No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s look at what we’ve got for No Pass over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, it’s a frustrating forecast for this spot. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions before a few glimmers of hope show up way down the line. The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first week is a write-off. From Thursday the 27th of August all the way through to the start of September, it’s nothing but cross-onshore winds and choppy, messy waves. We see some moderate wave energy on the Thursday afternoon, but it’s paired with a short, weak 5ft swell from the WNW and a stiff breeze. The combined energy jumps up around the 29th, hitting strong figures, but the fresh cross-onshore wind ruins it, making it lumpy and unsurfable. That 4ft SSW groundswell with an 18-second period would be magic at a point break, but here at this exposed reef under those winds, it’s a no-go. This pattern of poor conditions just keeps rolling through the end of the month and into the first week of September.

Things finally start to look interesting around the 7th of September. On Monday the 7th in the afternoon, we get a glassy session with a 3 mph wind from the SSW. The swell is a short-period 6ft from the NW, but that glassy surface will make it rideable. The conditions are moderate, and it’s one of the few times the wind is actually cooperating. That’s the first real standout, but it’s still on the smaller side and short-period.

The second standout rolls in on Tuesday the 8th of September. The afternoon gets a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the ESE at 9 mph, with a 5ft NW swell. The wind is offshore, which is a major bonus for this exposed reef, cleaning up what would otherwise be a choppy mess. This is likely the best session on offer, but it’s still a short-period swell so don't expect long barrels.

Then on the 10th of September, we get a promising afternoon. The wind is light from the WNW at 6 mph, and the swell bumps up to 5ft from the NW with an 11-second period. It’s a moderate cross-onshore wind, but the wave energy is strong. It’s a marginal call, but it’s the biggest and most powerful of the cleanish windows.

After that, it’s back to poor form on the 11th, with a big 7ft NW swell but strong cross-onshore winds making it a mess. That’s expert-only territory, and only if you like getting worked.

Overall, this is a tough run for No Pass. If you’re desperate, pencil in the afternoon of Monday the 7th for the glassy conditions, but the real standout is Tuesday the 8th of September afternoon with that clean offshore wind. Everything else is blown out or marginal. Hang in there.

- Rusty

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