Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Centreville Beach. Let’s be straight with you, it’s a rough patch ahead. The forecast shows a solid run of swell early on, but the wind just won’t cooperate. Cross-onshore breezes are the name of the game for most of the period, and that’s going to make things messy.

We kick off on Saturday, 25 July, with a bit of hope. Early morning, the wind is light offshore from the WNW at 3 mph, and we’ve got a solid 4 ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long period of 21 seconds. The water is a bit colder than average for this time of year at 54 °F. The combined energy is strong, reading 1433. That’s a lot of power. The problem is the wave comment says it’s marginal, and the advice is that this long-period groundswell (over 15 seconds) can be tricky at a beach break like this – it tends to break too straight. Still, with that clean offshore wind, Saturday morning is the standout of the entire outlook. You’ll have to work for it, but if you’re out there early, you might get a few. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so there could be a few others with the same idea.

After that, it’s a long slide. From Saturday afternoon onward, the wind swings cross-onshore or onshore, and the quality drops like a rock. Sunday the 26th through to the end of July, we’re looking at 4 ft to 4 ft SW swell, but with NNW and N winds at 9 to 16 mph, it’s choppy and poor. The scores are in the gutter. The combined energy stays moderate to strong (anywhere from 883 to 1244), but it doesn’t matter because the wind is ruining it.

We hit August, and the swell starts to fade. From 1 August through to 5 August, the swell drops to 1 ft to 3 ft, and the wind is still a problem. The combined energy drops into the weak range (71 to 480). There’s a gap of several days here with nothing worth paddling out for.

Then on Thursday, 6 August morning, we get a bit of a spike: 6 ft from the NW, but with a short period of only 8 seconds and a cross-onshore wind at 9 mph. The combined energy is 411 – moderate. But the wave comment says “poor surf conditions.” That’s a no-go. The 6 ft height is pushing into expert territory due to the short, choppy nature, and the wind won’t clean it up.

The rest of the first week of August is tiny: 1 ft to 1 ft. Then on Sunday, 9 August morning, we see another spike: 5 ft from the NW, period 6 seconds, with light offshore wind. The energy is 376 – moderate. But again, the wave comment calls it poor. The afternoon shows 5 ft NW at 7 seconds with cross-onshore wind and energy of 504. The short period makes this mostly a closeout, and the wind is ugly.

So, the honest truth? There’s exactly one window that’s worth a look: Saturday morning, 25 July. That’s it. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off. The break is fairly consistent for swell, but the wind is a constant battle. For a beach break like Centreville, when the wind is cross-onshore and the swell is short-period or too long, it’s just not happening. A setup like this with that much wind and poor quality might actually be more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfing.

Hang in there, folks. Forecasts change. Rusty out.

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