Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer over the next couple of weeks. This forecast is all focused on one spot, so we’ll be riding that wave.

We start off with a solid pulse of swell rolling in on Sunday the 9th. Cobden Breakwater is going to see a 7ft swell from the NNW, but with a light cross-off breeze early, it’ll be clean for the experienced crew. That’s some serious energy too – the combined swell energy is a whopping 1019, so you’ll feel the power. This is not a beginner wave; it’s proper and demanding. The water temp is sitting at 54°, which is dead average for this time of year, so nothing weird there. Sunday afternoon turns into a mess with a 16 mph cross-on wind from the WNW and rain – that’s a write-off.

Monday the 10th is a totally different story. The swell drops right back to 3ft, but the wind goes glassy out of the SSW in the morning. That is a major positive for clean conditions. The swell period is a very long 15 seconds, so this is a proper groundswell with plenty of push, but it’s best at this breakwater setup. The energy is moderate at 639. Monday afternoon stays small and clean but cross-onshore.

Tuesday the 11th is tiny – 3ft and 2ft – but with offshore and glassy winds, it’ll be clean as a whistle. The long period of 18 seconds on the afternoon session is ridiculous for such a small wave; it’ll be super consistent but very gentle. Fine for a longboard.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Wednesday afternoon the 12th sees a jump back up to 8ft from the NNW, with a gentle offshore breeze from the east. The combined energy is a massive 1543. This is the standout of the first week for the experienced surfer – clean, powerful, and firing. Thursday the 13th keeps it going with 5ft to 6ft and clean conditions, excellent for experienced surfers again. The energy stays high, hitting 1005 on Thursday afternoon.

Saturday the 15th is the absolute jewel in the crown for this period. Saturday morning delivers a 5ft swell from the west with a 16-second period, and it’s glassy. The combined energy is a huge 1937. That’s big, clean, long-period groundswell – this is a day for the experts. Saturday afternoon holds at 5ft and clean.

Sunday the 16th is the biggest of the run. A 8ft swell from the WSW with a 15-second period and a light cross-off breeze. The energy is 2546 – that is very strong. This is only for the experienced, and it’s a true standout. Sunday afternoon gets a bit messy with onshore wind.

The second week settles down. From Monday the 17th onwards, we’re looking at smaller, cleaner waves in the 2ft to 5ft range. The winds are mostly light and offshore or glassy, so the conditions will be good. The period stays long, mostly in the 13 to 17-second range, so the quality is there even if the size isn’t. The energy is moderate, between 173 and 735. Thursday the 20th afternoon is a nice glassy session with a 3ft, 17-second swell – very clean.

Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd are similar, small but clean. By Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th, the swell drops off and the period gets short, down to 6 seconds on the 24th. The energy is weak, 121 to 162, and the wind is onshore or cross-off. It’s pretty ordinary.

Overall, if you’re after the real deal, Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are your days. The big, clean, long-period groundswell is a rare treat for experienced surfers. The first week has the size and power; the second week is more about clean, small waves.

Rusty.

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