The South Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for The South Jetty. I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. The whole 16-day window is a real struggle, and we’re not going to see any proper waves worth getting excited about.

The pattern is flat and frustrated. Most of the time, the swell is tiny and the wind is just ugly. The first few days, from the 21st through the 24th, are a write-off. We’ve got thunderstorms, gusty cross-onshore winds, and a messy, choppy ocean. The swell is small and weak, with combined energy barely cracking 100 (89 at its best on Tuesday afternoon). It’s just not worth paddling out.

The only real blip of hope comes on Wednesday the 22nd morning. That’s where we see a 7ft S swell rolling in with a period of 8 seconds and a cross-offshore WSW wind. The wave energy jumps up to moderate (850), and the conditions are clean. For a brief moment, it looks surfable. But the rating is still marginal, and by afternoon it drops right back off. The rest of the week is a slow grind of tiny, choppy junk.

We then hit a massive gap with absolutely nothing of note. From the 23rd right through to the 2nd of August, it’s a desert. Small, weak swells with poor wind – cross-shore, onshore, and lumpy. No standouts at all. The water temp is sitting at 77°F on the 21st, which is a notable 4°F warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a warm bath, but that’s the only highlight.

The next time we see a pulse is on Sunday the 2nd of August. We get a 3ft E swell in the morning, with clean conditions from a light cross-offshore W wind. The energy is back up to 153 – moderate but still not strong. The afternoon on the 2nd is actually the best of a bad bunch. A 4ft ENE swell with a clean, moderate offshore WNW wind. The wave energy is 131, and it’s described as surfable but very ordinary. It’s the only “surfable” moment in the whole forecast.

After that, it fades back into tiny, weak, cross-onshore slop for the rest of the window. The period stays short, usually 5 to 8 seconds, so there’s no real power or shape to get excited about.

Look, there’s no standout here. If I had to pick the best on offer, it’s the Wednesday morning the 22nd – but even that is marginal. The Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon is the next best, with clean offshore wind, but the swell is small. It’s a frustrating run. The South Jetty is consistent, so it won’t stay this poor forever, but for now, honestly, I’d leave the board at home.

Rusty.

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