No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks at No Pass.

First up, the honest truth: we're looking at a pretty grim run of surf for the first week and a half or so. The wind is stuck in a cross-onshore pattern, and while the swell is showing up, it's just not coming together. The combined wave energy is mostly moderate, but it's all messy and choppy. The water is sitting at 54°, which is about 2° cooler than average for this time of year, so it's a bit nippy, but nothing too wild.

From Wednesday, July 8th right through to about Wednesday, July 15th, there's really nothing to get excited about. Swell heights are hovering between 3 ft and 6 ft, but with that persistent cross-onshore wind, it's just a lumpy, choppy mess. The wind state is consistently described as "cross-on" and "choppy." There's a stretch from the 8th to the 11th where the scores are basically zero, and the comments are all "poor surf conditions." Not worth paddling out.

Then, around Thursday, July 16th, things start to look a little more promising, but it's still not great. We see some bigger swell pushing 7 ft on the afternoon of the 16th, and the combined energy jumps up to 1118, which is strong. But the wind is still cross-on, making it a bit of a battle.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The standout window is the afternoon of Friday, July 18th, and through Saturday, July 19th. On Friday afternoon, we get a glassy window with a 7 ft NW swell and a period of 9 seconds. The wind goes completely glassy. That's a serious window of clean, punchy waves. The combined energy is 1145, which is strong. This is the best on offer, but it's a solid 7 ft, so it's really for the experienced crew. The swell direction is NW, which is a good match for the optimum WNW direction for this reef.

The following day, Saturday, July 19th, is also glassy. The swell drops to 3 ft from the WNW, but with a long 16-second period, it'll be a clean, long-period groundswell. The energy is still strong at 1012. This will be a fantastic, mellow day for the intermediate surfer, but that long period might make it a bit walled-off on the inside. The water temp is still the same.

After that, we get a few more days of marginal conditions, but there's another glimmer late in the period. On Tuesday, July 22nd, and Wednesday, July 23rd, we see afternoons with glassy conditions again. The swell is a bit smaller, around 3 ft, from the SSW with a long 15-16 second period. The energy is moderate to strong. These are solid, clean options for the second week, but they're not quite as punchy as that Friday the 18th window.

So, the bottom line: it's a tough start, but the real standout is the afternoon of Friday, July 18th, with that 7 ft, glassy NW swell. That's the one to circle on the calendar. Saturday the 19th is a close second for a cleaner, smaller day. The late-period glassy afternoons on the 22nd and 23rd are decent, but less certain.

Rusty out.

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