The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a seat. Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple of weeks. It starts a bit slow, but there's some real potential brewing, so don't count it out.

The early part of the window is a bit of a tease. We've got a long-period groundswell pushing in, but it's a tricky one. The main action is at The Patch, a fairly consistent spot that's exposed to the swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

Wednesday morning, the 29th of July, kicks things off with a clean 3ft swell from the southwest, running at a very long 16 seconds. The combined energy is strong (1285), and with a gentle cross-off breeze, it's going to be clean. For the experienced surfer, this is a proper session. It's a little punchy for the beginners, but a standout for the crew that knows what they're doing.

Thursday morning, the 30th, the swell drops a touch to 3ft, but that same southwest groundswell is still holding its 16-second period. The energy is moderate (717), and the wind is light and cross-off, so the waves will be clean and well-shaped. A solid option for a morning surf.

Friday morning, the 31st, the swell bumps up to 6ft but the period drops to 8 seconds. The energy is moderate (963), and the wind is light, so it's not a total write-off, but that short period makes it a bit walled-up and less juicy. It's a bit of a step down from the early days.

Now, the real standout is Saturday morning, the 1st of August. The swell comes in at 7ft from the northwest with an 8-second period, but the combined energy is strong (1152). The wind is a light cross-off, keeping it clean. This is big, and it's only for the experts. If you’ve got the skills and the board for it, this is the best session on offer.

Sunday morning, the 2nd of August, is still solid with a 7ft northwest swell, but the energy is a bit lower (869) and the wind is still light and cross-off. It's a good follow-up, but the Saturday morning is the one to circle.

From Monday, the 3rd of August, things start to fall apart. The wind turns onshore, the swell drops, and the quality takes a nosedive. We're looking at a gap of about four days where the surf is pretty poor. Not worth paddling out for.

Then we get a bit of a revival. Saturday morning, the 8th of August, brings a solid 6ft northwest swell with a 9-second period. The energy is strong again (1067) and the wind is a clean cross-off. For the experienced crew, this is another good window, but it's a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.

After that, the swell just fades out, with smaller, weaker swells and poor winds for the rest of the forecast. The last week of the outlook is honestly a bit of a dud.

So, the best of the best is that Saturday morning, the 1st of August, at The Patch. It's a big, powerful, clean swell for the experts. The Wednesday morning, the 29th of July, is a close second for the more experienced surfer who wants clean, long-period lines. The rest is a mixed bag, with a few good days bookending a long flat spell.

Rusty.

Read more