Surf Forecasts:
The Patch surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 502 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Patch this week:
The surf forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Patch in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Patch over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let's cut through the noise and look at what The Patch has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a slow burn, to be honest, but there are a couple of windows that are going to make it worth your while.
The early part of the run is pretty flat and messy. We're looking at small, weak surf with cross-onshore winds messing up the surface for the first few days. Water temp is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so that's a small silver lining.
Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are a write-off. We're talking ankle-biters mostly, with a moderate cross-onshore breeze making things choppy. The swell energy is weak, around 325, and it's not doing us any favors.
The weekend brings a little bump in size and some cleaner conditions, but it's still not firing. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th see some chest-high sets with light cross-shore winds. It's surfable, but you'll be working for it. The energy picks up to a moderate 458 on Saturday morning, but the wind isn't quite right, so it's marginal at best.
Monday the 17th stays much the same, but by the afternoon, things start to shift. The wind swings cross-offshore and cleans it right up. It's still small, but the surface is getting good. Monday the 19th is where it starts to get interesting. A fresh pulse of swell from the WNW bumps things up to a solid 6ft, and while the period is short at 7 seconds, the wind is light and cross-offshore, making for some clean, fun waves. The energy is building too, hitting strong at 623. This is the first real standout for me.
The 20th offers a different flavor: glassy conditions with a touch of leftover WNW swell. It's smaller, around 3ft, but with a longer 12-second period, it'll have more push to it. It's a great morning for a longboard. Then things back off again.
We go through a bit of a flat spell from the 21st to the 23rd, with small, lumpy surf. But then the real winner shows up. From the 25th of August onward, the WNW groundswell starts to fill in, and it's looking promising. The mornings are the call, with light cross-offshore winds keeping things clean. Tuesday the 25th has chest to head-high waves, but it's Wednesday the 27th and especially Thursday the 28th that are the standouts. The swell pushes to 6ft-6ft, with a strong 722-785 energy. The winds are light and offshore, which is exactly what you want. It's a bit of a trek out there, but this is the pick of the forecast. Just remember, when it's this clean and a bit of size, the crowds are likely.
The first week is a waiting game, but the second week, starting around the 25th, is where the magic should happen. It's a late call, so keep an eye on it, but it's looking like the best bet of the period.
For the beginners out there, that 6ft on the 27th and 28th is getting on the bigger side, so maybe pick your moments or stick to the smaller mornings. For everyone else, get ready.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 7 | SW 15 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
153 | 149 | 136 | 164 | 252 | 410 | 271 | 502 | 362 | 287 | 309 | 255 | 255 | 263 | 220 | 263 | 344 | 294 | 344 | 319 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:35AM1.38m | 1:54PM1.22m | 1:26AM1.27m | 2:27PM1.24m | 2:18AM1.14m | 3:01PM1.24m | 3:16AM1.01m | 3:36PM1.24m | 4:24AM0.89m | 4:13PM1.22m | 5:53AM0.82m | 4:57PM1.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:48AM-0.07m | 8:04PM0.30m | 8:26AM0.03m | 8:56PM0.26m | 9:03AM0.16m | 9:51PM0.23m | 9:42AM0.28m | 10:49PM0.21m | 10:24AM0.41m | 11:52PM0.19m | 11:15AM0.52m | 1:00AM0.17m | |||||||
— | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
8:06 | — | — | 8:05 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 7 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
149 | 116 | 86 | 59 | 252 | 410 | 271 | 502 | 362 | 287 | 309 | 64 | 255 | 169 | 220 | 261 | 125 | 217 | 226 | 186 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 6 | SW 13 | W 10 | WNW 6 | W 10 | WNW 6 | SW 15 | S 9 | SSW 18 | W 8 | W 15 | SW 13 | W 14 | W 12 | W 13 |
153 | 149 | 136 | 132 | 167 | 30 | 88 | 18 | 31 | 17 | 30 | 255 | 2 | 32 | 34 | 17 | 85 | 96 | 77 | 54 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | W 13 | W 10 | W 10 | S 11 | W 10 | S 10 | W 9 | W 8 | W 12 | SW 9 | W 13 | W 11 | W 14 | SW 20 | SW 21 | WNW 11 |
23 | 62 | 97 | 164 | 30 | 18 | 18 | 23 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 40 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | — | WNW 6 | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 |
— | — | — | — | 53 | — | 30 | 34 | — | 32 | — | — | 147 | 263 | 129 | 263 | 344 | 294 | 344 | 319 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 121 | 22 | 60 | 465 | 0 | 22 | 122 | 0 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 120 | 120 | 121 | 122 | 120 | 0 | 121 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Marin County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Patch Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Patch provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Patch can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Patch surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Patch) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Patch may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Patch is 15 km (9 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











