The Patch Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for The Patch over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but there’s a decent run of surfable conditions kicking off on Friday the 4th of September. The water’s sitting at a pleasant 61°, which is a touch warmer than what we’d normally expect for this time of year – nothing too wild, but nice to feel.

Overall, the pattern is small, clean, and consistent with a long-period SW groundswell. The combined energy sits in the moderate range (around 755 to 445), so there’s enough push for a fun session on a longboard or a mini-mal. The standout here is the Saturday morning session on the 5th and again on Wednesday morning, the 9th of September. That Wednesday morning is looking particularly special – glassy conditions with a light NW breeze, 2ft of SW swell at a very long 19 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy (511) and the glassy surface will make The Patch feel like butter. Not a big wave, but if you’ve got a log, you’ll be grinning.

The Patch is fairly consistent, and with the wind mostly cross-off or glassy through the first week, it’s a good bet for beginners and cruisers. Crowds can pop up sometimes, but with these smaller sizes, it shouldn’t be too hectic.

Now, let’s move through the period. Friday afternoon the 4th kicks off with 3ft SW swell, 17 seconds, and a clean cross-off breeze. It’s marginal with tide, but it’s a start. Saturday morning the 5th is the pick of the early days – 3ft SSW at 16 seconds, clean, and the wind is light. Sunday morning the 6th is similar but with a touch more size at 3ft. The afternoons get a bit breezy, so aim for the mornings.

Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are still rideable but with a lighter wind and some cross-shore chop. The real gem comes Wednesday the 9th – glassy, 2ft at 19 seconds – that’s a dreamy morning. Thursday the 10th morning is clean again with 2ft, but the afternoon sees a jump in size to 7ft from the S with a short 8-second period. Combined energy jumps to 1095, but that short period and onshore wind will make it a bit messy. That’s more of a challenge than a pleasure.

Friday the 11th is back to the good stuff: 3ft SW at 16 seconds, clean or glassy. The weekend of the 12th and 13th drops off significantly – energy falls to around 292, and the waves get smaller and more crumbly. Not worth paddling out for.

Then we hit a quiet patch. From Monday the 14th through to Wednesday the 16th, there’s very little to get excited about – tiny 1ft to 2ft swells, short periods, and mostly poor conditions. A gap of about three days with no real surf to speak of.

But hold tight – the real standout of the entire forecast is the morning of Friday the 18th of September. That’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it, but it’s looking promising. An 8ft WNW swell, 8 seconds, with a light NW cross-off breeze and clean conditions. Combined energy is 1123 – that’s strong. The Patch is exposed and the size is getting up there; this is for experienced surfers only. If you’re a beginner, give this one a miss. The afternoon drops off to 8ft with a stronger breeze, but the morning is the window.

The following Saturday the 19th fades back to small, clean leftovers.

So, to wrap it up: the best of the next two weeks are the glassy 2ft morning on Wednesday the 9th, and the bigger, more powerful 8ft morning on Friday the 18th. The rest is small but clean for a log, with a few days in the middle where you’re better off doing something else.

Rusty.

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