The Patch Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.90° N 122.70° W

The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Patch sea temperature is
15.2° C
2.2° 

The Patch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Patch surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NW swell with 885 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:

The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 9th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 9s
Best Surf 5AM (Thu 9th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 9s
Most Powerful 5AM (Thu 9th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of surf kicking off this Wednesday morning, July 8th. The water is sitting at a very warm 59°, which is a good 4° warmer than usual for this time of year – you’ll definitely notice that difference when you’re sitting out there.

The standout session in this whole outlook is hands down Wednesday morning, July 8th. We’ve got a clean 3 ft swell from the SW, and with a very long period of 18 seconds, this is proper groundswell wrapping in. The combined swell energy is way up there at 1180, so there’s plenty of push. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW at 9 mph, which is going to keep things glassy. The Patch is a fairly consistent spot exposed to the SW, so this is a morning to prioritise. Just keep in mind, with that long period, the sets will have longer gaps, and the wave will be a bit more lined up, so it’s a good morning for experienced surfers.

Thursday morning, July 9th, the swell bumps up to 6 ft from the WNW, but the period drops to 9 seconds. The energy is still solid at 900, and with a light 6 mph cross-off breeze, it’ll be clean. This is a good option if you miss Wednesday, but it’s not the standout.

The swell keeps building into Friday and Saturday, July 10th and 11th, with the Saturday morning session looking promising. We’re seeing 7 ft from the NW with a short 8-second period, but the wind is light again at 6 mph. The energy is 1021, so it’s got some grunt. This is getting into the size range where beginners might want to sit this one out, as it’s pushing past 5 ft. For the experienced crew, it’s worth a paddle.

From Sunday, July 12th, through to the middle of the following week, the swell hangs around the 4 ft to 7 ft mark, but the wind stays mostly cross-off or cross. The quality is a bit more mixed, with some sessions being marginal. The energy drops into the 300-800 range, so it’s less punchy.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. From around July 18th onward, the swell drops away significantly, down to 2 ft to 3 ft. The period is still long (15-17 seconds), but the energy is weak (400-700). The wind is mostly light cross or cross-on, which won’t ruin it, but it’s not going to be a ripper. There’s a gap of several days here where the surf is just small and mediocre.

The real action is in that first week from Wednesday, July 8th, through Saturday, July 11th. If you can get out Wednesday morning, that’s your best bet. After that, it’s a waiting game for the next proper pulse.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
1
2
3
1
3
3
1
2
4
2
2
3
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
18
1
SW
16
2.1
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
9
1.9
WNW
9
2.2
WNW
9
1.9
WNW
9
2
WNW
8
2
WNW
8
2.1
NW
8
2.1
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
510
521
583
463
524
764
536
547
521
543
506
623
500
500
453
304
277
264
212
245
453
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
25
WNW
15
WNW
10
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
20
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
20
WNW
10
WSW
10
W
20
WNW
15
WNW
15
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:32PM1.28m
8:24AM0.76m
7:20PM1.34m
9:51AM0.82m
8:12PM1.41m
10:56AM0.90m
9:06PM1.46m
11:49AM0.97m
10:02PM1.51m
12:36PM1.03m
10:56PM1.53m
1:18PM1.07m
11:49PM1.51m
Low Tide
12:25PM0.35m
2:22AM0.10m
1:24PM0.45m
3:21AM-0.03m
2:28PM0.52m
4:17AM-0.16m
3:33PM0.56m
5:09AM-0.25m
4:34PM0.57m
5:59AM-0.30m
5:32PM0.55m
6:47AM-0.32m
6:29PM0.51m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:58
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:35
8:35
8:35
8:34
8:34
8:32
8:32
 mm
Temp °C
14
15
12
16
16
13
15
15
13
17
17
15
17
17
14
18
18
16
18
18
16
Feels °C
12
11
7
15
13
9
12
11
9
16
14
11
15
15
11
17
14
12
15
14
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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