Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a rough stretch for Centreville Beach. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, and honestly, there’s not a single session that’s shaping up to be worth paddling out for. The whole run is plagued by persistent cross-onshore winds from the north, which are just chopping the hell out of everything. The swell is there in the early days, but it’s all blown out and messy.

The first few days – starting Tuesday, July 28th – have some decent-sized swell pushing in. We’re looking at a 4ft to 4ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period, carrying a moderate to strong combined energy (878 to 1136). But the wind is a steady 12 mph from the north, cross-on, and it’s just making a mess of it. The water’s sitting at 58°, which is about normal for this time of year, but that’s the only average thing about it. The surf is poor.

We roll into Wednesday, and it’s more of the same – 4ft to 4ft SW swell, 16-second period, but the north wind picks up to 16 mph in the afternoon. The energy is strong (1182 to 1210), but the quality is marginal at best. Thursday and Friday don’t let up either; the swell drops a touch, but the wind stays stubbornly cross-on.

The first weekend of August is a write-off. Saturday morning has a tiny 2ft SW swell, and by afternoon we get a jumpy 6ft NW wind swell with a short 7-second period – that’s ugly, lumpy stuff with 19 mph winds. Sunday and Monday are flat and weak, with energy dropping to 80 or 90. This flat spell stretches right through the entire first week of August. We’re talking about a solid week of small, weak, and messy conditions.

There is a flicker of hope on Saturday, August 8th, with a 7ft NW wind swell showing up in the afternoon. The period is short at 8 seconds, and the energy is moderate (623). But the wind is still cross-on from the north at 12 mph, so it’s not clean. The following day, Sunday August 9th, we finally see a brief shift: a light westerly breeze at 6 mph, and the wind actually goes offshore for the afternoon. The swell is tiny though, only 2ft from the SSW, so it’s barely a ripple.

The final few days of the outlook, around August 10th and 11th, show a bit more size. Monday morning has a 5ft NW swell, but it’s short period at 9 seconds and cross-on. Tuesday, August 11th, pushes up to 7ft from the NW with that same short 8-second period, but again, it’s cross-on. That’s expert-level size, but it’s a lumpy, choppy mess.

So, the honest truth? There’s no standout. Not a single day where the wind, swell, and tide all line up. If you’re desperate for a paddle, the best chance is that Sunday, August 9th afternoon, with the offshore wind, but you’ll be on a 2ft wave. It’s a long stretch of nothing, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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