La Preciosa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim outlook for the entire 16-day window. There’s a big gap of flat or poor conditions right from the start, and we’re looking at days of nothing but onshore junk. The first real glimmer of anything decent doesn’t show up until Monday morning, 3rd August, and even that’s a brief moment. That’s a solid two-week stretch of waiting.

The only spot on the radar is La Preciosa, a reef break that’s exposed to the swell. The water is sitting at 83°F with a tiny anomaly of 0.5°F, so pretty average for this time of year.

For the first two weeks, from Tuesday 21st July all the way through to Sunday 2nd August, the wind is a mess. It’s mostly a cross-off breeze from the east at 12 to 19 mph, which is just ruining the shape. The swell is tiny, hanging around 3 ft to 5 ft from the east-northeast, with a short period of just 7 to 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak to moderate (values between 102 and 241). The waves are there, but they’re gutless and messy. The “poor surf conditions” tag is spot on. There’s a couple of mornings – Thursday 23rd, Friday 24th, and Saturday 1st August – where the wind shifts offshore, but the swell is still too weak and short-period to make anything of it. That’s not a standout, just a tease.

Now, the one true standout for the whole outlook is Monday morning, 3rd August. The wind swings offshore from the east-southeast at 12 mph, which is a major positive for clean, lined-up waves. The swell ticks up to 4 ft from the east, and while the period is still short at 7 seconds, the combined energy jumps to 243 – that’s moderate energy, the highest we see in the whole run. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions,” which is the only real positive window in the whole 16 days. It’s still a bit short period, so don’t expect grinding barrels, but it’ll be the cleanest, most fun little wave we get. Keep an eye on it, but remember it’s a long way out.

Honestly, for a spot that’s “very consistent,” this is a rough run. It’s a poor stretch of surf, and the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of it. But that Monday morning, 3rd August, is your best bet.

Rusty.

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