Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 15 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, WNW swell with 670 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down the outlook for The Patch.
This spot is usually pretty reliable, but the next couple of weeks are a mixed bag. The first week is mostly a dud, with a slow build towards the end of the month. The best days look like Saturday, July 25, and Sunday, July 26, when the swell finally has some push.
The water is about normal for the season, so you’re good with your usual rubber.
Tuesday, July 14 through Tuesday, July 21: This is a flat spell. The swell is tiny, from 2ft to 3ft, with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds. The wave energy is weak to moderate (between 277 and 756). The winds are mostly cross or cross-off, but the waves are too small and weak to do anything with. Wednesday morning, July 15, has a 5ft swell with moderate energy (426) and clean conditions, but it’s still a marginal wave. It’s beginner-friendly in size, but the quality is poor. Don’t waste your time.
Wednesday, July 22 to Friday, July 24: The swell drops even more, down to 2ft to 4ft, but the period gets long – 15 to 19 seconds. That’s groundswell, but it’s too small and straight for this beach break. The energy is still moderate (299 to 983). Friday afternoon, July 24, shows a 4ft swell with moderate energy (983) and clean cross-off wind, but it’s still just a marginal wave. Not worth the drive.
Saturday, July 25 to Sunday, July 26: This is the best window. The energy jumps to strong (1270) on Saturday morning with a 5ft SSW swell at 14 seconds. The wind is a light cross-on, which isn’t ideal, but the size is there. It’s 5ft, so good for intermediate surfers. Sunday morning, July 26, is also solid with a 4ft swell and strong energy (1166) and a light cross-on breeze. These are the two days to keep an eye on. The wind isn’t perfect, but it’s the most punch you’ll get.
Monday, July 27 to Wednesday, July 29: The swell fades. Monday morning has a 3ft wave with a very long 18-second period (720, moderate energy), but it’s onshore from the SSW. That long-period groundswell needs a reef or a point, not a beach break. The rest of the week is a slow fade to poor conditions – 2ft to 3ft swells with choppy, cross-onshore wind. The final days are rated as poor, so it’s a wrap.
Bottom line: Save your energy for the last weekend of July. Saturday, July 25, and Sunday, July 26, are your best bets. The rest is a washout.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Mon 20 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 17 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 149 | 113 | 134 | 242 | 226 | 435 | 536 | 389 | 495 | 400 | 284 | 335 | 226 | 243 | 258 | 172 | 258 | 522 | 264 | 188 | 291 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:56PM1.53m | 1:18PM1.07m | 11:49PM1.51m | 2:00PM1.11m | 00:42AM1.44m | 2:40PM1.15m | 1:34AM1.34m | 3:20PM1.18m | 2:29AM1.20m | 3:59PM1.20m | 3:28AM1.05m | 4:38PM1.22m | 4:36AM0.91m | 5:18PM1.23m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:47AM-0.32m | 6:29PM0.51m | 7:33AM-0.30m | 7:25PM0.47m | 8:17AM-0.24m | 8:22PM0.43m | 9:00AM-0.15m | 9:22PM0.39m | 9:42AM-0.03m | 10:26PM0.35m | 10:24AM0.11m | 11:33PM0.30m | 11:09AM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — |
 | 8:32 | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | W 17 | W 17 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SSW 17 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 149 | 113 | 99 | 61 | 62 | 37 | 125 | 124 | 124 | 109 | 148 | 214 | 226 | 165 | 131 | 85 | 127 | 522 | 88 | 188 | 291 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | W 20 | W 19 | W 19 | W 18 | SW 19 | SW 14 | W 16 | W 16 | W 16 | W 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 116 | 106 | 37 | 109 | 108 | 73 | 71 | 118 | 116 | 162 | 130 | 74 | 185 | 181 | 178 | 172 | 258 | 124 | 264 | 68 | 62 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | W 13 | W 13 | W 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | WNW 10 | W 16 | W 15 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 96 | 58 | 50 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 54 | 88 | 72 | 243 | 258 | 55 | 170 | 110 | 123 | 104 | 96 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 134 | 242 | 226 | 435 | 536 | 389 | 495 | 400 | 284 | 335 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 121 | 121 | 54 | 0 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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