
Surf Forecasts:
Cobden Breakwater surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 18s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 18s period, W swell with 4,355 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cobden Breakwater this week:
The surf forecast for Cobden Breakwater over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Cobden Breakwater in the next 16 days are 2.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 9s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cobden Breakwater over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, and we're looking at a solid run ahead for Cobden Breakwater. The water's sitting right on 54°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The pattern starts quiet, builds to a real standout session mid-period, and then serves up another solid pulse right at the end. Let's get into it.
Monday the 10th kicks off pretty average. That morning rain shower with a cross-on wind means the 3ft swell from the west is messy, and the tide's likely doing no favours either. The wave energy is moderate (777). It's a bit of a write-off.
Tuesday the 11th is the first flicker of hope. Morning sees 3ft from the west-southwest with a clean offshore easterly breeze – clean waves, light wind. By the afternoon it goes glassy with a long period 18-second groundswell pushing in at 2ft from the west. The energy is moderate (332). It's small, but that glassy surface will be a treat for anyone on a longboard.
Wednesday the 12th morning holds clean, 3ft from the west-northwest with an offshore breeze. Then Wednesday afternoon is where it gets real. That swell jumps to 10ft from the north-northwest with a moderate 11-second period and a gentle offshore wind. The combined energy is strong (1803). This is expert territory – over 8ft, so only for the experienced crew. The break is fairly consistent, but crowds are rare here, so you might have it nearly to yourself. This is the first standout: big, clean, and powerful.
Thursday the 13th is still good. Morning has 5ft from the northwest with a clean cross-off breeze. The afternoon goes glassy with 5ft from the northwest. Energy is moderate (676-728). Very clean, very surfable.
Friday the 14th backs off. Morning is clean but only 2ft from the west-southwest, and the afternoon turns cross-on with a 19-second period groundswell that'll likely wall up on this breakwater setup. Energy is moderate (387-676). Not the best.
Now, Saturday the 15th is the real standout. Morning brings 8ft from the west with an 18-second very long period groundswell, clean with a cross-off breeze. The energy is strong (3273). This is excellent, powerful surf for experienced surfers. The long period will give it real punch and shape. The afternoon jumps to 8ft from the west-southwest but goes onshore, so it'll get messy. The morning session is the one.
Sunday the 16th drops a bit but stays punchy. Morning has 7ft from the west with a moderate breeze, clean enough but the wind picks up. Energy is strong (2036). It's still got power but the wind is a factor. The rest of the week from Monday 17th through to Saturday 22nd offers smaller, cleaner waves – around 3ft to 5ft, mostly with offshore or cross-off breezes. Not huge, but fun for intermediate surfers. Energy ranges from moderate (284) to moderate (815).
Then Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th show another pulse. Monday morning the 24th has 3ft from the west but with a 19-second period and clean conditions – energy is moderate (795). Monday afternoon jumps to 6ft from the west-southwest with a 17-second period, but a light cross-on wind. Energy is strong (2308). That's a solid swell, but the wind might chop it a little.
Tuesday the 25th finishes the run with 5ft from the west-southwest, clean with a moderate cross-off breeze. Energy is strong (1216). A good way to end the outlook.
So, if you're looking for the best of the bunch, it's Wednesday afternoon the 12th for the big, clean, expert-only stuff, and Saturday morning the 15th for that long-period, powerful groundswell with clean conditions. Both are absolute rippers for those who can handle it.
Stay salty,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | W 14 | W 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | W 17 | NW 13 | NNW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | W 19 | W 17 | W 18 | W 18 | WSW 16 | W 16 | WSW 15 | W 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
435 | 423 | 361 | 222 | 167 | 280 | 249 | 1773 | 738 | 689 | 530 | 421 | 222 | 465 | 1326 | 4355 | 4209 | 2886 | 1265 | 880 | 951 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:48PM3.11m | 9:19AM3.15m | 9:44PM3.30m | 10:13AM3.29m | 10:33PM3.44m | 11:01AM3.37m | 11:19PM3.51m | 11:44AM3.39m | 00:02AM3.49m | 12:26PM3.33m | 00:43AM3.40m | 1:05PM3.23m | 1:23AM3.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:35PM0.95m | 3:04AM0.76m | 3:33PM0.76m | 3:58AM0.58m | 4:23PM0.60m | 4:47AM0.45m | 5:09PM0.50m | 5:33AM0.40m | 5:52PM0.47m | 6:16AM0.43m | 6:33PM0.52m | 6:57AM0.54m | 7:13PM0.64m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 6 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | W 6 | W 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | N 7 | N 8 | NNW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 8 | W 17 | W 18 | W 18 | WSW 16 | W 16 | WSW 9 | W 14 |
204 | 97 | 361 | 222 | 165 | 131 | 264 | 1773 | 738 | 689 | 530 | 365 | 202 | 161 | 1326 | 4355 | 4209 | 2886 | 1265 | 326 | 951 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | W 14 | W 6 | N 8 | N 8 | W 17 | NW 13 | WSW 15 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | W 19 | W 7 | — | — | — | W 9 | WSW 15 | — |
435 | 423 | 47 | 50 | 46 | 280 | 249 | 71 | 430 | 157 | 72 | 135 | 70 | 465 | 152 | — | — | — | 384 | 880 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 9 | N 9 | N 8 | W 6 | W 18 | — | W 16 | WSW 20 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | W 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | NNE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
138 | 101 | 71 | 20 | 167 | — | 179 | 38 | 67 | 176 | 217 | 421 | 222 | 207 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in West Coast South Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Cobden Breakwater Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Cobden Breakwater provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cobden Breakwater can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cobden Breakwater surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cobden Breakwater) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cobden Breakwater may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Cobden Breakwater is 172 km (107 miles) from the city of Christchurch. If you plan a holiday in West Coast South Island, look for hotels and other accommodation in Christchurch. Christchurch has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











