Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 911 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on The Patch in feet and Fahrenheit.
The first few days are a bit of a slow burn. Friday the 24th starts with a clean 2ft SW swell, but the wind is a cross-off, and the energy is moderate at 768. It’s rideable, but it’s a beginner wave. The Patch is fairly consistent, so it’s a little annoying that the quality is just okay through the weekend. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 60°, which is a nice little bonus.
Come Monday the 27th, things start to perk up. The swell pushes to 3ft in the morning, and by the afternoon we’re seeing 4ft with the energy jumping to a strong 1254. The wind stays cross-off, so it’s clean, but the period is under 20 seconds, so it’s not a proper groundswell. Still, a solid Monday session.
The real standout, and I mean the one to circle, is Wednesday the 29th. The morning has a clean 3ft SW swell with a gentle breeze, and the comment says it’s looking very good. That’s the one. The afternoon gets a bit crazy at 8ft, but that’s a short-period WNW windswell at 8 seconds, so it’ll be a lumpy mess for experts only.
Things get messy after that. A run of short-period windswell and cross-shore winds makes it look more like a kiteboarding spot. The first week of August sees some size, with 7ft on Saturday the 1st, but it’s a short-period NW swell and the wind is light cross-shore, so it’s not clean. The energy is a strong 1377, but the quality is marginal.
The real blank patch hits from the 5th of August. The wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, the swell drops, and the comments are calling it poor. That stretch is a solid four or five days of nothing.
Then, just when you’re about to pack it in, Tuesday the 4th of August morning sneaks in with a clean 5ft WNW swell, a light cross-off breeze, and a comment that says "very good." That’s your long-range hope. It’s a gamble this far out, but if it holds, it’ll be the best session of the whole run.
Overall, the best bet is Wednesday the 29th morning, with Tuesday the 4th of August morning as the promising dark horse.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 546 | 541 | 386 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 911 | 465 | 679 | 679 | 553 | 527 | 606 | 379 | 358 | 302 | 362 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:30AM0.86m | 8:20PM1.25m | 11:18AM0.91m | 9:07PM1.26m | 11:56AM0.95m | 9:52PM1.29m | 12:29PM0.98m | 10:34PM1.31m | 12:57PM0.99m | 11:13PM1.31m | 1:23PM1.01m | 11:52PM1.30m | 1:48PM1.04m | 00:30AM1.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:02PM0.61m | 4:34AM0.00m | 3:59PM0.62m | 5:16AM-0.04m | 4:47PM0.61m | 5:53AM-0.06m | 5:29PM0.60m | 6:26AM-0.08m | 6:07PM0.58m | 6:57AM-0.09m | 6:43PM0.55m | 7:27AM-0.08m | 7:20PM0.52m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 198 | 198 | 145 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 911 | 427 | 679 | 679 | 553 | 527 | 521 | 367 | 358 | 294 | 272 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 9 | SSW 16 | SSE 15 | SW 8 | S 15 |
| kJ | 546 | 541 | 386 | 113 | 38 | 56 | 46 | 36 | 117 | 23 | 46 | 89 | 36 | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 206 | 42 | 3 | 118 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 10 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | NW 9 | SW 12 | NW 10 | SW 15 | S 10 | SW 14 | SW 13 | — | SW 12 | — | — | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | SSE 16 | — | — | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 24 | 43 | 25 | 13 | 38 | 4 | 33 | 8 | 29 | 7 | — | 37 | — | — | 11 | 11 | 4 | 24 | — | — | 72 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 48 | 83 | 142 | 49 | 64 | 132 | 66 | 159 | 261 | 158 | 297 | 465 | 272 | 528 | 408 | 302 | 606 | 379 | 296 | 302 | 362 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 120 | 83 | 120 | 120 | 54 | 22 | 120 | 110 | 22 | 120 | 120 | 22 | 121 | 112 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 22 | 121 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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