Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,247 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 19s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on The Patch for the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got waves on the way, but it ain’t a classic run. The water’s sitting at 57°, right where it should be for the season. The energy kicks off with a moderate reading (450), but don’t go calling your mates just yet.
It all starts Saturday, August 1st with some clean 5ft swell out of the WNW. It’s a bit weak with an 8-second period, but that light cross-off breeze will smooth things out nicely. Good for the learners to get some reps in, and the crowds are only 'sometimes' an issue, so you might snag a few to yourself. Later on, it jumps to 7ft and the wind picks up, making it a bit of a wrestle.
Sunday morning is the clear winner for the first week. We’ve got 6ft of WNW swell with a better 10-second period, pushing the energy to 807. The wind is light and cross, keeping it clean. That’s your session if you’ve got a window.
Then the wheels fall off from Monday through Thursday of the first week. The swell drops, the wind goes onshore or cross-onshore, and the quality tanks. We’re looking at marginal to poor conditions for a few days straight, with wave energy dropping below 300 by Tuesday. Not worth the wetsuit.
We get a tiny blip on Friday, August 7th with a very small, long-period groundswell (1ft at 18 seconds, energy 201), but it’s barely rideable with a cross-shore breeze. Another small pulse of the same long-period energy pops up on Thursday, August 13th.
The real golden ticket is right at the end. On Sunday, August 16th, the afternoon session looks proper. The wave comment says "expect very good surf conditions." We’ll have 4ft of WNW swell, a 10-second period, and a clean cross-off breeze from the W. The combined energy is a solid 584. This is the pick of the whole 16-day window. It’s a long way out, so don’t bet the farm on it, but definitely keep it penciled in.
So bottom line: get out early Sunday the 2nd, or keep your powder dry for Sunday the 16th. The stuff in the middle is a dud.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 534 | 840 | 660 | 638 | 924 | 573 | 416 | 280 | 213 | 160 | 119 | 71 | 124 | 90 | 64 | 80 | 81 | 86 | 179 | 133 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:40PM1.11m | 1:55AM1.13m | 3:08PM1.16m | 2:46AM1.02m | 3:40PM1.20m | 3:48AM0.91m | 4:16PM1.24m | 5:09AM0.82m | 5:00PM1.28m | 6:53AM0.78m | 5:51PM1.32m | 8:37AM0.81m | 6:50PM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:44PM0.43m | 8:59AM0.07m | 9:34PM0.37m | 9:33AM0.16m | 10:30PM0.30m | 10:10AM0.28m | 11:35PM0.23m | 10:55AM0.39m | 00:45AM0.14m | 11:51AM0.50m | 1:56AM0.05m | 1:03PM0.58m | 3:04AM-0.04m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:14 | — | — | 8:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 18 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 13 |
Feels °C | 15 | 11 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 10 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | WNW 6 |
| kJ | 93 | 133 | 660 | 62 | 924 | 573 | 416 | 280 | 213 | 160 | 119 | 71 | 124 | 90 | 64 | 62 | 47 | 26 | 179 | 82 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SSW 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 21 | 15 | 89 | 19 | 44 | 43 | 42 | 37 | 82 | 56 | 67 | 69 | 68 | 87 | 56 | 80 | 79 | 59 | 79 | 133 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 10 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | NW 10 | SW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 15 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 15 | 15 | 18 | 49 | 48 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 36 | 36 | 34 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 59 | 60 | 81 | 86 | 4 | 83 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — |
| kJ | 534 | 840 | — | 638 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 51 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 120 | 0 | 5 | 465 | 0 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 99 | 8 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 121 | 121 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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