The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our little stretch of coast.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands. The first few days are pretty marginal, so don’t get your hopes up just yet. The real action, if you can call it that, starts to build from the end of the week.

Wednesday the 26th offers a glimmer. The Patch is showing a small 2ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, but it’s tiny. The morning is the pick with a light cross-off breeze keeping things clean. The water is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate at best (266).

Thursday the 27th sees a bump in size, with the swell hitting 4ft by the morning, but the period drops right off to a short, weak 6 seconds. That’s windswell, and it’s not going to be pretty. The wind is up, too, making for a messy outlook. The afternoon gets even bigger at 6ft, but with that short period, it’s a lumpy, crumbly mess. Really only one for the experts if they’re desperate, and even then, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a proper paddle session.

Now, Friday the 28th morning is where it gets interesting. The swell drops back to 2ft, but that period jumps back up to a lovely 17 seconds. The wind is a gentle cross-off, and the combined energy is ramping up (511), which is solid for the size. This is a standout window. The wave quality is going to be smooth and clean, with good shape for a beginner-friendly wave. Crowds are possible at The Patch, but that’s the price of a clean wave.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep the consistency going. Saturday morning has a 3ft SW swell with an 18-second period, but the wind is a bit stronger. Sunday the 30th morning is the absolute gem of the run: glassy conditions with a 3ft SW swell and a 16-second period. The combined energy is a punchy 717. This is as good as it gets for this forecast. Clean, glassy, and that long period will wrap in nicely.

After Sunday, it trails off. The first week of September sees the swell holding around 2ft to 3ft, but the wind patterns start to get onshore or cross-shore, and the quality drops. The 2nd of September has another glassy morning but the swell is a tad smaller. The 3rd and 4th of September have a bit more size and energy (679 on the 3rd), but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making for a choppy, frustrating session.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The 5th of September has a decent 3ft SW swell, but the wind is a bit of a factor. The 9th of September morning looks promising again, with a 2ft SW swell and a very long 19-second period, light winds, and a combined energy of 461. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s a promising sign.

Overall, the standout is Sunday the 30th of August morning. Get in the water early. The backup is Friday the 28th of August morning. The rest of the time, you’ll be scratching for a wave, but the swell energy is there, just waiting for a clean window. It’s a waiting game, but the forecasts can always change for the better.

Rusty.

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