The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.

It's a bit of a slow start, but we've got a steady run of small, clean waves building through the period. The water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a slightly thinner wetsuit.

The pick of the early days is shaping up to be Tuesday the 15th, with a clean 5ft swell from the WNW, period around 8 seconds, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate at 408, so there's a bit of push behind it. It's a beginner-friendly size, and the conditions should be tidy.

We see a bit of a bump on Thursday the 17th, with the swell jumping to 6ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon, both from the WNW. The wind stays clean and cross-off, but with the swell over 5ft, it's moving out of beginner territory. The energy is solid – 699 in the morning and 872 in the afternoon. This is the best punch of the whole run, but still manageable for intermediate surfers.

After that, the swell drops right back through the weekend and into the following week. The 17th and 18th of July see a brief pulse of long-period groundswell from the west, with periods up to 17 seconds, but the heights are only 2ft to 2ft. That long-period energy will be pretty weak and gutless at the beach, despite the clean conditions.

The rest of the outlook is a long stretch of nothing too exciting. From the 19th right through to the 27th, we're looking at tiny waves, mostly under 3ft, with a mix of clean and slightly bumpy conditions. The combined energy is mostly in the 400-700 range, so weak to moderate. The wind is often light and cross-shore, but the swell just isn't there to make it worthwhile. There's a slight uptick on the 25th and 26th with some 3ft to 4ft SSW swell, but it's still pretty marginal.

The last day we have data for, the 27th of July, does show a return of that WNW swell, pushing 5ft to 6ft with clean cross-offshore wind. The energy is climbing back up to 804, so it might be a sign of things to come, but it's a long way out.

So, if you're looking for the standout, make the most of Thursday the 17th, especially the afternoon session. Everything else is a bit of a wait-and-see, with lots of small, clean days that are more suited to a longboard or a cruiser.

Rusty.

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