
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, WNW swell with 815 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 19s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down what’s happening at The Patch over the next couple of weeks.
First off, it’s a slow start. The first few days are flat and messy, with poor surf conditions from Thursday the 6th through Friday the 7th. Swell is tiny, around 2 to 2 feet, and the wind is cross or cross-on, just not doing us any favors. The water temp is about 59°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. Nothing special.
We’ve got a dry spell until Sunday the 9th. That’s when things finally turn around. Sunday morning brings a clean 6 foot swell from the WNW, with a light cross-offshore breeze at 6 mph. The combined energy is moderate at 704, and the waves are looking good. The period is only 10 seconds, so it’s a windswell, but it’s clean. Sunday afternoon stays clean but the wind picks up to 12 mph, still cross-off, so it’s still rideable. This is the standout of the whole forecast – a solid, clean Sunday session.
After that, the quality drops again. Monday through mid-week is mostly poor or marginal, with onshore winds and messy conditions. Swell hangs around 4 to 5 feet, but the wind is just not cooperating. The best you’ll get is a bit of a cross-shore breeze, but it’s not worth getting excited about.
There’s a long quiet stretch from about the 10th through the 16th, with only marginal surf and mostly poor conditions. A few days are completely flat or blown out. But then, around Monday the 17th, we get a glimmer of hope. A smaller, clean 3 foot SW swell with a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW. That’s a nice, clean little wave in the morning, and the same on Tuesday the 18th morning. Not huge, but clean.
Then we get another little spike on Wednesday the 19th. Morning shows a 3 foot west swell, light cross-off from the WNW, and a combined energy of 512. That’s a solid moderate energy, and the waves are clean. The afternoon is a bit windier, but still cross-off. That’s your second best option – a nice, clean, mid-week session.
After that, the last few days of the forecast taper off again. Small swells, poor conditions, and nothing to write home about.
So, the two best windows are Sunday the 9th for a bigger, cleaner swell, and Wednesday the 19th for a smaller but still clean session. The rest of the time, it’s a bit of a waiting game.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
78 | 80 | 81 | 86 | 181 | 133 | 204 | 148 | 533 | 516 | 516 | 815 | 377 | 262 | 315 | 394 | 351 | 502 | 343 | 257 | 206 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 5:51PM1.32m | 8:37AM0.81m | 6:50PM1.36m | 9:52AM0.89m | 7:54PM1.40m | 10:45AM0.97m | 8:57PM1.45m | 11:28AM1.04m | 9:57PM1.48m | 12:08PM1.09m | 10:52PM1.49m | 12:44PM1.14m | 11:44PM1.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:51AM0.50m | 1:56AM0.05m | 1:03PM0.58m | 3:04AM-0.04m | 2:21PM0.61m | 4:04AM-0.12m | 3:32PM0.59m | 4:57AM-0.18m | 4:33PM0.54m | 5:45AM-0.21m | 5:29PM0.48m | 6:28AM-0.20m | 6:22PM0.41m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | 8:14 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 13 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SW 15 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 |
40 | 27 | 79 | 33 | 43 | 54 | 93 | 91 | 533 | 516 | 109 | 815 | 377 | 262 | 315 | 394 | 351 | 502 | 343 | 257 | 194 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 11 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
78 | 80 | 81 | 82 | 181 | 133 | 204 | 148 | 203 | 166 | 20 | 104 | 102 | 92 | 87 | 88 | 100 | 194 | 108 | 94 | 206 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 20 | W 12 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
59 | 60 | 3 | 86 | 79 | 83 | 37 | 35 | 56 | 22 | 18 | 24 | 12 | 60 | 133 | 94 | 113 | 28 | 28 | 44 | 27 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | S 4 | SSE 4 |
— | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 516 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 25 | 0 | 434 | 237 | 22 | 71 | 465 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 45 | 245 | 212 | 22 | 22 | 434 | 25 | 22 | 31 | 37 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











