No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what we’ve got on the cards for No Pass. It’s a reef break, exposed to a WNW swell, and it’s fairly consistent, which is a good start. The water temp is sitting at about 59°F, which is pretty standard for this time of year.

There’s a bit of a slow start here early on. The first few days are looking pretty average to poor, with winds swinging cross-on and the swell not really locking in. Tuesday the 15th barely registers, with a weak 4ft NW swell at 8 seconds and a light cross-onshore messing things up. Not worth paddling out for. Wednesday the 16th has a moment in the afternoon when the wind goes completely glassy and the swell bumps up to 5ft from the NW, but it's still short-period stuff. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

The best early window looks like Thursday the 17th afternoon. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the SW, the swell switches to a long-period 2ft groundswell from the SSW at 16 seconds. The combined wave energy is moderate (538), and the conditions are clean. It’s a small wave, but for a reef, that long period will give you some real shape. That is your standout for the first week.

After that, we hit a bit of a lull. Friday the 18th through Tuesday the 22nd morning is all small, messy, short-period stuff with cross-onshore winds and poor conditions. Expect a few days of flatness and frustration.

Now, look ahead to Tuesday the 22nd afternoon. The swell picks up to 7ft from the NW at 11 seconds, and the energy jumps to strong (1182). The wind goes cross-shore at 6 mph, which is okay but not perfect. That’s a promising sign of things to come.

The real standout of the whole forecast is Wednesday the 23rd. The morning glass-off returns with 3 mph W winds and a clean 5ft NW swell at 10 seconds. The energy is moderate to strong (691). The afternoon holds the same glassy magic with 4ft from the NW. That’s the day to clear your schedule – two sessions of clean, lined-up reef waves. For the crew, just a heads up, No Pass can get crowded sometimes, so get in early.

The tail end of the window, around the 28th of September to the 30th, shows a big pulse coming in. The 30th of September morning sees a 10ft NW swell at 10 seconds, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore at 12 mph. That’s expert-only territory – 10ft is serious size for a reef, and the chop will make it a battle. The energy is extreme (3292), but it’s not for the faint-hearted. That’s more of a ‘watch from the cliff’ day for most. The afternoon drops to 8ft but the wind picks up to 18 mph, so it stays tricky.

Bottom line: the 17th afternoon for the long-period glass, and the 23rd for the clean, solid swell are your two best bets. The rest is mostly small or blown out. Keep an eye on the 30th if you’re an absolute charger, but treat that one with respect.

Rusty.

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