No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for No Pass. I gotta be straight with you – this one’s a tough read.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a long stretch of nothing good. The whole first week and a half is a write-off for decent waves. From Tuesday the 28th of July right through to Monday the 3rd of August, it’s just poor surf conditions with a cross-onshore wind messing everything up. The swell is there, but it’s all wrong for this place. The wind is howling out of the NW and NNW at 12 to 18 mph, and that’s just not the direction we want. It’s a reef break, exposed to the swell, but with that wind, it’s choppy, lumpy, and ugly. The combined energy is moderate at best, hitting 1303 on the Tuesday afternoon, but it’s wasted. You’d be a masochist to paddle out. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Now, the second week starts to show a little bit of promise, but it’s still a long way off. From Monday the 3rd of August, we start seeing some bigger swell. Monday afternoon has an 8 ft swell from the NW, but it’s a short period of 9 seconds, and the wind is still cross-onshore, though it’s lighter, a gentle breeze. The combined energy jumps to 1065, which is strong, but the conditions are described as marginal. It’s getting there, but it’s not clean.

Tuesday the 4th of August morning is the biggest we see, with an 8 ft NW swell and a combined energy of 1900, which is very strong. But again, the wind is a moderate cross-onshore breeze, so it’s poor. By the afternoon of the 11th of August, we get a bit of hope. The wind swings to the WNW at only 3 mph, and the swell is 6 ft from the NW. The wind is described as "light cross-onshore with small wind ripples," and the combined energy is 907. It’s a Tuesday, so it might be less crowded, but honestly, for a reef break that needs the wind to be offshore (E) to really work, this is still a battle.

The best bet in this whole 16-day window, if you’re desperate, is that Tuesday the 11th of August afternoon. The wind is lightest. But it’s a long shot. This setup is so consistently beaten by the wind that it’s more interesting for kite surfing than for a proper paddle session. For a surfer, this is a blank run. The spot is fairly consistent, but the conditions just aren’t lining up. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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