Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 21s period, SW swell with 880 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 1.8m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's chew the fat on what's coming our way.
We're just looking at The Patch for this whole stretch. Honestly, the first part of the outlook is pretty flat and forgettable. From Saturday the 25th through the end of July, we've got a consistent run of small, clean, but weak swell. Waves will be around 3 to 4 ft out of the SW, with a steady cross-offshore wind keeping the surface tidy, but the wave energy is only moderate. It's clean enough to surf, just not with any real punch.
The first real highlight pops up on Saturday the 1st of August morning. The swell bumps up to 6 ft from the NW with a light breeze. That's got some proper strength to it, with the energy reading a strong 1195. This is for the experienced crew – it'll be clean and chunky.
But the absolute standout, no question, is Sunday the 2nd of August morning. We're looking at a solid 8 ft of NW groundswell, with a gentle breeze making for glassy conditions. The combined energy is a powerhouse 1766. This is serious, expert-only surf. The Patch is wide open to it, so expect some big, powerful walls rolling through. The sets will have some time between them, which makes the paddle out a bit easier for those who can handle the size. This is the session to plan your week around.
After that Sunday peak, it's a hard fade. Starting Monday the 3rd of August, the wind swings onshore, the swell drops right off, and conditions turn ugly. From the 4th of August right through the 9th, it's just poor, wind-chopped junk that's not worth paddling out for. The water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.
So here's the deal: Sunday the 2nd of August morning at The Patch is the one that's got the most to offer. Saturday the 1st is your backup.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Mon night, light winds from the NW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 386 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 791 | 427 | 679 | 679 | 560 | 527 | 564 | 524 | 430 | 298 | 339 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:20PM1.25m | 11:18AM0.91m | 9:07PM1.26m | 11:56AM0.95m | 9:52PM1.29m | 12:29PM0.98m | 10:34PM1.31m | 12:57PM0.99m | 11:13PM1.31m | 1:23PM1.01m | 11:52PM1.30m | 1:48PM1.04m | 00:30AM1.27m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:34AM0.00m | 3:59PM0.62m | 5:16AM-0.04m | 4:47PM0.61m | 5:53AM-0.06m | 5:29PM0.60m | 6:26AM-0.08m | 6:07PM0.58m | 6:57AM-0.09m | 6:43PM0.55m | 7:27AM-0.08m | 7:20PM0.52m | |||||||
 | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | 8:27 | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | WNW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 145 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 791 | 427 | 679 | 679 | 560 | 527 | 521 | 436 | 353 | 294 | 339 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 22 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSE 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 386 | 82 | 74 | 56 | 46 | 36 | 117 | 23 | 56 | 89 | 35 | 34 | 32 | 19 | 11 | 206 | 430 | 62 | 169 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | NW 9 | SW 12 | NW 10 | SW 15 | S 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | SW 12 | S 10 | — | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 9 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | — | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 25 | 13 | 38 | 4 | 33 | 8 | 29 | 7 | — | 36 | 2 | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 71 | 66 | — | 42 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 136 | 51 | 86 | 132 | 53 | 131 | 222 | 110 | 209 | 395 | 236 | 465 | 464 | 344 | 564 | 524 | — | 298 | 310 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 83 | 22 | 120 | 83 | 22 | 120 | 83 | 22 | 120 | 110 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 54 | 22 | 121 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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