La Preciosa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The next two and a half weeks look pretty flat and frustrating for this region. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions right from the start, all the way through to the third week of July. There’s no real standout window, and the only flicker of life comes right at the very end of the run, but even that’s a marginal call.

For the first week, from Monday 6 July through Sunday 12 July, it’s a write-off. Swell is hanging around 4ft to 6ft from the east, but it’s all short-period, 7 to 8 seconds, with persistent cross-off winds blowing 16 to 19 mph out of the east or east-southeast. That’s going to make everything messy and choppy. Wave energy is moderate but unappealing – figures like 188, 311, and 395 (combined energy) don’t mean much when the wind won’t cooperate. Water temperature is sitting at 84°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year – just a touch warmer than average, but nothing crazy.

The second week is more of the same. Monday 13 July to Sunday 19 July keeps the east swell going, but it’s still small, 3ft to 5ft, and period stays stuck between 6 and 8 seconds. Wind is relentless cross-off, 12 to 19 mph, and the wave comment says it all: “poor surf conditions” every session, barring a couple of “marginal surf forecast” notes late in the week. The only hint of a shift comes on Monday 20 July morning, when the wind turns offshore from the east-southeast at 16 mph. That’s our one glimmer: La Preciosa. It’s a reef break here, advanced level, very consistent, and the north direction is the optimum for it. The swell is small, 4ft from the east, and the combined energy is only 156 (weak). The period is a short 7 seconds, so waves won’t have much grunt, and it’ll feel a bit fat and weak. But with offshore wind, it’ll be clean and rideable. This is the best we’ve got in the whole outlook – a Monday morning session 2 weeks away that’s promising but far from certain.

After that brief hope, Tuesday 21 July drops back to tiny 3ft, then 1ft from the northeast, with combined energy in the 40s (very weak). For a spot like La Preciosa, which is a reef and needs some size to work, this run is a long, quiet stretch. If you were hoping for any real punch, it’s not happening. The few consistent days we get won’t clean up until that one Monday morning, and even then, it’s marginal.

Given the persistent cross-off winds and small, short-period swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the period. Keep an eye on that Monday 20 July morning, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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