Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Cobden Breakwater over the next couple of weeks.

The opening act is a bit of a slow burner, but there’s solid action building through the weekend and into the next week. The water temp is sitting at 56°F, which is just about bang on average for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary there.

Friday afternoon kicks things off with a clean 4ft swell from the WNW, period at 10 seconds, and a light offshore breeze from the ENE. The combined energy is a modest 314, but it’s about quality over quantity to start. Conditions are looking good.

Saturday morning is a big step up – we’re looking at a powerful 8ft WNW groundswell, period 11 seconds, ramping the energy up to a beefy 1709. The wind is a cross-off from the NNE at 16 mph, keeping things clean. This is proper grunt, but at 8ft it's pushing into big-wave territory, so this is one for the experienced crew only. By Saturday afternoon, the swell pumps up to 12ft with the same direction and period, and the energy hits a massive 2800. Wind is a strong cross-off from the NE at 22 mph. Honestly, at that size, with that much wind, this spot is gonna be a washing machine. I’d say it’s looking more interesting for a kite session than trying to paddle into that beast.

Sunday morning is a write-off with onshore wind and rain, so don’t bother. But keep an eye on Sunday afternoon – the wind drops to glassy conditions from the ESE at just 3 mph, and we've got an 8ft WNW swell rolling in. The energy is 1758. The period is 10 seconds, but the glassy surface will make it look a million bucks for the strong swimmers who can handle it.

Monday the 6th of July sees a monster, very long-period groundswell from the west at 16 seconds, with the wave height hitting 10ft and energy surging to 4213. That’s deep, powerful water moving under the surface. Wind is a moderate cross-shore, which will put some texture on it. This is heavy-duty, expert-only territory, and that long period means it'll be fat and walling up – best for a reef or point, but as a breakwater, it could get a bit tricky.

We then drop into a much cleaner, more manageable window from Tuesday afternoon the 7th, through to the end of the period. The swell backs off to a more user-friendly 5ft to 3ft range, with winds shifting light offshore or glassy, and periods staying in the 11 to 16 second range, keeping that clean, lined-up feel. The energy drops back to the hundreds, so it's far less intimidating.

The standout for me? Without a doubt, it’s Sunday afternoon, the 5th of July. That combo of an 8ft WNW swell with glassy conditions and a cross-off breeze is going to be a pure joy for anyone with the skills to paddle into it. The crowd profile says "rare," so you likely won't be fighting for waves either.

Into the second week, the 10th of July (Friday) offers a real treat – a glassy 3ft swell from the WSW, period a lovely 16 seconds, with the energy sitting at 502. Clean, long lines with nobody around. That’s the sweet spot. The 14th of July (Tuesday afternoon) also throws up a wildcard: an 8ft swell from the NNW with a short 9-second period, but glassy conditions. That’s a bit of a novelty swell, punchy but short-interval.

And finally, the 16th of July (Thursday) is another big-wave alert – a 10ft west swell, period 13 seconds, energy at 2940. Clean cross-off wind, but that is expert-only stuff.

So, get on it this weekend and next weekend, and keep your eyes peeled for those glassy windows mid-week. The cobwebs won't stand a chance.

Rusty.

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