Pelican Watch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the table.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. Over the next few weeks, we’re looking at a whole lot of nothing special. There’s a long, dry gap right from the start with days of flat or weak, wind-chopped junk. The first real chance of anything doesn’t show up until well into the second week, and even then, it’s barely a pulse. For the most part, unless you’re desperate for a paddle, you’re better off finding something else to do.

Looking at the only break on the radar, Pelican Watch, things kick off with a run of poor conditions. We’ve got a fresh cross-onshore breeze blowing at 19 mph on Monday the 7th, with a weak, short-period swell of 4 ft from the ENE. The combined energy is a measly 88, so there’s no grunt in the water. That trend continues through Tuesday and Wednesday, with messy onshore winds and lumpy surf.

Thursday the 10th morning does go glassy, with a light SE breeze, but the swell has dropped to a pathetic 2 ft. It’s clean, but there’s just nothing to ride. The water temp feels average for this time of year, nothing strange there.

The truth is, we’ve got over a week of this. The energy readings are all under 100, meaning the ocean is basically asleep. For a beginner spot like this, the occasional 5 ft bump on Monday the 7th afternoon is also blown out with a fresh onshore wind, so it’s not even worth the drive. If the wind was lighter, maybe, but it’s not.

Given the persistent wind and poor quality at this beach-and-reef setup, especially when the swell does pick up a little, the conditions would actually be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The onshore winds and waist-high lumps are just a recipe for chop.

The only faint glimmer is way out on Saturday the 19th. The morning shows a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the SW at 6 mph, with a tiny 2 ft swell from the ENE. Even then, the energy is only 57, and the score reflects “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not a standout; it’s just less terrible than the rest. That’s as good as it gets in this 16-day window.

So, to put it plainly: there are no good surf options here. For the first week, it’s effectively flat or blown out. The second week offers a couple of moments of clean, tiny surf, but nothing that qualifies as a recommendation. For this area, a blank run like this is pretty normal. Forecasts can change, but right now, don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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