The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and listen up, it's Rusty here. We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks, so let's get into it.

The first few days are pretty flat and there's nothing really worth getting excited about until Wednesday, the 15th of July. That's when the swell starts to show some life. The water is sitting at 58° and a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it's a nice change.

The standout period is going to be from Wednesday the 15th through to Thursday the 16th. Wednesday morning at The Patch we'll see a clean 5 ft swell from the WNW with a period of 8 seconds, and light cross-offshore winds. The combined energy is moderate (432). It's a solid beginner-friendly wave with a bit of push. By Wednesday afternoon the swell bumps up to 6 ft (451 energy), still clean, but the wind picks up to a moderate breeze. It's still good, but the morning window is the pick.

Thursday the 16th is your best bet for the week. The morning brings a clean 6 ft swell from the WNW (723 energy) with cross-offshore winds. That's a proper fun-sized wave, still manageable for most, but it's getting a little too big for beginners. Thursday afternoon sees it jump to 8 ft (941 energy), and that's getting into the territory where it's best left for the more experienced crew. The wind is a fresh breeze but still cross-offshore, so the lineup will be clean, just a lot more power.

After that, the swell drops right off into a long lull. From Friday the 17th right through to the end of the month, we're looking at small, inconsistent waves, mostly under 3 ft, with a lot of cross and cross-onshore winds. The energy is all over the place, dipping into the low hundreds (338-626), and the period is all over the shop too. It's just not going to be much fun for traditional surfing. This is a classic case of the setup looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, with strong winds and a clean, choppy surface.

The far end of the forecast, around Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th of July, shows a bit of a pulse. The swell picks back up to 6 ft on the 25th and 6 ft on the 26th, with moderate to strong energy (816 to 1121). The wind looks light and cross or cross-offshore, which is promising. But that's a long way out, so take it as a promising sign rather than a guarantee. The waves will be reliable, but it's a long wait.

Overall, the best window is Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th. Get on it then, because the rest of the fortnight is a slog.

Rusty.

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