Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the Cobden Breakwater over the next couple of weeks.

We’re starting off with a solid pulse of swell, but this spot is a breakwater, and that wave face is going to be a handful for most. This is a setup for the experienced crew only.

The first real window of opportunity, and it's a standout, is Sunday morning, September 6th. The swell is pumping out of the west at 12 ft, with a super long 16-second period – that’s a deep, powerful groundswell pushing a massive amount of energy (5764). The water is sitting at 55 °F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The wind is light from the NNW, which is a cross-shore, so the surface will be manageable despite the size. But let’s be real, 12 ft is proper big and will be dumping hard on that breakwater. This is for experts only. If you’re not on your A-game, stay on the beach. Between the size and the long period, it’s going to be a serious, heavy wave.

The swell drops quickly after that. Monday morning, September 7th, brings a cleaner 5 ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period, but the wind is a stiff 16 mph from the ESE. It’s cross-offshore, so the face will be clean, but that wind is a chore. The energy is moderate (1105). By Monday afternoon, the wind eases to 9 mph, and the swell drops to 4 ft. It’s clean, but the power is fading.

Tuesday morning, September 8th, is small. We’re looking at 3 ft from the WSW, a short 10-second period, and very light ESE winds. The energy is weak (361). Tuesday afternoon gets a little bump to 4 ft, but the wind swings onshore from the WSW, turning it to mush.

The rest of the first week is a mixed bag of onshore winds and building swell, but it’s all too big or too windy. By Thursday the 10th, the swell is pushing 6 ft with a short 8-second period, but the wind is blowing 12 mph from the WSW and onshore, making it a choppy mess. Friday the 11th sees another massive spike – 13 ft swell from the west with an 18-second period, an absolutely enormous amount of energy (8868), but it’s just too big for this spot.

We’ve got a long gap of poor conditions after that. Most of the second week is a write-off with huge, onshore, wind-whipped waves. Saturday the 12th is a nightmare with 21 ft swell and 31 mph winds. It’s not surfable.

The only other moment that might be worth a look is Monday morning, September 14th. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 6 ft from the west, but the period is short (9 seconds) and the wind is a messy 16 mph cross-onshore from the WNW. The energy is moderate (1010). It’s a junky, choppy wave, not a standout.

Bottom line: The best bet is that Sunday morning, September 6th, for the big-wave chargers. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too big and messy. Keep your eyes on the sky, because the forecast can always change, but right now, the window is very narrow.

Rusty.

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