Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,034 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 20s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 20s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what The Patch has in store for the next couple weeks. It’s gonna be a slow start, but there’s a couple of windows that’ll get the blood pumping.
Right now, Sunday the 5th is a total dud. We got a weak 2ft SW groundswell with a long 18-second period, but the wind is cross-on and the combined energy is weak (402). The water’s about 58°, a touch warmer than normal. Not worth getting wet.
Monday the 6th is still puny. A little more energy (490), but still just 3ft SW. The wind goes cross-off Monday afternoon and cleans things up, but the size is just not there. Tuesday and Wednesday stay marginal—surf bumps to about 3ft by Wednesday morning with a big jump in combined energy to 1289, but the swell direction is still SW and the winds are mixed.
Now, Thursday the 9th brings a change. We get a 7ft WNW short-period swell (8 secs) hitting. Combined energy is strong at 1307. Wind is cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but that size is too much for beginners. This is for the experienced crew. Friday morning the 10th cleans right up with light cross-off wind and a 6ft WNW swell. Not epic, but a solid morning.
The best of the whole run? Saturday the 11th morning. A 7ft NW swell with a short 8-second period and strong combined energy of 1149. Light cross-off wind. This is gonna be powerful and clean. At that size, 7ft, it’s expert territory only—big, punchy waves.
After that, it fades. Sunday the 12th drops in quality with cross-on wind. A tiny pulse hits Tuesday the 14th (4ft WNW), but the wind is onshore and messy. Wednesday the 15th sees another 6ft to 7ft WNW pulse, but the wind is onshore and choppy.
One more decent window: Thursday the 16th morning. Clean, cross-off NW wind, 6ft WNW swell. That’s a good session. Then from Friday the 17th onward it’s back to small, clean 2ft to 2ft waves.
So, to sum it up: the next few days are flat. Mark your calendar for Saturday the 11th morning—that’s the one for experienced surfers. Thursday the 16th morning is a solid backup. The rest is small or windy.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 252 | 249 | 152 | 314 | 206 | 455 | 303 | 379 | 455 | 510 | 443 | 778 | 612 | 671 | 714 | 474 | 524 | 684 | 617 | 383 | 453 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 4:38PM1.10m | 3:51AM0.93m | 5:12PM1.15m | 5:05AM0.82m | 5:50PM1.21m | 6:39AM0.76m | 6:32PM1.28m | 8:24AM0.76m | 7:20PM1.34m | 9:51AM0.82m | 8:12PM1.41m | 10:56AM0.90m | 9:06PM1.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:12AM0.03m | 11:05PM0.45m | 10:51AM0.13m | 00:11AM0.35m | 11:34AM0.24m | 1:18AM0.23m | 12:25PM0.35m | 2:22AM0.10m | 1:24PM0.45m | 3:21AM-0.03m | 2:28PM0.52m | 4:17AM-0.16m | 3:33PM0.56m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 103 | 100 | 84 | 103 | 206 | 455 | 196 | 379 | 455 | 277 | 443 | 310 | 381 | 306 | 291 | 474 | 183 | 171 | 361 | 174 | 188 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | S 21 | SW 15 | W 18 | W 16 |
| kJ | 252 | 249 | 152 | 314 | 111 | 97 | 303 | 103 | 104 | 510 | 386 | 27 | 314 | 306 | 196 | 291 | 181 | 9 | 171 | 6 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | WNW 13 | SW 13 | W 12 | SW 21 | SW 16 | WNW 11 | S 8 | SSW 11 | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | W 20 |
| kJ | 47 | 55 | 85 | 73 | 160 | 161 | 64 | 1 | 11 | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 92 | 149 | 153 | 247 | 352 | 502 | 402 | 778 | 612 | 671 | 714 | — | 524 | 684 | 617 | 383 | 453 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 54 | 121 | 120 | 54 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 598 | 45 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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