The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I'm gonna be straight with you – the next couple of days are a bit of a write-off. We've got a bit of a flat spell to start, but don't you worry, there's some proper fun on the horizon. It's a bit of a slow burner, but the end of the run is looking very tasty indeed for those who can wait.

Let's start at The Patch, which is where all the action is. Monday the 14th kicks things off with a clean 5ft swell from the WNW, but it's marginal and honestly, not worth paddling out for. Tuesday and Wednesday are much the same – small, onshore, and choppy. Probably a good time to get the wax off your board and do some repairs.

Wednesday the 16th afternoon and Thursday the 17th see the mix get a bit weird. We get a tiny 2ft swell from the SW but with a massive 16-second period. That's proper long-period groundswell energy (268), which at a beach or beach-and-reef setup like The Patch will likely break too straight, so it's not for everyone. The wind does clean up Thursday arvo with a cross-off breeze.

Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th stay small but tidy. That tiny 2ft SW groundswell (19-second period!) hangs around, and the mornings are clean. The wave energy is moderate (395-489), but it's just too small to get excited about. Good for a longboard cruise if you're desperate.

Now, hold onto your boardies because Sunday the 20th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning sees a jump up to 6ft from the NW, and it's clean with a gentle cross-off breeze. The energy is building at 874, and the conditions are described as "very good." This is the first proper standout – a solid, clean, and surfable size for most intermediates.

Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd settle back a bit to 4-4ft, but Tuesday morning is a real gem. Glassy conditions, with the wind coming from the SSE at just 3 mph. That is a major positive—dead flat water. The swell is clean and rideable. The standouts, though, are the afternoons of Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd. Tuesday arvo has a 4ft WNW swell at 10 seconds with moderate energy (580) and clean conditions – a perfect combo for a fun session. Wednesday arvo is even better: 5ft from the NW with a 10-second period, energy at 737, and clean. That's the pick of the first week.

Thursday the 24th is a fade, back to the small stuff again. Friday the 25th through to Monday the 28th is a proper flat stretch. Tiny 2ft swells, poor winds, and chop. You'd be wasting your time. This gap of a few days is just dead.

But then… Tuesday the 29th. This is the big one for the crew who know how to handle some size. The morning session is an absolute standout: glassy, 7ft from the NW, and a combined swell energy of 1414. That is strong, solid wave energy. This is excellent for experienced surfers but would be too much for beginners. The afternoon, however, gets tricky: the swell jumps to 8ft from the WNW but the wind howls out of the NW at 19 mph. It'll be clean because it's cross-off, but that's expert territory. The water temperature at the start of this forecast is a very unusual 62°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year.

So, for the best on offer: Tuesday the 22nd afternoon and Wednesday the 23rd afternoon for that clean, fun, moderate-sized swell. But the true standout, if you're a confident surfer, is Tuesday the 29th morning – glassy, powerful, and big. Just be aware crowds are possible at The Patch, and it's a fairly consistent spot so it will be known.

Rusty, signing off.

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