Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on the cards for Centreville Beach.

The first half of the forecast is a mixed bag, but we’ve got a run of messy, onshore conditions to wade through before things get interesting. We’re looking at a solid pulse of swell arriving around the second weekend, but it’s going to be a big one, so only the experienced crew should be in the water.

Thursday the 3rd is a write-off—light rain and a cross-shore wind with a 7ft WNW swell that’s all over the place. The combined energy reading is a strong 1225, but it’s not doing us any favours. The water is sitting at 55°, which is nearly two degrees colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a good hood and gloves.

Friday the 4th morning is our first real window. The wind goes light cross-offshore from the SSW, and we’ve got a clean 7ft NW swell with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is up at 1685, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the standout of the first week. The swell direction matches the optimum SW on the charts, and the offshore wind will keep it clean. Get out there early before the wind shifts around in the afternoon.

From Saturday the 5th right through to Thursday the 10th, it’s a long, frustrating stretch of tiny, weak swell and poor winds. The swell drops to around 3ft, with periods all over the place, and the wind is predominantly onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy drops to the 500-700 range, which is weak. There’s nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, Friday the 11th is where it gets interesting. The morning shows a 8ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and a combined energy of 1861. But the afternoon is the real deal—a 10ft SSW swell, period 12 seconds, and a massive combined energy of 2727. That’s a powerful, long-period groundswell. However, the word is that this swell is predicted to be too big for this break. The wind is light cross-onshore, but 10ft is well over the 8ft mark, so this is experts only. Long-period groundswell like this will be powerful and walled up, not the most user-friendly shape for a beach break. This is your second standout, but it’s a serious one, and it’s only for the brave.

Saturday the 12th morning is still solid at 8ft, but the period drops to 9 seconds and the energy is down to 1524. The afternoon gets messy with a 12 mph cross-onshore wind and the swell crashes down to 3ft.

From Sunday the 13th onward, it’s a long, drawn-out decline. The wind picks up to 12-16 mph, the swell stays around 3ft to 7ft, but the conditions are consistently poor. There’s a lot of heavy cross-onshore wind, and the combined energy drops to the 400-500 range. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during this stretch.

A final small pulse of very long-period groundswell (21 seconds) shows up on the morning of Friday the 18th, but it’s a tiny 2ft, with a weak combined energy of 741. It’s a tease, not a session.

So, to sum it up: hit Friday morning the 4th for the cleanest, most manageable swell. The big Friday the 11th afternoon is a spectacle for the experts. Otherwise, the rest of the 16 days is a grind.

Rusty.

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