Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days at Centreville Beach are a tough slog. The forecast is a long, frustrating stretch of poor surf conditions with hardly a window worth getting wet for. We’re looking at a solid gap of almost zero surf recommendations from now until the very end of the period.

The pattern starts off ugly and stays that way. From Saturday, July 11th right through to Wednesday, July 22nd, it’s pretty much a write-off – that’s nearly two weeks of the same grim story. The wind is stuck in a cross-onshore pattern (mostly from the north at 12 mph), keeping the waves choppy and messy. The combined swell energy is moderate at best, ranging from 260 to 711, but it’s all for nothing with that wind. Even the water temperature is a shocker: at 52°F, it’s a full 4°F colder than normal for this time of year, which is very unusual. You’ll need a thick steamer and a lot of patience.

The first real flicker of something better doesn’t come until Thursday, July 24th. The morning shows a 1 ft swell from the southwest with a very long period of 26 seconds, and the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph. The energy is strong at 698, but it’s still a cross-onshore breeze. The wave comment is “marginal,” so it’s a desperate option, not a standout. That long-period swell might offer some cleaner lines if you can find a bank that holds it, but it’s a gamble.

The most interesting window lands on Saturday, July 25th and into Sunday, July 26th. We finally see some size. On Saturday afternoon, we get a 4 ft south-west swell with a 21-second period, and the combined energy jumps to a very strong 1472. The wind is still cross-onshore at 12 mph, which spoils it, but the comment is “marginal” again, hinting at possibly better shape than the previous days. The swell is still under 5 ft, so it’s safe for intermediates, but the crowd factor is “sometimes” at this break, so you might be sharing the water.

Really, the best of a bad bunch is the afternoon of Saturday, July 25th. The swell is building, the energy is the highest of the whole run (1472), and the direction from the southwest matches the optimum direction for this spot. The wind is still a problem, but if you’re desperate, it’s the closest thing to a recommendation in the whole 16 days. Just don’t expect any magic.

Rusty.

Read more