Camel Rock Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—if you’re looking to score over the next couple of weeks at Camel Rock, you’re going to have to pick your moments carefully. The swell sticks around, but it’s mostly messy cross-onshore wind that’s going to keep things average. The water’s sitting at 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so grab the right rubber and you’ll be fine.

We kick things off on Sunday the 9th. There’s a 6ft NW swell in the morning with a 6 mph cross-on breeze. It’s a bit lumpy, and the energy is moderate at 526. It’s surfable for a beginner, but it’s not one for the highlight reel. That afternoon picks up to 7ft with a bit more push (748), but the wind goes a touch stronger, making it choppier. Monday the 10th follows a similar script—7ft to 8ft NW, still cross-on, energy climbing to 976 by the afternoon. This is more power, but the onshores are going to knock the shape around. Not your day for a smooth one.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th keep that same NW swell in the 7ft to 8ft range, with light cross-onshore winds again. The energy stays moderate, around 725 to 946. It’s all a bit lacklustre—nothing terrible, but nothing to get excited about either.

Thursday the 13th morning is the first real flicker of hope. The wind swings west at 3 mph, fully offshore. There’s 7ft of NW swell, and the energy is 790. That offshore wind will groom it, making for cleaner shoulders. It’s still a sandbar, so don’t expect perfection, but this is the pick of the first week. The afternoon weakens a touch with the wind back on it, so get out early.

Friday the 14th sees the swell backing off—5ft in the morning, dropping to 4ft by the afternoon. The morning wind is WSW at 6 mph, which is onshore, so it’s messy. Not worth losing sleep over.

Then the bottom drops out. Saturday the 15th into Sunday the 16th sees the swell tank to 2ft-2ft with a long period SW groundswell from 16-18 seconds. That long period is a nice sign of energy, but the size just isn’t there. It’s a bit of a tease. The best bit is Sunday afternoon the 16th, when the wind goes totally glassy (0 mph) and the sea smooths out, but you’re looking at a tiny 2ft wave. It’s a longboard or funboard day if you’re desperate.

Monday the 17th through Friday the 21st is a slow, weak stretch. Swell hovers around 2ft to 3ft with short-period WNW windswell, and the winds stay cross-on. Energy is weak to moderate (206-376). It’s small, it’s lumpy, and there’s no juice. You’d be better off doing something else.

Saturday the 22nd is flat-ish, with 1ft dribble. Not worth the paddle. But hold on—things start to look up for the last couple of days of the window. Sunday the 23rd sees a pulse of new NW swell, 4ft in the morning and building to 5ft by the afternoon. The period is short (6-7 seconds), so it’s going to be a bit crumbly, but the size is coming back.

The real event is Monday the 24th. The swell builds through the day: 8ft in the morning with a 6 mph WSW cross-on breeze, then by the afternoon it’s pushing 10ft with an energy reading of 1405—that’s strong. The period stretches to 9 seconds, and the wind is SSW at 6 mph. That’s a lot of water moving. For the average punter, 10ft is expert territory. It’s going to be powerful and a bit raw on the sandbar. If you’re not confident, give it a miss. For the chargers, this is the standout of the whole outlook. It’s a bit of a wait, but Monday the 24th is the day to mark on the calendar.

So, in short: the next week is average with a couple of clean windows, but the real juice is a long way out on the 24th. Keep your expectations low and you won’t be disappointed.

Rusty

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