
Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, NW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 7s period, WNW swell with 490 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 8 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 8th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we've got a touch of clean, consistent energy rolling in. The water’s sitting at a pleasant 62°, which is a bit warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the thickest wetsuit. The first call is Monday afternoon (September 7th) with a clean 3ft SSW swell, a solid 14-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is moderate (429), and it's a nice introduction to the spell.
Tuesday morning (September 8th) drops a little to 3ft, but the wind turns cross-on, so it's a bit scrappy. The afternoon gets smaller and wind shifts cross-shore. It's not the best. Wednesday morning (September 9th) is the real standout for the early part of the window – glassy conditions, dead calm, and a 2ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long 19-second period. That's a long-period swell, and it's going to be super clean, though the sets will be few and far between. Perfect for a longboard.
Thursday and Friday (September 10th & 11th) hold steady with 2ft to 3ft SW swell, but the wind is up and cross-off, so it's a bit lumpy. The wave energy climbs into the 600s, so there's definitely some push behind it, but the quality is just okay.
We hit a bit of a raw patch on the weekend. Saturday (September 12th) sees a jump in size to 6ft from the WNW, but with a crappy 7-second period and a stiff 19 mph wind, it's a messy, choppy affair. Not worth paddling out. Sunday (September 13th) is still a bit big at 6ft, but with a short-period windswell, the shape will be poor. The wind does ease off a little Sunday morning, but it's still cross-shore.
After that, Monday (September 14th) morning looks a bit more inviting with a 3ft WNW swell, a light wind, and a slightly better 7-second period, but the afternoon gets blown out. From Tuesday (September 15th) through the middle of the following week, the swell drops right off to 1ft-2ft. There's a string of days with poor surf conditions and blown-out afternoons, so it's a quiet few days.
Things start to perk up again on Thursday and Friday (September 17th & 18th) with a return of more consistent 2ft-2ft SW swell, and those lovely 16-19 second periods are back. The wind is light, meaning clean conditions. The best of that second week looks like Sunday morning (September 20th) – a clean 2ft SW swell with a 19-second period, near-calm winds, and moderate wave energy. It's a solid, clean longboard session.
The final few days of the outlook (September 21st & 22nd) see a bit more size and energy, with the swell holding at 2ft-3ft and the wave energy pushing into the 800s on the Tuesday afternoon. The wind stays cross-off and moderate, so it's not perfect, but there's fun to be had.
Overall, the best wave of the whole window is that glassy Wednesday morning (September 9th) for the patient surfer. The Sunday morning (September 20th) is a close second for a clean, cruisy session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sat morning, light winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
298 | 263 | 123 | 83 | 181 | 224 | 300 | 346 | 403 | 352 | 352 | 339 | 352 | 397 | 490 | 332 | 309 | 222 | 270 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:55PM1.36m | 10:55AM1.11m | 9:55PM1.37m | 11:29AM1.17m | 10:49PM1.36m | 12:02PM1.22m | 11:41PM1.31m | 12:33PM1.25m | 00:32AM1.24m | 1:03PM1.26m | 1:22AM1.15m | 1:32PM1.27m | 2:14AM1.05m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:37AM-0.09m | 4:35PM0.43m | 5:21AM-0.08m | 5:26PM0.34m | 6:00AM-0.04m | 6:13PM0.25m | 6:37AM0.03m | 6:59PM0.18m | 7:13AM0.12m | 7:44PM0.13m | 7:48AM0.23m | 8:28PM0.10m | |||||||
— | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 23 | 26 | 23 | 28 | 29 | 24 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 26 | 25 | 20 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 7 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
298 | 263 | 123 | 83 | 74 | 224 | 300 | 346 | 403 | 352 | 352 | 339 | 209 | 203 | 198 | 123 | 144 | 62 | 61 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 7 | SW 19 | S 10 | S 9 | WNW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 19 |
56 | 59 | 50 | 27 | 181 | 68 | 42 | 82 | 118 | 59 | 19 | 10 | 84 | 48 | 31 | 14 | 113 | 58 | 93 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | NW 7 | SW 13 | WNW 13 | S 10 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 6 | SW 21 | WSW 21 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 |
11 | 50 | 61 | 83 | 14 | 59 | 58 | 46 | 74 | 65 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 18 | 43 | 12 | 12 | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 9 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 |
— | — | — | — | — | 37 | 20 | 13 | 24 | 91 | 261 | 286 | 352 | 397 | 490 | 332 | 309 | 222 | 270 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 22 | 22 | 121 | 54 | 54 | 120 | 87 | 121 | 121 | 83 | 0 | 120 | 83 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










