Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 607 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, g'day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks.
Alright, so we’re looking at a pretty quiet start overall, but there’s a definite build-up of better energy in the second week, especially for the more experienced crew. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there when you get in.
We kick off at The Patch. Monday the 24th of August is pretty marginal, mate. Tiny 2ft swell coming from the SW with a super long period of 18 seconds. The energy’s moderate (362), but the wind is a messy cross-on, so it’s not going to be clean. Tuesday the 25th looks a touch better. Still small at 2ft from the SW, but the wind swings to a clean cross-off, making for some tidy little waves. The energy is still moderate (295) but the conditions will be nicer. Wednesday and Thursday stay in that same small, clean groove, nothing to write home about really.
Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th see the energy pick up (up to 849), but the swell size stays small at 3-3ft. It’s still that SW swell, so the wave quality will be alright with the cross-off winds.
Sunday the 30th is a bit of a write-off with a light cross-shore wind. Then we roll into the start of September. Tuesday the 1st still small.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Wednesday the 2nd of September morning brings a shift. We get a 4ft swell from the WNW, which is a better direction for the spot, and the wind goes light offshore from the N. It’s a short period swell though (7 seconds), but the energy is moderate (407). The real standout is Thursday the 3rd of September morning. Glassy conditions, no wind at all, with a 4ft WNW swell and a period of 9 seconds. The energy is moderate (543), but that glassy surface will make it super fun for a beginner-friendly wave. It’s a top pick for the whole outlook.
The end of the first week into the second week has some size. Saturday the 5th of September morning has a 5ft WNW swell (10s period) with a light cross-off breeze. Good energy (890). Sunday the 6th of September morning is the big one for experienced surfers. We’re looking at a 6ft WNW swell with an 11-second period and clean offshore winds from the NNE. The combined energy is strong (1052). That’s a legit session for those who can handle it, but at that size, it’s definitely expert territory. After that, the swell drops right off into the week starting the 7th, with the wind turning onshore and the waves getting small again.
So, the real standout days are the glassy Thursday the 3rd for the beginners and crew wanting clean, manageable waves, and the Sunday the 6th for the experienced rippers looking for some power. The rest is pretty small and average, with a gap of small, marginal surf from the 7th onwards until the forecast ends.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SW 18 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 6 | SW 18 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 19 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
113 | 157 | 120 | 145 | 219 | 130 | 124 | 124 | 157 | 170 | 103 | 155 | 262 | 235 | 380 | 229 | 600 | 338 | 464 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:43PM1.22m | 11:16AM0.98m | 9:32PM1.26m | 11:42AM1.01m | 10:16PM1.29m | 12:06PM1.05m | 10:58PM1.29m | 12:28PM1.08m | 11:39PM1.28m | 12:51PM1.12m | 00:21AM1.24m | 1:16PM1.17m | 1:05AM1.17m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:44AM0.03m | 4:32PM0.58m | 5:20AM0.00m | 5:11PM0.53m | 5:52AM-0.01m | 5:46PM0.48m | 6:22AM-0.01m | 6:22PM0.42m | 6:51AM0.02m | 6:58PM0.36m | 7:20AM0.07m | 7:37PM0.29m | |||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
113 | 85 | 120 | 145 | 219 | 130 | 124 | 124 | 157 | 121 | 103 | 66 | 128 | 235 | 380 | 209 | 600 | 338 | 427 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SW 14 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 |
86 | 120 | 107 | 71 | 68 | 68 | 55 | 50 | 48 | 77 | 75 | 74 | 59 | 37 | 34 | 70 | 16 | 16 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 11 | NW 7 | W 10 | W 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
113 | 157 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 58 | 34 | 48 | 83 | 119 | 18 | 35 | 17 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 |
— | — | 62 | 15 | 16 | 26 | 93 | 49 | 136 | 170 | 100 | 155 | 262 | 142 | 136 | 229 | 226 | 181 | 464 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 121 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 83 | 22 | 120 | 54 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











