Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s going on around Centreville Beach. Gotta be straight with you—this outlook is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a struggle, with a long stretch of nothing that’s worth paddling out for.

For the first week, from Thursday the 9th right through to Wednesday the 15th, it’s pretty much a write-off. The wind is hammering in from the north and north-northwest at 12 to 15 mph, always cross-onshore, and the wave comment flags it as poor every single session. The swell is a mix of mid-period stuff and short-period junk, but it doesn’t matter because the chop is relentless. There’s a period of almost a full week with no surf worth mentioning.

The first halfway decent moment pops up on Thursday the 16th in the morning. We’ve got a solid 8 ft swell from the northwest, but it’s only packing an 8-second period—that’s short-period wind swell, meaning it’s going to be fat and crumbly. The energy is strong though, registering 1276, but the wind is still cross-onshore from the north-northwest at 9 mph. The comment says “marginal,” and honestly, at 8 ft with that short period and poor wind, this is expert-only territory. If you’re a beginner, stay out of the water. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing weird to report.

Things get a bit more interesting toward the weekend of the 17th and 18th. On the morning of Friday the 17th, we see a long-period 3 ft swell from the west-northwest at 18 seconds, with an onshore wind from the north-northwest at 9 mph. The 18-second period is proper groundswell, but it’s small. The energy is moderate at 698. The wind is “on,” meaning it’s offshore, which is a huge positive for clean faces. The comment says “marginal” due to tide, but this is the best-looking window in the whole outlook. Then on Saturday the 18th morning, we get a similar setup: 3 ft from the west-northwest at 16 seconds, with a light onshore breeze from the northwest at 6 mph. The energy is 804. This is another promising session, but still small. The long period means these waves will have good shape, but at a beach break like Centreville Beach, that long period can make the waves break a bit too straight and fat. It’s better suited for a point or reef, but if the tide lines up, you might score a few clean runners.

The standout here is definitely the 16th morning for the size, but it’s rough. For quality, the 17th and 18th mornings are your best bet for something clean, but small. After that, from the 19th onward, it looks like we drop back into a weak, messy pattern with small swells and cross-onshore winds. The 24th has a tiny 2 ft swell with offshore wind, but it’s a long way out and not much to get excited about.

Overall, it’s a quiet period with a few glimmers. Keep your expectations low, and if you’re a beginner, wait for a better week. Check the tides on the 17th and 18th mornings—that’s your best shot.

Rusty.

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