Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’ve had a look at the charts for Centreville Beach. Gotta be straight with you, mate – it’s a rough stretch ahead. We’ve got a long, long run of poor conditions coming our way. The forecast is mostly a write-off for the next couple of weeks, but I’ll walk you through it.

The first day with any surf on offer is Monday, July 27th, but it’s not good. We’re looking at a 4ft swell from the SW with a very long period of 18 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, but it’s being trashed by a cross-onshore breeze. The water temperature is sitting at 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t get a thermal shock. The wave energy is moderate (903), but the wind is 9 mph from the NNW, making it choppy and bumpy. The afternoon is a little bigger at 4ft, but the same story – cross-onshore and messy. Honestly, don’t bother.

The whole week stays like this. Tuesday the 28th through to the weekend, we’re stuck with the same pattern: 3ft to 5ft SW swell, periods dropping from 17 seconds down to 14, but always with that darn cross-onshore wind. The wave energy is moderate to strong (849 to 1248), but it’s all for nothing with the wind ruining the shape. The gear might be better suited for a kite session than a paddle.

July 31st and August 1st see the swell drop off to 2ft – 2ft, and the energy fades away to weak (384). Conditions are still cross-onshore and choppy. By August 2nd, we’re down to 1ft – 2ft, with a fresh breeze at 19 mph making it lumpy. This is a dead zone.

There’s a long gap of nothing from August 3rd to August 10th. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, and the energy is pathetic – under 120. The wind is still cross-onshore and choppy. It’s a total blank.

The only glimmer of hope, and it’s a long shot, is on Tuesday, August 11th. We’ve got a 8ft – 8ft pulse from the NW, but the period is short at 8 seconds – that’s windswell, not groundswell. The wind finally looks okay, switching to WSW to W at 6 mph to 3 mph, but it’s still cross-onshore. The wave energy is strong (1177 to 1441), which is exciting, but that size is for experts only. The short period will make it dumpy and hard to handle. For a beach break, this is a tricky one. It’s the only standout in the whole 16-day window, but I’d call it a promising but uncertain prospect that far out.

So, the honest truth: nothing worth paddling out for until at least August 11th, and even then it’s a gamble. The forecast can change, but for now, keep your board in the shed.

Rusty

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