No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at what we're working with over the next couple of weeks.

It's a tough stretch, no doubt. The forecast is a real mixed bag, and we're staring down a long run of days where the conditions just don't line up. The first few days have some clean, small waves, but the wind and swell direction become a problem for most of the period. There's a promising window of energy building late in the second week, but it's a long way off and the wind is a real issue.

Let's talk about the best we've got. The standout is definitely Tuesday, July 21st at No Pass. It's a reef break, fairly consistent, and they love a good WNW swell there. Tuesday afternoon sees glassy conditions with a light WSW wind at 3 mph. The swell is a clean 2 ft from the SW with a long 14-second period. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate (271). The water's at 56°F, which is about normal for the time of year. This is a proper little window of quality surf. The conditions are right, the break is set up, and it's the best call we've got.

Wednesday, July 22nd, keeps the small wave theme going. The morning is clean with a cross-off wind from the SSE at 6 mph, and the swell is 2 ft from the SW with a very long 15-second period. The energy is still moderate (282). The afternoon holds up similar, with a 2 ft swell from the SSW. It's a good, clean session but not a standout.

Now, from Thursday, July 23rd, the wind turns onshore and the quality drops hard. We've got a long stretch of poor surf conditions. The swell bumps up, but the wind is a cross-on at best, and often stronger. By the end of the month, the wind is a fresh breeze, and the waves are lumpy and choppy. This is a real dry spell.

The energy does build, especially around Friday, July 24th, when the combined energy hits 1188 (strong) with a 3 ft swell and a very long 24-second period, but the wind is just wrong. The same goes for the weekend of the 25th and 26th, with swell heights around 4 ft and strong energy, but the wind is cross-on and strong. It's a frustrating pattern.

The second week is much the same story. The wind is relentless from the NW quarter, and the swell, while occasionally pushing 6 ft to 7 ft by August 4th and 5th, is all blown out. The period drops to 8-9 seconds, so it's short-period, messy windswell. The energy is strong (over 1000), but for a paddle surfer, it's just not going to be fun. For a kite surfer, a setup like this with consistent cross-on wind and a decent swell could be very interesting, but for a traditional paddle, it's a write-off.

To sum it up: grab that Tuesday, July 21st session. The rest of the run is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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