Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with 619 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our little stretch of coast.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands. The first few days are pretty marginal, so don’t get your hopes up just yet. The real action, if you can call it that, starts to build from the end of the week.
Wednesday the 26th offers a glimmer. The Patch is showing a small 2ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, but it’s tiny. The morning is the pick with a light cross-off breeze keeping things clean. The water is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate at best (266).
Thursday the 27th sees a bump in size, with the swell hitting 4ft by the morning, but the period drops right off to a short, weak 6 seconds. That’s windswell, and it’s not going to be pretty. The wind is up, too, making for a messy outlook. The afternoon gets even bigger at 6ft, but with that short period, it’s a lumpy, crumbly mess. Really only one for the experts if they’re desperate, and even then, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a proper paddle session.
Now, Friday the 28th morning is where it gets interesting. The swell drops back to 2ft, but that period jumps back up to a lovely 17 seconds. The wind is a gentle cross-off, and the combined energy is ramping up (511), which is solid for the size. This is a standout window. The wave quality is going to be smooth and clean, with good shape for a beginner-friendly wave. Crowds are possible at The Patch, but that’s the price of a clean wave.
Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep the consistency going. Saturday morning has a 3ft SW swell with an 18-second period, but the wind is a bit stronger. Sunday the 30th morning is the absolute gem of the run: glassy conditions with a 3ft SW swell and a 16-second period. The combined energy is a punchy 717. This is as good as it gets for this forecast. Clean, glassy, and that long period will wrap in nicely.
After Sunday, it trails off. The first week of September sees the swell holding around 2ft to 3ft, but the wind patterns start to get onshore or cross-shore, and the quality drops. The 2nd of September has another glassy morning but the swell is a tad smaller. The 3rd and 4th of September have a bit more size and energy (679 on the 3rd), but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making for a choppy, frustrating session.
The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The 5th of September has a decent 3ft SW swell, but the wind is a bit of a factor. The 9th of September morning looks promising again, with a 2ft SW swell and a very long 19-second period, light winds, and a combined energy of 461. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s a promising sign.
Overall, the standout is Sunday the 30th of August morning. Get in the water early. The backup is Friday the 28th of August morning. The rest of the time, you’ll be scratching for a wave, but the swell energy is there, just waiting for a clean window. It’s a waiting game, but the forecasts can always change for the better.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 19 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
159 | 155 | 170 | 117 | 247 | 222 | 287 | 380 | 252 | 600 | 410 | 502 | 489 | 314 | 305 | 211 | 206 | 156 | 154 | 195 | 101 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 12:06PM1.05m | 10:58PM1.29m | 12:28PM1.08m | 11:39PM1.28m | 12:51PM1.12m | 00:21AM1.24m | 1:16PM1.17m | 1:05AM1.17m | 1:43PM1.22m | 1:55AM1.09m | 2:13PM1.25m | 2:52AM1.00m | 2:47PM1.28m | 4:01AM0.91m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:46PM0.48m | 6:22AM-0.01m | 6:22PM0.42m | 6:51AM0.02m | 6:58PM0.36m | 7:20AM0.07m | 7:37PM0.29m | 7:50AM0.14m | 8:21PM0.22m | 8:23AM0.23m | 9:08PM0.16m | 8:58AM0.33m | 10:03PM0.12m | ||||||||
6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
— | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SSW 13 | WNW 5 |
159 | 142 | 110 | 70 | 62 | 128 | 287 | 380 | 252 | 600 | 410 | 502 | 226 | 314 | 232 | 172 | 206 | 56 | 47 | 195 | 19 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SW 14 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 16 | S 9 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 7 | S 12 |
58 | 155 | 109 | 75 | 74 | 65 | 37 | 32 | 71 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 489 | 2 | 305 | 211 | 15 | 156 | 154 | 36 | 101 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 11 | W 10 | S 10 | S 9 | — | S 9 | S 9 | SW 21 | S 9 | SW 20 | SSE 12 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 18 | SW 13 |
49 | 34 | 48 | 52 | 119 | 32 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 7 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 50 | 59 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — |
25 | 97 | 170 | 117 | 247 | 222 | 167 | 132 | 249 | 220 | 369 | 410 | — | 176 | — | — | 131 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 120 | 83 | 22 | 120 | 94 | 0 | 121 | 54 | 121 | 487 | 54 | 0 | 121 | 45 | 26 | 121 | 0 | 25 | 121 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











