Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, WNW swell with 782 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for The Patch over the next sixteen days.
First week is a tough one. The waves are tiny, and the wind is messy. Water temp is 57°, which is normal for this time of year, so nothing weird there.
The first real chance to get wet is Sunday, August 9th. Swell picks up to 6ft from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is 694 (moderate). The morning is a bit bumpy, but the afternoon cleans up with a cross-off wind from the WNW at 12 mph. That’s the best window of the week – still marginal, but it’s a session.
Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th keep the size around 5ft to 6ft from the WNW. Tuesday afternoon cleans up again with cross-off winds, but the period is only 9 seconds. It’s a windswell, not a groundswell, so it’ll be a bit bumpy and less powerful.
After that, the size drops. From Thursday the 13th through the 16th, we’re looking at 2ft to 3ft waves. The period gets long (15-18 seconds), which is great for shape, but there’s just not enough water to make it worthwhile. There are clean windows on the 16th (Sunday) afternoon and into the 18th and 19th, with cross-off winds, but the swell is only 2ft to 3ft.
The standout? There’s no real standout. The best call is Sunday, August 9th afternoon at The Patch. Waves are 6ft from the WNW, wind is clean cross-off, and the energy is moderate (694). For a beginner spot, 6ft is getting big, so watch your limits. For the rest of the run, it’s mostly small and marginal.
The Patch is a fairly consistent break, so this stretch of small surf is a bit of a letdown, but the wind windows are there. Things could change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 144 | 94 | 69 | 68 | 111 | 78 | 80 | 81 | 86 | 179 | 133 | 204 | 148 | 578 | 506 | 495 | 782 | 405 | 344 | 561 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:16PM1.24m | 5:09AM0.82m | 5:00PM1.28m | 6:53AM0.78m | 5:51PM1.32m | 8:37AM0.81m | 6:50PM1.36m | 9:52AM0.89m | 7:54PM1.40m | 10:45AM0.97m | 8:57PM1.45m | 11:28AM1.04m | 9:57PM1.48m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:35PM0.23m | 10:55AM0.39m | 00:45AM0.14m | 11:51AM0.50m | 1:56AM0.05m | 1:03PM0.58m | 3:04AM-0.04m | 2:21PM0.61m | 4:04AM-0.12m | 3:32PM0.59m | 4:57AM-0.18m | 4:33PM0.54m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | WNW 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SW 15 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 144 | 94 | 58 | 43 | 68 | 40 | 39 | 79 | 82 | 179 | 36 | 91 | 88 | 578 | 506 | 109 | 782 | 405 | 344 | 561 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 77 | 67 | 69 | 68 | 111 | 78 | 80 | 27 | 86 | 79 | 133 | 204 | 148 | 203 | 166 | 21 | 104 | 102 | 92 | 69 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 15 | WNW 10 | NW 9 | S 9 | SW 19 | SW 20 | SW 18 | WNW 4 | W 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 11 | WSW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 36 | 34 | 20 | 23 | 2 | 59 | 60 | 81 | 7 | 4 | 83 | 37 | 35 | 56 | 22 | 18 | 24 | 40 | 60 | 59 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 495 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 22 | 22 | 99 | 0 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 121 | 237 | 22 | 25 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 121 | 45 | 25 | 121 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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