Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – Centreville Beach is going to be a tough one for the next couple of weeks. This is a real flat spell with a whole lot of nothing going on, so don't be in a rush to load the boards.

Right now, through to the end of the first week of July, the story is poor surf. We’ve got small swell, mostly around 3 ft, coming from the SW, but the wind is a constant cross-on from the N or NNW at 12 to 13 mph. That’s making everything choppy and messy. The wave energy is weak, sitting in the low hundreds (946, 521, 536), and the conditions are just not worth paddling out for. The water temp is about average for this time of year, which is fine, but there’s nothing to ride.

We move into Sunday the 12th and the swell picks up a bit to 6 ft out of the NW, but the period drops to a short, weak 10 seconds, and that cross-on wind is still a problem at 13 mph. The energy climbs to a moderate 855, but with the onshore wind, it’s just a choppy, blown-out mess. Monday the 13th is more of the same with 5 ft NW swell, but again, the wind kills it.

Honestly, from now until the 16th, it’s all poor surf – a solid week-plus of nothing. The only flicker of hope comes on Friday the 17th of July. The morning shows a 7 ft NW swell with a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind switches to a light onshore from the NW at 6 mph. The energy is strong at 1206, but it’s a big, short-period swell, which is going to be a handful. This is advanced-level stuff only – a 7 ft, short-period NW swell on an exposed beach is going to be a washing machine. The wind is light, but it’s onshore, so it’s not going to be clean. The afternoon drops off quickly to 3 ft. This is the only real standout in the whole 16 days, but it’s a rough one.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. From the 18th through the 25th, we’re looking at tiny swell, mostly 2 ft to 3 ft, with a constant cross-on wind. The wave energy is weak, mostly in the 200 to 700 range. There’s a brief uptick on Tuesday the 21st with 6 ft NW swell, but again, it’s short-period (8 seconds) and cross-on at 13 mph, which equals poor surf. The very last day, the 25th, has a tiny 1 ft SW swell with a very long period of 24 seconds, but it’s just a whisper.

So, bottom line: Centreville Beach is a no-go zone for most of this forecast. The only real, and I mean *only*, option is the morning of Friday the 17th of July for the advanced crew who want to battle a big, messy, onshore NW swell. For everyone else, keep your gear in the shed and wait for a better run. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a blank run.

Rusty.

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