
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NW swell with 885 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on the surf for The Patch for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed story, but we've got some solid windows to work with.
The water is sitting at about 62°F, which is a few degrees warmer than normal for this time of year—a real treat.
We’ve got waves on offer from Monday the 14th. The morning is looking clean with 4-5ft swell from the WNW at 9 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s not huge, but it’s tidy and the wave energy is moderate (420). The afternoon stays clean with similar 5ft surf, but the wind picks up to 12 mph, so the morning is your best bet for that day.
Tuesday the 15th and Wednesday the 16th see the swell drop a bit to around 4ft, but the wind is a bit messy—onshore or cross-on—so the conditions aren’t as clean. The energy stays moderate, but you’ll be dealing with some chop.
Then we hit a lull. From Thursday the 17th right through to Sunday the 20th, we’re looking at small stuff, mostly 2ft to 2ft. The swell switches to a long-period groundswell from the SW (16 to 19 seconds). While that sounds good, the wave energy is moderate (240 to 478), but the size just isn't there to get excited about. The winds are mostly light and clean, so you could sneak a tiny one, but don’t expect much.
After that dry spell, the surf starts to pick up again. Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd bring back a consistent 4ft from the WNW. The wind is light and mostly cross or onshore, so it’s not perfect, but the energy is building (615 to 718). Tuesday afternoon sees the period stretch to 12 seconds, hinting at a bit more punch.
Wednesday the 23rd is more of the same, but by the afternoon it’s dropping back to around 2ft.
The next real standout looks to be Saturday the 28th and especially Tuesday the 29th. Saturday sees a solid 5-6ft swell in the morning, building to a powerful 8ft from the NW on Sunday the 27th. That Sunday morning is packing some serious energy (1419) – that’s strong wave power. However, at 8ft and a short period (8 seconds), this is strictly for the experts. The wind is light cross-on, so it might be a bit lumpy.
The absolute gem in this forecast is Tuesday the 29th morning. We’ve got a clean 5ft from the WNW, with a 10-second period, and a slight offshore breeze. The energy is high (731) and the conditions are described as "very good". This is the one to circle on the calendar. The wind stays clean in the afternoon, but gets stronger.
So, to wrap it up: the best clean, manageable surf is Monday morning (14th) and Tuesday morning (29th). The big, expert-only stuff hits Sunday the 27th. Everything else is either too small or a bit wind-affected.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 13°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | WNW 6 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
281 | 336 | 885 | 262 | 192 | 223 | 207 | 192 | 122 | 122 | 121 | 104 | 236 | 236 | 133 | 199 | 252 | 252 | 255 | 339 | 300 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 2:01PM1.25m | 3:12AM0.96m | 2:34PM1.22m | 4:20AM0.89m | 3:11PM1.18m | 5:46AM0.85m | 3:58PM1.14m | 7:26AM0.86m | 4:56PM1.10m | 8:38AM0.90m | 6:04PM1.09m | 9:23AM0.94m | 7:12PM1.10m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:24AM0.34m | 9:14PM0.09m | 9:01AM0.45m | 10:04PM0.10m | 9:44AM0.54m | 11:00PM0.12m | 10:41AM0.62m | 00:05AM0.14m | 12:03PM0.66m | 1:15AM0.15m | 1:30PM0.66m | 2:21AM0.13m | 2:37PM0.62m | 3:15AM0.10m | |||||||
6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
— | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | SW 17 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | WNW 8 |
281 | 77 | 524 | 262 | 192 | 223 | 207 | 89 | 122 | 96 | 75 | 58 | 44 | 236 | 133 | 199 | 252 | 252 | 255 | 339 | 270 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 18 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 18 |
61 | 42 | 77 | 93 | 64 | 87 | 87 | 64 | 30 | 122 | 121 | 104 | 236 | 81 | 45 | 44 | 44 | 42 | 38 | 23 | 300 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | S 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 13 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | WNW 12 | SSW 18 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SW 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 12 |
78 | 2 | 23 | 23 | 31 | 37 | 72 | 28 | 61 | 22 | 41 | 19 | 103 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 9 | NW 9 | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 10 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | — |
— | 336 | 885 | — | — | — | — | 192 | — | — | — | — | — | 105 | 115 | 88 | 74 | 131 | 97 | 110 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 120 | 0 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 121 | 54 | 8 | 99 | 0 | 22 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 123 | 54 | 0 | 120 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










