Samoa Peninsula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what the next couple of weeks looks like for us.

Honestly, the outlook for Samoa Peninsula is a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some swell running through the period, but the wind and conditions are going to be the main thing to manage. It's not a total write-off, but you'll need to be picky.

Water temp is around 56°, pretty standard for the season.

The first week or so is a bit of a grind. Starting Sunday the 16th, we've got a super long-period (16 seconds) groundswell rolling in from the SW at 2ft. The energy is weak and it's coming with a light onshore breeze. It's marginal at best. That pattern of small, weak surf and onshore winds is the story through Monday and Tuesday. The swell tries to build a little mid-week, but the winds and short periods just mess it up.

The first real standout pops up a week from now, on Wednesday the 26th. We get a solid increase to 5ft of NW swell, still a short period, but the wind turns glassy in the afternoon. That's the moment. The combined energy is moderate, and with that glassy surface, it's going to be the cleanest and most user-friendly conditions on offer. It’s not a huge swell, so it's good for intermediates and the crowds might be around, but that clean face will be worth it.

The next day, Thursday the 27th, drops a little in size but still holds 5ft to 5ft from the NW. The wind goes cross-shore, so it'll be a bit chopped up, but still surfable.

Looking deeper into the second week, there's another pulse of NW swell hitting around Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st, but it’s mostly meeting onshore winds and the energy is short-period, so it’s hard to get excited about it. You'll get a few 2ft to 3ft waves from the SW and W with a longer period, but the onshore wind will ruin the shape.

For the best surf on the cards, aim for Wednesday the 26th at Samoa Peninsula. That glassy afternoon window with a bit of swell is our only real highlight.

Rusty.

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