Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and we’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead at Cobden Breakwater. The pattern starts with clean, manageable waves, builds into a real standout session for the experienced crew, then gets a bit wild and woolly before offering another taste of quality toward the end. The water’s sitting at 55°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first real action kicks off Monday morning, the 7th September. It’s a little cloudy, with a cross-off ESE breeze at 12 mph, and we’ve got a 5 ft swell from the WSW, wrapping in at a long 14 seconds. The combined energy is pumping at 1182, so there’s some serious grunt, but it’s a bit beginner-heavy and the tide might be a question mark. Monday afternoon cleans right up—clear skies, an offshore E wind at 6 mph, and the swell drops slightly to 5 ft, still from the WSW with that same 14-second period. This is excellent for experienced surfers, with the wind keeping things tidy.

Tuesday the 8th is glassy, pure magic. Both morning and afternoon see a slight air, with the swell dropping to 4 ft and 3 ft, coming from the west at 12 seconds. The energy is moderate, around 458 and 363, and the glassy conditions are a major positive—clean, smooth, and easy paddling. Good for a relaxed session on a smaller board.

Wednesday the 9th kicks off with a glassy morning again, some clouds, and a 4 ft WSW swell at 10 seconds, energy at 530. The afternoon gets a bit lumpy with a light cross-on from the WNW, so the morning is your pick.

Now, Thursday the 10th is a write-off—strong onshore SW winds at 16 mph and rain, with the swell building to 8 ft. The energy jumps to 2809, but it’s messy and blown out. Not worth it.

But hold onto your board, because Friday the 11th is the standout. Friday morning sees a cloudy sky, a light cross-off E breeze at 3 mph, and a 10 ft swell from the west with a very long 18-second period. That’s groundswell of the highest order, and the combined energy is a massive 5682. This is exceptional surf, but it’s only for experts—over 8 ft and that long period means it’ll be breaking a bit straight at a beach break, so it’s better suited to the point or reef, but the wind is clean. Friday afternoon is similar, with a light offshore E wind and a 10 ft west swell at 17 seconds, energy at 4641. Still excellent, but still for the experienced.

Saturday the 12th is too big—12 ft in the morning, onshore SW wind, and the system says it’s too much for this break. Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are onshore and messy, with moderate swells but poor conditions.

Tuesday the 15th brings a reprieve: morning has a cross-off NNE breeze at 3 mph, a 5 ft west swell at 14 seconds, and energy at 780. Clean and very good, but the afternoon turns cross-shore and lumpy.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are a loss—strong onshore winds, rain, and even a risk of thunderstorms, with swell up to 8 ft. The energy is moderate but conditions are poor.

Now, another highlight: Friday the 18th morning. Some clouds, a light cross-off east breeze at 3 mph, and a 8 ft west swell with a 15-second period. Energy sits at 3464, and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. The wind is clean, but the swell is big, so keep it for the confident crew.

After that, Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are blown out again with strong winds and big, messy swell. The 21st and 22nd show a final hope: Tuesday the 22nd morning is glassy, with an ESE wind at 0 mph, a 8 ft west swell at a very long 17 seconds, and energy at 4182. That’s excellent for experts, with glassy conditions, but it’s a big groundswell that might be tricky at the beach. Still, the calm wind makes it a worthy note.

Best on offer: Friday the 11th morning, with that 10 ft west swell, 18-second period, and light offshore wind. It’s the standout for the experienced. Second pick: Tuesday the 22nd morning, if you can wait, with glassy conditions and a big groundswell.

Rusty.

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