Pelican Watch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what Pelican Watch has in store for us over this 16-day stretch. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a long, flat spell for the most part, with only a couple of brief moments that might get your heart rate up.

The water temp is sitting at a warm 83°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there – just standard tropical bathwater.

Looking at the whole picture, we’re in for a dry run. From now through the end of July, the swell is tiny – mostly around 1ft to 2ft – and the wind is often messy. There’s a bit of a tease on the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July when the swell bumps up to 4ft from the SSW, with a clean cross-offshore breeze (WSW). The combined energy hits 206 (moderate), but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s gonna be weak, bumpy little waves. Not worth paddling out for any surfer who’s been in the water more than a year.

Then we hit another flat zone until Sunday the 2nd of August. That afternoon, we get a 4ft swell from the SE with a period of 8 seconds and cross-off winds (SSW). The energy climbs to 143 (moderate) – still small, but at least the offshore wind will keep it clean. Not a standout, but it’s the best we’ve seen in a week.

But the real highlight – and I mean the *only* highlight worth circling on your calendar – is Monday the 3rd of August. Morning sees the swell hitting 5ft from the S, period of 7 seconds, with clean cross-off winds (SSW). The combined energy jumps to 243 (moderate). That’s the most juice we get. Monday afternoon holds at 5ft from the S, same wind, energy at 264. Tuesday the 4th of August morning is the pick of the whole forecast: still 5ft from the SSW, cross-off breeze (SW), and energy pumping at 363 (strong). These are the only days where the swell actually pushes past the 5ft mark, which puts it into the “too big for beginners” zone, but still very manageable for intermediate and experienced surfers. The short period (7 seconds) means the waves won’t have that long-range grunt, but with clean offshore conditions, Pelican Watch should offer some fun, crumbly lefts and rights.

However, after Tuesday afternoon – the 4th – it drops off a cliff. By Wednesday the 5th, we’re back to 2ft and nothing of consequence for the rest of the window. The final 9 days are basically flat, with weak energy readings between 12 and 39. The wind stays clean offshore, but there’s simply no swell to work with.

So to wrap it up: we’ve got a long gap of no real surf until the 29th of July, then a poor quality mini-blip, another gap, and then a 2-day window from the 3rd to the 4th of August that offers the only genuine surf. Tuesday morning the 4th is your best bet. After that, it’s a ghost town. Expect crowds if you head out during that window – this spot gets ‘often’ busy, and when it’s the only game in town, it’ll be packed.

Rusty.

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