No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s cut through it in feet and miles per hour 'cause that’s how we feel it. This 16-day forecast is a mixed bag, and mostly a bag of wind. Don’t expect much clean surf for the first week. There’s one moment that might save the whole stretch, but it’s a gamble.

Starting with No Pass on Wednesday the 12th. Swell is running 5 to 6 ft, but it’s a weak, short-period windswell (8 seconds) with a cross-shore breeze from the NW at 12 mph. It’s bumpy and messy – poor conditions. That pattern sticks through the week. Wave energy is moderate (597-581), but the wind ruins it.

Friday the 14th the swell drops to 2 to 2 ft. The good news? It’s a long-period groundswell from the SSW (15-19 seconds). The bad news? Still cross-onshore. That groundswell wants to wrap in clean, but the wind puts tiny ripples on it. Energy stays moderate (434-483).

Here’s the one to circle: Monday the 17th, morning, at No Pass. The swell is a clean 3 ft out of the SSW with a 14-second period, and the wind goes *glassy* – zero kick. That’s your moment. It won’t be big, but for a reef break, that glassy surface and that long period will make it the cleanest, best-shaped wave in the whole outlook. Wave energy is moderate (485), but the conditions are perfect.

After that, it’s a slog. From Tuesday the 18th through the 25th, we’ve got 10-16 mph cross-shore winds out of the NW, and the surf is small and choppy, ranging from 2 ft to 5 ft. The energy is there (246-856), but it’s messy. The afternoon of the 24th sees a 5 ft NW windswell with a pitiful 7-second period – that’s just bump and closeout. Not worth it.

The 27th shows another marginal window: 2 ft from the SSW with an 18-second period and light onshore wind. It’s a far-off maybe.

Truth is, there’s one glassy morning on the 17th that’s your best shot. The rest is wind-affected. Forecasts change, but right now, that Monday is the only day I’d paddle out for.

Rusty.

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