Samoa Peninsula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m not gonna lie to you, this is a pretty rough stretch for the Samoa Peninsula. The next few days are looking messy, but it’s the kind of spot that can turn it around quick, so don’t lose hope.

For the first week, the wind is a real problem. We’ve got a solid northwest swell building from Saturday 1st August through to the weekend of the 9th, with wave heights ranging from 3 ft to a massive 12 ft. The issue is, we’re stuck with a persistent north to northwest cross-onshore breeze, mostly moderate to fresh, which is just trashing the surface. The energy is there, with combined energy spiking to 1687 (strong) on Sunday 2nd August afternoon, but it’s lumpy, choppy, and poor. You’ll be battling whitecaps, not riding waves. Early on Monday 3rd August, the wind drops to a gentle breeze, and the swell is 8 ft from the NW (period 9s), but it’s still cross-onshore and fairly choppy – only a marginal call at best. Tuesday 4th August morning sees a light NNW onshore wind (10 km/h) and a 7 ft NW swell, so it’s cleaner than before, but still marginal. The water temperature is about 57°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Wednesday 5th August. We’ve got a light westerly cross-onshore in the morning, and the swell holds at 7 ft from the NW (period 9s). The energy is moderate (667), and the wind is light, so the surface is just rippled, not chopped. It’s the best of a bad lot early on, but it’s still a marginal call. By the afternoon, the wind swings to the NW becoming light and onshore, which tidies things up a bit. Thursday 6th August and Friday 7th August mornings are similar – light WNW to NW onshore wind, 7 ft to 8 ft NW swell, but the scores are still low. There’s a pulse of energy on Thursday afternoon hitting 1030 (moderate), and on Friday the wind is light onshore, but the swell is still a bit too big and unruly for a clean ride.

By Saturday 8th August morning, the wind is light NNW onshore, swell 7 ft, but it’s a marginal day. The afternoon gets messy again as the wind picks up to a gentle cross-onshore. Sunday 9th August is a real shame – the swell is 10 ft to 12 ft, the energy is massive (1332 to 1881), but the wind is cross-onshore and the swell is too big for the break. For experienced surfers only, if you’re desperate and the wind drops, but it’s not looking good.
That pattern repeats into Monday 10th August – huge swell, but cross-onshore wind and too big. Tuesday 11th August is another marginal day with a light westerly cross-onshore and 8 ft NW swell (963 energy). The wind is manageable, but the swell is still messy.

The second week is a bit of a fade-out. From Wednesday 12th August, the swell drops to 6 ft, but the wind is still cross-onshore. By Thursday 13th August, the swell is down to 5 ft to 5 ft, and the wind is moderate cross-onshore – poor conditions. Friday 14th August the swell tanks to 2 ft, but a long-period groundswell rolls in from the SW (15 to 19 seconds). The energy is still moderate (406 to 517), but the wind stays cross-onshore, so it’s bumpy. This long-period swell is better suited to a point or reef, and with a beach break, it’ll be breaking straight and fast – not ideal for the Peninsula. Saturday 15th and Sunday 16th August see a weak SW swell (2 ft to 3 ft) with a very long period (16-18s), but the wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, and the combined energy is weak to moderate (395 to 692). The water temperature stays around 57°F, average for the season.

Honestly, if you’re looking at the second week, the best bet is the morning of Saturday 15th August – light westerly wind, 3 ft SW groundswell with a crazy long 18-second period. The energy is moderate (692), and the light wind means the surface is only rippled. But it’s a small, long-period swell on a beach break, so it’s going to be straight and tricky – not a classic session. For the whole 16-day window, Wednesday 5th August morning is the only standout, with the light wind and a decent 7 ft NW swell. It’s not epic, but it’s the cleanest you’ll get.

If the wind ever drops and lines up offshore, this place could fire, but the forecasts are what they are. Don’t waste your time on the big, windy days – that’s kite surfing territory, not paddle surfing. Keep your eyes on the weather, and check back in a few days.

Rusty.

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