La Preciosa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for La Preciosa.

First up, the honest truth: this 16-day window is a flat spell with very little to get excited about. The swell is small and weak, the wind is locked in from the east or east-southeast, and it’s blowing cross-offshore at 12 to 18 mph nearly every day. That cross-off wind isn’t ideal for a reef break like La Preciosa, which really needs a clean offshore to shine. The combined wave energy is low, sitting mostly between 130 and 240 (moderate energy at best, often weak). The water temperature anomaly is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there.

The first surf recommendation shows up on Friday, July 10th, with a morning swell of 5 ft from the ENE, period of 8 seconds, and energy of 226. The wind is a moderate breeze from the ESE at 15 mph, cross-off, so the waves are clean but the quality is poor. That carries through the weekend – Saturday and Sunday, July 11th and 12th, offer similar 4 ft to 5 ft ENE/E swell with short periods of 7 to 8 seconds. The wind stays cross-off, and the crowds are sometimes around, so you might have company. Still, the surf is just marginal at best, and the short period means the waves won’t have much shape or push.

Monday, July 13th through Thursday, July 16th are more of the same: 4 ft to 4 ft from the east, short period, moderate breeze, and mostly poor conditions. The energy stays in the low to mid 100s. There’s a risk of thunderstorms on Tuesday, July 14th, but that doesn’t change the swell.

The small bump worth noting shows up on Sunday, July 19th, when the swell picks up to 5 ft from the east, period still short at 7 seconds, and energy climbs to 240. That’s the biggest size in the whole window, but 5 ft at this break, with a short period and cross-off wind, is still a marginal call. It’s not a standout because the wind isn’t right. The break is a reef, so it can handle a bit of direction, but the optimum swell is from the north, and we’re getting east. That mismatch hurts.

The rest of the run from July 20th to July 25th is a slow fade: 4 ft to 5 ft, east swell, short period, and the same cross-off wind. The energy drops back to the 130 to 200 range. The last few days, especially the 25th, are the smallest of the lot.

So, what’s the best on offer? Honestly, there’s no true standout. If I had to pick one, I’d say the morning of Sunday, July 19th, has the most size (5 ft) and the highest energy (240), but the wind is cross-off and the period is short. It’s a long-shot call, not a classic. The rest of the time, you’re looking at ankle-to-knee-high, wind-affected waves that are really only for the most dedicated. This spot is a reef, and it’s exposed, but with the swell and wind combo, it’s just not happening.

If you’re a beginner, 5 ft is borderline, but with the short period and cross-off wind, it’s not friendly. For experts, it’s not worth the paddle. The conditions are more suited to a kite session if you’re into that.

To sum it up: we’ve got a 16-day stretch with a gap of almost no decent surf from the start. The first worthwhile nudge is on July 10th, but it’s poor. The best, such as it is, is around July 19th, but it’s still a marginal call. After that, it fades to flat. The wind never swings right, and the swell is too short and weak. Let’s hope the next forecast changes, because this one is a dud.

Rusty

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