Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: it’s a bleak stretch on the radar for any decent waves, and there’s a long, dry gap at the start. You’ll be waiting over a week for anything that even smells like a surfable wave. The first real glimmer of something worth paddling out for doesn’t show its face until the 15th, but even then, it’s pretty marginal. Patience is the name of the game.

Centreville Beach is the only spot on the cards, and it’s a bit of a tease. It’s fairly consistent, which is about the only positive, but that consistency is in small, weak, and often messy surf. The water’s a touch colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 54°F with the anomaly a bit over 3°F below average – you’ll feel that bite for sure.

The first few days are a write-off. From the 9th through the 11th, we’ve got small, choppy conditions with cross-onshore winds messing everything up. The swell energy is weak to moderate at best – think figures like 307 and 233 – and the waves are around 1ft to 2ft. It’s ankle-biters and whitewash. Forget it.

The 12th and 13th stay poor, with similar small, choppy surf and a bit more wind at times. Then on the 14th, there’s a hint of change. Friday morning is still marginal, with a 2ft SSW swell, but the wind swings around to the northwest and gets light. The afternoon sees a pulse of NW swell jump to 5ft, but it’s short-period at 8 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and unorganized. Energy is picking up though, to 559.

Saturday the 15th is the first real highlight. Morning and afternoon see a 3ft SSW groundswell with a long 18-second period. The winds are light and offshore from the WNW, which is exactly what you want for clean faces. The energy is strong, hitting 720 and 501. It’s small but clean, and that long-period energy will be pushing through. This is your best bet of the whole run if you’re desperate for a surf.

Things taper off again after that. The 16th has a slightly bigger 4ft SW swell, but the wind goes cross-on and it gets choppy. It’s back to poor surf. The 17th and 18th are similar, with small, messy waves. The 19th sees the swell size bump up to 4ft to 5ft, but it’s short-period WNW windswell, and the wind is cross-on, making it a real washing machine. The energy gets strong, up to 839, but the quality is poor.

The 20th through the 23rd are all a variation on the same theme: small, cross-on, and poor. The energy drops, the waves stay small, and it’s just not worth the effort.

Then, the final standout if you’re an expert only. On the 24th, that’s a Monday and over a week away, so don’t get too excited yet. The morning is still marginal with 7ft of short-period NW swell, but the afternoon sees it bump to 8ft with an 8 to 9-second period. The winds are light and offshore from the NW. The energy is very strong at 1218. But at 8ft and that short period, this is only for the experienced crew. It could be a heavy, closed-out beach break, maybe even more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers. It’s promising, but a long way out and we’ve seen how quickly forecasts can change.

So, in short: the best of a bad bunch is the 15th. Clean, small, and long-period. Otherwise, keep your board in the car and wait for the blank run to end.

Rusty.

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