Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Cobden Breakwater has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is sitting at about 55°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We've got a bit of a slow start, but things kick off on Thursday the 10th. The morning is a write-off with messy cross-on wind and only 3ft of weak-ish swell – not worth paddling out for. But come Thursday afternoon, the whole picture changes. The wind swings to a light cross-off breeze, and the swell jumps to a solid 8ft from the WSW. That's got moderate energy behind it (2180) and it's clean. For an intermediate surfer, this is a proper session.

The standout of the whole forecast, without a doubt, is Friday the 11th. Friday morning is where the magic happens. We're talking a 10ft groundswell from the west with an *18-second period*, and it's dead glassy – no wind at all. The energy reading is massive at 5320. This is a long-period groundswell, so it'll have real power and shape, but it'll also have longer lulls between sets, making the paddle out a bit easier. That said, at 10ft, this is expert territory. The afternoon holds at 8ft with the same glassy conditions and still pumping energy (4014). If you're an experienced surfer, this is the day to be out there.

A second standout to keep an eye on is Saturday the 20th of September. After a long run of poor conditions, we get a fresh pulse of west swell. The Sunday morning of the 20th offers a 10ft swell from the west with 14-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ENE. That's clean, powerful surf. It's on the bigger side, so again, for the experienced crew. The afternoon keeps the offshore flow and drops to a more manageable 8ft.

Now, for the rest of it – there's a big gap of poor conditions from late Saturday the 12th right through the end of that week. Saturday morning the 12th is huge, with a 13ft west swell, but the onshore wind ruins it. Sunday the 13th through to Saturday the 19th is mostly blown out or too big with onshore wind. The energy numbers are still high during that week, but the wind direction just kills the quality for paddle surfing. If you're into kite surfing, those big, choppy days with strong wind might look interesting, but for a surfboard, it's a hard pass.

From the 21st through the end of the outlook, the swell drops right off. We're looking at 3ft to 3ft waves with weak energy (under 600). The winds are light or offshore, so it will be clean and pretty, but there's just not enough push for a proper wave.

Bottom line: Your window for good surf is narrow. Thursday afternoon the 10th is a good warm-up. Friday the 11th is the absolute pinnacle – glassy, powerful, expert-level west swell. For something further out, Sunday the 20th has offshore winds and solid size, so mark that on the calendar, but it's a long-range call so don't hold your breath. The rest is either too big and blown out, or too small to bother with.

Rusty.

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