Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with 1,159 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's chew the fat on the 16-day forecast for The Patch.
We kick off Thursday morning, July 9th, and it's a beauty. We've got a clean 3ft swell out of the southwest with a very long 16-second period. That's real groundswell energy (825), and it's got a light cross-offshore breeze. The Patch is a fairly consistent little spot, so this is a perfect, fun-sized wave for a beginner. The water temp is just average for this time of year.
That first morning session is the one to circle. After that, the wind picks up and the swell jumps to 6ft on Thursday afternoon, but the period drops to 8 seconds, and it gets a bit lumpy. The rest of the first week into the second is a bit of a slog. We get pulses of 6ft to 8ft swell, mostly from the WNW, but the period stays short. The wind is a constant cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean, but the wave quality is just so-so. The combined energy gets up there—1014 on Saturday morning, 1214 on Sunday morning—which is serious power for experienced surfers, but that short period means it's a bit of a bumpy, closing-out mess.
There's a real dead stretch from around July 17th through the 22nd. The swell tanks, and the energy numbers are tiny. For a few days, you're better off finding a pool.
Now, looking out to the end, there's a little hope. On the afternoon of July 23rd, Thursday, the swell jumps again to 6ft from the WNW, but with a short 7-second period. Not great. But then, Friday morning, July 24th, looks like a good one. We’ve got a clean 6ft swell from the WNW with a better 10-second period, light cross-offshore winds, and a moderate energy reading of 944. The Patch will be a fun, rippable wave. It's a long way out, so don't book the trip yet, but it's the best bet in the second week.
So, bottom line: that first Thursday morning is the standout. After that, it's punchy, short-period stuff for the crew with bigger boards, then a flat spell before a possible fun session right at the very end. Keep your chin up.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 362 | 437 | 477 | 671 | 524 | 476 | 464 | 543 | 419 | 534 | 632 | 521 | 545 | 402 | 550 | 471 | 382 | 845 | 606 | 593 | 949 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:24AM0.76m | 7:20PM1.34m | 9:51AM0.82m | 8:12PM1.41m | 10:56AM0.90m | 9:06PM1.46m | 11:49AM0.97m | 10:02PM1.51m | 12:36PM1.03m | 10:56PM1.53m | 1:18PM1.07m | 11:49PM1.51m | 2:00PM1.11m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:22AM0.10m | 1:24PM0.45m | 3:21AM-0.03m | 2:28PM0.52m | 4:17AM-0.16m | 3:33PM0.56m | 5:09AM-0.25m | 4:34PM0.57m | 5:59AM-0.30m | 5:32PM0.55m | 6:47AM-0.32m | 6:29PM0.51m | 7:33AM-0.30m | 7:25PM0.47m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — |
 | 8:35 | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Feels °C | 8 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 310 | 388 | 310 | 291 | 291 | 236 | 171 | 300 | 174 | 186 | 412 | 167 | 136 | 121 | 118 | 118 | 80 | 59 | 109 | 108 | 73 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | S 21 | SW 15 | W 18 | W 16 | SW 14 | W 18 | W 16 | W 16 | W 14 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 44 | 437 | — | 196 | 196 | 183 | 9 | 171 | 6 | 5 | 164 | 6 | 20 | 21 | 15 | 96 | 58 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 37 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | — | W 17 | W 15 | SW 21 | SW 21 | WSW 20 | W 15 | W 14 | SW 18 | W 13 | W 13 | W 20 |
| kJ | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 6 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 37 | 39 | 35 | 81 | 32 | 32 | 73 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 362 | — | 477 | 671 | 524 | 476 | 464 | 543 | 419 | 534 | 632 | 521 | 545 | 402 | 550 | 471 | 382 | 845 | 606 | 593 | 949 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 0 | 121 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 120 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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