Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, SW swell with 607 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's break down what's cooking at The Patch for the next couple of weeks.
First thing, the water's sitting at 62°F, and that's a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner suit if you're game.
We're looking at a pretty drawn-out run of small, clean conditions. Nothing huge, but there's a steady pulse of SW groundswell keeping things interesting. The standout session is shaping up for Sunday, August 30th in the afternoon. You've got a 3ft swell out of the SW with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is sitting at 524 – that's moderate, but enough to get a few good ones. The wind is a light cross-off from the WNW, so the lineup will be clean and inviting. That's your best bet for a proper session.
Another one to keep an eye on is Saturday, September 5th in the morning. Similar story: 3ft SW swell, 16-second period, light cross-off breeze from the WNW. The energy is a touch higher at 554, and the conditions are set to be glassy. A solid morning, but it's further out, so keep an eye on the forecast.
A few other mornings have a chance, like Thursday, August 27th morning with a 4ft WNW swell, but that period is a short 6 seconds, so it'll be a bit crumbly and less pushy. The Thursday afternoon picks up to 6ft and the period stays short, but the wind jumps to 16 mph – not ideal.
Overall, the pattern is small, clean, and long-period. The Patch is a fairly consistent little spot, and while it's never going to be a monster, it'll offer up some fun, lined-up waves on those glassy days. Crowds are sometimes an issue, so get out early. The best of the bunch is definitely Sunday, August 30th afternoon – don't sleep on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sat night, light winds from the WNW by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 19 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 17 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
155 | 150 | 121 | 227 | 229 | 235 | 380 | 344 | 600 | 410 | 564 | 489 | 314 | 305 | 211 | 208 | 154 | 149 | 189 | 84 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:58PM1.29m | 12:28PM1.08m | 11:39PM1.28m | 12:51PM1.12m | 00:21AM1.24m | 1:16PM1.17m | 1:05AM1.17m | 1:43PM1.22m | 1:55AM1.09m | 2:13PM1.25m | 2:52AM1.00m | 2:47PM1.28m | 4:01AM0.91m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:46PM0.48m | 6:22AM-0.01m | 6:22PM0.42m | 6:51AM0.02m | 6:58PM0.36m | 7:20AM0.07m | 7:37PM0.29m | 7:50AM0.14m | 8:21PM0.22m | 8:23AM0.23m | 9:08PM0.16m | 8:58AM0.33m | 10:03PM0.12m | |||||||
— | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 14 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 15 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | WNW 7 | SSW 13 | WNW 5 |
144 | 110 | 70 | 62 | 130 | 235 | 380 | 252 | 600 | 410 | 502 | 489 | 314 | 305 | 159 | 208 | 154 | 54 | 189 | 15 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SW 14 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 14 | SW 19 | W 9 | SSW 13 | WNW 6 | SW 13 |
155 | 109 | 75 | 74 | 64 | 37 | 32 | 71 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 211 | 15 | 7 | 149 | 31 | 84 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 10 | W 11 | SW 13 | S 10 | S 9 | — | — | S 9 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 11 |
34 | 48 | 52 | 119 | 32 | 20 | 45 | 16 | 7 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 36 | 51 | 50 | 60 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 6 | — | — | — |
74 | 150 | 121 | 227 | 229 | 172 | 203 | 344 | 220 | 242 | 564 | 214 | 191 | 277 | — | 161 | 82 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 45 | 121 | 122 | 54 | 25 | 123 | 54 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











