Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Centreville Beach over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, it’s a tough stretch. The forecast is a long run of messy, cross-onshore conditions that are going to keep things choppy and uninviting for paddle surfing. The water is sitting at 52°, which is much colder than normal for this time of year—over 4° below average, so you’ll want a thick wetsuit and a good attitude.

The first real chance to get wet is Thursday, July 17th, with a small 3ft swell from the WNW, but the wind is a cross-on at 12 mph, so it’s going to be a choppy, low-energy affair. The combined energy reads 1026, so there’s moderate energy in the water, but the quality is just not there. This pattern drags on through Friday, July 18th, with the same size swell, still cross-on, and a score that’s barely worth a second look.

Saturday, July 19th morning, we get a little bump in size to 7ft from the NW with an onshore wind that’s light, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s a weak, jumbled swell. The combined energy is 1039, but with the poor conditions it’s hard to get excited. The rest of July 19th and into the next week is a washout of small, cross-on slop with the occasional light breeze, but nothing clean.

The main standout—and I use that term loosely—is the morning of Monday, July 21st. The swell direction shifts to the S, with a 3ft swell and a long 15-second period, combined energy of 709. The wind finally goes light offshore from the NW at 3 mph. That’s the window for a glassy, clean surf, but it’s small, inconsistent, and the break is exposed to SW, so that south swell will wrap in okay. Keep your expectations low, but it’s the best you’ll see in this run.

After that, we’re back into a grind of small, cross-on junk through the end of July and into August. The last week of the forecast shows a slight uptick in size (4ft to 4ft) and long periods (17-18 seconds) from the SW, but the wind is always cross-on or onshore, with moderate to fresh breezes, so the surface is going to be lumpy and messy. The combined energy gets up to 1741 on Saturday, July 26th, but the quality is still not there. This is a setup that looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Bottom line: There’s really only one morning—Monday, July 21st—that’s worth a look, and even then, it’s marginal. The rest of the 16-day window is a long, slow fade of poor conditions. If you’re desperate, you can get wet, but it’s not going to be pretty.

Rusty.

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