La Preciosa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the coming weeks.

Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you—this is a tough run to call. Looking at the whole 16-day window, there’s really no standout day that’s screaming at me to grab my board and head out. The surf is there, but it’s consistently poor, and the wind is a persistent cross-off breeze that’s not doing us any favours. The first recommendation doesn’t come until Thursday, July 9th, and even then, it’s marginal at best.

We’re looking at La Preciosa as the only spot in the mix. It’s a reef break, advanced only, and it’s very consistent, which is about the only thing going for it. The water temperature is sitting at 83°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The week starts on Thursday, July 9th, with a morning session that’s got a risk of thunderstorms. The swell is 5 ft from the ENE with a short period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 253. The wind is cross-off at 16 mph, so the surface is clean, but the quality is poor. The afternoon sees a bit more size at 5 ft from the E, but still that same cross-off breeze and a marginal forecast. Honestly, it’s not worth getting wet for.

Friday, July 10th through to the end of the first week is more of the same. Swell hovers around 4 ft to 5 ft from the E, period stays short at 7-8 seconds, and the wind is a constant cross-off from the E or ESE at 16 to 19 mph. The combined energy drops from 299 down to 140 by Monday afternoon. Every session is marked as poor surf conditions. The only thing that changes is the sky—some clouds, then clear, then cloudy again. It’s a real flat spell of mediocrity.

The second week doesn’t bring any relief. From Monday, July 14th, right through to Sunday, July 20th, we’re stuck with 4 ft down to 3 ft swell from the E, periods still short, and the wind hasn’t let up. The combined energy drops to as low as 76 on the morning of July 20th. That’s weak energy, and it’s reflected in the surf. The afternoons get a little bump with a fresh breeze, but it’s still cross-off. By Tuesday, July 21st, the swell tanks to 2 ft with only 34 combined energy, and that afternoon it’s a tiny 0.3 ft from the NE with a 10-second period, but only 6 combined energy. That’s about as flat as it gets.

There is a little flicker of life on Wednesday, July 22nd, with a risk of thunderstorms and the swell bumping back up to 5 ft from the E, but the period is still a short 7 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 224. The wind is still cross-off. The forecast still says poor surf. The last few days of the month, July 23rd and 24th, show a bit more size at 5 ft from the E, with the period finally stretching to 8 seconds, and the combined energy peaks at 296 on the Thursday morning. But even then, the wind is cross-off, and the forecast is either poor or marginal.

Look, if you’re absolutely desperate to get in the water, the best of a bad bunch is probably the morning of Thursday, July 23rd. The swell is 5 ft from the E, period 8 seconds, and the combined energy is 296. The wind is a cross-off at 16 mph, so the surface is clean. But this is a short period, east-swell at a reef break that prefers swell from the north. It’s not going to be great. It’s also a spot that can get crowded sometimes, but with conditions this average, I wouldn’t worry about that.

For the rest of it, with the persistent cross-off wind and the short, weak swell, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The beach breaks will be a mess, and the reef at La Preciosa won’t be doing its best work.

I’m not going to sugarcoat it—this is a blank run. The good news is that the spot is very consistent, so it tends not to stay this poor for long. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, I’d say give it a miss.

Rusty.

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