The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’re in a rough patch. The first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are showing poor surf conditions with tiny, weak swell. The combined energy is only around 177, which is weak. There’s just nothing to work with. You’re not missing a thing.

The first real glimmer of hope pops up on Sunday morning, the 9th of August. We’ve got a 5ft swell coming from the WNW with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy jumps right up to 640, which is moderate, and the wind is a light cross-off breeze. That’s going to be clean. The morning is the standout here – the afternoon wind picks up to 12 mph and the energy drops a bit, so get out early. It’s not a massive swell, but for The Patch, that’s a solid session. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so a spring suit will do.

The Patch is a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent, and with this swell being a bit of a groundswell at 10 seconds, it should offer up some fun, rideable lines. Crowds are possible, so pick your bank.

After that Sunday high, it gets messy again. Monday through to Thursday the 14th are mostly poor, with onshore winds and dropping energy. The swell stays around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind is never in our favour. The combined energy stays in the 400s, which is moderate, but it’s a frustrating mix of onshore and cross-onshore breezes.

There’s a little lift on the 14th and 15th with a very long-period SSW swell (20 seconds) but the height is only 1ft to 3ft. That long period will make it look pretty but with so little size, it’s not going to break with any punch. The onshore wind kills it.

The second week of the outlook is a bit of a gamble. There’s a small window on Wednesday morning, the 19th of August, where we see a clean 2ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period and a light cross-off wind. The energy is only 242, so it’s weak, but it’s clean. That’s the best of a quiet week. The 20th and 21st are mostly poor with even smaller swell.

So, the takeaway here is simple: your one day to really get excited about is Sunday, the 9th of August. Morning session at The Patch. It’s the true standout. The rest of the 16-day window is a mix of flat spells and poor conditions, with a brief, clean window on the 19th that’s worth a look if you’re desperate for a paddle.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

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