Samoa Peninsula Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for us.

This forecast period starts with a real tease. We've got a solid window on Saturday afternoon, September 12th, that looks like the absolute standout of the whole run, so you better be ready to move on that. After that, it's a pretty lean stretch for a good week, with a lot of onshore junk and poor conditions until things might start to look a little more interesting again around the middle of the following week.

Alright, let's get into it. The real highlight is Samoa Peninsula this coming Saturday afternoon, September 12th. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The conditions are set to be perfect. We're looking at a clean 4ft swell rolling in from the NW, but the magic is the wind – dead calm, glassy conditions. That's about as clean as it gets. The combined swell energy is a solid moderate 419, and with that NW direction right in the sweet spot for this spot, the sets should have some decent push. This is your window.

Now, Sunday the 13th through to the following Saturday the 19th? Honestly, it’s a bit of a write-off for quality surf. There's swell around, but the wind is just wrong. Sunday morning has a 5ft WNW swell, but it's crossed up with a light onshore breeze. It gets worse from there. By Sunday afternoon and into Monday, the wind picks up and the conditions get choppy and poor. We see the swell building through the week, hitting 8ft on Tuesday afternoon, but it's accompanied by a moderate cross-onshore breeze, making a mess of things. A 8ft wave with that kind of wind is just a washing machine. There's a period from Wednesday the 16th through Friday the 18th where the conditions are merely "marginal" at best, with light cross-onshore winds, but nothing you'd get too excited about. The energy dips back down too.

The following weekend, September 19th and 20th, the swell drops right off to a weak 2ft to 2ft from the SW. Even though it's a long-period groundswell (18-19 seconds), the size is just too small to be worthwhile, and the wind is still onshore and choppy.

We finally see a pulse of NW swell come back in on Monday the 21st of September. The morning shows a 6ft NW swell with light winds, which is marked as marginal. But the afternoon jumps to a punchy 8ft with strong energy (913). Again, the wind is a problem, this time a moderate cross-onshore from the north. Tuesday the 22nd sees similar size (7ft) with the same cross-onshore breeze. The waves will be there, but finding a clean one will be a battle.

Towards the end of the forecast, around Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th, the swell drops back to a more manageable 4ft to 5ft from the NW, with periods around 10-11 seconds. The wind on Thursday morning is light from the WNW, giving us a slight cross-onshore, but it's still not the clean glass we had on that first Saturday.

So to sum it up: Saturday afternoon, September 12th is the day. Get on it. After that, it's a long wait of onshore slop until possibly the tail end of the following week, but even that looks marginal. Keep an eye on it, but don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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