Pelican Watch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for our stretch of coast. I gotta be straight with you, this forecast is a tough one. For most of the 16-day window, there just isn't much to write home about. We’ve got a long gap with nothing worth paddling out for, and it’ll be a while before we see anything that even gets close to being a good bet.

The only spot on the radar is Pelican Watch, and it’s a pretty bleak picture right through the middle of the month. Starting Saturday the 11th, we get a brief pulse of energy but the conditions are sloppy. Saturday morning shows a combined energy of 149 (moderate) with a 4 ft SW swell, but that's riding a 12 mph WSW wind that’s chopped things up. It’s surfable, but it’s ordinary. By the afternoon it drops right off, and from there it’s a parade of tiny waves.

From Saturday the 11th right through to Sunday the 19th, it’s a write-off. We’re looking at a solid 8-day stretch of knee-high slop. The swell heights barely break 2 ft, periods are short and weak, and energy readings are mostly in the low teens to 40s. A few mornings go glassy, like Monday the 13th and Wednesday the 15th, but with only 1 ft to 2 ft on offer, you’re not catching anything with any push. It’s a tough run. The wind does turn offshore a couple of times, but with no swell, it doesn’t matter.

Now, there is one glimmer that catches the eye, but it’s a long way off. Monday the 20th shows a bigger pulse, the best of the outlook. The swell picks up to 4 ft from the SSW with a period of 7 seconds and the combined energy jumps to 246 (moderate to strong). The wind swings ENE at 6 mph, which is an onshore direction. The report flags it as marginal, and honestly, 4 ft on a beach break with onshore wind and that short a period will probably be a bit of a messy, crumbly wave. It’s the biggest size we’ll see, but it’s not a standout for quality. For an experienced surfer who’s desperate, it’s something to keep an eye on, but don’t expect clean lines. After that, it’s back to tiny surf and ordinary wind for the rest of the window.

Water temp is sitting at 84°F at Pelican Watch for that first Saturday, which is about 1°F above normal for the time of year. So, it’s your typical warm tropical water, nothing out of the ordinary.

Bottom line: this is a tough forecast. Unless you’re happy to kick around on a foamie in ankle-biters, there’s not much to get excited about until that bump on the 20th, and even then, it’s a “maybe” wave. We’ll see if the models get any friendlier as we get closer.

Rusty.

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