Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 13 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,011 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 13th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it.
We’ve got The Patch on the radar for the next couple of weeks. The first few days are nothing to write home about, but there’s some promise later on. The water’s sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a nice little bonus.
It’s a slow start. Sunday the 6th has a clean 3ft SSW groundswell with a long 14-second period, but the combined energy is moderate (517). The wind is cross-off, so it’s rideable, but nothing special. Sunday afternoon drops off. Monday the 7th is messy with a light cross-onshore wind, so don’t get too excited. Tuesday the 8th morning gets glassy with 3ft SSW swell, and that’s the first real clean moment, but it’s small. Wednesday and Thursday stay small and average. There’s a gap of a few days here where it’s just not worth paddling out.
Now, Saturday the 12th is where things get interesting. The swell jumps to 7ft from the WNW, but the period is short at 8 seconds. That’s a windswell. It’s got moderate to strong energy (869), and it’s clean, but that size is getting up there for beginners. It’s more of a fun punch for intermediates. Saturday afternoon the wind picks up to a fresh breeze, making it a bit choppy. Sunday the 13th morning sees a drop to 5ft, but it’s clean and has moderate energy (575). That’s the better bet for the weekend.
Monday the 14th brings another pulse – 7ft NW windswell, with strong energy (1139), but it’s short period and a little messy with cross-shore chop. That’s expert territory if you’re keen. After that, the middle of the week (15th and 16th) settles down with 4ft to 5ft swell, glassy on Tuesday morning, but Wednesday brings rain showers and a slight cross-onshore.
The real standout? It’s Sunday the 20th. Morning session is a beauty. Glassy conditions, 7ft WNW swell, and very strong wave energy (1424). The guidance says excellent conditions for experienced surfers. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The wind is glass, the swell has a bit of punch, and it’s clean. Afternoon still looks good with 6ft and clean cross-off winds.
Keep an eye on that Sunday the 20th. The rest is a mixed bag, but that morning is the best on offer.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 437 | 394 | 384 | 373 | 352 | 294 | 258 | 125 | 193 | 183 | 224 | 246 | 346 | 403 | 352 | 411 | 335 | 564 | 601 | 773 | 777 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:32AM0.98m | 7:48PM1.33m | 10:16AM1.05m | 8:55PM1.36m | 10:55AM1.11m | 9:55PM1.37m | 11:29AM1.17m | 10:49PM1.36m | 12:02PM1.22m | 11:41PM1.31m | 12:33PM1.25m | 00:32AM1.24m | 1:03PM1.26m | 1:22AM1.15m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:33PM0.60m | 3:46AM-0.07m | 3:39PM0.52m | 4:37AM-0.09m | 4:35PM0.43m | 5:21AM-0.08m | 5:26PM0.34m | 6:00AM-0.04m | 6:13PM0.25m | 6:37AM0.03m | 6:59PM0.18m | 7:13AM0.12m | 7:44PM0.13m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 27 | 29 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 18 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 437 | 394 | 384 | 373 | 352 | 294 | 258 | 125 | 193 | 126 | 141 | 246 | 211 | 160 | 352 | 411 | 335 | 255 | 248 | 198 | 123 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | SW 11 | SW 10 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | SW 19 | SW 19 | S 10 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 6 | WSW 18 | WSW 21 |
| kJ | 56 | 30 | 25 | 79 | 57 | 47 | 60 | 50 | 28 | 183 | 224 | 68 | 346 | 403 | 88 | 33 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 42 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | W 14 | W 11 | SW 10 | SSW 9 | W 12 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SW 22 | SW 22 | S 10 |
| kJ | 24 | 15 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 102 | 43 | 40 | 9 | 72 | 81 | 74 | 65 | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | 24 | 75 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 37 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 31 | 56 | 140 | 564 | 601 | 773 | 777 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 122 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 120 | 0 | 22 | 121 | 110 | 22 | 120 | 22 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our The Patch surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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