Oceanic Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks. Rusty here. Let's go through the charts for the upcoming stretch.

Look, I won't sugarcoat it – we are looking at a pretty bleak period for Oceanic Pier. The next two weeks are basically a write-off for any kind of decent surf. The raw data tells a story of tiny, weak swell and poor wind directions at a spot that needs a nice, clean NE swell to work. What we are getting is small, short-period stuff from the east and southeast, which just isn't going to produce much of anything rideable. You are looking at weak wave energy, mostly under 100, which is about as flat as it gets. The first solid wave energy we see is on the 22nd of July with a combined energy of 92, but that's still attached to a weak 2ft swell with a short period. The water temp sits at about 82°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so the ocean is warm even if it's flat.

We start off this Tuesday, the 14th of July, with a risk of thunderstorms and about 3ft of weak, 7-second swell from the east, but it's all messy with a cross-onshore breeze. Nothing doing there. That trend sticks for the rest of the week and into the weekend. Wednesday and Thursday offer a tiny glimpse of glassy conditions on Thursday morning, 16th July, with a tiny 1ft swell from the southeast, but honestly, it's too weak to even paddle for. We see the swell drop to zero from the 19th to the 20th, with offshore winds on Monday morning the 20th from the WSW, but there is simply no swell for those winds to work on. That's a classic "wind but no water" scenario.

The surf will try to flicker back to life around the 21st and 22nd of July. Tuesday the 21st has a morning offshore from the WNW making things clean, but with only 1ft of swell from the SE, you are looking at knee-high slop at best. The best looking conditions in this whole forecast come on Saturday morning, the 25th of July, with light offshore winds from the west and a 1ft groundswell from the ESE with a period of 11 seconds. For the keen longboarder or the grom just learning, that early session could actually be glassy and have a little bit of shape. The 26th also starts with glassy conditions and a little bump at 2ft. But that's about as good as it gets. The long period swell of 16 seconds we see on Friday the 24th is interesting, but it's coming in with a cross-onshore wind and hitting a beach/pier setup, which means it will likely close out or just be a mess.

If you are a beginner, there is nothing over 5ft, so you aren't going to be out of your depth. But the problem is there's nothing of any quality to ride anyway. This setup and these wind directions would actually look more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer on most of those afternoons when the sea breeze picks up. The consistent message here is poor surf conditions across the board. It's a long, blank run and it's sadly pretty normal for this spot when the swell direction is wrong. We just have to wait for that wind to swing NE and the ocean to wake up.

Stay tuned, forecasts can change.

Rusty

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