Pelican Watch Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.04° N 77.89° W

Pelican Watch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 15 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Pelican Watch sea temperature is
27.8°C
0.6° 

Pelican Watch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Pelican Watch surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period, SE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period, E swell with 107 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 20 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period with SE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Pelican Watch this week:

The surf forecast for Pelican Watch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Pelican Watch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 20th Sep)1.5ft (0.4m) 10s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 20th Sep)1.5ft (0.4m) 10s
Most Powerful 5PM (Wed 16th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Pelican Watch over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Howdy folks, it’s Rusty.

Let me tell you, looking out at Pelican Watch right now, it’s pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, messy swell and a lot of cross-onshore wind. From the 16th all the way through to the 27th, it's looking pretty marginal, if not flat. There’s a few knee-high days with short-period wind swell, but it’s nearly all chopped up. Don't get your hopes up.

There is one bit of light early on the 20th – a brief glassy window with a 0.4m southeast swell, but it’s gutless. You’d be reaching for the log and probably a book. Water temp is about normal for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

Now, the real story is the end of the month. The morning of Tuesday the 29th shows a bit of life with a clean 1.1m east swell, but it’s still short-period. Then things get properly interesting on Wednesday the 30th. We see a solid pulse of energy coming in from the southeast with a strong southwest wind pushing the swell. The combined energy clocks in at 603, which is the biggest read we’ve had in a long time. It’s 1.1m to 1.2m and the wind is cross-off and clean. That will produce proper, waveable surf. It’s not for beginners at that size, but for the rest of us, it’s the clear highlight of the whole week.

And it carries over into the morning of Thursday the 1st. The swell drops a little to 0.9m but it’s clean, still coming from the same solid direction, and the light offshore wind should keep the face smooth. That looks like another good session.

So the long and short of it: the first two weeks are basically a bust. But the last three days of the forecast window, specifically the 30th and the 1st, are where you want to be. A long-ranger for sure, so don’t book the time off yet, but it’s the only thing that’s got any sparkle to it.

That’s all I’ve got. Be patient, and keep an eye on the horizon.

Rusty, out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 23°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
E
6
0.9
E
6
1
E
7
0.9
E
6
0.8
E
6
0.7
E
6
0.6
ESE
6
0.5
ESE
6
0.4
ESE
6
0.2
ESE
12
0.2
ESE
12
0.3
SE
9
0.3
SE
9
0.4
SE
10
0.4
SE
9
0.6
E
7
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
74
52
107
62
47
36
28
19
14
13
14
13
13
33
29
39
27
25
16
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
20
NE
20
E
10
ENE
15
NE
15
ESE
5
S
5
SSW
20
SSW
10
W
5
E
15
SE
5
SSE
5
SE
15
S
10
S
10
E
15
SE
10
S
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-off
off
on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
11:27PM1.20m
11:59AM1.50m
00:12AM1.10m
12:50PM1.43m
1:03AM1.03m
1:48PM1.37m
2:03AM0.99m
2:51PM1.35m
3:09AM0.99m
3:54PM1.36m
4:11AM1.04m
4:48PM1.40m
Low Tide
5:16AM0.20m
6:21PM0.30m
5:59AM0.26m
7:18PM0.37m
6:49AM0.32m
8:21PM0.42m
7:48AM0.35m
9:26PM0.43m
8:54AM0.35m
10:24PM0.40m
9:57AM0.32m
11:11PM0.35m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:56
6:56
6:56
6:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:17
7:16
7:15
7:14
7:13
7:10
7:09
 mm
2
3
Temp °C
25
25
26
25
24
25
25
26
28
26
26
27
26
27
28
26
27
28
27
Feels °C
23
24
25
24
25
25
26
28
28
26
29
29
28
30
30
28
30
30
30
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Pelican Watch Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Pelican Watch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Pelican Watch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Pelican Watch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Pelican Watch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Pelican Watch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Pelican Watch is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Wilmington. If you plan a vacation in North Carolina, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wilmington. Wilmington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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