Samoa Peninsula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Samoa Peninsula over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the surf outlook for Samoa Peninsula is looking pretty grim for a solid stretch. There’s nothing worth getting excited about for the first week, from Sunday the 26th of July right through to Friday the 31st. We’ve got tiny swell, poor conditions, and just about every session is a write-off. The water temp is sitting at 56°F which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We do see the swell trying to build a little as we head into August. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd see some NW swell showing up, around 4ft to 8ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore and the energy is weak to moderate (241 to 754). The wave comment keeps calling it poor. It just ain’t happening.

Things get a bit more interesting from Monday the 3rd of August onward. The swell size picks up, with heights sitting around 7ft to 8ft through the week, and the combined energy climbs into the hundreds (580 to over 1000). But again, the wind is mostly cross-onshore and the comments are poor or marginal. The period is short, around 8 to 9 seconds, so the waves will be chunky and messy, not the kind of clean lines we’re after. For a beach break setup like Samoa, that short-period windswell is mostly just a washing machine.

Now, the standout window – and I mean the only real highlight in this whole 16-day run – is Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th of August. The swell is going to be solid: Sunday morning we’re looking at 10ft from the NW, and by the afternoon it’s up to 12ft. Monday follows suit with 10ft to 12ft. The combined energy is strong, hitting 1659 and even 2015 to 2202. The period stretches to 9 seconds, so it’s not a long-period groundswell, but there’s still plenty of power. The wind is light, with only 10 km/h from the NNW or N, so the surface will be pretty clean. But here’s the caveat: this is a beach break, and at 10ft to 12ft, it’s going to be big, heavy, and only for experienced surfers. The wave comment itself says it might be too big for this break. So if you’re a seasoned charger, you might get a few, but it’s not for the faint-hearted.

Honestly, the whole run is a bit of a tough one. Samoa Peninsula is fairly exposed so it can pick up swell, but with the wind being mostly cross-onshore or onshore and the swell quality poor, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing through most of this period.

Keep an eye on that Sunday and Monday, August 9th and 10th, if you’re an expert – but otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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