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The Patch Surf Forecast
/ CAL – Marin County (14 breaks) / California (404 breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA
16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Sunday 10 May 2026 PDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
The Patch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's The Patch sea temperature is
13.3° C
(Which is 1.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year)Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (May 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 17) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (May 12) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 14th May) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Fri 15th May) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sun 17th May) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Thu morning, strong winds from the NW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 11 | Tuesday 12 | Wednesday 13 | Thursday 14 | Friday 15 | Saturday 16 | Sun 17 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | SW 14 | W 11 | W 11 | WNW 12 | W 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | |
482 | 383 | 400 | 350 | 356 | 423 | 169 | 300 | 369 | 819 | 606 | 625 | 549 | 704 | 1039 | 931 | 794 | 1684 | 2708 | 1724 | 2681 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | |
High Tide | 8:01PM1.00m | 7:15AM0.88m | 8:31PM1.07m | 8:31AM0.88m | 9:02PM1.16m | 9:42AM0.90m | 9:33PM1.24m | 10:47AM0.93m | 10:08PM1.32m | 11:48AM0.96m | 10:45PM1.39m | 12:46PM0.98m | 11:27PM1.43m | 1:43PM0.99m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:36AM0.41m | 2:16PM0.12m | 3:25AM0.27m | 3:02PM0.17m | 4:10AM0.12m | 3:46PM0.23m | 4:53AM-0.04m | 4:30PM0.30m | 5:37AM-0.18m | 5:15PM0.37m | 6:23AM-0.29m | 6:01PM0.43m | 7:10AM-0.36m | 6:49PM0.48m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
 | 8:08 | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:15 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 11 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 16 |
8 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 10 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | SW 15 | WNW 10 | W 11 | W 11 | WNW 12 | W 11 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | W 15 | W 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 |
 kJ | 482 | 383 | 400 | 350 | 356 | 171 | 115 | 300 | 369 | 819 | 606 | 264 | 255 | 450 | 223 | 215 | 261 | 140 | 103 | 77 | 46 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | — | W 19 | SW 15 | S 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 20 | — | SW 18 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 147 | 206 | 261 | 198 | 171 | 217 | 169 | 91 | 88 | 88 | 179 | — | 7 | 229 | 2 | 158 | 142 | 15 | — | 13 | 30 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | S 12 | S 16 | SW 16 | S 11 | S 11 | W 12 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 13 | — | S 10 | W 18 | — | — | SW 20 | SW 20 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 123 | 3 | 5 | 248 | 2 | 10 | 74 | 36 | 79 | 80 | 43 | — | 2 | 55 | — | — | 15 | 15 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 11 | WNW 6 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 6 | — | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 423 | 57 | 21 | 36 | 188 | — | 625 | 549 | 704 | 1039 | 931 | 794 | 1684 | 2708 | 1724 | 2681 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 48 | 121 | 451 | 54 | 0 | 121 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 110 | 121 | 122 | 120 | 121 | 120 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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