La Preciosa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty meh, to be honest. We’ve got a lot of small, weak, and short-period swell on the way, and the wind is mostly going to be blowing that cross-off direction, which can make things a bit lumpy. The real standout is tucked away in the tail end of the forecast, but we’ve got a long stretch of close-to-nothing before that.

First up, the earliest we see anything worth paddling out for is the morning of Friday the 15th. Before that, it’s a desert. From Tuesday the 4th all the way through Thursday the 14th, we’re looking at poor surf conditions. The swell is small, anywhere from 2.3ft to 4.9ft, with periods stuck down around 6 to 8 seconds. That’s just not enough push or shape to be much fun. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, with readings mostly in the low hundreds. For example, on Thursday the 7th, the combined energy is 202, and it bumps up to 226 that afternoon, but it’s still not doing us any favors. The swell direction is out of the E/ENE, which is not ideal for this setup. The wind is a constant cross-off, so the faces are going to be a bit bumpy and hard to read. It’s a lot of paddling for not much payoff.

Now, the highlight of the whole run looks like the morning of Saturday the 16th. This is the one to keep an eye on. The swell jumps up to 5.6ft, still from the E, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy spikes to 598, which is a serious step up from the 200s we’ve been seeing. It’s a short-period swell, so it’s not going to have that deep, groundswell power, but there’s going to be a lot more juice in the water. The forecast mentions a risk of thunderstorms that morning, but the wind is only 15 km/h, which is a gentle breeze. That’s a huge plus. It’s the cleanest, biggest, and most energetic window in the whole period. It’s still not a perfect setup, but it’s the best we’re going to get. The swell is pushing 5.6ft, which is getting towards the bigger end of the scale for this spot, so you’ll want to be comfortable with a bit of size.

After that, the surf quality drops back off again. The following Monday morning, the 17th, we finally get a proper offshore wind, which is good, but the swell is backing off to 4.9ft with a period of 8 seconds. It’ll be cleaner, but just not as much size. That offshore wind is a major positive, but the energy is back down to 321. The Tuesday morning after that, the 18th, has a similar setup with offshore wind and 4.3ft waves, but it’s just a bit smaller. These are the better ones in that second week, but nothing that’s going to be epic.

So, what’s the call? The first ten or eleven days are a write-off for any decent waves. The standout is that Saturday morning surf on the 16th. It has the biggest swell, the most energy, and the lightest wind. That’s your window. The days around it are just a waiting game. The water temp is sitting at 83.8°, which is about average for the time of year, so you won’t need much rubber.

Stay stoked, but be patient. The middle of the month is where it’s at.

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