Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with 617 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The Patch is the only spot on the menu, and to be honest, it’s a mixed bag. We’ve got a long window of small, clean waves, but nothing that’s gonna blow your socks off. There are a couple of mornings that stand out as real gems if you’ve got patience.
We kick things off on Monday, August 24th, with a tiny 2ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s not worth paddling out. The water temp is sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a pleasant surprise.
Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th see a slight bump to 2ft from the SW with clean cross-off winds, but honest, it’s still below average. The combined energy is moderate, around 301 to 266, just enough to push through.
Thursday the 27th morning is still clean with a 2ft S swell, but the afternoon goes to junk with a 5ft WNW short-period wind swell that’s messy. That one’s a write-off.
There’s a real gap of quiet, mediocre surf from Friday the 28th through to Tuesday the 1st of September. Swell stays around 2ft to 3ft from the SW, but the winds are either moderate breeze cross-off or cross-shore, and the energy is moderate (between 446 and 885). The Saturday the 29th afternoon is blown out with a 22 mph fresh breeze. Not worth your time.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday, August 30th, morning is a standout. The wind drops to a mere 3 mph from the WNW, nearly glassy. You’ve got 3ft of SW groundswell with a long period of 16 seconds, and the combined energy is 614 – moderate but punchy. For a beginner-friendly spot like The Patch, this is your best bet in the first week. It’ll be clean, small, and easy.
Wednesday, September 2nd, morning is another glassy session with 2ft of SSW swell. The energy is moderate at 320. It’s not big, but it’ll be perfect for a longboard or a funboard.
The real highlight, though – and I mean the one to circle on your calendar – is Thursday, September 3rd, morning. Glassy conditions again, with a 2ft SW groundswell and a very long period of 19 seconds. The combined energy is 505, moderate but packing a punch for its size. That long period will make these waves peel nicely at The Patch, even though it’s an exposed beach setup. The water will still be that touch warmer anomaly, so it’ll be a treat.
We roll into the second week with more of the same small clean windows. Friday, September 4th, has a 3ft SW swell with 18-second period and light cross-shore winds – energy is strong at 733 but the wind is just enough to put a little ripple on it. Saturday the 5th is a no-go with fresh breezes. Then we get back to gold on Sunday, September 6th, morning: glassy, 3ft SW with 15-second period and a moderate 316 energy. That’s a lovely, cruisy session.
But the true standout in the second week is Tuesday, September 8th, morning. Glassy as a mirror, 3ft SW groundswell with a 19-second period, and combined energy of 738 – that’s solid, moderate-strong punch. The Patch will be clean, little lined-up waves. The crowds are listed as ‘sometimes’, so you might have a few locals out, but for this spot, that’s fine.
Overall, don’t expect big waves. The best calls are those glassy mornings with the long-period groundswell – August 30th, September 3rd, September 7th, and September 8th. The rest is small and clean but not worth rushing for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Thu morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 6 | SW 18 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
157 | 120 | 145 | 219 | 130 | 124 | 159 | 157 | 181 | 103 | 191 | 302 | 235 | 380 | 375 | 600 | 410 | 502 | 362 | 314 | 256 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:16AM0.98m | 9:32PM1.26m | 11:42AM1.01m | 10:16PM1.29m | 12:06PM1.05m | 10:58PM1.29m | 12:28PM1.08m | 11:39PM1.28m | 12:51PM1.12m | 00:21AM1.24m | 1:16PM1.17m | 1:05AM1.17m | 1:43PM1.22m | 1:55AM1.09m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:32PM0.58m | 5:20AM0.00m | 5:11PM0.53m | 5:52AM-0.01m | 5:46PM0.48m | 6:22AM-0.01m | 6:22PM0.42m | 6:51AM0.02m | 6:58PM0.36m | 7:20AM0.07m | 7:37PM0.29m | 7:50AM0.14m | 8:21PM0.22m | ||||||||
6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 15 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
85 | 120 | 145 | 219 | 130 | 124 | 159 | 100 | 115 | 103 | 69 | 128 | 235 | 380 | 375 | 600 | 410 | 502 | 250 | 314 | 251 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 16 | SW 21 | S 9 |
120 | 107 | 104 | 68 | 68 | 55 | 58 | 157 | 77 | 75 | 74 | 60 | 37 | 35 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 362 | 17 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 11 | NW 7 | NW 7 | W 16 | WSW 14 | SSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | WSW 11 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 13 | S 10 | — | — | S 9 | S 9 | SW 21 | SW 21 |
157 | 9 | 27 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 49 | 34 | 48 | 84 | 41 | 32 | 19 | 28 | 17 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 7 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
— | 62 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 70 | 32 | 63 | 181 | 100 | 191 | 302 | 188 | 262 | 222 | 270 | 379 | 454 | — | 217 | 256 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 54 | 0 | 120 | 83 | 54 | 120 | 83 | 121 | 122 | 120 | 0 | 121 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











