No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this stretch coming up is a tough one. The surf is generally small and messy, with a lot of cross-onshore winds, so we’re looking at a mostly frustrating outlook. The first real glimmer of something decent doesn't show up until mid-month.

The only spot we’ve got on the radar is No Pass. It’s a reef break with a bit of character, and the optimum swell direction is from the WNW. It’s fairly consistent, which is rare for this area, keeping a little hope alive when it *does* get the right energy. The water temp is hovering around 54°, about 1° cooler than average for this time of year—not shocking, but you’ll want a good wetsuit.

The first week is a write-off. Starting the morning of July 6th, there’s a weak 2ft SSW swell (587) with light W winds, but it’s “marginal surf.” It goes downhill from there. Most afternoons and mornings through July 12th are plagued by cross-onshore winds from the NW, often moderate to fresh, making everything choppy and lumpy. Swell heights bounce between 3ft and 6ft, but the quality is poor. The energy (1155) on the 6th afternoon is moderate, but the wind kills it. On the 12th, we see a pulse of 5ft to 6ft NW swell (between 634 and 796), but it’s short period (10 seconds) and fresh cross-onshore—more of a washing machine than a wave.

There’s a long gap with nothing good to recommend from July 6th through the 12th.

Finally, the outlook brightens—just a little—on the afternoon of July 14th. We get glassy conditions: NNW winds at only 3 mph. The swell is 4ft from the NW (372), and the energy is weak but the wind is dead calm. It’s described as “glassy,” which is a major positive. This is the best on offer in the whole run. It won’t be big, but it’ll be clean. Keep in mind it’s a reef break, so a short-period swell (6 seconds) might not wrap in perfectly, but for a quiet session, this is your window. Crowds are only “sometimes” an issue here, so you might get it to yourself.

After that, things go marginal again through the 17th, with small WNW swells (2ft to 3ft) and long periods (17 to 19 seconds, 717 to 964 energy), but cross-onshore winds are back, keeping the surface crinkled. These long-period groundswells would be better if the wind was off, but it’s not. The morning of July 15th has a tiny 3ft WNW swell with SW wind—doesn’t line up well.

The second week gets poorer again toward the end. From July 19th onward, we’re back to poor conditions: 4ft NW swell (around 543 to 580 energy), short period (8 to 9 seconds), and moderate cross-onshore winds. No standouts.

So, what’s the call? If you’re desperate, mark your calendar for the afternoon of July 14th at No Pass. Glassy, clean, and rideable. Everything else in this 16-day window is either choppy or just too marginal to get excited about. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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