The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down. The only spot that’s got any surf for the next 16 days is The Patch, so we’re sticking with it. It’s a fairly consistent, exposed beginner’s break, and it’s going to give us some small, clean waves, but you’ll need to pick your moments.

The first few days are pretty marginal. From Thursday the 23rd through to the end of the following week, we’ve got a solid run of consistent swell, but it’s mostly small—around 2ft to 4ft from the SSW to SW. The wind is a steady cross-offshore from the WNW, which keeps the surface glassy, but the energy is weak to moderate (303 to 1302). The standout mornings in this first week are Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 30th. On Tuesday the 28th, the morning will see about 4ft of SW swell, clean as a whistle, and the combined energy hits 1061. That’s the best call in the first week for a beginner looking for a clean, cruisy wave. Water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

Now, the real highlight arrives on Wednesday the 29th. The morning brings a jump in size to 7ft, but it’s straight out of the NW with a short period of just 8 seconds. That’s a lot of power—1540 combined energy—and it’s gonna be shifty and walled up. This is strictly for experts; beginners will get hammered. The wind is still clean, but that short period makes it a handful.

After that, we drop back into the small stuff through the end of July and into the first week of August. The mornings of Friday the 31st and Sunday the 2nd of August are worth a look. Friday the 31st has 4ft from the WNW with light winds, and Sunday the 2nd offers 3ft from the SSW with a light offshore. Both are clean, but the swell is tiny.

There’s a significant gap in quality from the 3rd of August onwards. The swell gets a bit bigger, up to 5ft, but the wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions go south. The energy is still there, but the quality drops off a cliff. It’s going to be a messy, choppy week for The Patch, and I’d be looking for a different spot.

Overall, the best bets are the mornings of July 28th and July 30th. The 28th offers the best combo of clean, small swell and good energy, while the 30th is a pure, clean, small wave session. The 29th is for the experts only. Don’t waste your time on the second week.

Rusty.

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