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The Patch Surf Forecast
/ CAL – Marin County (14 breaks) / California (404 breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surfForecast / CAL – Marin County / USA
16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Saturday 16 May 2026 PDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
The Patch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's The Patch sea temperature is
13.0° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 16) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 4.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (May 18) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sat 16th May) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Sat 16th May) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 16th May) | 15ft (4.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 16 | Sunday 17 | Monday 18 | Tuesday 19 | Wednesday 20 | Thursday 21 | Friday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | NW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | |
1640 | 2996 | 3786 | 2273 | 2632 | 2401 | 592 | 842 | 943 | 610 | 483 | 408 | 378 | 583 | 689 | 452 | 373 | 265 | 292 | 338 | 410 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | |
High Tide | 12:46PM0.98m | 11:27PM1.43m | 1:43PM0.99m | 00:12AM1.44m | 2:40PM0.99m | 1:02AM1.41m | 3:38PM1.00m | 1:55AM1.34m | 4:36PM1.01m | 2:54AM1.24m | 5:33PM1.03m | 4:00AM1.13m | 6:26PM1.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:01PM0.43m | 7:10AM-0.36m | 6:49PM0.48m | 8:00AM-0.37m | 7:42PM0.52m | 8:52AM-0.35m | 8:42PM0.54m | 9:47AM-0.29m | 9:52PM0.55m | 10:45AM-0.21m | 11:12PM0.52m | 11:44AM-0.12m | 00:34AM0.45m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:19 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
7 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | W 18 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | W 14 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 |
 kJ | 144 | 103 | 82 | 49 | 46 | 1459 | 592 | 56 | 943 | 610 | 405 | 402 | 378 | 583 | 689 | 452 | 373 | 265 | 292 | 338 | 410 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 20 | — | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | W 16 | W 15 | SW 16 | W 13 | W 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 47 | 15 | — | 48 | 30 | 45 | 17 | 26 | 188 | 272 | 42 | 408 | 251 | 89 | 57 | 236 | 83 | 80 | 194 | 152 | 109 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 21 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 15 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 26 | 16 | 44 | 44 | 21 | 40 | 162 | 36 | 34 | 34 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 71 | 28 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | NW 11 | — | WNW 10 | — | — | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1640 | 2996 | 3786 | 2273 | 2632 | 2401 | — | 842 | — | — | 483 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 120 | 122 | 120 | 22 | 122 | 83 | 120 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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