The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for The Patch.

We’re in for a bit of a mixed bag over the next two weeks. The swell hangs around, but the quality is gonna be a real seesaw. The real standout window is Friday the 4th of September, especially the morning, with clean conditions and a solid 3ft of SW groundswell at a long 18-second period. The energy’s got some punch to it (742), and that light offshore cross-off breeze from the WNW will have the waves looking like glass. This is the pick of the early run, no doubt.

The water’s sitting at 60°, which is about where you’d expect for this time of year.

From Thursday the 3rd, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. Thursday morning is poor with a southerly wind messing things up, but the afternoon tries to get going with a weak 4ft W swell, though the period is a short 9 seconds and the wind is cross, so it’s a bit of a struggle.

Friday the 4th afternoon is still clean, but the swell has dropped a touch. Saturday the 5th through to Monday the 7th offer similar small surf, around 3ft to 3ft, mostly from the SSW. The morning of Monday the 7th is a highlight with glassy conditions, but it’s still small. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are similar, with light winds and cleanish waves, but nothing to get too excited about.

Now, looking ahead to Friday the 11th of September, we get a spike in size. The morning shows a solid 8ft of SW swell, but it’s a short period of 12 seconds, and the wind is light cross, so it’s more of a challenge than a treat. The afternoon drops to 6ft from the SW, still with a short period, and a stronger cross-off wind from the NW. This is expert territory – the size is there, but the quality is marginal.

The next promising window is the morning of Saturday the 12th and especially Sunday the 13th. Saturday morning has 4ft from the W with a short period, but the wind is clean and cross-off. Sunday the 13th morning is the real standout for the second week, with 5ft of WNW groundswell at 11 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (580) and the conditions should be very clean. This is a solid session if you’re keen.

After that, the energy drops off significantly from Monday the 14th, with small, weak swell and poor conditions through to the end of the forecast. Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th show a bit of a pulse from the SW with long periods (15-20 seconds), but the winds are onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s likely to be a bumpy mess and not worth the paddle.

So, if you’re watching the calendar, Friday the 4th of September morning is the clear winner, with Sunday the 13th of September morning as a solid, promising runner-up. The rest is mostly small, clean, and average, or big and messy.

Rusty.

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