Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 607 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what The Patch has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we're looking at a bit of a slow start. Things are pretty marginal on Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th, with tiny, weak swell and less-than-ideal winds. The water's sitting at 61° and feels a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. You'll be scratching for anything rideable, so give it a miss for a day or two.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday the 25th. The morning session is the pick, with a clean 2ft of SW groundswell, with a long period of 16 seconds pushing in. The combined swell energy is a moderate 295, and the cross-offshore breeze from the WNW will be tidying things up nicely. This is a solid, clean option for a beginner-friendly wave.
Wednesday the 26th is a mixed bag. The morning is a repeat of Tuesday with clean 2ft SW swell, but the afternoon sees a jump in the wind and a shift to a short-period, messier 4ft WNW windswell that's not going to do much for the shape. By Thursday the 27th, the swell is getting a bit bigger and more disorganised, with the afternoon hitting 5ft but with a terrible 6-second period. The energy is moderate (445), but the quality is poor, making it a bit of a chore.
Friday the 28th through Sunday the 30th is where the real run of quality begins. The standout is the morning of Saturday the 29th. We've got a clean 3ft of SW groundswell (18 seconds) with a strong combined energy of 860. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze. This is the best call of the early period: clean, plenty of energy, and perfect for paddling out on those long-period sets.
The run continues into the next week. Monday the 31st starts okay but gets blown out and a bit too raw by the afternoon. The morning of Tuesday the 1st of September is worth a look with 4ft of WNW swell, but the period is still short. Then things drop right off on Wednesday the 2nd, with glassy conditions but tiny, weak 1ft swell and a combined energy of only 176. It's pretty ordinary.
The real fireworks are scheduled for the end of the run. The afternoon of Thursday the 3rd of September is a big one. The forecast shows a clean 3ft of SW groundswell, but the period is a massive 20 seconds, and the combined energy is a strong 883. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze. This is a long-range, clean, and powerful groundswell. It's a long wait, but it promises to be a cracker.
The following morning, Friday the 4th, is also looking promising, with 3ft of SW groundswell and a combined energy over 1000 (1034). The morning is glassy, making it another excellent option. And don't sleep on Saturday the 5th, with glassy conditions and a clean 3ft SW swell.
The second week's best bet is the morning of Monday the 7th of September. Glassy conditions, a solid 4ft of WNW groundswell with an 11-second period, and a combined energy of 787. This is a strong, clean option but it's a long way off, so keep an eye on it.
The Patch is a fairly consistent spot, so even when it's poor, it doesn't stay that way for long. The main takeaway? The best windows are the mornings of the 29th of August, the 3rd and 4th of September, and the 7th of September. It's a classic setup: a slow start, a solid middle run, and a promising long-range forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 6 | S 12 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
130 | 116 | 113 | 157 | 120 | 145 | 219 | 130 | 124 | 159 | 131 | 203 | 117 | 181 | 310 | 235 | 299 | 319 | 600 | 342 | 371 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:45AM0.95m | 8:43PM1.22m | 11:16AM0.98m | 9:32PM1.26m | 11:42AM1.01m | 10:16PM1.29m | 12:06PM1.05m | 10:58PM1.29m | 12:28PM1.08m | 11:39PM1.28m | 12:51PM1.12m | 00:21AM1.24m | 1:16PM1.17m | 1:05AM1.17m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:46PM0.61m | 4:44AM0.03m | 4:32PM0.58m | 5:20AM0.00m | 5:11PM0.53m | 5:52AM-0.01m | 5:46PM0.48m | 6:22AM-0.01m | 6:22PM0.42m | 6:51AM0.02m | 6:58PM0.36m | 7:20AM0.07m | 7:37PM0.29m | ||||||||
6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 17 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
125 | 116 | 95 | 85 | 120 | 145 | 219 | 130 | 124 | 159 | 122 | 75 | 106 | 103 | 169 | 235 | 299 | 319 | 600 | 342 | 371 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
130 | 114 | 86 | 120 | 107 | 71 | 68 | 68 | 55 | 58 | 53 | 78 | 75 | 74 | 66 | 71 | 58 | 32 | 17 | 16 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 16 | WSW 14 | SSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 13 | S 10 | S 10 | W 13 | W 12 |
50 | 37 | 113 | 157 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 48 | 34 | 48 | 52 | 87 | 31 | 33 | 28 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 12 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 |
— | — | — | — | 64 | 62 | 15 | 25 | 90 | 47 | 131 | 203 | 117 | 181 | 310 | 188 | 229 | 310 | 226 | 310 | 362 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 83 | 22 | 120 | 54 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











