Samoa Peninsula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I'm looking straight at the Samoa Peninsula forecast. It's a bit of a tough stretch for us over the next 16 days. The water temp is sitting at about 56°F which is pretty average for the time of year.

The first real swell we see is a long-period groundswell from the SW pushing through Sunday morning the 16th, around 2ft with a 16-second period. That's a classic groundswell pulse, but the winds are light and onshore, and the consensus is that it's marginal. Not the cleanest entry to the week.

Truth is, from that point, the outlook gets messy. We've got a bunch of days, from Sunday afternoon right through to the end of the first week, with poor conditions. The wind is cross-onshore or onshore, and the wave quality just isn't there. Swell mixes up from NW with short periods, often below 8 seconds, making for lumpy, weak surf. The combined energy during the middle of the week hits moderate levels (say, around 592 on Wednesday), but with those onshore winds, it's just not a good paddle.

There's a bit of a tease on Thursday the 20th, with a 3ft WNW groundswell (11-second period) and light onshore winds, but it's still tagged as marginal.

The real standout—and honestly, the only one that puts a grin on my face—is the window around Sunday the 23rd. We're looking at a 6ft NW swell rolling in on the morning. That's a solid push. The wind is coming from the west at just 3 mph, which is a slight, near-offshore breeze. That'll clean up the face nicely. For an intermediate-level spot like Samoa Peninsula, it’s a good size—not too big, not too small. The period sits at 8 seconds, so it's more of a windswell component, but the cleaner conditions will make it a fun, punchy session on the sets. Just keep in mind that the break can get crowded from time to time.

Towards the very end of the forecast, around the 30th and 31st, we get another SW groundswell with a 16-second period. The size is small, only 2ft, but with clear skies and light cross-offshore or onshore breezes, it’s at least clean. Probably worth a longboard if you're keen for a glassy paddle, but it's not the standout.

So to sum it up: the whole period is pretty marginal for paddle surfing, with the wind being the main villain. If you’re going to pick a time, make it the morning of Sunday the 23rd for that clean 6ft NW swell. Otherwise, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing with the steady cross-onshore conditions we see most days.

Rusty.

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