No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Surfcast is locked in and I’ve been staring at the charts. Gotta be honest with ya, this run starts out pretty flat. For days there’s nothing really worth paddling out for, so don’t bother waxing up early.

We’ve got a real quiet spell from now until the middle of next week. A few little bumps show up but the wind is just ruining them – it’s mostly cross-onshore, choppy, and weak. The first real breath of life comes around Tuesday the 14th. That morning at No Pass we see a 5ft NW swell pop up, period is short at 8 seconds, but the wind flips to a light cross-off from the SSE. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing crazy. The combined energy is moderate (527). It’s looking clean. And then Tuesday afternoon? That’s a standout. The wind goes dead calm, glassy as a mirror. Swell pushes up to 6ft from the NW, still short period but the energy jumps a bit (647). This is the best session of the first week, no contest. It’ll be solid for intermediate surfers, but that 6ft is getting a bit much for beginners.

Then Wednesday the 15th keeps the fun rolling – another good one. Wednesday morning has a 6ft NW swell with a touch more period (9 seconds) and light offshore wind from the W. The energy is moderate to strong (881). But Wednesday afternoon is where it’s at: 7ft of NW swell, glassy conditions, combined energy reading 977. That’s proper. That’s a wave for experienced surfers only though – over 8ft later in the run, but 7ft is still a handful for anyone not solid. It’s a reef break, exposed to that WNW optimum, so it’ll be lined up.

After that, we drop off pretty quick. Thursday the 16th morning offers a glassy 2ft WNW groundswell with a very long 18-second period and a combined energy of 671, so the water has some push to it but the height is tiny. Good for a log, maybe. Crowds are noted as “sometimes” at No Pass, so you won’t be alone. The conditions are clean, but it’s a small wave. Friday and the weekend into the second week are mostly cross-onshore again with small swell and increasing wind. Not much to write home about.

So overall, hold out for Tuesday the 14th through Wednesday the 15th. Wednesday afternoon is the clear winner for the whole 16-day window. After that, it fades into average or worse. That’s how it goes sometimes – you get a couple of golden windows and you gotta be there.

Rusty.

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