The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s in store for us at The Patch over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, for the first few days, it’s a bit of a waiting game. We’ve got some tiny, weak swell rolling in, but nothing really worth getting wet for until we get towards the end of the first week. The water is sitting at a warm 62°, which is a fair bit toastier than usual for this time of year, so at least the wait will be comfortable.

Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd are pretty forgettable, with small 1ft to 2ft SW swells and moderate cross-off winds. The combined energy is weak to moderate (226 to 171). Not much to write home about. Sunday the 23rd stays small with a touch of cross-onshore wind, making things a bit bumpy.

Monday the 24th through Thursday the 27th is a stretch of persistent but very ordinary conditions. Swells stay under 3ft for most mornings with clean conditions from a light WNW cross-off breeze, but the energy just isn’t there. The scores are low across the board, and the wave comment is consistently “marginal.” Thursday afternoon sees a jump to 5ft, but the period drops to a short 7 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit of a choppy mess.

Now, Friday the 28th is where it finally gets interesting. That morning brings a solid 7ft swell from the WNW with an 8-second period. The wind is clean cross-off and light at 9 mph. The combined energy is a solid 1255, so there’s plenty of push. This is the pick of the whole outlook, but heads up – at 7ft this is getting solid and really only for the experienced crew. It’s going to be a standout session for those who can handle it.

Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th back off a touch, but Sunday morning pumps up again to 7ft from the WNW. By Sunday afternoon it’s pushing 8ft with a fresh 19 mph cross-off, so the energy is still strong (1000). Monday the 1st of September (that’s 11 days away) shows the biggest number of the run – a 8ft NW swell with 9-second period and massive energy at 1590. This is a long-range call, so don’t lock it in just yet, but it looks promising for the more advanced surfer.

After that, the rest of the first week of September drops back into the 3ft to 5ft range, mostly cross-shore or light onshore winds, with moderate energy. Nothing that screams “drop everything and go.”

So, to wrap it up: The standout moment is Friday 28th morning – 7ft clean WNW swell, light offshore wind, perfect for the more seasoned surfer. Sunday 30th morning is another solid shout. The long-range Monday 1st September is a promising one to keep an eye on. For the rest, it’s a steady but unspectacular run of small, average conditions.

Stay patient, and grab the good ones when they come.

- Rusty

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