The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the upcoming swell window. We’ve only got one spot on the radar this time, The Patch, so all eyes are on it.

The forecast kicks off with a real gem for the early birds. Sunday morning the 2nd is the standout of the whole run. We’re looking at a clean 7ft swell out of the WNW with a solid 9-second period, and the wind is glassy. The water’s sitting at 57°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. The combined energy is pumping at a solid moderate level (869). This is the one to circle – get on it early.

Sunday afternoon sees that same swell dropping slightly to 7ft, but the wind swings around to a moderate WNW cross-off, which will still be clean, but the glassy morning is the real winner.

After that, things take a turn. Monday the 3rd through to Saturday the 8th of August is a pretty bleak stretch. The swell drops right off and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore. You’ll be looking at weak, gutless waves with poor shape. It’s a solid 6-day gap where you’d be better off doing something else.

Now, we do get a pulse of energy rolling back in on Sunday the 9th. A 6ft WNW swell with a 10-second period shows up, but the wind is a light cross-onshore, which puts a bit of a ripple on it. It’s not the clean glass we had on the 2nd, but it’s the next best thing in this window.

The week that follows (from Monday the 10th) is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell hangs around in the 4ft to 5ft range, mostly from the WNW. Winds are generally light and cross or cross-off, so the surf will be rideable but nothing to write home about. The bigger energy (633) on Monday morning is worth a look if you’re desperate, but keep your expectations in check.

Looking further out, from the 15th of August onward, the swell shifts to a longer-period SW groundswell (16-19 seconds). While that sounds promising, the wave heights are tiny, around 2ft to 3ft. That long period will make for some pretty straight lines at The Patch, so it’s more of a longboard or a flat day. Nothing is jumping out as a true standout after that first Sunday.

Overall, the play is simple: be on the water first thing Sunday the 2nd. That’s your best shot. Everything else is either flat, weak, or just average.

Rusty.

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