Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s happening for Centreville Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you – this forecast is a tough one to swallow. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty grim, with no real surf on offer. We’ve got a long stretch of messy, wind-affected conditions that just won’t line up.

The first few days are a write-off. From Thursday the 30th of July right through to about the 9th of August, we’re looking at swell that’s barely pushing 1 ft to 4 ft, and it’s coming from the SW or SSW. The problem is every single session is plagued by a cross-onshore wind, mostly from the N or NNW, blowing at 9 to 19 mph. That’s creating choppy, lumpy, poor surf conditions. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate, with readings like 849 (moderate) on Thursday morning, but it doesn’t matter because the wind just ruins it. The water is sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no complaints there, but you won’t want to be out there anyway.

On Monday the 10th of August, we get a bit of a spike in size. The afternoon shows a 7 ft swell from the NW, but it’s short period at 8 seconds and the wind is still cross-onshore at 12 mph. The combined energy jumps to 753 (moderate), but the conditions are still poor. The next morning, Tuesday the 11th, we see a 7 ft swell from the NW again, with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy hits 1062 (strong). This is the only session that gets a “marginal” tag, and it’s because the wind is still cross-onshore at 12 mph. That size is getting into expert territory, and with the wind messing it up, it’s not going to be a fun paddle. This spot is a beach break, so with that short-period, onshore wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. Honestly, for a kite surfer, this might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.

After that brief spike, it drops back down to small, messy swell for the rest of the forecast period. Wednesday the 12th morning has a 7 ft NW swell with the same issues, but it fades fast. The following days are just more of the same: small, weak, and cross-onshore.

There is no standout session here. Not a single one puts the wind and swell together. The best you could hope for is the Tuesday morning (11th) if you’re an expert and desperate, but even then, it’s not good. For everyone else, I’d say leave the board in the car and keep an eye on the forecasts. It tends not to stay this poor for long, so things can change.

Rusty.

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