No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watching the charts for No Pass. Let’s get straight into it.

The forecast here is a long, quiet period. The first shot at anything worth paddling out for is Monday afternoon, 20 July, but it’s only just a blip. Swell is small at 3 feet from the SW with a long 16-second period, which is a proper groundswell, and for a reef break that can mean good shape. The wind goes glassy in the afternoon, and that’s the only moment we see a bit of hope. Combined energy is moderate at 511, and water temps at 56° are right on average for this time of year. But it’s not a standout.

From Tuesday morning, 21 July, things get messier. Tuesday afternoon sees glassy wind again with 2 feet SW swell, but the energy has dropped to 280, and it’s just not enough to get excited about. Wednesday morning, 22 July, is glassy with 2 feet SSW swell and 15-second period – the cleanest window, but tiny.

After that, it’s a long, frustrating stretch. From Thursday, 23 July, through to the end of July, the wind turns cross-onshore from the NW or NNW, and the swell gets bigger but the quality drops fast. By Friday, 24 July, the combined energy jumps to 673 and 1046, with swell 2 feet to 3 feet, but that wind chops everything up. The surf report calls it marginal or poor, and I can’t argue. These are not clean waves for a reef.

From Saturday, 25 July, right through to the end of the 16-day window, the story is the same: cross-onshore winds from the NW or NNW, often blowing 12-18 mph with poor surf conditions. The swell gets bigger – hitting 4 feet by 30 July – but the wind never lets up, turning the break into a choppy mess. Combined energy values are high, often over 1000, meaning there’s real power in the water, but it’s all wind-affected and lumpy. For a reef break like No Pass, this setup is rough, and honestly, looks more suited for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

A stand out in the second week? There isn’t one. The last week of July and first few days of August are all the same poor quality or marginal wind. The period from late July right through to 4 August is a solid run of days with no real clean surf on offer. There is no one clear best day – the outlook is simply a gap of poor conditions.

If you’re determined, maybe keep an eye on Tuesday morning, 1 August, when the wind goes offshore from the W at 3 mph, with 4 feet NW swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s a weak, unsorted sea. Not worth calling a standout.

It’s a tough run for No Pass. Hang in there, things can change.
Rusty

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