Pelican Watch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper surf at Pelican Watch. We’ve got a real flat spell on the horizon. The guidance shows nothing that’s going to get the heart pumping. The first bit of real swell energy doesn't even show up until Monday the 7th, and even then, it’s coming in with strong onshore winds, making it a messy, lumpy mess. We’re talking a solid four days of pretty much nothing to start with.

The ocean’s going to be small and weak, with the combined energy barely registering over 20 to 30, which is just a pulse, not a wave. The water temp is sitting at a warm 83°, which is about normal for this time of year, a bit over a degree above average, so at least the wait will be comfortable.

The first sign of life arrives Monday the 7th with some chest to head-high swell, 5ft, from the ENE. But the wind is howling onshore from the same direction at 19 mph, and it's just going to be chopped-out, bumpy, and basically unrideable. The energy jumps to 193, but it’s all wind and no shape. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

Things don't really improve much through the week. We see a bit more energy Tuesday the 8th, with the combined swell reaching 254, but again, it's all onshore wind and poor quality. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it’ll be lacking any real punch. This trend continues for days, mostly onshore winds, with the swell fluctuating between knee and waist-high. It’s not until about Thursday the 10th that we get a little reprieve, a light offshore W wind on the morning, but the swell has dropped to 2ft and the energy is weak. Clean but tiny. Not worth getting wet for.

The long-range outlook for the second week is a continuation of the same story: weak energy and onshore winds. There’s a tiny window on Wednesday the 16th where the wind goes glassy in the morning, but there’s no swell to speak of. The energy is still in the 30s. It’s frustrating.

This is a classic blank run for the area. With the break only being "fairly consistent" at its best, this kind of flat, windy period is more normal than not. So, keep the board in the car, but don’t hold your breath. Forecaster confidence is always higher for the next few days, and that forecast is poor, so for the back half, we’re just hoping for a change in the weather pattern.

Stay patient. The ocean will wake up eventually. It always does.

Rusty

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