The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. The Patch is the only spot that’s showing anything, and it’s a real rollercoaster. The water is 61°F, which is a solid 4°F above normal for the time of year, so that’s a nice bonus.

It kicks off on July 26th with a tiny 3ft southwest swell, a super long 19-second period, and a moderate combined energy of 564. The wind is a moderate 16 mph cross-offshore, keeping it clean but not glassy. Not worth suiting up for.

July 27th and 28th are more of the same. Swell grows to 3ft to 4ft, still southwest, with periods around 18 to 19 seconds. The energy climbs into the 700 to 1100 range, so there’s some grunt. But the wind stays moderate and cross-offshore, so the surface is a bit bumpy. Rideable, but not special.

Now, Wednesday morning July 29th is a little gem. The swell is 3ft from the southwest with a 16-second period, and the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph cross-offshore. The surface is clean, and the energy is solid at 812. It’s not a classic, but it’s the best looking session of the first week. The afternoon gets windier again, so get out there early.

July 30th sees the swell shift to the west-northwest, and the period plummets to 8 seconds. That’s short-period windswell. The morning size is 6ft, energy is 862, but it’s a choppy mess with cross-offshore winds. The afternoon is worse, with the swell at 6ft and energy fading to 762. This is kiteboarding territory, not surfing.

July 31st is a reset. South-southwest groundswell at 3ft with a 14-second period, and the wind goes light and cross at 6 mph. The energy is a moderate 701. The surface has light cross-shore ripples, so it’s workable for a longboard, but not a standout.

Then we get to August 1st. Saturday morning is the best session of the whole forecast. The swell is 6ft from the northwest with a short 8-second period, but the wind is a light 6 mph cross-offshore, and the energy is pumping at 1074. The forecast says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That 6ft is well overhead, and with the short period, it’s going to be punchy and walled up. This is for the dedicated crew. The afternoon gets windier.

Sunday August 2nd is a monster. The morning swell hits 8ft from the northwest with a 9-second period, and the energy is a massive 1680. That’s a lot of power. The wind is light and cross at 6 mph, so the surface is clean. This is the biggest swell of the run, and it’s experts only. The afternoon drops to 7ft and gets windier, so don’t sleep in.

From August 3rd onward, things get ugly. The wind turns onshore or cross-onshore for days. The swell hangs between 4ft and 6ft from the west-northwest with periods from 8 to 11 seconds, but the surface is constantly choppy or lumpy. August 8th and 9th have some cleaner cross-shore winds, with a slightly better 11-second period and 5ft swell. The energy is in the 700 range, so there’s a chance of a decent wave if you’re patient, but it’s not a standout.

August 10th closes out the window with 6ft swell from the west-northwest, cross-onshore winds, and mediocre conditions. The best bet in the whole 16 days is the morning of August 1st at The Patch, with the morning of July 29th as a distant second.

Rusty.

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