No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll level with you straight up—this stretch at No Pass is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is a real mixed bag, and honestly, there’s not a lot of clean, proper surf to get excited about. The wind is a persistent pain, blowing cross-on from the northwest almost every day, which trash the surface. The water temp is sitting at 54°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

For the first week, from Saturday the 11th through to Friday the 17th, it’s pretty grim. We’ve got a run of poor surf conditions with moderate choppy waves, and the combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate (448 to 986). The swell picks up a bit—Sunday the 12th sees 5 ft to 6 ft from the NW, but with period dropping to 7 seconds, it’s short-period, weak stuff. Thursday the 16th gets a bit bigger, 6 ft to 7 ft, but the wind hits 30 km/h, making it lumpy and awful. Not worth paddling out.

There’s a small gap of a few days where it’s still marginal, but then we get a couple of standouts. The first real highlight is Saturday the 18th afternoon. The wind goes glassy, and the swell is 5 ft from the NW at 10 seconds. That’s moderate energy (1050) and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. The cross-on wind is gone, and it’s clean. That’s your best bet in the first half.

Then Sunday the 19th afternoon is another glassy one, with 3 ft from the SW and a very long period of 17 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’ll wrap into the reef nicely. Combined energy is still moderate (762), and it’s a good option for a small, clean wave.

After that, there’s a few more days with cross-on wind, but Monday the 20th afternoon and Thursday the 23rd afternoon both go glassy, with 5 ft and 6 ft from the NW respectively. The 23rd is the bigger of the two, with a good 9-second period and moderate energy (865). The 24th and 25th are small, with 2 ft from the SW and very long periods (24 and 20 seconds), but Friday the 24th is cross-on, so only the 25th afternoon with glassy conditions is worth a look.

Crowds at No Pass are only sometimes an issue, so you might get a bit of company on the standouts, but it’s not packed. The reef setup handles the long-period swells well, so those groundswells from the SW will work nicely.

Overall, the best window is from Saturday the 18th through to Sunday the 19th, with the glassy afternoons being the real gems. The 23rd afternoon is also a solid option if you’re after a bit more size. Keep an eye on the long-range—the 25th afternoon has potential, but it’s a while away, so don’t bank on it.

Rusty.

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