The Patch Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.90° N 122.70° W

Issued: 4 am 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Patch sea temperature is
14.8° C

1.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

The Patch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Patch surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,124 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:

The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Wed 8th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 18s
Best Surf11AM (Wed 8th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 8s
Most Powerful 8AM (Thu 9th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Hey, Rusty here again. Let’s translate that into feet for you.

Right now at The Patch, we’re looking at a tiny, drawn-out groundswell. On Monday morning, it’s barely 2-3ft from the SW. The water’s 59°, which is a touch warmer than usual. Nothing worth rushing out for with that light sideshore breeze.

The real show starts Wednesday morning, July 8th. That’s the one to circle. Swell jumps to 6-7ft from the NW, but it’s a short period – only 8 seconds. Wave energy is strong (1397). This is expert-only territory. The wind is light and cross-off, so the waves will be clean and pitching.

Thursday morning, July 9th, is even more juice – pushing 8ft from the NW with a 9-second interval. Energy is cranked to 1937. Again, not for the faint-hearted. Clean cross-off winds will have it looking like a proper machine.

After that, it backs off. Friday morning, July 10th, we get a solid 6ft from the WNW with a 9-second period and clean conditions. That’s a fun day for anyone confident on a bigger board. Saturday drops to 4-5ft, still fun but nothing special.

Sunday morning, July 12th, is a gem – glassy conditions! The wind is dead calm, and the swell is a clean 5ft from the WNW. That’s your weekend winner for a smooth, easy session.

From Monday, July 13th, things go sideways. The swell hangs around 4-5ft, but cross-shore winds put chop all over it. Tuesday afternoon, July 14th, is poor. Wednesday morning, July 15th, brings a 5ft NW pulse with a short 7-second period and moderate winds – only marginal.

Then there’s a long, quiet stretch. We get a late tease on Friday morning, July 17th – a very long 18-second groundswell from the west, but it’s only 2ft. That long period will make it fat and close out at the beach. The best of that second week is Tuesday morning, July 21st – clean, tiny 2ft SW groundswell with light wind. It’s small, but it’s the most rideable thing in days.

The standouts are clear: Wednesday and Thursday (July 8-9) for the bigger, powerful stuff. Beginners hang back. Hit the glassy Sunday, July 12th for a clean, mellow session. The rest is mostly a whole lot of nothing.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
1
2
4
2
3
4
2
3
3
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
20
0.6
SW
19
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
2.1
NW
8
1.9
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
8
2.5
NW
9
2.4
WNW
9
2.4
WNW
9
1.8
WNW
9
1.9
WNW
8
2
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
314
206
455
303
379
455
543
443
692
967
853
928
502
500
508
232
344
465
306
313
363
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
20
W
20
WNW
15
WNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
15
WNW
25
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
25
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
25
WNW
15
WNW
10
WNW
25
WNW
10
W
5
SSW
15
W
20
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:12PM1.15m
5:05AM0.82m
5:50PM1.21m
6:39AM0.76m
6:32PM1.28m
8:24AM0.76m
7:20PM1.34m
9:51AM0.82m
8:12PM1.41m
10:56AM0.90m
9:06PM1.46m
11:49AM0.97m
10:02PM1.51m
Low Tide
10:51AM0.13m
00:11AM0.35m
11:34AM0.24m
1:18AM0.23m
12:25PM0.35m
2:22AM0.10m
1:24PM0.45m
3:21AM-0.03m
2:28PM0.52m
4:17AM-0.16m
3:33PM0.56m
5:09AM-0.25m
4:34PM0.57m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:36
8:35
8:35
8:35
8:35
8:34
8:34
 mm
Temp °C
15
15
13
14
14
12
15
15
13
17
16
13
16
16
13
16
17
14
18
19
14
Feels °C
13
13
10
11
10
7
13
11
9
15
12
9
14
13
8
14
15
10
18
17
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
8
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
1.7
WNW
8
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
2
WNW
9
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
1.8
WNW
9
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
1.5
WNW
8
0.7
SW
14
1.7
WNW
8
Energy kJ
75
206
455
196
379
455
344
443
310
589
310
291
502
236
171
171
174
186
306
211
363
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
16
0.6
WNW
12
0.6
WNW
11
0.6
SW
19
0.5
SW
14
0.5
SW
15
0.9
SW
18
0.4
SSW
19
0.3
SW
13
0.9
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.1
W
18
0.1
W
18
0.1
W
16
0.6
SW
14
0.1
W
18
0.6
SSW
14
Energy kJ
314
111
98
303
103
104
510
123
27
381
196
291
183
171
6
6
5
164
6
136
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
W
12
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SW
16
0.5
WNW
11
0.2
S
8
0.2
SSW
11
0.3
SW
13
0.1
W
18
0.1
W
17
0.1
W
15
0.2
W
16
Energy kJ
104
160
161
65
5
11
28
6
6
4
20
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
6
1.2
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
6
1.9
WNW
7
2.1
NW
8
1.9
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
8
2.5
NW
9
2.4
WNW
9
2.4
WNW
9
1.9
WNW
8
2
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
Energy kJ
92
122
136
197
387
543
421
692
967
853
928
500
508
232
344
465
313
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
4
3
2
2
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
Distance (km)
22
121
54
0
121
83
0
120
22
0
121
22
0
121
22
0
121
22
0
434
22
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
3
4
3
3
2
2
2
4
1
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
4
3
2
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
4
2
3
2
2
3
4
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
6
5
5
5
9
9
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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