Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, WNW swell with 531 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
What’s up, this is Rusty. The Patch is looking at a long, slow period with not much to get excited about.
The water’s running about 60°F, a little warmer than average for this time of year, which is nice, but the waves just aren’t cooperating. For the first week, from Sunday, August 9th, we’ve got small swell around 3 to 4 feet and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds. It’s choppy, messy, and honestly not worth paddling out for.
The only real ray of hope comes on Wednesday, August 18th morning. We’re looking at glassy conditions with barely a breath of wind, and a tiny 2-foot SW swell. The combined energy is moderate, but the clean surface will make those little waves feel a lot better. It’s a beginner’s special. That afternoon, the wind swings around and starts to blow a bit harder, so the session window is tight.
The rest of the forecast is littered with marginal conditions. There’s a spike of a short-period, 3-foot swell around the 21st and 22nd, but the wind is all wrong, and the period is too short to hold any shape. The second week has a few mornings with light winds, but the swell drops right off to under 2 feet. The best advice I can give is to set your alarm for that Wednesday morning glass-off, because everything else is a gamble. Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 332 | 531 | 333 | 222 | 227 | 232 | 184 | 249 | 217 | 190 | 185 | 222 | 184 | 149 | 136 | 164 | 252 | 459 | 310 | 367 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 8:57PM1.45m | 11:28AM1.04m | 9:57PM1.48m | 12:08PM1.09m | 10:52PM1.49m | 12:44PM1.14m | 11:44PM1.45m | 1:20PM1.19m | 00:35AM1.38m | 1:54PM1.22m | 1:26AM1.27m | 2:27PM1.24m | 2:18AM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:32PM0.59m | 4:57AM-0.18m | 4:33PM0.54m | 5:45AM-0.21m | 5:29PM0.48m | 6:28AM-0.20m | 6:22PM0.41m | 7:09AM-0.15m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:48AM-0.07m | 8:04PM0.30m | 8:26AM0.03m | 8:56PM0.26m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — |
 | 8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:04 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 17 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | W 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 332 | 531 | 333 | 222 | 227 | 232 | 184 | 232 | 217 | 190 | 185 | 222 | 184 | 144 | 85 | 75 | 43 | 459 | 310 | 367 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 18 | WNW 7 | W 7 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 109 | 104 | 102 | 92 | 87 | 88 | 100 | 249 | 108 | 130 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 136 | 103 | 252 | 30 | 26 | 106 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SSW 9 | SW 13 | WNW 7 |
| kJ | 33 | 24 | 12 | 60 | 133 | 94 | 113 | 28 | 28 | 44 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 62 | 97 | 164 | 130 | 29 | 61 | 20 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 2 | S 3 | S 4 | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 263 | 71 | 332 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 203 | 25 | 31 | 157 | 37 | 99 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 99 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest