No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut to it: the next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We’ve got a lot of onshore junk and choppy water to start, and we’re going to have to be patient. The first three days are basically a washout. Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th have moderate cross-onshore winds from the northwest, with swell around 3ft, but the period is dropping and the energy isn’t organized. The combined energy is moderate (743 to 750) but it’s messy. Don’t even bother getting the wetsuit on yet.

Sunday the 13th isn't much better. The morning is small at 2ft, but then the wind picks up hard from the northwest to 19 mph in the afternoon, and we see a jump in swell to 5ft with a short, crumbly 9-second period. That’s not surf for a board; that’s just whitewash and lumps. The combined energy climbs but it’s poor quality (606). Monday the 14th sees the swell bump up to 7ft but with a terrible 8-second period and fresh cross-onshore winds. That’s a lot of water moving fast with no shape. It’s not a paddle-out; it’s a fight.

Now, Tuesday the 15th is interesting, but not for the right reasons. The swell is 7ft out of the northwest, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 1072. But it’s short-period and crossed-up. With that kind of size, it’s only for the experts, and the wind is still cross-onshore. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, if you ask me. We’ve got a gap of a few days here with no decent options.

The wind finally starts to ease on Wednesday the 16th. The morning is still onshore, but by the afternoon it goes glassy. The swell drops to 4ft and the energy is moderate (460). The guidance says "expect good surf conditions," and that’s the first real sign of life. It’s not big, but it might be clean enough for a sneaky afternoon session. It’s a small window.

Then we hit a quiet stretch. Thursday the 17th is small, with only 1-2ft of swell, though the wind is light and the afternoon turns clean with a cross-offshore breeze. The period jumps to 16-21 seconds, so it’s proper groundswell energy, but there’s just not enough of it. Same story for Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th; tiny waves, under 3ft, and the winds aren't helping much. The energy is moderate but weak in terms of push. This is a lull, and we’re just waiting.

Here’s where things start to turn. Monday the 21st has a very interesting afternoon. The wind goes glassy, and while the swell is still only 3ft out of the southwest with a 17-second period, the combined energy kicks up to 827 and the guidance says "expect very good surf conditions." That’s the first real standout. It’s going to be clean, long-period, and with that kind of period, it’ll have some push. It’s not a big day, but it’s a proper surf day.

We’re still in the small stuff through Tuesday and Wednesday, but then we get our best window. Thursday the 24th in the afternoon is a standout. The wind goes glassy again, and the swell pulses up to 5ft out of the northwest with an 11-second period. The combined energy jumps to a strong 927. That’s the best combination of size and cleanliness we’ve had all forecast. Clean, head-high waves with no wind. That’s the pick of the bunch.

Friday the 25th is also promising. The morning is glassy with 4ft swell from the west-northwest at 11 seconds and moderate energy (592). It’s going to be clean and fun. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 6ft but the wind turns onshore, so get it early. Saturday the 26th looks similar to Friday afternoon – onshore wind, 6ft swell – so again, the morning will be your friend if it stays clean.

So, if you’re planning ahead, circle Thursday the 24th afternoon. That’s your one true standout. The Monday the 21st afternoon and Friday the 25th morning are also worth a look. The long-range stuff is promising, but less certain, so don’t book the time off just yet. There’s a lot of wait-and-see in this one. Stay patient, keep an eye on the wind, and I’ll see you out there.

Rusty

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