The Patch Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.90° N 122.70° W

The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 12 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Patch sea temperature is
15.5° C
1.2° 

The Patch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Patch surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 808 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:

The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Fri 14th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 18s
Best Surf 8AM (Wed 19th Aug)8ft (2.4m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 18th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about The Patch.

First up, this stretch isn't exactly firing right now. The water's sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that's a little something nice. But for the first few days, honestly, it's a bit of a write-off. We've got a long gap here with no real surf to get excited about—from now all the way through to the end of next week, the conditions are just poor or marginal. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and while there's some swell energy, it's just not coming together. The combined energy is moderate, hanging around the 340 to 450 mark, but the swell direction is all over the place and the period is short on the bigger days. You're looking at weak, choppy waves that are hard to love.

Now, let's jump ahead. The first real standout is on Tuesday, 18th August. That morning, The Patch wakes up. We’re looking at a clean 6ft swell from the NW, and with the wind light and offshore from the WNW, it’s going to be glassy. The combined energy jumps up to 973, so there's some proper push behind it. The period is short at 8 seconds though, so it'll be a bit crumbly and not the most lined up wave, but for a beach break, it'll be fun. Clean offshore wind makes it the best on offer so far. One thing though—this is a fairly consistent spot, so you can bank on it.

Further out, the pattern stays marginal, with smaller swell and mostly cross or cross-onshore winds. There's a promising little window on Friday, 21st August in the afternoon. The swell picks up to 5ft from the WNW, and we get a clean, offshore wind from the W. The period is short, just 6 seconds, so it's going to be a bit jumbled and works best if you’re not too picky about shape. The energy’s moderate at 358. It's not a day to write home about, but it’s clean.

Overall, the standout is that Tuesday morning session on the 18th. Get it before the wind picks up later in the day. Everything else is either too small, too choppy, or too far out to get your hopes up.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.7
SW
16
1
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
0.8
SW
15
1.7
WNW
7
1.9
NW
8
1.9
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
188
176
181
149
136
164
252
410
271
502
362
287
309
255
255
279
461
476
670
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
15
SSW
15
WSW
10
WSW
10
SW
15
W
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
W
10
WNW
5
SSW
15
W
10
W
10
WSW
20
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:44PM1.45m
1:20PM1.19m
00:35AM1.38m
1:54PM1.22m
1:26AM1.27m
2:27PM1.24m
2:18AM1.14m
3:01PM1.24m
3:16AM1.01m
3:36PM1.24m
4:24AM0.89m
4:13PM1.22m
Low Tide
7:09AM-0.15m
7:13PM0.35m
7:48AM-0.07m
8:04PM0.30m
8:26AM0.03m
8:56PM0.26m
9:03AM0.16m
9:51PM0.23m
9:42AM0.28m
10:49PM0.21m
10:24AM0.41m
11:52PM0.19m
part cloud
part cloud
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cloud
part cloud
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part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:24
6:24
6:24
6:26
6:26
6:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:07
8:06
8:05
8:04
8:01
8:00
8:00
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
15
14
15
15
14
15
15
12
16
17
13
15
16
12
16
17
13
Feels °C
12
12
13
13
14
13
12
14
13
9
15
16
11
14
14
9
14
15
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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