Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, WNW swell with 1,118 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s break down The Patch.
The surf kicks off Tuesday morning, July 7th, with clean but small 2ft SW swell, rolling in with a very long 19-second period. That’s real groundswell, but it’s tiny – the combined energy sits at 684, so moderate. Winds are light and cross-off from the WNW, so the surface is clean, though the tide might be a factor. This is a beginner spot, so it’s a gentle intro for the less experienced. Water temps are pretty normal for this time of year.
Wednesday morning, July 8th, things look better. Swell bumps to 3ft from the SW, still with a long 18-second period, and the energy jumps to 1231 – solid moderate. Winds stay light and cross-off, keeping it glassy. This is rated excellent for experienced surfers, but the size is still manageable for a confident beginner. Crowds can show up here sometimes, so claim your spot early.
Thursday morning, July 9th, brings a bigger push: 8ft from the NW, but the period drops to 9 seconds – more windswell, dumpy. Combined energy is high at 1726. That’s expert-only territory, especially with the short period. Winds are light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but this one’s for the big dogs.
Friday morning, July 10th, drops to 6ft from the WNW, 9 seconds, with light cross-shore winds and 804 energy. It’s surfable but marginal with a little ripple on the water.
The real standout is Wednesday morning, July 15th. Swell holds at 7ft from the WNW, 8-second period, with moderate energy at 863. But the light cross-offshore wind from the WNW is the key – it’ll keep the waves clean and lined up. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the morning for the experienced crew. Thursday morning, July 16th, is also solid at 6ft from the WNW, with light cross-off winds – another good bet for skilled surfers.
After that, from about July 19th onward, the surf fades hard. Swell drops to 2-3ft, winds go cross-onshore or onshore, and energy readings are low (366-623). There’s a multi-day gap with no real recommendations. Tuesday, July 21st, sees a little 3ft SSW swell with a 15-second period but light cross-onshore winds – marginal. Wednesday, July 22nd, brings 4ft from the WNW but onshore winds, making it messy.
Bottom line: if you’re experienced, Wednesday July 15th morning is the day. Beginners should look at Tuesday July 7th or Wednesday July 8th mornings. The rest is mostly flat or poor.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Mon 13 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 455 | 303 | 379 | 455 | 510 | 443 | 675 | 787 | 853 | 840 | 513 | 442 | 500 | 485 | 232 | 547 | 571 | 354 | 465 | 364 | 443 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:05AM0.82m | 5:50PM1.21m | 6:39AM0.76m | 6:32PM1.28m | 8:24AM0.76m | 7:20PM1.34m | 9:51AM0.82m | 8:12PM1.41m | 10:56AM0.90m | 9:06PM1.46m | 11:49AM0.97m | 10:02PM1.51m | 12:36PM1.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:11AM0.35m | 11:34AM0.24m | 1:18AM0.23m | 12:25PM0.35m | 2:22AM0.10m | 1:24PM0.45m | 3:21AM-0.03m | 2:28PM0.52m | 4:17AM-0.16m | 3:33PM0.56m | 5:09AM-0.25m | 4:34PM0.57m | 5:59AM-0.30m | 5:32PM0.55m | |||||||
 | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
 | 8:36 | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 8 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 455 | 196 | 379 | 455 | 510 | 443 | 310 | 502 | 310 | 291 | 513 | 236 | 171 | 298 | 174 | 186 | 331 | 167 | 465 | 364 | 118 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 18 | W 16 | SW 14 | W 18 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 14 |
| kJ | 161 | 303 | 103 | 104 | 444 | 123 | 27 | 437 | — | 196 | 291 | 183 | 171 | 171 | 6 | 5 | 164 | 6 | 136 | 121 | 15 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | S 8 | SSW 11 | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | — | W 17 | W 15 | W 16 | W 16 | WSW 19 |
| kJ | 98 | 41 | 5 | 11 | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 6 | 4 | 20 | 21 | 37 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 149 | 144 | 254 | 362 | 277 | 382 | 675 | 787 | 853 | 840 | — | 442 | 500 | 485 | 232 | 547 | 571 | 354 | — | — | 443 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 54 | 121 | 121 | 84 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 54 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 22 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 121 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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