No Pass Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get stuck into it. This is Rusty.

First up, things look bleak at No Pass on the reef. That’s a reef break, intermediate, exposed to WNW swell, and it’s fairly consistent, but we’ve got to be honest with you. Right now, there’s no surf on offer that’s worth paddling out for. The whole setup is plagued by a constant cross-onshore wind that’s got the ocean all chopped up and messy. We’re looking at a run of poor to marginal conditions that stretches well into the second week—a solid stretch of days where you’d be fighting bumpy, lumpy water for tiny, weak waves.

The first real standout window shows up on Saturday afternoon, 4 July. That morning stays grovelly and poor, but the afternoon is a different story. The wind drops right out and goes glassy (3 mph from the WNW), the swell cleans right up to 5 ft from the NW with an 8-second period. Wave energy is moderate (551). That’s your best bet of the whole outlook. It’ll be clean, but the short period means waves won’t have much muscle—still, for a glassy session, it’s the clear winner.

Then Sunday afternoon, 5 July, things get interesting. The wind goes glassy again, and a long-period groundswell rolls in from the SSW at 2.6 ft with 18 seconds between waves. The energy jumps to 803—moderate. That’s a very long period, so the waves will have heaps of shape and punch, but at a beach-and-reef setup like No Pass, that long period can make waves stand up too straight. Still, with glassy conditions, this could be a sneaky, clean afternoon session for the more experienced crew.

Everything after that is a tough watch. The wind stays cross-onshore and picks up to 12–19 mph for most of the next week, with choppy, lumpy surf and wave energy dropping into the weak range. There’s a tiny window on Wednesday morning, 15 July, and Friday afternoon, 17 July, where the wind drops light, but the swell is too small to get excited about—3 ft and 2.3 ft respectively.

Honestly, for the next 16 days, you only get two real windows: Saturday afternoon, 4 July, and Sunday afternoon, 5 July. Both have glassy conditions and rideable waves, but nothing big. The rest is a washout. If you’re a kiter, the strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy water from the 8th through the 13th might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.

Water temperature is likely average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report.

Stay glassy, folks.

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