Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Centreville Beach over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so we gotta be patient.

The outlook starts off rough. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are a write-off with poor surf and messy cross-onshore winds, so don’t even bother. Swell is around 6 to 7 ft from the northwest, but the wind is just trashing it. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong (571 to 765), but it’s wasted.

We get a bit of a break on Wednesday the 16th, but it’s tiny – just ankle to knee-high 2 to 2 ft with a very long 16-second period from the southwest. That long-period groundswell is best for a point or reef, but at a beach break like this, it’ll likely close out or be too straight. Not worth paddling out for.

Thursday the 17th sees a return of some size, 5 to 6 ft from the northwest, but the quality is only marginal. The morning has light cross-shore winds, which is the best we’ve seen so far, but the wave state is still messy. Combined energy is moderate to strong (482 to 588). It’s a maybe, but don’t expect perfection.

Friday the 18th through Monday the 21st is a frustrating stretch. Swell drops to tiny 2 to 3 ft, mostly from the southwest with a long period (17-19 seconds). The wind stays cross-onshore, keeping things choppy. This is a gap of several days with no real recommendation.

Now, Tuesday the 22nd brings a pretty solid pulse of northwest groundswell, hitting 8 ft in the morning. That’s expert territory and combined energy is strong (1434). But the cross-onshore wind (12 to 15 mph) keeps it rough and marginal. By the afternoon it drops to 6 ft but the period lengthens to 11 seconds, still cross-onshore. Still only for the keen and experienced.

Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th see the swell drop, but the wind finally plays ball. Wednesday has a light cross-shore breeze with 6 to 6 ft from the northwest, period around 9-10 seconds. Thursday afternoon is where it starts getting interesting: light cross-offshore wind, 4 ft from the west-northwest, and the comment says "clean". That’s your first true standout window. The combined energy is moderate (562 to 659).

The two best windows, though, are Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th. Friday morning and afternoon are glassy with a small 3 ft southwest swell (14-second period). The combined energy is moderate (423 to 387), but clean, glassy conditions are a major positive. It won’t be big, but it’ll be fun on a longboard.

Saturday the 26th is the pick of the lot. Light rain, but light cross-offshore winds and 4 to 5 ft from the west-northwest to northwest. The combined energy is moderate (376 to 511) and the forecast calls for "very good surf conditions". That’s your best chance for some decent, clean waves. Don’t miss it.

After that, Sunday the 27th is tiny again, but Monday the 28th morning offers another clean session with 4 ft from the northwest, and Tuesday the 29th morning has a very clean-looking 3 ft from the west-northwest with a long 16-second period and combined energy of 733 – that's a good, clean long-period groundswell.

Bottom line: It’s a slow start, but there’s clean surf to be had from Thursday the 24th afternoon through the weekend, with Saturday the 26th being the standout. The water temps are about average for this time of year. Stay patient, boys.
Rusty.

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