Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with 682 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the line for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, the water is sitting at a very unusual 62°F, which is over two degrees warmer than you'd normally expect for this time of year. That's a bit of a talking point down the beach.
The next few days are pretty quiet. Saturday the 22nd has tiny 1ft SW swells with a strong cross-off breeze, and it's just not worth getting wet for. There's a big gap of nothing special until we see a glimmer of hope.
Sunday the 23rd morning is where things start to turn. We've got a 4ft WNW swell with glassy conditions – wind is dead calm from the SSW. That's a major positive, meaning it'll be clean and tidy. The combined swell energy is moderate at (311), and the period is short at 8 seconds, so it won't be the most powerful, but it'll be rideable for a beginner-friendly spot.
Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th are a bit of a write-off with small, weak swell and cross-shore winds. Nothing to get excited about.
Now, the standout is shaping up for Thursday the 27th through to Saturday the 29th. Thursday morning sees a jump to 6ft from the NW with a short 7-second period, but the energy is strong (822) and the winds are light cross-off. That's a solid day for the experienced crew. Friday the 28th morning is even better with a 6ft NW swell and energy hitting (969). It's getting punchy.
The real highlight, though, is Thursday the 3rd of September. We're looking at a 7ft WNW swell with a light 6 mph cross-off breeze from the WNW. The energy is very strong at (1074) and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the pick of the run – a proper groundswell with good shape. However, by the afternoon, it's forecast to hit 10ft, which is too big for The Patch and only for experts. The morning session is the window.
Following that, Friday the 4th of September cleans up a bit with a 3ft SSW swell but very strong energy (1149). It'll be a bit of a drop in size but still plenty of push for a fun session.
The last few days into the second week get a bit messy with onshore and cross-onshore winds, so the quality drops off. The consistency is fairly consistent here, so even when it's poor, it tends not to stay that way for long.
Best on offer: Thursday the 27th morning for the first solid pulse, but the absolute standout is Thursday the 3rd of September morning – get on it early before it gets too big.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 17 | WNW 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
77 | 74 | 149 | 131 | 116 | 138 | 157 | 120 | 145 | 219 | 130 | 124 | 159 | 122 | 385 | 309 | 278 | 310 | 461 | 335 | 500 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:06AM0.91m | 7:48PM1.19m | 10:45AM0.95m | 8:43PM1.22m | 11:16AM0.98m | 9:32PM1.26m | 11:42AM1.01m | 10:16PM1.29m | 12:06PM1.05m | 10:58PM1.29m | 12:28PM1.08m | 11:39PM1.28m | 12:51PM1.12m | 00:21AM1.24m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:51PM0.64m | 4:01AM0.06m | 3:46PM0.61m | 4:44AM0.03m | 4:32PM0.58m | 5:20AM0.00m | 5:11PM0.53m | 5:52AM-0.01m | 5:46PM0.48m | 6:22AM-0.01m | 6:22PM0.42m | 6:51AM0.02m | 6:58PM0.36m | ||||||||
6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 7:54 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | SW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 6 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | WNW 7 | SSW 13 | S 12 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | SW 18 |
50 | 43 | 63 | 131 | 116 | 138 | 85 | 120 | 44 | 219 | 130 | 124 | 45 | 122 | 385 | 183 | 236 | 104 | 209 | 299 | 319 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 17 | SW 12 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 17 | SSW 11 | S 11 |
67 | 74 | 37 | 130 | 114 | 86 | 120 | 107 | 145 | 68 | 68 | 55 | 159 | 28 | 77 | 276 | 54 | 134 | 235 | 39 | 35 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | W 12 | WSW 19 | SSW 16 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 11 | SSW 14 | W 10 | W 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | W 11 | W 10 | S 11 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
77 | 12 | 37 | 50 | 37 | 113 | 157 | 9 | 71 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 58 | 34 | 48 | 54 | 39 | 31 | 64 | 28 | 33 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | WNW 7 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
23 | 127 | 149 | — | — | — | — | 64 | — | 29 | 11 | 65 | 75 | 99 | 228 | 309 | 278 | 310 | 461 | 335 | 500 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











