Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,034 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.9m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Alright gang, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at The Patch for the next couple of weeks.
We start off Wednesday morning, July 8th, with a clean little 3ft SW groundswell. The water is feeling about normal for the season. The energy is moderate (748), and with a light offshore breeze, it’s glassy. This is a nice one for the beginners, but it’s not going to be a big day. The afternoon picks up to 3ft, but the wind picks up too, making it a bit messy.
The real standout of the whole forecast is Thursday morning, July 9th. We’ve got a solid 8ft WNW swell rolling in with some grunt (1795 energy). That’s too big for the groms, but for the experienced crew, this is the session. The period is 9 seconds, a solid short-period swell, and with a light 10 km/h offshore breeze, it’s going to be clean and powerful. The afternoon drops to 7ft but the wind jumps up, so get out early.
The weekend stays fun but not epic. Saturday morning, July 11th, has 5ft WNW swell with a light offshore, clean and friendly. Sunday morning, July 12th, is similar with 6ft and a light breeze. Both mornings are your best bets for the weekend. The afternoons get windier and less appealing.
The middle of the week, from Monday July 13th through to Thursday July 16th, is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell hangs around 4ft to 7ft, but it’s mostly offshore winds and the surf quality is just okay. Friday morning, July 17th, sees a bump in energy (1326) with 7ft NW swell, but it’s a marginal call.
The last real highlight comes on Saturday morning, July 18th. It’s a small but clean 2ft W groundswell rolling in. The period is a long 16 seconds, so the sets will be lined up and clean. The energy is moderate (609) and the wind is light offshore. This is a good morning for a longboard, a quiet session.
After that, the forecast fades out. From Sunday, July 19th, through to Thursday, July 23rd, the swell drops and the wind turns onshore or side-shore, making things pretty messy. The energy levels drop below 600, and the recommendations are all marginal. There’s a run of about 5 days where you’d be better off doing something else. The Patch is fairly consistent, but this is a natural lull for the area.
So, to wrap it up: Thursday morning, July 9th, is the big one for the experienced crew, and Saturday morning, July 18th, is the sleeper hit for the easy-going surfers. Everything else is just filler.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tue 14 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 455 | 510 | 521 | 692 | 884 | 615 | 781 | 463 | 463 | 560 | 331 | 534 | 560 | 407 | 355 | 488 | 339 | 300 | 270 | 204 | 294 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:39AM0.76m | 6:32PM1.28m | 8:24AM0.76m | 7:20PM1.34m | 9:51AM0.82m | 8:12PM1.41m | 10:56AM0.90m | 9:06PM1.46m | 11:49AM0.97m | 10:02PM1.51m | 12:36PM1.03m | 10:56PM1.53m | 1:18PM1.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:18AM0.23m | 12:25PM0.35m | 2:22AM0.10m | 1:24PM0.45m | 3:21AM-0.03m | 2:28PM0.52m | 4:17AM-0.16m | 3:33PM0.56m | 5:09AM-0.25m | 4:34PM0.57m | 5:59AM-0.30m | 5:32PM0.55m | 6:47AM-0.32m | 6:29PM0.51m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
 | 8:35 | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:32 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 6 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SW 14 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 455 | 238 | 521 | 310 | 474 | 310 | 291 | 463 | 236 | 171 | 331 | 176 | 560 | 407 | 167 | 488 | 339 | 118 | 118 | 106 | 58 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 18 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 18 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 14 |
| kJ | 104 | 510 | 123 | 44 | 437 | — | 353 | 291 | 183 | 171 | 171 | 6 | 186 | 164 | 6 | 136 | 120 | 15 | 96 | 58 | 36 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | W 18 | W 16 | W 17 | W 15 | W 16 | W 16 | WSW 19 | W 15 | W 14 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 11 | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 37 | 39 | 35 | 81 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 9 | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 |
| kJ | 294 | — | 302 | 692 | 884 | 615 | 781 | — | 463 | 560 | — | 534 | — | — | 355 | — | — | 300 | 270 | 204 | 294 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 120 | 0 | 121 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 54 | 121 | 121 | 22 | 0 | 463 | 22 | 0 | 434 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 465 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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