Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 943 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at The Patch in feet and knots.
We’ve got a slow start, but don’t write it off just yet. The first few days are pumping out clean, manageable waves, but the energy is a bit sleepy. The swell is coming from the SW, with a very long period of 19 seconds on Sunday the 26th, which means those waves will have a lot of push but also long waits between sets. The combined energy is moderate (706), and it’s clean with cross-off winds. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.
The standout window is definitely Wednesday morning, July 29th. The swell holds at 3ft from the SW, with a period of 16 seconds, and the wind is a gentle cross-off. The combined energy is moderate (915), and the conditions are described as "very good." This is your best call for the near term. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so you might share it, but for a beginner spot, that’s fine.
Later in the week, from Thursday the 30th through Saturday the 1st of August, the mornings stay clean and the swell is around 3ft to 3ft, with periods dropping from 16 to 13 seconds. The energy remains moderate. Friday morning, July 31st, and Saturday morning, August 1st, both get the "very good" tag. The wind is light, the waves are clean, and it’s a solid run.
Now, things get interesting on Sunday, August 2nd. The morning sees a 8ft swell from the NW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps to strong (1619). That’s a lot of water moving, and at 8ft, this is only for experienced surfers. The wind is light and offshore, so the surface will be clean, but the power is real. The afternoon drops to 7ft from the WNW, still big, but the wind goes cross-off. This is a big day for experts.
From Monday, August 3rd through the end of the forecast, the swell drops off and the conditions get messier. By Wednesday the 5th, the afternoon cross-on wind and choppy surf make it a no-go. After that, it’s a long stretch of poor to marginal conditions, with small swell and onshore winds. The energy drops to weak.
So, overall: your best bets are Wednesday morning, July 29th, and Friday/Saturday mornings, July 31st and August 1st. After that, it’s a wait for the next push.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SSW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | S 14 | S 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 791 | 427 | 679 | 781 | 560 | 527 | 521 | 583 | 436 | 382 | 402 | 321 | 195 | 462 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:07PM1.26m | 11:56AM0.95m | 9:52PM1.29m | 12:29PM0.98m | 10:34PM1.31m | 12:57PM0.99m | 11:13PM1.31m | 1:23PM1.01m | 11:52PM1.30m | 1:48PM1.04m | 00:30AM1.27m | 2:13PM1.08m | 1:11AM1.21m | ||||||
Low Tide | 5:16AM-0.04m | 4:47PM0.61m | 5:53AM-0.06m | 5:29PM0.60m | 6:26AM-0.08m | 6:07PM0.58m | 6:57AM-0.09m | 6:43PM0.55m | 7:27AM-0.08m | 7:20PM0.52m | 7:57AM-0.05m | 8:00PM0.48m | |||||||
 | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | 8:25 | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WNW 8 | S 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 791 | 427 | 679 | 781 | 560 | 527 | 521 | 583 | 436 | 294 | 334 | 226 | 195 | 356 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SSW 9 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSE 14 | — | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | S 14 |
| kJ | 56 | 46 | 36 | 117 | 23 | 56 | 89 | 36 | 8 | 33 | 19 | 178 | 436 | 67 | — | 169 | 321 | 121 | 462 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 10 | SW 15 | S 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | SW 12 | S 10 | — | S 10 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SW 10 | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | — | WSW 15 |
| kJ | 4 | 33 | 8 | 29 | 7 | — | 36 | 2 | — | 2 | 50 | 75 | 4 | — | — | 69 | 140 | — | 21 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 141 | 55 | 111 | 181 | 118 | 196 | 323 | 198 | 406 | 419 | 319 | 471 | — | 402 | 382 | 402 | — | 165 | 270 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 122 | 110 | 22 | 120 | 112 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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