Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, WNW swell with 1,731 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, switching to feet and Fahrenheit for you.
The water at The Patch is a warm 60°F, which is 4°F above normal – pretty unusual, so ditch the thick wetsuit.
We’re starting Thursday the 9th with some messy 7ft swell from the WNW at 8 seconds. The morning has a light cross-breeze, so it’s a little bumpy. Afternoon turns cleaner with a cross-offshore wind, but the swell drops a bit and the energy is moderate (1059). It’s rideable, not special.
Friday the 10th is similar: 7ft, WNW, 9 seconds in the morning with a nice cross-off breeze – cleaner lines, moderate energy (1088). Afternoon loses energy (770) and the wind picks up. Saturday the 11th morning is the first real alert: 6ft from the NW, 8 seconds, light cross-off breeze, and the comment says to expect very good conditions. Fun, punchy waves with moderate energy (787). Afternoon gets cloudier and smaller.
Sunday the 12th drops to 5ft, still WNW, but a slight cross-onshore wind in the morning makes it less clean. The rest of the week into the 13th and 14th is a mix of 5ft to 6ft, mostly with workable wind – okay for a paddle, nothing cracking.
Wednesday the 15th afternoon: 10ft of WNW swell at 9 seconds with a fresh cross-offshore wind. That’s huge for The Patch. Energy is strong (1455), but the warning says it’s too big for this break. Experts only, and even then it’s a beast. Skip it unless you’re a pro.
Thursday the 16th drops to 7ft, surfable but not exciting. Friday the 17th fades. Saturday the 18th flips to a tiny 2ft from the SW with a 17-second period – proper groundswell, super clean with light cross-off wind, but you’ll need a longboard.
Sunday the 19th is more small, clean surf. Then Monday the 20th morning is the standout: 4ft from the SSW, 16-second period, light cross-off wind, and the comment says “excellent for experienced surfers.” Energy is strong (1204). Long lines, good shape – the top pick of the whole outlook.
Tuesday the 21st keeps 5ft SSW swell but the period drops to 14 seconds – still very good in the morning. Then it fades fast. The 22nd and 23rd are small 2ft waves with onshore winds, but the 23rd morning goes glassy – nice for a cruise. The final days to the 24th are small and clean but nothing to chase.
Best on offer: Saturday the 11th morning for fun 6ft punchy waves, and Monday the 20th morning for the experienced surfer – 4ft of long-period SSW groundswell with excellent conditions. That Monday is the one you want.
Crowds at The Patch can pop up sometimes, so beat the rush.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 554 | 443 | 747 | 601 | 534 | 372 | 378 | 277 | 477 | 360 | 318 | 426 | 318 | 339 | 422 | 485 | 476 | 623 | 550 | 1324 | 1169 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:24AM0.76m | 7:20PM1.34m | 9:51AM0.82m | 8:12PM1.41m | 10:56AM0.90m | 9:06PM1.46m | 11:49AM0.97m | 10:02PM1.51m | 12:36PM1.03m | 10:56PM1.53m | 1:18PM1.07m | 11:49PM1.51m | 2:00PM1.11m | 00:42AM1.44m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:24PM0.45m | 3:21AM-0.03m | 2:28PM0.52m | 4:17AM-0.16m | 3:33PM0.56m | 5:09AM-0.25m | 4:34PM0.57m | 5:59AM-0.30m | 5:32PM0.55m | 6:47AM-0.32m | 6:29PM0.51m | 7:33AM-0.30m | 7:25PM0.47m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — |
 | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 16 |
Feels °C | 14 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 8 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 339 | 310 | 291 | 291 | 236 | 171 | 238 | 174 | 477 | 360 | 318 | 426 | 318 | 118 | 118 | 315 | 58 | 109 | 108 | 73 | 90 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | — | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 18 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 20 |
| kJ | 437 | 306 | 196 | 196 | — | 171 | 171 | 6 | 183 | 162 | 211 | 162 | 120 | 15 | 96 | 108 | 37 | 61 | 40 | 37 | 72 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | W 16 | W 17 | W 18 | W 16 | W 16 | WSW 19 | W 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | W 14 | W 21 | SW 23 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | 37 | 39 | 58 | 50 | 33 | 35 | 21 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 554 | 443 | 747 | 601 | 534 | 372 | 378 | 277 | — | — | — | — | — | 339 | 422 | 485 | 476 | 623 | 550 | 1324 | 1169 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 121 | 112 | 121 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 331 | 0 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 120 | 0 | 22 | 120 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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