
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,219 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for The Patch.
We’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off on Thursday the 30th of July, with a decent West-Northwest swell pushing through. The energy is strong early on, with a combined swell energy reading of 1261, so there’s plenty of grunt in the water. The wind is cross-offshore, which is a good sign for clean faces, but the swell is running at 7ft with a short period of 8 seconds. That’s a bit of a wonky, short-interval swell – it’ll be lumpy and a bit of a handful. The wave comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers, and I’d agree. The Patch is an exposed spot, so it’ll be taking the full brunt. Thursday afternoon drops off a bit in energy (726) and the wind picks up to a moderate breeze, making it marginal.
Friday morning the 31st is a better bet for the average punter. The swell drops to 5ft, still from the WNW, and the wind is a light breeze, cross-off. The energy is moderate (587), and the wave comment is positive. It’s a morning session, so get in early. The afternoon gets messy again with stronger wind.
Now, the standout window is Saturday the 1st of August. The morning brings a 7ft swell from the NW, with a combined energy of 1111. The wind is a gentle cross-off, and the wave comment flags it as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a big, powerful swell for the spot, and the direction is a touch more north, which can be a sweet angle here. It’s a solid, punchy wave, but at 7ft it’s going to be too much for beginners. The afternoon gets a bit windy and bumpy, but that morning session is the pick of the whole outlook.
Sunday morning the 2nd of August is also lovely – 6ft, period stretches to 9 seconds, and light cross-off winds. The energy is 738, and it’s a very good call. The swell period is starting to lengthen, which means better-shaped, more powerful waves.
From Monday the 3rd onwards, things get a bit mixed. The wind swings around to the south and becomes onshore, which junked up the quality. The swell drops below 5ft, and through the middle of the week the energy fades to the 200-400 range, with poor wave comments. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.
There’s a long gap with nothing great from the 4th of August right through to the 9th of August. The swell dips to under 3ft and the wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore. It’s a real lull. The Patch is fairly consistent, so this dry spell is a bit of a bummer, but it happens.
The surf picks back up on Sunday the 9th of August, with a 4ft swell from the WNW, period of 10 seconds, and clean cross-off winds. The energy is back up to 550. It’s a marginal call in the afternoon, but the morning could be a sneaky little session.
Monday the 10th of August is another solid morning. 5ft from the WNW, 10-second period, light cross-off breeze, and a combined energy of 615. The wave comment is “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a nice, clean, chest-high wave with some push. After that, the swell holds a bit into Tuesday, but it’s smaller and the wind starts to cross up.
The very end of the outlook, from the 12th of August onward, drops into a long-period, small swell – 2ft to 3ft, with periods of 15-18 seconds. That’s a groundswell, but it’s tiny. It’ll be super clean with light winds, but you’ll be waiting for a long time between sets. Not really worth paddling out for unless you’ve got a log.
The pick: Saturday the 1st of August, first thing. That 7ft NW swell, clean cross-off wind, and strong energy (1111) is the best wave on offer. It’s a punchy, expert-level session. The second best is Monday the 10th of August morning – smaller, but cleaner and more user-friendly. Sunday the 2nd of August morning is also a beauty.
Crowds at The Patch are “sometimes,” so on a Saturday morning with that kind of swell, expect a few locals out, but it won’t be a zoo.
Stay stoked.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
527 | 362 | 392 | 392 | 278 | 344 | 530 | 741 | 821 | 606 | 766 | 1100 | 650 | 502 | 586 | 511 | 293 | 207 | 231 | 183 | 168 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 1:48PM1.04m | 00:30AM1.27m | 2:13PM1.08m | 1:11AM1.21m | 2:40PM1.11m | 1:55AM1.13m | 3:08PM1.16m | 2:46AM1.02m | 3:40PM1.20m | 3:48AM0.91m | 4:16PM1.24m | 5:09AM0.82m | 5:00PM1.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:20PM0.52m | 7:57AM-0.05m | 8:00PM0.48m | 8:27AM-0.01m | 8:44PM0.43m | 8:59AM0.07m | 9:34PM0.37m | 9:33AM0.16m | 10:30PM0.30m | 10:10AM0.28m | 11:35PM0.23m | 10:55AM0.39m | 00:45AM0.14m | ||||||||
6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 |
315 | 294 | 268 | 226 | 226 | 161 | 327 | 92 | 133 | 606 | 118 | 1100 | 650 | 502 | 586 | 511 | 293 | 207 | 231 | 183 | 168 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSE 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | — | W 21 | SSW 14 | S 11 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | WSW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
436 | 70 | 169 | 229 | — | 9 | 161 | 20 | 15 | 120 | 31 | 67 | 43 | 42 | 37 | 59 | 56 | 100 | 69 | 68 | 88 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 15 | — | — | W 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 10 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 |
— | — | 42 | — | — | 9 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 48 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 36 | 36 | 37 | 5 | 12 | 15 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
527 | 362 | 392 | 392 | 278 | 344 | 530 | 741 | 821 | — | 766 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 54 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 31 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











