
Surf Forecasts:
Pelican Watch surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, ENE swell with 155 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Pelican Watch this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Pelican Watch in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Pelican Watch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.
Right now, things are looking pretty quiet. The first surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Monday September 14th, and even then it’s nothing to get excited about. There’s a real dry spell through the middle of the month, with only a few tiny, weak waves and mostly onshore or choppy conditions. That run of poor surf stretches almost all the way through until the end of the third week, so we’re looking at a solid ten days or so of very ordinary conditions.
Monday September 14th kicks things off with a small 2ft swell from the SE at 9 seconds, hitting Pelican Watch. The water temp is a warm 82°, which is about 1° above the norm – pretty average for this time of year. The morning shows clean conditions with a light NW cross-offshore breeze, so if you’re a beginner and just want to get wet, it’s surfable. The combined swell energy is weak (53). Afternoon turns a bit messy with a cross-shore wind, and that’s about it.
From Tuesday September 15th through Sunday September 20th, it’s a real struggle. Swells stay tiny, mostly under 3ft, with short periods between 6 and 8 seconds. Winds are generally onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave quality is poor. There’s a moment on Saturday morning the 19th when it’s glassy, but the swell is only 1ft – barely a ripple. Combined energy readings are all below 100, often in the teens or thirties. Not worth rushing out for.
Monday September 21st through Thursday September 24th is more of the same – small SE and E swells, weak energy, and only a few clean windows with cross-offshore winds. On Thursday afternoon, the swell stays tiny at 2ft but conditions go glassy with a light WNW breeze, and the combined energy bumps up slightly to 61. It’s still very small, but it’s the cleanest the water’s been in a while.
Now, the standout window arrives late in the forecast, starting Friday September 25th. The morning sees a jump to 5ft from the ENE, but a moderate cross-shore wind and 8-second period makes it a bit lumpy. The real action is Friday afternoon: 5ft from the ENE with a 9-second period, clean cross-offshore winds from the SSW, and combined energy ramping up to 304 – that’s moderate energy. This is the first proper session in weeks.
Saturday September 26th morning looks even better. Swell builds to 5ft from the E at 9 seconds, light SW cross-offshore breeze, and the combined energy hits 430 – solid. The waves will be clean and have some push. By the afternoon, it jumps to 7ft from the ENE, but the wind goes light cross-shore and conditions become a bit more marginal for paddle surfing. That size is getting into expert territory if you’re not confident.
Sunday September 27th is the pick of the whole period. Morning brings 6ft from the ENE at 8 seconds with a light N cross-offshore breeze and combined energy of 461. Then Sunday afternoon is absolute glass – 7ft from the E, calm winds, zero breeze. Combined energy is 393. That’s clean, punchy, and lined up. This is the session to circle on the calendar. Just be aware the period is on the shorter side (7 seconds), so the waves might be a bit crumbly, but with that size and glassy conditions, Pelican Watch will be offering some fun, forgiving waves.
After that, Monday September 28th and Tuesday September 29th see the swell drop back down to 4ft and then 2ft, with onshore winds creeping back in. It’s a rapid fade-out.
Pelican Watch is a beginner-friendly, exposed beach break. The optimum swell direction is from the SE, and through the standout period we’re seeing swell from the ENE and E – that’s close enough to work. Crowds are listed as ‘often’, so expect company on the good days, especially Sunday the 27th.
Overall, the first couple of weeks are a write-off, but the final weekend – Friday the 25th through Sunday the 27th – delivers the goods. Sunday is the standout. Get it while it lasts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 32°C on Mon afternoon, min 22°C on Wed morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 21°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
49 | 49 | 154 | 112 | 106 | 97 | 61 | 89 | 99 | 92 | 80 | 69 | 31 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 42 | 34 | 28 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:30AM1.62m | 10:45PM1.31m | 11:13AM1.56m | 11:27PM1.20m | 11:59AM1.50m | 00:12AM1.10m | 12:50PM1.43m | 1:03AM1.03m | 1:48PM1.37m | 2:03AM0.99m | 2:51PM1.35m | 3:09AM0.99m | 3:54PM1.36m | 4:11AM1.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:42PM0.13m | 4:37AM0.12m | 5:30PM0.22m | 5:16AM0.20m | 6:21PM0.30m | 5:59AM0.26m | 7:18PM0.37m | 6:49AM0.32m | 8:21PM0.42m | 7:48AM0.35m | 9:26PM0.43m | 8:54AM0.35m | 10:24PM0.40m | ||||||||
6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 7:20 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 30 | 32 | 30 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 34 | 32 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | — | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 8 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | SSE 5 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 |
49 | 49 | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 42 | 34 | 28 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 4 | — | E 15 | — | — | — | SE 14 | — | — | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 12 | SE 5 | ESE 8 | SSE 5 | E 7 | ESE 11 | SSW 3 | E 6 | E 7 |
4 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 7 | NE 6 | S 6 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | — | — | S 4 | — | — | SSW 3 | — | SSW 3 | SSW 3 |
— | 2 | 154 | 112 | 106 | 97 | 61 | 89 | 99 | 92 | 80 | 69 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 54 | 642 | 1580 | 1230 | 1230 | 1230 | 913 | 23 | 138 | 243 | 59 | 23 | 892 | 253 | 253 | 1237 | 975 | 253 | 304 | 576 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Carolina | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Pelican Watch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Pelican Watch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Pelican Watch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Pelican Watch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Pelican Watch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Pelican Watch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Pelican Watch is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Wilmington. If you plan a vacation in North Carolina, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wilmington. Wilmington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










