The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what The Patch has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we're looking at a bit of a slow start. Things are pretty marginal on Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th, with tiny, weak swell and less-than-ideal winds. The water's sitting at 61° and feels a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. You'll be scratching for anything rideable, so give it a miss for a day or two.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday the 25th. The morning session is the pick, with a clean 2ft of SW groundswell, with a long period of 16 seconds pushing in. The combined swell energy is a moderate 295, and the cross-offshore breeze from the WNW will be tidying things up nicely. This is a solid, clean option for a beginner-friendly wave.

Wednesday the 26th is a mixed bag. The morning is a repeat of Tuesday with clean 2ft SW swell, but the afternoon sees a jump in the wind and a shift to a short-period, messier 4ft WNW windswell that's not going to do much for the shape. By Thursday the 27th, the swell is getting a bit bigger and more disorganised, with the afternoon hitting 5ft but with a terrible 6-second period. The energy is moderate (445), but the quality is poor, making it a bit of a chore.

Friday the 28th through Sunday the 30th is where the real run of quality begins. The standout is the morning of Saturday the 29th. We've got a clean 3ft of SW groundswell (18 seconds) with a strong combined energy of 860. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze. This is the best call of the early period: clean, plenty of energy, and perfect for paddling out on those long-period sets.

The run continues into the next week. Monday the 31st starts okay but gets blown out and a bit too raw by the afternoon. The morning of Tuesday the 1st of September is worth a look with 4ft of WNW swell, but the period is still short. Then things drop right off on Wednesday the 2nd, with glassy conditions but tiny, weak 1ft swell and a combined energy of only 176. It's pretty ordinary.

The real fireworks are scheduled for the end of the run. The afternoon of Thursday the 3rd of September is a big one. The forecast shows a clean 3ft of SW groundswell, but the period is a massive 20 seconds, and the combined energy is a strong 883. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze. This is a long-range, clean, and powerful groundswell. It's a long wait, but it promises to be a cracker.

The following morning, Friday the 4th, is also looking promising, with 3ft of SW groundswell and a combined energy over 1000 (1034). The morning is glassy, making it another excellent option. And don't sleep on Saturday the 5th, with glassy conditions and a clean 3ft SW swell.

The second week's best bet is the morning of Monday the 7th of September. Glassy conditions, a solid 4ft of WNW groundswell with an 11-second period, and a combined energy of 787. This is a strong, clean option but it's a long way off, so keep an eye on it.

The Patch is a fairly consistent spot, so even when it's poor, it doesn't stay that way for long. The main takeaway? The best windows are the mornings of the 29th of August, the 3rd and 4th of September, and the 7th of September. It's a classic setup: a slow start, a solid middle run, and a promising long-range forecast.

Rusty.

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