Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 610 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for The Patch over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there are a couple of moments that’ll get the blood pumping.
Right off the bat, we’ve got nothing going on. The first few days of September are a write-off for any proper surf. We’re talking poor conditions with onshore breezes and tiny, messy swell. You’d be better off tuning up your board in the shed. That lull runs from Tuesday afternoon all the way through Thursday afternoon.
Finally, on Thursday the 3rd, things start to look up. The wind swings off-shore in the afternoon and we get a clean 1.2m WNW swell. The wave energy is moderate (478), and while it’s not huge, it’s the first honest chance to get wet without fighting choppy junk.
The real standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is Tuesday morning, the 8th. This is the best of the whole run. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, out of the north, and we’ve got a clean 1.0m SSW swell rolling in. The wave energy is strong (516) and with no wind to mess it up, The Patch will be as smooth as a mirror. This is a moment for the dawn patrol – get out there before the afternoon cross-off wind kicks up.
We’ve also got a few other marginal windows worth a look if you’re desperate. The Saturday and Sunday mornings of the 5th and 6th offer clean-ish 0.9m to 1.0m SSW swell, though the cross-off winds keep it rideable but not pristine. The early morning of the 15th also has a clean, cross-off swell of 0.8m from the SW, but at that point the energy starts to fade (305) and we’re well into the second week.
Overall, it’s a gentle stretch. Not a storm-chaser’s dream, but that Tuesday morning the 8th is pure gold for a clean, cruisy session. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 19 | WNW 10 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 15 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
114 | 111 | 96 | 78 | 173 | 179 | 271 | 379 | 449 | 465 | 602 | 436 | 414 | 398 | 405 | 400 | 272 | 272 | 431 | 529 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 2:47PM1.28m | 4:01AM0.91m | 3:29PM1.30m | 5:29AM0.85m | 4:21PM1.30m | 7:11AM0.85m | 5:24PM1.30m | 8:34AM0.91m | 6:36PM1.30m | 9:32AM0.98m | 7:48PM1.33m | 10:16AM1.05m | 8:55PM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:03PM0.12m | 9:39AM0.44m | 11:07PM0.08m | 10:31AM0.53m | 00:19AM0.05m | 11:43AM0.61m | 1:36AM0.01m | 1:12PM0.63m | 2:46AM-0.03m | 2:33PM0.60m | 3:46AM-0.07m | 3:39PM0.52m | 4:37AM-0.09m | |||||||
— | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | W 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 15 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
114 | 83 | 58 | 49 | 79 | 169 | 271 | 279 | 337 | 334 | 602 | 436 | 414 | 398 | 405 | 400 | 272 | 272 | 431 | 529 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 10 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 10 | WNW 7 |
21 | 42 | 36 | 78 | 173 | 109 | 95 | 379 | 449 | 465 | 232 | 145 | 96 | 73 | 99 | 24 | 162 | 162 | 15 | 110 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 3 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 15 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSE 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 10 | SSW 10 | W 14 | NW 9 | SW 10 | W 12 | SW 9 |
50 | 111 | 96 | 4 | 89 | 179 | 112 | 33 | 102 | 68 | 46 | 91 | 84 | 54 | 40 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | WSW 4 | S 3 | — | — | SSE 3 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | — |
27 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 99 | 88 | 55 | 43 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 99 | 22 | 22 | 99 | 8 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 122 | 0 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 122 | 54 | 0 | 120 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











