Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, WNW swell with 1,157 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 20s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 20s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, grab your wetties, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring down this forecast for The Patch.
Honestly, the first few days are a bit of a write-off. Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th are flat and messy, with weak, short-period leftovers. We’re talking about a combined energy of just 283 to 424, which is barely a ripple. Don’t even bother paddling out.
The real show starts to build from Monday the 6th, but it’s not magic until Wednesday morning the 8th. That morning is the standout. We’ve got a clean 3ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 18-second period. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be glassy. The combined energy is pumping at 1274 – that’s proper wave energy. This is excellent for experienced surfers. Water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing too wild.
Thursday the 9th pushes the size up to 7ft to 8ft from the WNW, but the period drops to 9 seconds. Clean conditions with the cross-off wind, but that’s getting solid. Over 8ft it’s expert-only territory, so if you’re not on it, give it a miss. Energy is still strong, hitting 1093 and 1260.
We get a bit of a lull Friday the 10th with 6ft and a cross-shore wind, so it’ll be a bit choppy. Then Saturday the 11th looks like a total wipeout with onshore wind and poor surf.
Here’s another little window: Sunday morning the 12th. The swell is 5ft from the WNW, period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s a little junky, but the wind is glassy. Combined energy is only 380, so it’s weak, but it will be the cleanest little wave of that weekend.
The second week gets messy again. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th see rising swell (8ft on Tuesday!) but with onshore winds and poor conditions. That Tuesday especially, the energy is at 1795, which is powerful, but it’s blown out and lumpy. Not a paddle surfer’s friend – that setup on Tuesday looks more interesting for kite surfing.
Things settle down towards the end of the run. Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th have small, clean waves in the 2ft range, but with that long-period SW groundswell (17-18 seconds) and light winds, it’ll be fun for a longboard. Energy is moderate, in the 400-500 range.
So, the clear winner is Wednesday morning, the 8th. Get on it. The rest is a mixed bag with a few small, clean windows. The Patch isn't usually this temperamental, but for this run, you gotta pick your moments.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Fri 10 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 201 | 119 | 184 | 103 | 252 | 249 | 152 | 314 | 206 | 455 | 303 | 379 | 455 | 510 | 454 | 675 | 656 | 954 | 742 | 474 | 416 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 2:05AM1.12m | 4:06PM1.05m | 2:53AM1.03m | 4:38PM1.10m | 3:51AM0.93m | 5:12PM1.15m | 5:05AM0.82m | 5:50PM1.21m | 6:39AM0.76m | 6:32PM1.28m | 8:24AM0.76m | 7:20PM1.34m | 9:51AM0.82m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:08PM0.56m | 9:35AM-0.04m | 10:03PM0.52m | 10:12AM0.03m | 11:05PM0.45m | 10:51AM0.13m | 00:11AM0.35m | 11:34AM0.24m | 1:18AM0.23m | 12:25PM0.35m | 2:22AM0.10m | 1:24PM0.45m | 3:21AM-0.03m | 2:28PM0.52m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — |
 | 8:36 | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 12 | SW 20 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 119 | 119 | 100 | 100 | 125 | 103 | 103 | 128 | 111 | 455 | 196 | 379 | 455 | 291 | 443 | 310 | 437 | 306 | 291 | 474 | 273 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | — | SW 13 | — | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 201 | 102 | 140 | 103 | 252 | 249 | 152 | 314 | 206 | 161 | 303 | 103 | 104 | 510 | — | 27 | — | — | 196 | 291 | 229 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 12 | WNW 13 | SW 13 | W 12 | SW 21 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | S 8 | SSW 11 | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 44 | 62 | 184 | 96 | 47 | 55 | 85 | 72 | 160 | 97 | 64 | 1 | 12 | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 113 | 151 | 157 | 209 | 343 | 473 | 454 | 675 | 656 | 954 | 742 | — | 416 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 121 | 60 | 22 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 54 | 0 | 120 | 83 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 121 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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