Pelican Watch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this isn’t the kind of forecast that gets you out of bed before dawn. The whole 16-day window is a real struggle for decent surf. We’ve got a long stretch of weak, small energy and tricky conditions, so you’ll need to be patient or find something else to do.

Pelican Watch is the only break on the radar, but it’s a tough watch. The water’s sitting at 83°, which is about average for the time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

The first few days have next to nothing. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are flat with tiny 3 ft to 2 ft swell from the southeast, mixed with rain and cross-offshore winds. The energy is weak – we’re looking at combined readings between 35 and 72, so it’s barely a ripple. Thursday the 6th is the same story with 3 ft to 3 ft, but the period is a short 5 seconds, so it’s junk.

We finally get a tiny pulse on Friday the 7th morning. Swell sits at 3 ft from the southeast, period 6 seconds, and the conditions are clean with a gentle cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is 60 – still weak – but it’s surfable in a very ordinary way. Saturday the 8th sees a slight bump: 3 ft to 3 ft from the southeast, period 8 seconds. The morning energy hits 108, so it’s moderate, but it’s still a far cry from good. The Saturday afternoon wind picks up to 12 mph, so it’s not getting any cleaner.

After that, the rest of the week drops off a cliff. From Sunday the 9th, the swell fades to 2 ft and then to 1 ft and 0.7 ft for days on end. The combined energy drops into the teens and single digits. The wind is mostly cross-offshore, but it’s strong – 15 to 19 mph – which makes paddle-out a chore for tiny waves. There’s a glassy moment on the afternoon of Friday the 14th, but the swell is only 1 ft, so it’s not worth the drive.

Honestly, the only half-decent window is the Saturday morning of the 8th, with clean 3 ft swell and moderate energy (220). That’s your best bet, but it’s still a beginner-level wave at best. Don’t get your hopes up for the rest of the run. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because it can’t stay this flat forever.

Rusty.

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