
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 768 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab your board and listen up, it's Rusty here. We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks, so let's get into it.
The first few days are pretty flat and there's nothing really worth getting excited about until Wednesday, the 15th of July. That's when the swell starts to show some life. The water is sitting at 58° and a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it's a nice change.
The standout period is going to be from Wednesday the 15th through to Thursday the 16th. Wednesday morning at The Patch we'll see a clean 5 ft swell from the WNW with a period of 8 seconds, and light cross-offshore winds. The combined energy is moderate (432). It's a solid beginner-friendly wave with a bit of push. By Wednesday afternoon the swell bumps up to 6 ft (451 energy), still clean, but the wind picks up to a moderate breeze. It's still good, but the morning window is the pick.
Thursday the 16th is your best bet for the week. The morning brings a clean 6 ft swell from the WNW (723 energy) with cross-offshore winds. That's a proper fun-sized wave, still manageable for most, but it's getting a little too big for beginners. Thursday afternoon sees it jump to 8 ft (941 energy), and that's getting into the territory where it's best left for the more experienced crew. The wind is a fresh breeze but still cross-offshore, so the lineup will be clean, just a lot more power.
After that, the swell drops right off into a long lull. From Friday the 17th right through to the end of the month, we're looking at small, inconsistent waves, mostly under 3 ft, with a lot of cross and cross-onshore winds. The energy is all over the place, dipping into the low hundreds (338-626), and the period is all over the shop too. It's just not going to be much fun for traditional surfing. This is a classic case of the setup looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, with strong winds and a clean, choppy surface.
The far end of the forecast, around Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th of July, shows a bit of a pulse. The swell picks back up to 6 ft on the 25th and 6 ft on the 26th, with moderate to strong energy (816 to 1121). The wind looks light and cross or cross-offshore, which is promising. But that's a long way out, so take it as a promising sign rather than a guarantee. The waves will be reliable, but it's a long wait.
Overall, the best window is Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th. Get on it then, because the rest of the fortnight is a slog.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Thu night, light winds from the SW by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | W 17 | W 17 | W 16 | SW 17 | W 16 | W 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
186 | 173 | 238 | 145 | 164 | 256 | 232 | 310 | 487 | 454 | 688 | 455 | 214 | 214 | 188 | 243 | 258 | 174 | 170 | 297 | 267 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 12:36PM1.03m | 10:56PM1.53m | 1:18PM1.07m | 11:49PM1.51m | 2:00PM1.11m | 00:42AM1.44m | 2:40PM1.15m | 1:34AM1.34m | 3:20PM1.18m | 2:29AM1.20m | 3:59PM1.20m | 3:28AM1.05m | 4:38PM1.22m | 4:36AM0.91m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:32PM0.55m | 6:47AM-0.32m | 6:29PM0.51m | 7:33AM-0.30m | 7:25PM0.47m | 8:17AM-0.24m | 8:22PM0.43m | 9:00AM-0.15m | 9:22PM0.39m | 9:42AM-0.03m | 10:26PM0.35m | 10:24AM0.11m | 11:33PM0.30m | ||||||||
5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
— | 8:32 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | W 17 | W 17 | W 16 | WNW 7 | W 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | SW 17 | WNW 8 |
186 | 173 | 238 | 145 | 73 | 61 | 62 | 37 | 125 | 124 | 124 | 109 | 214 | 214 | 188 | 96 | 243 | 117 | 107 | 297 | 215 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | W 20 | W 19 | W 19 | W 18 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 16 | W 15 | SW 16 |
183 | 118 | 116 | 106 | 37 | 109 | 108 | 74 | 71 | 118 | 116 | 162 | 130 | 74 | 72 | 243 | 258 | 174 | 163 | 109 | 267 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 16 | W 14 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | W 13 | W 13 | W 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 13 | SW 16 | W 16 | SSW 13 | W 14 |
21 | 15 | 96 | 58 | 50 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 54 | 88 | 48 | 181 | 44 | 65 | 170 | 35 | 102 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | — | WNW 7 | — | — | WNW 8 | — |
— | — | — | — | 164 | 256 | 232 | 310 | 487 | 454 | 688 | 455 | 173 | 144 | 125 | — | 81 | — | — | 110 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 157 | 0 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 121 | 22 | 121 | 121 | 83 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 290 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 25 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










