
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,575 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 1.8m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty.
Alright, listen up. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way for The Patch over the next couple of weeks. For the beginner crew, there’s some fun stuff on offer, especially later this week and into the weekend, but you’ll need to pick your windows wisely. The water is sitting at about 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice bonus.
We’re kicking off on Wednesday, July 29th, but don’t get too excited just yet. The surf is small and the wind is a bit strong and cross-offshore, which will mess up the shape. The combined swell energy is moderate (868), but it’s just not coming together. Thursday the 30th is a bit better in the morning, with a clean 3ft SW groundswell but the period is long at 16 seconds. That’s a deep ocean swell, but at this size and with cross-off winds, it’s more of a mellow paddle than a session to write home about. The energy dips a bit (663).
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday morning, July 31st, and Saturday morning, August 1st, are your standouts. Friday morning we’ve got a solid 6ft NW swell, but the period drops to 8 seconds so it’s a bit of a wind swell. The wind is only a gentle breeze from the WNW, so it’s clean, and the energy is decent (921). It’s a bit big for a true beginner, but for anyone with a few sessions under their belt, it’ll be a blast. Saturday morning is even better for consistency. The swell is a touch smaller at 6ft, still from the WNW with an 8-second period, but the wind is super light—just a light breeze, making it glassy. The energy is moderate (539), but the clean conditions will make the most of it. Crowds are a possibility here at The Patch, so get in early.
Sunday morning, August 2nd, is another good call. The swell is a bit bigger again at 7ft, but the period stretches out to 10 seconds, giving it more grunt. The combined energy is solid (876), and the wind is light from the WNW again, so it will be clean. This is pushing into the territory where it’s more for the experienced surfer, especially if you’re not used to a bit of power.
Things go downhill from Monday afternoon. From Monday the 3rd through to Tuesday the 12th of August, it’s a long run of poor to marginal conditions. The winds turn onshore or cross-onshore from the south and southwest, and the swell drops off and gets messy. There’s a real gap here, almost a week and a half of nothing special. The energy stays in the moderate range, but the wind kills it.
There’s a tiny flicker of life on Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, with some small 2ft to 3ft SW groundswell (periods of 16-18 seconds), but the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and not worth getting wet for. The energy is still moderate (404-529), but with that size and wind, it’s a pass.
So, to sum it up: if you’re looking to paddle, your best bets are early Friday morning, July 31st, and early Saturday morning, August 1st. For the more experienced surfer, Sunday morning, August 2nd, is the pick of the week. After that, you’re waiting until the second week of August for anything, and even then, it’s looking pretty tame. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 13°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
527 | 610 | 508 | 362 | 362 | 392 | 450 | 302 | 372 | 370 | 721 | 1032 | 768 | 701 | 1040 | 663 | 491 | 563 | 322 | 260 | 122 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 1:23PM1.01m | 11:52PM1.30m | 1:48PM1.04m | 00:30AM1.27m | 2:13PM1.08m | 1:11AM1.21m | 2:40PM1.11m | 1:55AM1.13m | 3:08PM1.16m | 2:46AM1.02m | 3:40PM1.20m | 3:48AM0.91m | 4:16PM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:43PM0.55m | 7:27AM-0.08m | 7:20PM0.52m | 7:57AM-0.05m | 8:00PM0.48m | 8:27AM-0.01m | 8:44PM0.43m | 8:59AM0.07m | 9:34PM0.37m | 9:33AM0.16m | 10:30PM0.30m | 10:10AM0.28m | 11:35PM0.23m | ||||||||
6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 14 | 19 | 20 | 15 |
Feels °C | 15 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 10 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 |
527 | 610 | 436 | 362 | 294 | 268 | 238 | 229 | 163 | 370 | 96 | 133 | 768 | 87 | 1040 | 663 | 491 | 563 | 322 | 260 | 122 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 18 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SSE 14 | S 14 | SSW 14 | — | W 21 | SSW 13 | S 11 | SW 19 | SW 14 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
11 | 246 | 3 | 3 | 70 | 140 | 233 | — | 9 | 154 | 39 | 15 | 65 | 8 | 67 | 43 | 42 | 37 | 59 | 34 | 102 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | — | — | — | — | — | W 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WNW 11 |
11 | 83 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 43 | 49 | 48 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 36 | 35 | 46 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
319 | 550 | 508 | 298 | 362 | 392 | 450 | 302 | 372 | — | 721 | 1032 | — | 701 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 54 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










