Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 1,993 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get down to business.
The Patch is the spot to be watching for the next week. Water’s sitting at about 59°, which is a degree or two warmer than normal for this time of year. Not a big deal, but you’ll notice it.
First real surf arrives Thursday afternoon. We’ve got a 6ft WNW swell rolling in with moderate energy. The cross-off wind is keeping it clean, but it’s short-period, so expect it to be a bit jumbled. Not the best, but it’s something.
Friday morning is a big step up. The swell drops to 3ft but it’s a long-period SSW groundswell. The light cross-off breeze has it glassy, and the shape should be much better. The afternoon brings a new 6ft wind swell, but the period drops and the wind picks up. It’s not worth your time.
Saturday morning is the big one. A solid 7ft NW swell with strong, punchy energy. Light offshore winds will have it clean and lined up. This is the biggest, most powerful surf of the weekend. It’s a bit much for beginners, but for everyone else, it’s game on. The afternoon backs off a touch, but the wind picks up and it gets less ideal.
Sunday morning is another standout. 7ft WNW swell, a little more period, and light cross-off winds. Another clean, powerful session. The afternoon sees it nudge up to 7ft, but the wind gets stronger, making it a handful.
Monday afternoon is a good one. The swell is down to 6ft, but the period is long and the wind is light and offshore. Clean and fun.
From Tuesday onward, things go downhill. The swell drops, the winds turn onshore, and we get a few days of poor, choppy conditions.
We get a small bump around the 7th and 8th, with waves in the 4ft to 4ft range, but the wind isn't great, so it’s not worth getting excited about.
After that, we’ve got a real dry spell. From the 9th through the 14th, it’s looking small and weak. There’s a long-period SW groundswell trying to show up around the 11th and 12th, but it’s puny, only 1ft to 3ft, and the winds are mostly onshore. A lot of waiting for nothing.
So, bottom line: Saturday and Sunday mornings are your best bets. Big, clean, and powerful. Friday morning is a good option if you want smaller, longer-period waves. After that, it’s a week of watching the forecast.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 362 | 372 | 257 | 270 | 344 | 530 | 521 | 840 | 736 | 869 | 1993 | 776 | 586 | 650 | 322 | 260 | 190 | 111 | 148 | 130 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 00:30AM1.27m | 2:13PM1.08m | 1:11AM1.21m | 2:40PM1.11m | 1:55AM1.13m | 3:08PM1.16m | 2:46AM1.02m | 3:40PM1.20m | 3:48AM0.91m | 4:16PM1.24m | 5:09AM0.82m | 5:00PM1.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:20PM0.52m | 7:57AM-0.05m | 8:00PM0.48m | 8:27AM-0.01m | 8:44PM0.43m | 8:59AM0.07m | 9:34PM0.37m | 9:33AM0.16m | 10:30PM0.30m | 10:10AM0.28m | 11:35PM0.23m | 10:55AM0.39m | 00:45AM0.14m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 9 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 294 | 268 | 257 | 226 | 161 | 292 | 95 | 133 | 736 | 87 | 1249 | 776 | 586 | 650 | 322 | 260 | 190 | 111 | 148 | 130 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 14 | SW 14 | S 13 | — | W 21 | SSW 13 | S 11 | SW 19 | SSW 14 | WSW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 70 | 169 | 126 | — | 9 | 158 | 21 | 15 | 121 | 31 | 44 | 43 | 42 | 37 | 59 | 56 | 100 | 69 | 68 | 87 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 15 | — | — | W 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 10 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | NW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 |
| kJ | — | 42 | — | — | 9 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 36 | 36 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 15 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 10 | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 |
| kJ | 362 | 372 | 220 | 270 | 344 | 530 | 521 | 840 | — | 869 | 1993 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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