Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Gotta be honest with you, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a paddle. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much happening, but I’ll walk you through it.

The only real spot to talk about is Centreville Beach. It’s an exposed beach break, and the primary swell direction that works best is from the SW. The water temperature is sitting at 55°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year, so nothing too wild there, just a touch on the nippy side.

We kick off the forecast period, and honestly, from Monday the 3rd right through to the end of Tuesday the 11th, it’s a total write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 2ft, and what little energy is there is getting chopped up by cross-onshore winds. The combined swell energy is weak, mostly in the double digits (95 to 291), and the wave comment is just “poor surf conditions” across the board. You’d be better off staying home.

Now, there’s a little blip on Wednesday the 5th. The swell bumps up to 6ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon, coming from the NW. That’s a decent size, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit weak and crumbly. The combined energy reaches 562 and 511, which is moderate, but the wind is still cross-on and the report says “marginal surf forecast.” It’s not clean, and it’s messy. It’s not really a standout, just a bigger, uglier day.

After that, we slide back into the doldrums. From Thursday the 6th all the way through to Tuesday the 18th, it’s the same sad story. Swell stays tiny, generally under 3ft, and the wind is almost always cross-on, ranging from a gentle breeze to a fresh breeze. The combined energy values do get into the moderate range sometimes (like 886 on the 16th), but the surf quality is still rated as “poor” or “marginal.” The waves are just too small and too messy to get excited about.

The very end of the outlook, on Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th, is more of the same: tiny swell, cross-on wind, and poor conditions. There’s just no window for a good clean wave here.

So, truth is, there’s no standout session in this 16-day window. It’s a long, flat spell. Given this is a fairly consistent spot, it won’t stay this way forever, and forecasts can change, but for now, don’t bother waxing the board.

Rusty.

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