Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 21s period, SW swell with 880 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for The Patch, and honestly, it’s a bit of a slow burn. The water is sitting at 58°F which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re getting in.
The whole first week is a real struggle. We’re looking at Tuesday afternoon through to the following Monday morning with nothing but marginal calls. The wind is mostly on it or cross-off, but the swell is just too weak and short to get excited about. The combined energy never really gets going, mostly moderate at best, with values like 509 (moderate) and 542 (moderate). The direction is a constant SSW, which is fine for the spot, but the height is a piddly 4ft to 5ft and the period is all over the place. It’s just not happening.
Then, things start to look a little more interesting. The real standout is Thursday, July 30th morning. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions" and I can see why. The combined energy is a solid 952 (moderate), and you’ve got a clean 3ft SSW swell with a 16-second period. That long period is a proper groundswell, and it’ll wrap in nicely. The light 9 mph WNW wind is cross-off, keeping it clean. For a beginner spot like The Patch, this is the best bet of the whole run. Be aware, though, that long period swells can make the waves a bit more powerful and the sets more spaced out, so keep your eyes on the horizon.
After that, the surf looks like it'll be a bit too small or too messy for a few days, with a short period WNW swell popping up on the 31st and 1st of August. The morning of August 2nd has a decent little 3ft S swell with a 11-second period and light 6 mph cross-off wind. The combined energy is 285 (moderate), and it’s clean. It’s not a big day, but it’s a fun, easy option. The spot is fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay flat for long.
Keep in mind, The Patch is an exposed spot, and it’s a beginner-friendly break. Crowds are possible, especially on a good day, but it’s the kind of place where you can still find a wave. The best of the bunch is that Thursday the 30th morning, but it’s a long-range call, so take it with a pinch of salt. The second week fades out into mostly poor surf, so don’t hold your breath for the final days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue night, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 9 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 302 | 301 | 194 | 264 | 257 | 229 | 329 | 546 | 541 | 386 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 791 | 478 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:47AM0.77m | 6:45PM1.23m | 9:22AM0.80m | 7:32PM1.24m | 10:30AM0.86m | 8:20PM1.25m | 11:18AM0.91m | 9:07PM1.26m | 11:56AM0.95m | 9:52PM1.29m | 12:29PM0.98m | 10:34PM1.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:50AM0.17m | 12:54PM0.49m | 2:52AM0.11m | 1:58PM0.56m | 3:47AM0.05m | 3:02PM0.61m | 4:34AM0.00m | 3:59PM0.62m | 5:16AM-0.04m | 4:47PM0.61m | 5:53AM-0.06m | 5:29PM0.60m | |||||||
 | | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | 8:29 | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 19 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | SSW 13 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 302 | 301 | 153 | 96 | 257 | 229 | 195 | 154 | 541 | 147 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 791 | 427 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 7 | S 7 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SSW 13 | SW 22 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 178 | 245 | 194 | 264 | 17 | 8 | 329 | 546 | 154 | 386 | 115 | 58 | 83 | 81 | 78 | 101 | 47 | 51 | 56 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | NW 11 | SW 26 | WSW 18 | NW 10 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | S 11 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 21 | W 12 | S 10 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 16 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 106 | 31 | 24 | 43 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 54 | — | 117 | 3 | 2 | 88 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | — | — | — | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 |
| kJ | 17 | — | — | — | 26 | 70 | 115 | 49 | 114 | 159 | 90 | 154 | 215 | 129 | 216 | 440 | 250 | 406 | 478 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 22 | 45 | 122 | 54 | 120 | 120 | 54 | 22 | 120 | 83 | 22 | 120 | 112 | 22 | 120 | 110 | 22 | 120 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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