Centreville Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Centreville Beach over the next sixteen days.

Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be straight with you – this is a tough outlook. We’re looking at a long stretch with very little to get excited about. The whole 16-day window is pretty much a write-off for good waves. There’s a weak, short-period swell hanging around, but the wind is a killer. It’s almost constantly a cross-onshore breeze, from the north or north-northwest, blowing at 9 to 19 mph. That’s just going to keep things choppy and messy.

The first few days, from Monday the 27th of July right through to the end of the month, we’ve got some SW swell pushing in. The combined energy is moderate, hitting 903 on Monday morning and peaking at 1248 on Monday afternoon. But don’t let those numbers fool you; the wind is ruining any chance of quality. The swell period is a very long 18 seconds, which is proper groundswell, but at a beach break like Centreville, that long period can make the waves break too straight and close out. And with the wind on it, it’s just a messy, lumpy affair.

We get a slight shift at the very end of the month, on Friday the 31st of July, where the swell direction swings around to the NW. The problem is, the period drops to a tiny 6 to 7 seconds – that’s pure windswell, weak and crumbly. The energy drops to 575, and the wind is still howling at 12 mph. It’s just not worth paddling out for.

The first week of August is even worse. Swell heights drop to 1 ft to 2 ft, and the energy levels are pitiful, often below 100. The wind doesn’t let up. It’s a flat, choppy mess until around the 8th and 9th of August, where we see a tiny S/SW swell try to build. The energy picks up to 440 on the 9th, but the swell is only 3 ft and the wind is a fresh 19 mph from the north. It’s going to be a washing machine out there.

The only real standout, and I’m using that term loosely, is the very last entry on Tuesday the 11th of August. The wind finally shifts to an onshore direction from the NNW, but it drops to a gentle 9 mph. The swell is 2 ft from the WNW with a 16-second period, and the energy is 329. It’s still not great, but if the wind stays light, it might be the least ugly period of the whole forecast. For a place like this, going that long without a decent window is a bit of a blank run, but it happens.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The wind is consistent and strong, but the waves are just too poor quality to get excited about. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but I wouldn’t be holding my breath.

Rusty.

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