The South Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a flat, frustrating stretch, to be honest. The South Jetty (United States) is calling the shots, and for the vast majority of this 16-day window, it’s looking pretty bleak. We’re talking a whole lot of days where the surf check is going to end with you sitting on the beach, not in the water.

The water temp is sitting at 77°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s about all we’ve got going for us right now.

We kick things off this Wednesday, the 5th, with a tiny 2ft SE windswell, but it’s got a short, weak 6-second period and a light onshore breeze. The energy is weak, only 45, and it’s just a mess. The next several days through the weekend are the same story: small, short-period swell, bumpy conditions, and cross-shore winds. There’s a bit of a bump in energy on Friday morning, hitting 93, but it’s still just a poor, weak 3ft of slop. Honestly, for the first week, you’re not missing anything. It’s one of those long gaps with no real recommendations.

The mornings on Sunday the 9th, Monday the 10th, and Tuesday the 11th clean up a touch with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still tiny, only 2ft. The energy is weak, and the short period means it’s just not going to break with any sort of punch. It’s knee-high dribble at best.

We get a hint of something on the 12th with a proper offshore wind on Wednesday morning, but again, the swell is only 2ft and the energy has dropped right off to 33. It’s clean, but there’s just nothing to ride.

Then it gets properly small. The 13th and 14th see the swell drop to 1ft, and the energy is in the teens. There’s a morning of glassy conditions on the 13th and a clean look on the 14th, but you’d need a paddleboard, not a surfboard. The swell is just non-existent.

There’s a tiny pulse of 3ft on Saturday morning the 15th, but it’s still short-period and the energy is only 43. It’s a bit of a tease, and the winds go bad again in the afternoon.

The next week, the second week, is more of the same. The swell direction swings around to the ENE on the 16th and 17th, but it’s still undersized. The real standout is the 17th, Monday afternoon. We get a 2ft E swell with a moderate offshore wind and it’s clean. The energy is at 53, which is still weak, but it’s the first time the conditions are actually working together. It’s surfable, but very, very ordinary. The 18th morning also looks clean with a 3ft SSE swell and a light cross-offshore breeze, with energy up to 71. That’s probably the best of a bad bunch—a small, clean, but gutless little wave.

The 19th falls apart again with stronger cross/on-shore winds. The 20th sees the swell drop to 1ft but the period jumps to a long 10 seconds. That’s a hint of some more organized groundswell, but there’s no size behind it. The combined energy is weak at 22.

So, here’s the deal. For the next two weeks, there are no big, clean standouts. The absolute best you can hope for is a small, clean, and weak wave on Monday afternoon the 17th or Tuesday morning the 18th. If you’re desperate, those are your windows. But otherwise, this is a good time to check your wax, fix your dings, and wait for the next pulse. A blank run like this can shift, so keep an eye on it, but right now, it’s looking pretty grim.

Rusty.

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