Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming for Cobden Breakwater.

The next few days are a write-off. Friday afternoon the 4th has a big 15ft swell from the west, but with a fresh cross-onshore wind it’s just lumpy, poor quality. Saturday the 5th isn’t much better – the swell is still 13ft from the west, and while the morning wind is lighter, it’s still cross-on, and the swell is way too big for this break. The afternoon turns ugly again with a fresh breeze. Sunday the 6th sees the swell drop to around 7ft, but it’s rain and cross-shore winds of 22-22 mph, making it lumpy. Not worth paddling out.

Monday the 7th is the first glimmer of hope. The swell drops to 5ft from the west-southwest, and we get a clean, cross-off breeze from the east at 12-16 mph. The water temperature is about average for the time of year at 55°, nothing unusual. The waves are small but clean, and the combined energy (1200) is moderate. A solid option for a fun session, but not a standout.

Tuesday the 8th morning is clean again with a light east-southeast breeze, but the swell is only 5ft from the north-northwest, and the period is a short 9 seconds. The energy is low (518), so it’s not powerful. The afternoon swings to onshore, so the morning is the pick.

Now, Wednesday the 9th is where things get interesting. The morning has 6ft of west swell at 12 seconds, light offshore wind from the east, and clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate (1238). This is excellent for experienced surfers, but the swell is over 5ft, so it’s maybe too much for beginners. The afternoon is still 6ft but with a light cross-shore, not as good.

Thursday the 10th morning has 7ft of west swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s weak. The wind is cross-off, so it’s clean, but the energy (1062) is moderate. The afternoon goes onshore and ugly.

The real standout is Friday the 11th. The morning shows a massive 13ft west swell with a very long period of 18 seconds, a light offshore breeze, and clean conditions. The combined energy is a huge 11688. This is a true groundswell, but it’s way too big for this break – the data says it’s too big. This is strictly for experts only, and the long period will make it break straight at this beach break, so it’s going to be a beast. The afternoon is still 12ft from the west, also too big.

The weekend of the 12th and 13th is mixed. Saturday the 12th is blown out with strong onshore winds. Sunday the 13th morning, however, is a gem: 6ft of west-southwest swell at 15 seconds, and glassy conditions with a light south-southwest breeze. The energy is moderate (2053), and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. The long period will make it better at a point or reef, but it’s clean.

Monday the 14th morning is another beautiful window: 8ft west swell at 15 seconds, light east-southeast cross-off breeze, and clean. The energy (2872) is moderate. This is another excellent, clean session for experienced surfers. Tuesday the 15th morning is similar with 7ft at 13 seconds, clean and cross-off.

The second week has a few more options. Wednesday the 16th morning has a 12ft west-southwest swell at 11 seconds, but it’s too big. Thursday the 17th is small and weak. The best of the week is Friday the 18th: morning and afternoon both have 8ft and 8ft of west-northwest swell at 10 seconds, with a clean, cross-off easterly breeze. The energy is moderate (1394 and 1177). This is excellent for experienced surfers. Saturday the 19th is small and onshore, so that’s the end.

So, the true standout is Friday the 11th, but only for experts. For the rest of us, Sunday the 13th, Monday the 14th, and Friday the 18th mornings are the best for clean, powerful waves. Crowds are rare here, so you’ll have space.

Rusty.

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