Pelican Watch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. We’ve got a long dry spell before anything even starts to look surfable, and even then, it’s not going to be firing. The first proper chance to get wet doesn’t come around until the morning of Monday, August 10th, and even that’s just a glimmer of hope after a long, flat run.

The swell is small and inconsistent for the first week and a half. From Friday, July 31st, all the way through to Sunday, August 9th, it’s basically a write-off. We’re talking about tiny, weak waves with poor conditions. The wind is mostly rubbish – cross-on, cross, or just too strong. There’s a storm risk for a lot of those days, which doesn’t help. The energy is low, with combined swell energy figures sitting mostly under 100 (weak), and only a few days kicking up into the low 200s and 300s, but the wind and quality just aren’t there. It’s the kind of weather that’s better for staying on the beach than paddling out.

The first real standout, and really the only one worth getting excited about, is Pelican Watch on the morning of Monday, August 10th. We’ll see a clean 5 ft swell coming from the SSW. The wind will be offshore from the WSW at 9 mph, giving us that nice, clean face. The water temperature is sitting at a warm 84°, which is about 0.9° above average for this time of year, so normal tropical conditions. The combined energy is a solid 233 (moderate), so there’s a bit of push behind it. This is the one session to target if you’ve got a window. The swell period is short at 6 seconds, so it won’t have the grunt of a groundswell, but it’ll be rideable and clean. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

After that, things get a bit messy again. The afternoon of the 10th drops right off, and the 11th and 12th are just surfable but ordinary. There’s a morning on Wednesday, August 12th, with a clean 3 ft S swell and a light offshore wind from the W. It’s small, but it’s clean. The afternoon of the 12th gets a fresh offshore, but the wind is way too strong at 22 mph, so that’s a no-go.

The rest of the run into the second week is more of the same: small, weak, and choppy. There’s nothing else to get the heart racing. The setup is better for a kite than a paddle on those big, windy, stormy days.

So, in short: sit tight until the morning of August 10th. That’s your best bet. The rest is just waiting and hoping the forecasts change.

Rusty.

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