The Patch Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.90° N 122.70° W

The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 01 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Patch sea temperature is
15.1°C
0.5° 

The Patch surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Patch surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with 610 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:

The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Thu 3rd Sep)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 4th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful11PM (Fri 4th Sep)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for The Patch over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there are a couple of moments that’ll get the blood pumping.

Right off the bat, we’ve got nothing going on. The first few days of September are a write-off for any proper surf. We’re talking poor conditions with onshore breezes and tiny, messy swell. You’d be better off tuning up your board in the shed. That lull runs from Tuesday afternoon all the way through Thursday afternoon.

Finally, on Thursday the 3rd, things start to look up. The wind swings off-shore in the afternoon and we get a clean 1.2m WNW swell. The wave energy is moderate (478), and while it’s not huge, it’s the first honest chance to get wet without fighting choppy junk.

The real standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is Tuesday morning, the 8th. This is the best of the whole run. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, out of the north, and we’ve got a clean 1.0m SSW swell rolling in. The wave energy is strong (516) and with no wind to mess it up, The Patch will be as smooth as a mirror. This is a moment for the dawn patrol – get out there before the afternoon cross-off wind kicks up.

We’ve also got a few other marginal windows worth a look if you’re desperate. The Saturday and Sunday mornings of the 5th and 6th offer clean-ish 0.9m to 1.0m SSW swell, though the cross-off winds keep it rideable but not pristine. The early morning of the 15th also has a clean, cross-off swell of 0.8m from the SW, but at that point the energy starts to fade (305) and we’re well into the second week.

Overall, it’s a gentle stretch. Not a storm-chaser’s dream, but that Tuesday morning the 8th is pure gold for a clean, cruisy session. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SW
16
0.5
SW
13
0.6
SW
17
0.5
SW
19
1.2
WNW
10
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
1
SSW
15
1
SSW
14
0.8
S
15
0.8
S
15
1
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
114
111
96
78
173
179
271
379
449
465
602
436
414
398
405
400
272
272
431
529
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
10
S
15
S
15
WSW
5
SW
15
S
10
W
10
NW
5
W
20
WNW
10
WNW
10
W
15
W
10
W
10
W
25
NW
15
NW
15
WNW
25
NW
5
E
Wind State
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
2:47PM1.28m
4:01AM0.91m
3:29PM1.30m
5:29AM0.85m
4:21PM1.30m
7:11AM0.85m
5:24PM1.30m
8:34AM0.91m
6:36PM1.30m
9:32AM0.98m
7:48PM1.33m
10:16AM1.05m
8:55PM1.36m
Low Tide
10:03PM0.12m
9:39AM0.44m
11:07PM0.08m
10:31AM0.53m
00:19AM0.05m
11:43AM0.61m
1:36AM0.01m
1:12PM0.63m
2:46AM-0.03m
2:33PM0.60m
3:46AM-0.07m
3:39PM0.52m
4:37AM-0.09m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
light rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:41
6:41
6:43
6:43
6:43
6:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:39
7:38
7:37
7:36
7:34
7:32
7:30
 mm
1
1
Temp °C
18
16
16
17
15
16
17
15
15
17
14
16
16
14
16
16
14
16
17
15
Feels °C
15
15
14
17
14
15
17
14
14
15
12
15
14
12
15
13
11
13
13
14
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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