Samoa Peninsula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

First up, the outlook for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a tough one. The surf just isn’t offering much that’s clean or well-shaped, and there are long stretches where it’s not really worth paddling out. The first real recommendation doesn’t kick in until the afternoon of Sunday the 19th, and even then it’s a bit of a compromise.

The main spot on the radar is Samoa Peninsula. It’s a fairly exposed spot, taking swell from the NW, which is the direction the guidance likes to see. The water is running a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sitting at 54°, with the anomaly at -2°.

Sunday afternoon, July 19th sees a NW swell coming in at 6ft with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is cross-onshore from the NNW at 9 mph, making it a bit choppy. The combined energy is moderate at 773. It’s marginal, but it’s the first option.

Monday, July 20th is pretty similar. The morning sees a 5ft NW swell with 8-second period, with light cross-shore wind from the SW at 6 mph. The combined energy is 609. The afternoon drops to 5ft, still NW, with the wind swinging lighter from the W at 3 mph. It’s still marginal, but the lighter wind in the afternoon is a slight improvement.

From Tuesday morning, July 21st through to the end of the month, the swell drops right off. The height falls to 2ft and the period jumps to 14-16 seconds from the SW. That’s a long period groundswell, but it’s tiny. The wind stays light and mostly cross-onshore or onshore. The energy is weak, dropping from 347 down to the 200s. Honestly, this is a long stretch of days where the surf is just too small and messy to bother with. The conditions are poor, and the scores reflect that.

Friday, July 24th afternoon sees a brief spike in energy to 942, but the swell is still only 2ft from the SW with a long 24-second period, and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 12 mph. Choppy and poor.

Saturday, July 25th morning has the combined energy hitting 1012, with a 3ft SW swell and 21-second period. The wind is onshore from the NNW at 9 mph. The energy is there, but the size isn’t, and the wind is junk.

The best on offer across the whole period, and it’s a real stretch, looks like Wednesday, July 29th. The morning sees a 6ft NW swell with a short 7-second period, with onshore wind from the NNW. The energy is moderate at 702. The afternoon jumps up to 8ft from the NW with an 8-second period, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the N at 12 mph, making it choppy. The energy is strong at 1183. This is big, but the wind is not doing it any favours. For experienced surfers only at that size, and with the wind, it’s a messy one.

Thursday, July 30th morning holds a 7ft NW swell with onshore wind, energy at 786. Again, too big and messy for a good time.

After that, into the first week of August, the swell drops back down to 5ft to 6ft from the NW, but the wind stays cross-onshore or onshore, keeping it all poor. The energy drops to the 200s to 400s.

Honestly, there’s no standout session here. The biggest issue is the wind. It’s nearly always cross-onshore or onshore, chopping up what little swell there is. If you’re desperate, the afternoon of the 29th has the most size, but don’t expect any clean lines. This is a stretch where you’re better off waiting for the next weather pattern.

Rusty.

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