The Patch Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.90° N 122.70° W

The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Patch sea temperature is
16.0°C
1.5° 

The Patch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Patch surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, WNW swell with 1,089 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:

The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.8m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sat 29th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 18s
Best Surf 8AM (Sun 30th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 3rd Sep)6ft (1.8m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu at The Patch.

The immediate forecast is a bit of a slow-burner, but there are some beautiful, glassy windows to look forward to. The combined energy starts off moderate, with the swell building through the first week before easing off. The water temp is sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, so you might get away with a spring suit for a session.

The standout window kicks off Sunday morning, August 30th. We’ve got clean 3ft SW swell, with glassy conditions and light SSW winds at 3 mph. The period is a solid 16 seconds, so there’s proper energy in the water (combined energy of 681). This is your best bet early on for some clean, lined-up waves.

Monday, September 3rd morning also looks promising, with a 3ft SSW swell, offshore NW winds, and a 15-second period, giving us good shape and power (combined energy of 611). The swell direction lines up nicely with the optimum.

The following weekend, Saturday, September 5th morning, is another one to circle. Clean conditions, light WSW winds at 6 mph, with a 3ft SW swell from a quality 16-second period (combined energy of 636). It’s consistent enough to get your fix.

Beyond that, the wave heights stay in the knee-to-waist high range through the second week. There are more glassy mornings, like Monday, September 7th and Tuesday, September 8th, with 2ft to 2ft SW swells. The waves will be small, but with clean surfaces, a log or a mid-length will still be plenty of fun. Keep in mind, by the time you get to Wednesday, September 9th and beyond, the winds turn more onshore, and the quality drops off.

The Patch is a beginner-friendly spot, and for the most part, the crowds are only a factor sometimes. The swells here are in the manageable waist-high range, so nothing too intimidating for learning, but definitely enough for a good cruisy session.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
1
2
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
18
1
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
1
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
12
0.7
SSW
12
0.6
SW
16
0.9
SSW
12
1.6
WNW
14
1.6
WNW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
375
600
410
502
489
314
305
301
206
156
149
114
114
113
145
171
220
980
706
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
15
WNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
5
SSW
15
W
15
W
15
WSW
15
WSW
10
W
10
WSW
15
W
10
WNW
15
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
10
W
15
WNW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
00:21AM1.24m
1:16PM1.17m
1:05AM1.17m
1:43PM1.22m
1:55AM1.09m
2:13PM1.25m
2:52AM1.00m
2:47PM1.28m
4:01AM0.91m
3:29PM1.30m
5:29AM0.85m
4:21PM1.30m
Low Tide
7:20AM0.07m
7:37PM0.29m
7:50AM0.14m
8:21PM0.22m
8:23AM0.23m
9:08PM0.16m
8:58AM0.33m
10:03PM0.12m
9:39AM0.44m
11:07PM0.08m
10:31AM0.53m
00:19AM0.05m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:37
6:39
6:39
6:41
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:45
7:43
7:42
7:39
7:38
7:37
 mm
Temp °C
13
16
16
14
16
17
13
15
16
15
16
17
15
17
18
15
17
18
14
Feels °C
10
14
12
9
16
16
11
13
14
14
15
15
14
15
15
14
16
16
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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