The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what's happening at The Patch for the next couple of weeks.

We've got a bit of a mixed bag. The first few days are nothing special, but there's a solid pulse building for the middle of next week. The water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest rubber.

The Patch starts things off on Friday, the 10th of July. It's running around 7ft, but it's a lumpy WNW wind swell with a short period of 9 seconds and a moderate cross-off breeze. The wave energy is moderate (1076), but the conditions are just marginal. The wind picks up in the afternoon, making it worse.

Saturday the 11th looks a little better. The morning sees the swell drop to 6ft from the NW, but the wind is much lighter. It's still a cross-off, and the period is still short at 8 seconds. The energy has dropped to 688. Not a classic, but surfable.

Sunday the 12th is a mixed bag. The morning has a light cross-on wind from the SW, but the swell is a clean 5ft from the WNW with a 9-second period. The afternoon is the pick of the early weekend, with the wind backing off to a gentle cross-off and the waves still around 5ft. It's clean, but not firing.

Things really start to look good on Thursday the 16th of July. The morning session is the standout of the whole run. The swell jumps to 8ft from the WNW, with a 9-second period. The wave energy is strong at 1541. The wind is light from the WSW, just a light cross-shore bump. For an exposed spot like The Patch, that's about as good as it gets for a solid swell. This is the one to circle. It's a step up in size, so it's more for the experienced crew.

After that, the swell bottoms out. From Friday the 17th onward, we're looking at tiny waves, mostly between 2ft and 3ft. The periods get long, meaning long waits between sets, but the energy is weak. There's a bit of a bump from the SW on the 19th and 20th, but it's not enough to get excited about. The wind stays mostly cross or cross-off, keeping things clean, but there's just no power.

The long range into the 25th shows some promise with a very long period, 22-second, 1ft swell from the SW, but it's a long way out and the size is tiny. It's a real shame, because after that Thursday the 16th, the surf goes to sleep for a solid week.

So, the headline is clear: Thursday morning, the 16th of July, is your best bet. Get out there for that 8ft WNW swell with light winds. The rest of the period is pretty quiet.

Rusty, signing off.

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