Surf Forecasts:
Pelican Watch surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 12s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, SE swell with 154 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 12s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Pelican Watch this week:
The surf forecast for Pelican Watch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Pelican Watch in the next 16 days are 0.9m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Pelican Watch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I’m looking at the next 16 days of surf for us. I won’t sugarcoat it – this is a tough stretch. The swell is basically missing for the first week, and then it’s mainly small, messy junk. We’ve got one spot, Pelican Watch, but it’s not looking like a hero.
The water temperature is sitting at 83°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Right from the start, it’s a slow grind. From Saturday the 29th through Tuesday the 1st of September, the swell is tiny, around 1ft to 2ft, coming from the ESE with a short period of 7-8 seconds. The wave energy is weak, and every session is marked as “poor surf conditions.” There’s a glassy moment Saturday morning and Monday morning, but with no swell to work with, it’s a flat, glassy lake.
We finally get a little bump on Wednesday the 2nd morning. The swell picks up to 3ft from the SE, period stretching to 10 seconds, and the energy picks up. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the SW, so it’s clean. This is the first *surfable* wave of the outlook, but it’s very ordinary. The wave energy is still just moderate, and the size is small. It’s not a standout, just a slight tease.
Then things go backwards again. From Thursday the 3rd through to Sunday the 6th, the swell drops back to 2ft and then flatlines to 0.7ft. The energy collapses to nearly nothing. The wind stays clean, but there’s nothing to ride. We’re talking about a solid 4-day gap of barely a ripple.
There’s a flicker on Monday the 7th morning with a 2ft swell from the S, but the period is a short 6 seconds, and the energy is weak. The wind is a moderate offshore from the W, so it’s clean, but the wave quality is still poor. Not a recommendation.
The next real chance comes on Tuesday the 8th morning. Swell is only 1ft, but it’s from the SE with a long 14-second period. The energy is weak. The wind is light cross-offshore from the NNW, so it’s clean. The long period might give it a bit of shape, but it’s tiny. Wednesday the 9th morning has a similar setup: 2ft SE swell at 10 seconds, a bit more energy, and a clean offshore wind from the W. Again, surfable but very ordinary.
Thursday the 10th morning brings a 3ft swell from the S, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s going to be weak and bumpy. The offshore wind (WSW) keeps it clean, but the energy is moderate.
After that, the outlook goes completely off the rails. Friday the 11th through Sunday the 13th sees a mix of short-period windswell, onshore winds, and growing chop. The swell picks up to 5ft by Sunday afternoon, but it’s from the ENE with a pitiful 6-second period, and the wind is onshore. The energy builds, but the conditions are poor and choppy. At that point, with the setup turning into a wind-blown mess, this spot looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Bottom line: There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The one day that came closest was Wednesday the 2nd morning, but it was still only a very ordinary, small wave. The following week is a write-off. This is a classic flat spell for the area. It tends not to stay this poor for long, so keep the faith, but right now, leave the boards in the car.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 41 | 37 | 37 | 25 | 25 | 135 | 154 | 100 | 86 | 53 | 53 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 13 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 9:01AM1.42m | 9:19PM1.52m | 9:40AM1.49m | 9:56PM1.46m | 10:22AM1.55m | 10:36PM1.39m | 11:07AM1.58m | 11:19PM1.30m | 11:57AM1.60m | 00:09AM1.21m | 12:55PM1.60m | 1:06AM1.14m | 2:00PM1.60m | 2:13AM1.10m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:58PM0.04m | 3:23AM0.04m | 3:41PM0.05m | 3:57AM0.03m | 4:27PM0.08m | 4:34AM0.03m | 5:18PM0.13m | 5:16AM0.04m | 6:14PM0.18m | 6:05AM0.06m | 7:17PM0.23m | 7:02AM0.09m | 8:28PM0.26m | ||||||||
6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
— | 7:40 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 41 | 37 | 37 | 25 | 25 | 135 | 154 | 100 | 86 | 53 | 53 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 13 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 4 | — | SE 4 | SSE 5 | — | — | E 9 | SE 14 | ESE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 |
7 | 4 | 3 | — | 4 | 4 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | — | — | — | E 9 | — | E 9 | — | — | SE 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 6 | S 5 |
2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSE 4 | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | — | SSW 3 | SW 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 3 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SSW 4 | SW 5 |
— | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 42 | 41 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 129 | 278 | 282 | 282 | 978 | 278 | 278 | 1231 | 547 | 1237 | 1237 | 0 | 0 | 2162 | 17 | 0 | 489 | 304 | 294 | 1144 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Carolina | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Pelican Watch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Pelican Watch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Pelican Watch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Pelican Watch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Pelican Watch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Pelican Watch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Pelican Watch is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Wilmington. If you plan a vacation in North Carolina, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wilmington. Wilmington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











