The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off this Wednesday morning, July 8th. The water is sitting at a very warm 59°, which is a good 4° warmer than usual for this time of year – you’ll definitely notice that difference when you’re sitting out there.

The standout session in this whole outlook is hands down Wednesday morning, July 8th. We’ve got a clean 3 ft swell from the SW, and with a very long period of 18 seconds, this is proper groundswell wrapping in. The combined swell energy is way up there at 1180, so there’s plenty of push. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW at 9 mph, which is going to keep things glassy. The Patch is a fairly consistent spot exposed to the SW, so this is a morning to prioritise. Just keep in mind, with that long period, the sets will have longer gaps, and the wave will be a bit more lined up, so it’s a good morning for experienced surfers.

Thursday morning, July 9th, the swell bumps up to 6 ft from the WNW, but the period drops to 9 seconds. The energy is still solid at 900, and with a light 6 mph cross-off breeze, it’ll be clean. This is a good option if you miss Wednesday, but it’s not the standout.

The swell keeps building into Friday and Saturday, July 10th and 11th, with the Saturday morning session looking promising. We’re seeing 7 ft from the NW with a short 8-second period, but the wind is light again at 6 mph. The energy is 1021, so it’s got some grunt. This is getting into the size range where beginners might want to sit this one out, as it’s pushing past 5 ft. For the experienced crew, it’s worth a paddle.

From Sunday, July 12th, through to the middle of the following week, the swell hangs around the 4 ft to 7 ft mark, but the wind stays mostly cross-off or cross. The quality is a bit more mixed, with some sessions being marginal. The energy drops into the 300-800 range, so it’s less punchy.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. From around July 18th onward, the swell drops away significantly, down to 2 ft to 3 ft. The period is still long (15-17 seconds), but the energy is weak (400-700). The wind is mostly light cross or cross-on, which won’t ruin it, but it’s not going to be a ripper. There’s a gap of several days here where the surf is just small and mediocre.

The real action is in that first week from Wednesday, July 8th, through Saturday, July 11th. If you can get out Wednesday morning, that’s your best bet. After that, it’s a waiting game for the next proper pulse.

Rusty.

Read more