Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 19s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 898 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s in store for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.
The water is sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a huge deal, but a nice little plus.
The early part of the week is a bit of a dud. Tuesday and Wednesday are messy, with marginal to poor conditions. Don’t bother. The first real opportunity comes Thursday morning, July 23rd. We’ve got clean cross-offshore breeze and a long-period groundswell (14 seconds) from the SSW. It’s small though – only about 3ft – and the energy is middling (343-347). The shape will be good, but you’ll want a log or a fish.
From Friday through the end of July, it’s a steady run of waist-to-chest high SW swell. Clean conditions with offshore winds, but the power is just moderate. The Patch is fairly consistent, so you’ll find waves, but nothing that’ll blow your mind.
Now, mark the morning of Wednesday, July 29th. That’s the one. Glossy, glassy conditions with a solid 8ft NW swell. Sure, the period is short at 8 seconds, so it’s a bit of a close-out candidate on a beach break, but The Patch is open and exposed. The energy is massive (1748), and with the wind dead calm, it’s going to be a heavy, clean day. This one is strictly for experienced surfers. If you’ve got the skills, it’s the best session of the entire outlook.
Another good one to aim for is Saturday, August 1st. A morning of clean, cross-offshore wind with a 6ft NW swell. Slightly smaller than the 29th but still solid, punchy, and full of energy (1152).
Sunday and Monday, August 2nd and 3rd, keep the clean conditions rolling with chest-to-head high waves. But by Tuesday, August 4th, it drops right off. The last few days are poor, with weak swell and onshore wind.
Bottom line: the first week is quiet, but the end of July and start of August deliver the goods. July 29th is the standout – big, clean, and for experts. Get on it if you can.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 9 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | SW 19 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 342 | 459 | 297 | 294 | 194 | 264 | 257 | 229 | 329 | 546 | 541 | 386 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 441 | 506 | 534 | 791 | 605 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:00PM1.23m | 7:47AM0.77m | 6:45PM1.23m | 9:22AM0.80m | 7:32PM1.24m | 10:30AM0.86m | 8:20PM1.25m | 11:18AM0.91m | 9:07PM1.26m | 11:56AM0.95m | 9:52PM1.29m | 12:29PM0.98m | 10:34PM1.31m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:57AM0.37m | 1:50AM0.17m | 12:54PM0.49m | 2:52AM0.11m | 1:58PM0.56m | 3:47AM0.05m | 3:02PM0.61m | 4:34AM0.00m | 3:59PM0.62m | 5:16AM-0.04m | 4:47PM0.61m | 5:53AM-0.06m | 5:29PM0.60m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
Feels °C | 18 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 342 | 459 | 297 | 245 | 181 | 114 | 257 | 229 | 198 | 198 | 201 | 192 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 441 | 442 | 534 | 791 | 427 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | NW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | S 7 | S 7 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 33 | 30 | 178 | 10 | 194 | 264 | 25 | 8 | 329 | 546 | 541 | 386 | 115 | 118 | 119 | 113 | 131 | 131 | 47 | 73 | 69 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | W 13 | NW 8 | W 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | SW 26 | NW 10 | NW 10 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | S 11 | SW 16 | SW 15 | — | SW 21 | SW 13 | — | SW 16 |
| kJ | 54 | 30 | 16 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 44 | 106 | 25 | 23 | 42 | 25 | 66 | 39 | 40 | 56 | — | 117 | 27 | — | 89 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 3 | SSW 9 | — | — | W 6 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | 294 | — | — | 21 | 43 | 119 | 58 | 119 | 176 | 84 | 149 | 187 | 136 | 242 | 506 | 263 | 680 | 605 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 99 | 54 | 122 | 120 | 54 | 22 | 120 | 83 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 120 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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