The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. This is Rusty, with a look at the upcoming swell window for The Patch.

Right off the bat, we've got a slow start. The first real action isn't until Saturday morning, the 5th, and it's a bit of a sneaky one. We're looking at a clean, waist-high swell coming in from the SSW with a solid 16-second period. That's a proper groundswell, and combined with a light cross-offshore wind, the surface is going to be glassy. The water is sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than you'd normally expect for this time of year, so that's a nice bonus. The total energy in the water is moderate at 669, so there's a bit of push behind it. For a beginner-friendly spot, this is a top pick; just don't expect it to be cranking. The wind is set to pick up in the afternoon, though, so make it a dawn mission.

Sunday morning, the 6th, is a solid repeat: similar size, similar direction, and a clean surface. The wind is a little stronger, but still cross-offshore, so it's still a good option. The afternoon gets blown out, so again, morning is the move.

There's a bit of a lull in the middle of the week, with the wind turning onshore or going light and variable, making for messy, less appealing conditions. The swell sticks around at around 3 ft, but the quality drops. Tuesday the 8th afternoon is a write-off, with a cross-onshore wind chopping it up.

Now, eyes forward. Thursday afternoon, the 10th, things get interesting. The swell bumps up to a solid 7 ft from the SSW, but with a shorter 10-second period. The energy is strong, hitting 1428, so there's plenty of power. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, which will keep it from being a total mess, but it's going to be a bit lumpy. That's a size that's getting into the "experts only" territory for a spot like this, so be smart.

We hit a proper flat spell from the 13th through the 17th. Tiny waves, poor conditions, and very little energy. It's a classic blank run for this area, so don't fight it.

The next real standout comes around much later. On Friday morning, the 18th, we see a new pulse of WNW swell, pushing 5 ft with a short 9-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore, and the energy is strong at 530. That's a solid morning session. Then, Saturday morning, the 19th is the absolute gem of the outlook. The swell is a similar 4 ft, but the wind goes glassy. Dead flat, clean as a whistle. That's the day to have the place to yourself. The swell direction is WNW, which isn't the optimum SW for The Patch, but a clean, glassy wave is a clean wave.

That's the long and short of it. The early stuff is clean and fun, but the real prize is that glassy Saturday morning on the 19th. Keep an eye on the forecast, as that one is a bit further out, but it looks promising.

Rusty.

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