The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this stretch is a real test of patience. The Patch is looking at a lot of small, weak, and messy surf over the next couple of weeks. The first glimmer of hope is on Sunday morning, August 2nd.

That morning, we’ve got waves around 6ft from the WNW, with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate, sitting at 793, but there’s a light cross-shore breeze putting some ripples on the face. It’s not going to be glassy, but it’s the best we’ll see for a while. Water temp is 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary. The Patch is a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent spot, so this little pulse might be worth a paddle if you’re not too picky.

After that, it’s a proper drought. From Monday the 3rd through Saturday the 8th, the swell drops right off. We’re talking waves from 1ft to 4ft, with short, weak periods and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds. The energy readings are down in the low to mid hundreds, and the forecast notes say it all: “poor surf conditions.” There’s nothing rideable here, so save your energy. It’s a proper flat spell for us paddle surfers.

Now, here’s the one to circle. On Sunday the 9th, we get a pulse of life. Morning shows 6ft from the WNW with a 10-second period, and the energy jumps to 911, which is solid. The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it won’t be perfect, but it’s the standout of this whole window. It’s not firing, but it’s the most promising we’ve got.

The following week, from Monday the 10th through the 17th, stays pretty average. We see pulses of 6ft to 6ft from the WNW, but the winds are mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the periods are on the shorter side, 8 to 10 seconds. There’s energy there, but it’s not clean. Late in the week, from around the 14th onward, the swell swings to the SW with longer periods of 15-19 seconds, but the heights drop to 2ft to 3ft. These long-period swells are going to be breaking straight and crumbly at The Patch, which is a beach break, so shape is a real issue. The winds do clean up a little—some cross-off breezes in the afternoons—but the size just isn’t there to get excited about.

Honestly, if you’re looking to paddle, you’ve got one real shot on Sunday the 9th. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best of a rough bunch. The rest of the time, you might find more fun on a kite, given the wind and the weak, messy surf.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the long-range stuff—it’s promising but far from certain. I’ll be watching.

Rusty.

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