
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 502 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at The Patch are looking pretty flat and frustrating for a while. There’s a real dry spell on the cards, so don’t be in a rush to grab your board just yet.
We’re kicking off Tuesday the 11th of August with some weak, short-period swell around 4ft from the WNW, but with onshore and cross-onshore winds it’s just a mess – poor surf conditions. The combined energy is moderate (389) but it’s all chop and no shape. That stays the story right through to Thursday the 13th: waist-high slop, wind-affected, nothing to get excited about.
Friday the 14th sees the swell drop right off to 2ft from the SW, though the period jumps to 15 seconds, which hints at some longer-range energy. Still, it’s marginal, and with only light breezes it’s barely worth a paddle. Saturday the 15th through to Wednesday the 19th keep up that tiny south-swell pulse (2ft to 3ft) with long periods between 14 and 18 seconds. The winds improve at times – we get a few light cross-shore and even some clean, glassy cross-offshore sessions on Sunday the 16th afternoon and Monday the 17th afternoon – but the swell is just too small to do much with. Combined energy sits moderate (300-474) but the height is lacking.
Things start to look a little more promising on Thursday the 20th of August. The morning shows clean conditions with light WNW cross-offshore winds and a tiny 2ft SW groundswell, and it finally says “expect good surf conditions”. It’s small, but if you’re on a longboard or a foiler, that clean morning glass might be your window. The afternoon gets blown out by stronger WNW winds.
Then we hit a bit of a lull again Friday 21st and Saturday 22nd, though Saturday afternoon shapes up with a 4ft WNW swell and a 10-second period under moderate cross-offshore winds – clean surf, but still borderline.
The real standout lands on Monday the 24th of August. An early morning session at The Patch should see 3ft of WNW groundswell with a 11-second period, clean cross-offshore winds from the WNW, and combined energy hitting 440 – solid moderate. That morning is the pick of the whole run for a proper paddle.
Tuesday the 25th morning bumps up a notch: very good surf conditions with 2ft of SW swell at a long 18-second period, combined energy surging to 636 (moderate-to-strong), and light offshore breeze making it clean. The Patch is exposed and this longer-period SW swell might push through nicely, but keep in mind it’s a beach setup, so the long period could make it a bit straight. Still, for a Tuesday morning session that’s worth waking up early for.
Wednesday the 26th follows with another morning standout: 3ft SW swell, 16-second period, combined energy hitting 766 (strong), and cross-offshore winds keeping it clean. That’s excellent potential for a point or reef, but at The Patch it’ll be clean and fun if the tide lines up.
All up, don’t waste fuel on the first week. The best bets are Monday the 24th morning, Tuesday the 25th morning, and Wednesday the 26th morning – those are the only sessions that look truly worth chasing. Water temperature is sitting at 60°F, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, so the wettie sting won’t be too brutal.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
207 | 184 | 274 | 234 | 245 | 188 | 181 | 212 | 149 | 136 | 162 | 252 | 410 | 268 | 502 | 416 | 385 | 350 | 350 | 214 | 211 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:08PM1.09m | 10:52PM1.49m | 12:44PM1.14m | 11:44PM1.45m | 1:20PM1.19m | 00:35AM1.38m | 1:54PM1.22m | 1:26AM1.27m | 2:27PM1.24m | 2:18AM1.14m | 3:01PM1.24m | 3:16AM1.01m | 3:36PM1.24m | 4:24AM0.89m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:29PM0.48m | 6:28AM-0.20m | 6:22PM0.41m | 7:09AM-0.15m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:48AM-0.07m | 8:04PM0.30m | 8:26AM0.03m | 8:56PM0.26m | 9:03AM0.16m | 9:51PM0.23m | 9:42AM0.28m | 10:49PM0.21m | ||||||||
6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
207 | 184 | 274 | 234 | 245 | 188 | 181 | 212 | 127 | 97 | 76 | 38 | 410 | 268 | 502 | 416 | 385 | 350 | 350 | 214 | 211 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 18 | WNW 7 | SW 13 | WNW 7 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | WNW 9 | SW 11 | WNW 9 |
88 | 100 | 249 | 108 | 130 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 136 | 130 | 252 | 25 | 87 | 30 | 50 | 48 | 44 | 27 | 60 | 26 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 14 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | S 9 | W 9 | SW 10 |
94 | 113 | 28 | 28 | 44 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 62 | 97 | 162 | 167 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 8 | — | 7 | 40 | 25 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 3 | SSW 2 | S 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 7 | NW 3 |
— | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 121 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 31 | 31 | 157 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 22 | 123 | 0 | 22 | 121 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











