
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, WNW swell with 924 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.2m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this stretch is a real test of patience. The Patch is looking at a lot of small, weak, and messy surf over the next couple of weeks. The first glimmer of hope is on Sunday morning, August 2nd.
That morning, we’ve got waves around 6ft from the WNW, with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate, sitting at 793, but there’s a light cross-shore breeze putting some ripples on the face. It’s not going to be glassy, but it’s the best we’ll see for a while. Water temp is 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary. The Patch is a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent spot, so this little pulse might be worth a paddle if you’re not too picky.
After that, it’s a proper drought. From Monday the 3rd through Saturday the 8th, the swell drops right off. We’re talking waves from 1ft to 4ft, with short, weak periods and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds. The energy readings are down in the low to mid hundreds, and the forecast notes say it all: “poor surf conditions.” There’s nothing rideable here, so save your energy. It’s a proper flat spell for us paddle surfers.
Now, here’s the one to circle. On Sunday the 9th, we get a pulse of life. Morning shows 6ft from the WNW with a 10-second period, and the energy jumps to 911, which is solid. The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it won’t be perfect, but it’s the standout of this whole window. It’s not firing, but it’s the most promising we’ve got.
The following week, from Monday the 10th through the 17th, stays pretty average. We see pulses of 6ft to 6ft from the WNW, but the winds are mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the periods are on the shorter side, 8 to 10 seconds. There’s energy there, but it’s not clean. Late in the week, from around the 14th onward, the swell swings to the SW with longer periods of 15-19 seconds, but the heights drop to 2ft to 3ft. These long-period swells are going to be breaking straight and crumbly at The Patch, which is a beach break, so shape is a real issue. The winds do clean up a little—some cross-off breezes in the afternoons—but the size just isn’t there to get excited about.
Honestly, if you’re looking to paddle, you’ve got one real shot on Sunday the 9th. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best of a rough bunch. The rest of the time, you might find more fun on a kite, given the wind and the weak, messy surf.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on the long-range stuff—it’s promising but far from certain. I’ll be watching.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | WNW 7 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
736 | 716 | 924 | 573 | 425 | 242 | 180 | 160 | 94 | 69 | 126 | 90 | 62 | 80 | 81 | 86 | 179 | 164 | 204 | 148 | 785 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:08PM1.16m | 2:46AM1.02m | 3:40PM1.20m | 3:48AM0.91m | 4:16PM1.24m | 5:09AM0.82m | 5:00PM1.28m | 6:53AM0.78m | 5:51PM1.32m | 8:37AM0.81m | 6:50PM1.36m | 9:52AM0.89m | 7:54PM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:59AM0.07m | 9:34PM0.37m | 9:33AM0.16m | 10:30PM0.30m | 10:10AM0.28m | 11:35PM0.23m | 10:55AM0.39m | 00:45AM0.14m | 11:51AM0.50m | 1:56AM0.05m | 1:03PM0.58m | 3:04AM-0.04m | 2:21PM0.61m | 4:04AM-0.12m | |||||||
6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 |
736 | 62 | 924 | 573 | 425 | 242 | 180 | 160 | 94 | 69 | 126 | 90 | 62 | 39 | 39 | 36 | 179 | 164 | 170 | 119 | 785 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
121 | 19 | 44 | 43 | 42 | 37 | 82 | 77 | 67 | 69 | 68 | 87 | 56 | 80 | 79 | 59 | 79 | 133 | 204 | 148 | 203 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | NW 10 | SW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 15 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WNW 11 | SW 12 |
12 | 49 | 48 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 36 | 36 | 34 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 59 | 60 | 81 | 86 | 4 | 83 | 37 | 40 | 37 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — |
— | 716 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 61 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 465 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 263 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 26 | 203 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











