Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Cobden Breakwater over the next couple of weeks. It’s a long-range look, so take the later stuff with a grain of salt, but there are some proper sessions shaping up.

The opening few days are a bit of a slow burn with small, clean conditions but nothing to get too worked up about. Things really start to fire from Wednesday the 15th onward, with a serious pulse of energy rolling in, especially for the more experienced crew. The standout period is the tail end of the second week.

The best window is hands down Thursday the 16th. Morning sees a solid 8ft groundswell from the west with a very long 15-second period, and glassy conditions – that’s a recipe for some super clean, powerful lines. The combined swell energy is strong at 2258, so it’s got plenty of grunt. That afternoon holds up too with 7ft swell from the west, 14-second period, and more glassy conditions, making it another excellent session, but again, this is for the experienced surfer only. Before that, Wednesday the 15th brings 10ft from the west with a huge combined energy of 5081, but it’s blown out with onshore winds, so it’s one to watch from the car park unless you’re after a brutal paddle.

The first real sniff of a good clean wave comes Friday morning the 10th when the swell drops to 4ft, but the period stretches to a very long 16 seconds from the WSW, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. It’ll be small but clean and fun, with moderate energy (637). Saturday the 11th is another contestant for the best of the week: 4ft WSW swell with a 16-second period and glassy conditions in the afternoon (calm wind, 0 mph), energy around 768. That’s a beautiful small-wave session for intermediates – just keep an eye on the tides.

After the big stuff mid-week, the surf winds down into smaller, clean conditions from Monday the 21st onward. Mornings offer 3ft to 3ft WSW swell with long 15-second periods, light offshore winds, and glassy afternoons. Not big, but super clean and playful for a log or a mid-length. Crowds are rare here, so you’ll have plenty of room.

Water temp is around 57°F, which is about average for the time of year – nothing crazy, just standard winter chill, so suit up.

The only real standout to put in the diary is Thursday the 16th. That’s the one for the crew who want size, power, and perfection. For smaller, cleaner fun, lock in Saturday the 11th afternoon.

Rusty.

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