Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, WNW swell with 1,267 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s coming up for The Patch.
We’ve got a cracking run of surf kicking off from Friday, July 31st, and it’s going to be a solid stretch for a few days. The water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year, so nothing to worry about there.
The real standout window starts Friday morning with a clean 6 ft swell from the NW, period around 8 seconds, and a light 6 mph cross-off breeze. The combined energy is pumping at 776 – that’s moderate wave energy, and it’s going to feel good. The Patch is exposed to the SW, so this NW swell is a bit of a cross-up, but with that light wind and clean conditions, it’s going to be a ripper. Get on it early.
Saturday morning, August 1st, is even better. The swell bumps up to 7 ft from the NW, still with a light cross-off breeze from the WNW at 6 mph. The energy is stronger at 980, and the waves will have some punch. This is the pick of the bunch for the first few days – a proper stand-out session. It’s a bit on the bigger side, so if you’re a beginner, this might be a bit much, but for the rest of us, it’s game on. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get in early.
Sunday morning, August 2nd, keeps the quality high. Another 7 ft swell, this time from the WNW with a 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy light from the west at 3 mph. The energy is solid at 869. It’s going to be clean and punchy.
After that, things start to drop off. Monday and Tuesday see the swell fading and the wind shifting onshore, making the surf messy. By Wednesday the 5th, the swell is down to 3 ft, and the energy is weak at 206. We’ve got a long gap of poor conditions from around Wednesday, August 5th, all the way through to the end of the second week. The combined energy drops into the 200s and 100s.
There’s a little blip of hope on Friday, August 14th, in the afternoon. A tiny 2 ft swell from the west with a 14-second period, and a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is low at 378, but it’s a long-period groundswell, which means clean lines. It’s promising but a long way out, so don’t hold your breath.
Overall, don’t bother with the second week unless you’re desperate. The first four days are where it’s at.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 14 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 319 | 326 | 243 | 362 | 530 | 521 | 840 | 736 | 799 | 1145 | 746 | 598 | 663 | 322 | 254 | 157 | 131 | 145 | 92 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:30AM1.27m | 2:13PM1.08m | 1:11AM1.21m | 2:40PM1.11m | 1:55AM1.13m | 3:08PM1.16m | 2:46AM1.02m | 3:40PM1.20m | 3:48AM0.91m | 4:16PM1.24m | 5:09AM0.82m | 5:00PM1.28m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:57AM-0.05m | 8:00PM0.48m | 8:27AM-0.01m | 8:44PM0.43m | 8:59AM0.07m | 9:34PM0.37m | 9:33AM0.16m | 10:30PM0.30m | 10:10AM0.28m | 11:35PM0.23m | 10:55AM0.39m | 00:45AM0.14m | |||||||
 | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | 8:21 | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 9 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 18 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | WNW 7 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 9 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 268 | 193 | 226 | 161 | 277 | 93 | 133 | 736 | 62 | 1145 | 746 | 598 | 663 | 322 | 254 | 157 | 131 | 145 | 92 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 14 | — | W 21 | SSW 13 | S 11 | SW 19 | SSW 14 | S 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 169 | 257 | — | 9 | 158 | 21 | 15 | 121 | 17 | 44 | 43 | 42 | 37 | 59 | 56 | 100 | 69 | 68 | 87 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | — | — | W 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 |
| kJ | 42 | — | — | 9 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 49 | 48 | 42 | 41 | 40 | 36 | 36 | 33 | 5 | 12 | 15 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 2 | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 |
| kJ | 319 | 326 | 243 | 362 | 530 | 521 | 840 | — | 799 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 121 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 157 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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