Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, WNW swell with 1,089 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.8m 13s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu at The Patch.
The immediate forecast is a bit of a slow-burner, but there are some beautiful, glassy windows to look forward to. The combined energy starts off moderate, with the swell building through the first week before easing off. The water temp is sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, so you might get away with a spring suit for a session.
The standout window kicks off Sunday morning, August 30th. We’ve got clean 3ft SW swell, with glassy conditions and light SSW winds at 3 mph. The period is a solid 16 seconds, so there’s proper energy in the water (combined energy of 681). This is your best bet early on for some clean, lined-up waves.
Monday, September 3rd morning also looks promising, with a 3ft SSW swell, offshore NW winds, and a 15-second period, giving us good shape and power (combined energy of 611). The swell direction lines up nicely with the optimum.
The following weekend, Saturday, September 5th morning, is another one to circle. Clean conditions, light WSW winds at 6 mph, with a 3ft SW swell from a quality 16-second period (combined energy of 636). It’s consistent enough to get your fix.
Beyond that, the wave heights stay in the knee-to-waist high range through the second week. There are more glassy mornings, like Monday, September 7th and Tuesday, September 8th, with 2ft to 2ft SW swells. The waves will be small, but with clean surfaces, a log or a mid-length will still be plenty of fun. Keep in mind, by the time you get to Wednesday, September 9th and beyond, the winds turn more onshore, and the quality drops off.
The Patch is a beginner-friendly spot, and for the most part, the crowds are only a factor sometimes. The swells here are in the manageable waist-high range, so nothing too intimidating for learning, but definitely enough for a good cruisy session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | WNW 14 | WNW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
375 | 600 | 410 | 502 | 489 | 314 | 305 | 301 | 206 | 156 | 149 | 114 | 114 | 113 | 145 | 171 | 220 | 980 | 706 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:21AM1.24m | 1:16PM1.17m | 1:05AM1.17m | 1:43PM1.22m | 1:55AM1.09m | 2:13PM1.25m | 2:52AM1.00m | 2:47PM1.28m | 4:01AM0.91m | 3:29PM1.30m | 5:29AM0.85m | 4:21PM1.30m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:20AM0.07m | 7:37PM0.29m | 7:50AM0.14m | 8:21PM0.22m | 8:23AM0.23m | 9:08PM0.16m | 8:58AM0.33m | 10:03PM0.12m | 9:39AM0.44m | 11:07PM0.08m | 10:31AM0.53m | 00:19AM0.05m | |||||||
— | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | WNW 9 | WNW 14 | WNW 12 |
375 | 600 | 410 | 502 | 186 | 172 | 226 | 172 | 102 | 55 | 149 | 114 | 68 | 113 | 145 | 160 | 168 | 980 | 706 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | WNW 7 | WNW 11 | SSW 13 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 18 |
16 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 489 | 314 | 305 | 301 | 206 | 156 | 29 | 23 | 114 | 51 | 48 | 171 | 220 | 192 | 375 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | S 9 | — | W 12 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 20 | SW 19 | W 9 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SSW 12 |
16 | 6 | — | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 51 | 50 | 111 | 69 | 94 | 46 | 179 | 181 | 145 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
134 | 157 | 325 | 344 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 0 | 121 | 83 | 0 | 121 | 45 | 437 | 121 | 25 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 0 | 22 | 451 | 54 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











