
Surf Forecasts:
Pelican Watch surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, SSW swell with 349 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Pelican Watch this week:
The surf forecast for Pelican Watch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Pelican Watch in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Pelican Watch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the local surf scene over the next couple of weeks. Honestly, mate, it’s a tough stretch. The first few days are a write-off with next to nothing and poor conditions. We’ve got a long gap of tiny, weak surf until things finally show some life late in the month.
We start off on Wednesday, 15 July, at Pelican Watch. It’s flat – 2ft of weak, short-period E swell with a cross-onshore wind kicking up chop. The combined energy is a measly 37 – barely a ripple. Nothing doing.
Thursday 16th and Friday 17th are no better, with swell dropping to 0.7ft-1ft. The wind goes light and clean, but there’s simply no swell to work with. Saturday 18th stays the same – tiny 0.7ft waves with fresh cross-off winds. This is a frustrating stretch of nothing.
Sunday 19th morning is the first real blip. A pulse of S swell arrives at 5ft (478 combined energy), but it’s short-period and the wind is solid cross-off. The wave comment says it’s marginal, and the afternoon gets blown out with 30 km/h winds. Not worth rushing out for.
Monday 20th morning drops to 3ft S swell (109 energy) with light winds, making it surfable but very ordinary. Afternoon gets messy again. Tuesday 21st morning bumps up to 4ft (210 energy) but still a short period and moderate winds – marginal at best.
The rest of the week into the weekend (22nd to 25th July) is a mix of tiny swell and onshore winds, with most days seeing 2ft-3ft and poor conditions. No standout sessions.
Finally, on Thursday 30th July, we get a proper highlight. Pelican Watch picks up a 5ft SSW swell with a 7-second period, pushing combined energy to 396 – that’s moderate wave energy. The kicker? The morning is glassy with a light NE breeze at 5 km/h. The forecast calls for “expect good surf conditions” – that’s the one to circle. It’s a beginner-friendly break, so the 5ft swell is in the sweet spot for learning. Clean, glassy, and with that S swell, it’ll be a fun morning. The water temp is a warm 83°, about average for this time of year. Crowds are often a factor here, so expect some company.
Overall, it’s a long, flat wait until that Thursday 30th July morning – that’s your best bet. Everything else is a scratch or a write-off. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but realistically, this is a quiet period for Pelican Watch.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 32°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat night, light winds from the SSW by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 6 | S 7 | SE 7 | S 6 | S 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
18 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 262 | 292 | 206 | 246 | 103 | 59 | 97 | 124 | 19 | 104 | 51 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:25PM1.80m | 9:47AM1.33m | 10:15PM1.71m | 10:41AM1.36m | 11:04PM1.59m | 11:36AM1.37m | 11:52PM1.44m | 12:31PM1.36m | 00:41AM1.29m | 1:26PM1.35m | 1:32AM1.14m | 2:23PM1.34m | 2:26AM1.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:43PM-0.22m | 3:45AM-0.14m | 3:39PM-0.17m | 4:32AM-0.13m | 4:35PM-0.10m | 5:19AM-0.10m | 5:31PM-0.00m | 6:05AM-0.06m | 6:30PM0.10m | 6:50AM-0.00m | 7:31PM0.18m | 7:37AM0.06m | 8:36PM0.25m | 8:25AM0.11m | |||||||
— | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | |
8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | 8:20 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 31 | 33 | 27 | 31 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 33 | 30 | 29 | 34 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | ESE 6 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | S 8 | — | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | ESE 8 | S 7 | SE 7 | S 6 | S 6 |
18 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 6 | — | 186 | — | 246 | 103 | 59 | 6 | 86 | 19 | 104 | 51 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | — | E 13 | E 13 | — | — | — | — | E 12 | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | SE 8 |
18 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | — | E 7 | — | — | — | — | E 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 12 | E 12 | — | — | — | — | ESE 9 |
1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 4 | — | S 3 | SSW 3 | SSW 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | S 4 | S 5 | S 7 | S 8 | S 7 | SW 7 | — | — | S 6 | S 7 | SSW 5 | WSW 6 | — |
— | 1 | — | 5 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 262 | 292 | 206 | 183 | — | — | 97 | 124 | 109 | 96 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 837 | 837 | 974 | 842 | 489 | 1580 | 1573 | 1735 | 1573 | 536 | 1098 | 19 | 301 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 351 | 973 | 19 | 352 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Carolina | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Pelican Watch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Pelican Watch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Pelican Watch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Pelican Watch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Pelican Watch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Pelican Watch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Pelican Watch is 26 km (16 miles) from the city of Wilmington. If you plan a vacation in North Carolina, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wilmington. Wilmington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











