The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

Alright folks, it’s a bit of a slow burn for The Patch over the next couple of weeks. There’s nothing huge or epic on the cards, but there are a few windows where it’ll be worth wetting a line. The water is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a slightly thinner suit.

We start off Sunday afternoon the 6th with a clean but marginal 3 ft SSW swell, but the wind is a cross-off from the WNW at 12 mph. It’s surfable, but the energy is only moderate (439), so don’t expect any fireworks. Monday the 7th is similar, with a light cross-on in the morning that’s not ideal, but the afternoon cleans up again with that cross-off. Still only 3 ft.

The first real standout comes on Tuesday morning the 8th. This is your best early call. We’ve got a glassy 3 ft swell from the SSW, period at 12 seconds – that’s a nice groundswell with some shape. The wind is glass (3 mph from the S), so it’ll be smooth as butter. The energy is moderate (382), but for a clean, small day at a beginner-friendly spot, this is it. The Patch is a fairly consistent spot, so don’t be surprised to see a few others out, but it won’t be a zoo.

The rest of that week and into the next is a wash of small SW swells (2 ft to 3 ft) with mostly cross-off or cross winds. Nothing to get excited about, but the mornings on Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th stay clean with light winds.

Now, we’ve got a bit of a jump in size on Saturday the 12th of September. The swell jumps to 6 ft–6 ft from the WNW, but the period drops to a short 8 seconds. That’s windswell, and with a fresh breeze at 16–19 mph, it’s going to be bumpy and a bit of a mess. This one is better left for the kite crew than a paddle session. At that size (over 5 ft), it’s getting too much for beginners, and the quality is poor.

Looking further out, Tuesday morning the 15th of September shapes up as the other standout in this outlook. We’ve got 6 ft from the NW, period at 7 seconds (still short), but the wind is light from the WNW at 6 mph, keeping it clean. The energy is strong (630), and it’s described as “very good surf conditions.” This is the pick of the second week, but remember, being that far out (9 days away), it’s promising but less certain. The Patch is exposed, so it’ll pick up that NW swell.

After that, the last few days of the period fade back into small, lingering SW groundswells (1 ft to 3 ft) with periods up to 19 seconds. Those long-period swells are great for points and reefs, but at a beach break like The Patch, they can break a bit too straight. The wind is mostly cross or cross-off, staying clean, but the size is tiny.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday morning 8th September and Tuesday morning 15th September are your two best bets. The 8th is the safer, cleaner, smaller option for a fun session. The 15th has more size and energy, but is further out. The rest is mostly small and average.

Rusty.

Read more