Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 607 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what The Patch has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’re looking at a pretty solid run of cleaner, smaller surf kicking off on the morning of Thursday, August 27th. The waves will be coming in around 4ft from the WNW with a short period, so it'll be a bit weak and crumbly. The combined swell energy is weak at 293, but it’s clean with a cross-off breeze, so it'll be rideable for the beginners. The water’s sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
The real standout, though, and the one I’m getting a bit excited about, is the morning of Sunday, August 30th. The wind drops right out to glassy conditions—total stillness on the water—and we've got a solid 3ft of SW groundswell with a long period of 16 seconds rolling in. The energy jumps up to moderate at 1030, and that combination of glass and a nicely groomed swell is going to give us some clean, lined-up waves. This is the best on offer in the whole window for experienced surfers who want it all to themselves. Crowds are possible sometimes at The Patch, but that Sunday morning, it’ll be worth the early paddle.
After that, the surf sticks around in the 2ft to 4ft range but the winds get a bit messier through Monday and Tuesday. We get another window of quality on Wednesday morning, September 3rd, with glassy winds again and a 3ft SSW swell, energy at 578. That’s another solid option.
Then we have a bit of a gap with smaller, fussy surf until the morning of Monday, September 7th, where we see a 4ft WNW swell, but the period is short at 8 seconds and it’s blown onshore. Not ideal for a paddle.
Looking way out to Friday, September 11th morning, we have the biggest swell of the forecast hitting 7ft from the NW. The period is short at 8 seconds though, so it’ll be a bit bumpy and fat, definitely for experts only. The energy is very strong at 1041, and the wind is clean, so if you’re a charger, that might be your go. But it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it.
Overall, if you’re after the cleanest, most enjoyable surf, lock in that Sunday, August 30th morning session. After that, the mornings with glassy wind on September 3rd and September 6th are your next best bets.
Stay safe, and see you out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
96 | 197 | 192 | 287 | 380 | 252 | 600 | 405 | 532 | 489 | 314 | 305 | 268 | 206 | 204 | 108 | 103 | 116 | 150 | 147 | 367 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:28PM1.08m | 11:39PM1.28m | 12:51PM1.12m | 00:21AM1.24m | 1:16PM1.17m | 1:05AM1.17m | 1:43PM1.22m | 1:55AM1.09m | 2:13PM1.25m | 2:52AM1.00m | 2:47PM1.28m | 4:01AM0.91m | 3:29PM1.30m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:22PM0.42m | 6:51AM0.02m | 6:58PM0.36m | 7:20AM0.07m | 7:37PM0.29m | 7:50AM0.14m | 8:21PM0.22m | 8:23AM0.23m | 9:08PM0.16m | 8:58AM0.33m | 10:03PM0.12m | 9:39AM0.44m | 11:07PM0.08m | ||||||||
6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | SW 14 | WNW 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 16 |
70 | 62 | 130 | 144 | 380 | 252 | 600 | 405 | 502 | 181 | 201 | 231 | 206 | 206 | 204 | 108 | 103 | 116 | 150 | 147 | 367 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 11 | SW 17 | S 10 | SW 14 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | S 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 13 | S 11 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | S 10 |
75 | 74 | 64 | 287 | 32 | 71 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 489 | 314 | 305 | 268 | 77 | 55 | 27 | 87 | 39 | 59 | 55 | 51 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | S 11 | W 10 | S 10 | S 9 | — | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 20 | SW 19 | W 10 | SW 13 | SW 18 | WNW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 |
52 | 119 | 18 | 57 | 17 | 16 | 6 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 87 | 50 | 20 | 69 | 94 | 32 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | — | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 4 | — | NW 3 | WNW 6 |
96 | 197 | 192 | — | 132 | 191 | 186 | 208 | 532 | 358 | — | — | — | 123 | — | — | 26 | 11 | — | 2 | 57 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 26 | 121 | 94 | 0 | 122 | 0 | 22 | 122 | 54 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











