Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 966 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 20s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 20s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s break down what The Patch is looking like over the next couple weeks.
Right out of the gate, it’s flat and ugly. Sunday and Monday are a total loss – tiny, choppy little cross-onshore slop that’s not worth your time. You’re looking at weak wind ripples and just about nothing to ride. Things start to clean up from Monday afternoon as the wind swings cross-offshore, but the swell is still small, only about 2ft from the southwest. The combined energy is moderate, around 490 to 569.
The real highlight is Wednesday morning, July 8th. That’s the session to circle. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell from the southwest with a super long 18-second period – that’s proper groundswell that’ll wrap in smooth. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the WNW, and the combined energy jumps big to 1276. This is a beginner-friendly break normally, but with that power and cleanliness, it’s excellent for anyone who knows what they’re doing.
After that, it gets a bit all over the place. Thursday morning the 9th brings a bigger 8ft spike from the northwest, but the period drops to 8 seconds, so it’s short-period windswell that’s going to be powerful and messy – only for experts. Wind stays clean, though.
The weekend and into the following week is mostly marginal. Swell hangs between 4ft and 7ft, mostly from the west-northwest, with period mostly under 9 seconds. Wind is often cross-offshore or light, so it’s not all bad, just average quality. Crowds are “sometimes” an issue here, so mid-week is your quietest bet.
The second week is quieter. Around July 13th, the swell drops back to 2ft to 5ft, with a mix of longer-period SSW groundswell and short-period WNW windswell. It’s surfable but nothing to write home about. Tuesday morning July 14th looks the cleanest with light cross-offshore wind and a small 4ft wave.
Bottom line: Wednesday morning, July 8th is your big chance. Don’t sleep on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Sat 11 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 103 | 252 | 249 | 152 | 314 | 206 | 455 | 303 | 379 | 455 | 510 | 443 | 778 | 844 | 612 | 821 | 525 | 615 | 560 | 541 | 355 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:53AM1.03m | 4:38PM1.10m | 3:51AM0.93m | 5:12PM1.15m | 5:05AM0.82m | 5:50PM1.21m | 6:39AM0.76m | 6:32PM1.28m | 8:24AM0.76m | 7:20PM1.34m | 9:51AM0.82m | 8:12PM1.41m | 10:56AM0.90m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:03PM0.52m | 10:12AM0.03m | 11:05PM0.45m | 10:51AM0.13m | 00:11AM0.35m | 11:34AM0.24m | 1:18AM0.23m | 12:25PM0.35m | 2:22AM0.10m | 1:24PM0.45m | 3:21AM-0.03m | 2:28PM0.52m | 4:17AM-0.16m | 3:33PM0.56m | |||||||
 | |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — |
 | 8:36 | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 16 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 98 | 103 | 103 | 103 | 103 | 206 | 455 | 196 | 379 | 455 | 277 | 443 | 310 | 488 | 310 | 291 | 525 | 183 | 171 | 361 | 174 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WNW 12 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SW 13 | SW 16 | — | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | W 18 |
| kJ | 103 | 252 | 249 | 152 | 314 | 111 | 161 | 303 | 103 | 104 | 510 | 123 | 27 | 381 | — | 196 | 291 | 181 | 217 | 171 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | W 12 | WNW 13 | SW 13 | W 12 | SW 21 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | S 8 | SSW 11 | — | — | SW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 |
| kJ | 96 | 47 | 55 | 85 | 73 | 160 | 95 | 64 | 1 | 11 | — | — | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | — | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 92 | 168 | 157 | 247 | 333 | 489 | 402 | 778 | 844 | 612 | 821 | — | 615 | 560 | 541 | 355 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 22 | 22 | 99 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 54 | 121 | 122 | 83 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 0 | 22 | 245 | 8 | 31 | 245 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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