of the forecast, from the 5th of August onward, the swell fades significantly. By the 8th and 9th we’re down to ankle-slappers of 1.0–2 ft, weak energy in the double digits, and light winds. Not worth a trip.

One thing to note: the water temperature is sitting at 54°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Best bet overall: Saturday afternoon on the 25th of July for those who can handle big, clean, offshore bombs, or Sunday morning on the 2nd of August if you want slightly smaller but still powerful, clean groundswell.

Rusty.

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