Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period, SW swell with 911 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for the next couple of weeks.
It’s a bit of a slow burner, but there are some real gems hidden in there. You’ll need to pick your windows.
The first surfable waves show up on Thursday, July 23rd. The Patch is breaking with a 3 ft swell from the SSW, with a cross-offshore breeze from the WNW at 12 mph. The water is a touch warmer than usual at 59°, which is a nice surprise. The energy is weak (281), so it’s small and clean, mainly for the beginners.
Friday, July 24th, is a bit more interesting. The swell is 2 ft from the SW, but the period is a massive 24 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is moderate (768), and the wind is still cross-off. At The Patch, that long period might make it a bit straight on the beach, but it’ll be clean. Saturday morning, July 25th, is similar with 3 ft from the SW and a 21-second period, energy at 858. Still small, but the shape could be there.
The best session in the first week is Wednesday morning, July 29th. The swell is 3 ft from the SW, with a 16-second period, and the wind drops to a light breeze from the WNW at 6 mph. The energy is strong (1242). This is the pick of the early days – clean, cross-off wind, and a decent pulse of energy. It’s excellent for experienced surfers.
Then, mark your calendar for Thursday morning, July 30th. This is the heavy one. We’ve got a 7 ft swell from the NW, but the period is short at 8 seconds. The energy is strong (1323). The wind is cross-off from the W at 9 mph. That 7 ft is solid, expert territory, and with that short period, it’s going to be a bit of a washing machine. The afternoon drops to 6 ft from the WNW, still short period, with a bit more wind.
The first week of August sees a new swell. Monday morning, August 3rd, brings a 6 ft WNW swell with a 10-second period, light cross-shore wind from the W. Energy is moderate (606). It’s okay, but the wind is a bit tricky. The rest of that week goes downhill with onshore winds and messy conditions, so the surf is pretty poor from Tuesday through Friday.
The standouts are clear: Wednesday July 29th for the cleanest, and Thursday July 30th for the biggest, rawest hit. The Patch is the only spot, and it’s fairly consistent, so the chances are good for a few solid sessions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 257 | 229 | 329 | 546 | 541 | 386 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 911 | 428 | 679 | 679 | 553 | 521 | 521 | 521 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:22AM0.80m | 7:32PM1.24m | 10:30AM0.86m | 8:20PM1.25m | 11:18AM0.91m | 9:07PM1.26m | 11:56AM0.95m | 9:52PM1.29m | 12:29PM0.98m | 10:34PM1.31m | 12:57PM0.99m | 11:13PM1.31m | 1:23PM1.01m | 11:52PM1.30m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:58PM0.56m | 3:47AM0.05m | 3:02PM0.61m | 4:34AM0.00m | 3:59PM0.62m | 5:16AM-0.04m | 4:47PM0.61m | 5:53AM-0.06m | 5:29PM0.60m | 6:26AM-0.08m | 6:07PM0.58m | 6:57AM-0.09m | 6:43PM0.55m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — |
 | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 16 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 257 | 229 | 180 | 198 | 198 | 145 | 763 | 543 | 731 | 627 | 520 | 442 | 616 | 911 | 427 | 679 | 679 | 553 | 232 | 521 | 362 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | S 7 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 17 | 8 | 329 | 546 | 541 | 386 | 82 | 73 | 37 | 46 | 46 | 70 | 23 | 38 | 89 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 521 | 12 | 206 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | SW 26 | S 12 | NW 10 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | NW 9 | SW 12 | S 10 | SW 15 | S 10 | SW 21 | SW 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | S 14 |
| kJ | 7 | 106 | 25 | 24 | 43 | 25 | 13 | 38 | 8 | 33 | 17 | 117 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 13 | 50 | 86 | 36 | 80 | 127 | 74 | 111 | 145 | 96 | 196 | 277 | 138 | 306 | 428 | 256 | 480 | 532 | 477 | 430 | 521 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 122 | 120 | 54 | 120 | 120 | 83 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 120 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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