Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NW swell with 846 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about The Patch. It’s been a bit of a slow burner, and you’ll be waiting a few days before anything really gets going.
The first few days, from Monday the 3rd through to the end of the week, are mostly a write-off. Monday morning has some chest-high swell at about 6ft from the WNW, but the wind is onshore and the energy is only moderate (683). The water temp is 57°, which is dead average for this time of year. The patch is a beginner-friendly spot, likes a SW swell, and is fairly consistent – but the conditions are just poor. Tuesday through to Saturday are mostly tiny, weak, and messy, with poor surf and choppy winds. You’re looking at five days of nothing worth paddling out for.
Sunday the 9th afternoon shows a bit of life – the swell picks up to about 7ft from the WNW, but the period is short at 9 seconds and the wind is cross-shore with a moderate breeze, making it lumpy. The energy is solid (769), but it’s not clean. The real standout is Tuesday the 11th. The morning has a solid 8ft from the NW with a cross-offshore breeze, and the energy jumps to 1865 – that’s strong. The period is short at 9 seconds, so it’ll be a bit walled, but with clean conditions and that much power, this is the one for the experienced crew. Too big for beginners, but for the confident surfer, Tuesday morning is the best on offer. The afternoon holds at 8ft with clean wind again, but the morning is the pick.
Wednesday the 12th morning still has decent 6ft surf with clean offshore wind, but it’s a step down in power. After that, the swell slowly fades through the rest of the week with smaller, cleaner waves. The second week has another pulse around Monday the 17th, with 7ft building to 8ft on the Monday afternoon from the WNW, again with short period and light wind, so it’s a bit of a gamble. Tuesday the 18th morning has 6ft from the NW with moderate energy (1008), but the wind is cross-on, so it’ll be a bit choppy.
Overall, the clear winner is Tuesday the 11th – strong, clean, and powerful. Don’t bother before that unless you’re desperate. The second week has some size but the conditions are less certain.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 446 | 287 | 172 | 147 | 94 | 69 | 68 | 111 | 59 | 80 | 81 | 86 | 179 | 133 | 204 | 148 | 574 | 749 | 562 | 812 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 3:40PM1.20m | 3:48AM0.91m | 4:16PM1.24m | 5:09AM0.82m | 5:00PM1.28m | 6:53AM0.78m | 5:51PM1.32m | 8:37AM0.81m | 6:50PM1.36m | 9:52AM0.89m | 7:54PM1.40m | 10:45AM0.97m | 8:57PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:30PM0.30m | 10:10AM0.28m | 11:35PM0.23m | 10:55AM0.39m | 00:45AM0.14m | 11:51AM0.50m | 1:56AM0.05m | 1:03PM0.58m | 3:04AM-0.04m | 2:21PM0.61m | 4:04AM-0.12m | 3:32PM0.59m | 4:57AM-0.18m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 13 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 10 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 446 | 287 | 172 | 147 | 94 | 60 | 43 | 68 | 47 | 39 | 79 | 35 | 179 | 111 | 149 | 148 | 203 | 495 | 109 | 104 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WNW 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | WNW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 42 | 37 | 82 | 77 | 67 | 69 | 68 | 111 | 56 | 80 | 28 | 59 | 57 | 133 | 204 | 41 | 37 | 166 | 13 | 24 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | NW 10 | WNW 9 | S 9 | SW 19 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 23 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SW 21 |
| kJ | 41 | 40 | 36 | 36 | 34 | 25 | 35 | 2 | 59 | 60 | 81 | 86 | 4 | 60 | 37 | 35 | 21 | 36 | 18 | 72 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62 | — | — | 107 | 574 | 749 | 562 | 812 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 25 | 22 | 22 | 99 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 121 | 217 | 22 | 22 | 465 | 22 | 22 | 217 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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