Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watching this spot like a hawk.

We’ve only got one break firing in this whole outlook: Cobden Breakwater. The window starts on Monday the 14th of September, but it’s a slow burner. The first couple of days are a bit of a write-off for quality, so don’t get too excited just yet.

Monday the 14th is a bit average. You’ve got a 5ft to 6ft WSW swell coming in, but the wind is messy – cross-on and onshore – so the surface won’t be pretty. The wave energy is solid though (1203 to 1382), so there’s power, just not much polish.

Now, Tuesday the 15th of September is where it gets interesting. The morning sees a drop to 4ft, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm from the east. That’s a major positive. The swell is still a solid WSW groundswell at 14 seconds, and with combined energy at 514, it’s moderate but clean. This is the pick of the early week for a longboard or a funboard, just easy, clean little runners. The afternoon drops off to 2ft, still glassy, but a bit small.

Wednesday the 16th picks up in size, with 5ft to 7ft of W swell, but the wind is cross-off from the NNE. It’s clean, but the period is short (10-11 seconds), so it won’t have the same punch. The energy is moderate to strong (440 to 1010). It’s surfable, but not a standout.

Thursday the 17th gets chunkier – 6ft to 7ft – but it’s onshore wind from the WSW. The energy is high (1619 to 1880), but the wind is killing it. Not worth a paddle.

Friday the 18th of September morning is the real highlight of the whole run. The wind is glassy from the SSE, the swell is a clean 5ft from the W with a lovely 15-second period. Combined energy is a strong 1951. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The swell direction (WSW optimum) is a perfect match. This is the one to circle on your calendar. The afternoon goes onshore and jumps to 8ft – that’s expert territory and messy.

Saturday the 19th is a write-off in the morning with 10ft onshore junk and 3208 energy – just massive and blown out. The afternoon eases to 6ft but stays cross-on.

Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st are big, onshore, and poor. We’re looking at 8ft to 10ft with fresh to strong breezes – not for paddling. The energy is huge (2417 to 3583). This is more of a kite surfing setup than a paddle session.

Tuesday the 22nd gets even bigger – 13ft to 18ft – with strong onshore winds. Energy is extreme (5743 to 12869). Stay out of the water.

Wednesday the 23rd is still big (12ft) with onshore wind, but the period is a very long 17 seconds. The forecast even says it’s too big for this break. Thursday the 24th morning offers a glimmer: 4ft from the WSW with offshore NE wind at 3 mph. Combined energy is 1004, clean, and excellent for experienced surfers. It’s small but perfect. Friday the 25th is back to onshore junk.

Saturday the 26th of September morning is another nice little window. 5ft from the WNW with offshore east wind at 6 mph. The period is short (9 seconds), so it’s a bit weaker, but it’s clean. The energy is moderate (516). Good for a cruise.

The final days – Sunday the 27th and Monday the 28th – offer glassy or offshore mornings with small swell (2ft to 3ft). The 28th has a very long 20-second period, but it’s small. Tuesday the 29th afternoon sees a jump to 8ft with clean wind and excellent conditions for experienced surfers (2679 energy).

To sum it up: the absolute standout is Friday morning the 18th of September – 5ft, 15-second groundswell, glassy wind. That’s your best bet. The second pick is Thursday morning the 24th of September for a small but clean offshore session.

Water temp is 54°, which is about average for the time of year – nothing unusual there.

Stay safe, watch the rips on the big days. Catch you in the water.

- Rusty

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