The Patch Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.90° N 122.70° W

The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 05 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Patch sea temperature is
15.0° C
0.8° 

The Patch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Patch surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period, WNW swell with 644 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:

The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 6th Aug)1.5ft (0.5m) 13s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 9th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 10s
Most Powerful 2AM (Mon 10th Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’re in a rough patch. The first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are showing poor surf conditions with tiny, weak swell. The combined energy is only around 177, which is weak. There’s just nothing to work with. You’re not missing a thing.

The first real glimmer of hope pops up on Sunday morning, the 9th of August. We’ve got a 5ft swell coming from the WNW with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy jumps right up to 640, which is moderate, and the wind is a light cross-off breeze. That’s going to be clean. The morning is the standout here – the afternoon wind picks up to 12 mph and the energy drops a bit, so get out early. It’s not a massive swell, but for The Patch, that’s a solid session. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so a spring suit will do.

The Patch is a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent, and with this swell being a bit of a groundswell at 10 seconds, it should offer up some fun, rideable lines. Crowds are possible, so pick your bank.

After that Sunday high, it gets messy again. Monday through to Thursday the 14th are mostly poor, with onshore winds and dropping energy. The swell stays around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind is never in our favour. The combined energy stays in the 400s, which is moderate, but it’s a frustrating mix of onshore and cross-onshore breezes.

There’s a little lift on the 14th and 15th with a very long-period SSW swell (20 seconds) but the height is only 1ft to 3ft. That long period will make it look pretty but with so little size, it’s not going to break with any punch. The onshore wind kills it.

The second week of the outlook is a bit of a gamble. There’s a small window on Wednesday morning, the 19th of August, where we see a clean 2ft swell from the SW with a 14-second period and a light cross-off wind. The energy is only 242, so it’s weak, but it’s clean. That’s the best of a quiet week. The 20th and 21st are mostly poor with even smaller swell.

So, the takeaway here is simple: your one day to really get excited about is Sunday, the 9th of August. Morning session at The Patch. It’s the true standout. The rest of the 16-day window is a mix of flat spells and poor conditions, with a brief, clean window on the 19th that’s worth a look if you’re desperate for a paddle.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the charts.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
2
0
0
2
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
SW
17
1.4
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
2
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
10
1.3
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
111
78
80
81
86
181
133
204
148
254
452
443
644
377
262
280
386
280
407
Wind (km/h)
5
SW
5
W
15
W
10
WNW
10
WSW
15
W
10
WSW
10
SW
15
W
10
W
10
W
20
WNW
15
W
10
SW
15
WSW
10
SSW
10
S
10
WSW
10
SSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
on
High Tide
6:53AM0.78m
5:51PM1.32m
8:37AM0.81m
6:50PM1.36m
9:52AM0.89m
7:54PM1.40m
10:45AM0.97m
8:57PM1.45m
11:28AM1.04m
9:57PM1.48m
12:08PM1.09m
10:52PM1.49m
Low Tide
00:45AM0.14m
11:51AM0.50m
1:56AM0.05m
1:03PM0.58m
3:04AM-0.04m
2:21PM0.61m
4:04AM-0.12m
3:32PM0.59m
4:57AM-0.18m
4:33PM0.54m
5:45AM-0.21m
5:29PM0.48m
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:18
6:18
6:18
6:20
6:20
6:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:15
8:14
8:13
8:12
8:10
8:09
8:08
 mm
Temp °C
14
18
18
14
16
17
13
18
19
14
18
18
13
16
16
13
17
18
13
Feels °C
13
18
16
13
15
15
11
17
18
13
17
16
10
15
14
11
16
17
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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