Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We've got a long window ahead, and the first half of it is a bit of a wild one. The main and really the only spot on the radar is Cobden Breakwater. It's a breakwater setup, so it handles swell a bit differently. The ocean temperature is running about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The pattern starts off pretty grim. Friday the 4th is a total write-off with a strong cross-onshore wind and a big, messy 13ft to 15ft wind swell. The wave energy is through the roof (2956-3618), but it's just poor surf conditions. Saturday the 5th is no better, with a massive 13ft swell and a 14-second period, but the wind is still cross-on. The energy is huge (6343), but it's just too big and choppy for this spot.

Sunday the 6th is a little better but still marginal. The swell drops to 10ft, but the wind is cross-shore, and we're looking at a 16-second period. That's a very long period groundswell, which can be tricky at a breakwater, making it a bit too straight and tricky. The energy is still very strong (4990).

Now, we start to see a real window opening up. Monday the 7th is your first real pick of the period. The swell drops to a much more manageable 4ft to 5ft from the WSW, and the wind goes light and cross-off. The wave energy is moderate (925-1364), and the description says "clean." That's a good sign. The 14-second period will give it some nice push.

Then Tuesday the 8th morning is a standout for the glassy conditions. The wind is dead calm, totally glassy. The swell is only 3ft, and the energy is low (409), but it'll be clean. However, the afternoon turns into a poor onshore wind and a short, weak period of 7 seconds.

Wednesday the 9th morning is another glassy session with a 5ft swell from the west at 9 seconds. It's a bit short period, but with the glassy conditions, it'll be fun. The energy is moderate (580).

Thursday the 10th morning is the first real highlight. We've got a 8ft swell from the west, a 12-second period, and a clean cross-off wind. The energy is strong (1963), and the forecast says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." It's a bit sizey, so not for the beginners. This is a strong candidate for the best on offer.

After that, things get properly big. Friday the 11th through Saturday the 12th sees a massive 13ft to 15ft West swell with a 17-19 second period. The energy is astronomical (9483-14462). The wind is light, but the swell is just too big for this break. This is strictly for experts, and even then, it's a monster.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Sunday the 13th morning. The swell backs down to 10ft from the west, with a 13-second period and glassy conditions. The energy is still very strong (3584), but it's glassy. The forecast says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." This is another true standout.

Monday the 14th is a good one too. The swell drops to 6ft, with a 14-second period and a clean cross-off wind. The energy is moderate (1505). It's a solid, clean, more manageable day.

The rest of the forecast is a mixed bag. We get some glassy mornings with smaller swells, but also some big, blown-out days. The 16th of September sees a massive 16ft swell, again too big. The 17th of September morning is another glassy, experienced-surfer-only day with a 10ft, 13-second swell and strong energy (3346).

The long-range stuff into the 18th and 19th is all big and onshore or glassy but massive. It's all a bit of a gamble, but the potential is there for the experienced crew.

Bottom line: The standouts are Monday the 7th and Thursday the 10th morning for the first week, and Sunday the 13th morning for the second week. All of these offer clean conditions and a decent, rideable swell. For the rest, it's either too big, too windy, or too small. Keep an eye on the forecast, because this one is going to swing between epic and angry.

Rusty.

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