Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 887 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for The Patch.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first couple of days are pretty marginal, with small, short-period swells and winds that aren’t doing us any favors. The water is sitting at 58°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so a little extra spring in the step.
The real action starts to build from Thursday the 17th. The swell picks up, and we start seeing some proper energy. The standout window, though, is the morning of Friday the 18th. The Patch is seeing a clean 6ft swell from the NW, with a cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is pumping at (1127) – that’s serious juice. This is the best session on offer for experienced surfers; the waves will have some punch.
After that, the swell drops right off, and we’re into a week of very small, inconsistent waves. The energy levels plummet, and the wind is a bit all over the shop. It’s a proper lull.
Then, looking way down the line, things get interesting again. The morning of Saturday the 26th of July shows a promising spike. We’re looking at a clean 3ft swell from the SW, but the period is a whopping 21 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell. The energy is strong again at (1124). This is a long-range call, so keep your fingers crossed, but it’s the one to keep an eye on for a well-shaped, clean wave at The Patch. The following morning on the 27th of July is also looking good with a similar 3ft SW swell at 20 seconds, and clean conditions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 17 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 116 | 134 | 249 | 263 | 447 | 569 | 421 | 679 | 583 | 485 | 214 | 188 | 243 | 258 | 174 | 170 | 297 | 260 | 242 | 299 | 299 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:18PM1.07m | 11:49PM1.51m | 2:00PM1.11m | 00:42AM1.44m | 2:40PM1.15m | 1:34AM1.34m | 3:20PM1.18m | 2:29AM1.20m | 3:59PM1.20m | 3:28AM1.05m | 4:38PM1.22m | 4:36AM0.91m | 5:18PM1.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:29PM0.51m | 7:33AM-0.30m | 7:25PM0.47m | 8:17AM-0.24m | 8:22PM0.43m | 9:00AM-0.15m | 9:22PM0.39m | 9:42AM-0.03m | 10:26PM0.35m | 10:24AM0.11m | 11:33PM0.30m | 11:09AM0.24m | 00:42AM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |  | | | |  | |
 | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 18 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | W 17 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 116 | 99 | 61 | 62 | 37 | 90 | 89 | 89 | 110 | 298 | 214 | 170 | 110 | 83 | 50 | 81 | 297 | 260 | 242 | 299 | 299 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | W 20 | W 19 | W 19 | W 18 | W 17 | SW 14 | W 16 | SW 17 | W 16 | W 16 | SW 16 | W 15 | WNW 8 | S 13 | S 12 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 106 | 37 | 109 | 108 | 74 | 71 | 118 | 116 | 162 | 214 | 54 | 188 | 243 | 178 | 174 | 165 | 109 | 48 | 117 | 98 | 39 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | W 13 | W 13 | W 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 14 | W 16 | SW 18 | WNW 10 | W 16 | S 12 | W 14 | W 14 | W 14 | S 11 |
| kJ | 58 | 50 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 130 | 54 | 73 | 181 | 258 | 38 | 170 | 44 | 102 | 100 | 99 | 57 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | — | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | — |
| kJ | — | 134 | 249 | 263 | 447 | 569 | 421 | 679 | 583 | 485 | 212 | — | — | — | — | — | 70 | — | 7 | 7 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 121 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 54 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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