Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 496 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what The Patch has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’re looking at a pretty flat and frustrating start. The first swell we see is a messy WNW windswell pushing through at about 5ft, but it’s got a short, weak period and the wind is cross-onshore. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 60°. Honestly, the first few days are a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. The combined energy’s sitting around moderate (447) but the quality is just poor.
This rough patch of grovelly, onshore junk lasts right through until the morning of Monday the 12th of August. We finally get a shift in the wind that morning, turning cross-offshore from the WNW. The swell drops right down to a tiny 3ft, but that’s a long period groundswell at 14 seconds coming from the SW. The energy is weak (288), but the conditions are finally clean.
The standout window looks like the morning of Thursday the 15th of August. We’ve got the same SW groundswell, still just 2ft but with a nice 14-second period, and a light offshore breeze from the WNW. It’s clean, it’s small, but those long-period lines will have a bit of push. It’s not going to be big, but for a patient surfer on a log or a fish, it could be a glassy little session. The other decent-looking morning is Friday the 16th of August, with a similar setup but a shorter 10-second period behind it.
After that, the swell runs out of steam completely. The second week is tumbleweeds, with tiny 1ft to 2ft leftovers and combined energy dropping to weak levels (138-236). There’s nothing worth paddling out for.
If you’re a kite surfer, that first week with solid cross-onshore wind and a bit of chop might look more interesting than anything on offer for a surfboard.
The best bet for the whole 16-day window is that Thursday morning, the 15th of August. It’s small and clean, with glassy conditions—those are the ones to point the car at.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 333 | 227 | 227 | 222 | 184 | 249 | 217 | 212 | 181 | 217 | 199 | 149 | 136 | 164 | 252 | 405 | 268 | 496 | 489 | 390 | 255 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:28AM1.04m | 9:57PM1.48m | 12:08PM1.09m | 10:52PM1.49m | 12:44PM1.14m | 11:44PM1.45m | 1:20PM1.19m | 00:35AM1.38m | 1:54PM1.22m | 1:26AM1.27m | 2:27PM1.24m | 2:18AM1.14m | 3:01PM1.24m | 3:16AM1.01m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:33PM0.54m | 5:45AM-0.21m | 5:29PM0.48m | 6:28AM-0.20m | 6:22PM0.41m | 7:09AM-0.15m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:48AM-0.07m | 8:04PM0.30m | 8:26AM0.03m | 8:56PM0.26m | 9:03AM0.16m | 9:51PM0.23m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 333 | 227 | 227 | 222 | 184 | 232 | 217 | 212 | 181 | 217 | 199 | 146 | 105 | 81 | 57 | 405 | 268 | 496 | 489 | 390 | 255 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 18 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | W 10 | S 10 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 102 | 92 | 87 | 88 | 100 | 249 | 108 | 130 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 136 | 103 | 252 | 29 | 38 | 35 | 50 | 8 | 44 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 14 | S 9 | SW 13 | W 10 | S 10 | W 13 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 12 | 60 | 133 | 94 | 113 | 28 | 28 | 44 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 62 | 97 | 164 | 167 | 16 | 85 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 17 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 10 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50 | 19 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 31 | 212 | 22 | 31 | 245 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 31 | 60 | 157 | 22 | 22 | 451 | 22 | 22 | 123 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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