Cobden Breakwater Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let's take a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks. The first real sniff of decent surf doesn't hit until Friday the 24th, so you've got a couple of quiet days to get the gear ready.

First up, Friday morning the 24th at Cobden Breakwater. We're looking at a clean 1.4m swell rolling in from the west, with a light offshore breeze from the ENE. The water's sitting at 12°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. The combined energy is moderate (455), but the conditions are clean and the swell is set to be a nice, rideable size. The forecast points to good surf. The swell direction out of the west is a solid match for what this spot likes, too. It's a breakwater setup, so expect the waves to line up nicely, and with the offshore wind, it'll be a proper session. Keep in mind crowds are rare here, so you might have it all to yourself.

Friday afternoon gets a bit ugly, with a fresh cross-onshore wind and rain. The swell builds to 1.9m but it's a bit lumpy and messy, so I'd be giving that a miss. A solid 658 combined energy but poor quality.

Now, Saturday morning the 25th brings a much bigger pulse – a 2.5m west swell, but the period is a massive 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell. The combined energy shoots up to 3778, which is strong. However, the wind is a light cross-onshore, and the guidance notes marginal conditions. It's a bit big for the spot, and that long period might make it break a bit too straight for a breakwater, which can be tricky.

But hold onto your board, because Saturday afternoon the 25th is a standout. The swell jumps to a powerful 4.0m from the west, with a 15-second period, giving it a very long period groundswell feel. The combined energy is massive at 6625. The wind drops to glassy calm. Now, the JSON warns this is too big for this break, but for the experienced surfer who knows the spot, that's a serious big-wave session waiting to happen. It's a proper, once-in-a-blue-moon kind of window. The setup might look more interesting for big-wave paddle or tow-in, but the quality is there if you've got the bottle. This is the true highlight of the whole run.

Sunday morning the 26th settles back to a clean, cross-off 2.1m west swell with a 14-second period (1744 combined energy). Excellent conditions for the more experienced crew. The rest of the week offers a mix: Monday morning the 27th has a clean 1.7m swell, Tuesday the 28th is glassy and small at 1.2m, and Wednesday the 29th has a nice, clean 1.5m swell with offshore wind. All solid, fun sessions.

Then we get another big pulse on Thursday the 30th – a 3.0m west swell, but the wind is a light cross-onshore, and the conditions are marginal. It's big and not quite clean. Friday the 31st is better, with a clean 1.6m morning, and into the weekend of August 1st, we've got excellent conditions for experienced surfers: a 1.8m WSW swell with a cross-off breeze and a combined energy of 1009. Another standout for the more skilled crew. Saturday afternoon the 1st is glassy with a 1.7m swell – a beauty.

August 2nd is small and glassy in the morning, and then it drops off. The following week has some decent pulses, like Monday August 3rd afternoon with a clean 1.9m WSW swell and a 19-second period, and Tuesday August 4th morning with a bigger 2.5m west swell, but the wind is a stiff cross-off. By Wednesday August 5th, we're back to clean, excellent conditions with a 1.6m WSW swell. The last few days of the run look average to good, with clean 1.1m to 1.3m swells. There's plenty to work with across the whole period.

The one absolute standout, though, is that Saturday afternoon the 25th – glassy, enormous, and for the brave. The other best-on-offer is Saturday morning August 1st for excellent, clean conditions at a solid size.

Later, Rusty.

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