North Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what North Jetty has in store for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty quiet stretch, and we’re looking at a long wait before anything really gets interesting.

The overall pattern for the 16-day window is dominated by small, weak swell and mostly poor surf quality. There’s a big gap of no real recommendations for the first ten days. From Saturday the 8th to the early part of the following week, it’s pretty much a write-off. The combined energy is very low, often below 100, and the swell heights are barely registering. The wind is mostly cross-shore or onshore, leaving the water choppy or messy.

Saturday 8th and Sunday 9th of August? Forget it. We’ve got a tiny 4ft ESE swell with a short 8-second period, and the wind is on it. The energy is weak (165 and 190), and the report says it's poor surf. Not worth paddling out for the crowds you might find there.

Monday 10th through Tuesday 18th of August is a real flat spell. Swell barely pushing 3ft from the SE or ESE, with periods often dropping below 8 seconds. The combined energy stays below 100 most days, with a few readings in the teens and twenties – that’s super weak. Even on the cleaner mornings with offshore breeze or glassy conditions, the waves are just too small and gutless. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing to write home about.

Finally, we see a flicker of life around Tuesday 18th of August morning. A 2ft ESE swell with a 10-second period (middling period) shows up, and the energy bumps up a bit to 66. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so it cleans up. The report calls it "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions". It’s not a standout, but it’s the first time we get a score of 1 out of 10.

Wednesday 19th of August is worth a mention, but not for the right reasons. We get a 2ft E swell with a very long 14-second period. That’s a groundswell, which sounds good, but the energy is moderate (143). Problem is, it’s cross-onshore wind, making for poor surf. This long-period swell at a beach/pier break like North Jetty will likely be too straight and not offer much shape for a paddle surfer.

Thursday 20th of August morning is the only real highlight, if you can call it that. The wind is dead calm, glassy. The swell is still small (2ft ESE) with an 11-second period, and combined energy of 98 (weak). The report says it’s "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions". It’s clean, but the lack of size and energy means you’ll be fighting for small, weak peaks. The crowd could be a factor on such a small window of opportunity.

Friday 21st and Saturday 22nd of August mornings are glassy again with small E swells, but the energy is still low (46 and 75). Again, it’s clean but tiny.

So, if I had to point you to the best on offer, it’s the Thursday 20th of August morning. Glassy conditions, a little bit of mid-period swell, and the cleanest setup in the whole 16-day window. It’s not firing, but it’s the only time you’ll find any real peace on the water. Don’t expect much.

This is a classic case of a blank run for the area. It’s not unusual to have a long gap with nothing going on. Forecasts can change, but for now, save your energy.

Rusty.

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